Big Catalysts Behind Bitcoin’s Pump – Can BTC Hit $110K?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping yesterday as I expected in my previous idea . Let's take a look at the fundamental reasons for Bitcoin .
Why the sudden BTC pump? Here are the 3 BIG catalysts hitting at once:
1-US Government Shutdown officially ending tomorrow (Nov 12)
Senate finally reached a budget deal. Treasury General Account (TGA) will start draining → hundreds of billions in fresh liquidity flooding markets. Same thing that ignited the 2020-2021 bull run.
2-Trump’s “Tariff Dividend”
President promised every American adult at least $2,000 from tariff revenue (potentially $400B+ total). Last time we got $1,200 stimulus checks, BTC went from $7K → $69K. Do the math.
3-Short squeeze + ETF flow reversal
Despite last week’s $1.22B ETF outflows, today we’re seeing fresh bids stacking. Bears who shorted the dip are now fuel for the rocket.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Let's take a look at Bitcoin’s technical analysis on the 1-hour timeframe .
Right now, Bitcoin is trading around a Resistance zone($107,600,980-$106,100) , and it looks like it might be forming a potential ascending channel , though the second top of that channel isn’t confirmed yet.
My expectation is that after a brief pullback to the Support zone($104,840-$103,600) —where there’s also Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($105,311-$104,111) —Bitcoin could start rising again and attempt to break through the Resistance lines. If BTC manages to break above those Resistance lines, then the next target could be around $110,000 .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $99,865-$98,168
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $112,590-$111,459
New CME Gap: $104,565-$104,160
So what do you think? Can Bitcoin push up to $110,000, or will it turn back down again?
Note: These days, the market can be pretty volatile and unpredictable, so always remember to manage your risk and stick to your risk management strategy.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSDT
BTC: Decision Zone Ahead After Double Bottom ReversalHi!
Bitcoin has formed a clean double bottom at the daily support zone, followed by a sharp bullish impulse that also broke the descending trendline. This shift in momentum signals that buyers are regaining control in the short term.
Price is now approaching the Decision Zone, a key supply area where the previous breakdown began. This zone will determine whether the current recovery is just a reaction or the start of a larger bullish continuation.
If buyers manage to break and hold above this zone, the chart opens the door for a broader move toward the 113K region, which aligns with the next major liquidity cluster.
Until that breakout happens, this area remains a potential rejection point, so watching how the price behaves inside the zone is crucial.
Bitcoin Daily Outlook: Support and Resistance in FocusHey Guys,
Looking at Bitcoin on the daily chart, the 105,000 to 98,000 levels are strong support zones. This means that as long as the price does not fall below these levels, a sharp decline in Bitcoin is unlikely.
The price touches these areas, but whales prevent it from breaking lower with strong buying, pushing it back up again.
The 113,000 – 116,000 levels are strong resistance zones.
As long as Bitcoin does not fall below 98,000, my target remains 113,000.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at 105,887. Once my target is reached, I will provide updates.
Every single like I receive from you is my greatest motivation to share these analyses. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.🙏
Bitcoin - This chart is crumbling!⛔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
All the previous cycles on Bitcoin have been lasting about 1,000 days. And exactly three years ago, Bitcoin retested the previous all time high, starting the next bullrun. If we soon see bearish confirmation on Bitcoin, this crypto will lead to another insane bloodbath.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #217👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. The market has finally started an upward move, and the triggers we set yesterday have been activated.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin created a smaller range box between the 10,601 and 10,2489 levels, and after breaking the upper range of the box, the price moved up to the upper boundary of the main box at 10,3855.
📊 Volume increased throughout this move, and the strength of the green candles grew significantly. The 10,3855 resistance was also broken, and with the RSI entering the overbought zone, a sharp upward move began.
⚡️ This upward move continued to 10,6412, and after reaching this level, momentum started to slow down, and RSI exited the overbought zone. The price is now ranging below 10,6412.
📈 Today’s trigger:
The key trigger for Bitcoin today is breaking the 10,6412 level. If this level is broken, the upward move will continue.
