Get started

Captainvincent

XAUUSD M45: SELL at OB 4.331–4.339, BUY at 4.306–4.3121) Market Context (M45) – SMC & Price Structure The spike up followed by a strong sell-off is a liquidity event (liquidity sweep), creating a clear bearish displacement. After the sell-off, the price is retracing in a pullback/retest manner → prioritize the strategy “SELL retracement at supply zone,” or “BUY reaction at demand zone” if there is a sweep down. 2) Key Levels Liquidity Sell (liquidity peak): 4.367.982 OB Bearish (Sell Zone): 4.331.123 – 4.338.610 Liquidity Support (Demand): 4.312.463 – 4.306.358 Current reference price: ~4.326 (currently in the middle of the range, not an optimal entry point) 3) Trading Plan Scenario A – SELL at OB Bearish (priority) If the price retraces to the 4.331 – 4.339 zone and shows rejection signals: pinbar / shadow downward engulfing or bearish ChoCH on M15–M45 Then prioritize SELL following the retracement in the short-term bearish structure. Reference targets: TP1: 4.312 TP2: 4.306 Invalidation: M45 candle closes firmly above 4.339 and holds → stop the SELL idea. Scenario B – BUY at Liquidity Support (reversal scenario) If the price is pulled down to the 4.312 – 4.306 zone and shows signs of sweep + reclaim (piercing down then closing back up the zone). Upon confirmation, watch for BUY retracement. Reference targets: TP1: 4.331 TP2: 4.339 Note: if the price touches the OB Bearish again without breaking it, prioritize closing and observing the reaction. Scenario C – Sweep up to Liquidity Sell 4.368 then reverse If the price breaks above OB Bearish and continues to run liquidity up to 4.368. The 4.368 zone is suitable for finding a sell reaction (only SELL with confirmation signals). 4) News on 18/12 affecting gold On 18/12, there is US CPI (November): the most impactful news on gold as it directly affects interest rate expectations, yields, and USD. On the same day, there are usually Initial Jobless Claims and activity indicators (e.g., Philly Fed), which can easily create short-term spikes for XAUUSD. After the CPI day, the market often exhibits liquidity sweeps on both ends before choosing a direction → avoid FOMO, prioritize trading at the right zone. 5) Quick Conclusion Short-term bias: prioritize SELL retracement at OB 4.331–4.339 until the price strongly reclaims above. Defensive scenario: BUY reaction at 4.312–4.306 if there is a sweep + confirmation. Avoid entering trades in the middle of the range; wait for “right zone – right signal.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD M30: Watch for BUY at 4.317–4.303, target 4.337–4.3461) Market Context (M30) – SMC & Price Structure • The chart is on the M30 timeframe (not H1). • After the impulsive move up, price has entered a consolidation / corrective phase , with BOS and ChoCH signals indicating a rotation of order flow around the equilibrium zone. • Price is currently trading in the middle of the range, so the optimal approach is to wait for price to return to Demand/OB or wait for a sweep into Supply before making decisions. 2) Key Levels • Supply / $$$ (upper targets): 4,346.655 • Intermediate Supply: 4,337.166 • OB Buy (Demand 1): 4,317–4,315 (tag 4,317.623) • BUY Swing (Demand 2 – deeper): 4,303–4,305 (tag 4,303.099) • Risk reference: SL reference at 4,289 3) Trading Scenarios (SMC – conditional setups) Scenario A – BUY pullback at OB 4,317–4,315 (intraday priority) • If price pulls back into 4,317–4,315 and shows clear bullish reaction (long lower wicks, bullish engulfing, or a bullish ChoCH on M15/M30). • Then prioritize BUY continuation trades. • Reference targets: • TP1: 4,337 • TP2: 4,346 • If price reaches 4,337 / 4,346 and shows strong rejection, prioritize partial profit-taking rather than expecting a straight continuation. Scenario B – Deep sweep into BUY Swing 4,303–4,305 (higher-quality setup) • If price breaks below the 4,317 OB and continues to sweep liquidity into 4,303–4,305 . • Only BUY after a clear reversal signal appears (post-sweep + fast reclaim). • Reference targets: 4,317 → 4,337 → 4,346. Scenario C – SELL reaction at Supply (counter-trend, scalp only) • If price rallies into 4,337 or 4,346 and prints distribution signals (strong rejection / bearish ChoCH). • A short SELL toward 4,317 can be considered. • Note: SELLs are purely technical reactions; the primary bias remains “buy the dip” at the marked Demand zones. 4) News on 18/12 Impacting Gold (Macro Drivers) • US CPI (November) released today — typically a major volatility driver for XAUUSD due to its direct impact on rate expectations and the USD. Bureau of Labor Statistics • On the same day: Initial Jobless Claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index — often cause short-term spikes around release times. S&P Global • Beyond the US, markets are also monitoring a series of central bank decisions (ECB/BoE/Norges Bank/Riksbank…), which may amplify USD and risk sentiment volatility, indirectly affecting gold. S&P Global CPI Trading Guidance • Avoid entering trades right before CPI; preferably wait 5–15 minutes after the release for structure to become clearer, then execute based on reactions at 4,317 / 4,303 or Supply reactions at 4,337 / 4,346 . 5) Conclusion (Bias & Risk) • Intraday bias: prioritize BUYs at Demand (4,317–4,315 and deeper 4,303–4,305). • Focus on “right level – right signal”; avoid FOMO in the middle of the range. • Maintain strict risk management, as CPI day often brings elevated volatility. — Trade the levels, not the noise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Sell on Bearish OB, Buy Deep at Bullish OB1. Context & Price Structure (M30) • The price is in a downward correction after a strong previous increase. • On the retracement zone, EQH + ChoCH decrease appears → signal of weakening buying flow, prioritize "retracement to sell" in the short term. • The price is still pressed under the descending trendline, so the short-term bias remains downward until a clear break occurs. • Support Zone 4,275 is the decisive point: if held, it will rebound technically, if broken, it opens the path to the lower demand zone. 2. Key Levels (according to the chart drawn) • OB Bearish (Sell Zone): 4,308 – 4,312 (≈ 4,311.888) → supply zone + trendline confluence, prioritize watching for SELL when retracing. • Support Zone: 4,272 – 4,276 (≈ 4,275.451) → central support zone, can create a rebound/retracement. • Mid Support / Target: 4,247.624 → next target if 4,275 is broken. • OB Bullish (Buy Zone): 4,223.400 – 4,205.983 → strong demand zone, expected to sweep and reverse. 