Bitcoin monthly RSI CYCLEEvery time Bitcoin peaked in previous cycles, its monthly RSI exceeded 90. In this cycle, the RSI hasn't surpassed 75, but I expect a breakout through 75 to at least 86 in the coming months.
BTCUSDT
BTC: a Head and shoulders patternHello guys!
As you can see, a Head and shoulders and a divergence formed!
We can expect the price to rise until those two levels that I pointed out!
If the neckline breakout gets a long in retracements!
Chart Analysis: BTCUSD Consolidating at Key Support LevelIn this 1-hour BTCUSD chart, we observe that price is currently respecting a key support zone between $117,500 and $118,000, which has held strongly over the past few sessions. This region has acted as a strong demand zone, with visible buying pressure every time the price dips into it. The chart clearly shows multiple rejections from this zone, indicating that smart money participants are accumulating here.
We also see the Bollinger Bands (20 SMA) tightening around the price. This narrowing of the bands signifies low volatility and a potential expansion move. Such squeezes are often followed by impulsive breakouts or breakdowns, and traders should be alert for a decisive candle close above or below the range to confirm direction.
🧠 Market Structure & Technical Insights:
Support Holding: Price is consolidating above a major support level at $117,500–$118,000, which has been tested multiple times but not broken.
Accumulation Phase: The sideways structure after a previous impulsive move suggests that price is possibly in a re-accumulation phase before another leg up.
Liquidity Above Range: There's a visible liquidity pool above recent highs (~$118,600–$119,000), which could be targeted if bulls take control.
Volatility Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are compressing, showing signs of accumulation. Such patterns typically lead to a breakout move, especially if paired with volume.
Candle Behavior: Long wicks from below the support show aggressive buying interest, rejecting lower prices. This is a bullish signal.
🎯 Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout:
If BTCUSD breaks and closes above the mini resistance near $118,600–$119,000, we may see a quick move toward $120,500 and $122,000.
A breakout backed by volume and momentum would confirm strength and trend continuation.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A break below $117,500 with a strong bearish candle and increased volume would invalidate the bullish bias and may open the downside toward $116,000 and possibly $114,500.
This would indicate failure to hold support, transitioning into a distribution phase.
3. Range-Bound:
Until we get a clear break in either direction, price may continue to range between $117,500 and $118,600. Best approach is to remain patient and wait for breakout confirmation.
📚 Educational Note:
This is a textbook setup for many smart money traders—a compression near a strong support level with low volatility. Such patterns reflect market indecision, but also the potential energy build-up for a significant move. Traders should focus on risk management and confirmation instead of predicting direction blindly.
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $117,500
Resistance: $118,600 – $119,000
Breakout Target: $120,500 – $122,000
Breakdown Target: $116,000 – $114,500
BTCUSD MMC Analysis - Breakout Confirmation + Reversal + TargetWelcome back to another deep-dive analysis powered by MMC (Mirror Market Concepts), where precision meets market psychology. In today’s BTCUSD setup, we’re observing a textbook confluence of structural breakouts, demand rejections, and liquidity zone engagements. Let’s break it down step by step.
📊 1. Market Context & Background
The market recently showed a prolonged bearish trendline structure, with lower highs compressing price into a wedge. The prior days have been consolidative, hinting at an accumulation phase. This forms the foundation for reversal setups we often identify in MMC-style analysis — where liquidity, not just structure, determines the next move.
🔍 2. Demand Zone Dominance – 2x Tap Confirmation
At the bottom of the chart, BTC created a strong 2x Demand Zone (117,250–118,000 area), a region where buyers aggressively stepped in. This zone had already been tested once, and the second tap confirmed demand strength — a key MMC signal.
This dual-tap created a spring effect, launching price upward and rejecting all downside liquidity grabs. It also showed clear absorption of sell-side volume.
📈 3. QFL Behavior + Break of Structure
We see a QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) reaction just after price bounced from demand — this is a behavior unique to MMC models. Here, price flipped structure rapidly after breaking a local high near 118,500, suggesting aggressive buyer entry.
This QFL event served as the first warning for a major trend shift.
Right after that, we got a major BOS (Break of Structure) above 119,250, further confirming the bullish transition.