✔️ In case of a correction, if the price forms a higher low above 10,3855, the bullish trend will remain intact, and the next upward leg could start.
🔽 For a short position, I don’t think we should pursue it yet. We should wait for the trend to turn bearish again. The confirmation for a bearish trend will come if the price stabilizes below 10,3855.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT – Calm Before the BreakoutThe Bitcoin market is entering a phase of “calm before the dawn.”
After a mild correction around the $105,000 area, BTC continues to maintain a positive market structure, consistently forming higher lows — a clear signal that buyers are still quietly in control.
From a technical perspective , the long-term descending trendline remains the main obstacle . However, the current price action shows visible compression, and every touch of that trendline has been met with strong buying reactions . This often marks the “energy accumulation” stage before price breaks out above $106,000 — a key psychological resistance level .
With the U.S. Dollar Index losing momentum and overall liquidity improving , capital flows are gradually returning to risk assets like Bitcoin. Although ETF inflows and large-wallet activity have temporarily slowed, this more likely reflects short-term caution rather than a sign of major distribution.
Possible Scenario:
If the support area around $101,600 continues to hold, BTC could easily rebound to retest $106,000 — or even extend higher toward $108,000 in the coming week.
A mild bullish bias remains dominant, as long as buyers can protect the current higher-low structure.
BTCUSDT – Holding Steady, Signs of Recovery AheadBitcoin remains stable around $106,000, despite profit-taking pressure from ETF funds. Market optimism surrounding the potential reopening of the U.S. government and a cooling U.S. Dollar Index are providing solid support for overall sentiment.
On the 4H timeframe, price continues to fluctuate within a steady descending channel, with $107,200 acting as a strong resistance zone, while $101,300 serves as a key support level.
Each touch at the channel’s lower boundary has triggered a clear buying reaction, signaling that bulls are quietly defending the lower price range.
The current structure suggests that Bitcoin may experience a mild pullback before rebounding, continuing to move within the channel but with a slightly bullish bias.
As long as the $101,300 level holds firm, the mild upward trend remains intact — representing a typical accumulation phase before a potential breakout from the descending channel in the upcoming sessions.
BTCUSD Faces Resistance – Bearish Momentum PersistsHello everyone! What’s your view on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD current trend?
At the time of writing, BTCUSD is trading around $105,000, showing a slight decline after facing strong rejection near the $106,000–$107,000 resistance zone. The main downtrend line, formed earlier this month, remains a key obstacle that buyers have yet to break through.
Main Trend: Short-term bearish momentum still dominates.
Suggested Strategy: Wait for a retest of the resistance zone and look for potential sell opportunities in line with the downtrend, targeting the $100,000–$99,500 range — provided the trendline remains intact.
From a market sentiment perspective, the bearish tone is supported by the recovery of the U.S. Dollar and Treasury y, while speculative crypto inflows appear to have
In my view, the short-term trend remains bearish — how about you?
💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below, and trade smart!
Next volatility period: Around November 21st
Hello, traders!
Follow us to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is coming to an end.
Currently, the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is showing signs of forming at 110105.69. If it fails to rise above 110105.69, further declines are likely.
Therefore, the key question is whether it can find support around 104463.99-108353.0 and continue its upward trend.
If it fails to rise, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is expected to meet and re-establish the trend.
At this time, the key level is around 89296.25.
-
To break above this key level and continue the uptrend,
the StochRSI, TC (Trend Check), and OBV indicators must show upward trends.
If possible,
- The K indicator on the StochRSI indicator should not have entered the overbought zone.
- The TC (Trend Check) indicator should remain above 0. - The OBV indicator should remain above the High Line.
Therefore, we will determine whether the uptrend can continue by observing the upward movement when the price breaks above the 104463.99-108353.0 range.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
We wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
We will provide more detailed information when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Bitcoin Daily — Correction Gone WavyHey everyone!
The correction in Bitcoin turned out bigger than I expected — it unfolded as a clear three-wave ABC, and wave A itself was a flat ABC.
Right now, I believe the correction has come to an end, and Bitcoin is already hinting at another leg down.
