Can One Company Power America's Nuclear Future?BWX Technologies (BWXT) has positioned itself at the critical intersection of national security and energy infrastructure, establishing dominance in the advanced nuclear sector through strategic contracts and technological leadership. The company's Q3 2025 results reveal remarkable momentum, with revenue reaching $866 million (a 29% year-over-year increase) and total backlog surging to $7.4 billion, a 119% increase. With a book-to-bill ratio of 2.6 times, BWXT demonstrates demand substantially exceeding current capacity, driven by converging forces of decarbonization, electrification, and the explosive growth of AI power requirements.
BWXT's competitive moat extends across multiple dimensions. The company secured pivotal defense contracts worth $1.5 billion for domestic uranium enrichment and $1.6 billion for high-purity depleted uranium production, directly addressing America's strategic vulnerability to foreign fuel dependence. Leading Project Pele, the Department of Defense's first transportable microreactor prototype delivering 1-5 MW, BWXT is manufacturing the reactor core for 2027 delivery, aligned with Executive Order 14299's mandate to accelerate advanced nuclear deployment for national security and AI infrastructure. This first-mover advantage positions the company strongly for follow-on programs like Project JANUS, which aims to deploy a military installation reactor by September 2028.
The company's technical superiority centers on mastery of TRISO fuel manufacturing tristructural isotropic particles that cannot melt under reactor conditions and serve as self-contained safety systems. BWXT controls proprietary patents for specialized HALEU fuel element designs and maintains strategic partnerships with Northrop Grumman (control systems) and Rolls-Royce LibertyWorks (power conversion), ensuring compliance with stringent DoD cybersecurity standards. This integrated approach spanning fuel enrichment authorization, patented component design, validated manufacturing capabilities, and defense-grade partnerships creates formidable barriers to competition while capturing the multi-decade tailwind of institutional nuclear adoption mandated by federal policy and geopolitical necessity.
BWXT
BWXT: added to our 'Momentum, Growth & Innovation'-PortfolioBWXT has been added as a new trade to our 'Momentum, Growth & Innovation'-Portfolio with 10% of total equity.
Here is a detailed analysis of the trade:
Technical Observations:
BWXT is fluctuating above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which suggests an overall bullish trend. The Bollinger Bands indicate a range where the stock has been trading, with recent price action closer to the lower band, potentially offering a good entry point as per Minervini's strategy.
Volume and Price Action:
The volume seems to be lower on down days, which could indicate a lack of seller conviction. This can be seen as a positive sign if you're looking for a potential upward movement.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is not in the overbought territory, which means there could be room for upside before the stock is considered overbought.
Fundamental Factors: The market capitalization of $7.04B and a dividend yield of 1.19% suggest a stable company. A P/E ratio of 31.74 is on the higher side, indicating investors may expect higher earnings growth. The earnings per share (EPS) of $2.43 is a critical figure for evaluating the company's profitability.
Growth and Profitability: The fundamental slide indicates the company’s performance in terms of revenue, net income, and net margin percentage. It appears there has been some volatility in net income margins, which could be a risk factor.
Here is a link to the fundamental data of this trade:
www.tradingview.com
Position Sizing:
Using 10% of your equity for this trade aligns with the concept of position sizing, which is critical in Minervini's strategy. It's essential to manage this position carefully and be ready to cut losses if the trade goes against the expected trend.
2) Summary of Minervini Trading Strategy
Trend Template: Minervini emphasizes stocks in a strong uptrend, above key moving averages, and showing outperformance against the market.
Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP): He looks for stocks that have gone through periods of price contraction on lower volume, indicating potential for a breakout.
Relative Strength: The stock should be one of the market leaders, with a high relative strength rating.
Risk Management: Minervini is strict about cutting losses quickly to preserve capital. He advises setting a stop loss at the point where the original trade thesis is invalidated.
Entry and Exit Points: He advocates for entering trades as they break out from sound base patterns on higher volume, and exiting based on specific sell rules to capture the bulk of a stock’s advance without giving back significant gains.
Fundamental Analysis: While Minervini is a technical trader, he also considers strong fundamentals as a backbone for a stock's potential to succeed, looking for companies with strong earnings growth, return on equity, and profit margins.
BWX TECHNOLOGIES (BWXT) potential BOThe aerospace and defense industry continues to be relatively strong compared to the general market. A new setup that I will be following this week is BWX Technologies (BWXT):
BWXT retested the supply zone at 57 on 29.07 and this proves to be an important price level. You can see from the attached chart that the level was tested 4 times in recent months.
The stock might need a catalyst to break the supply zone and this catalyst could be just around the corner. Quarterly earnings report will be on 08.08 and in case the results prove to be positive, we might see BWXT flying higher.
BWXT - Momentum Upward channel breakdown from $59.73
BWXT seems breaking down from a long-term upward channel formation. Twiggs money flow crossed to the negative side. It also had lots of insider selling. We think it has good downside potential.
* Trade Criteria *
Date First Found- December 26, 2017
Pattern/Why- Upward channel breakdown
Entry Target Criteria- Break of $59.73
Exit Target Criteria- Momentum
Stop Loss Criteria- $63.24
Indicator Notes- Twiggs money flow crossed down to negative side.
Special Note- Lots of insider selling
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)





