Today's trading strategy for Bitcoin is hoped to be helpful to yPotential Positive Factors in the Market (Why the Long Logic Holds)
"Marginal Easing Expectations" in Regulatory Policies, Not Just Suppression
Against the backdrop of tightening global regulation, there are still implicit positive factors from "marginal easing" that provide underlying support for going long:
- Incremental Space from Accelerated Compliance: The G20 requires the implementation of full-process filing for Bitcoin transactions by 2026. While this may seem restrictive, it actually drives the industry from "disorder" to "compliance". After the filing process is completed, institutional funds will no longer need to hold back due to "compliance risks"—instead, they may enter the market in bulk (e.g., compliant funds like Grayscale are already laying the groundwork for post-filing products). The current low level around 108,200 may become a window for institutions to build positions in advance.
- Opportunities from Regional Policy Differentiation: Not all regions are tightening regulations. Southeast Asian countries (such as Singapore and Thailand) have recently relaxed restrictions on Bitcoin ETF issuances. In October, Bitcoin ETFs in the region recorded a net inflow of $320 million, making it one of the few global markets with positive capital inflows. This "regional incremental capital" may gradually spread to the global market, alleviating the pressure of capital outflows.
- Expectation Gap Correction in Regulatory Intensity: The U.S. SEC has initiated 3 additional lawsuits against non-compliant exchanges. Essentially, this is "cleaning up non-compliant platforms" rather than cracking down on the entire industry. Compliant platforms (e.g., Coinbase, Kraken) will instead see increased user and capital concentration as competitors decrease, indirectly driving growth in compliant trading volumes and benefiting long-term industry stability. Currently, market "panic sentiment" towards regulation has been overdone—if there are signs of policy easing in the future, prices are likely to rebound
Today's Bitcoin Trading Strategy
BTC@ buy:107000-108000
pt:109000-110000
sl:105000
BTCUSDT
$BTC – Make-or-Break ZoneA couple of things I want to highlight:
On the weekly chart, price is still at a critical level, retesting the S/R level for the second time.
Technically, if this move was truly impulsive, we shouldn’t be seeing price come back to the breakout area twice. We made a new ATH, but that strong rejection and marginal new high don’t look great.
That said, we could still get a three-tap on the trendline around 105.3k. A quick wick down there would be fine, but if price stalls at that level, that’d start to look a bit concerning.
BTCUSDT 2-Hour Chart Analysis !!BTCUSDT 2-Hour Chart Analysis
This 2-hour chart of Bitcoin/USDT shows the shift in price structure, as well as key technical levels and potential scenarios:
Bitcoin has broken out of a long-standing descending trendline and initially retested this breakout.
The market recently reached the resistance area around $111,000-$112,500, marked by the gray band.
Support:
The previous green box ($102,500-$106,000) remains a key demand area below, where buyers previously emerged.
Resistance:
The gray resistance area of $111,000-$112,500 has caused several rejections, but now the price is consolidating just below it after a breakout attempt.
Higher resistance at $123,000-$124,000 remains a distant target.
Retest and Breakout:
After reclaiming the trendline, the price has returned to test support at the breakout level and the lower trendline. This retest is significant: if bulls defend this area, we could see a new uptrend toward the $112,500 resistance area and possibly even higher, as indicated by the green arrow.
Upside Scenario:
If the price remains above the intersection of the trendline and horizontal support, a rally toward $115,000-$117,000 becomes possible.
Downside Risk:
Failure to hold the breakout level could cause the price to retrace to the green support area below $106,000.
DYOR | NFA
BTC/USDT 4H AnalysisAfter taking out the sell-side liquidity, Bitcoin has shown signs of reversal and filled previous imbalance zones.
Currently, price is reacting from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 110K area after a market structure shift (MSS).
🟢 The bullish scenario suggests that if this FVG holds, BTC could aim for the next buy-side liquidity around 126K as the main target.
🎯 First target: 115K – liquidity area above the short-term high.
🚀 Final target: 126K – buy-side liquidity sweep.
📌 Key zones:
Sell-side liquidity taken ✅
FVG (Potential bullish continuation area)
Buy-side liquidity at 126K
📅 Analysis based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and liquidity flow.
📖 For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Bitcoin - Make it or break itBTC is at a level that will define whether we enter a bear market or a bull market. A Dip to the downside may cause a cascade effect that can take the market lower than expected. However, the majority of the signs in the market structure, momentum, and tradfi suggest that up is to be expected. To get shaken out with the evidence. Watch out for this bullish response if it does not produce something favorable, embrace for impact.
BTC:Continuing to pull back📈Looking at the 4-hour candlestick chart, Bitcoin continued to pull back and decline today. The short-term support level remains in the 107,000-107,500 range, which has provided support multiple times during previous downward movements. If the price breaks below this range, it may further drop to around 105,000. The resistance level is in the 112,000-113,000 range; a breakthrough here is expected to open up more upward space.