🎯 My downside targets:
• Target 1 — $102,000
• Target 2 — $98,000
• Target 3 — $94,000 (I’m placing Target-3 at $94K, but I don’t rule out a drop to $92K)
❌ Invalidation Zone — $107,100
Also, just to remind — globally I’m still expecting Bitcoin to reach around $83,000.
However, after a drop toward ~$94K, there might be corrective bounce, so BTC can gain some strength before continuing lower.
⚠️ As always — don’t trade without stop-losses!
If you enjoy my daily Bitcoin outlooks and want to see more of my market vision, don’t forget to like, comment, and follow — your feedback means a lot! 💬🔥
Stay tuned for what’s next! 🚀
ANFIBO | BTCUSD - $94.000 or $70.000? [11.6.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's here!
BTCUSD – Technical Outlook
Technical Structure:
Price action currently respects a descending channel, with:
- Upper boundary (resistance): around $106,000 – $107,000
- Lower boundary (support): converging with the D1 trendline and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, located between $94,000 – $95,000
This confluence area at $94,000 – $95,000 will be crucial. It not only represents technical alignment between multiple structures (Trendline + Fibonacci) but also marks the boundary where short-term sentiment could shift from corrective to impulsive.
Trading Strategy:
Our tactical approach remains straightforward and adaptive:
“Trade the trend when touched – reverse the bias if the trend breaks.”
#1 – Rejection at Upper Boundary:
Should BTC retest the 106–107k resistance and fail to break through, short-term sell opportunities may arise targeting the mid-range or lower boundary (95k region).
#2 – Reaction at Lower Boundary:
If price reaches the 94–95k support zone and holds, this area could offer high-probability long entries, particularly if accompanied by bullish divergence or strong volume confirmation.
#3 – Breakdown of Structure:
A clean break below $90,000 would signal structural weakness, exposing BTC to the next major support cluster between $80,000 and $70,000. Such a move would represent a deeper corrective leg in the broader cycle and could reset the market’s medium-term trend.
Trading Plan:
>>> SELL ZONE: (x1000)
ENTRY: 106 - 108
SL: 109
TP: 95
>>> BUY ZONE:(x1000)
ENTRY: 93 - 95
SL: 90
TP: 120
Risk Management:
- Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
- Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals.
- Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions.
- Reassess bias once the channel is clearly broken.
Conclusion:
BTC is currently in a compressed, corrective phase, moving within a defined range. The key battleground lies between $95,000 and $107,000. Traders should remain flexible, respecting both boundaries of the channel and reacting based on breakout confirmations rather than anticipation.
As long as BTC holds above the $94,000 – $95,000 confluence, the broader bullish structure on the daily timeframe remains intact. However, a decisive break below $90,000 would open the door for a larger-scale correction toward the $80,000 - $70,000 zone—where long-term accumulation could once again become attractive.
GOODLUCK GUYS!!!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #216👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. The market has finally started an upward move, and the triggers we set yesterday have been activated.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin created a smaller range box between the 10,601 and 10,2489 levels, and after breaking the upper range of the box, the price moved up to the upper boundary of the main box at 10,3855.
📊 Volume increased throughout this move, and the strength of the green candles grew significantly. The 10,3855 resistance was also broken, and with the RSI entering the overbought zone, a sharp upward move began.
✅ This upward move continued to 10,6412, and after reaching this level, momentum started to slow down, and RSI exited the overbought zone. The price is now ranging below 10,6412.
🚀 Today’s trigger:
The key trigger for Bitcoin today is breaking the 10,6412 level. If this level is broken, the upward move will continue.
🔽 In case of a correction, if the price forms a higher low above 10,3855, the bullish trend will remain intact, and the next upward leg could start.
⚖️ For a short position, I don’t think we should pursue it yet. We should wait for the trend to turn bearish again. The confirmation for a bearish trend will come if the price stabilizes below 10,3855.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT – Retesting Key Levels After Resistance RejectionAs expected, BTC successfully closed above the $100K mark on the daily timeframe and moved up to retest the major resistance zone around $107,500. However, the price faced a clear rejection from this level, confirming that it remains a strong resistance area which Bitcoin must break to resume its upward momentum toward $110K–$112K.
