BTCUSDT IS JUST ACTING THE WAY IT SHOULD.Most Traders don't understand basic Trading Principles. I have been trading Crypto since 2015- 10 good years but what I have realised is most people get the basics wrong.
I have been asked countless times in the past month that BTC is becoming unpredictable, it's a gamble, it's manipulated.
T he Trendline says it all. Not only for this top, but all the previous tops.
Guys maybe it's time to brush up the basics. I have developed proprietary Algorithms for HFTs, Trading desks that deal with Millions in volume every single day but never have I ever stopped looking at the basics. Price is everything guys.
I am always here for any genuine questions. You can comment or message me.
BTCUSDT
BTCUSDT - Strong Downtrend?On the 8H chart of BTCUSDT, a clear descending channel is visible, with key support and resistance levels at 113,200 USD and 105,200 USD. After failing to break the resistance at 113,200 USD, BTCUSDT continued to decline and is now heading toward the support zone at 105,200 USD. Both the EMA (34) and EMA (89) indicators are showing a bearish signal, with EMA (34) below EMA (89), confirming strong selling pressure.
News Impact:
Recently, concerns about cryptocurrency regulations from major countries, especially the US, have caused BTCUSDT to drop sharply. Additionally, adjustments in global financial markets have also impacted investor sentiment, leading to a sell-off of Bitcoin.
Trading Strategy:
Given the current downtrend, traders may consider opening short positions as the price tests the 113,200 USD level again. The next target for the downtrend is the 105,200 USD support level. Place a stop loss if the price unexpectedly breaks above 113,200 USD.
Technical Analysis for BTC/USDTBased on mathematical and statistical models, along with technical tools such as Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, Bitcoin is currently undergoing a bearish correction after failing to break through the key resistance at $114,046.
🔹 Interaction with Fibonacci Levels
In the previous analysis, we highlighted the importance of Fibonacci retracements in anticipating turning points. Recent price action confirmed this, as Bitcoin repeatedly reacted to these levels. The 61.8% retracement at $112,858 acted as a strong resistance, turning into a supply zone where sellers regained control.
Moreover, price failed to approach the 100% retracement at $114,292, reflecting a clear weakness in bullish momentum at higher levels. After that, Bitcoin broke below the 38.2% retracement at $111,972, triggering a sharper downside move — once again proving the reliability of statistical models in mapping market behavior ahead of time. 📉
🔹 Key Support Levels
$108,832: The first major support, aligning with a previous liquidity zone where price showed strong reactions. 🛡️
$108,353: A stronger support level. If broken, this could lead to a deeper bearish extension toward $107,500 or lower.
🔹 Technical Indicators
The RSI dropped to low levels (41.6 and even near 26.4 at certain points), signaling oversold conditions ⚠️, which may lead to a short-term rebound from the supports.
The 20 & 50 EMAs have crossed bearishly, confirming the downward bias.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
To regain momentum, Bitcoin must reclaim the $111,400 – $111,900 area and then retest the $112,800 (61.8% Fibonacci) level. Only a sustained breakout here would open the way toward the major resistance at $114,046. 🚀
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Failure to stabilize near current levels could push price down to $108,832, followed by $108,353. A breakdown below the latter would likely accelerate bearish momentum significantly.
✅ Conclusion
Bitcoin failed to reach the key resistance at $114,046 and gradually lost strength as it broke through crucial Fibonacci levels. The market is now testing critical supports at $108,832 and $108,353, which will determine whether a rebound is possible or if further downside is ahead. At this stage, caution is essential ⚖️, with close monitoring of liquidity and momentum.
$BTC: -$4000 in 10min – panic or opportunity?Here's our take:
🔹 Historically, such sharp CRYPTOCAP:BTC drops used to cause -20% to -40% crashes in altcoins.
Now, some alts are holding, others correcting mildly, and a few are even rallying.
🔹 In the last 24 hours, $840M was liquidated.
Roughly 80% were long positions.
Historically, reversals often start after $1.1–1.3B in total liquidations.
🔹 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) and Tether Dominance (USDT.D) are forming readable, consistent patterns.
