Bitcoin Under Pressure - H1-Bearish Flag (10.01.2026)📝 Description 🔍 Setup (Market Structure) COINBASE:BTCUSD
BTC/USDT - Bitcoin is forming a classic Bearish Flag pattern on the H1 timeframe after a strong impulsive sell-off (flagpole). Price is consolidating upward in a tight channel while staying below EMA and Ichimoku cloud resistance, indicating weak bullish momentum and a high-probability continuation to the downside.
📌 Trade Plan - Bearish Bias 📉
Wait for a clear breakdown below the flag support
Aggressive entry: breakdown candle close
Conservative entry: breakdown + pullback (retest of flag support)
📍 Support & Resistance Levels
🔴 1st Support: 88,670
🔴 2nd Support (Measured Move Target): 87,620
🟢 Key Resistance: Bearish flag upper trendline / Cloud resistance
🎯 Target Projection: Height of flagpole applied from breakdown point
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #BearishFlag #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are highly volatile — always use proper risk management and trade with a stop-loss.
💬 Support the Idea 👍 Like if you see the bearish continuation
💬 Comment: Breakdown or Fakeout? 🔁 Share with traders watching Bitcoin
Btcusdtanalysis
BTCUSD – Bullish Setup (Daily)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing early bullish reversal confluences after a prolonged downtrend.
Bullish confluences:
Price bounced from the lower volatility band / demand zone
Higher low formed, breaking short-term bearish structure
Price reclaiming the mid-band / dynamic resistance (trend MA)
Bullish reaction from Fib retracement support
Volatility compression → expansion likely to the upside
As long as price holds above the 90,000–90,500 support, bullish continuation is favored.
🎯 Fibonacci Upside Targets:
Target 1 (38.2%): ~95,300
Target 2 (61.8%): ~98,400
Target 3 (100%): ~103,400
A clean break and hold above the 61.8% Fib would significantly increase probability of a full retrace toward the 100% level.
Invalidation:
Daily close below ~88,800 invalidates the bullish setup.
BTCUSD: Corrective Pullback Within a Broader Recovery StructureBitcoin is undergoing a controlled pullback following its recent advance, with price action suggesting a corrective phase rather than a loss of broader structure. Momentum has cooled, allowing the market to rebalance after the prior push, while volatility remains contained. This type of behaviour often reflects internal repositioning as the market prepares for its next directional decision.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
BTCUSD Spikes Post-NFP, Then Pulls BackThe core trend of BTCUSD is high-level consolidation with weak upward momentum and supported pullbacks. It has been consolidating narrowly around the $90,500 mark intraday, and is overall trapped in a tug-of-war range between the key resistance at $91,000 and the psychological support at $90,000. The probability of sideways trading over the weekend remains high.
After the release of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls data on Friday, BTCUSD surged to around $91,960, then retreated under the pressure of profit-taking and a stronger U.S. Dollar. A long upper shadow formed on the daily chart, indicating strong resistance around the $92,000 level. During the pullback, the $90,000 threshold platform provided solid support, with no breakdown accompanied by heavy trading volume.
Support Levels:
$90,000 (psychological level, short-term bullish defense line)
$89,600–$89,800 (recent low platform, key support)
$89,000 (secondary strong support)
Resistance Levels:
$91,500–$92,000 (intraday high and recent key resistance zone)
$93,600 (upper band of the daily Bollinger Bands, medium-term resistance)
Trading Strategy:
Buy 90000 - 90500
SL 89500
TP 91000 - 91500
Sell 91500 - 92000
SL 92500
TP 90500 - 90000
BTCUSD (4H) – Bearish Structure After Distribution, ConsolidatioMarket Structure:
The chart shows a clear bearish shift after the January impulsive rally.
A BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside occurred first, followed by distribution and then a CHoCH (Change of Character) to the downside, confirming loss of bullish control.
Price is now making lower highs and lower lows, respecting a descending trendline, which reinforces bearish bias.
Key Levels & Zones:
Supply / Resistance:
~93,500–94,500 (previous highs & rejection zone)
~92,000–92,500 (mitigated area / prior structure)
Current Price: ~90,574, trading below key structure and trendline.