Currently, BTC is showing signs of a potential pullback toward the Daily Order Block (OB) area near $103K–$101K. This zone will be crucial to watch — if the price reacts positively and rebounds, it could signal another push to retest the $107K resistance. On the other hand, a breakdown below this OB may open the door for a deeper retracement toward the $100K zone or even lower, possibly targeting the liquidity around $98K.
For now, BTC remains in a short-term corrective phase within a larger bullish structure. The reaction from the Daily OB zone will likely determine the next major move.
Pips Eruption! Watch CloselyHello dear traders,
In the analysis I shared with you, we expected a bullish move for gold. Gold has beautifully followed the analysis, bringing us a great profit.
Now, we may see a price correction before continuing the path toward the target. Also, we should stay aware of news regarding the Israel conflict.
Follow me for more accurate and insightful analyses.
Pips Eruption! 📈🔥 – Watch Closely
LINK LONG — FROM MATH TO MARKET STRUCTURE: An Extensive AnalysisTraders,
In my latest BINANCE:LINKUSDT analysis I started my thesis with " I BELIEVE THE CRYPTO MARKET IS SETTING UP FOR A BIG, BIG, BIG DUMP! NOT JUST LINK! "
It wasn’t coincidence that I wrote those words in caps lock. The market was whispering louder than usual: not in price, but in data. Every metric pulsed in rhythm, like the heartbeat of a system about to release its tension. The numbers weren’t random; they were poetry in motion, quietly syncing toward one inevitable point. Sometimes, data doesn’t just inform — it sings. And when it does, your fingertips start typing before your mind even realizes what the melody means.
Now we’re back — same chart, same logic, but a different side of the market.
I’m going to analyze it the same way I did before — step by step, math-backed, structure-based, and logic-driven.
Only this time, it’s even more extensive.
For free. For nothing. So that you, the people who actually care to learn, can start to see how markets truly work. How they breathe, trap, rotate, rebalance — and how every candle hides intent.
I believe the BINANCE:LINKUSDT dump might be over — for now, at least — and that the market is slowly starting to build upward momentum. This post is not a quick “looks bullish” statement. It’s a structured walkthrough from mathematical foundation to market structure, liquidity, and order flow, showing why the $20–$21 region might become the next key target before a rotation lower.
Let’s go step by step.
Step 1 – Is There a Mathematical Reason to Say the Current Auction Might Be Finished?
By “auction,” I mean the move from a clear swing high to a clear swing low where sellers were in control. Markets move in auctions — from high to low, then pull back, then extend again. To determine whether a sell auction is finished, we measure how far it has retraced and extended.
After the 10 Oct liquidation event, price printed a clean new high — more valid than the liquidation spike. That’s point A (~20.15). From there, it sold off to point B (~15.70).
So our first auction is:
A → B | Direction: Down
Step 2 – Measuring the Retrace
Since the move was downward, I drew a Fibonacci retracement from A to B (high → low). nThat gives us retracement levels above price on TradingView.
Price retraced almost perfectly to the 0.786 level (~19.23) — not shallow (0.382 or 0.5), not extreme (0.886), but deep enough to classify as a “normal” yet decisive retrace.
That means sellers regained control after a 0.786 pullback, a key ratio in the Fibonacci family.
Step 3 – What Does a 0.786 Retrace Usually Lead To?
Here’s where the Fibonacci logic becomes meaningful. The 0.786 level is derived from the square root of the golden ratio inverse: √(1/φ). Its natural mirror on the other side of price is √(φ), or 1.272.
That’s why 0.786 retraces often project toward 1.272 extensions — the two are mathematically linked. Beyond that, the next probable extensions are 1.414 and 1.618.
So, for a 0.786 retrace, the Fibonacci extension ladder is:
Primary: 1.272
Intermediate: 1.414
Extended: 1.618
Step 4 – Did BINANCE:LINKUSDT Reach One of These Fibonacci Targets?
To check that, we reverse the Fibonacci — draw it from B to A (low → high). That prints the extension levels below the swing low.
Price hit the 1.414 extension almost perfectly before structure began shifting:
Lower lows stopped forming
Higher lows began to appear
Small higher highs emerged on lower timeframes
That’s a structural sign the sellers exhausted their leg — a textbook confirmation that the 1.414 zone completed the auction.
Step 5 – Confirming the Auction
The A → B auction retraced to 0.786, extended to 1.414, and then reversed in structure. This matches the Fibonacci expectation for a completed wave.
If the retrace had been 0.886 instead, we’d likely expect continuation to 1.618 — but since it was 0.786, the 1.414 tap followed by reversal fits perfectly.
✅ 0.786 retrace → 1.272 / 1.414 / 1.618 extension
✅ 1.414 tapped → structure reversed
We can reasonably call this auction finished.
Step 6 – Confluence from the Smaller ABC Swing
After the main leg, the market made a small rally and a lower high — point C. Using the Fibonacci Extension tool (A → B → C), we project this smaller swing.
Interestingly, the ABC projection lands exactly on the same 1.414 zone as the larger A → B measurement. That’s two independent Fibonacci constructions converging on the same price.
From a math perspective, this isn’t coincidence — both patterns use the same ratio family.
It’s proportion — the geometry folding back onto itself.
Nature’s Geometry on a Price Chart
This is where Fibonacci goes beyond numbers. The same proportions that define growth patterns in seashells, tree branches, sunflowers, hurricanes, and galaxies are present in the market’s structure.
Two distinct swings produce the same 1.414 target.That’s natural proportion — mathematical harmony showing up in price behaviour.
It’s not random. It’s geometry repeating itself.
Part 2 – The Structural Context: Liquidity and Value
We’ve identified our Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) using Fibonacci confluence. Now let’s look inside the structure and the market’s underlying “memory.”
We’ll answer three questions:
Where does liquidity sit — which levels might the market hunt next?
What is the order flow showing — is there absorption or continuation?
What do the next extensions project mathematically?
1. Liquidity via TPO (Market Profile)
TPO (Time Price Opportunity) shows how much time price spent at each level. Clusters = acceptance and value. Gaps = imbalance and rejection.
Around $19.00, during TPO periods G, H, N, and O, price built acceptance but didn’t explore higher. That created a weak high — a level that often acts as a magnet for future liquidity hunts.
Another, slightly weaker high sits near $20.00, which is still unfinished.
And as James Bond said, “I never leave loose ends.” Neither does the market.
2. Anchored VWAP Confluence
Anchoring VWAP from the major swing high shows the blue AVWAP aligning almost perfectly with that $20.00 region. That gives strong confluence between volume-weighted value, liquidity, and structure.
3. Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) and Imbalance
Using the Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) from A → B reveals clear low-volume zones — “air pockets” where price moved too fast to build volume.
Between $20.00 and $20.50, there’s a notable LVN, meaning price skipped over it during the selloff.Such zones often act as magnets — the market tends to revisit them to rebalance unfinished business.
Now we have three layers of confluence:
Weak high at $19.00–$20.00
Anchored VWAP aligning with $20.00
LVN pocket at $20.00–$20.50
That defines a clear liquidity and target zone.
Structure and Confluence Summary
PRZ established through Fibonacci symmetry
Structure showing higher lows and early accumulation
Confluence cluster between $20.00 and $20.50, combining:
Weak highs
Low-volume node
Anchored VWAP
Market Profile imbalance
The setup aligns across math, volume, and structure.
Part 4 – Order Flow: What Lies Beneath the Candles
From the outside, price action looks calm — clean candles, defined Fibonacci levels, and structure that seems perfectly balanced. But the real story is hidden underneath, inside the Order Flow.
Every candle represents a battle — between aggression and absorption, buyers and sellers, liquidity and imbalance. Understanding who is winning that battle tells us whether a move is genuine strength or a trap waiting to unwind.
Order Flow allows us to look beneath the surface and see where transactions are actually happening — where volume clusters, where buyers are absorbed, and where sellers are defending. It’s the market’s heartbeat.
The Current Picture
Here’s what we see right now on BINANCE:LINKUSDT :
CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) — across both spot and futures (stablecoin- and coin-margined contracts) — is making lower highs, showing persistent sell aggression.
