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Weekly BTCUSD Trend SummaryThis week, BTCUSD launched a strong rebound following a previous sharp decline, but later pulled back after hitting resistance, presenting an overall oscillatory recovery pattern characterized by "rebound – rally – pullback." 1. Early-Week Oversold Rebound with Intense Long-Short Dynamics (November 24) At the start of the week, BTCUSD extended its oversold rebound after touching a 7-month low of $80,600 the prior week. Prices briefly broke above $88,000 in the morning, with an intraday peak gain of 3.85%; however, the market pulled back in the afternoon, slipping below $86,000 to turn slightly negative. 2. Mid-Week Oscillatory Uptrend as Bearish Momentum Faded (November 25 – 26) November 25: Prices traded around $88,000, approaching the key resistance level of $90,000, forming a three-day consecutive rebound on the daily chart. November 26: A bullish rally emerged in the evening, with prices surging approximately 5,000 points to successfully break through the $90,000 mark. However, the rally lacked subsequent volume support, preventing prices from extending further into higher ranges and laying the groundwork for a subsequent pullback. 3. Late-Week Rally Followed by Pullback, Halted at Key Resistance (November 29 – 30) In the latter half of the week, the market experienced a turning point. On the morning of November 29 (Friday), prices touched a weekly high of $93,092 but immediately pulled back. Subsequently, prices retreated to around $90,000 to seek support, testing the validity of the $90,000 – $91,000 support range. From a market analysis perspective, the area around $93,000 represents the high of a consolidation range following multiple previous pullbacks, featuring strong resistance. Overall Outlook & Key Drivers Overall, BTCUSD staged a significant rebound from recent lows this week, but the lack of sufficient volume during the rebound was a prominent issue. Going forward, focus should be on whether prices can hold above the $90,000 support level—if broken, a further pullback may ensue. Conversely, if BTCUSD can regroup and break through the key level of $93,500, it may attempt to challenge the two-month downtrend line around $96,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by KingArthur_
BTCUSD: Test the resistance zone of 89,000 - 90,000BTC is in a phase of sideways consolidation following a rebound. Its price fluctuates within the trading range of 88,000 - 89,000. Although the bulls still possess upward momentum, the obvious resistance lies ahead. Meanwhile, the market sentiment has been gradually recovering from the previous panic, and the overall market is in a pattern where both bulls and bears are conducting cautious tentative moves. After stabilizing around the 85,000 level earlier this week, the asset has launched a three - consecutive - day rebound, with a relatively solid support level in place. Focus on the short - term resistance zone of 89,000 - 90,000 ahead. If this zone is broken through, the price may surge towards the range of 92,000 - 94,000. Buy 85500 - 86000 SL 85000 TP 87000 - 88000 Sell 89000 - 89500 SL 90500 TP 86000 - 85000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by KingArthur_
BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Bitcoin is bearish for now at least! Bitcoin is in distribution phase if we using the smart money concept, that is why we think price is at the final point before it drop faster. There will be mixed views regarding the bitcoin, but this is our personal view and which is more likely view compare to buying. Please use accurate risk management while trading bitcoin. This setup may take time to get it completed, and we will keep you guys updated. Good luck and trade safe! Team Setupsfx_
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
36
BTC/USDT — Bearish Impulse Structure Near Completion, Is Wave 5?Bitcoin is entering one of its most decisive phases since reaching its recent cycle high. On the 3-Day timeframe, the price is forming a clear 5-wave bearish impulse, and the entire structure is now converging into one critical question: Are we standing right at the edge of the “final flush” into Wave (5)? --- 📌 The Bigger Picture After peaking in the 120–126k region, BTC entered a distribution phase that triggered a sharp decline into Wave (1). The rebound into Wave (2) failed to break new highs — a strong confirmation that the market lost bullish strength. Now the price is trapped between: Major Supply Zone (~92k) → Historical distribution block with heavy seller presence Key Demand Zone (84.6k–78k) → Critical retest zone that acts as the last defensive wall for mid-term buyers From here, the market narrative becomes very clear: If BTC loses the 84–78k zone, Wave (5) becomes highly probable — targeting 72k, with an extended risk toward 55k if capitulation unfolds. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario — “The Final Flush” This is the dominant scenario if the impulse structure continues to hold. 1. Strong rejection from the 92k Supply Zone If BTC fails to reclaim 92k on a 3D close, Wave (4) is likely complete. 2. Breakdown below 84–78k This signals buyer exhaustion and confirms momentum toward Wave (5). 