Demand / Support:
~87,800–88,500 (FVG / demand zone)
Below that, next liquidity rests near ~85,500.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
The lower FVG remains unfilled, acting as a bearish magnet if downside continuation occurs.
Upper FVGs have mostly been mitigated, reducing bullish fuel.
Bias & Scenarios:
Primary Bias: Bearish continuation while price remains below ~92,000.
Bearish Scenario:
Consolidation → breakdown → move toward 88,500 FVG, possibly extending to 85,500.
Invalidation / Bullish Shift:
Strong reclaim and close above 92,500–93,000, breaking the descending trendline, could open continuation toward 94,500+.
Trading Insight (ICT / SMC perspective):
Favor sell-on-rallies into premium zones and trendline resistance.
Wait for lower-timeframe CHoCH confirmation for entries.
Avoid longs unless structure flips decisively.
BTCUSD (4H) – Consolidation Below Key Volume Node After PullbackMarket Structure: On the 4H timeframe, BTCUSD shows a strong impulsive rally followed by a corrective pullback and current sideways consolidation. Price is holding above prior higher lows, so the medium-term structure remains bullish, but momentum has clearly cooled.
Price Action: After topping near the recent swing high (~93k area), price retraced and is now ranging around 90,500. The candles show indecision (overlapping bodies and wicks), suggesting balance rather than trend at the moment.
Volume Profile (Right Side):
A high-volume node (HVN) is visible roughly around 90k–91k, indicating a fair value area where buyers and sellers agree.
Below, another significant volume cluster appears near 88k–89k, which should act as strong support if price breaks down.
Above current price, thinner volume up toward 92k–93k suggests that if price breaks and holds above the HVN, movement could be relatively fast.
RSI (14): RSI is around the mid-40s, below the neutral 50 level. This confirms lack of bullish momentum, but it is not oversold—more consistent with consolidation than reversal.
Bias & Scenarios:
Bullish scenario: Acceptance above ~91k suggests continuation toward 92.5k–93k, where prior supply sits.
Bearish scenario: Loss of ~89.8k–90k acceptance could lead to a rotation down toward 88k, aligned with the next major volume node.
Most likely near-term: Continued range-bound price action until a clear breakout from the volume area.
BTCUSD wave to look forBTCUSD considering the weekly price action created mutiple liquidity sweep off the resistance level with a stong confluence for another wave of drop. I As the market is approaching this monthly low of $87,699.00 a potential bounce off the level is expected to monthly high at $94,689
BTC/USDT – Bearish Flag Breakdown | Bigger Correction Ahead?Bitcoin is currently forming a classic Bearish Flag pattern on the higher timeframe after a strong impulsive sell-off. This structure often signals trend continuation, and price action is now approaching a critical decision zone. BINANCE:BTCUSDT
📉 Strong impulse move down (flagpole) confirms bearish momentum
🏳️ Bearish flag consolidation forming inside rising channel
❌ Rejection near flag resistance increases breakdown probability
🔻 Breakdown could open the door toward:
🌍 Fundamental Perspective
1.Bitcoin sentiment is currently pressured by:
2.Profit-taking at higher levels after extended bullish runs
3.Macro uncertainty & risk-off sentiment across global markets
4.Interest rate expectations and USD strength impacting crypto flows
5.Reduced short-term liquidity entering the market
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – major support area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Above the pattern structure / recent swing high.
✅Psychological Discipline:
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as part of the strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
✅ Support this analysis with a
LIKE 👍 | COMMENT 💬 | FOLLOW 🔔
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
BTC Technical Breakdown – Smart Money Sell Opportunity📉 Market Structure
Price is moving inside a descending channel, which confirms a bearish overall trend.
Each rally is making lower highs, showing sellers are in control.
The recent push up is corrective, not impulsive → typical of a downtrend.
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📐 Key Technical Zones
🔴 Resistance (Sell Zone)
Price is currently testing the upper trendline of the descending channel.
There is a horizontal resistance aligning with this trendline → strong confluence.
Multiple rejections from this area in the past = high-probability sell zone.
