BTCUSDT
BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are providing favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price ran to all-time highs and faced rejection there.
The close below the all-time high level indicates that price may now seek opposite-side liquidity (buyers).
Historically, Bitcoin often consolidates within a range after running all-time highs, collecting more liquidity before continuing upward.
📌 Game Plan
I expect two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Run the daily swing low and hit the equilibrium of the range at $118,645, then bounce and move up towards $121,750.
2️⃣ Run the 12H swing low and hit the 0.75 level of the max discount range at $116,325, then bounce and move up.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will be watching for a 4H break of structure when either scenario occurs.
📋 Trade Management
Stop-loss: Below the 4H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: TP1 at $121,750 and possible new highs. Targets will be updated depending on structure.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions.
btcusd longest bull market - next dead cross confirm topTill now Longest Bull market based on moving average
- Top - end of bull market
1.price below ma200
2.price below ma400
3.dead cross ma200 below ma400
4.price above ma200
5.price above ma400
6.golden cross ma200 above ma400
-sustainable bull market-
Last biggest bull market was 2016-2017 when almost no future trades were possible and mainly spot buy and sell was dominating the market.
Dead Corss - ma200 crossing and going below ma400 were sing of start of bear market.
But since CME Futures implemented and institutional stepped into trading crypto things get complicated.
Even golden Cross ma200 crossing ma400 and going above it was not bull market but still bear market.
Last Golden cross was in start of 2023 since then there were three fake top signals price going below ma200
The price stays above ma400 already more than 2 and a half years.
Usually bear market is as half of bull market means next bear market would lats more than a year, which would be very dramatic for crypto.
BTC Holding Strong: Fibonacci Levels Point to $130KBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is holding above a key dynamic support zone at the lower boundary of its ascending channel, with current price action signaling a potential continuation to the upside. This long setup is supported by multiple bullish confluences.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Fibonacci Retracement Support: Price respected the 38.2%–61.8% Fib retracement zone between $113,769 and $110,828, confirming a strong demand area.
Trend Structure: Clear higher low formation on the daily chart, maintaining the bullish channel pattern.
EMA Cloud Support: Price remains above the multi-band EMA cloud, showing sustained bullish pressure and trend bias.
Channel Support: Bounce from the ascending channel’s lower trendline, keeping structure intact.
Bullish Candlestick Formation: Daily candle holding above key support with buying pressure evident.
Ideal entry would be between 113k and 114500.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $123,285 (38.2%): Initial resistance and reaction zone.
TP2 – $126,225 (61.8%): Mid-extension target, aligns with prior swing high zone.
TP3 – $130,983 (100%): Full measured move to the channel top.
SL: Placed just below the 61.8% retracement (~$110,800), protecting against a breakdown of the bullish structure.
Bitcoin’s Game Has Changed: Fresh Support Zone, Targets Sky-HighHey Dear Friends,
Until recently, Bitcoin had been stuck in a range between 112,331 and 105,344 for quite some time. But that range has now been clearly broken. So, what does this mean? This zone, which used to act as resistance, is now expected to flip and act as support.
According to my weekly trading model, the long-term target levels I’m tracking for Bitcoin are: 127,818 – 137,000 – 146,000.
Since this is a weekly setup, it might take a while for these targets to play out. Even if we see pullbacks to the 112K, 105K, or even 100K levels, I expect to see strong buying pressure from that zone.
I’ll keep sharing regular updates as this setup develops.
To everyone who’s been supporting and appreciating my work—thank you, truly. Your encouragement means the world to me and keeps me motivated to keep showing up. Much love to all of you—I’m grateful we’re in this journey together.
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.)
I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made)
BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation".
Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are):
- A monthly bearish engulfing candle
- A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market
- Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too
However, there are strong counterarguments.
The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise.
Update on the above chart:
The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario.
Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs.
Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least.
ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS?
You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal.
Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
Bitcoin Dominance · Bitcoin Hits $1,000,000, ETH $200K Bitcoin Dominance is displaying the lowest reading in 8 months, since January 2025.