🪜 4. Trendline Breakout – Second Confirmation
The descending trendline — connecting several swing highs — was breached with strong bullish momentum. Importantly, this was the second confirmation breakout, not just a fakeout spike.
The breakout candle closed strongly above the trendline and above the SR channel zone (gray area), confirming trend reversal intent.
This aligns with MMC's multi-stage breakout logic, where price gives one trap, pulls back, and then breaks cleanly with intent.
🛡 5. Channel SR Interchange Zone (Support-Resistance Flip)
The gray horizontal SR Channel played a crucial role. Initially acting as resistance, it became support once the breakout was confirmed.
This interchange behavior — a principle where support turns into resistance or vice versa — is critical in MMC. Price flipping this zone and holding above is a strong continuation signal.
🧠 6. Targeting & Forward Outlook
Price is now approaching the Mini Reversal Zone (119,750–120,250). This is a low-timeframe liquidity zone where short-term traders may take profits or where institutional orders may reverse temporarily.
Here are two potential scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: If price pulls back slightly and holds the channel SR as support, we may see a continued leg upward, breaking above 120,250.
Temporary Rejection: A sharp reaction from the Mini Reversal Zone could lead to a retracement into the Central Zone (~118,800), where buyers might reload.
📌 Key MMC Takeaways:
✅ 2x Demand Zone reaction confirmed bullish interest.
✅ QFL + BOS + Trendline Break = High-conviction reversal signal.
✅ SR Flip adds MMC-style structural layering.
✅ Price is now navigating final supply zones before expansion.
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📢 We don’t just trade levels — we trade behavior.
#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025
Bitcoin isn’t moving in a textbook symmetrical triangle, but it’s trading in a similar, tight range, mostly bouncing around the highlighted box area in the chart. It’s attempting a new impulsive leg, but $120,000 remains a key resistance level, having rejected price several times already.
As long as $116,500 holds, there's no major risk for Long bias. However, considering the triangle-like structure, the short-term upside is limited to about 2% for now.
A breakout above the upper edge of this structure, particularly if $123,200 is broken with strong volume — would justify a Long position. Until then, I don’t plan on entering any trades.
The last corrective move has completed, and my next major upside target is $127,900. If further correction occurs, watch for potential support around $115,000, $113,000, and the strong base at $112,000 — though I don’t expect price to fall that low.
BTC ~ 125K when?BTC made this strong hold the green box, Please keep in mind this if it holds, goes straight up and we plan shorts on the top as scalps!
#Bitcoin LTF update #Bitcoin LTF update
After making a high of $123,300, it dropped a bit and made short-term support at $117,000, and currently it is holding at this level.
But it is not strong enough to hold, we will retest the lower level.
IMO, we can see a retest up to $113,000 level approximately.
Where we have 0.382 golden fibre level, which is also aligning with some more important indicators, and most importantly, we have good numbers of liquidation at that level.
If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more!
DYOR, NFA
Support around 115854.56-116868.0 is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The DOM(60) indicator of the 1W chart is generated at the 119177.56 point, and the DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart is generated at the 119086.64 point, and then shows a downward trend.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the 115854.56 point, it is difficult to say that it has yet turned into a downward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it is supported in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 25 (July 24-26).
However, the important volatility period is expected to be around August 2-5 (maximum August 1-6), so we need to look at what kind of movement it shows as it passes through the volatility period that will occur in the future.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, there is a possibility that the decline will be restricted.
Therefore, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0.
This is because if it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Also, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising around 115854.56, it can be seen as an important zone.
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An indicator called Trend Check has been added to the OBV indicator.
This indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the StochRSI, PVT-MACD oscillator, and OBV indicators and expresses them in a column.
Accordingly, if the TC indicator rises from the 0 point, it can be interpreted that the buying force is dominant, and if it falls, the selling force is dominant.
Therefore, if it rises above 0, it is likely to show an upward trend, and if it falls below 0, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Also, if the TC indicator touches the highest point (6) or lowest point (-6), there is a high possibility that the trend will reverse, so you should think about a response plan for this.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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ETH Weekly Recap & Game Plan 20/07/2025📈 ETH Weekly Recap & Game Plan
🧠 Fundamentals & Sentiment
Market Context:
ETH continues its bullish momentum, driven by institutional demand and a supportive U.S. policy environment.