📝In the long term, after Bitcoin's fourth halving in April 2024, its daily production dropped from 900 to 450 coins, with the inflation rate falling below 1% for the first time. This has further strengthened its scarcity. Combined with the surge in institutional demand, the supply-demand gap is expected to widen, supporting a long-term upward price trend.
💡However, in the short term, the contradiction between continuous institutional inflows and profit-taking by short-term holders may lead to certain price fluctuations.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 107,000 - 107,500
SL 106,500
TP 108,000 - 109,000 - 110,000
Sell 111,500 - 111,000
SL 112,000
TP 110,000 - 109,000 - 108,000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Correct projection for BTCThe core conclusions of my analysis on Bitcoin today have all been verified by market trends, which can be summarized in three aspects: trend prediction, key level control, and trend logic:
1-Consistency with short-term trends: It was pointed out that "the 4-hour chart continues to pull back, with short-term support in the 107,000-107,500 range". Intraday BTC has continued to fluctuate around this support zone without breaking below the key level, and it was also noted that the resistance level is around 113,000,a breakthrough here is expected to open up more upward space. Today's fluctuations are completely in line with expectations.
2-Support from long-term logic: The long-term upward logic of "strengthened scarcity and expanded institutional demand after the 2024 halving" was reaffirmed. Although short-term fluctuations were affected by profit-taking, it has not deviated from the long-term positive framework.
3-We accurately captured "the restrictive effect of support and resistance levels on prices", with no deviations in judgments on "short-term fluctuation rhythm and long-term trend direction", effectively providing clear range and direction references for trading operations.
Inverse Head & Shoulders on Bitcoin – Breakout or Bull Trap?Right now, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving within its Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) .
Over the past couple of days, it tried twice to break this area but couldn’t. One big reason is that recently, there was news that Japan is considering allowing banks to invest in crypto . Also, yesterday, Trump confirmed he’ll meet with China’s president on October 31st , which the market took as a positive sign that US-China tensions might ease. Previously, the market dropped on news of potential tariffs, and now it’s reacting to the possible easing of those tensions.
In the last 24-48 hours , Bitcoin has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern , which could signal a short-term bullish reversal. However, there are still important resistance levels and cumulative short liquidation areas overhead. We need to see if Bitcoin can break through those.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin still seems to be in a corrective structure, and until it gets above around $116,000 , there’s still a risk of further downside. So we shouldn’t get too excited about the recent 48-hour bounce.
In short, I expect Bitcoin might push up to those Resistance lines , the Resistance zone($114,300-$113,000) , and Cumulative Short Liquidation($115,241-$113,454) , thanks to the inverse head and shoulders, but it could face resistance there and possibly drop again.
Note: It seems that we may see an increase in Bitcoin with the opening of the US market, but because the SPX500 index( SP:SPX ) is in a correction situation, we can expect Bitcoin to fall again.
Note: Crypto market conditions depend on many parameters these days, and be sure to observe capital management.
New CME Gap: $107,690-$107,220
Cumulative Long Liquidation: $107,000-$105,782
Cumulative Short Liquidation: $112,241-$111,398
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #202👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the Bitcoin analysis. The market has dropped again today. Let's review today's entry points together.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin was rejected from the resistance it created at 111645, and with the bearish structure it formed, it made a bearish move after breaking 110213.
💥 The reason I removed the zone is that the price no longer reacts to it, and it seems that a box has formed between 111645 and 106319.
✅ The trigger that the price is currently on is the 107486 zone. Breaking this zone can give us a very risky and short-term short position.
✨ The RSI oscillator is near the Oversell zone, and with stabilization below this zone, there is a higher chance of a more significant bearish move with more momentum.
🔍 However, I can't rely much on momentum oscillators like RSI in these market conditions since there isn't a clear trend, and we don't have significant momentum to analyze the market with.
🧩 In these conditions, I believe the best tool to use is volume. Right now, selling volume is higher in the market, and in this bearish correction, the volume is decreasing. So, by breaking 107486, we can open a short position.
⚡️ If the market forms more structure and a long trigger appears, we can also open a long position after breaking the trigger.
💡 But the main triggers for long are breaking 111645, and for short, it's breaking 106319. The triggers between these two zones are very risky positions, and I won’t open a position with them. I prefer to wait for the main triggers.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC 1H Analysis | Day 6🥳 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 After faking the 111377$ resistance area, Bitcoin ran its stop-hunts and then moved toward its supports. In the process, after breaking the 109383$ support, it headed toward its current support in the 107508$ price area.