Bitcoin Dominance is in the worst condition possible in 4 full years. The Bitcoin Dominance Index chart predicts a major bullish cycle across Crypto; Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
This week we have a bearish continuation on BTC.D, which also works as bearish confirmation which reinforces the bearish continuation. The altcoins are already going up, it has been happening for months.
The market has been rising for months; Bitcoin has been rising for years but this isn't all. Seeing BTC.D here we know the bigger portion of the current trend is still to unravel.
The rounded top, a bearish reversal signal, is complete and the neckline, the main pattern support, has been broken. Trading volume continues to be high and the bearish bias strong.
There is more. It is the first time Bitcoin Dominance breaks below EMA55 weekly since June 2022. Coming from a high point, this event happened January 2021, the start of the previous bull market. The same signal again now means the start of the current bull market.
It is already happening, it is already confirmed.
It was the same back in 2021. In January/February 2021 it was already happening and it was already confirmed that Crypto was having a major bull market. Bitcoin was already trading near its previous all-time high. Market conditions are the same. Bitcoin is about to grow 20%. While Bitcoin grows this much, the altcoins will grow between 300 and 600%. Then Bitcoin will take a pause and the altcoins will continue to grow. Ether is likely to go beyond 10K.
Crypto is going up. This is the best possible ever. Your life can forever change.
Take a minute to think.
Stop for a moment. Engage your mind and visualize... What type of results can you produce?
What would you do if you knew with a high level of certainty that Crypto is going up? How would you take advantage of this information? What type of actions are you taking now to maximize profits in this bullish wave?
It is not about being bearish or bullish, it is about adapting to what is happening. Crypto is going up; Are you in or are you out?
Namaste.
Bitcoin's New All-Time High, Corrections & Bear Market DurationFrom the low in December 2018 until the high in November 2021 there is a period of 1064 days. That's how long the last bull market lasted from bottom to top.
The current cycle started November 2022 with the previous bear market bottom. If we project 1064 days into the future this would put us at the week of 20-October 2025.
Bitcoin rose 65% in 98 days. Between 7-April and 14-July.
Mid-August 2025 through 20-October 2025 gives a total of 70 days.
Do you think Bitcoin will stop rising and produce a long-term bear market after 70 days?
The rise between August 2024 and January 2025 lasted 168 days. 133 days with the December 2024 peak.
168 days starting 7-April 2025 would give us a date around 22-September 2025.
The main question is this: How strong is Bitcoin likely to drop after major growth?
The new all-time high and final peak for this cycle can be $180,000 to $200,000, but strong resistance will be faced around $155,000. Seeing for how long Bitcoin has been moving, do you think a strong correction can happen at 155k? Absolutely.
Think of August 2024. Something like this.
Bitcoin keeps on growing and once this level is reached a flash crash, 30% off or maybe even 35% in a flash. Then a long-term recovery and bullish resumption toward 200K and beyond. And it keeps on going, bear markets being nothing more than a correction. No more bear market but mild, strong or weak corrections.
The next target is $137,000 and this is an easy level. Watch out for $155,000. It is a mixed bag, the market will not behave in expected ways. It will be unpredictable on the short-term. You can predict the bigger picture though, it is going up. When in doubt, hold strong (and follow).
Namaste.
Bitcoin Hits a New All-Time High · $200,000 in SightExactly 30 days after the last peak, Bitcoin hits a new all-time high. The entire cryptocurrency market is about to explode and go wild. The altcoins market will blow up because when Bitcoin grows, the entire market follows.
Market conditions are perfect and trading volume is rising today. Bitcoin is doing what is used to do, what it always does and likes to do best, appreciating.
One Bitcoin today is worth $123,500 US Dollars, wow! Amazing.
So much, so fast, amazing growth.
Bitcoin is not only a means of exchange, a store of value but also the backbone of the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin is the infrastructure. It is the base on top of which everything revolves.
The market continues to evolve and many cryptocurrencies are in no way related to Bitcoin, but Bitcoin sets the stage, the sentiment, the pace, the value and the price. Bitcoin is the standard.
We are having a nice week with many classic signals showing up. The week is great but started red, classic. After a small drop the action recovers and see where we are at today. Only higher, moving higher, prices going up.