We captured strong profits by sticking to the plan (see chart below).
🔍 Technical Analysis
✅ Price has run into HTF liquidity at $3,750
📊 Daily RSI has entered the overbought zone, signaling potential short-term exhaustion.
We may see a brief retracement or LTF liquidity grabs, which could be enough to fuel a further push higher — potentially to $4,087.
🧭 Game Plan
I’m watching two key downside liquidity levels:
$3,534 (black line)
$3,464
A sweep of either could provide the liquidity needed for continuation toward $4,087.
⚠️ I’ll wait for LTF confirmation before entering a position.
📌 Follow for Weekly Recaps & Game Plans
If you find this analysis helpful, follow me for weekly ETH updates, smart money insights, and trade setups based on structure + liquidity.
**BTC/USDT Monthly Analysis: Navigating Key Resistance****Overview:**
On the monthly timeframe, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting significant strength as it approaches a pivotal historical resistance zone. This multi-year resistance, ranging approximately from **$115,000 to $120,000**, represents a critical inflection point for the asset.
**Key Observations:**
1. **Historical Resistance Test:** The current price action sees BTC challenging a formidable resistance level that has previously acted as a major ceiling. A decisive breakout above this zone, supported by strong volume, would signal a continuation of the bullish trend towards new all-time highs.
2. **RSI Bearish Divergence:** A notable observation on the Monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is the presence of **bearish divergence**. While price has made higher highs, the RSI has printed lower highs, indicating a potential weakening in bullish momentum. This divergence suggests that the current upward move might be losing steam and could precede a healthy price correction or consolidation phase. This is a crucial cautionary signal for long-term holders and potential new entrants.
**Outlook:**
The bullish macro trend for Bitcoin remains intact, yet the confluence of strong historical resistance and a developing bearish divergence on the monthly RSI warrants caution. Traders should closely monitor for a clear break and sustained close above the $120,000 level to confirm further upside. Conversely, a rejection from this resistance zone could lead to a significant retracement to key support levels.
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
**M. Kiani**
```ش
BTC Weekly Recap & Outlook 20/07/2025📈 BTC Weekly Recap & Outlook
Market Context:
Price continued its bullish momentum, fueled by institutional demand and supportive U.S. policy outlook.
We captured solid profits by following the game plan I shared earlier (see linked chart below).
🔍 Technical Analysis
✅ BTC made a strong bullish move, breaking into new all-time highs.
📊 The daily RSI entered overbought territory, which signaled the potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation.
Currently, price is ranging, and RSI is cooling off. That tells me the market is likely building energy for the next leg up — but not before a significant liquidity run.
🎯 Game Plan
I'm watching for one of two potential setups:
1️⃣ Liquidity Sweep to the Downside
- A run of the daily swing low
- Into the most discounted range (0.75 Fib zone)
OR
2️⃣ Tap into the Weekly FVG Zone (marked with the purple line)
Either move would create the liquidity and energy needed to fuel a breakout above the equal highs (EQHs) marked by the black line.
🚀 Target
First Target: EQHs (Black Line)
Second Target: Price Discovery (new ATHs)
💬 Let me know your thoughts or drop your own chart ideas below!
📌 Follow for Weekly Recaps & Game Plans
If you found this useful, make sure to follow for weekly BTC updates, market outlooks, and detailed trade plans based on structure and liquidity.
BTC Bull & Bear historical Periods 3 Bull & Bear Markets
Bull markets took around 152 weeks...
then
V
v
v
v
v
Bear Markets took around 52-59 weeks..
then
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
Bull Market gain...
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
After 2021 ATH
BTC recorded his current bottom after 52 weeks ( 15500 $).
BTC pumped after 59 weeks .
then what ?
Will the history will repeat itself again ??
if we will be alive inshallah ,we will see the next 152 weeks to ( October - November 2025 ) if this will be the New ATH of the next bull market or not :D
It is not a financial advice , PLZ DYOR
BTC Forming Bullish Triangle!Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle pattern after a strong bullish rally. The price is approaching the apex of the triangle, signaling a potential breakout soon.
