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BTCUSDT

BTCUSDT – When the U.S.–China Trade War Fills Bitcoin’s SailsTrade tensions have resurfaced after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese exports. The renewed fear of a trade war has pushed investors toward decentralized assets like gold and Bitcoin as a hedge against uncertainty. While the USD saw a slight uptick, the risk-off sentiment has driven capital into BTC — now viewed as a modern safe-haven asset. On the daily chart, BTC continues to maintain its bullish structure within a broad ascending channel that has been in place since June. After a sharp drop to the $108,000 support zone, strong buying pressure quickly stepped in, forming a long-tailed candle — a clear sign that the bulls are still in control. If the price holds above $110,000, BTC is likely to extend its recovery toward the next major resistance around $128,000 in the coming weeks.
Long
by Octaviuss
BTC/USDT Weekly Chart !!BTC/USDT Weekly Chart Structure: The chart shows a complete market cycle – a deep correction (approximately -85%), followed by a strong recovery and breakout. Current Area: Bitcoin is trading around $114K–$115K, holding above the 111K weekly MA (support). Previous Resistance: The $69K–$71K area (old ATH) has now turned into a strong support zone. Upward Momentum: From the breakout point (~$71K) to the recent high (~$130K), BTC gained approximately +86%, indicating strong bullish momentum. Perspective: As long as the price remains above the $111K MA and does not lose support at $100K, the overall trend will remain bullish, and a retest of $130K–$135K is possible. DYOR | NFA
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSanders9563
This year's target: Around 133889.92 Hello, traders! Follow me to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The price has been rising above the HA-High indicator, forming a step-up trend. You can see that the upward movement of the step-up trend is slowing down. The key question is whether the price can rise above the right Fibonacci level 2.618 (133889.92), which is considered this year's target. If it shows further upward movement, it could rise to around the right Fibonacci level 3 (151018.77). Even so, it must ultimately break above the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range on the 1W chart. Therefore, we need to see if the price can rise above the 116259.91-119086.64 range and maintain its upward momentum. If it fails to rise, it will eventually touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart again. From a long-term perspective, the price must remain above the 69000-73499.86 level to maintain the uptrend. Therefore, we must first confirm support near the first, second, and third levels. - (1D chart) The 116259.91-119086.64 range is the resistance zone on the 1W chart. If the price rises above this range, the 120760.81-124658.54 range, which is the resistance zone on the 1D chart, awaits. Therefore, the 116529.91-124658.54 range should ultimately be considered the resistance zone. To determine whether this range is important, you should examine the movements of auxiliary indicators such as StochRSI, On-By-Signal (OBV), and TC (Trend Check). To break above this important range and continue the uptrend, 1. The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. Ideally, it should not be in the overbought zone. 2. The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line. 3. The TC (Trend Check) indicator should show an upward trend. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level. It's important to meet the above conditions when breaking above the resistance zone of 116529.91-124658.54. If not, there's a high chance of failing to break above the resistance zone. ----------------------------------------------------- The HA-Low and HA-High indicators included in this chart are designed for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts. Therefore, a basic trading strategy can be utilized: buy near the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell near the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range. However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like upward trend. If the price falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like downward trend. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach. We can see that the HA-High to DOM(60) range, i.e., the resistance zone, is likely to form, and then a pullback is likely to occur as it attempts to break above it. Auxiliary indicators (StochRSI, OBV, TC) indicate the strength needed to rise again from a pullback, or a downward trend. Although the 110644.40 level still serves as weak support, the DOM(-60) level has been identified. For the 110644.40 level to function as support, it must hold for at least three days. Therefore, during this period of volatility, we need to monitor whether the DOM (-60) indicator holds at 110644.40 after October 14th (October 13th-15th). This is because if the price fails to break above the resistance zone of 116259.91-124658.54, the 110644.40 level could serve as support. - I believe the bull market is likely to continue until this year. If it rises further, the upward trend could continue through the first quarter of 2026. However, a major bear market is expected in 2026. Therefore, we need to finish the year on a good note. - Thank you for reading. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BTC/USD – Intraday Structure Update (1H)🟠 BTC/USD – Intraday Structure Update (1H) Price has just swept local highs (SWFTH) and is now showing a reaction from the critical resistance zone (CRTH–TS). Current structure suggests a possible short-term pullback before continuation, with key levels marked below: Resistance: 115,016 – 115,532 Support: 113,737 – 114,134 Current Price: 114,670 A sustained move above 115K could open room toward 115.5K+, while rejection from this area could bring 113.7K back into focus. 📊 Watch for liquidity grabs and confirmation wicks before entering any position. 💬 What’s your bias here — continuation or correction? Follow for more. Greetings, MrYounity
VANTAGE:BTCUSDShort
by MrYounity
Bitcoin Faces Sudden Shakeout After Weeks of CalmBitcoin Volatility Returns as Market Momentum Resets Hello Traders, The Bitcoin market experienced a sudden burst of volatility in the recent session, ending a period of relative calm. On the 4H timeframe (Binance), intense selling pressure drove prices from near $117,000 down to roughly $109,000 before stabilizing around the $112K region. The swift decline marked a clear shift in short-term momentum, showing that buyers are beginning to lose dominance as broader market sentiment cools. This pullback unfolded against a backdrop of renewed global uncertainty. A series of trade-related policy headlines reignited risk aversion, while continued strength in the U.S. dollar added additional stress to crypto markets. Institutional flows briefly reversed, signaling reduced confidence in near-term upside potential. The result was a wave of forced liquidations, magnified by leverage, as traders rushed to adjust exposure during the drop. Despite the intensity of the move, market conditions remain structurally healthy. On-chain data shows that long-term holders are largely unmoved, suggesting this phase is more of a short-term repricing than a major cycle reversal. Derivative markets, however, have cooled significantly — open interest has thinned, and funding rates have normalized, indicating a temporary reset in speculative participation. In the coming days, Bitcoin’s behavior will likely depend on liquidity dynamics rather than new macro data. With upcoming U.S. economic reports delayed and the dollar holding firm, volatility may persist as traders respond to headlines and reposition ahead of the next policy developments. For now, the market appears to be in a state of balance after rapid liquidation. Whether this forms a new accumulation base or precedes deeper correction will depend on how quickly momentum returns. The broader sentiment remains cautious but stable — a waiting phase, as the market tests its conviction once more.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
BTC/USDT Wealth Map – Trend Confirmed, Targets in Sight!🚀 BTC/USDT: The Great Crypto Heist! 🤑 Swing/Day Trade Wealth Map Asset: BTC/USDT (Bitcoin vs. Tether) Vibe: Bullish breakout with a cheeky "thief" twist! 😎Strategy: Swing/Day Trade with a layered limit order approach to steal profits from the market! 💰 📊 Market Analysis: The Heist Setup 🐂 Bullish Trend Alert: Bitcoin’s charging out of the accumulation zone like a runaway train! 🚂 📈 Triangular Moving Average (TMA) Breakout: Price smashed through the TMA, confirming a reaccumulation phase. Candles retested the TMA dynamic line, screaming TREND CONFIRMED — bulls are in control! 💪 🕵️‍♂️ Thief Strategy: We’re using a layered limit order approach (aka the "Thief Layering Tactic") to sneak into the market at multiple price levels. This maximizes entries while keeping it slick and stylish! 🗺️ The Heist Plan 🎯 Entry: Pick your spots like a master thief! 🔹 Use layered buy limit orders at: 💸 $115,000 💸 $115,500 💸 $116,000 💸 $116,500 💸 $117,000 🔍 Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite and market conditions! Stack those entries like a pro. 😎 🌟 Alternative: If you’re feeling bold, enter at any price level post-breakout — just keep an eye on momentum! 🛡️ Stop Loss (SL): Set your Thief SL at $114,000 after the breakout for protection. 🔹 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this SL is a suggestion! Adjust it based on your strategy and risk tolerance. Don’t let the market cops catch you off-guard! 🚨 🎯 Take Profit (TP): Watch out for the police barricade (aka strong resistance) at $121,000. This zone may act as an overbought trap, so grab your profits and escape before the market locks you in! 🏃‍♂️ 🔹 Note: Thief OGs, this TP is a guideline. Set your own targets based on your risk-reward preference. Steal the profits and vanish! 💸 🧠 Key Notes for Thief OGs ⚠️ Risk Management: I’m not your financial advisor, so don’t just follow my SL or TP blindly. Tailor your plan to your own risk tolerance and make those profits yours! 