🟢 Support / Liquidity Zones
First downside target: previous range low (local support).
Main liquidity zone marked below → sell-side liquidity resting there.
Strong impulse move previously left imbalance, likely to be filled.
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🔻 Pattern Insight
Price formed a rising wedge / corrective structure inside a bearish channel.
This is a classic bearish continuation pattern.
The arrow and SELL marking indicate rejection confirmation, not anticipation.
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🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC View)
Break in minor bullish structure → Change of Character (ChoCH).
Price tapped premium zone of the range.
Institutions likely distributing before pushing price lower.
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✅ Trade Idea (Example – Not Financial Advice)
Bias: SELL
Entry: Rejection / bearish candle at resistance
Stop Loss: Above channel high
Targets:
TP1: Range low
TP2: Liquidity zone
TP3: Extended imbalance fill
$BTC/USDT ANALYSISOn the 8-hour MEXC:BTCUSDT chart, price shows a clear rejection from the higher-timeframe supply zone around the mid-94k area, confirming that strong sell orders are still active there, and the subsequent decline has brought price back into the prior breakout region near 89–90k, which is now acting as a critical decision zone; structurally, the market is trading within a rising base but momentum has weakened, indicating distribution rather than aggressive accumulation, and the current consolidation below resistance reflects compression after rejection rather than strength, meaning as long as price remains below the major supply and fails to reclaim it, downside risk remains elevated, while only sustained acceptance and holding above the 89–90k support would shift the bias back toward continuation higher.
Coinranger| BTCUSDT. Potential reversal to 90100🔹At 16:15 UTC+3 - ADP nonfarm payrolls data.
🔹At 18:00 UTC+3 - PMI in services and the JOLTS employment report. More important.
High volatility is possible on both news.
🔥BTC
🔹Currently, Bitcoin has made just enough progress on the h4 to begin a reversal, but interestingly, this timeframe is currently experiencing the same level of uncertainty as it did on the h1 on Monday before the small rally. Summary:
1️⃣ The important h4 level is 93450 above.
2️⃣ There's a whole set of levels for decline with potential extensions: 91160, 90100 (especially important), 88200, and 86700.
I think we'll drop to 90100 today or tomorrow, and then there'll be a turning point.
BTC/USD Daily Chart – Bullish Recovery Attempt After Deep PullbaOverall Structure
Bitcoin is in a recovery phase following a sharp decline from the previous highs.
Price is forming higher lows, suggesting buyers are regaining control in the short term.
The market remains below all-time highs, so this move is still considered a corrective rally within a larger cycle.
Trendline Behavior
Price is respecting a rising support trendline, which acts as dynamic support.
As long as BTC holds above this trendline, the bullish recovery structure remains valid.
A breakdown below the trendline would weaken the current bullish bias.
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14): ~60
Indicates moderate bullish momentum.
RSI is not overbought, leaving room for further upside.
MACD (12,26,9):
MACD lines are crossing upward.
Momentum is improving but still in an early expansion phase.
Awesome Oscillator (AO):
Histogram has turned green, confirming positive momentum shift.
Key Price Levels
Immediate Support: $90,000
Major Support: $84,000–$86,000
Immediate Resistance: $95,000–$96,000
Next Upside Targets: $100,000 and $104,000
Market Bias
Short-term bias: Bullish while above $90k and trendline support.
Mid-term bias: Neutral-to-bullish, pending a confirmed breakout above $96k.
Volume expansion on a breakout would be critical for confirmation.
BTCUSD: Bitcoin's Wave Structure Is on the Verge of a New ImpulsBTCUSD: Bitcoin's Wave Structure Is on the Verge of a New Impulse
BTCUSD Wave Overview (D1 and H4)
As a trader who has been practicing wave analysis for over ten years, I note that the current Bitcoin picture shows the completion of an extended corrective formation and the potential for a new move.
Chart D1: The global structure indicates that the market is gradually breaking out of its sideways range. The wave formation looks like the end of a correction, which is laying the foundation for the next impulse.
Chart H4: Local dynamics confirm the first signs of an impulse. Key entry points are forming here, which could mark the beginning of a larger wave.