The 50 EMA is acting as dynamic support, perfectly aligned with the triangle’s lower trendline, reinforcing the bullish structure.
A confirmed breakout above the triangle resistance could trigger a strong upward move, with a potential target near the $125,000–$130,000 zone.
Cheers
Hexa
BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC
LITCOIN BUY OR SELL !!!Hello friends🙌
🔊According to the price drop, you can see that the price has been below the specified resistance for a while and when it was able to break the resistance, it shows us the power of the buyers. Now, when we return to the previous resistance, which has now become a support, you can see that the buyers are providing good support and the price is expected to move to the specified targets.
Note that the most important rule in trading is capital and risk management So make sure to follow it.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
BTC daily, and 4 hr. Bullish Patterns Stack Up!Looking at the Daily and 4-hour charts for BTC, we can see multiple bullish formations unfolding.
An inverse head and shoulders - daily
A cup and handle - daily
An ascending triangle - daily
Price action looks strong, as we’ve begun the breakout from the neckline on the inverse H&S, as well as the cup and handle and ascending triangle simultaneously, and momentum is building fast.
Also, on the 4-hour chart, there’s a pretty substantial bull pennant taking shape. A breakout here could be the next leg up, and the push needed to keep momentum alive.
Zooming out, when we apply the trend-based Fibonacci extension, it reveals a $131,000 golden pocket, on both the the daily as well as the 4 hr. And that could be a major upside target if these bullish structures hold.
Stay tuned to see if BTC continues its move and sets a new all-time high.
BTCUSDBTCUSD needs some more correction before we continue the same trend.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Entering Green Markets or Getting Close to Liquidation?They told you it’s a green market, time to buy... but something’s off.
Most major losses begin with a green candle, not a red one!
Before jumping in, ask yourself: why does everything suddenly look so clear?
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Strong volume confirming daily trendline and Fibonacci support signals a potential 8% upside, with a key target near $128,000 📈. This confluence could offer a solid entry opportunity for BINANCE:BTCUSDT traders 🧭.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
📉 Green Doesn’t Always Mean Safe
Many traders jump into green candles, feeling they’re missing out. But most pumps end where excitement begins. The market isn’t always bullish it’s often just using collective emotion against you.
🧠 They’re Targeting Your Mind, Not Just Your Capital
Whales don’t need your money they need your mind first. The moment you think you're "too late" and must enter now, is often when they’re selling.
💡 You’re Fueling Their Profits, Not Your Trade
Those who bought early are waiting for someone like you. If you enter now, you're not beating the market you’re just helping others close in profit.
🔍 Why Most Liquidations Happen After Green Moves
Contrary to belief, major liquidations often come after green runs. That’s when confidence is high, stops are forgotten, and greed kicks in perfect timing for a rug-pull.
📊 History Doesn’t Repeat It Rhymes (Loudly)
Go back and look at Bitcoin’s chart since 2017. Nearly every major drop followed a smooth-looking pump. It’s not a warning. It’s a recurring pattern.
🎯 Hidden TradingView Tools for Spotting Green Traps
The market looks bullish. But the truth is, many pumps are just emotional traps built to bait late entries. TradingView has tools that, if used right, help you spot these traps before you step into them:
✅ Volume Profile (Fixed Range):
Use this to identify where the most trading volume occurred. If price rises on weak volume, be suspicious. It could be a fakeout or engineered pump by whales.
✅ RSI + Manual Divergence Drawing:
RSI seems simple, but traps often hide when RSI climbs while price action lags. TradingView allows manual drawing spot bearish divergence before the fall.
✅ On-Balance Volume (OBV):
If price is rising and OBV is flat or falling, warning lights should flash. A rally without money inflow is often a visual illusion.
✅ Session Volume HD (from Public Library):
See when most liquidity enters. Many fake bullish moves happen during the Asia session when volume is low and price is easier to manipulate.
✅ Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
If you're looking at the 15-min chart while the 4-hour sits in resistance, you may just be playing into a bull trap. Cross-reference your timeframes.
🧭 How to Avoid the Green Traps
Watch volume, not just candle color
Wait for level confirmations, not hype
Use TradingView’s combo indicators
Always ask: who profits if I enter right now?
✅ Final Thoughts
Not every green candle is hope sometimes it’s bait. The market is after your emotions, not your charts. Step back, zoom out, and use the right tools before you act.
✨ Need a little love!
We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋
📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
Bitcoin is still bullish (4H)Bitcoin appears to be in a dual bullish structure, currently in the second bullish phase following wave X.
Considering the expansive nature of the correction in the second pattern, it seems we are within an expanding triangle or a diametric structure.
Based on the duration of wave C, it appears that the bullish wave of the second structure is not yet complete.
We expect such fluctuations for Bitcoin in the coming period.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Still btc bullish
Don't predict just move according to market
Manage your risk before go to trade
Flag pattern also confirming market still continue up
Strong resistance level looking for break if it broken market make new higher high TP 75 to 82
WILL POPCAT HAVE A NEW WHALE VOLUME?POPCAT seems interesting then never before, even with the last correction, are we going to see a new increase round by POPCAT? The time will show, the interest is here.
If this coin is able to make new confirmations, the updates will be below.
$BTC - Weekend LTF SetupCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 2h
Possible LTF setup:
We got the 2h swing point retest. If base support holds, I’m looking for a potential move back to 119k — possibly even a gap fill to 119.7k before taking out the local lows.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Concept (SMC) BreakdownBTCUSD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Concept (SMC) Breakdown
🧠 Smart Money Market Structure Insight
📌 Key Elements Identified:
BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS points indicate bullish intent early on. However, the latest BOS on July 14 followed by a significant drop signals a shift in momentum—possibly a distribution phase.
Liquidity Sweep: Price swept prior equal lows/liquidity before reversing, a typical Smart Money trap setup.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) / Imbalance: Identified around the mid-section of the chart—price filled partially but failed to hold, suggesting internal weakness.
Strong Support Zone (Demand Area): Marked between 115,000 - 114,640; this zone is anticipated to act as a springboard for bullish reversal.
📉 Current Price Action Observation:
BTCUSD is hovering around 118,152 - 118,560, moving sideways with lower highs indicating compression.
Price is projected to form a "W" pattern or double bottom in the shaded region.
Expected liquidity grab beneath 115,902 followed by potential bullish reaction targeting 121,562, as indicated by the white arrow.
🧩 Strategic Outlook & Potential Play:
🔻 Bearish Sweep First:
Market likely to sweep the support one more time, tapping into deeper liquidity pools between 115,000–114,640.
This is aligned with the concept of Smart Money hunting for retail stop-losses before reversing.
🔼 Bullish Recovery After Sweep:
Strong probability of bounce due to presence of:
Fair Value Gap (already tested),
Fresh demand zone,
Liquidity grab setup.
Projected Bullish Target: 121,562
Confirmation Needed: A strong bullish engulfing or BOS on lower timeframes near support.
🏷️ Conclusion:
This BTCUSD setup is a textbook Smart Money scenario: BOS ➝ Liquidity Grab ➝ FVG ➝ Reversal from Demand. Traders should wait for confirmation from the support region before entering long positions.
BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Range-Bound Trends & Key LevelsFrom the 4-hour chart of BTCUSD, the recent price movement shows obvious range-bound characteristics 📊. The upper zone around 120000 forms a key resistance level 🛑, where the bullish momentum has waned after encountering resistance 💨.
The lower level of 115300 is a significant support zone 🛡️. Previously, there was some buying support when the price retraced to this zone 👀. However, as the current price is pulling back from the resistance zone ↘️, if the bearish force takes the lead subsequently 🐻, the possibility of breaking below the 115300 support will increase ⬆️. Once it breaks below effectively 💥, the next key support level of 110000 will most likely become the target for the price to decline towards 🎯.
In terms of the short-term trend 📈, due to the obvious suppression from the resistance zone 🚧, the price will most likely continue the rhythm of testing the support downwards 🔽. In operation, one can pay attention to the breakdown situation of the support zone and layout trades accordingly 📝. Meanwhile, be alert to the possibility of a rebound after the price finds support in the support zone 🚀, and further confirmation of the direction needs to be combined with real-time K-line patterns 📊, trading volume 📈
🚀 Sell @119500 - 118500
🚀 TP 116500 - 115500
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