🕵️‍♂️ Thief Mindset: The market’s a game of cat and mouse. Stay sharp, adapt, and don’t get greedy — escape with your loot before the traps spring! 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated assets for extra context: 🔹 BINANCE:ETHUSDT : Ethereum often moves in tandem with Bitcoin. A bullish BTC breakout could spark ETH’s own rally. Watch for similar TMA breakouts or retests! 🔹 BINANCE:BNBUSDT : Binance Coin tends to follow BTC’s lead in bullish markets. Check for momentum alignment. 🔹 BINANCE:XRPUSDT : Ripple can show correlated strength, especially if BTC pushes past resistance. Look for breakouts above key levels. 🌟 Correlation Tip: These pairs often mirror BTC’s price action in bullish trends, but always confirm with your own analysis to avoid market traps! 🕸️ ✨ Final Words This is your chance to pull off the ultimate crypto heist with BTC/USDT! Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and let’s make those profits disappear into your wallet! 😜 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #BullishBreakout #TradingView
Long
by The-Thief
BTC: Oscillate and ConsolidateAlthough BTC rose in oscillations today, it encountered resistance near 112,500 and failed to break through after several attempts. This position has gathered a certain number of trapped orders and active sell orders, forming a short - term resistance range. If the bulls can gather enough strength to break through the 112,500 with increased volume, the upward space will be opened, and the price may further challenge the resistance levels of 115,000 or even 120,000. However, due to the sharp decline in the early stage, the market sentiment is still relatively fragile, and investors are generally cautious. From a technical point of view, Bitcoin is likely to continue to oscillate and consolidate in the range of 108,000 - 115,000 today, and the long and short sides compete around key levels.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #194👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s analyze Bitcoin today, the market has calmed down a bit, and we can perform some analysis. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has reached a support level around $109,000 and has shown a reaction to this level. ⭐ After the heavy drop that occurred two days ago, the open interest and market volume have decreased significantly, which clearly indicates that market participants are currently indecisive. ✨ Yesterday, the price reacted to the support zone on Bitcoin, and a significant resistance was created around $112,420, which it has now reached again. 💥 The RSI oscillator has finally moved out of the Oversell zone, and it’s currently below the 50 level. 🧮 Although there’s still fear and a bearish momentum in the market, breaking the $112,420 resistance could be a very risky long trigger. ✔️ Personally, I’m waiting and observing. However, for those who like to open positions every day, breaking this resistance is the only long trigger I can provide. 💡 For a short position, we could enter after the price breaks below the level. I’m passing on this position for now and will wait for a confirmation to search for a short trigger after the price stabilizes below this zone. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
1
Bitcoin Another Bounce Coming?Bitcoin is currently retesting its 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) — a historically significant support zone that has acted as a launchpad for multiple bullish continuations throughout previous markets. Each time BTC has interacted with this moving average since mid-2023, it has managed to rebound strongly, confirming it as a key dynamic support level during this bull phase. 🔶If BTC holds above the 50-week SMA, it may indicate another healthy correction within an ongoing uptrend, potentially setting the stage for the next leg higher. 🔶A clean weekly close below the 50 SMA could suggest a trend weakening and open the door for deeper retracements toward the $90K–$95K region. Cheers Hexa
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades
$BTC - What’s Next for Crypto?In the most recent dump, roughly $19 billion worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated within 24 hours, with around $17 billion coming from longs. Shorts accounted for a much smaller portion. The liquidation cascade tore through the market, forcing positions to close en masse. It wasn’t just a typical sell-off — it was a violent, systemic deleveraging. A complete reset. All that excessive, unstable leverage that had made the market so fragile was flushed out in one brutal move, a classic liquidation flush and rebalance. Now that the dust is finally settling, the big question is: what’s next for crypto? I’m expecting price action to move sideways for a while as the market rebalances. It could take about a month before a new, clear trend starts to emerge. We could see price filling imbalances up to the 114–115k zone, then ping-ponging back down to 108–107k. That said, I’m leaning toward the likelihood of a pullback to around 104k.