👉 Current thesis: OKX:BTCUSDT will likely continue its movement inside the falling purple channel.
If price reaches $107–108K, we’ll consider closing our short bot to reassess market conditions.
💬 What’s your perspective? Share below.
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
BTC: Major RSI divergence - Next stop around $69K?Bitcoin is showing strong warning signals that the current bull run may be ending. On the weekly chart, we can clearly see a massive RSI bearish divergence, similar to what happened before previous cycle tops.
Today’s BTC options expiry added extra pressure, and with no quick resolution in sight for the Ukraine war, alongside worsening global economic conditions (trade wars, inflation, tightening liquidity), the macro environment does not favor sustained risk-on sentiment.
The chart highlights a likely correction path, with the next major support zone sitting around $64K–69K (previous resistance turned support). If this level breaks, further downside cannot be excluded.
For now, caution is advised – this may mark the end of the bull run and the start of a new accumulation phase.
Bitcoin Breaks Below Support · Altcoins Market UpdateBitcoin is breaking daily right now below EMA89. We are seeing a full red candle with rising bearish volume. Almost $1 Billion worth of LONGs have been liquidated. When this much is liquidated the market tends to turn; but the wick, the low, the flush can go much longer but it can also end tomorrow or today. What to expect?
The next support is MA200 and this level sits around $100,800. Think of this, regardless of what happens short-term, Bitcoin isn't likely to move below $100,000. If Bitcoin ever does move below this level, consider it a very strong buy opportunity. If it goes below, it will recover in a flash.
Before MA200 we have a support level around $105,386. So, current prices, $105,000 and $102,000 to $100,000 are the main levels to watch for.
At the first signal of recovery, buy strong and go LONG. We will try to catch the reversal for this retrace and drop. We will wait for the bigger correction around $155,000 for the SHORT experience. We are not there yet. Too many altcoins at the bottom we will short the bigger picture.
Bitcoin is turning bearish right now but this is still a short-term development. The bearish signals are now confirmed and a close below $111,111 today would imply lower prices. The levels above become relevant.
Thinking of the $124,000 top, a retrace can go between 15% and 30%. A 15% retrace would mean a price of $105,000. A 30% retrace would mean a price of $87,000. While this is possible, this isn't a likely scenario or too early to call it. Support around $100,000 is just too strong. Give Bitcoin and the altcoins market just a few days and it will continue to grow. Patience is key.
Namaste.
Bitcoin 4H Update – Breaking Key Support ZoneBitcoin continues to trade within the descending channel on the 4H chart.
Price has now broken below the 110,400 – 109,150 support area and is testing lower liquidity around 108,200.
🔹 Bearish outlook:
If the breakdown holds, the next targets lie around 107,000 – 105,500, where deeper liquidity zones may provide support.
🔹 Bullish opportunity:
A quick recovery above 109,150 and a retest could trigger a bounce toward 111,500 – 112,300 as short-term relief.
Currently, momentum favors the downside, but traders should watch how price reacts at the 108,200 – 107,000 zone for potential reversal or continuation signals.
BTCUSD Faces Mid-Band Rejection: Deeper Retracement incoming Price is showing rejection around the mid-range of its volatility bands after failing to sustain above the $112,800 zone, suggesting a potential continuation lower. The setup aligns with multiple bearish signals favoring downside momentum.
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Fibonacci Resistance: Price rejected just below the 38.2% retracement level at $114,619, failing to reclaim higher ground.
Lower High Structure: Market continues to print lower highs, reinforcing the short-term bearish trend.
Volatility Band Pressure: Rejection from the mid-band area highlights weakening buy-side momentum and strengthens the case for further downside.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $111,016 (38.2%): First support test within the lower range.
TP2 – $109,903 (61.8%): Deeper retracement target in line with bearish continuation.
TP3 – $108,102 (100%): Full measured move completion toward the lower volatility band.
SL: Placed above $114,620 to invalidate the short thesis in case of bullish breakout.
BTCUSDT Market Analysis UpdateHi everyone, I hope you are doing well and I have put my opinion in Bitcoin price on the chart for you. and hope this helps you! Simple, concise, useful
BTC is still trading within a clear bullish market structure, supported by strong HL formations and trendline confluence. At the moment, my main focus is on the Fair Value Gap (FVG) below current price. I expect BTC to revisit this imbalance before continuing the move upward.