Main Scenario
After the completion of the corrective phase, a downward impulse sequence is expected to develop. This movement may be accompanied by increased seller activity and a shift in focus to the downside.
Alternative Scenario
If the price holds above local peaks and forms a stable upward impulse structure, the focus will shift to continued growth. In this case, the correction will be considered incomplete, and Bitcoin may experience a further rebound.
Trading Idea
Conservative approach: wait for confirmation of a breakout of key levels and enter with the trend.
Aggressive approach: use local impulses on H4 for earlier entries, but with tight stops.
In both cases, it is important to maintain strict risk management and adjust the plan as new impulses emerge.
Results
BTCUSD is at a crossroads between the end of the correction and the beginning of a new impulse. The wave structure on D1 and H4 provides clear guidelines for action: watch for confirmation of the scenario and act with discipline.
BTCUSD: Corrective Structure Turning HigherOn the 4H chart, BTCUSD is forming a higher-low sequence within a corrective structure, suggesting downside pressure is easing. Price is beginning to rotate upward, indicating the market may be transitioning from correction into the next expansion phase.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
BTCUSD 1H – Bullish Structure with Short-Term Resistance and PotTechnical Analysis (1-Hour Chart)
Market Structure
Bitcoin is in a clear bullish market structure on the 1H timeframe.
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirm continuation to the upside.
Earlier CHoCH (Change of Character) marked the transition from consolidation/bearishness into the current uptrend.
Price is respecting higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong trend control by buyers.
Price Action & Key Levels
Current price: ~91,395 USD
Price is trading near recent highs, just below a descending trendline resistance (blue dashed line).
A premium zone is visible near the highs, suggesting price may be temporarily overextended.
Below price:
FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone acts as a strong bullish retracement area.
This zone is a logical area for pullback and continuation if the trend remains intact.
Momentum Indicators
RSI (~64.7):
Bullish but approaching overbought territory.
Suggests momentum is strong, but upside may be limited short term without consolidation.
MACD:
MACD lines remain above zero with a mild bullish crossover.
Momentum is positive, but histogram shows slowing acceleration → possible short-term cooldown.
Volume
Volume is steady, not showing major distribution yet.
No clear bearish divergence, which supports trend continuation after a retracement.
Bias & Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
Price pulls back into the FVG / demand zone, holds structure, then continues upward.
A clean break and close above 91,800–92,000 USD would open continuation toward 93,500+.
Bearish / Correction Scenario
Rejection from the trendline + premium zone could trigger a healthy pullback.
Loss of the FVG would expose deeper retracement toward 89,800–88,800 USD, still within bullish structure unless that support fails.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Daily Chart – Potential Bullish Reversal Above Market Structure
BTC experienced a strong downtrend from the October high, followed by a base formation in December.
Price is now forming higher lows, suggesting a potential trend reversal or early-stage uptrend.
The ascending trendline (dashed blue) indicates growing bullish structure if respected.
2. Support & Resistance
Key Support:
~$89,150 (marked level)
Psychological zone: $85,000–$88,000
Immediate Resistance:
$92,000–$94,000
Major Resistance Target:
$100,000–$102,000 (previous breakdown area)
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is around 54, moving upward.
This shows bullish momentum building, but not yet overbought.
Confirms a healthy recovery, not an exhausted move.
4. MACD
MACD lines are converging upward.
Histogram is improving toward zero → bearish momentum is fading.
A bullish crossover would strengthen upside confirmation.
5. Momentum / Volume
Selling pressure has clearly weakened.
Momentum indicators suggest accumulation rather than distribution.
Bias & Outlook
Short-term bias: Mildly bullish
Confirmation needed: Daily close above $92k with volume
Invalidation: Break below $88k would weaken the bullish case
BTC/USDT Structure Holds as Buyers Defend MA Pullbacks🚀 BTC/USDT — Smart Money Bullish Accumulation Play | Swing Trade Setup
📌 Asset
BTC/USDT — Bitcoin vs Tether
Market: Crypto
Trade Type: Swing Trade
🧠 MARKET PLAN — BULLISH STRUCTURE CONFIRMED ✅
Price action shows repeated bearish rejections failing near the 786-period Triangular Moving Average, followed by successful retests and bullish pullbacks.
