Bitcoin Stuck in a Holiday Range — CME Gap Below?During the Christmas period, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) didn’t exhibit strong momentum and has been moving within a range.
Bitcoin is currently near the resistance zone($90,960-$90,090) and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,840-$90,920).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY).
I expect that given the weekend and generally lower trading volume at this time, Bitcoin may struggle to break the resistance zone($90,960-$90,090) and could begin to decline, potentially filling the CME Gap($88,720-$88,120). If BTC breaks the support lines, we can expect further declines to the support zone($87,050-$86,420).
Note: Additionally, two important trading levels to watch for Bitcoin are $90,300 and $87,830.
What are your thoughts? Do you think Bitcoin will continue its trend into 2026, or should we prepare for a correction? I’d love to hear your opinion!
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $87,110-$86,020
First Target: Support lines
Second Target: Support zone($87,050-$86,420)
Stop Loss(SL): $91,880
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTCUSDT
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #254👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. The market is finally starting its move.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
After Bitcoin broke the 89,040 zone yesterday and managed to stabilize above it, it has now reached its main resistance.
✨ This main resistance is located at 90,373, and so far, on this timeframe, the price has touched it twice.
💡 After reaching 90,373, volume has decreased and the price is currently resting.
💥 However, if volume increases again, given the bullish momentum that has entered the market, the probability of breaking 90,373 increases.
✔️ So, with the break of 90,373, we can open a long position.The next resistance zone for Bitcoin will be 93,789.
🧩 But if Bitcoin gets rejected from 90,373, we can open positions using trend change and Dow Theory triggers.
⭐ The triggers we currently have as the main triggers for Bitcoin turning bearish are the 87,345 and 86,855 zones.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC/USDT: Strong Breakout Above $98K - Is 94K Next? Analysis Summary: Bitcoin is showing significant bullish momentum today. Here is a breakdown of the key timeframes:
Daily Timeframe: A solid Green Candle has been printed, reaching the $90,000 psychological level. What’s important here is the strong volume supporting this move, indicating real buying interest.
4-Hour Timeframe: We have successfully broken the previous resistance at $89,000. Currently, the price is reacting to the $90,438 resistance zone. This minor pullback is healthy after such a breakout.
1-Hour Timeframe (Execution): I am looking for a continuation of the trend. A clean break above $90,354 would be a high-probability signal to open a Long position.
Key Levels: 📍 Resistance: $90,438 / $94,000 📍 Support: $89,000 / $86,800
Conclusion: The overall bias is bullish as long as we stay above the $89k flip zone. Watch for the $90,354 breakout for confirmation.
Risk Warning: Always use a Stop-Loss and manage your risk according to your capital.
Is Bitcoin on the verge of a bullish move? (4H)This analysis is an update to the previous one, which you can find in the related analyses section.
The previous analysis is still valid, and Wave D of this diametric pattern needs to complete. Since trading volume was low and it was the end of the year, this move has taken longer.
I had marked a red line in the previous analysis, noting that as long as this line isn’t convincingly broken, the price cannot recover. In the past, every time the price approached this line, it was quickly rejected but now, after moving above this red line, it hasn’t been rejected yet.
We’ve marked Bitcoin’s targets on the chart.
Let’s see how it plays out.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
Happy New Year!
Hello, traders!
If you "Follow" us, you'll always get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
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(BTCUSDT 12M Chart)
The pattern of a 3-year uptrend and a 1-year downtrend appears to have undergone a slight change, with the 2025 bearish candlestick closing.
The key areas to consider are the 69K-73K range and the 42K-44K range.
Prices below the 42K-44K range are expected to be unseen again.
Therefore, as the price approaches these levels, it's a good time to buy from a long-term perspective.
If the price declines near the Fibonacci level of 1.618 (89050.0), it could touch the 69K-73K range.
However, just as it failed to reach the expected target level of 2.618 (133889.92), the decline could also fall short of the 69K-73K range.
Therefore, if the price declines from 1.618 (89050.0), we need to check for support near 1.414 (79902.66).
Considering the previous pattern of three-year upswings and one-year downswings, 2026 is expected to be a challenging year, so caution is advised when trading.
The Fibonacci ratios currently displayed on the chart are based on the second wave.
