BTCUSDT — at Edge of the Trend: Bullish or the Next Bear Trap?Main Narrative
Bitcoin is standing at a critical crossroads. After a deep correction from the 126K peak, the price is now forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern — a classic setup that appears when the market holds its breath before a major move.
Pressure from both sides — a descending resistance from sellers above and an ascending support from buyers below — is squeezing the price closer to the apex, the point where a decisive breakout becomes inevitable.
The next movement will decide whether the bulls regain control or the bears reclaim dominance.
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Pattern & Structure Analysis
This triangle has formed after a strong downtrend, signaling a phase of consolidation and uncertainty.
There was one false breakout to the upside (yellow ×) — a typical liquidity trap where market makers lure buyers before pulling the price back inside the pattern.
Currently, Bitcoin remains trapped between:
Descending resistance (upper yellow line): around 110K–112K
Ascending support (lower yellow line): around 106.7K
This is a pressure zone — the longer the price stays inside, the more explosive the breakout will be once it happens.
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Key Levels
Main Resistance: 110K – 112K (breakout zone)
Primary Support: 106.7K (bulls’ last stand)
Secondary Support: 103.6K and 102.1K (critical continuation zone)
Bullish Targets: 116K–118K (retest of previous resistance), and up to 126K if momentum expands
Bearish Targets: 103K → 102K → potential breakdown continuation below 100K if selling pressure dominates
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Bullish Scenario — “Real Breakout or Just Another Trap?”
If the 4H candle closes above 112K with strong volume confirmation:
Buyers regain short-term control.
First target lies around 116K–118K (prior supply zone).
Sustained momentum could lift the price back toward 126K — the previous major high.
However, without volume confirmation, any breakout could turn into a second fake rally, often followed by a sharper decline.
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Bearish Scenario — “Support Break = Bearish Continuation”
If the price breaks below 106.7K, confirmed by a strong 4H close and rising sell volume:
The breakdown could drive the price toward 103.6K, then 102.1K.
A confirmed close below 102K may trigger panic selling and open a path toward the next psychological zone below 100K.
In this case, the triangle would represent a continuation pattern, not a reversal — signaling further downside.
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Market Psychology
This chart perfectly reflects a battle of patience between buyers and sellers.
The longer the consolidation lasts, the more energy builds up behind the next move.
Experienced traders know: long consolidations often end with violent breakouts.
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Strategy & Key Notes
Wait for a confirmed 4H candle close beyond the triangle with strong volume.
Breakouts without volume = traps.
Keep position size small until direction is confirmed.
Enter only after a successful breakout retest to reduce risk exposure.
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Conclusion
Bitcoin is entering a decisive phase.
A confirmed breakout above 112K could ignite a bullish run toward 116K–126K,
while a breakdown below 106K would confirm that the market is leaning back into a bearish phase.
This isn’t just another triangle — it’s a critical point that will define the medium-term trend for Bitcoin.
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