3. Wave (5) targets: 72k → primary target 55k → extreme capitulation target (similar to 2019 or 2021 flushes) This scenario becomes fully validated with a decisive 3D close below 84k. Volume confirmation will be crucial. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario — “Wave Failure & Trap Reversal” For BTC to invalidate the bearish structure, buyers must deliver a strong response: 1. A powerful bounce from the 84.6k–78k zone Not just a wick, but a 3D bullish engulfing with strong volume. 2. A clean break + 3D close above 92k This invalidates the bearish wave count and opens the door to 105–110k. 3. Formation of a new Higher Low above 84k A structural confirmation that bulls regain control. This bullish scenario is less likely — but in crypto, “unlikely” doesn’t mean “impossible,” especially if the market is setting up a bull trap before the next major leg. --- 🎯 Key Levels to Watch 92,000 → Major Supply / Macro resistance 84,660 – 78,000 → Key Demand Zone / Buyer defense block 72,000 → Critical support & Wave (5) ideal target 55,000 → Deep support if a capitulation event unfolds --- 📊 Why This Pattern Matters A 5-wave impulsive decline typically appears at either: The beginning of a major correction, or The end of a macro bullish expansion If BTC reaches 72k: It could become the largest accumulation zone before the next bull expansion Or signal the completion of the previous macro cycle Either way, the next move will shape BTC’s direction for the next 6–12 months. --- #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCAnalysis #CryptoOutlook #ElliottWave #PriceAction #CryptoMarket #BTCBearish #BTCBullish #MarketStructure #CryptoTA
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoNuclear
BTC: Bottoming ConsolidationBTCUSD is staging a weak rebound from the lows and oscillating around the $90,000 mark today. Overall, it has yet to break free from the recent sharp correction trend. Meanwhile, technical indicators are showing oversold rebound signals, while pressures from the macroeconomic and capital sides are significantly restricting the upside potential. Currently, the 90,000 level serves as a key battleground. Having acted as a crucial support level after the previous breakdown, this level has now become a critical psychological resistance during the ongoing rebound. The immediate resistance zone at 93,500 remains effective, with a further resistance level at 95,000. On the downside, the key support lies at 89,000. A break below this level will most likely trigger a new round of sell-offs, subsequently testing the support range between 80,000 and 85,000. In the short term, BTCUSD is likely to continue its sideways consolidation to build a bottom. If it can hold firm at the 90,000 level and the macro environment eases—such as the Federal Reserve issuing dovish signals or the resumption of capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs—the price is expected to rebound to the range of 95,000 - 100,000. However, if a black swan event like the Federal Reserve adopting a more hawkish stance occurs, the price may breach the 88,000 support level and slide further to test the 75,000 - 80,000 range. Sell 93000 - 93500 SL 94000 TP 90000 - 89500 - 89000 Buy 89000 - 89500 SL 88000 TP 92000 - 92500 - 93000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KingArthur_
BTC Short-Term Weakness PersistsBTC continued to decline last week, not only breaking below key support levels but also erasing all its year-to-date gains. Affected by multiple factors including capital outflows, macroeconomic conditions and technical trends, the short-term market remains in a bear-dominated weak pattern. Today, Bitcoin opened near the bottom and staged a slight rebound, but the technical picture still shows a clear bearish dominance with downward momentum not yet fully exhausted. The previous key support level of 94,000 has been breached, and the next support lies around 92,800. If this level is broken, the price may fall further. On the upside, short-term resistance is concentrated in the 98,000-100,000 range, and a breakthrough in the short term is highly challenging. Sell 96,000 - 97,000 SL 98,000 TP 94,000 - 94,500 Buy 92,800 - 93,500 SL 92,000 TP 94,500 - 95,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KingArthur_
BTC Extends Weak Volatile DeclineBTC witnessed a slight decline with certain price fluctuations today, continuing its recent correction trend. This price drop is a continuation of the ongoing downward trajectory. Bitcoin had already recorded a significant fall on November 14th. Prior to that, Bitcoin ETFs saw a massive net outflow of approximately 870 million US dollars on November 13th, marking the second-largest single-day withdrawal since the launch of such funds. Coupled with the market's reevaluation of expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, this has exerted sustained pressure on high-risk assets like Bitcoin, consequently leading to the continuation of the correction trend for Bitcoin's price today. Today, BTC maintained a weak volatile downward pattern. In the short term, it is constrained by factors such as ETF capital outflows and adjustments to macroeconomic expectations. For the subsequent trend, close attention should be paid to the stability of the support level around 94,000, as well as the shifts in institutional capital flows and marginal changes in macro market sentiment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KingArthur_