Therefore, the Fibonacci level 3.618 (178729.84), which appears to be the end of the second wave, is expected to be the target area for the next bullish trend.
-
(1M chart)
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart formed at 110105.69, a decline is likely until it meets the DOM (-60) or HA-Low indicators.
Currently, the price is positioned near the StochRSI 50 indicator and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, and the StochRSI 20 indicator is showing signs of forming a new line.
Therefore, support near the Fibonacci level 1.618 (89050.0) is crucial.
If the price declines, the DOM (-60) indicator and the HA-Low indicator are expected to form a low soon. Therefore, we need to check for support near the previously mentioned levels:
1st: Fibonacci 1.414 (79902.66),
2nd: 69K ~ 73499.86.
For the price to rise at a key point or range and continue the uptrend, the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators must show upward trends.
Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering an oversold zone,
the TC indicator is showing a downward trend below 0,
and the OBV indicator is showing a downward trend between the Low Line and High Line.
-
(1W Chart)
Since this is currently a volatile week, we need to monitor the movements below this week.
The next volatile week is expected to occur around the week of January 26th.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can rise along the uptrend line and remain above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If it fails to do so and falls, a downward trend is expected, as mentioned earlier.
My basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
Therefore, a decline in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range can be considered a normal decline, and it is difficult to determine a buy point at this time.
Therefore, I recommend waiting until the DOM(-60) or HA-Low indicators are met.
-
(1D Chart)
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is forming at 87944.84, so the key question is whether it can find support near this level and rise.
However, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing, it's crucial to see if the price can rise above it and maintain its upward momentum.
Including these factors, a rise in the 84739.74 ~ 93.5K range is highly likely to trigger an uptrend.
The next period of volatility is expected to be around January 10th, so we should monitor whether the price rises along the rising trendline (1) after this period.
We should also monitor whether the price can break above the rising trendline (2).
The TC indicator is above zero,
and the OBV indicator is rising above the High Line to see if it can be sustained.
The StochRSI indicator is falling in the overbought zone.
Therefore, I believe that for the uptrend to continue, the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators must show upward trends.
If the price finds support in the 84739.74 to 87944.84 range (DOM(-60) to HA-Low range on the 1D chart) and rises, and the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators show upward trends, the uptrend is expected to continue.
As mentioned in the 12M chart explanation, this year is expected to be a difficult year. Therefore, when trading spot, it's important to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits. When trading futures, it's important to minimize losses by trading short positions. This will prevent you from missing opportunities due to insufficient funds when the trend turns upward.
It's best to increase the number of coins (tokens) representing profit during a stepwise downtrend.
This is because a stepwise downtrend usually ends in an uptrend.
A stepwise downtrend occurs when the price falls between DOM (-60) and HA-Low.
However, because it's difficult to predict the end of a downtrend, you must carefully distribute your purchase amounts.
Furthermore, when profit is generated by each purchase price, you should sell the amount equal to the purchase price, leaving the coins (tokens) representing profit.
This will quickly convert to profit when the price rises.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
We wish you successful trading.
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Unlock Fibonacci Retracement: Predict Pullbacks & TargetsFibonacci Retracement is a powerful tool based on mathematical ratios from the Fibonacci sequence. It helps identify potential support/resistance levels during price pullbacks in trends.
Key levels: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% (and extensions like 161.8%).
Draw from swing high to low (or low to high) – perfect for spotting entries in Forex, Crypto, and Stocks.
How Fibonacci Works (Quick Setup)
On TradingView: Use the Fib Retracement tool. Select recent high/low points. Levels auto-plot where price might bounce or reverse.
Key Strategies
1- Pullback Entries
Buy at 38.2% or 61.8% in uptrends; sell in downtrends.
2- Target Projections
Use extensions (100%, 161.8%) for take-profits beyond the swing.
3-Confluences
Combine with S&R, RSI, or MAs for stronger signals.
Real Examples Right Now (Jan 3, 2026)
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSDT :
Between 30 Dec 2022 and 20 Feb 2023 We saw a pullback from top to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
We also saw a hit to the 1st Fibonacci Extension level as a target on March 22, 2023.
Pro Tips
Use in trending markets; avoid choppy ranges.