3. Trading Plan (with clear conditions) Scenario 1 – SELL on retracement at Bearish OB (main scenario) • If the price retraces to 4,308 – 4,312 and a rejection reaction appears: strong pin bar downward engulfing or ChoCH decreases again on M15/M30 • Then prioritize SELL according to the correction trend. • TP1: 4,275 • TP2: 4,247 • TP3: 4,223 (approaching OB Bullish) • Invalidation: M30 closes above 4,318 and holds above → stop SELL idea. Scenario 2 – BUY deep at Bullish OB (important scenario to catch a large retracement) • If the price breaks 4,275 with a clear M30 candle and slides down to 4,223 – 4,206. • Wait for Liquidity Sweep + reversal signal: pin bar at OB upward engulfing or ChoCH increases (M15/M30) • When confirmed, prioritize BUY. • TP1: 4,247 • TP2: 4,275 • TP3: 4,308 • Invalidation: M30 closes below 4,198 → stay out and observe. 4. Risk Management Notes • Do not chase SELL when the price is close to 4,275 (support zone). • Do not BUY early before the price hits Bullish OB and confirmation is received. • If the price reclaims strongly above the trendline + 4,312, the bias will shift to "BUY pullback" instead of "Sell retracement."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
1
Waiting for FVG / Liquidity Pullback, Trend-Following BUY Bias1. Market Context & Structure (H1) • Gold has completed a liquidity sweep followed by a bullish BOS, confirming that the short-term uptrend remains intact. • After the strong impulse, price is now entering a rebalancing / technical pullback phase rather than a reversal. • The overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low, favoring BUY strategies aligned with the dominant trend. 2. Key Technical Zones on the Chart • Resistance / Supply Zone 1: 4,359 – 4,360 → A previously strong reaction zone, where short-term corrections may occur. • Resistance / Supply Zone 2: 4,394 → Fibonacci 0.786 extension area, prone to profit-taking or upper liquidity sweeps. • iFVG – Pullback Zone: 4,297 – 4,300 → Inefficiency left during the bullish impulse, prioritized for the first BUY reaction. • Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,267 → Resting liquidity below, where a deeper sweep may occur before trend continuation. 3. Trading Scenarios – Captain Vincent Style 🔹 Primary Scenario – BUY at iFVG / Liquidity Buy (Preferred) • Expect price to pull back from the 4,35x area toward 4,297 – 4,300 (iFVG) or deeper into 4,267 (Liquidity Buy). • At the BUY zone, wait for confirmation signals: – Strong rejection wicks – Bullish engulfing – Bullish ChoCH on M15–H1 • Preferred BUY Zones: – BUY 1: 4,297 – 4,300 – BUY 2 (deeper): 4,267 • Targets: – TP1: 4,359 – TP2: 4,394 – TP3 extension: continuation if 4,394 is broken. • Invalidation: – H1 close below 4,255 → short-term bullish structure weakens. 🔹 Secondary Scenario – Short-Term SELL Reaction at Supply • If price rallies directly into 4,359 – 4,394 without a clear pullback, a short-term SELL reaction may appear. • SELLs are scalp / counter-trend only, not the primary scenario. • SELL target: pullback toward iFVG 4,297. 4. Risk & Management Notes • Avoid FOMO BUY at high resistance zones. • Prioritize BUY entries at discounted areas (FVG – Liquidity). • Main bias remains BUY on pullbacks; SELLs are only technical reactions. • Adjust position sizing carefully as the market is in an expansion phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
Waiting for Premium Pullback Buy the Bullish Continuation1. Market Context & Structure (H1) • After a prolonged consolidation phase, Gold has delivered a clear bullish BOS, breaking above the previous highs around 4,24x–4,25x. • The current impulse originated from the EQL → OB 4,209 zone, confirming active buying flow and a shift into a short-term uptrend. • Price is now trading above the Premium Zone at 4,265; any pullback into this area is considered a technical retracement within the bullish trend. 2. Key Technical Zones • Main OB – Demand: around 4,209 → Origin of the current bullish leg; a strong BUY zone if price holds. • Premium Pullback Buy Zone: 4,265 – 4,270 → First discount after BOS; priority area to look for BUY setups. • Target 1 – Reaction Zone: 4,322 – 4,323 → Fibo 0.5–0.618 confluence; potential profit-taking / short-term sell reaction. • Target 2 – Extension Zone: 4,366 – 4,367 (Fibo 1.272) → Bullish extension target and potential liquidity sweep zone. 3. Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Trend BUY at Premium Zone • Wait for pullback to 4,265 – 4,270. • Look for confirmation: long lower wicks, bullish engulfing, or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1. • Execute BUY with trend continuation. TP1: 4,322 TP2: 4,366 • Partial TP at TP1, move SL to BE, hold remainder to TP2. • Invalidation: H1 close below 4,258 → pause BUY scenario. Scenario 2 – Deep BUY at OB 4,209 • If price breaks Premium decisively and drops to OB 4,209, do not catch a falling knife. • Wait for strong bullish reaction and reversal structure (new HL, bullish ChoCH). TP: 4,265 → 4,322 4. Risk Management Notes • Avoid FOMO BUY at highs after strong bullish candles. • SELL setups are only short-term reactions, not the main bias. • Bias remains BUY on dips as long as H1 holds above 4,209.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
2
XAU/USD – H1 Trading Plan: Buy at OB 4,19x – 4,18x, Targets 4,241. Market Structure (H1) Gold is retracing back into bullish structure after breaking a series of bullish ChoCH and BoS, forming a new high around 4,24x. The current decline is only a technical pullback because: • Price is returning to the Buy Order Block at 4,188 – 4,196. • This zone aligns with trendline support and the demand base that fueled the previous impulse. • The macro structure remains bullish as long as H1 does not close below 4,188. → This is a clear pullback–continuation setup: wait for price to retrace into discount, then target higher zones. 2. Key Levels 🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Zone): 4,188 – 4,196 • Bullish OB • Trendline support • Priority BUY area 🔹 Resistance 1: 4,217 – 4,218 • Multiple rejections • Breakout → next bullish leg 🔹 Resistance 2: 4,238 – 4,239 • 0.5–0.618 Fibo confluence • Possible mild sell reaction 🔹 Liquidity & Targets: • 4,259 → Fibo 1.272 • 4,278 → Fibo 1.618 + resting liquidity 3. Trading Plan 🔸 Main Scenario – BUY at OB 4,19x – 4,18x Conditions: • Price taps 4,188 – 4,196 • Reversal signals: pin bar, engulfing, or bullish ChoCH Targets: TP1: 4,217 TP2: 4,238 TP3: 4,259 TP4: 4,278 Invalidation: • H1 close below 4,185 → stay out. 🔸 Alternate Scenario – Price goes up without retesting OB If price holds above 4,210 and breaks 4,217: • Wait for retest of 4,217 • BUY continuation toward 4,238 → 4,259 → 4,278 Market Outlook Gold is accumulating and building a base for a stronger breakout. The OB Buy zone 4,19x – 4,18x remains the highest-probability reversal area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
4