BTCUSD: Sharp DropBTCUSD showed a sharp decline today, breaking below the key psychological level of 100,000, with violent intraday volatility. Both technical and capital flows indicate a bearish bias. After opening, the price did not continue the previous consolidation trend; although there were brief signs of stabilization in the morning, it subsequently entered a downward trajectory. The 100,000 level had been a crucial psychological support for the market. After breaking below this level today, the price further dropped to 95,853 and failed to rebound quickly to reclaim the lost ground. Combined with the 4-hour technical structure where BTC has been in a descending channel, the persistent downward pressure from the 20-period and 60-period moving averages remains unresolved. Following this breach of key support, there may be further downside pressure ahead. Going forward, focus on the support strength around 95,000. A breakdown below this level could trigger a new round of selling; if it stabilizes here, a short-term technical rebound may occur, but the overall weak pattern is unlikely to reverse easily in the near term. Trading Strategy: Buy 95,000 - 95,500 SL 94,500 TP 98,000 - 99,000 - 100,000 Sell 99,500 - 100,000 SL 100,500 TP 98,000 - 97,000 - 96,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KingArthur_
BTCUSD: Narrow-range consolidationToday, BTCUSD overall showed a trend of bottoming out with a slight rebound followed by a narrow-range consolidation, with price movements being volatile and fluctuating. In the morning, prices remained under pressure, fluctuating below 103,500, then rebounded quickly, but the upward momentum was weak, encountering obvious resistance below 105,500. The short-term resistance above focuses around 106,000. Only a breakthrough of this level accompanied by increased trading volume can confirm a short-term reversal signal. Further resistance can be watched at 108,000; a firm hold above this level would give bulls the opportunity for a sustained rebound. For support below, close attention should be paid to 102,000. If this support level is breached, prices may further test 99,800. As a key psychological and technical support level, a break below 100,000 could trigger more stop-loss orders, exacerbating downward pressure. Currently, BTC's short-term trend is relatively weak but supported, and it is likely to consolidate in the 102,000 - 105,500 range. In terms of operation, it is recommended to adopt a strategy of buying low and selling high with quick entries and exits. Do not blindly chase the upward trend; instead, patiently wait for prices to break through key ranges with increased volume and for the trend to clarify before adjusting positions to reduce trading risks. Trading Strategy: Buy 103,000 - 103,500 SL 102,500 TP 104,500 - 105,000 - 105,500 Sell 105,500 - 106,000 SL 106,500 TP 104,500 - 104,000 - 103,500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by KingArthur_
BTCUSD: Overall trend is moving downwardLooking at the candlestick chart, Bitcoin has formed a potential M-top or double top pattern, which is a typical top reversal signal. Currently, the price has broken below all short-term moving averages, indicating obvious weakness. Yesterday, it is consistent with my analysis. BTC broke below the short-term support at 102,000, fell to around 100,000 where it found support and rebounded. However, this also showed an overall downward shift in the trend, with yesterday’s short-term support at 102,000 having turned into today’s resistance. Overall, I predict that Bitcoin will continue its overall downward trend today. The short-term support is at 100,000, and a break below this level would target 98,000. For resistance above, we still focus on 105,000 in the short term, with key attention on 108,000. Only a breakthrough and a firm hold above 108,000 could lead to sustained gains. Buy 100,000 - 100,500 SL 99,000 TP 102,000 - 102,500 - 103,000 Sell 103,500 - 104,000 SL 104,500 TP 102,000 - 101,500 - 101,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KingArthur_
BTCUSD: Consolidation is the main theme todayYesterday, BTC saw intense battles around the psychological threshold of 100,000. During the session, it once broke below the key support at 99,500, then rebounded to around 104,000. Today, it pulled back to around 102,000 at the opening of the Asian session and began to consolidate again. On the upside, the 105,000-105,500 zone forms a crucial resistance range. Only a daily close firmly above this level can confirm the reversal of the short-term downtrend. For today's short-term support, we still focus on 100,000. If it breaks below 100,000, we need to pay key attention to the supporting role of 98,000. Buy 100,500 - 101,000 SL 100,000 TP 102,000 - 102,500 - 103,000 Sell 103,000 - 103,500 SL 104,000 TP 101,500 - 101,000 - 100,500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KingArthur_