Prepare for a major rise, this is only the start.
Bitcoin is set to hit a target of $155,000 followed by $209,000.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC | Long Idea – All-Time Highs LoadingBTC | Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are providing favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price formed a 4H demand zone and immediately retested it, showing a strong bullish reaction.
That retest offered a perfect entry, but there’s still potential for another move back to the demand zone before pushing higher.
The 1H swing low liquidity sits in confluence with both the 4H demand zone and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level — a strong triple confluence.
This alignment occurs around the $120,000 level, making it a key watchpoint.
📌 Game Plan
Wait for price to revisit the 4H demand zone.
Look for a sweep of the 1H swing low liquidity.
See the 0.5 Fibonacci level tapped for maximum discount before continuation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Look for a 1H market structure break after price taps the $120,000 confluence zone.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below the 1H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: Direct push towards all-time highs at $123,300.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 10💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe .
👀 After completing its correction, BTC broke the 120,140 zone and consolidated above it, now heading toward higher resistance levels. Increasing buy volume and support from moving averages are observed .
🎮 Fib drawn from the bearish channel breakout to the 122,300 ticker seller zone. The last resistance for ending the correction and forming a new bullish structure was the 0.61 Fib level, which was broken and consolidated above. The next resistance (potential new ATH) is at the 0 Fib level .
⚙️ BTC is approaching the overbought zone on RSI , which could facilitate a stronger push toward resistance and a potential breakout .
👑 Moving Averages:
MAs (medium and low wave cycles) are strongly bullish , showing high momentum .
🕯 Volume & Market Session :
Rising buy volume is noted . We're approaching the New York session, which may bring increased buying pressure. Stay at your system during this session to monitor the chart .
🔔 Set an alert at 122,300 to observe price behavior. This zone offers low-risk trading opportunities , and price action here can guide trade decisions .
🖥 Summary : BTC has broken the key Fibonacci zone, signaling the end of its correction. Taking a long position now may be challenging , but price action at 122,300 can provide a good trading opportunity .
📊 On the 1H timeframe for USDT.D , USDT.D broke the 4.10 zone and is moving downward. The next support is at 3.92 .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC | ALT Season, then BEARISH CYCLE BeginsBitcoin is likely moving in to the beginning of a bearish cycle.
I'm not saying this is immediate, we first need to see altseason - however, if BTC increases it may not go any higher than the last high of $123k. We could easily see the price hover around this zone with a few small increases and decreases for the next few weeks as alts make their respective moves.
I have been talking about the 2021 fractal for a couple of months, where BTC took its time to correct and then made another ATH which was only slightly higher.
We already see a similar pattern playing out in the monthly timeframe if we overlay bars pattern from 2021:
Although Bonce zone 3 may only be in several months, these are the major support zones where BTC could bounce from. Ideal for a swing:
____________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC is Still Bullish (4H)After completing the X wave at the bottom of the chart, it appears that Bitcoin has formed a bullish diamond-shaped diametric pattern and is now at the beginning or middle of wave E within this diametric.
It is expected that, by holding the green-marked zone, the price will soon move toward the next targets.
We have set three targets for wave E, which are marked on the chart.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will nullify this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Smart money levels for $SOLUSDT, don't miss this zoneSolana continues to respect its long-term rising support line, showing strong underlying strength.
After a solid accumulation phase in early 2023 that led to a sharp rally, SOL is now in another accumulation zone just below its all-time high of $296.
A clean breakout from this range could set the stage for a major move into uncharted territory.
DYOR, NFA
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 9💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe after today’s CPI release .
👀 Following the CPI news, Bitcoin broke through key areas — including the descending channel and the $117,000 resistance — and moved higher. It then faced rejection from the previous high, pulling back to around $118,000, which aligns with a multi-timeframe 4H SMA25 bounce. After that, it broke the $119,000 level and is now heading toward its key resistance at $120,000.
🎮 Fibonacci drawn from the current high to the price jump zone shows our current key level at 0.61, which is a relatively strong resistance. Breaking above this Fibonacci level could send BTC toward its current high and potentially lead to a new ATH.
⚙️ On the RSI oscillator, the key level is 70. Entering the overbought zone could push BTC toward its current high.
👑 The 99 MA is forming a strong base below the 0.37 level, while the 25 MA is working to break resistance and push price upward. On the 4H multi-timeframe view, the 0.23 area acts as a rebound zone after touching the 25 MA.
🕯 Volume and trade count are increasing, with solid consolidation above zones where whales have been buying and accumulating. Following today’s CPI results, fresh capital has flowed into risk assets like Bitcoin. This could be highly attractive for other coins, especially BTC pairs that are bullish in these conditions.
🔔 You can set an alert at the $120,000 area to watch price action when it reaches this level. If it matches your setup confirmations, you can open a position. Personally, I have a profitable long position on Ethereum, which is considered a BTC pair.
📊 On the 1H timeframe for USDT.D, we can see that after reacting to 4.20%, it faced a drop, and with a break below 4.10%, BTC could set a new high.
🖥 Summary: Bitcoin is moving toward its $120,000 resistance, where we could consider opening positions. The most important factor will be holding and confirming above this level.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin Dominance · Downtrend Continues (Bullish Bitcoin)The uptrend ended 27-July 2025 with the highest reading on BTC.D since January 2021. Back in January 2021 BTC.D was also bearish, dropping, and this bearish period in this index matched the strongest bullish action ever, the 2021 bull market.
Now, the bearish phase on BTC.D is intensifying. I am bullish on Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
Bitcoin Dominance being bearish does not mean Bitcoin is bearish, it means the altcoins are rising. When the altcoins are rising, Bitcoin is already high and will continue rising.
Two days closed green on BTC.D and today back red. A few days green, many days red. A new low each time, lower low. A lower high shows up each time... This is only the start.
A reading of 60% is nothing to be proud of if you are a bear. The truth is that Bitcoin Dominance being at 60% simply means that the altcoins market has still plenty of room for growth. For example, Ethereum can hit $11,111 and Bitcoin $200,000+. Targets need to be updated because we will have an extraordinary bull market.
» Many pairs have been growing for months, since April.
» Other pairs have been sideways for months, since April.
» While still others continued lower.
Soon, the entire market will move in one rhythm, one flow. And this flow is an up-wave. Rising prices for the long haul. The best scenario possible if you love Crypto. The strongest bullish cycle since 2021. Possibly the strongest ever.
Prepare for higher prices.
» Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is going down.
» Bitcoin and the altcoins are going up.
Namaste.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #151👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into today’s Bitcoin analysis. Earlier today, the highly anticipated U.S. inflation data was released — let’s see how it has impacted Bitcoin.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
Bitcoin continued its correction yesterday, and remained in a corrective phase until today’s U.S. inflation news hit the market.
✔️ The news came out in Bitcoin’s favor, and we are now seeing a bullish engulfing candle on the 4-hour chart with solid volume. If this candle can close with a slightly larger body, it would be a strong signal for a potential continuation of the uptrend.
📊 As long as the price holds above the 116,829 level, I consider Bitcoin’s trend in LWC to be bullish. On the MWC, we are still ranging, and on the HWC, Bitcoin remains bullish.
🔔 Currently, there’s a resistance level at 120,041, which was previously faked out from above. We need to wait for the next tests to identify the precise resistance line.
✨ If this resistance at 120,041 breaks, a long position could be considered. The main trigger for confirming an MWC uptrend would be a breakout above 122,733. However, I recommend aiming to enter on the 120,041 breakout instead, as waiting for 122,733 might be too late — the move would likely be sharp, with no ideal entry candle.
🔽 On the other hand, if the current candle turns into a wick and closes red, Bitcoin could enter a deeper correction toward the 116,829 and 115,364 zones.
💥 If RSI closes below 50, that would give a momentum-based confirmation of bearish conditions, increasing the likelihood of a corrective scenario as selling momentum builds in the market.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSD Long SetupHi everyone.
These two areas are good to set orders. But please consider the risk management for each..
I'll update TPs later..
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Navid Nazarian