Adjust for volatility: Shorter swings in Crypto, longer in Stocks.
Confirm with volume – strong moves break Fib levels.
Backtest on historical charts to master it!
Add Fib to your toolkit today and nail those pullbacks!
What's your best Fib win? Share in the comments! 👇
BTCUSDT Pullback to Buyer Zone $87,900 Before Next ExpansionHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSDT (3H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is trading within a broader consolidation phase following a strong bearish impulse earlier in the chart. After the sell-off, price found a clear pivot low, from which buyers stepped in and initiated a recovery. This recovery led to a breakout above a key structure level, confirming a shift from bearish pressure into stabilization. Following the breakout, BTC moved into a well-defined range, highlighting balance between buyers and sellers. The lower boundary of this range aligns with the Buyer Zone around 87,300, which has acted as a strong support area with multiple successful defenses. Each dip into this zone has been met with buying interest, confirming it as a key demand area. On the upside, price remains capped by the Seller Zone / Resistance around 89,800–90,700, where selling pressure has repeatedly limited further advances. More recently, BTC has started to form a rising support line, indicating gradually strengthening bullish pressure. Price is currently trading above this support line and holding above the Buyer Zone, suggesting that the latest pullbacks are corrective rather than impulsive. The overall structure shows compression between rising support and horizontal resistance, often a precursor to an expansion move. My scenario: Bitcoin may first attempt a corrective pullback toward the Buyer Zone (TP1) around 87,900, which aligns with a key horizontal support level and the lower boundary of the recent consolidation structure. This area has already shown strong demand in the past, making it a high-probability reaction zone. As long as price approaches this zone without strong impulsive bearish momentum, the move can be viewed as a healthy retracement within the broader consolidation / emerging bullish structure. A clear bullish reaction from the Buyer Zone—such as long lower wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or strong impulsive candles—would signal that buyers are still in control. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSDT Long: Demand Support Intact, Next Test at $89,000Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. After a strong bearish impulse, Bitcoin was trading inside a well-defined descending channel, reflecting sustained seller control. This bearish phase ended with a clear breakdown and a sharp reaction from a key pivot low, where buyers stepped in aggressively, marking an important structural shift. From this pivot point, BTC transitioned into a consolidation phase, forming a broad range, which signals balance between buyers and sellers after the impulsive move. Price respected both the upper and lower boundaries of this range multiple times, confirming it as a valid accumulation zone. Eventually, Bitcoin broke below the range briefly, but this move was quickly absorbed by buyers near the Demand Zone around 86,800, leading to a strong recovery and reclaim of structure.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the rising Demand Line, having confirmed a breakout and subsequent retest. Price is gradually moving higher toward the Supply Zone near 89,000, where multiple tests and rejections have already occurred. This area represents a key resistance, with sellers actively defending it, as shown by repeated reactions and failed continuation attempts.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 86,800 Demand Zone and respects the rising demand line, the bias remains bullish and corrective pullbacks are likely to attract buyers. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 89,000 Supply Zone would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, failure to hold demand and a breakdown below the demand line would invalidate the bullish scenario and shift focus back toward range lows. For now, price is compressing between demand and supply, and a decisive move is likely ahead. Manage your risk!
BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update. BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update
BTC is showing strength after holding the $84.6K–$85.8K demand zone multiple times (strong buy interest visible).
Price is now moving higher with short-term bullish momentum.
🔹 Support: 85.8K / 84.6K
🔹 Resistance: 93.5K–94K zone
🔹 Bias: Bullish above support, pullbacks are buy-on-dips
As long as BTC holds above the marked support, upside continuation remains likely.
Risk management is key ⚠️
BTC. New Year, New Confidence. Signal after 266 days!BTC, has left everyone in euphoria last 2025 when it hit another milestone -- hitting a new ATH at 126000. Like with any parabolic high HIGHS; we know what would come after, tame the public excitement and correct -- and a hefty one at that, BTC slashing 36% off its peak touching 80k levels again.
But its all part of the process, and normal cycles come and go. But sometimes, not without a collateral damage, unless you have timed the market with utmost precision.
As we enter a New Year, new reset of confidence comes into play.
Based on recent long term metrics, BTC is creating another higher baseline from the current levels. As per our diagram above, a new bull signal has resurfaced. The last bull signal was from 266 days ago so this re-appearance is very special.
Current price range is conveying some good seeding opportunity from this accumulation zone. I expect solidification of this ascending baseline as we move forward followed by a significant price growth from here on.
The Market hints of generosity as we entered a new season.
Spotted price: 87k.
Mid Target 150k.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
BTCUSDT UPDATE#BTC
UPDATE
BTC Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern
Current Price: 90,000$
Target Price: 104,109.59$
Target % Gain: 15.80%
Technical Analysis: BTC is breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on the 1D chart, indicating bullish potential. The price has recently pushed above the wedge resistance, showing early signs of trend reversal. Volume expansion on the breakout adds confirmation, and the structure suggests a measured move toward the highlighted target zone.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
BTCUSDT | Current targets! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 2H chart of BTCUSDT, it has been going up and down between the IFVG and the Demand Zone, no clear view of how and when it'll make a move.
In a prior analysis, I had mentioned that the bullish target were 88400, 89000 and 90400. BTC reached the first 2 targets but failed to go for the 3rd one.
For the time being, these are the bullish targets for BTC: 88,225, 88700, 89200 and 89700.
Bearish targets: 87,700, 87,250, 86,700 and 86,250.
Bitcoin: a view through the yearly and monthly timeframesHappy New Year, traders and investors!
I wish you profitable trades, confidence in your abilities, calmness, clarity, and steady progress throughout the year — and, of course, good luck.
The new year has begun, and it’s a good moment to look at the yearly and monthly charts to understand where it makes sense to consider assets from an investment perspective.
On both the yearly and monthly timeframes, the buyer initiative remains intact. The yearly initiative is wide, spanning 15,476–126,199. Key yearly levels are 70,837 (50% of the initiative) and 69,000 (the upper boundary of the previous initiative). Below, a buyer zone is formed with its upper boundary at 48,189.
The year 2025 closed on declining volume, indicating a lack of active selling pressure and preserving conditions for a potential renewal of buyer initiative.
On the monthly timeframe, the buyer initiative also remains valid (74,508–126,199). The current price is around 89,256, where a buyer reaction is possible. The next important level below is 74,508.
For long-term positions, it would be reasonable to wait for a price decline and interaction with the yearly levels 70,837–69,000, or even the buyer zone near 48,189. In these areas, it makes sense to look for buy patterns, with targets at 109,608 and a retest of 126,199.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
BTC/USDT - Demand Holding Strong (18.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Market Structure WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT
BTC has formed a clear Double Bottom pattern inside a strong demand / support zone, signaling potential trend exhaustion on the downside. Price respected the support zone multiple times
Momentum is attempting to shift from sellers to buyers. This structure favors a bullish reversal if confirmation holds.
📌 Trade Plan 🟢 Bullish above the support zone
Entry Idea: Buy on pullback / breakout confirmation above trendline
🟢 1st Resistance: 91,900 – 92,000
🟢 2nd Resistance / Target: 94,100 – 94,200
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #DoubleBottom #PriceAction #SupportResistance #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are volatile — always use proper risk management and a stop-loss.
❤️ Support the Work👍 Like if you see the reversal💬 Comment: Bullish or Fakeout? 🔁 Share with your crypto friends
BTC/USDT Structure Holds as Buyers Defend MA Pullbacks🚀 BTC/USDT — Smart Money Bullish Accumulation Play | Swing Trade Setup
📌 Asset
BTC/USDT — Bitcoin vs Tether
Market: Crypto
Trade Type: Swing Trade
🧠 MARKET PLAN — BULLISH STRUCTURE CONFIRMED ✅
Price action shows repeated bearish rejections failing near the 786-period Triangular Moving Average, followed by successful retests and bullish pullbacks.
This behavior signals seller exhaustion and controlled absorption by bulls, a classic smart-money accumulation phase.
Momentum remains constructive as buyers defend pullbacks rather than chasing highs — a healthy bullish condition.
Bullish Limit Layers (Example):
86,000
87,000
88,000
89,000
90,000
Increase or adjust layers based on your own capital allocation and volatility tolerance.
⚡ Execution Rule: Set all limit orders simultaneously across your broker. Let market come to you rather than chasing momentum.