BTC is pulling back to test support levelsToday, BTC has shown an overall volatile trend. A death cross signal has appeared on the daily chart, with short-term moving averages forming a bearish alignment, indicating a short-term bearish trend. Overall, BTC has clearly entered a correction phase in the short term, and the price may continue to test lower support levels. We will pay short-term attention to the support at 102,000, with key focus on the critical support at 100,000. For resistance above, the short-term level is at 105,000, and the key level to watch is 108,000. If it can stand firmly above 108,000, a rebound into an upward trend may occur. Buy 102,000 - 102,500 SL 101,000 TP 103,500 - 104,000 Sell 104,500 - 104,000 SL 105,000 TP 103,000 - 102,500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KingArthur_
#BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Swing Buy, Price Heading Towards Previous HH!Bitcoin is nearing a previous high of 126K. As of the latest data, it trades around 112K, with a 24-hour volume of $38 billion and a market capitalisation of $2.1 trillion. However, before reaching that level, it’s likely to correct towards our entry zone between 108K and 110K. This level is significant because we anticipate a substantial increase in market volume. Historical data shows that similar corrections have led to a 15–20% increase in trading activity. On-chain metrics indicate a 7% rise in active wallets over the past week, and institutional inflows totalled approximately $1.3 billion in the last seven days. The Bitcoin dominance index currently sits at 54%, suggesting continued interest despite broader market fluctuations. This short-term view allows us to observe the price accumulating and on the verge of distribution. Based on your trading style, you can select one of three targets: - Target 1: 118K (conservative) - Target 2: 122K (moderate) - Target 3: 126K (aggressive) We wish you the best of luck and trade safely. If you find our work helpful, please like and comment on our ideas. Team Setupsfx_
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
25
BTC: The overall trend remains oscillating upwardThe BTC is staying in the middle of the "support-resistance" range, with intense long-short competition, the overall trend remains oscillating upward From a technical pattern perspective, the short-term support lies between 109,000 and 108,000. There have been multiple rebounds after stabilizing in this support range, indicating relatively strong buying support below. The resistance level at 113,000, as a previous pressure level, could open a new upward space toward 115,000 if it is broken with volume. Considering the macroeconomic factors, if market risk appetite rises, Bitcoin is expected to test the resistance level upward based on the support range. If risk aversion heats up, we need to be vigilant about the risk of a pullback to test the support. 💎Trading Strategy： Buy 110,000 - 110,500 SL 109,500 TP 111,000 - 111,500 - 112,000 Sell 112,000 - 111,500 SL 111,000 TP 110,500 - 110,000 - 109,500 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
BTC/USD: Final wave before breakout or correction signal?BTC/USD: Final wave before breakout or correction signal? 📊 Monthly Technical Analysis — Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Using support/resistance levels and wave analysis 🌀 Wave Context According to the Elliott Wave Principle model, Bitcoin may be either in the final impulse wave (5) or at the start of an A-B-C corrective structure. Wave (4) is expected to have ended near the $100,000-$110,000 zone. If wave (5) starts, it could signal a significant upward move. Otherwise, a breakout of support could signal a correction. 📈 Monthly Scenarios Bullish scenario: BTC holds above $110,000 → breakout to $120,000 → start of wave (5) → move to $135,000+. Consolidation: The price moves sideways between ~$110,000 and ~$120,000, accumulating strength before a new move. Bearish scenario: Breakout of support at ~$110,000 with volume → correction to ~$100,000 or lower. ✅Conclusion On the monthly timeframe, BTC/USD is at a crossroads: it is either entering a powerful uptrend or a significant correction is beginning. The ~$110,000 level is a key marker for the continuation of the bullish structure. A breakout above $120,000 is a signal for growth. A breakout below $110,000 is a signal for caution. Monitor price movement relative to these levels and confirmation of the wave structure before making trading decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
BTC: Correct prediction today👏Our prediction for Bitcoin's short-term fluctuation characteristics has also been accurately validated today. ✔We indicated that it would fluctuate around the key range in the short term, and in reality, Bitcoin has shown obvious wide-ranging fluctuations today, which is in complete alignment with the preset oscillation pattern. ✔Meanwhile, the market's competition for key levels has also confirmed our judgment:after testing the high level, the price gradually pulled back and then rebounded, highlighting the suppressing effect of the upper resistance. Moreover, the "V-shaped" rebound trend during the session has further verified the effectiveness of the short-term support range, which is highly consistent with our core prediction logic that Bitcoin is in a "shock adjustment phase, with price movements dominated by key levels".