Yet price itself is not breaking down. Instead, it’s holding steady and even forming higher lows.
Meanwhile, the A/D (Accumulation/Distribution) line is rising, indicating that despite heavy selling pressure, buyers continue to absorb and accumulate.
That means one thing:
aggressive sellers are being absorbed by large passive buyers quietly taking the other side.
Recognizing the Setup
Let’s break down the pattern:
CVD ↓ → sustained sell aggression
OI ↑ → new short positions entering the market
Price ↔ or ↑ slightly → absorption and accumulation taking place
When these three align:
It often signals a short trap forming.
Sellers feel in control because CVD shows selling dominance.
In reality, their aggression is being absorbed by larger passive buyers.
Once that liquidity runs out and buyers stop absorbing, shorts are trapped.
Those trapped shorts must cover — triggering a fast, aggressive short squeeze upward.
Also: CVD on Stablecoin Margined Contracts remains flat while Stablecoin Margined Open Interest rises — showing aggressive shorting being absorbed by larger buyers. Price stability suggests accumulation, not weakness. Since OI stays high, those shorts are still in the game, meaning their positions haven’t been closed yet. If price starts to move up, they’ll be forced to cover — setting up the conditions for a short squeeze.
Absorption in Context
Absorption isn’t random — it’s the footprint of strong hands quietly taking in sell pressure without letting price break down. While most see weakness, they’re actually witnessing controlled accumulation.
Here, price holds steady as CVD trends flat and OI stays high — meaning aggressive shorts are still in the game, being absorbed by larger buyers. Every new short adds fuel to the spring.
When that pressure releases, it doesn’t drift — it snaps. Shorts are forced to cover, triggering a sharp, emotional squeeze toward the next liquidity zone around $20–$20.50, where Fibonacci confluence and a weak high align.
This is where microstructure meets the macro picture — absorption building the base for a violent move higher.
Part 5 – Fibonacci Extension Confirmation
To justify the $20–$21 target mathematically, we apply one more Fibonacci extension —
from the last swing low to the recent high, projected forward.
The 1.618 extension aligns almost perfectly around $20.00, adding strong mathematical confluence to our previously defined liquidity and structure zone.
That makes $20.00–$20.50 a textbook target cluster — a Fibonacci, liquidity, and volume alignment.
Final Outlook – The Path Ahead
Based on all the combined data:
Fibonacci structure shows completion and new expansion potential
Market Profile and VWAP reveal unfinished business around $20–$20.50
Order Flow confirms absorption and hidden accumulation
The 1.618 Fibonacci projection reinforces this level as a natural mathematical destination
I believe the market will squeeze upward toward $20–$21, taking out the weak high and the LVN pocket — and once that liquidity is collected, rotate back down to restore balance.
The setup is mathematically justified, structurally valid, and order-flow supported — a complete picture of how Fibonacci geometry, structure, and liquidity align to reveal where the next phase of this auction may unfold.
If price slips lower instead, the key level to watch is $12.90 — the latest 1.618 extension from the initial wave we measured earlier. That remains the deep liquidity and structural boundary where balance could be restored.
Last words.
Everything we have mapped — Fibonacci structure, confluence, liquidity, and absorption — means nothing without the psychology behind it. The market is not just math and candles; it is a mirror of collective emotion. Every trapped short, every breakout chase, every hesitation is human behaviour written in numbers.
When confidence is at its peak, risk is usually greatest.
When fear dominates, opportunity hides in plain sight.
That is why sentiment often reaches its extreme just before reversals. Most traders only see what is already visible, not what is quietly building beneath the surface.
So next time you scroll through social media or read the news about what everyone expects, remind yourself of this:
When everyone sees the same breakout, the trade was over hours ago.
And the markets whisper long before they speak.
From the depths of the sands,
ThetaNomad
------------------------------------
If you enjoy this kind of analysis, leave a like and drop a comment. I don’t ask for anything — I just want to help more people learn to look behind the charts, to see the story that price and volume quietly write together.