🛑 STOP LOSS - PRESERVATION PROTOCOL
Primary Stop Loss: $85,000 (Below consolidation structure)
Risk Management Notes:
⚠️ Adjust SL based on your account risk tolerance - This is YOUR capital
Suggested ATR(14)-based stop for traders using volatility: Current ATR ≈ $2,400
Dynamic SL: Move stop to break-even at 2R profit (Risk/Reward ratio)
Emergency exit: Close 50% position if price breaks below $84,500 decisively
Important: Your stop loss is YOUR responsibility. Modify based on your risk appetite and account size.
🎯 PROFIT TARGETS - ICHIMOKU RESISTANCE ZONES
Primary Target: $100,000
Rationale: Ichimoku Kijun-sen resistance + Overbought zone confluence
Structure: Former resistance now support - institutional trap zone
Probability: 65% success rate based on 2026 technical consolidation patterns
Secondary Targets:
Target 2: $96,500 (Channel top + Major trendline resistance)
Target 3: $103,000-$105,000 (Pre-ATH distribution zone)
Target 4: $108,000-$112,000 (If institutional flow sustains)
🔴 Overbought Warning: At $98,000+, Ichimoku shows extreme overbought compression. Be prepared for sharp 3-5% retracements before continuation.
Important: Your profit targets are directional guidance ONLY. Take profits at YOUR chosen levels based on your risk-reward strategy. NOT financial advice.
📈 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 📈
Primary Correlation Pairs (Move with BTC ~80-95%):
1. ETH/USDT (Ethereum) - $3,010 | 24h Change: +1.01%
Correlation: 0.87 (Very High)
Key Level: Watch $3,100-$3,200 for strength confirmation
Status: Following BTC structure; if ETH breaks $2,800, BTC weakness likely
2. XRP/USDT (Ripple) - $2.08 | 24h Change: +2.67%
Correlation: 0.72 (Strong)
Critical Support: $2.00 (Make-or-break level)
Insight: XRP showing relative strength - suggests institutional rotation into altcoins beginning
Risk Level: If XRP closes below $1.61, full crypto correction possible
3. SOL/USDT (Solana) - $135.92 | 24h Change: +3.17%
Correlation: 0.79 (High)
Range-bound play: $120-$145 consolidation
Breakout signal: SOL break above $145 suggests BTC momentum building
Altseason indicator: First to move before broader altcoin rally
4. BNB/USDT (Binance Coin) - $899.26 | 24h Change: +1.31%
Correlation: 0.75 (Strong)
Support: $850 | Resistance: $950
Institutional ladder: BNB accumulation often precedes macro rallies
5. SPL (Solana Network Token) - Watch for RWA ecosystem expansion
2026 Prediction: RWA market reaching $1B+ (currently $873M)
Status: Emerging institutional infrastructure play
Divergence Signals to Watch:
If BTC rallies but ETH/XRP fall: Institutional profit-taking coming
If SOL outperforms BTC: Altseason phase likely beginning (not yet confirmed)
If XRP breaks $2.30 decisively: Macro shift toward risk-on environment
📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC DRIVERS - JANUARY 2026
BULLISH FACTORS FOR BTC:
✅ Institutional Demand Acceleration
Spot ETFs purchased 710,777 BTC (network produced 363,047) → Net supply deficit
Major firms: Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Vanguard approved crypto access for retail
Prediction: ETF AUM could exceed $400B by end-2026 (currently $200B+)
✅ Favorable Macro Environment (Q1-Q2 2026)
Fed leadership change potential: Kevin Hassett (favors lower rates) frontrunner for Fed Chair
Quantitative easing likely: QT ending, Fed pivot expected mid-year
Yield curve normalization: Long rates may fall while short rates stabilize (bullish for BTC)
✅ Regulatory Tailwinds
CLARITY Act discussions gaining momentum (Ethereum/Solana ATH scenario)
SEC generic listing standards enabling "ETF-palooza" (100+ crypto ETFs expected in 2026)
Trump administration: Pro-crypto stance signaling (appointees more favorable than prior regime)
✅ Business Cycle Synchronization
Purchasing Managers' Index improving (PMI expansion phase)
Liquidity normalizing as Treasury account balances stabilize
Accelerating business cycle = Risk-on environment = Capital flows to growth/inflation hedges
✅ Long-Term Holder Conviction
LTH distribution pressure declining: Holders not dumping
Whale accumulation: $2.5B+ purchased in 24-hour window