This behavior signals seller exhaustion and controlled absorption by bulls, a classic smart-money accumulation phase.
Momentum remains constructive as buyers defend pullbacks rather than chasing highs — a healthy bullish condition.
Bullish Limit Layers (Example):
86,000
87,000
88,000
89,000
90,000
Increase or adjust layers based on your own capital allocation and volatility tolerance.
⚡ Execution Rule: Set all limit orders simultaneously across your broker. Let market come to you rather than chasing momentum.
🛑 STOP LOSS - PRESERVATION PROTOCOL
Primary Stop Loss: $85,000 (Below consolidation structure)
Risk Management Notes:
⚠️ Adjust SL based on your account risk tolerance - This is YOUR capital
Suggested ATR(14)-based stop for traders using volatility: Current ATR ≈ $2,400
Dynamic SL: Move stop to break-even at 2R profit (Risk/Reward ratio)
Emergency exit: Close 50% position if price breaks below $84,500 decisively
Important: Your stop loss is YOUR responsibility. Modify based on your risk appetite and account size.
🎯 PROFIT TARGETS - ICHIMOKU RESISTANCE ZONES
Primary Target: $100,000
Rationale: Ichimoku Kijun-sen resistance + Overbought zone confluence
Structure: Former resistance now support - institutional trap zone
Probability: 65% success rate based on 2026 technical consolidation patterns
Secondary Targets:
Target 2: $96,500 (Channel top + Major trendline resistance)
Target 3: $103,000-$105,000 (Pre-ATH distribution zone)
Target 4: $108,000-$112,000 (If institutional flow sustains)
🔴 Overbought Warning: At $98,000+, Ichimoku shows extreme overbought compression. Be prepared for sharp 3-5% retracements before continuation.
Important: Your profit targets are directional guidance ONLY. Take profits at YOUR chosen levels based on your risk-reward strategy. NOT financial advice.
📈 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 📈
Primary Correlation Pairs (Move with BTC ~80-95%):
1. ETH/USDT (Ethereum) - $3,010 | 24h Change: +1.01%
Correlation: 0.87 (Very High)
Key Level: Watch $3,100-$3,200 for strength confirmation
Status: Following BTC structure; if ETH breaks $2,800, BTC weakness likely
2. XRP/USDT (Ripple) - $2.08 | 24h Change: +2.67%
Correlation: 0.72 (Strong)
Critical Support: $2.00 (Make-or-break level)
Insight: XRP showing relative strength - suggests institutional rotation into altcoins beginning
Risk Level: If XRP closes below $1.61, full crypto correction possible
3. SOL/USDT (Solana) - $135.92 | 24h Change: +3.17%
Correlation: 0.79 (High)
Range-bound play: $120-$145 consolidation
Breakout signal: SOL break above $145 suggests BTC momentum building
Altseason indicator: First to move before broader altcoin rally
4. BNB/USDT (Binance Coin) - $899.26 | 24h Change: +1.31%
Correlation: 0.75 (Strong)
Support: $850 | Resistance: $950
Institutional ladder: BNB accumulation often precedes macro rallies
5. SPL (Solana Network Token) - Watch for RWA ecosystem expansion
2026 Prediction: RWA market reaching $1B+ (currently $873M)
Status: Emerging institutional infrastructure play
Divergence Signals to Watch:
If BTC rallies but ETH/XRP fall: Institutional profit-taking coming
If SOL outperforms BTC: Altseason phase likely beginning (not yet confirmed)
If XRP breaks $2.30 decisively: Macro shift toward risk-on environment
📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC DRIVERS - JANUARY 2026
BULLISH FACTORS FOR BTC:
✅ Institutional Demand Acceleration
Spot ETFs purchased 710,777 BTC (network produced 363,047) → Net supply deficit
Major firms: Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Vanguard approved crypto access for retail
Prediction: ETF AUM could exceed $400B by end-2026 (currently $200B+)
✅ Favorable Macro Environment (Q1-Q2 2026)
Fed leadership change potential: Kevin Hassett (favors lower rates) frontrunner for Fed Chair
Quantitative easing likely: QT ending, Fed pivot expected mid-year
Yield curve normalization: Long rates may fall while short rates stabilize (bullish for BTC)
✅ Regulatory Tailwinds
CLARITY Act discussions gaining momentum (Ethereum/Solana ATH scenario)
SEC generic listing standards enabling "ETF-palooza" (100+ crypto ETFs expected in 2026)
Trump administration: Pro-crypto stance signaling (appointees more favorable than prior regime)
✅ Business Cycle Synchronization
Purchasing Managers' Index improving (PMI expansion phase)
Liquidity normalizing as Treasury account balances stabilize
Accelerating business cycle = Risk-on environment = Capital flows to growth/inflation hedges
✅ Long-Term Holder Conviction
LTH distribution pressure declining: Holders not dumping
Whale accumulation: $2.5B+ purchased in 24-hour window
On-chain data: 68.85% supply in profit (transition zone between cycles)
⚠️ HEADWIND FACTORS TO MONITOR:
❌ Near-Term Technical Pressure
Death cross warning: Moving average bearish crossover potential
Price 28% below all-time high ($126,199 Oct 2025)
January FOMC meeting: Potential volatility trigger (historical weakness pattern)
❌ Real Yield Dynamics
Analyst thesis: BTC trending toward $30k IF real yields spike
Risk: If inflation remains sticky + Fed stays hawkish, risk-off rotation possible
Fiscal uncertainty: Q3 2026 likely more volatile (mid-term elections, debt ceiling debates)
❌ Seasonal/Historical Patterns
2025 ended RED (-6% yearly performance) - rare for 4-year cycle
January seasonality: Portfolio rebalancing can trigger 3-5% pullbacks
Previous ATH cycles: Final 30% of rally often compressed into final weeks (distribution risk)
❌ Correlation with Gold/Silver
Precious metals outperforming BTC recently (macro flight-to-safety)
Government debt crisis concerns (US 120%+ debt-to-GDP, Japan 220%+)
If DXY (Dollar Index) rallies past 100, BTC faces headwinds
📅 2026 QUARTERLY OUTLOOK:
Q1 2026 - Mixed/Cautious Sentiment
Analyst Consensus: Mixed outlook with portfolio rebalancing pressures. Key Events: FOMC meetings, January-March volatility. BTC Directional Bias: Range-bound consolidation between $85K-$95K. Institutional accumulation continues but macro headwinds remain.
Q2 2026 - Bullish Breakout Phase
Analyst Consensus: Strong bullish conviction building. Key Events: Fed pivot confirmation expected, ETF inflows resume, regulatory clarity materializes. BTC Directional Bias: Break above $96.5K target zone likely. Momentum shifts toward risk-on environment.
Q3 2026 - Mixed/Corrective Period
Analyst Consensus: Cautious, seasonal weakness patterns emerge. Key Events: Mid-term elections uncertainty, summer doldrums, profit-taking cycles. BTC Directional Bias: Correction period likely, pullback toward $80-85K support zones. Consolidation phase before final Q4 rally.
Q4 2026 - Bullish Year-End Rally
Analyst Consensus: Strong bullish momentum returns. Key Events: Year-end reallocation, institutional bonus period spending, holiday season liquidity surge. BTC Directional Bias: Drive toward $125K+ resistance, potential breakout above ATH into 2027. Final leg of macro bull cycle.
🎲 POSITION MANAGEMENT RULES
Entry Execution: Use limit orders ONLY - don't chase market entries
Scaling: Enter 5% position per layer, never all-in
Take Profits: Sell 20-30% at each target level (pyramid profit-taking)
Trail Stop: Move stop-loss to entry after hitting +2R profit
Time Management: Hold swing trade 5-14 days minimum for layer rebalance
⚡ CRITICAL DISCLAIMERS
🔴 THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Your stop-loss, position size, and profit targets are YOUR responsibility
Only risk capital you can afford to lose completely
Past performance ≠ future results
Cryptocurrency volatility can exceed 20% in 24-hour periods
Institutional accumulation data doesn't guarantee price appreciation
Do Your Own Research (DYOR): Verify all technical levels on your own charts. Cross-reference fundamentals with latest news sources.
🎯 ENGAGEMENT BOOSTERS FOR TRADINGVIEW VIEWERS
✨ Why This Setup Stands Out:
Rare Institutional Setup: Multi-month consolidation with whale accumulation = Low-risk entry
Clear Risk/Reward: $5K risk → $10K+ profit potential (2:1+ ratio)
Layered Entry Method: Professional execution without guesswork
Macro-Aware: Incorporates Fed policy, ETF flows, regulatory catalysts
📊 Share If You:
Believe BTC breaks $100K in Q1-Q2 2026
Are using limit orders to build positions
Want to escape the "HODL only" mentality with active swing trading
🔔 Follow for: Daily technical updates, real-time layer entry alerts, profit target callouts
Bias: Swing Trade Bullish (Medium Probability 65%) | Risk Profile: Intermediate-Advanced Traders Only
Remember: Trading is 90% psychology, 10% execution. Master yourself before mastering the markets. 🧠💪
Today - Bitcoin Genesis Day Today, January 3, 2026, marks Bitcoin’s birthday (Bitcoin Genesis Day), as it was on January 3, 2009 that the unknown creator Satoshi Nakamoto mined the Genesis Block (Block 0) of the blockchain network. This is the symbolic launch date of the first decentralized cryptocurrency, which became the foundation of the entire system.
Key points:
Date: January 3, 2009
Event: Mining of the first block (Genesis Block)
Significance: The official start of the Bitcoin network and the foundation of the cryptocurrency revolution
Reward: In this first block, Satoshi Nakamoto received 50 BTC, and the block’s hash contains a headline from The Times newspaper, confirming the time of its creation.
BTCUSDT: Bullish Push to 90750?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is eyeing a bullish rebound on the 4-hour chart , with price bouncing from an upward trendline near support, converging with a potential entry zone that could spark upside momentum if buyers hold against short-term dips. This setup suggests a recovery opportunity after recent pullback, targeting higher resistance levels with 1:2 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 87870–87100 for a long position. Target at 90750 . Set a stop loss at 86420 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging Bitcoin's resilience near the trendline.🌟
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
87,100 – 87,870
(Entry within this zone is valid with strict risk & capital management due to elevated volatility.)
🎯 Target:
• 90,750
❌ Stop Loss:
• 86,420
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• ~ 1:2
⚠️ High-Risk Setup
💡 Your view?
Does BTC hold the ascending trendline and push toward 90,750, or does volatility drag price into a deeper correction first? 👇
BTCUSDT Short Setup – Order Block Rejection Fibonacci ConfluenePrice is reacting off a key 1H Order Block around 89,250 with visible rejection. Fibonacci extension levels (-0.27 to -1) align with projected downside targets, suggesting potential continuation toward 84,460. Volume is thinning, and early signs of distribution are present. I’m shorting BTCUSDT here with risk above the OB and targeting the -0.5 to -1 zone. Watching for momentum confirmation and session volatility. DYOR
Bitcoin Christmas Rally? $90K/More in SightBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), as I previously expected , has risen to its initial target and has broken above the important level of $88,200, which is a positive sign for continued bullish momentum.
At the moment, Bitcoin is striving to break through the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is completing microwave B of the main wave Y.
I expect that after breaking the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720), Bitcoin could rise at least up to the significant level of $90,300, approaching the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage and the 50_SMA(Daily). If BTC breaks above the 50_SMA(Daily), we can anticipate even further gains for Bitcoin.
The question is: do you think Bitcoin will hold above $90,000, or will it begin to decline again?
And finally, a little note about Christmas: I hope you enjoy a wonderful holiday season with your loved ones, and let’s see how Bitcoin performs as we head into the new year!
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,690-$85,990
First Target: $90,161
Second Target: $90,721
Third Target: 50_SMA(Daily)
Stop Loss(SL): $86,850
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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