BTC/USD Breakdown Alert — MA Cross & MACD Flash Warning!💰 BTC/USD — “BITCOIN vs U.S. DOLLAR” | Crypto Market Capital Flow Blueprint (Swing Trade)
🧭 Market Overview
The king of crypto 👑, Bitcoin, is showing signs of fatigue at the top. After a solid bull sprint, we’re spotting bearish confirmation on multiple signals — a clean moving average breakout and a MACD divergence to the downside.
Looks like the market’s whispering, “It’s time for a cool-down, mate.” 😏
🎯 Trade Plan (Swing Setup)
Plan: ✅ Bearish plan confirmed — waiting for continuation pressure below structure zones.
Entry Strategy (Thief Layer Method 🕵️♂️):
Using layered limit sell orders — a signature “Thief Strategy” style of scaling in with patience, precision, and a bit of chaos theory.
Sell Limit Layers: 110,000 💸 → 108,000 💸 → 106,000 💸
(You can expand the layer grid as per your risk model.)
Stop Loss: 112,000 — positioned above the previous Higher High (HH) structure.
📝 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending you to stick to my SL. Manage risk your way — you make money, you take money. 💼
Target: 98,000 — based on strong support, oversold confluence, and a potential liquidity trap zone below.
📝 Note: Same rule — take profits where it makes sense for you. The trap is the escape; don’t overstay the party. 🎭
🔍 Technical Confluence Highlights
📉 MA Breakout: Bears gaining control after crossover rejection.
📊 MACD Divergence: Weak momentum confirmed — watch histogram fade.
Structure Check: Market respecting descending trendline — sellers defending upper zone.
🧩 Momentum Flow: Smart money possibly rotating out of BTC into defensive assets.
🌍 Correlated Pairs to Watch
Keep an eye on these related assets for directional cues and correlation strength:
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD (Ethereum) — often mirrors BTC’s moves with higher beta.
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) — rising DXY can pressure BTC.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 (NASDAQ 100) — tech sentiment affects BTC risk appetite.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) — watch if altcoins start outperforming.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #BearishSetup #CryptoTrading #MarketFlow #LayeredEntries #SmartMoney #TradingView #EditorPickCandidate #BTCAnalysis
Bitcoin Recovery Setup: BTC Price Rebound Signal & Trade IdeaHey traders.
Short update for BTC and next movement.
Basically we moving in the bullish flag and according to some signals most-likely we going to see BTC going to the top of this channel.
Few reasons:
1) RSI crossed and confirmed (red circle marked)
2) Recovery of the whole market
Points to watch:
1) Low volumes - seems like we not going to break much this flag range (be careful)
2) Money can flow to altcoins - so BTC going to flat
If you want to trade, set up TP at the price around orange line and follow RM.
Share your insights in the comments
BTCUSDTBTCUSDT price is in the key support zone 100025 - 99036. If the price cannot break through the 98491 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
** Very Risky Trade
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Macro liquidity benefits have taken effectThe US Senate has reached an agreement to end the federal government's "shutdown", extending the funding until January 30th next year. This shutdown had led to a tightening of liquidity in the money market, and with the agreement reached, TGA funds will be gradually released, directly improving the market liquidity environment. As a risk asset sensitive to liquidity, Bitcoin has responded first, breaking through the $106,000 whole number level. The expectation of loose liquidity will continue to provide upward momentum in the future. At the same time, the market expects a higher probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in December, further reducing the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:105000-105500
tp:106000-106500
sl:104000
BTC/USD – Eyes on the Double Bottom ReversalAfter weeks of consolidation and a sharp dip that shook out weak hands, IG:BITCOIN appears to be setting up for its next major leg higher. The 4-hour chart reveals a textbook double bottom formation, a pattern that often marks the end of a correction and the beginning of a fresh uptrend.
The Setup
Following Bitcoin's rejection from the $126K zone in early November, we witnessed a measured retracement that found support near the $98K-$100K level. This crucial support zone has now been tested twice, forming two distinct lows that create the foundation of our double bottom pattern. The neckline, sitting around $104.6K, has been breached with conviction, suggesting buyers have regained control.
What makes this setup particularly compelling is the measured move target. By projecting the formation height from the breakout level, we arrive at a first target around $111.5K—conveniently aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence adds weight to the bullish thesis.
The risk-reward here is attractive. With a stop loss positioned just below the recent swing low at $101K, roughly a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
The Path Forward
If IG:BITCOIN maintains support above the neckline and current price action, the path of least resistance appears to be upward. The measured move projection suggests we could see a structured advance through the $108K-$111K zone in the coming sessions. Beyond the immediate target, the chart hints at even more ambitious levels, with the all-time high region at $126K coming back into focus if momentum continues.
Of course, IG:BITCOIN doesn't move in straight lines. Expect consolidation phases and potential retests of the neckline as support. The key is whether buyers continue to defend the $104K-$105K zone on any pullbacks.
📝 TL;DR
Bitcoin has formed a double bottom pattern after testing $98K-$100K support twice. The neckline breakout at $104.6K targets $111.5K, offering an attractive risk-reward setup. Invalidation occurs below $101K.
---
Invalidation: A sustained break and 4H close below $101K would negate the bullish structure and suggest the correction may extend lower toward the $98K support zone.
---
*Note: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately.*
Bitcoin: Not Dead Yet - Altseason Incoming...All In Before the Explosion: Bitcoin’s Next Leg and the Incoming Altseason Wave
Once again I'm ALL IN on IG:BITCOIN and a few selected ALTS.
Bull market NOT over.
🔥Altseason hasn’t even started warming up and this is not hopium ...
Here’s the raw macro truth the chart is yelling:
INDEX:BTCUSD is sitting cleanly inside the macro demand zone
Still riding the ascending channel that has carried every major leg of this cycle
No top. No breakdown. No weakness.
This is positioning , not exhaustion.
⏱ Cycle Structure:
• Each expansion leg: 14–15 weeks 📈
• Each correction: 16–18 weeks 📉
We’re exiting the correction window (ends Nov 10th🗓️)→ entering the next expansion phase.
📊 What the chart confirms:
• Long-term channel from Jan 2024 still intact → trend pointing to six figures.
• Weekly demand zone acting as controlled re-accumulation , not distribution.
• Clear trigger: break above $126K → macro ignition.
• Weekly RSI sitting on base support ⚫ → same level that preceded every major leg up.
• High-timeframe target for this cycle still $150K–$170K →parabolic to 220k+ 🎯
• Volume profile shows accumulation not distribution 🎯
📝 Scenarios:
1️⃣ Direct Blast-Off 🚀
Demand zone holds → $126K break → new ATH → trend accelerates into $160K–$170K.
2️⃣ Manipulation Flush 🩸
Wick below demand(flash crash to $90k) → mid-channel tap → violent reclaim → same final target.
❌ Invalidation:
Only a weekly close below the channel kills the structure.
Nothing else matters.
✅ Bottom Line:
This bull market isn’t cooling, it’s reloading .
Bitcoin is gearing for its next expansion wave, and alts will follow with the delayed, violent, inevitable altseason.
This next leg is where generational entries pay off or get regretted.
My stake is on IG:BITCOIN where is yours?
Will Bitcoin goes for 14500? WeeklyThis is the last analysis's weekly time frame chart.
Everything is clarified in the chart you can see upgoing and downgoing cycles after every bitcoin halving.
RSI had a downward breakout the red RSI trend line named T1 and pull backed to it in the weekly timeframe where you can see a little red rectangle and arrow there. The continuation of the RSI path is probably like the blue line drawn named R1.
About the BTC price, I am expecting the price to reach 14500 - 19000 dollars until Dec 2022. of course, it can reach that target a few months earlier or late.
Note that before Halving 2024 bitcoin will not have ATH. It means before Apr 2024 bitcoins price will be under the 69000 and even maybe 50000 dollars. After that time the price will go to 120000 dollars.
Do not forget that the trend of the bitcoin and crypto market is still downward and bearish.
You can see my idea about this analysis in a monthly time frame in another published idea on my profile page.






