🔍 The exhaustion of buyers’ strength and the unusual participation of TakerSeller at the 111377$ price caused selling pressure on Bitcoin, making sellers the winners from that area. Bitcoin is now near its support, and the next resistances are at 109383$ and 111377$. With a break of these zones, it can move further upward.
🧮 On the RSI oscillator, we see that after losing the 50 zone, it moved strongly toward the oversell area and stayed there for a very short time—so short that we can call it a fakeout—and it formed a low near the 30 area. Now, losing the 30 zone and entering Oversell can be a confirmation for more selling pressure. The RSI resistance zone is at 50, and once the oscillation range passes above this zone, long-side momentum increases.
🕯 We’re going to check volume to understand better and get more data. After approaching its resistance, Bitcoin was accompanied by a decrease in buy volume, and subsequently sellers took control of the market; with increasing sell volume, Bitcoin’s price moved downward.
🧠 For a Bitcoin position we have 2 scenarios on the table that, if they occur, we can evaluate a position.
🟢 Long scenario: Break of the 109383$ resistance area and the oscillation limit crossing above the RSI 50 zone, together with increasing buy volume, with maker buyers also participating in this scenario for a price jump.
🔴 Short scenario: Break of the current support along with more selling pressure on Bitcoin, losing the 30 oscillation zone and RSI entering the oversell area.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Chart analysis for Bitcoin. !!Chart analysis for Bitcoin.
A view of Bitcoin, focusing on key technical levels and market structure:
Trend and Price Activity
Downtrend Confirmation:
The price is clearly following a descending trendline. Attempts to break this line near the $111,000-$112,000 resistance level have failed.
Resistance Zone:
The gray area around $111,000-$112,000 represents a supply zone where the price struggled and faced selling pressure.
A very high resistance band exists near $123,000-$124,000 (upper chart), but the price is still well below this level.
Support Zone:
The large green box at $102,000-$106,000 marks a key demand zone, indicating where buyers could step in for a potential reversal or bounce.
DYOR | NFA
BTCUSDT — Decision Zone: Continuation or Major Correction Ahead?Bitcoin’s 2-Day chart (Bitstamp) is now approaching a critical macro zone — the $106,000–$101,000 support block, which acts as the last stronghold for bulls in this current uptrend.
This area represents a confluence of horizontal support and the main ascending trendline that has guided price since late 2024.
If buyers can defend this zone, Bitcoin could still experience one final leg up toward the cycle top.
However, a decisive breakdown below it would confirm the start of a major structural correction.
---
Structure and Pattern
Primary Pattern: Rising Wedge / Ascending Channel
The pattern indicates weakening bullish momentum — each higher high forms with less strength.
Such formations often end with a sharp breakdown once the support line fails.
Key Levels:
Support zone (yellow block): $106K – $101K
→ Confluence of trendline and horizontal support.
Immediate resistance: $116,500
Upper liquidity zone / cycle top target: $126K – $128.5K
---
Bullish Scenario — “The Final Push”
If Bitcoin successfully rebounds from the $106K–$101K zone, it could trigger the last upward wave toward $126K–$128.5K, potentially marking the final phase of this bull cycle.
Bullish Confirmation:
2D candle closes above $110K–$112K
Formation of a reversal pattern (hammer/pin bar) with increasing volume
Momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) start to turn upward
Upside Targets:
Target 1 → $116,500
Target 2 → $126K – $128.5K
Macro Narrative:
A bounce from this zone would likely lead to the final euphoric rally before distribution begins.
---
Bearish Scenario — “Breakdown of the Cycle”
If Bitcoin closes a 2D candle below $101K, the bullish structure will officially break down, confirming the start of a major correction phase.
This would validate the rising wedge pattern and shift momentum entirely to the bears.
Bearish Confirmation:
2D close below $101K
Failed retest around $104K–$106K
Rising selling volume
Downside Targets:
Target 1 → $92,500
Target 2 → $75,500
Macro Narrative:
A breakdown below $101K would mark the end of the bull market and the beginning of the re-accumulation phase below $90K.
---
Conclusion
Bitcoin is standing at its macro decision zone: $106K–$101K.
This range will determine whether we get one final bullish push — or the start of a major correction.
Holding above → potential rally toward $126K–$128K
Losing support → possible drop toward $92K–$75K
The next 2D candle will decide the macro direction of Bitcoin — continuation or collapse.
---
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #RisingWedge #BTCUpdate #BitcoinOutlook #CryptoTrend #MarketStructure #BitcoinChart #BTCOutlook
BTC holds firmly above 110,000Today, BTC exhibited a trend of first declining and then rising.
At the opening, Bitcoin once dipped to 107,466, but subsequently, bulls began to gain momentum, driving the price to recover gradually. It successfully broke through the 110,000 mark and continued to rise.
