Gold - Caution ahead of US PPI report | Priority on Sell setups🟡 XAU/USD – 10/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
US 10-year bond yields rebound, signaling the market is awaiting key inflation data.
At 07:30, US PPI report will be released – a crucial figure that could strongly influence FED rate expectations.
Investors are also eyeing US CPI in the coming days to assess the inflation outlook.
The US Supreme Court accepted Trump’s appeal, but this news has not yet had a notable impact on Gold.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Ahead of inflation data, Gold often tends to correct lower due to cautious sentiment.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Key Resistance):
Bearish OB: 3654 – 3660 (short-term upper cap)
ATH Watchtower: 3700 – 3702 (Sell Zone – possible new ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Strong Support):
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3602
OB Dock: 3582 – 3585
Currently, price is around 3640 – 3645, after a technical rebound from support. High probability that Gold will retest nearby resistance before a downward correction.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – Daily Priority)
Entry 1: 3654 – 3660
SL: 3668
TP: 3654 → 3650 → 3618 → 3610
Entry 2 – ATH Test: 3701 – 3703
SL: 3711
TP: 3688 → 3675 → 3665 → 365x
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Only at deep support)
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3603
SL: 3592
TP: 3610 → 3620 → 3630
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The golden ship faces turbulent seas today as it sails near Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3660) . Before the fierce winds called US PPI , sailors should prioritize dropping anchor with short-term SELL positions at resistance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3601 – 3603) remains a safe haven below, but only when the ship corrects deeply should it dock. On this voyage, Quick Boarding 🚤 is for scalp maneuvers, while the main current is still steered by the stormy waves of inflation.”
Captainvincent
Captain Vincent | Observing JPY & USD - Buy remains dominant - 🟡 XAU/USD – GOLD 08/09
Observing JPY & USD | Buy remains dominant
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
This morning, no new major updates.
Tonight’s US session (08/09) will also not release any significant data.
The latest market impact came from Japanese PM S. Ishiba’s resignation , which pressured JPY lower and slightly lifted the Dollar.
However, Gold only made a small correction and held steady.
➡️ Captain’s Summary: Dollar and JPY now have only indirect influence, not enough to push Gold into deep declines. The main trend remains supported for further upside.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Captain’s Shield (Main Support) :
Golden Harbor OB: 3542 – 3549
Main Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551
Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575
Storm Breaker (Resistance) :
Quick Boarding: 3602 – 3604 (Short-term Sell scalp)
Storm Breaker Peak: 3632 – 3634 (Sell zone – potential new ATH)
⏩ Price structure still maintains a bullish trend (continuous BOS ). Corrections mainly serve to attract liquidity before breaking into higher resistance zones.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority)
Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 | SL: 3542 | TP: 3553 → 3557 → 3560 → 3563 → 35xx
Liquidity Dock : 3573 – 3575 | SL: 3565 | TP: 3578 → 3581 → 3583 → 35xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term)
Entry: 3602 – 3604
SL: 3610
TP: 3600 → 3597 → 3594 → 3591 → 3588 → 35xx
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – New ATH)
Entry: 3632 – 3634
SL: 3640
TP: 3629 → 3625 → 3623 → 3619 → 361x
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship stays steady as the seas remain calm this morning, with no major news waves. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3549 – 3551) along with OB around 3542 is a safe haven for sailors following the bullish tide. Liquidity Dock ⚓ (3573 – 3575) is only a temporary anchor point before bullish winds carry the ship further. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3602 – 3604) is for those seeking short-term waves. And if the ship reaches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3632 – 3634) , that could mark a new peak – but the greater journey is still northward with the bullish sails filled with wind.”
CaptainVincent | Gold in a tug-of-war amid new geopolitical bloc1. News Waves 🌍
At a 2-day summit in Shanghai, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping announced that India and China will become development partners instead of rivals.
The summit also included Russia and four Central Asian countries, aiming to establish a Global South bloc to counterbalance the U.S. and the West.