On-chain data: 68.85% supply in profit (transition zone between cycles)
⚠️ HEADWIND FACTORS TO MONITOR:
❌ Near-Term Technical Pressure
Death cross warning: Moving average bearish crossover potential
Price 28% below all-time high ($126,199 Oct 2025)
January FOMC meeting: Potential volatility trigger (historical weakness pattern)
❌ Real Yield Dynamics
Analyst thesis: BTC trending toward $30k IF real yields spike
Risk: If inflation remains sticky + Fed stays hawkish, risk-off rotation possible
Fiscal uncertainty: Q3 2026 likely more volatile (mid-term elections, debt ceiling debates)
❌ Seasonal/Historical Patterns
2025 ended RED (-6% yearly performance) - rare for 4-year cycle
January seasonality: Portfolio rebalancing can trigger 3-5% pullbacks
Previous ATH cycles: Final 30% of rally often compressed into final weeks (distribution risk)
❌ Correlation with Gold/Silver
Precious metals outperforming BTC recently (macro flight-to-safety)
Government debt crisis concerns (US 120%+ debt-to-GDP, Japan 220%+)
If DXY (Dollar Index) rallies past 100, BTC faces headwinds
📅 2026 QUARTERLY OUTLOOK:
Q1 2026 - Mixed/Cautious Sentiment
Analyst Consensus: Mixed outlook with portfolio rebalancing pressures. Key Events: FOMC meetings, January-March volatility. BTC Directional Bias: Range-bound consolidation between $85K-$95K. Institutional accumulation continues but macro headwinds remain.
Q2 2026 - Bullish Breakout Phase
Analyst Consensus: Strong bullish conviction building. Key Events: Fed pivot confirmation expected, ETF inflows resume, regulatory clarity materializes. BTC Directional Bias: Break above $96.5K target zone likely. Momentum shifts toward risk-on environment.
Q3 2026 - Mixed/Corrective Period
Analyst Consensus: Cautious, seasonal weakness patterns emerge. Key Events: Mid-term elections uncertainty, summer doldrums, profit-taking cycles. BTC Directional Bias: Correction period likely, pullback toward $80-85K support zones. Consolidation phase before final Q4 rally.
Q4 2026 - Bullish Year-End Rally
Analyst Consensus: Strong bullish momentum returns. Key Events: Year-end reallocation, institutional bonus period spending, holiday season liquidity surge. BTC Directional Bias: Drive toward $125K+ resistance, potential breakout above ATH into 2027. Final leg of macro bull cycle.
🎲 POSITION MANAGEMENT RULES
Entry Execution: Use limit orders ONLY - don't chase market entries
Scaling: Enter 5% position per layer, never all-in
Take Profits: Sell 20-30% at each target level (pyramid profit-taking)
Trail Stop: Move stop-loss to entry after hitting +2R profit
Time Management: Hold swing trade 5-14 days minimum for layer rebalance
⚡ CRITICAL DISCLAIMERS
🔴 THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Your stop-loss, position size, and profit targets are YOUR responsibility
Only risk capital you can afford to lose completely
Past performance ≠ future results
Cryptocurrency volatility can exceed 20% in 24-hour periods
Institutional accumulation data doesn't guarantee price appreciation
Do Your Own Research (DYOR): Verify all technical levels on your own charts. Cross-reference fundamentals with latest news sources.
🎯 ENGAGEMENT BOOSTERS FOR TRADINGVIEW VIEWERS
✨ Why This Setup Stands Out:
Rare Institutional Setup: Multi-month consolidation with whale accumulation = Low-risk entry
Clear Risk/Reward: $5K risk → $10K+ profit potential (2:1+ ratio)
Layered Entry Method: Professional execution without guesswork
Macro-Aware: Incorporates Fed policy, ETF flows, regulatory catalysts
📊 Share If You:
Believe BTC breaks $100K in Q1-Q2 2026
Are using limit orders to build positions
Want to escape the "HODL only" mentality with active swing trading
🔔 Follow for: Daily technical updates, real-time layer entry alerts, profit target callouts
Bias: Swing Trade Bullish (Medium Probability 65%) | Risk Profile: Intermediate-Advanced Traders Only
Remember: Trading is 90% psychology, 10% execution. Master yourself before mastering the markets. 🧠💪
BTCUSDT (W1)🔍 Market Structure
For many months, the uptrend has been in a channel – clear higher highs and higher lows.