XAU/USD: Buy at OB 4.18x–4.17x; Sell on reaction.✍️ Captain Vincent – SMC Flow Analysis 📊 Market Structure (H1) Gold continues to accumulate within the range of 4,200–4,220 after failing to break the recent peak. The structure shows: • Multiple ChoCH – BoS declines → selling pressure still leads in the short term. • However, the OB Buy 4,184–4,170 zone remains a crucial structural bottom, where buyers react strongly once swept. • Above, the market leaves a Liquidity Sell area at 4,261, a natural target if gold gathers enough liquidity below. → The current phase is liquidity gathering before making a big move. 💎 Key Levels – Price Zones to Watch 🔸 Resistance / Sell Zone • 4,218 → intraday resistance, price reacts multiple times. • 4,243–4,244 → confluence of sideways peak + old BoS. • Liquidity Sell: 4,261 → extended target if price breaks strongly upwards. 🔸 Support / Buy Zone • 4,200–4,201 → short-term price balance zone. • OB Buy 4,184–4,170 → strong demand, where the previous trend initiated. • If breaking 4,170 → price may sweep deeper but remains in the ideal discount zone for BUY hunting. 🎯 Trading Plan – Clear and Easy to Follow 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Prioritize BUY at OB 4,184–4,170 Expect the market to create a sweep below 4,200, touching OB Buy to gather liquidity before bouncing up. BUY Conditions: • Price touches 4,184–4,170 • Reversal signals appear on M15–H1: pin bar, engulfing, rising ChoCH • Decline slows down or buying force becomes clear Targets: • TP1: 4,190 • TP2: 4,200 • TP3: 4,215 • TP4 extended: 4,261 (Liquidity Sell) Invalidation: H1 closes below 4,165 → stay out and reassess the structure. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Short SELL when price retests 4.24x If the price does not drop immediately but pulls up: SELL Conditions: • Retest 4,243–4,244 • Strong reaction appears: rejection wick, declining ChoCH • Must not close H1 above 4,250 Targets: • TP1: 4,235 • TP2: 4,225 • TP3: OB Buy 4,184–4,170 Invalidation: H1 closes above 4,250 → stop SELL, shift bias to observe breakout. 3️⃣ Extended Scenario – Sweep peak 4,261 Only activate when: • Price bounces strongly from OB Buy • Clear breakout of 4,243 zone • Structure forms HL → HH At that point, gold will tend to run straight up to sweep liquidity at 4,261 before the market chooses a new direction. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Do not BUY when price is still within the resistance zone 4,218–4,243. • SELL is only a short-term strategy, do not go against the major trend if a breakout occurs. • OB Buy 4,184–4,170 is the zone with the highest probability of triggering an upward wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD H1 Plan: SELL at OB, BUY at Liquidity1. Market Structure (H1) Gold is in a corrective phase after breaking the previous upward structure. From the nearest peak, the price continuously creates downward BoS waves, confirming that selling pressure is in control in the short term. Currently, the price is moving within a descending channel and retesting the trendline multiple times but has not been able to breakout. This supports the scenario of the price continuing to complete a deeper decline to gather liquidity before forming a major recovery wave. 2. Important technical zones on the chart 🔹 OB – Sell Zone: 4,190 – 4,197 Confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 of the most recent decline. This is the H1 supply zone where the price previously broke the downward structure → prioritize observing SELL when the price retraces. 🔹 Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,154 – 4,163 Liquidity cluster located just below the nearest bottom. This is the area where the market is likely to create a liquidity sweep before reversing upwards. 🔹 Deep Liquidity Zone: 4,115 – 4,12x Deep liquidity zone, confirmed by multiple old bottoms formed since the beginning of the month. If the price is pushed down here, this will be a very strong BUY zone for the next major recovery wave. 3. Trading scenarios according to structure – clear & easy to follow 🔸 Scenario 1 – SELL from OB 4,19x (main scenario) Activation conditions: Price retraces to OB Sell zone 4,19x Appearance of reversal signals M15–H1: strong rejection candles, ChoCH down, engulfing Targets: TP1: 4,163 (Liquidity) TP2: 4,154 TP3 extended: 4,12x – 4,115 Note: This OB zone is a beautiful confluence – if the price reacts strongly, there is a high chance the market will complete the decline according to the model. 🔸 Scenario 2 – BUY according to Liquidity Sweep (priority after SELL) After completing the decline to liquidity zones: BUY Zone 1: 4,154 – 4,163 Wait for bottom sweep & ChoCH up → BUY according to recovery wave BUY Zone 2: 4,115 – 4,12x (strongest Buy) If the price breaks through the Liquidity zone 4,15x This is the zone where the largest buying force may appear → expect to create a new H1 bottom Targets for both BUY zones: TP1: 4,195 (OB Sell retest) TP2: 4,210 TP3 extended: 4,23x – 4,24x Further: 4,25x – 4,27x (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618) 4. Important notes & risk management Do not BUY when the price is standing in the descending channel – wait for sweep & confirmation. SELL is only valid when the price hits exactly OB 4,19x, avoid FOMO selling in the middle of the zone. BUY is invalid if H1 breaks deeply below 4,110. Strong upward scenario only activates when H1 closes above 4,200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Buy at 4.19x, Sell Short at OB 4.24x1. Market Context Gold is moving within a corrective structure after the previous strong rally. The current price action revolves around two main zones: Buy Support Zone 4,197–4,200: where the price continuously reacts, with multiple BoS – ChoCH increases → indicating that buying pressure still maintains the base. OB Zone – Sell 4.24x: confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 – 0.786, a zone likely to see a decline reaction before forming a larger trend. The current structure leans towards a recovery to the OB Sell zone, after which the market may continue to adjust deeper to create liquidity before rising again. 2. Important Technical Zones 🔹 Support – Buy Zone: 4,197 – 4,200 This is a strong price base, where BoS + ChoCH continuously form. Only when breaking below this zone → the short-term uptrend structure weakens. 🔹 OB Zone – Sell: 4,238 – 4,245 Confluence of Fibonacci retracement (0.5–0.618–0.786). A favorable zone for the market to create a decline reaction, triggering a liquidity sweep to lower lows. 🔹 Strong Low: 4.17x This is an important low – if the price sweeps here but does not break → expect a strong rebound to higher targets. 3. Trading Scenarios According to Structure 🔸 Scenario 1: Price recovers to OB Sell 4.24x → look for short-term SELL signals Wait for the price to hit the OB Sell zone and appear: Strong rejection candle ChoCH decreases on M15 frame Volume increases at the peak Then expect a decline back to the Support Buy zone 4,197–4,205. Trading idea: Sell zone 4,238–4,245 Target: 4.20x If breaking 4.20x deeply → extend to Strong Low 4.17x 🔸 Scenario 2 (high priority): Buy at Support to catch the rise to 4.25x – 4.27x – 4.29x After completing the decline according to scenario 1, the price may rebound from the strong demand zone. BUY conditions: Price sweeps down to 4,197–4,205 or deeper to 4.17x. Reversal pattern appears + ChoCH increases. Recreate HL (higher low) structure. Targets: TP1: 4,234 TP2: 4,244 TP3: 4,258 Extended TP: 4,276 – 4,299 (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618) 4. Risk Management Notes Do not chase Buy when the price is in the OB Sell zone – easy to get swept. Do not Sell deeply when not reaching OB 4.24x zone – price has not entered a nice premium zone. Always clearly define invalidation levels: BUY invalid when price closes H1 below 4.17x. SELL invalid when price breaks strongly above 4,245 and holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Gold Consolidates, Awaiting Pullback for Breakout📊 Market Structure (H1) Gold is moving within a converging triangle pattern – with the bottom being pushed higher by buying pressure, while the top is continuously blocked by the H1 descending trendline. After the previous strong decline, the market has consecutively created bullish ChoCH , indicating that capital flow is starting to return, but the pivotal supply remains at the OB Bearish 4.23x area – where the price is currently stuck. Currently, the price is testing the upper edge of the triangle + supply area, which is primarily used for distribution and liquidity sweep. → Not an optimal area for FOMO BUY. 💎 Key Levels – Important Areas • OB Bearish – 4.23x: confluence with descending trendline → high probability area for strong reaction or Liquidity Sweep. • FVG – 4.21x: H1 price gap, the market tends to return to fill before continuing. • OB Bullish – Buy Zone – 4.201: H1 demand + lower edge of current range → priority area to observe BUY according to trend. • Liquidity Buy – 4.170: lower liquidity area → price may sweep deep before bouncing strongly if the medium-term uptrend remains effective. • Upper Target – 4.25x: expanded target if gold successfully breaks the converging triangle. 🎯 Trading Plan – Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Priority Scenario: Pullback to OB Bullish If the OB Bearish 4.23x area reacts (wick rejection, reversal pattern, weakening momentum), expect the price to retreat to: → FVG 4.21x → OB Bullish 4.201 At the 4.20x area, if a bullish ChoCH / engulfing / strong pin bar appears, this will be a reasonable BUY area according to the trend. Suggested TP: • TP1: FVG 4.21x • TP2: Retest OB Bearish 4.23x • TP3 expanded: 4.25x area if price breaks the triangle Invalidation: H1 closes below 4.195 → stay out and wait for reaction at Liquidity 4.170. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario: Deep Sweep to Liquidity Buy If OB Bullish 4.20x does not hold and the price breaks down strongly, do not catch the falling knife. → Wait for gold to reach Liquidity Buy 4.170 → Observe reaction: long wick, selling pressure depletes, new HL formation… Only BUY again when the signal is clear. If the 4.170 area is broken strongly by an H1 candle → temporary uptrend structure loses effectiveness, reduce volume or stay out until the market stabilizes. ⚠️ Risk Management This is a trading plan based on an idea – not an immediate entry signal. Do not BUY directly at the 4.23x resistance area. Be patient for a pullback to the discount area (4.20x – 4.17x) and always set clear risk. “Liquidity tells the truth — structure confirms the path.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: H1 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Retests Bullish OB, Preparing for a Major Recover📊 Market Structure After the Liquidity Sweep around the 4,26x highs, Gold shifted into a short-term distribution phase and formed a series of bearish ChoCHs. However, the entire current decline remains a corrective move, as price is now approaching the Bullish Order Block at 4,155 – 4,158 USD, which is also the primary support of the prevailing trend. The ascending trendline has not been fully broken → buyers still have structure support. The main scenario: price may continue sweeping deeper into the Bullish OB, or even tag the Deep OB at 4,129 – 4,130 USD, before initiating a strong bullish recovery. 💎 Key Technical Zones Bullish OB: 4,155 – 4,158 USD → primary BUY zone Deep OB: 4,129 – 4,130 USD → safer BUY zone (deep retest) Bearish OB: 4,211 – 4,213 USD → short-term SELL reaction Liquidity Above: 4,239 – 4,240 USD 🎯 Trading Plan – Two Clear Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend-Following Priority When price taps the Bullish OB 4,155 – 4,158 and prints a clear rejection candle: Entry: 4,155 – 4,158 SL: 4,128 TP1: 4,188 TP2: 4,211 TP3: 4,239 TP4: 4,260+ → A trend-aligned setup: low risk – high reward. → If price does not react at the Bullish OB, wait for a deeper BUY at the Deep OB (safer). 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – For Intraday Traders Only If price retraces into the Bearish OB 4,211 – 4,213 and shows rejection: Entry: 4,211 – 4,213 SL: 4,225 Short TP: 4,188 → 4,175 → This is only a reaction play. Do NOT hold long-term since the main trend remains bullish. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is likely in its final corrective phase before starting a new bullish leg. As long as 4,129 remains intact, buyers maintain full control. Smart money is likely accumulating around the Bullish OB before pushing price back toward 4,239 – 4,260. ⚡ “Smart money always returns to where strength began — buy where the market was born.” ⏰ Timeframe: H1 📅 Updated: 04/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Rising, Monitor BUY at📊 Market Structure Gold is in an accumulation phase after a short-term drop creating ChoCH at lower price levels. The current structure shows that the price has formed an Equal High (EqH) around 4,235 – a sign that the market may be holding liquidity above to support the next push. The price returns to test the area 4,192 – 4,193 USD — this is the nearest support zone, and also the point where previous buying pressure created an upward BoS . If this area continues to hold, the short-term upward structure will be reactivated. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Support Zone (Buy Zone): 4,192 – 4,193 USD • Invalidation: below 4,170 USD • Target 1: 4,237 USD • Target 2: 4,249 USD • Target 3: 4,264 USD • Target 4: 4,284 USD • Liquidity Zone: 4,323 USD 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY Priority 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Support 4,192 If the price retests the area 4,192 – 4,193 and a bullish candlestick signal appears (rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 4,192 – 4,193 • SL: 4,170 • TP1: 4,237 • TP2: 4,249 • TP3: 4,264 • TP4: 4,284 • TP5: 4,323 (sweep liquidity EqH) → This is a setup in line with the short-term trend, as liquidity above the EqH peak remains and is likely to be swept. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – For Intraday Traders Only If the price retests higher resistance zones and reacts with a strong decline: • Waiting SELL Zone: – 4,249 – 4,264 – 4,284 • Short TP: back to 4,225 – 4,216 → This setup only trades against the trend when clear rejection is observed. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current trend still supports the continuation of the upward expansion. The 4,192 USD area is crucial: holding this area → prioritize BUY; losing this area → the market will need to sweep deeper before rising again. ⚡ “Follow the liquidity — the market always returns to collect what it left behind.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 03/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Buy Gold at 4,217 or FVG 4,182!📊 Market Structure Gold continues to maintain a strong upward structure after creating a series of BoS continuously from the 4,156 USD region. This morning's H1 breakout pushed the price above the short-term peak, confirming that the BUY side is in full control. The price is currently returning to retest the Demand intraday 4,217 – 4,210 USD area — this is the first support area where buyers can continue to push the upward wave. If the pullback is deeper, gold may reach the FVG 4,182 – 4,172 USD area, coinciding with fibo 0.5 – 0.618 → the most attractive discount area in this wave. The main trend remains bullish as long as the price stays above: • 4,217 – Demand 1 • 4,182 – FVG Discount • 4,156 – Key Demand Zone 💎 Key Technical Zones • Demand Zone 1: 4,217 – 4,210 • FVG Discount: 4,182 – 4,172 • Strong Demand (structure holding bottom): 4,156 • Target Zones: – 4,285 – 4,309 – 4,321 – 4,342 – 4,369 (liquidity above peak) 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest Demand 4,217 When the price touches 4,217 – 4,210 with confirmation signals (long wick, H1 engulfing). • Entry: 4,217 – 4,210 • SL: below 4,200 • TP1: 4,285 • TP2: 4,309 • TP3: 4,342 • TP4: 4,369 → Quick setup – follow the momentum. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – Deep Pullback to FVG 4,182 In case the price shakes strongly before continuing to push the wave. • Entry: 4,182 – 4,172 • SL: below 4,156 • TP: 4,217 → 4,285 → 4,342 → This is the “best” price area to accumulate BUY in the session. 🧠 Vincent’s View H1 shows a strong upward structure, clear momentum. The current adjustment is just a technical pullback before hitting the upper liquidity levels. As long as gold stays above 4,182 – the trend remains bullish and the targets 4,285 – 4,342 are entirely feasible. “Smart money buys the dip — not the hype.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 01/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Gold Stagnates, Poised for a Strong Surge📊 Market Structure Gold is moving in a tight accumulation phase (compression) between two important zones: • OB Support: 4,130 – 4,126 • Resistance – Small Supply: 4,148 – 4,166 The previous trend remains a strong uptrend (clear BoS sequence from 4,089), and currently, the price is retesting the newly formed peak-bottom structure. The BUY side is still in control as long as the price stays above: • 4,130 – Main OB Support • 4,104 – Discount FVG • 4,089 – Key Low Confirming Trend If gold holds these zones, the next targets will be the upper liquidity levels: • 4,166 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB Support 1: 4,130 – 4,126 • FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount) • Deep Bearish OB: 4,060 – 4,045 (if price drops sharply) • Upper Liquidity Targets: 4,166 → 4,181 → 4,207 → 4,243 🎯 Trading Plan (Priority BUY) 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130 When the price touches the OB support zone 4,130 – 4,126 and shows a bounce signal (rejection / engulfing). • Entry: 4,130 – 4,126 • SL: below 4,115 • TP1: 4,166 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → Quick setup, good RR, trend aligned. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – Discount FVG 4,104 – 4,089 This is the best BUY zone if the market drops sharply before rising. • Entry: 4,104 – 4,089 • SL: 4,070 • TP1: 4,166 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → Strong confluence: FVG + fibo discount + key liquidity. 3️⃣ BUY 3 – Deep Accumulation at Bearish OB Shift • Entry: 4,060 – 4,045 • SL: 4,020 • TP: 4,104 → 4,166 → 4,207 → Only activate if “flush liquidity” appears. 🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – not priority) Only SELL when there is a clear rejection reaction at: • 4,166 – first liquidity sweep zone • 4,181 – strong reaction zone • 4,207 – main bearish OB • 4,243 – large liquidity peak • SL: 10–15 USD • TP: 4,148 → 4,130 → For scalpers only, not a main setup. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market structure remains completely bullish. The market is accumulating energy in a narrow range before breaking strongly to the upper liquidity targets. As long as gold stays above 4,089 – the uptrend remains dominant. “Patience builds the entry – liquidity completes the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Waiting for Perfect Buy Pullback📊 Market Structure Gold is maintaining a strong bullish structure after a series of BoS from the bottom region. The most recent rally broke the 4,130 mark and continues to hold above the small OB area, indicating that the BUY side is still in control. Currently, the price is slightly retracing to retest the structure — the target is to test the area: • OB 4,130 – 4,126 USD • Or deeper to FVG 4,104 – 4,089 USD In both cases, these are discount areas to continue BUYING according to the main trend. The larger trend still targets the upper liquidity levels including: • 4,151 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB Retest Zone: 4,130 – 4,126 (quick bounce area) • FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount area to BUY) • Large Bearish OB: 4,045 – 4,060 (final area if price adjusts deeply) • Target Zones: 4,151 – 4,181 – 4,207 – 4,243 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (priority) 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130 • Entry: 4,126 – 4,131 • SL: below 4,115 • TP1: 4,151 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → This is a quick setup – for a short retracement before continuing. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – FVG 4,104 – 4,089 (best) • Entry: 4,089 – 4,104 • SL: 4,070 • TP1: 4,151 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → This FVG area is a strong confluence: fibo, small demand, and trendline. 3️⃣ BUY 3 – OB Bearish shift (deep entry) • Entry: 4,045 – 4,060 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,104 • TP2: 4,151 • TP3: 4,207 → Only activate when the market shakes strongly, but RR is extremely good. 🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – only short trades) Only SELL when the price reaches strong resistance areas and rejection signals appear: • 4,151 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 Entry SELL: only enter when there is H1 rejection SL: 10–15 USD TP: back to 4,151 → 4,130 → This is counter-trend, not a priority setup. 🧠 Vincent’s View The overall trend is still bullish. The current retracements are just a “breathing phase” – the market is accumulating energy to continue pushing up to higher liquidity areas. As long as the price stays above 4,089 – the bullish trend is not threatened. “Smart Money buys the dip — Retail buys the breakout.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
XAU/USD: Gold Uptrend - Buy at 4,090 & 4,044 USD📊 Market Structure Gold is maintaining an upward structure after creating a series of bullish BoS from the Demand zone. Currently, the price is technically pulling back to discount zones, where the BUY side has more advantages. Above, the 4,206 USD zone is confirmed as OB Bearish , acting as strong resistance and a potential reversal point for the SELL side. Below, the discount zones including Fibo–Buy 4,090 and OB Bullish 4,044–4,047 USD are reasonable places to wait for BUY to continue following the main trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Fibo–Buy Zone: 4,085 – 4,095 → priority BUY zone • FVG Reaction Zone: around 4,095 – 4,105 → signal present → BUY immediately • OB Bullish: 4,044 – 4,047 → deep, safe BUY zone • OB Bearish: 4,206 → strong SELL zone • Partial resistance for SELL scalp: 4,169 – 4,186 – 4,206 – 4,237 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (Main Priority) 1️⃣ Main BUY – Fibo–Buy 4,090 • Entry: 4,085 – 4,095 • SL: below 4,060 • TP1: 4,169 • TP2: 4,186 • TP3: 4,206 / 4,237 → This is the most beautiful discount zone according to structure + fibo + trendline. 2️⃣ BUY on Reaction – FVG If the price only touches FVG 4,095–4,105 and then shows a strong rejection candle: • BUY immediately when there is a signal • Target remains: 4,169 → 4,186 → 4,206 → 4,237 3️⃣ Defensive BUY – OB Bullish 4,044 • Entry: 4,044 – 4,047 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,095 • TP2: 4,169 • TP3: 4,206 → This is the “last bottom” zone before the uptrend is threatened. 🎯 Trading Plan – SELL SCALP (Not the Main Trend) Zones where SELL can react when a reversal candle appears: • 4,169 USD • 4,186 USD • 4,206 USD (OB Bearish) • 4,237 USD (Supply) Entry SELL: when there is a clear rejection (H1 long wick / engulfing) SL: above the zone 10–15 USD TP: back to 4,186 → 4,169 → 4,128 → These are counter-trend scalp orders, only for flexible traders. 🧠 Vincent’s View The main trend is still up, adjustments down to FVG – Fibo – OB Bullish are all beautiful BUY opportunities. The BUY side dominates as long as 4,044 is not broken – SELL is only secondary, BUY remains the main play. “Buy at discount, sell at reaction — that’s how the market moves.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD | Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout. On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure. On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection. Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction. Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area. 💎 Key Technical Zones • ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up • 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction • 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure • 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle 🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario) If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle: • Entry: 4,112 – 4,115 • SL: 4,095 • TP1: 4,128 • TP2: 4,145 • TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG) → This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break. 2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone: • Entry: 4,010 – 4,017 • SL: 3,990 • TP1: 4,103 • TP2: 4,128 • TP3: 4,150 → This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base. ❌ SELL? When is it valid? Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend. Selling is only valid if the price: • Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD → At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive. The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD. Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market. ⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 24/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Gold's Final Correction Before a Strong Rebound📊 Market Structure – Elliott Wave + SMC Gold has completed impulse wave 1–5 at the peak of 4,207 USD and is entering an Elliott correction phase in the form of ABC . Wave A : bottomed at Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 USD Wave B : retraced upwards, creating consecutive Equal Highs and small BoS but has not broken the larger structure Wave C : is forming, may extend down to the Demand Zone if the price loses 4,030 SMC signals reinforce the scenario of a completed correction: A series of Equal Lows → the market still has liquidity below to "sweep" towards the Demand Zone The area BoS – 4,076 is the decisive structure: if not broken upwards, the correction trend continues The area FVG + Resistance 4,152 USD is the target for a major retracement wave after completing wave C => In summary: the market is in the final phase of correction. Once wave C is completed, gold is likely to rebound strongly in the larger trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones 🔹 Demand Zone – Main BUY area 4,008 – 4,020 USD → Strong Demand confluence + Elliott wave C + liquidity below. → High probability of reversal. 🔹 Reaction Zone – Temporary reaction area 4,030 – 4,040 USD → If the price retraces early but hasn't swept the bottom → the correction may still continue. 🔹 Supply & FVG Zones (Strong resistance) 4,152 – 4,207 USD → Main target of the retracement wave after the ABC pattern is completed. 🎯 Trading Plan – Vincent’s Execution Map 1️⃣ BUY Setup – According to Wave C (top priority) Wait for the price to complete wave C at the Demand Zone: Entry: 4,012 – 4,020 SL: below 3,984 TP1: 4,076 TP2: 4,128 TP3: 4,152 TP4: 4,207 → This is the main setup of the day, confluence of both SMC + Elliott. 