👉 This highlights a geopolitical power shift, raising concerns over global polarization → gold maintains its safe-haven appeal.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
On the H2 chart, gold has printed Higher Highs after its recent strong breakout.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3511 – 3518): strong resistance, potential supply if retested.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3450 – 3448): confluence of FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , key support for a rebound.
Main trend: gold may continue ranging within 3450 – 3510 before choosing a major direction.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction)
Entry: 3511 – 3508
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 → 3500 → 3497 → 349x → 348x
🏝️ Golden Harbor (BUY Zone – strong support)
Entry: 3450 – 3448
SL: 3440
TP: 3453 → 3456 → 3459 → 3462 → 346x
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
“Political news continues to stir the gold sea 🌊. Bears are waiting at Storm Breaker 3511 , but the safe harbor remains Golden Harbor 3450 – 3448 . In an unpredictable environment, prioritize short-term SELL setups to ride with safe-haven flows, instead of recklessly challenging the rough waves.”
XAU/USD – Gold holds 3400, waiting for breakout or pullback?⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
FED turns dovish, gold tests a new Storm Breaker
1. News Waves 🌍
FED – Waller: “Tariffs are a tax and do not increase inflation. I’m back with the ‘transitory’ team on inflation.”
👉 A clear signal supporting a 25bps rate cut in September , with the possibility of 1–2 more cuts in the next 3–6 months.
U.S. Senate: preparing hearings for the new FED nominee S. Miran on September 4 → political & monetary spotlight.
Tonight: markets await PCE data , the FED’s preferred inflation gauge.
➡️ Summary: FED leans dovish, supporting gold in the medium term. But in the short term, price still faces profit-taking pressure near resistance.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
On H1, gold has been forming consecutive bullish BOS and has broken above 3,400.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3375 – 3373): large volume accumulation, confluence with FVG → strong entry if price retraces.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3432 – 343x): near previous ATH, likely to face heavy supply if tested.
Key levels:
3375 = critical anchor support.
3438 = target resistance if gold continues higher.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY Zone – Priority)
Entry: 3375 – 3373
SL: 3365
TP: 3378 → 3381 → 3384 → 3387 → 33xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Zone – previous ATH reaction)
Entry: 3432 – 343x
SL: 3442
TP: 3428 → 3425 → 3423 → 3420 → 33xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
“The gold ship has crossed 3400, but Storm Breaker 🌊 343x remains a tough challenge. If corrective waves appear, be patient at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to board the journey toward a more bullish September.”
Gold Plan M15 – Captain VincentContext:
The M15 chart shows price currently sitting right at the Premium Supply zone — a level that has repeatedly held and triggered bullish reactions in the past. However, with the short-term trend leaning bearish, this zone may no longer serve as a strong “shield.”
Today’s focus:
Sell in line with the main downtrend at the nearest resistance zone.
Buy from deeper levels if price breaks support and forms an FVG gap below.
1. Sell Zone – Premium Defense 🛡️
Entry: 3345 – 3347
SL: 3351
TP: 3343 → 3340 → 3337 → 3333 → 33xx
Meaning: A short-term resistance area, ideal for selling in line with the bearish momentum.
2. Buy Setup – Hidden FVG ⚓
Entry: Will wait at the lower FVG zone (to be updated once price approaches).
Meaning: If price breaks through the current Supply zone, shift bias to Buy at the lower FVG, taking advantage of a technical rebound.
Scenarios for today:
If price retests 3345 – 3347 → Sell with the trend.
If price breaks the Premium Supply zone → Watch for rebound strength and prepare to Buy at the lower FVG.
If neither zone is reached → Stay out, wait for a clear signal.
Captain’s Note:
“Lower timeframes like M15 are often stormy seas 🌊. Keep discipline: Sell only at the right zones, Buy only at the right levels, and never FOMO in the middle of the ocean. 🏴☠️”