BTCUSD 4h- Bearish SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing early signs of exhaustion after its recent push into the $116K zone. Multiple bearish confluences are aligning:
Price has rejected near the upper resistance band, signaling potential short-term weakness.
The last few candles show strong wicks to the upside, indicating selling pressure.
Current structure sits below the short-term resistance block, with buyers struggling to maintain momentum.
🔑 Fibonacci Retracement Targets (from recent swing move):
38.2% → $115,503
61.8% → $114,390
100% → $112,589
If downside momentum builds, these levels may act as supports and potential take-profit zones for shorts. Confirmation of rejection from the resistance zone could open the path lower toward the 61.8% and 100% retracement levels.
⚠️ Invalidation: A strong close above $117,305 would negate this bearish setup and reopen bullish continuation potential.
Btcusdtanalysis
BTC Trade Update - Hidden Divergence on 30M TF📢 NFX Market Update – BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
A hidden bearish divergence has formed on the 30M timeframe around $116,700. This signals the likelihood of a short-term retracement in the next few hours.
🔒 Lock in partial profits and trail stops to protect gains. The broader trend remains bullish, and I still expect continuation after this pullback.
BTCUSD set to cross 127,000?BTCUSD pulled back to $107,309 upon crossing $124,567 , monthly closed with a long bearish candle. With new candle opened, market started bounce back to the major direction of the trend with a confirmation of daily cross over of 20ema and 10ema price may bounce off the current resistance to create a new all time high!
Precise Prediction and Forecast for BTCUSD MarketYesterday, we accurately predicted that BTC would rally to around 116,000 USD and face certain resistance. Today, after breaking through 116,000 USD as expected, the price retraced to hover around 115,000 USD.
Looking ahead, if BTC can stabilize near the 115,000 USD level, it is highly likely to continue its upward trajectory, with the potential to retest the 120,000 USD mark. For upper resistance, the focus remains on the 117,000–118,000 USD range
Buy 114000-114500
TP 115000-116000-1175000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart AnalysisLooking at the BTCUSD 4-hour chart, the price has recently exhibited a dynamic trend. After a prior upward movement, it underwent a pullback. Now, it has found solid support at the 112,500 level. This support zone appears reliable, as the price has stabilized above it, indicating that buying interest has emerged here to prevent further declines.
In terms of resistance, the 116,000 level is a key hurdle to watch. If the price can successfully break through 116,000 with strong momentum, it would open the door to further upside potential. Before that, the 115,000 level could act as a near-term resistance to test the bulls' strength.
For traders, the strategy could be to monitor the price action around the 112,500 support. If the support holds and there are signs of a bullish reversal , it may be an opportunity to consider long positions with a target towards 115,000 and then 116,000. Conversely, a breakdown below 112,500 would shift the bias to the downside, with the next support level to watch at 110,640
Overall, the near-term trend hinges on the price's interaction with the 112,500 support and the subsequent attempt to challenge the 115,000 - 116,000 resistance zone.
Buy 112500 - 113500
TP 114500 - 115500 - 116000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart Analysis
In terms of resistance, the 116,000 level is a key hurdle to watch. If the price can successfully break through 116,000 with strong momentum, it would open the door to further upside potential. Before that, the 115,000 level could act as a near-term resistance to test the bulls' strength.
For traders, the strategy could be to monitor the price action around the 112,500 support. If the support holds and there are signs of a bullish reversal , it may be an opportunity to consider long positions with a target towards 115,000 and then 116,000. Conversely, a breakdown below 112,500 would shift the bias to the downside, with the next support level to watch at 110,640
Overall, the near-term trend hinges on the price's interaction with the 112,500 support and the subsequent attempt to challenge the 115,000 - 116,000 resistance zone.
Buy 112500 - 113500
TP 114500 - 115500 - 116000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTC/USD – Liquidity Grab Before Downside MoveBTC/USD – Liquidity Grab Before Downside Move
Price is currently setting up for a retracement to the upside, likely sweeping excess liquidity before forming equilibrium. This move will provide the market with balance before continuing lower.
📍 Point of Entry
I’m watching the highlighted zone for a reaction after liquidity is taken. This level offers a potential short setup with strong risk-to-reward.
📉 Bearish Scenario
After the liquidity grab, price is expected to rotate lower and revisit the support zone, aligning with the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). This will be the key area to monitor for continuation or a potential bounce.
🔑 Market Outlook
Retracement upward → Liquidity grab.
Downward continuation → Support & 4H FVG retest.
Break below support → Opens further bearish targets.
BTC – Bullish Head & Shoulders Pattern!Bitcoin is currently showing signs of a bullish inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 4H chart. This setup is typically a reversal signal, suggesting potential upside if the neckline resistance is broken.
Key Highlights:
- Left Shoulder, Head, Right Shoulder formation is clearly visible.
- Neckline Resistance: Around $113,500 – a breakout above this level could confirm the pattern.
- Potential Upside: If confirmed, BTC could see a strong move toward higher resistance zones.
- Volume Watch: A breakout backed by strong volume would add conviction.
Cheers
Hexa
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC – Base Before Break?After the ATH at 125k on 25 Aug, BTC pulled back to 107k and has been consolidating. The latest structure looks more like a base for reversal than a continuation pattern: price is back into the 113.3k zone, which coincides with resistance, and we’ve printed a sequence of higher lows—a classic pressure build under supply.
What I’m watching
• Bullish trigger: A clean break/close above 113.3k opens the path toward 120k (both a technical target and a psychological level).
• Continuation potential: If 120k is reclaimed with momentum, a 123–125k retest comes into play.
• Support: 110k is the line in the sand; below it, risk shifts to 100k zone (the correction low).
Trading plan
• Breakout: Look for acceptance above 113.5k and a successful retest to validate upside toward 120k.
• Buy-the-dip zone: If we pull back, watch 111–112k for signs of bid absorption and continuation.
Bias: I’m bullish while 110k holds. A failure below 110k would likely send us back to 107k and even 100k.
Bitcoin Roadmap – Breakdown Toward $107K or Bounce?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been moving with high momentum this week , with the US indexes and Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) bullish .
Bitcoin is currently trying to break the Support lines , Support zone($110,920-$110,200) and 100_EMA(Daily) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the waves that Bitcoin has made this week have been in the form of a Triple Three Correction(WXYXZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $109,133(First Target) AFTER the Supports are broken.
Second Target: $107,740
Third Target: $106,660
Stop Loss(SL): $114,108(Worst)
Note: As I said at the beginning of this analysis, the financial markets have been a bit emotional and sudden with their movements this week, so always be prepared for any scenario and pay more attention to capital management.
Note: Generally, trading volume is low on Saturdays and Sundays. Perhaps it is a bit far-fetched to expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) during the weekend. What do you think?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $114,976-$113,440
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $111,907-$111,607
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $109,346-$108,259
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $107,181-$106,479
CME Gap: $117,235-$113,800
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Rally Entering Final Stages!Bitcoin Bull Cycle Analysis:
Historically, Bitcoin has moved in clearly defined market cycles, each lasting roughly 1,064–1,065 days (about 3 years) from bottom to peak, followed by a sharp correction.
2013–2017 Cycle
🔶Bitcoin bottomed in early 2015 and then entered a strong bull run.
🔶Over the next 1,064 days, Bitcoin surged by more than 12,000%, ultimately peaking in late 2017.
🔶After the peak, Bitcoin experienced an 84% decline over the following year, entering a prolonged bear market.
2017–2021 Cycle
🔶From the December 2018 bottom, Bitcoin again began a long bull phase.
🔶In the next 1,064 days, Bitcoin gained over 2,000%, reaching a new all-time high in late 2021.
🔶Similar to the previous cycle, the market corrected sharply, with Bitcoin losing around 76% of its value within a year.
2021–2025 Cycle (Current)
🔶The most recent bottom was recorded in late 2022. Since then, Bitcoin has been in a sustained uptrend.
🔶As of today, the cycle has lasted 1,000+ days, during which Bitcoin has appreciated by roughly 675%.
🔶If the historical pattern continues, this bull run may have about two months left before reaching a cycle peak.
🔶Afterward, the market could undergo a significant correction, potentially in the range of 60–70%, though smaller than previous drops.
Conclusion : Bitcoin’s market history shows a repeating cycle of multi-year bull runs followed by sharp corrections. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the consistency in cycle length and the pattern of diminishing corrections suggest that Bitcoin may soon approach its next major peak. If the trend holds, a significant pullback of 60–70% could follow, offering both risks for late entrants and opportunities for long-term investors. This highlights the importance of caution, disciplined risk management, and strategic planning as we near the potential end of the 2021–2025 bull cycle.
BTC/USDT Crypto Heist - Bullish Breakout Blueprint!🔥 Thief Trading Style: BTC/USDT Bullish Heist Plan 🔥
Greetings, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑
Ready to execute a daring heist in the Bitcoin vs. Tether (BTC/USDT) crypto market? 📈 Our Thief Trading Style combines technical precision and fundamental insights to target a bullish breakout. Follow this charted strategy to ride the wave and exit before the risky Red Zone. Let’s grab those profits together! 💪🎯
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📊 Trade Setup: The Heist Plan
- Market: BTC/USDT (Crypto) 🌐
- Bias: Bullish Breakout 🌟
- Timeframe: 1D (Swing Trade) ⏰
Entry 📈:
- Breakout Entry: Wait for a clean breakout above the Moving Average (MA) at 108000. Place Buy Stop orders just above 108000 to seize the momentum. 🚀
- Pullback Entry: For lower-risk entries, set Buy Limit orders at the recent 15M/30M swing low (e.g., 105000-106000) to catch pullbacks. 📍
- Trader Tip: Set a TradingView alert for the 108000 breakout to stay ahead of the move! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑:
- Breakout Traders: After the breakout confirms, place your Stop Loss below the recent 1D swing low at 96000 to guard against reversals. ⚠️
- Pullback Traders: Tailor your Stop Loss to your risk appetite (e.g., 1-2% of account). Adjust based on lot size and multiple orders. 📏
- Risk Alert: This heist is high-stakes! Stick to disciplined position sizing to protect your capital.🔥
Target 🎯:
- Aim for 122000, near the risky Red Zone (an overbought area prone to consolidation or reversal). 🏴☠️
- Exit Strategy: Consider taking profits early if bearish signals (e.g., high volume, reversal candles) emerge near 122000. 💸
Scalpers 👀:
- Stick to Long-side scalps with tight trailing stops. Join swing traders for the full heist or scalp quick moves if your capital allows. 💰
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📡 Why This Heist Has Potential
BTC/USDT is in a neutral trend with strong bullish prospects, driven by:
- Technicals: A breakout above the 108000 MA, backed by higher lows on the 1D chart, signals robust momentum. 📊
- Fundamentals: Institutional buying and positive crypto sentiment (check COT reports) fuel upside potential. 📰
- Seasonal Trends: Bitcoin often rallies in Q2, aligning with our setup. 📅
- Intermarket Factors: USD weakness and altcoin strength could lift BTC higher. 🌎
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⚠️ Risk Management: Secure Your Gains
- News Caution: Skip new trades during major news events (e.g., CPI, FOMC) to avoid volatility spikes. 🗞️
- Trailing Stops: Use trailing Stop Loss to lock in profits as price nears 122000. 🔒
- Position Sizing: Limit risk to 1-2% of your account per trade for a safe heist. 🚨
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💥 Power Up the Heist! 💥
Join our Thief Trading Style crew by liking, commenting, and following for more high-energy trade plans! 🚀 Your support strengthens our market raids, helping us profit with precision. Let’s conquer BTC/USDT together! 🤝🏆🎉
Stay Sharp: Another heist plan is on the horizon. Keep your charts locked and loaded, traders! 🐱👤😎
#BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Crypto #Bullish #SwingTrading #Breakout
BTC Triangle Squeeze: Next Stop $116K?Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, a classic squeeze that often precedes a strong breakout 💥. Price is building pressure with higher lows and lower highs, waiting for confirmation.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Price is respecting triangle support and holding the structure.
Fibonacci retracement shows potential upside continuation.
Momentum is shifting after a prolonged corrective move.
🎯 Fibonacci Upside Targets:
🌟38.2% – $112,876
🌟61.8% – $114,195
🌟100% – $116,329
⚠️ Invalidation / Stop-Loss Zone:
If price breaks below $107,000 – $105,000, the bullish setup is invalidated ❌.
As long as BTC stays inside the triangle and above key support, the squeeze favors a bullish breakout
Bitcoin faces bear market risk despite short-term rallyBitcoin faces bear market risk despite short-term rally
Bitcoin may enter a bear market by October 2025 if historical 4-year cycles play out, with a possible bottom near $50,000 by October 2026. Analysts project BTC could hit $140,000 before year-end but warn of a sharp drop afterward. While the “Repetition Fractal Cycle” signals a bearish shift, strong ETF inflows ($29.4B in 2025) and institutional demand could alter the pattern.
Currently, BTC is testing a key resistance trendline. A break below $100,000 would confirm a bearish outlook, while a move above $113,650 could revive momentum toward $140,000. Polymarket assigns a 59% chance of BTC falling under $100,000 by 2026. Macroeconomic headwinds and tighter regulations could accelerate a downturn.
In the short term, Bitcoin is up 2.1% at $112,876 — its highest in a week — ahead of U.S. jobs data, as markets bet on Fed rate cuts from September 17. Weaker ADP payrolls data boosted expectations for soft nonfarm payrolls Friday, which may support risky assets like crypto.
ENA About to Explode – Eyes on $1.20+$ENA/USDT Weekly Analysis
ENA has been playing out a classic fakeout and trap setup around the lower support zone. Each dip below support attracted aggressive selling, only for the price to reclaim the level and trap late shorts.
Now, the breakout attempt above the descending trendline is gaining momentum.
If price manages a clean weekly close above this zone, the next target sits around $1.00–$1.20, with a potential push toward the $1.52 high if volume supports the move.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for checking this out.
BTC Macro Top or Supercycle Ahead?Bitcoin’s long-term price action, alongside the monthly RSI, shows a repeating pattern at major cycle tops. Historically, whenever the RSI reached the descending resistance trendline (Above 85 level) , Bitcoin entered a cycle peak followed by a correction.
Currently, the RSI is once again approaching this key level, raising the question of whether history will repeat or if BTC can finally break through this long-term resistance.
Historical Pattern:
🔷 2013: RSI touched the upper trendline → BTC entered a cycle peak, followed by a deep correction.
🔷 2017: Once again, RSI hit the resistance → marked the bull market top.
🔷 2021: RSI faced rejection at the same line → led to a prolonged bear market.
Now, in 2025–2026, RSI is climbing back toward this resistance level, and the big question remains: Will Bitcoin break the cycle, or repeat history?
Key Points:
🔶 CRYPTOCAP:BTC has respected this RSI downtrend at previous market cycle tops (2013, 2017, 2021).
🔶 Price is trading near all-time highs while RSI nears historical resistance.
🔶 A breakout above this RSI trendline could signal a new phase of strength.
🔶 A rejection would suggest another cyclical cooling phase.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at a macro decision point. For over a decade, this RSI trendline has defined cycle tops. A confirmed breakout would mark a historic shift in BTC’s market structure, while another rejection could mean history repeats.
Cheers
Hexa
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDC
BTCUSD Bearish Since March 13, 2023, the BINANCE:BTCUSD has consistently traded above its weekly 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), demonstrating sustained bullish momentum. The price has tested the weekly 50 SMA on three occasions, each time finding support and maintaining its position above Moving Average. However, a significant bearish divergence is evident on the weekly chart, signalling potential weakening momentum despite the upward price trend. Given this divergence and historical price action, there is a high probability that BTCUSD may retest the $95,851–$100,000 support zone in the near term. Traders should monitor this critical area for potential price reaction.






