A breakout from the uptrend channel → indicates a change in market structure (BOS) to weekly.
The current move is a correction after a downward impulse, not a new uptrend.
➡️ HTF Bias: BEARISH / Corrective
🧱 Key Levels
🟢 Resistance (now resistance)
98,000 – 100,000 → former support, currently flipping to resistance
109,000 → strong weekly supply / EQ of the previous range
~125,000 → upper band of the old channel (unrealistic without a change in structure)
🔴 Support
85,400 → current reaction zone (local demand)
74,300 → key weekly demand, a very important level
Below: ~68–70k (another HTF zone – not marked, but logical)
📉 Price Action
Strong, impulsive bearish candle + long lower wick → liquidations + panic sell
No strong upward momentum after the rebound → weak demand
Current move = bear flag / bear range
➡️ This does NOT look like the end of the correction.
📊 Volume
High volume on the decline → distribution
Declining volume on the bounce → no real buyers
➡️ Classic pattern: dump → weak bounce → continuation
📈 Indicators
Stochastic RSI (W1)
In the oversold zone, but:
No strong bullish cross + no price impulse
➡️ May grind low for many weeks
CHOP
Falling → market preparing for a bigger move
Direction still more down than up
🧠 Scenarios
🟥 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Rejection 98-100k
Return to 85k
Test 74k
Only then the decision is made: bounce vs. Deeper bear market
🟩 Alternative scenario (less likely)
Weekly close above 100k
Retest of 98k as support
Only then can we consider 109k
❗ Key takeaways
❌ This is not a good time to go long on HTF
❌ The current rebound is a pullback, not a reversal
✅ Shorts only on retests of resistance
✅ Spot DCA only makes sense at 74k ±
#BTC.W Update#BTC.W Update:
As the consolidation period lengthens, the likelihood of a sustained correction decreases.
The 36.21% correction is not significantly different from the previous two corrections, so we also need to be wary of the possibility of the bullish trend continuing from here.
If we can break through and stabilize above the blue resistance zone, then the blue resistance zone will turn into a support zone. At that point, we will upgrade our plan to buy 50% of BTC at the weekly neckline support zone to this support zone.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Buy/Long SignalIf you’ve been following us, you know that we’ve consistently been looking for buy/long opportunities on Bitcoin from lower prices.
Considering a bullish CH, a BOS, and the formation of higher lows, we are looking for buy/long positions around support zones. Overall, conditions for buying/going long on Bitcoin appear stable. If price reaches the entry area, we will enter the trade.
Entry range: 86954
Targets: 90547 _ 94094 _ 97540
Stop: 82787
Levrage: 6X _ 10X
Balance: 5% of capital
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Today - Bitcoin Genesis Day Today, January 3, 2026, marks Bitcoin’s birthday (Bitcoin Genesis Day), as it was on January 3, 2009 that the unknown creator Satoshi Nakamoto mined the Genesis Block (Block 0) of the blockchain network. This is the symbolic launch date of the first decentralized cryptocurrency, which became the foundation of the entire system.
Key points:
Date: January 3, 2009
Event: Mining of the first block (Genesis Block)
Significance: The official start of the Bitcoin network and the foundation of the cryptocurrency revolution
Reward: In this first block, Satoshi Nakamoto received 50 BTC, and the block’s hash contains a headline from The Times newspaper, confirming the time of its creation.
BTCUSDT – Chart Update. BTCUSDT – Chart Update
Price compressing inside an ascending triangle
Higher lows holding → bullish structure intact
Key resistance: 89.5K–90K
Break & hold above = momentum move toward 92K–95K
Support: 87K–86K zone
👉 Patience here. Expansion coming after the breakout.
Not financial advice






