The liquidity pool around 82,490 is also important. Personally, I don’t expect price to sweep that level immediately. However, if it does get taken, in my view it would likely serve as the final liquidity grab before resuming the broader uptrend. This makes 82,490 a key level to watch — either it remains untouched while we push higher, or if price sweeps it, the move could act as fuel for the next bullish leg.
From a higher timeframe perspective, the market remains bullish. The structure is intact, RSI is holding mid-range without major bearish divergence, and trendline support has not been broken. Volume also supports this idea — it’s decreasing and showing divergence, but this doesn’t signal a reversal, only a healthy consolidation while holding the bullish trend.
In summary:
Main target: fill the nearby FVG before continuation.
Key liquidity zone: 82,490 (less likely to be taken now, but if it happens, I consider it the last liquidity grab).
Bias: still bullish, expecting higher levels once short-term imbalances are resolved.
Weekly:
As long as BTC holds its HLs and respect the FVG zone, I continue to look for upside continuation — potentially well beyond current levels.
That’s my current view on BTC. Let me know your opinion below 👇
Best regards
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 6💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
🔭 On the 1H timeframe for Ethereum, we can observe that ETH broke its midline to the downside and moved toward the bottom of the box. With the slightly higher-than-expected U.S. inflation news, Ethereum bounced again from the bottom of its box, and now we need to see whether it can consolidate above the midline or not.
⛏ The key RSI levels are at 50 and 30, and once the oscillation surpasses these thresholds, Ethereum can begin its main move.
💰 The volume and number of red candles increased after the midline break, accompanied by selling pressure. The volume and size of Ethereum’s reversal candles can show us the strength of the rebound and the strength of the box bottom, since the bottom has not been lost yet.
📊 On the 1H ETHBTC chart, we can observe that if the bottom of the 1H box at 0.03972 is lost, more Ethereum will be sold and converted into Bitcoin. This index reflects the relative value between ETH and BTC. Breaking this marked level could serve as a confirmation for a short trade on Ethereum.
💡 The Ethereum alert zones remain the same as before, with the difference that for an early trigger we can consider a break and consolidation above the midline, which is relatively risky.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 26💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, we can observe that BTC was rejected from the alert zone we had previously marked and moved downward. With this rejection, the selling volume and the size of red candles increased slightly. Currently, Bitcoin is sitting at its alert zone, and we need to see whether it will find support here or lose this support and go into a deeper correction.
⚙️ The key RSI levels are 30 and 70. Once the oscillation surpasses these levels, Bitcoin can start its main move and give us a position.
🕯 The size and volume of red candles have increased considerably, and selling pressure is being applied more easily each time. The green reversal candles are smaller compared to the red ones, and sellers’ tickers are consistently pushing the price downward with less resistance.
💵📊 On the 1H Tether Dominance chart ,we can see that Tether Dominance has reacted four times to this resistance zone, and right now we are at the top of Tether Dominance and the bottom of Bitcoin. If Tether Dominance gets rejected from this area, Bitcoin could find support and move upward. However, if this zone is broken with strong whale candles, heavy selling pressure could flow into Bitcoin. Keep in mind that this is a major resistance zone for Tether Dominance and will not be broken easily.
🪙📊 On the 1H Bitcoin Dominance chart ,we observe that at the same time Bitcoin prints green reversal candles and Tether Dominance shows red rejection candles, Bitcoin Dominance itself is forming a green structure. This means Bitcoin’s weight in the market is increasing. Now we need to see whether the market maker supports Bitcoin or not.
🔔 The Bitcoin alert zones are still the same as yesterday. If price reacts with a breakout confirmation, trading setups could form. Keep in mind that it’s the weekend, so avoid taking unusual or overly risky trades.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC in Trouble if THIS Support Breaks !Hello BTC Watchers
The previous update on Bitcoin was on how we may expect the altcoin market to play out during the next few weeks. (Find it here):
Now, if we look at Bitcoin in the weekly timeframe, the price is trading right on top of a KEY support zone. Here, we can either see a dip - marking the start of the bearish cycle OR the price can maintain this level and perhaps even push towards a higher high. This will all depend on the SUPPORT ZONE, and if the weekly candle will close ABOVE or BELOW this zone.
This would be between these zones:
Interestingly enough, we've extended to a full 2.0 on the Fibonacci retracement level. This will be very helpful in determining major bounce zones during the bearish season:
The next week will be vital! Update to follow at the end on the week on the progress of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Chart Update !!Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Chart Update
BTC is trading near $110,000 and respecting a descending trendline. The price is currently consolidating near support with RSI around 40, showing slight weakness.
Immediate Support → $109,456
Long-term Support → $98,376
Immediate Resistance → $112,935
Long-term Resistance → $122,879
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case (Long Setup):
A breakout above $112,935 could open doors to $116,818 → $120,001 → $122,879.
Long entry valid above breakout confirmation, SL below $109,456.
Bearish Case (Short Setup):
Failure to hold $109,456 could drag price down to $105,189 → $102,154 → $98,376.
Short entry valid below $109,456, SL above $112,935.
The market is at a critical decision zone – waiting for a breakout/rejection will give clearer direction.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Aug 29, 2025 - BTCUSDT 4H Chart Analysis
The daily support at 109,820 and the descending trendline on the 4H timeframe are key levels to watch. Bitcoin’s reaction to these zones will be crucial.
A breakdown below this support could signal further downside, which seems more likely considering the previous bearish momentum. However, since Bitcoin has not yet confirmed a trend reversal on the daily timeframe and larger cycles, I prefer not to enter short positions at this stage.
On the other hand, in the mid-cycle, a strong bearish trend is already in place, which means that a trendline breakout alone would not be a reliable confirmation of a reversal. For that reason, I don’t expect to take any position on Bitcoin today. Still, given the bullish leg in Bitcoin dominance, the situation could be different for some altcoins.
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📌 Bullish Scenario Confirmation
For me to consider a bullish reversal, the following conditions are required:
1. Price must not form a lower low below 109,820, and instead bounce from the current area.
2. After breaking the trendline, Bitcoin must establish higher lows (at least on the 1H timeframe) and also break above the 113,150 resistance.
3. During this move, rising volume is needed as confirmation of the reversal.
In the best-case scenario, we could see these developments play out by Sunday.
Bitcoin Eyes $112,000 – Accumulation Phase in PlayBitcoin is maintaining its upward momentum after successfully testing the FVG zones around $111,400–$111,600, which serve as a solid support cushion for the rally. Currently, BTC is approaching the $112,000–$112,500 resistance area, coinciding with the upper Ichimoku cloud boundary and a red FVG, where selling pressure could emerge. Failure to breach this zone may trigger a short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. Trading volumes have weakened recently, but a rise accompanying green candles would increase the likelihood of a strong breakout.
On the news front, interest in cryptocurrencies remains high amid global economic uncertainty, the expansion of DeFi and NFT markets, and cautious US monetary policy alongside inflation concerns. These factors continue to position Bitcoin as a short-term safe-haven asset.
Bitcoin Reclaims Support Zone – Potential Move Toward $117KBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is rebounding from a key dynamic support zone within its descending channel, with price action now testing the mid-range of the EMA cloud structure. This bounce suggests potential short-term upside continuation if momentum holds.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Fibonacci Retracement Support: Price respected the 38.2%–61.8% retracement zone between ~$111,330 and ~$110,218, confirming strong demand.
EMA Cloud Reclaim: Current price action is attempting to reclaim the EMA cluster, signaling improving bullish pressure.
Trend Structure: Short-term higher low forming after the recent sell-off, keeping the possibility of a reversal alive.
Candlestick Reaction: Strong rejection wicks from support levels indicate buyers stepping back in.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – ~$114,442 (38.2% retracement resistance).
TP2 – ~$115,555 (61.8% retracement / mid-supply zone).
TP3 – ~$117,356 (full retracement / key resistance).
🛡️ Stop-Loss: Just below $110,800 (61.8% support breakdown), invalidating the bullish scenario.