by Tealstreet
1
BTC likely scenario is to re-test the 120K USD BTC will likely restest the upper trend line (~120k) while ETH will make a new All time High in coming 2/3 weeks. NOTE: the longer BTC hang 110k range the stronger will be the ALT season. Scenario1: BTC will likely establish itself above 120k (for 2 week) we will se a three week ALT season. Scenario2: If BTC get rejected at 120k ETH will consolidate at 4000-5000 range while other ALT have to wait for ALT season or ALT will rise for momentarily only. BTC: 145,000-170000$ would be a good exit ETH: 8000-14000$ ADA: 7-13$ NOTE: MISAKENLY wrote 20k on chart, Correction it is 120k
Long
by nishathussain
1
BTC: Oscillating to build a bottomOver the weekend, after a sharp decline in the early stage, the Bitcoin price is currently in a shock - bottoming phase. In the early stage, the short - selling force was strong, pushing the price down rapidly. However, over the weekend, the price fluctuation range gradually narrowed, indicating that the strength of the long and short sides tends to be balanced in the competition, and the market is looking for a short - term direction. Although Bitcoin rose in oscillations today, it encountered resistance near 112,500 and failed to break through after several attempts. This position has gathered a certain number of trapped orders and active sell orders, forming a short - term resistance range. If the bulls can gather enough strength to break through the 112,500 with increased volume, the upward space will be opened, and the price may further challenge the resistance levels of 115,000 or even 120,000. However, due to the sharp decline in the early stage, the market sentiment is still relatively fragile, and investors are generally cautious. From a technical point of view, Bitcoin is likely to continue to oscillate and consolidate in the range of 108,000 - 115,000 today, and the long and short sides compete around key levels. Buy 108000 - 110000 TP 113000 - 115000 SL 106000 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – WEEKEND BTCUSD ANALYSISBTC is trading around 111,600, recovering after last week’s sharp correction from 126,000. Price is forming higher lows from 109,500, suggesting a short-term bullish correction while overall structure remains bearish. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Structure (1D): BTC is holding above the 200 EMA / major demand zone (107,700–108,800). Momentum indicators (MACD + RSI) show early recovery — buyers stepping in after the deep retracement. Trend is still bearish, but a clean push above 112,500–113,000 would confirm a short-term CHoCH bullish shift. The Fibonacci retracement (126,000 → 107,200) marks the Golden Zone at 116,600–118,400, still the ideal swing-sell region. Intraday (1H + 15M + 5M): Charts show a clear bullish order block (OB) around 110,200–111,000 and a bearish OB above 112,800–113,200. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain unfilled near 112,400–113,000, likely short-term targets. Market structure: forming Higher Lows (HLs) with momentum building on the MACD and RSI across lower timeframes. Short-term bias: bullish correction until resistance confirms rejection. ⸻ 📌 Breakout Levels to Continue Trend Bullish continuation: • Break above 111,800, retest 111,400–111,600 → upside path 112,400 → 113,200 → 114,000 • If price continues, next resistance aligns at 116,600–118,400 (Golden Zone) Bearish continuation: • Break below 110,200, retest 110,400–110,600 → downside path 109,200 → 108,000 → 106,800 • Clean close below 108,800 confirms daily bearish trend resumption ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Watch No major weekend data. Sunday CME gap (109k–111k) could attract liquidity before Monday’s open. Upcoming U.S. CPI next week will define the next strong directional move in BTC and risk assets. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Monitor Resistance zones: 111,800 / 112,400 / 113,200 / 116,600 / 118,400 Support zones: 110,200 / 109,200 / 108,000 / 107,700 / 106,800 ⸻ ✅ Summary BTC is consolidating inside a bullish order block, with momentum building toward 112.8k–113.2k, where a major bearish OB + FVG confluence exists. A break and retest above 111,800 could extend the recovery to 113k–114k, while failure below 110,200 would reopen the path to 108k–106.8k. Main trend remains bearish, but short-term correction likely continues before sellers regain control near the Golden Zone (116.6k–118.4k). — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team
VANTAGE:BTCUSD
by ELDORADOFX
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Chart Analysis !!Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) The chart shows a sharp correction from the $124,000 resistance zone, followed by a major liquidation event that wiped out: Long positions: $16.81B Short positions: $2.50B This represents one of the most volatile 24-hour periods in recent months — aligning with the Fear & Greed Index drop to Extreme Fear (24). $123,000 – $124,000 Major Resistance Strong supply area — multiple rejections in past rallies. $111,000 – $110,000 Current Support Zone Price is currently consolidating here after the crash. $102,000 – $104,000 Powerful Support Historical accumulation zone — where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. Resistance Rejection At the top of the range ($123,000–$124,000), BTC encountered heavy resistance, triggering large-scale profit-taking and the liquidation of overleveraged long positions. This area has acted as a strong rejection zone several times since August, indicating sellers are defending it aggressively. Breakdown and Liquidations After the breakdown of the descending triangle, cascading liquidations forced a steep drop. This led to a high-volume candle (highlighted area) where: Liquidity was cleared both above and below key support levels. Market sentiment flipped rapidly from Greed → Extreme Fear. This kind of liquidation sweep often signals a short-term capitulation — a flush before possible recovery. Support & Market Structure Price bounced from near $110,000, a previous structure support level. If BTC maintains above $110,000, it may attempt to stabilize and retest mid-range resistance around $115,000–$116,000. However, if price breaks below $110,000, we could see a retest of the $102,000–$104,000 demand zone, which is marked as “Powerful Support” — a key area where long-term buyers might re-enter. DYOR | NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BITCOIN – THE REAL REASON BEHIND THE FALLWhen I started trading someone told me something I’ll never forget: “If you can predict tomorrow’s newspaper headline, you understand the market.” He didn’t mean I should chase news. He meant I should read structure so well that I know what kind of headline the market is already writing, before the mass even see it. And now, looking around online, I see the complete opposite. Everywhere you look, there’s another “confluencer” talking about crypto with big words and zero understanding. People selling dreams, memberships, and indicators, while they don’t even know what open interest or CVD means. I’m not here to sell anything. I’m here to help people actually learn how to read data and see through the noise. Because what most of these so-called experts call “analysis” is just emotional guessing wrapped in confidence. What I called and what happened Last week I posted my “Big Dump” thesis. I said Bitcoin would swing fail above the highs, then drop into the 104K region. That is exactly what happened. Price ran the sweep into 126K, trapped the late buyers, and dumped straight into 104K. People blamed tariffs. The tariff headline was the spark. The fuel was crypto’s own positioning. Why the structure was ready to snap Before the crash, the data told the story clearly. Stablecoin OI went from 257K to 285K contracts (+10.9%). That is new leveraged exposure. Coin-margined OI dropped during the breakout, then rose again near the highs. Shorts were fading strength. Spot CVD stayed flat to slightly negative. Real buyers were missing. The long/short ratio fell from 2.05 to 1.02 even while price kept climbing. That’s what distribution looks like. Buyers on leverage pushing price up while stronger hands sell into them. No real spot demand, just futures exposure. You don’t need a macro event to fall. You only need a reason for those leveraged buyers to stop bidding. Think of it like a crowded elevator. Everyone keeps piling in as it moves up, feeling safe because it hasn’t stopped yet. But the moment one person hesitates, the weight shifts. When the next person panics, the whole thing drops. That’s what happens when a market is driven by leverage instead of conviction. You don’t need bad news, you just need hesitation. Look back at similar events. In May 2021, funding rates were insane, perps overloaded, and spot volume thin. Elon Musk tweeted about Bitcoin’s energy use. That tweet didn’t cause the dump. It just made leveraged longs pause. The bids disappeared and the cascade started. In August 2023, Evergrande headlines hit. Bitcoin was sitting at resistance with flat spot CVD and rising OI. Equities wobbled, crypto longs hesitated, and the structure collapsed within hours. In March 2020, when COVID panic hit, Bitcoin had already been stretched thin. Funding was high, leverage was heavy, and liquidity was weak. The virus didn’t break the market, leverage did. Leverage creates confidence until it doesn’t. Price doesn’t fall because people start selling. It falls because nobody steps in to buy. Headlines decide when the drop starts. Structure decides how far it goes. Why 104K was my first target I didn’t pick 104K out of thin air. That level was built on confluence. 1) AVWAP from the April 7 auction That swing low kicked off with massive volume. When a move starts with that kind of participation, the anchored VWAP becomes a key reference for institutional flow. It represents the average cost of that whole auction, and when extended forward, it acts as a dynamic area where liquidity and algorithms interact. That blue AVWAP line from April has been running right through the 104K region. It’s not that price revisited that auction, it’s that the anchored VWAP from that event still marks the fair value area for that entire move.When price traded back down into that region, it met that same volume-weighted anchor, creating a major confluence zone that algos and larger players watch closely. 