From the perspective of market sentiment, the Fear & Greed Index is in the "Greed" zone, with the current index standing at 70. This indicates that despite short-term price fluctuations, the market remains optimistic about the overall trend. Such sentiment helps sustain the current consolidation and may provide momentum for a subsequent rally.
In terms of capital flows, on-chain data shows that although the overall capital flow is relatively complex, whales have recorded a significant net inflow in the latest cycle. Their inflow volume reached 207 million BTC, far exceeding the outflow volume of 160 million BTC. This strong buying power is the core driving force behind Bitcoin's ability to gain support at high levels and continue its upward trajectory.
Short-term trend forecast:
In the short term, BTC is likely to consolidate around 110,000. Attention should be paid to the resistance level near 112,000–113,000 on the upside and the support level near 107,500-107,000 on the downside. If it can break through the upper resistance, the price may surge toward the 115,000–118,000 range; if it falls below the lower support, it may drop to 105,000 or even lower.
Trading Strategy:
Buy 108000 - 109000
SL 107000
TP 110000 - 111000 - 112000
Sell 112000 - 111000
SL 113000
TP 110000 - 109000 - 108000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Correct projection for BTCBTC's movement today is fully consistent with our analysis, fluctuating upward within the range of 107,000 to 112,000. In terms of operation, it is necessary to closely follow this fluctuation range, adopt the "high short, low long" strategy, accurately seize the entry timing, and timely take profits when reaching the target level to ensure gains are locked in.
Each time, they said, "Maybe it's over."It's not over this time either, but maybe CRYPTOCAP:BTC is starting again...
Each time, they said, "Maybe it's over."
But each time, Bitcoin found strength in the same demand zone, and the momentum supported this
This time, the place where everyone said "it's over" could be the beginning of a new peak.
BTC Market Update: Bulls Regain ControlBitcoin has stabilized after a sharp corrective phase, forming a consolidation structure around the $111,000 area. Recent sessions indicate that sellers are losing dominance while buyers are quietly re-accumulating within the current range. This type of price action often appears before a potential short-term recovery move.
Market volume remains steady, and the structure shows compression—suggesting liquidity buildup below the current level. If this consolidation sustains without breaking lower, a breakout toward the $115,000–$116,000 region appears likely. A clean move beyond this zone could invite stronger bullish continuation as sidelined traders re-enter.
However, the broader trend remains cautious, as macro conditions and dollar strength could still limit momentum. Short-term traders may look for entries near the range lows with clear invalidation below $108,000. Proper risk management remains essential, targeting gradual exits around mid-range levels and scaling profits near projected resistance zones.
BTC 2026 Outlook - Roadmap Speculation to $300KHello BTC Watchers.
Let's talk about BTC in the Logarithmic view.
I mapped out the date-ranges, as well as how far the price fell logarithmically after each top. You'll see the word "lines" on the chart. This simply indicates the amount of diagonal trendlines it has fallen. By using this pattern-dedicated approach, a commonality is found which may be useful in speculating a future price. Because if not for past history, how else would we speculate on the future?
It's interesting to note that the past 3 ATH's (all time high's) are each lower than the previous if you compare it not to price but to the "lines". Even the fifth high (the one coming next) will be on a lower click-line than the previous, and that estimate is already over 300k. This is a really helpful way to speculate a future high because usually on a regular-view chart, the zone above the ATH is uncharted territory. You could use a Fibonacci trend-based extension, but this is limited to the cycle that you're using for input points. Logarithmic chart + indicators factor in the entire history of the price.
This would mean the new peak could be in 2026 around USD 300k.
It's important to note that this ay not be a straight line up. As you'll see, although the price has been increasing exponentially, there have been periods of hard pullbacks or corrections. These are great times to enter the market, NOT when the price is close to the peak of the curve (in green).
So could it be that this is just another dip in the road towards a new ATH - despite the recent market liquidation?
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #201👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin analysis—its bullish trend seems to have started again, so it’s very important to analyze it well for the new week.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin formed a range box between 106319 and 107301, and by breaking the top of this box, it began an upward move.
📊 After breaking this box, buying volume increased sharply, and after a pullback to this area, the move continued up to 111645.
✔️ Now the price has returned above the 109000 zone, but it still hasn’t managed to hold above this area.
⭐ With a break of 111645, we can confirm that price has stabilized above the 109000 zone.
🔍 In that case, we can enter a long position on the break of 111645; and at the same time, we’ll confirm that the break of 109000 was a fake-out.
💥 The trigger on the RSI is the 74.53 level. With RSI entering Overbought and breaking 74.53, the next bullish leg can begin.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Daily wave countINDEX:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
While many bears topping up, and many bulls are hoping for more, maybe something in between is happening. There are a lot of options at the moment. This is one path which fits well into the timing and structure of the overall view of BTC. The next days/weeks will show which path BTC will take






