2️⃣ BUY Aggressive – Early buy according to Break of Structure If the price breaks BoS 4,076 before reaching Demand: Entry: 4,070 – 4,076 SL: 4,040 TP: 4,128 – 4,152 – 4,207 → Setup for those who want to catch the impulsive wave early. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Small trend (not the main trade) Only enter when the price retraces to Fibo: Entry: 4,092 – 4,106 SL: 4,116 TP: 4,040 → 4,020 → Short-term scalp, aiming to complete wave C. 🧠 Vincent’s View The overall trend still leans towards Bullish Reversal after correction. As long as the price holds Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 , gold can rebound strongly back to the target of 4,152 – 4,207. “Liquidity always shows the way – patience is the real advantage.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 21/11/2025 ✍️ Analyzed by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Gold Adjusts, Awaiting Fibo 4,092 Confirmation📊 Market Structure Gold is moving in the ABC–D–E adjustment pattern after a strong decline from the peak. Current structure: Wave (C) peaks at the 4,128 – 4,130 USD region and strong selling pressure appears. The price then creates a temporary bottom (D) but does not touch the Demand Zone at 4,007 USD, indicating the BUY side still has strength. Currently, the price is in a small upward adjustment phase to form wave (E). Key points: The major trend still leans towards an increase as long as the bottom at 4,007 USD is not broken. The BUY side is looking for a complete structure to continue pushing up to the FVG region. 💎 Key Technical Zones 1. Fibo Retracement Zone — 4,092 USD Confluence region of: Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 Adjustment structure (small wave) → Suitable for light SELL scalp, according to candle reaction signals. 2. FVG Zone — 4,128 – 4,151 USD This is a large FVG region, coinciding with the market's "loss cost." If the price pushes up as expected in wave (E), this is the main SELL region of the day. 3. Supply Zone — 4,207 – 4,210 USD Extremely strong region, if the price breaks the FVG, it will move to this region. This is the extended target for the BUY side if the market rises strongly. 4. Demand Zone — 4,007 – 4,020 USD The strongest liquidity bottom region of the session. If the price breaks 4,092 and does not maintain structure, gold will retest this region before a major increase. 🎯 Trading Plan – According to the current chart 1️⃣ SELL Scalp – Main scenario Wait for the price to retrace to the Fibo 4,092 USD region and observe the reaction: Entry: 4,092 SL: 4,105 TP1: 4,075 TP2: 4,060 TP3: 4,030 (lower FVG) → This is a short-term scalp order, suitable for the current weak market. 2️⃣ SELL Setup – FVG Zone If the price breaks 4,092 and runs up to FVG: Entry: 4,126 – 4,151 SL: 4,160 TP1: 4,092 TP2: 4,060 TP3: 4,030 → This is the best SELL region of the day. 3️⃣ BUY Setup – Demand Zone Only activate if the market drops deeply: Entry: 4,020 – 4,007 SL: 3,995 TP1: 4,060 TP2: 4,092 TP3: 4,128 – 4,151 → Buy according to the major trend when the price reaches the liquidity bottom region. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current market is in a controlled adjustment phase. Priority: ✔ SELL scalp at 4,092 ✔ Beautiful SELL at 4,126–4,151 ✔ BUY only activates when reaching 4,020–4,007 The major trend is still waiting to complete the wave pattern to push up to the Supply Zone 4,207 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Recovers, Targeting FVG & Liquidity Zone 4.20x📊 Market Structure Gold has completed a deep decline from the 4,20x zone and continuously created bearish BoS, indicating sellers controlled the period from 14–18/11. However, a significant sign appeared when: Price created an Order Block at 4,008 USD Then surged to create a Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe The market maintained higher lows on the intraday structure This indicates that selling momentum has weakened, and buyers are starting to rebuild a short-term bullish structure. Currently, the price is approaching the Supply & Resistance zone at 4,086 USD – the zone confirming the strength of the BUY side. If the price decisively breaks this zone, the next targets are clear: FVG 4,150 USD Liquidity Zone 4,202 USD – where old peak liquidity is concentrated 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block: 4,000 – 4,009 USD → the main reversal zone of the current rally • Supply & Resistance: 4,078 – 4,086 USD → trend confirmation point • FVG Zone: 4,132 – 4,150 USD → zone where a corrective reaction may occur • Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,195 – 4,205 USD → target of large capital flows 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY according to structure 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following Activated when price breaks and retests the 4,086 USD zone: Entry: 4,086 – 4,090 SL: 4,058 TP1: 4,132 TP2: 4,150 TP3: 4,202 → This is the highest probability setup: a new uptrend is forming + retesting the invalidated supply zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup 2 – Deep Retracement (safer) If the price is rejected at 4,086 and returns to test the lower zone: Entry: 4,050 – 4,058 (Premium Zone on chart) SL: 4,028 TP: 4,086 → 4,132 → 4,150 → This setup offers a higher R:R, suitable for patient traders. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – For intraday only If the price hits FVG 4,150 and shows strong rejection signals: Entry: 4,148–4,150 SL: 4,160 TP: 4,130 → 4,100 → Not for swing traders. This is merely a technical reaction at the FVG zone. 🧠 Vincent’s View The main trend of the day leans towards recovery – expanding towards upper liquidity. As long as the price remains above 4,008 USD, the BUY side will continue to lead the market. “Follow the structure, follow the liquidity — the market never lies.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Technical Rebound to FVG, Prioritise WATCHING FOR SELL at 4📊 Market Structure Gold has completed a strong decline from the peak of 4.21x, leaving consecutive Break of Structure (BoS), confirming a short-term bearish structure. The drop through the Breakout zone of 4.10x indicates a dominant selling force. Currently, the price is bouncing from the Premium Zone 4.05x, aligning with the technical rebound behaviour after a strong sell-off. The BUY side is merely pulling the price back to the abandoned liquidity zones (FVG 4.12x – 4.15x) before the SELL side can regain control. The upper FVG zone is where the price often returns to fill after a steep fall. This is also the confluence zone between: FVG (Fair Value Gap) Old candle body Breaker Fibonacci Premium → The risk of selling at these zones is very high. 💎 Key Technical Zones Rebound zone for Sell FVG 1: 4.101 – 4.126 FVG 2 (Strong Confluence): 4.126 – 4.150 Support zone – target to hit Premium Zone $$$: 4.050 – 4.052 Lower FVG: 4.030 – 4.035 High probability price scenario: Rebound to FVG → reaction → continue to decline to 4.03x. 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritise SELL 1️⃣ SELL Setup – High Probability Wait for price to rebound to the above FVG zones: Entry SELL: 4.118 – 4.126 Can add orders at higher: 4.140 – 4.150 Stop-loss: above 4.158 TP1: 4.101 TP2: 4.050 TP3: 4.030 ✔️ This is a trend-following setup, selling at premium, adhering to SMC principles. ✔️ The current price is just beginning the rebound, not yet meeting BUY conditions. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Only activate on deep Discount Entry BUY: 4.030 – 4.035 (Lower FVG) SL: below 4.020 TP: 4.070 – 4.100 → BUY is only for counter-trend traders and must wait for a clear discount. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market is in a distribution – decline phase, every rebound aims to pull liquidity. As long as the price does not close above 4.150, SELL remains the optimal strategy for the day. Observe closely when the price hits 4.12x – 4.15x, this is a “high-risk” zone for the BUY side and a “great opportunity” for the SELL side. “Sell where the liquidity lives — that’s where institutions strike.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to 4,151 USD Support📊 Market Structure After the Break of Structure (BoS) at the 4,208 USD zone, gold confirms the continuation of the upward trend and is forming a technical adjustment. The price has touched the Resistance Zone of 4,208 – 4,237 USD and is currently adjusting as expected, heading towards the Support Zone of 4,151 USD – this is where a previous impulsive move originated. Below the 4,151 Support, there is a strong OB at 4,104 USD. As long as the price does not break deeply below 4,104 USD, the bullish structure remains intact. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone: 4,208 – 4,237 USD → supply zone + area of bearish reaction • Support Zone: 4,151 USD → area awaiting bullish reaction • Strong OB + Support: 4,104 – 4,110 USD → base of bullish structure • Liquidity Zone (Target): 4,260+ USD → area for the next wave expansion 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following If the price adjusts correctly to the discount zones: • Entry 1: 4,151 USD • Entry 2: 4,104 USD (most attractive zone – confluence OB) SL: below 4,090 USD TP1: 4,208 TP2: 4,237 TP3: 4,260 → Main strategy: wait for pullback → re-enter the upward wave → follow the strong trend. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at Resistance (counter-trend) If the price retests the 4,208 – 4,237 zone and creates a clear rejection: Entry: 4,218 – 4,230 SL: 4,245 TP1: 4,180 TP2: 4,151 → Setup only for flexible traders, short trades, no holding positions. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current structure is very precise: Impulsive Move → Short-term Distribution → Pullback to Support → Continuation of the upward wave. The 4,151 USD zone is the focal point to observe. The 4,104 USD zone is the most attractive BUY area if the market seeks deeper liquidity. As long as the price does not break 4,104 USD, the buyers maintain complete advantage. “Let the pullback come to you — structure always tells the truth.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 14/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Maintains Uptrend, Watch for Pullback to Buy with Cash Flow🔍 Context & Market Structure After a strong upward impulse from a low liquidity area, the price has broken the downtrend structure and formed a bullish BoS on H1. Currently, gold is accumulating above the Support Zone at 4,183 USD after creating a new peak and leaving a FVG just below the current price . Above is the Liquidity Zone $$$ around 4,232 USD – a concentration of sell-side stop losses and buy-side profit-taking orders, likely to create a “final push” that attracts liquidity. => Overall: the main trend remains bullish , prioritising waiting for a pullback to discount levels to buy with the trend rather than chasing orders at high levels. 💎 Key Technical Zones Liquidity Zone $$$: around 4,232 USD – upper liquidity area, prone to profit-taking reactions. Current FVG: price gap area just below the current price (around 4.20x) – expected to “fill the gap” before continuing. Support Zone 1: 4,183 USD – nearest support, confluence with the area where the upward impulse began to slow. Support Zone 2: 4,140 USD – stronger support, aligning with the old structure. Liquidity Clear: 4,101 USD – lower liquidity area, if swept, it would be a very attractive discount for swing buyers. 📈 Proposed Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy with the trend at FVG / 4,183 USD Priority to wait for the price to: Either fill the FVG around 4.20x and show a rejection candle, Or clearly retest Support 4,183 USD with a bullish reversal signal on M15–H1. When a confirmation signal appears: → Consider buying (BUY) around 4.19x – 4.18x . Stoploss: below 4,175 USD (below the nearest low and support). TP reference: TP1: 4,210 USD TP2: 4,232 USD (Liquidity Zone $$$) TP3: trailing if the price breaks through 4,232 and maintains the bullish structure. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback Before Continuing Upward If the price clearly breaks 4,183 USD and closes an H1 candle below: → Avoid buying hastily, wait for the price to continue adjusting to Support 4,140 USD or even Liquidity Clear 4,101 USD . At these zones, if there appears: strong rejection candles, or small reversal structures (bullish ChoCH on M15), → Then consider buying at a discount with better RR, targeting a return to 4,183 → 4,210 → 4,232 USD. 3️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario (for experienced scalpers only) If the price hits Liquidity Zone 4,232 USD but shows strong rejection (long wick, high sell volume): → Consider short-term sell scalp back to the 4.20x – 4,183 USD area. This is a counter-trend trade, so: keep the volume small, short TP, tight SL above the newly formed peak. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Do not FOMO buy when the price is testing near the 4.23x area – this is a prone-to-sell area. Prioritise waiting for a pullback to FVG / Support for a better entry point and RR. Always adjust volume according to actual SL, avoid over-leverage during strong market volatility. “Buy the dip in liquidity zones, do not chase orders at the peak – that's how to go with the big money flow.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent