BTC updates
Here’s the Bitcoin result as well: it has gained 4%, and as expected, the 90,500 level pushed the price upward with high precision.
If you’d like to see more of my analyses, make sure to follow.
Btcusdtlong
BITCOIN BUYBtcusd looking to scalp into a quick trade using a buy stop as bitcoin will have to return to its previous price point, as it cannot sell forever.
#BITCOIN: Still Expecting Price To Touch $60K To $65K! Bitcoin is likely to drop further down before we could see a strong bullish move taking price to all time high. This is our view only and it is not an guaranteed move; once price touch our reversal zone then we could see price going back to all time high. Good luck and trade safe!
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BTC/USDT — Weekly Outlook✔️ The monthly candle closed bearish with a lower wick. RSI has dropped into deep-correction territory (5 more points — and it hits the COVID-crash level). The structure increasingly resembles 2021.
✔️ Bitcoin recovered 4% during the week — but already lost 5% this morning.
🟢 QT officially ended today after 3.5 years . During this period, the Fed’s balance sheet shrank from $9T to $6.6T.
🟢 Positive cumulative delta: +$640M
🟠 Deviation below the channel has been closed — technically opening the path downward.
🟠 ETF flows: green on the week, red on the month.
🟠 Fear index moved from extreme fear back to regular fear — likely not for long.
🔴 Nearly the entire bounce has been retraced. A reversal is possible only after a clear reversal pattern forms. One step back before two steps forward.
🔴 The shortest bear phase in history lasted 1.5 months — that’s the most optimistic benchmark.
🧠 If the scenario plays out, we may see one more drop and a strong buyback within the next month.
A sweep below 80k is possible.
I expect a reversal starting from early January — holiday periods make market manipulation even easier.
BTCUSDT: Bullish Push to 98500?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is eyeing a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from a broken level near cumulative long liquidation, converging with a potential entry zone that could trigger upside momentum if buyers defend against further dips. This setup suggests a recovery opportunity after recent pullback, targeting higher resistance levels with excellent risk-reward.🔥
Entry between 87500–88500 for a long position (entry at current levels with proper risk management is recommended). Targets at 95000 (first), 98500 (second). Set a stop loss at a close below 85000 , yielding a risk-reward ratio up to 1:3 overall. Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging Bitcoin's resilience post-correction.🌟
Fundamentally , Bitcoin is consolidating around $89,000 in late November 2025 after a sharp retreat from its all-time high of $126,000, driven by fading momentum and institutional caution amid a 15%(from top) October decline contrary to historical patterns. Despite dipping below $85,000 recently (trough at ~$80,553), fundamentals remain strong with institutional investors holding steady, reduced Fed rate cut expectations supporting USD strength, and long-term forecasts eyeing upside to $240,000 driven by macro asset behavior and cycle highs. Bitcoin correlates with the S&P 500 , and recently we've seen growth in the S&P 500. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
87,500 – 88,500
(Entry at current levels with proper risk management is also valid)
🎯 Targets:
• 95,000 (first)
• 98,500 (second)
❌ Stop Loss:
• 4H close below 85,000
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• Up to 1:3 on full run
👇 Share your thoughts below! 👇
Bitcoin: Next Move = Drop to $85K (Then Either Moon or Doom)Hey everyone! 👋
How was your trading week? Hope it was green and profitable! 💰
Sharing my current Bitcoin view with you.
In my opinion, the recent rally we’ve seen was either part of an ongoing correction or the final leg of a correction after the previous sharp drop.
Either way, I expect the next meaningful move to be to the downside.
Right now I see two possible scenarios, but both lead to the same outcome in the near term:
→ A decline toward the $85,000 area
🟠either straight from the current price
🟣or after one more push higher toward ~$92,000–$92,500
This coming drop can be interpreted in two ways:
1. As wave B of the ABC correction from the recent crash → after $85K is reached we can expect a strong recovery and new highs above $93K (and likely much higher).
2. If the correction from the crash is already fully complete, then the drop to $85K will mark the start of a new bearish trend continuation.
We’ll watch the internal structure of the upcoming decline — it will give us the clues which of the two bigger pictures is playing out.
❌Invalidation level for the entire bearish scenario: $93,080
Any clear touch and break above this level cancels the idea completely.
Of course, I’ll keep posting fresh updates and chart markups as the price action unfolds, so make sure to hit that
Follow button and turn on notifications — you don’t want to miss the next posts! 🔔
Stay sharp and trade safe, friends! 🚀
See you in the charts! 📊
Weekly BTCUSD Trend SummaryThis week, BTCUSD launched a strong rebound following a previous sharp decline, but later pulled back after hitting resistance, presenting an overall oscillatory recovery pattern characterized by "rebound – rally – pullback."
1. Early-Week Oversold Rebound with Intense Long-Short Dynamics (November 24)
At the start of the week, BTCUSD extended its oversold rebound after touching a 7-month low of $80,600 the prior week. Prices briefly broke above $88,000 in the morning, with an intraday peak gain of 3.85%; however, the market pulled back in the afternoon, slipping below $86,000 to turn slightly negative.
2. Mid-Week Oscillatory Uptrend as Bearish Momentum Faded (November 25 – 26)
November 25: Prices traded around $88,000, approaching the key resistance level of $90,000, forming a three-day consecutive rebound on the daily chart.
November 26: A bullish rally emerged in the evening, with prices surging approximately 5,000 points to successfully break through the $90,000 mark. However, the rally lacked subsequent volume support, preventing prices from extending further into higher ranges and laying the groundwork for a subsequent pullback.
3. Late-Week Rally Followed by Pullback, Halted at Key Resistance (November 29 – 30)
In the latter half of the week, the market experienced a turning point. On the morning of November 29 (Friday), prices touched a weekly high of $93,092 but immediately pulled back. Subsequently, prices retreated to around $90,000 to seek support, testing the validity of the $90,000 – $91,000 support range. From a market analysis perspective, the area around $93,000 represents the high of a consolidation range following multiple previous pullbacks, featuring strong resistance.
Overall Outlook & Key Drivers
Overall, BTCUSD staged a significant rebound from recent lows this week, but the lack of sufficient volume during the rebound was a prominent issue. Going forward, focus should be on whether prices can hold above the $90,000 support level—if broken, a further pullback may ensue. Conversely, if BTCUSD can regroup and break through the key level of $93,500, it may attempt to challenge the two-month downtrend line around $96,000.
BTC Forming a Massive Head & Shoulders - Macro Reversal Ahead?Bitcoin is forming a large Head & Shoulders pattern on the 3-day chart, with the left shoulder and head already completed, and the right shoulder now developing within the major resistance zone around the 0.5–0.618 retracement (103,000–108,000).
Price recently bounced from the long-term ascending trendline, but the overall structure still suggests a potential macro reversal unless Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone with strong momentum.
If the right shoulder completes and price rejects from the supply zone, BTC could retest the trendline again. A breakdown of this trendline may open the door for a deeper correction toward the lower demand zones.
This is a medium-term pattern and may take 1–3 months to validate fully.
Key Points:
- Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder zone highlighted
- Major resistance at $103,000–$108,000
- Price bouncing from long-term ascending trendline
- Breakdown below the trendline may trigger a strong downside move
- Right shoulder formation may take a few more weeks
Cheers
Hexa
BTCUSD today BTCUSD is in a narrow-range consolidation phase. While it benefits from the boost to risky assets amid expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, persistent pressure from capital outflows in spot markets and ETFs has kept bullish and bearish forces temporarily balanced, with the price oscillating between key support and resistance levels.
On the daily timeframe, the price is trapped in a tight trading range of $86,500 - $88,000, and the Bollinger Bands have contracted to their narrowest level this month. This pattern indicates the market is at a critical juncture for directional selection, with little probability of a sharp one-sided move in the short term.
Support Levels: The primary support zone is $86,000 - $86,500. This range not only served as the stabilization area following the intraday pullback but also acts as a crucial trendline underpinning the long-term structure. Holding this level is expected to sustain the short-term consolidation; if breached, the next core support will be $83,000, with a further breakdown potentially testing $78,500.
Resistance Levels: The key short-term resistance zone is $89,000 - $90,000, where the $90,000 mark forms a strong psychological resistance. Previous attempts to rally above $90,000 have consistently faced selling pressure from capital outflows. A breakout above this zone would target subsequent resistance levels around $90,450 and $92,300.
Buy 86000 - 86200
SL 85800
TP 87500 - 88000 - 88500
Sell 88000 - 88500
SL 89200
TP 87000 - 87500 - 88000
BTCUSD: Test the resistance zone of 89,000 - 90,000BTC is in a phase of sideways consolidation following a rebound. Its price fluctuates within the trading range of 88,000 - 89,000. Although the bulls still possess upward momentum, the obvious resistance lies ahead. Meanwhile, the market sentiment has been gradually recovering from the previous panic, and the overall market is in a pattern where both bulls and bears are conducting cautious tentative moves.
After stabilizing around the 85,000 level earlier this week, the asset has launched a three - consecutive - day rebound, with a relatively solid support level in place.
Focus on the short - term resistance zone of 89,000 - 90,000 ahead. If this zone is broken through, the price may surge towards the range of 92,000 - 94,000.
Buy 85500 - 86000
SL 85000
TP 87000 - 88000
Sell 89000 - 89500
SL 90500
TP 86000 - 85000
BTC/USDT — Bearish Impulse Structure Near Completion, Is Wave 5?Bitcoin is entering one of its most decisive phases since reaching its recent cycle high. On the 3-Day timeframe, the price is forming a clear 5-wave bearish impulse, and the entire structure is now converging into one critical question:
Are we standing right at the edge of the “final flush” into Wave (5)?
---
📌 The Bigger Picture
After peaking in the 120–126k region, BTC entered a distribution phase that triggered a sharp decline into Wave (1).
The rebound into Wave (2) failed to break new highs — a strong confirmation that the market lost bullish strength.
Now the price is trapped between:
Major Supply Zone (~92k) → Historical distribution block with heavy seller presence
Key Demand Zone (84.6k–78k) → Critical retest zone that acts as the last defensive wall for mid-term buyers
From here, the market narrative becomes very clear:
If BTC loses the 84–78k zone, Wave (5) becomes highly probable — targeting 72k, with an extended risk toward 55k if capitulation unfolds.
---
📉 Bearish Scenario — “The Final Flush”
This is the dominant scenario if the impulse structure continues to hold.
1. Strong rejection from the 92k Supply Zone
If BTC fails to reclaim 92k on a 3D close, Wave (4) is likely complete.
2. Breakdown below 84–78k
This signals buyer exhaustion and confirms momentum toward Wave (5).
3. Wave (5) targets:
72k → primary target
55k → extreme capitulation target (similar to 2019 or 2021 flushes)
This scenario becomes fully validated with a decisive 3D close below 84k.
Volume confirmation will be crucial.
---
📈 Bullish Scenario — “Wave Failure & Trap Reversal”
For BTC to invalidate the bearish structure, buyers must deliver a strong response:
1. A powerful bounce from the 84.6k–78k zone
Not just a wick, but a 3D bullish engulfing with strong volume.
2. A clean break + 3D close above 92k
This invalidates the bearish wave count and opens the door to 105–110k.
3. Formation of a new Higher Low above 84k
A structural confirmation that bulls regain control.
This bullish scenario is less likely —
but in crypto, “unlikely” doesn’t mean “impossible,” especially if the market is setting up a bull trap before the next major leg.
---
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
92,000 → Major Supply / Macro resistance
84,660 – 78,000 → Key Demand Zone / Buyer defense block
72,000 → Critical support & Wave (5) ideal target
55,000 → Deep support if a capitulation event unfolds
---
📊 Why This Pattern Matters
A 5-wave impulsive decline typically appears at either:
The beginning of a major correction, or
The end of a macro bullish expansion
If BTC reaches 72k:
It could become the largest accumulation zone before the next bull expansion
Or signal the completion of the previous macro cycle
Either way, the next move will shape BTC’s direction for the next 6–12 months.
---
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCAnalysis #CryptoOutlook #ElliottWave #PriceAction #CryptoMarket #BTCBearish #BTCBullish #MarketStructure #CryptoTA
2021 vs 2025: Bitcoin Showing a Similar Macro StructureBitcoin is showing a price structure very similar to the 2021 macro top, where BTC formed a dead-cat bounce from the 100 EMA before beginning a major correction.
On the current cycle, BTC is once again testing the 100 EMA, and the price reaction looks very similar to the 2021 pattern: a brief bounce followed by continued downside pressure.
Key Points:
- 2021 Pattern: BTC bounced from the 100 EMA before the macro crash.
- 2025 Price Action: Showing a similar bounce and reject structure at the same weekly EMA.
- Major Weekly Resistance: Market showing exhaustion and lower-high structure, just like previous cycle tops.
- Potential Dead-Cat Bounce: We could see a bounce toward the $100K–$107K zone before the downtrend continues.
- Possible Repeat Scenario: If BTC fails to hold above the 100 EMA, history suggests a deeper correction may follow.
Cheers
Hexa
BTC: Bottoming ConsolidationBTCUSD is staging a weak rebound from the lows and oscillating around the $90,000 mark today. Overall, it has yet to break free from the recent sharp correction trend. Meanwhile, technical indicators are showing oversold rebound signals, while pressures from the macroeconomic and capital sides are significantly restricting the upside potential.
Currently, the 90,000 level serves as a key battleground. Having acted as a crucial support level after the previous breakdown, this level has now become a critical psychological resistance during the ongoing rebound. The immediate resistance zone at 93,500 remains effective, with a further resistance level at 95,000. On the downside, the key support lies at 89,000. A break below this level will most likely trigger a new round of sell-offs, subsequently testing the support range between 80,000 and 85,000.
In the short term, BTCUSD is likely to continue its sideways consolidation to build a bottom. If it can hold firm at the 90,000 level and the macro environment eases—such as the Federal Reserve issuing dovish signals or the resumption of capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs—the price is expected to rebound to the range of 95,000 - 100,000. However, if a black swan event like the Federal Reserve adopting a more hawkish stance occurs, the price may breach the 88,000 support level and slide further to test the 75,000 - 80,000 range.
Sell 93000 - 93500
SL 94000
TP 90000 - 89500 - 89000
Buy 89000 - 89500
SL 88000
TP 92000 - 92500 - 93000
BTC/USDT - Make-or-Break Demand Zone: Reversal or Breakdown?Bitcoin is now entering one of the most critical zones of its mid-term market structure. After a sharp decline from the 126k peak, price is sliding into the major demand block at 83,000–78,000, a region that previously acted as a springboard for the rally earlier this year.
This 3D chart clearly highlights a structural decision point:
➡️ Hold this zone → strong bullish continuation potential
➡️ Lose this zone → the market opens room for a deeper macro correction
The next few candles in this zone will shape the direction of the entire Q4–Q1 trend.
---
Why This Yellow Block Matters
The 83k–78k zone is not random. It represents:
The origin of a previous rally, where institutional buying stepped in aggressively
A macro demand cluster, confirmed by multiple touches and consolidations
A liquidity “rebalance zone”, often retested before trend continuation
A structural higher-low area in the broader bullish cycle
If BTC wants to maintain a macro uptrend, this is where buyers must show up.
---
Market Structure & Pattern Description
The chart shows a macro uptrend, followed by a deep correction from the top.
Price is now approaching the key retracement zone of the previous expansion.
This area previously formed a base pattern before the 50k → 126k breakout.
Candles entering the demand zone show seller exhaustion signals, but no confirmation yet.
A reversal pattern here (engulfing, long-wick rejection, inside bar break) would be the first bullish signal.
A clean 3D close below 78k would convert this demand zone into supply — a strongly bearish structural shift.
This is the type of zone where trends are born or destroyed.
---
Bullish Scenario (Reversal from 83k–78k)
For the bullish thesis to remain valid:
🔥 Conditions Needed
Rejection wick or bullish engulfing on the 3D timeframe
Higher low confirmation on daily
Return above key short-term resistance around 92,400
🎯 Bullish Targets
TP1: 92,000 (short-term reclaim)
TP2: 110,000 (macro mid-range)
TP3: 126,000 (previous high → breakout zone)
If buyers defend this zone, BTC maintains its macro bullish structure.
❌ Bullish Invalidation
A 3D full-body close below 78,000
Followed by failed attempts to reclaim the zone
---
Bearish Scenario (Breakdown of 78k)
If price fails to hold the demand block:
🔥 Breakdown Confirmation
Strong 3D candle close under 78k
Retest of 78k–83k as resistance
Increasing selling volume
🎯 Bearish Targets
Target 1: 72,000 (major liquidity zone)
Target 2: 62,000 range
Target 3: 49,000 (macro support from prior cycle)
A breakdown here would confirm a macro correction, not just a pullback.
❌ Bearish Invalidation
Price quickly reclaims 80k–83k with momentum
Failed retest turns into a deviation
---
Trading Notes
This is a macro (3D) zone — be patient.
Let confirmation develop, avoid knife-catching.
Use wide stops; 3D signals require larger breathing room.
Watch volume:
Increasing volume near the bottom = accumulation
Increasing volume on breakdown = distribution
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTC #CryptoMarket
#PriceAction #DemandZone #CryptoTA #BullishScenario #BearishScenario #MarketStructure #CryptoOutlook #MacroAnalysis
Bitcoin Downtrend UpdateAlright friends, Bitcoin has confirmed its intention to move toward 86,000 and lower.
My previous forecast with the invalidation zone at 96,600 is still valid, but I decided to make a fresh post.
At the moment, my new invalidation level is 96,012.5.
From a broader perspective, I’m still expecting Bitcoin to reach 83,000.
But as I mentioned earlier, we first need to see 86,000 tested — because once that level is hit, Bitcoin may go into a correction before continuing toward 83,000 and below.
Yes-yes, I do expect it even lower, but more on that in the upcoming updates.
Make sure to follow so you don’t miss them
Bitcoin RSI Oversold Again - Is Another bounce Coming?Bitcoin chart highlights a repeating pattern on Bitcoin’s daily timeframe: every time the RSI drops into oversold territory (below 30), it has historically marked a major local bottom followed by a strong recovery.
On the price chart above, each green arrow represents a previous swing low. On the RSI panel, the boxed areas show moments when RSI dipped below 30. Every one of these events has been followed by a noticeable rebound in Bitcoin’s price.
We are now seeing the same setup again. RSI has once again fallen into the oversold zone, aligning with another green arrow on the chart. If history repeats, we could see a similar recovery this time too, just as Bitcoin has done consistently over previous cycles.
Key Points
- Historically on the daily chart, whenever RSI dropped below 30, Bitcoin experienced a recovery soon after.
- The current RSI reading is tapping this same level again.
- This confluence suggests a potential bottoming zone and possible trend reversal.
- While not a guarantee, the pattern has been reliable across multiple past cycles.
Cheers
hexa
BTC Short-Term Weakness PersistsBTC continued to decline last week, not only breaking below key support levels but also erasing all its year-to-date gains. Affected by multiple factors including capital outflows, macroeconomic conditions and technical trends, the short-term market remains in a bear-dominated weak pattern.
Today, Bitcoin opened near the bottom and staged a slight rebound, but the technical picture still shows a clear bearish dominance with downward momentum not yet fully exhausted. The previous key support level of 94,000 has been breached, and the next support lies around 92,800. If this level is broken, the price may fall further. On the upside, short-term resistance is concentrated in the 98,000-100,000 range, and a breakthrough in the short term is highly challenging.
Sell 96,000 - 97,000
SL 98,000
TP 94,000 - 94,500
Buy 92,800 - 93,500
SL 92,000
TP 94,500 - 95,000
BTC Daily View 17.11Hey friends! How’s your trading week starting off?
In my last Bitcoin post, I shifted my invalidation zone from 96,600 to 95,545 and said that if 95,545 breaks, then 96,600 won’t hold either.
Well… it broke — so I revisited the chart.
Now I think the correction after the drop should be bigger than I first expected.
For now, I’m looking at a move up toward 98,400, and then a possible continuation of the downtrend.
I still see two paths — along the orange and purple arrows.
❌ Invalidation zone: 94,850
⚠️ Not financial advice — just sharing my view.
Trade your own plan, always use stops.
⭐ Follow for updates
💬 Drop a reaction in the comments!
BTC Daily View 17.11Friends, as you may remember from my previous Bitcoin updates, I’m expecting BTC to reach 83k. At the moment, in my view, Bitcoin is already preparing for this move down.
However, for now my main target is 86k — I think BTC currently has enough momentum only to drop to that level. Before we see 83k, it will likely need to build more energy.
So after hitting 86k, I expect a correction — probably a prolonged one. But let’s see what the market gives us.
🎯For now, my target remains 86k.
❌Invalidation zone: 96,600
⚠️Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Please make your own decisions according to your own trading rules, and never trade without stop-losses.
🗯️If you find my ideas helpful, please leave a reaction and write a comment — your support really matters to me
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Long Bias AnalysisPrice is currently trading inside a key demand zone where buyers previously showed strong interest. After the recent sell-off, BTC has stabilized around this support area and is now showing signs of accumulation, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside.
From my current entry zone, I expect Bitcoin to push higher and target the previous major high around 107,465.98, which aligns with the bullish zone highlighted on the chart. This area represents the next significant liquidity pocket where price may look to tap before any deeper correction.
My stop loss is set at 94,016.34, positioned safely below the support zone to protect the trade in case of unexpected downside continuation. As long as price holds above this level and maintains structure, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Overall, I’m looking for BTC to build momentum from this zone and drive upward toward the high, in line with the broader market structure shown on the chart.
BTC Extends Weak Volatile DeclineBTC witnessed a slight decline with certain price fluctuations today, continuing its recent correction trend. This price drop is a continuation of the ongoing downward trajectory.
Bitcoin had already recorded a significant fall on November 14th. Prior to that, Bitcoin ETFs saw a massive net outflow of approximately 870 million US dollars on November 13th, marking the second-largest single-day withdrawal since the launch of such funds.
Coupled with the market's reevaluation of expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, this has exerted sustained pressure on high-risk assets like Bitcoin, consequently leading to the continuation of the correction trend for Bitcoin's price today.
Today, BTC maintained a weak volatile downward pattern. In the short term, it is constrained by factors such as ETF capital outflows and adjustments to macroeconomic expectations. For the subsequent trend, close attention should be paid to the stability of the support level around 94,000, as well as the shifts in institutional capital flows and marginal changes in macro market sentiment.
BTC 1D Update: Stop shorting! The bear market not started yet.Bitcoin has retraced from its recent highs, but this is a healthy correction, not the start of a bear market yet. The price is currently testing a critical area of support.
We are now sitting right on the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous major bullish wave. At the same time we are printing a HL on the daily timeframe. Hence, our daily bullish structure is still not broken yet.
A strong bounce off this $90,000 - 61.8% confirms that the recent downturn was simply a correction.
A sustained break and close below $90,000 would invalidate this bullish bias, potentially confirming the start of a true bear market phase.
Shorting Is Dangerous Here
The current price action is highly volatile, but the technical probability favors a bounce from this key level. Its like catching falling knives at this point.
My Bias: BULLISH above $90,000. Wait for confirmation of a strong close above current resistance before entering Long, or look for Long entries near the $90K mark with a tight stop.
Good Luck!