2) The June 22 breakout left an LVN A new auction started on June 22 and pushed higher, leaving a Low Volume Node behind. An LVN is a thin zone on the volume profile where the market moved quickly with little trade. Markets often revisit these thin areas later to find balance or test unfinished business. 3) HTF Fibonacci cluster Multiple higher timeframe Fibonacci retracements and extensions overlapped near the same 104K area. When several fib levels align with structure, that’s a strong confluence zone watched by both human traders and algorithms. The 104K region was where the AVWAP line, LVN, and fib cluster all met. That’s not a random target. It’s a structurally defined area where liquidity concentrates and where markets tend to react sharply. And that’s exactly what happened. The spark versus the structure The tariff headline didn’t cause the drop. It triggered it. The structure was already unstable. Leverage was maxed. Spot demand was flat. Funding was positive and rising. When the tariff news hit, traditional markets pulled back and crypto followed instantly. It wasn’t correlation, it was liquidity contagion. Traders managing multiple books de-risk across assets when volatility spikes. That creates a gap in liquidity. When the bids vanish, the market falls into the first real pool of resting orders — in this case, the 104K zone. You saw the same mechanics during the March 2020 crash and the 2021 deleverage. External shocks trigger internal liquidation cascades. That’s why saying “this had nothing to do with crypto is completely wrong. This had everything to do with crypto. It’s like blaming the thunder for breaking a window when the glass was already cracked. Or saying the iceberg sank the Titanic when the captain was already steering through a sea of warnings. Crypto was structurally weak. Leverage was stretched, spot demand was gone, and funding was positive. When the headline hit, it didn’t cause the collapse. It just gave the market permission to do what it was already set up to do — unwind. Crypto is built on leverage. Perpetual futures dominate volume. Stablecoin collateral drives exposure. When external risk events change funding conditions or risk appetite, the crypto market reacts instantly because its structure is fragile by design. Example: When yields spike, the dollar strengthens and funding costs rise. Leveraged longs become more expensive to hold, so traders unwind positions. When equities dump, cross-asset desks reduce risk globally, which pulls liquidity out of crypto perps too. Intermarket correlation always matters. Macro sets the mood. But the speed and violence of crypto moves always come from leverage inside the system. How you can spot it next time Compare Spot CVD vs Stablecoin CVD. If stablecoin CVD rises while spot stays flat or negative, the rally is leverage-driven. Track Open Interest vs Price. Both rising together usually means exposure is building. Confirm with spot flow. Watch the Long/Short ratio. If it drops while price rises, shorts are entering and the move may be getting absorbed. Anchor VWAPs to real pivots like swing lows, breakouts, or liquidation spikes. Those levels attract institutional flow. Study Volume Profiles. LVNs are thin and often retested. HVNs are balance zones that attract price. Map HTF fib clusters for confluence. Reactions are stronger when multiple timeframes agree. Note single prints and thin brackets on TPO or volume profiles. These often act as magnets. When these factors line up, you don’t need to predict headlines. You’ll already most likely know which headline will break the market. TLDR The rally was leverage-driven: Stablecoin OI up 10.9%, Spot CVD flat, Long/Short ratio down from 2.05 to 1.02 The swing fail at 126K was the final liquidity grab 104K was the target due to AVWAP + LVN + HTF fib cluster The tariff headline was the spark, not the cause The crash was caused by leverage and missing spot demand Crypto didn’t fall because of politics. It fell because the market was already begging for an excuse to reset. The data showed it clearly weeks before the drop. If this helped you see the market a little clearer or made you think differently about how price really moves, please leave a like and drop a reaction. It keeps me motivated to keep posting real analysis, not the copy-paste bullshit hype that floods your feed every day. Check the Order Flow Data from 6 October here: ibb.co
Education
by ThetaNomad
58
Bitcoin Breakdown | BPR Rejection Could Trigger Deep Sell-OffHello Billionaires!! We All know that BTCUSD is showing classic Smart Money Distribution after a clean BPR rejection in the premium zone. Price swept the Buy Side Liquidity (TS) and tapped into the BPR, confirming bearish order flow. Now, we’re likely to see a continuation down toward the FVG & OB below 106K–102K, targeting the SSL zone. 📉 Smart Money Storyline: BSL taken ✅ BPR tapped (Premium Delivery) ✅ Bearish continuation setup forming 🔥 Possible drawdown into FVG & OB before new accumulation 💡 If BTC holds below the BPR zone, expect strong downside liquidity runs in the coming days. #BTCUSD #AliyanFX #SmartMoneyConcepts #ICT #PriceAction #Liquidity #BPR #OB #FVG #Forex #TradingViewIdeas #CryptoAnalysis
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by AliyanFX