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
BTC:Oscillating upward📈The BTC price shows an oscillating upward trend, with the low points gradually rising. However, trading volume has slowed down, indicating a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market. 📝On the daily chart, after a sharp decline on the 22nd, the rebound momentum on the 23rd was weak, and the market is still in a consolidation phase overall. It is necessary to pay attention to whether it can break through the key moving averages. 💡From the perspective of moving averages, the value of MA10 is greater than that of MA30, indicating a certain upward tendency in the short-term trend. 🎉The intraday support range for BTC is around 105,500–106,000, and the intraday resistance range remains around 111,000–111,500. 💎Trading Strategy： Buy 107,500 - 108,000 SL 106,500 TP 109,000 - 110,500 - 111,000 Sell 110,000 - 110,500 SL 111,000 TP 109,500 - 108,500 - 107,500 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
BTC: Shows an obvious volatile trendToday, BTC’s situation is relatively complex, with intertwined bullish and bearish factors, showing a volatile trend. Price Movement: There has been sharp volatility, with rapid rises and falls. From the hourly chart, the price surged to around 114,000 last night, followed by a significant pullback from the highs, retesting the key support level around 107,500. Influencing Factors: News: The Federal Reserve held a meeting with payment companies to facilitate better institutional access to the stablecoin sector. This news triggered a short-term surge in Bitcoin prices. However, subsequent remarks by Trump proposing a 155% tariff led to a price decline. The uncertainty in news has had a significant impact on the market. Market Sentiment: The fear index stands at 25, indicating a tendency toward panic in market sentiment. Additionally, the large traders’ long-short ratio shows a slight dominance of bears at 52.34%, reflecting relatively stronger short-term bearish momentum in the market. Capital Flow: U.S. Bitcoin ETFs have seen net inflows exceeding $3.6 billion this month, the highest since January. Institutions like BlackRock continue to increase their holdings, forming bottom buying support for prices. However, the total open interest across the network has reached $48 billion, highlighting high leverage risks. A sharp price fluctuation could trigger massive contract liquidations, exacerbating market volatility. Technical Analysis: On the hourly timeframe, the MACD has re-formed a death cross pointing downward. Although the blue bars have shortened and started to turn red, indicating a partial shift in short-term momentum, bears still hold the overall advantage. The upper resistance level is around $111,000, and the lower support level is around $107,500. A break below this key support could lead to further downside. Trading Strategy: Focus on range-bound trading. Avoid taking positions at mid-range levels, exercise caution in chasing trends, and patiently wait for key levels to enter trades. Buy 107,500 - 108,500 SL 106,500 TP 109,500 - 110,500 - 111,500 Sell 111,000 - 110,500 SL 112,000 TP 109,500 - 108,500 - 107,500 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
BTC:Continuing to pull back📈Looking at the 4-hour candlestick chart, Bitcoin continued to pull back and decline today. The short-term support level remains in the 107,000-107,500 range, which has provided support multiple times during previous downward movements. If the price breaks below this range, it may further drop to around 105,000. The resistance level is in the 112,000-113,000 range; a breakthrough here is expected to open up more upward space. 📝In the long term, after Bitcoin's fourth halving in April 2024, its daily production dropped from 900 to 450 coins, with the inflation rate falling below 1% for the first time. This has further strengthened its scarcity. Combined with the surge in institutional demand, the supply-demand gap is expected to widen, supporting a long-term upward price trend. 💡However, in the short term, the contradiction between continuous institutional inflows and profit-taking by short-term holders may lead to certain price fluctuations. 💎Trading Strategy: Buy 107,000 - 107,500 SL 106,500 TP 108,000 - 109,000 - 110,000 Sell 111,500 - 111,000 SL 112,000 TP 110,000 - 109,000 - 108,000 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
Correct projection for BTCThe core conclusions of my analysis on Bitcoin today have all been verified by market trends, which can be summarized in three aspects: trend prediction, key level control, and trend logic: 1-Consistency with short-term trends: It was pointed out that "the 4-hour chart continues to pull back, with short-term support in the 107,000-107,500 range". Intraday BTC has continued to fluctuate around this support zone without breaking below the key level, and it was also noted that the resistance level is around 113,000，a breakthrough here is expected to open up more upward space. Today's fluctuations are completely in line with expectations. 2-Support from long-term logic: The long-term upward logic of "strengthened scarcity and expanded institutional demand after the 2024 halving" was reaffirmed. Although short-term fluctuations were affected by profit-taking, it has not deviated from the long-term positive framework. 3-We accurately captured "the restrictive effect of support and resistance levels on prices", with no deviations in judgments on "short-term fluctuation rhythm and long-term trend direction", effectively providing clear range and direction references for trading operations.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis