The Process Notebook #1 — The Successful Trader’s RoutineThe Successful Friday's Trader Routine: Evaluate but Think in Blocks, Not Trades
Another trading week is about to end. For most traders, Friday means checking wins and losses. For professional traders, it means evaluating the system.
💡 Remember: a single trade means nothing.
Proper evaluation, to avoid emotional bias caused by variance, should always be done on blocks of trades (minimum 10–20).
But here’s the real twist: If you’re judging your system only by Win Rate (WR) or Reward-to-Risk (RR)… you’re missing the real picture.
A robust trading system needs to be monitored through a small set of key metrics that reflect not just how much you earn, but how consistent and reliable your edge truly is.
Here’s the minimum you should be tracking 👇
📈 Return Metrics (How much your system makes)
Expectancy (average return per trade): quantifies the true profitability of your edge.
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): shows long-term compounding efficiency.
Payoff Ratio (avg win / avg loss): evaluates quality of your wins vs. losses.
📉 V olatility & Risk Metrics (How stable your system is)
Standard Deviation of Returns: measures the variability of your outcomes.
Max Drawdown: identifies the deepest pain your account can face.
Recovery Factor (Net Profit / Max DD): shows resilience and system efficiency.
⚙️ Consistency Metrics (How repeatable your process is)
Sharpe Ratio: return per unit of volatility — higher = more efficient risk use.
Win/Loss Streak Distribution: reveals your emotional endurance threshold.
Trade Frequency Stability: checks if your system behaves consistently over time.
🧠 Why this matters
When you evaluate your trading in blocks (using statistics, not emotions), you detach from the noise and connect with your system’s real performance.
You stop judging yourself trade by trade… and start thinking like a risk
manager.
How do you evaluate your system — by emotion or by metrics?
CAGR
Yearly 14 PERCENT CAGR IS OLD SCHOOL get 6 percent CMGR -monthlyInd Renewable Energy Limited Formerly Known as Vakharia Power infrastructure Limited), a public company was incorporated on September 9, 2011 under the Companies Act, 1956. The Company is principally engaged in the business of Roof Top Solar Plant.
looking for 88 % ROI in this share indrenew in next 88*2 days Can add upto 14.6 rupees
can double its market cap from here onwards currently management facing compliance and corporate issues as of now but not for long time it will stay
spot 18 date 9 april 2024
mail for acuite investment methodology vijay at vijaymarketingg . com
thank you
Invest during crisis. Here’s why.Let's take Adidas shares as an example.
To date, since the company's IPO in April 1998 the CAGR is 4.4%.
At the IPO, the market price was 39.68 euros. 1.5 years later, in February 2000 – 70% less, 14.06 euros. CAGR would almost double: 9.6–9.8%.
Similarly, for example, all subsequent highs and lows: 6.1% vs. 11.1%, 3.1% vs. 8.7%.
Unfortunately, the probability of buying at the very bottom is small. But we have to try.
What about now?
THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
Cyber Security and BeyondLSE ISPY ETF
London Stock Exchange - L&G Cyber Security - Exchange-traded fund - Weekly view
In the post-COVID-19 scenario, the global cybersecurity market size is projected to grow from USD 217.9 Billion (£159.3 billion) in 2021 to USD 345.4 Billion / £252.5 billion by 2026, recording a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 9.7% from 2021 to 2026. The market's growth can be attributed to the increasing awareness and rising investments in cybersecurity infrastructure across global organisations operating across verticals.
Source: www.globenewswire.com
- ISPY ETF on the LSE since the start of 2020 (644 days) has grown by 85%.
- Time for profit has decreased across this year from 133 days to 63 days (blue) with time of consolidation remaining fairly level (red).
- 50 simple moving average & 200 simple moving average remain very healthy.
- Oscillator is in a flat top ascending triangle (bullish indicator).
- Buy and Sell cloud remains equal with no changes to ATH and lows.
Conclusion
Cyber security is a growing profession and market, as technology progresses so will online trading (stocks, index, futures crypto etc).
With development comes stability, with stability comes confidence, with confidence comes economical enhancement.
Value of ISPY is still very low (less than £20 / $27.36 (as of 15.10.21 at 0723). Whether you are a new to trading or a grounded professional. ISPY would be worth adding to your portfolio.
LSE requires full purchase of stocks.
US/Forex allows for fractional stocks.
SHOPIFY- land gracefully and REFUEL for more HIGH-FLYING ACTWho doesn't like the high-flying act? Sometimes, the proper rest is needed in order to soar even higher.
Shopify needs a deep pullback in order to draw in more trigger-scary investors who wait on the sideline.
Such parabolic movement is not sustainable with RSI hovers above 70 since early 2017 on the monthly timeframe.
Only one red bar in the last 14 monthly bars... It needs to cool down a bit.
For positional and long-term traders, check my pro & con list below.
Give me a like and follow me if you find my analysis useful. Much appreciated :D
Pro-
Strong CAGR
Dominate the e-commerce platform market by capturing the 31% market share
Growing gross merchandise volume- The value of all products sold by merchants on Shopify’s platform
Growing gross payment value through Shopify payment, creating an more integrated platform
Strengthened the Shopify fulfillment network with the acquisition of fulfillment automation company
Con-
Square partners up with UPS
Overvalued according to financial metrics (EV/EBITDA, P/S, P/E)
High burn rate that prioritizes growth over profitability (Weak EPS)
Negative free cash flow despite not heavily invest in R&D
Teradyne - Robotics & mobile test equipment buy at $30Teradyne is a mobile test equipment and robotics company, which are both growth CAGR area's over 24% in coming year and coming near full fibonacci retrenchment from June 2017. Current price is $31 and 29.88 was 2017 low, or round $30 entry. Can't see it going below this. TER IRBT NASDAQ:BRKS are a few other robotic stocks on NYSE.
About:
Teradyne, Inc. supplies automation equipment for test and industrial applications. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and sells automatic test systems used to test semiconductors, wireless products, data storage and complex electronics systems in the consumer electronics, wireless, automotive, industrial, communications, and aerospace and defense industries. Its segments include Semiconductor Test, which includes operations related to the design, manufacturing and marketing of semiconductor test products and services; System Test, which includes operations related to the design, manufacturing and marketing of products and services for defense/aerospace instrumentation test, storage test and circuit-board test; Wireless Test, which includes operations related to the design, manufacturing and marketing of wireless test products and services, and Industrial Automation, which includes operations related to the design, manufacturing and marketing of collaborative robots. Acquired high growth EU robotics company in last 5 years.
Div. Yield: 1.1%
Mkt Value: 6.0B Bottom of Large cap and room to grow.
Ent. Value: 5.2B and another reason hair below $30 expected before resistance.
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@pokethebear 95% stocks, <5% crypto mining & futures, Sector focus mostly small-mid cap, some large.






