Chevron
CVX | Houston, We Have A Problem | LONGChevron Corp. engages in the provision of oil and gas energy solutions. It provides crude oil and natural gas, manufactures transportation fuels, lubricants, petrochemicals, and additives, and develops technologies that enhance business and the industry. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas, the liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas, the transporting of crude oil by major international oil export pipelines, the processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas, and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment consists of the refining of crude oil into petroleum products, the marketing of crude oil and refined products, the transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car, and the manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals and plastics for industrial uses and fuel & lubricant additives. The company was founded on September 10, 1879 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.
CHEVRON 53-year Channel Up for longterm investors can dazzle youChevron (CVX) has been trading within a 53-year Channel Up since January 1973. This is the epitome of long-term investing as the pattern has given excellent correction periods (Bear Cycles) to buy for the long-term and Higher Highs to sell and take profit.
During the first years, its Bull Cycles that ended in Higher Highs have been very aggressive, with all three reaching (and even exceeding) the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. In more recent years after the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis, the two out of three major Bull Cycles (Bullish Legs for the Channel Up) merely reached the 1.382 Fib. All of the Bearish Legs, however, declined by around the same rate (-46.89%, -48.62% and -50.78%). The last two even hit the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, if we assume we will have the minimum of a Bear Cycle Chevron has seen inside this pattern which was the Dotcom's -41.55%, we can expect the current correction to marginally break below the 1M MA200 again to $112.00. However a Target on the 1M MA200 around $120.00 would perhaps be more fair.
The most efficient Buy Signal through this 53-year pattern, ha been when the 1M RSI hit 38.00. As you can see this has happened 7 times, providing the best level to enter for a long-term investor. Consequently, if the 1M RSI hits 38.00 before the stock hits $120.00, it is a good idea for long-term buyers to enter regardless.
The Target then is again the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at around $235.00.
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Chevron (CVX) – Long Setup with Venezuela CatalystChevron NYSE:CVX is the only major U.S. oil company still operating in Venezuela, giving it a strategic advantage if there’s any stabilization or regime shift in the country’s oil sector.
Additionally, Chevron is owed billions by Venezuela’s state oil company (PDVSA) — representing potential upside if debt negotiations or repayments are revived.
This geopolitical angle adds a fundamental catalyst to an already strong technical setup.
📈 Technical Setup
Bullish structure intact above the 200-week EMA
Strong demand zone: $140–$150
Key resistance at $170 – a break and hold above this level could trigger a squeeze toward all-time highs
📊 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: $140 – $150
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $190 – $200
TP2: $250 – $260
Stop Loss: Weekly close below $130
Chevron - Moving HigherWe’re evaluating the move from a purely technical perspective.
What do we see?
Three waves have already been completed, and not long ago the 4th corrective wave was finished.
After that, a larger fifth wave to the upside began.
This move did not start now - it began back in April 2025.
There is still a chance of a deeper pullback toward the 125 area, but the probability is relatively low.
In any case, such a correction would not affect the global targets.
Local targets:
180 -> 209 -> 238 -> 256
Global targets:
237 -> 269
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Breaking: Chevron Corporation (CVX) Spikes 7% On Major Update The shares of Chevron Corporation (CVX) saw a noteworthy uptick of 11% in extended market trading on Fridays session. The stock extended gains to Mionday's premarket session surging 7% as it sets to break the 50% Fib level- eyeing the $200 resistant zone.
In recent news, U.S. oil companies' shares rose in premarket trading on Monday as investors bet that President Donald Trump's move against Venezuela's leadership would allow American firms greater access to the world's largest oil reserves.
Shares of Chevron (CVX.N), the only U.S. major currently operating in Venezuela's oil fields, climbed 7.3%.
The gains came after Trump said the U.S. needed "total access" to Venezuela's vast oil reserves following the arrest of President Nicolas Maduro, sharpening expectations that Washington could ease restrictions on Venezuelan crude exports.
Analyst Summary
According to 16 analysts, the average rating for CVX stock is "Buy." The 12-month stock price target is $171.94, which is an increase of 10.29% from the latest price.
About CVX
Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Upstream and Downstream. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration, development, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification of liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil through pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas.
The Venezuelan EffectIn this video I going to exhibit the effect of the the profound economic crisis in Venezuela and its broader global implications. WTI, BRENT, BA, EXXON, LOCHKEADMARTIN
Overview of the Crisis
The video details Venezuela's transition from being the wealthiest nation in South America to a country grappling with extreme hyperinflation and economic collapse . It highlights how the nation's heavy reliance on oil exports—accounting for nearly 95% of its export earnings—made it uniquely vulnerable to fluctuations in global oil prices .
Key Economic Factors
The Resource Curse: The video explains how "Dutch Disease" occurred, where the focus on oil led to the neglect of other sectors like agriculture and manufacturing .
Hyperinflation: It discusses the catastrophic devaluation of the Bolívar, which led to a scenario where basic necessities became unaffordable for the average citizen .
Government Policy: The narrative touches upon the impact of price controls, nationalization of industries, and the role of political instability in exacerbating the financial downturn .
The Human and Global Impact
Mass Migration: A significant portion of the video is dedicated to the massive exodus of Venezuelans seeking better opportunities in neighboring countries, creating a regional humanitarian challenge .
Geopolitical Shifts: It explores how Venezuela’s situation has influenced regional politics and energy markets worldwide .
The video concludes by analyzing the current state of the Venezuelan economy and whether recent shifts in policy or international relations offer a path toward stabilization .
CHEVRON 3-year Channel Down started new Bearish Leg to $132.Chevron (CVX) has been trading within a Channel Down since the November 14 2022 market High. Having currently broken below both its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), with the two having formed a 1W Death Cross, the pattern has already started its new Bearish Leg.
There is a high symmetry between all 4 previous major Bearish Legs, which ranged from -18.71% to -21.83%, so based on the -18.71% minimum, we are expecting the stock to reach at least $132.00 by early Q2 2026. This would also make direct contact with the 1M MA100 (red trend-line), the market's next major Support level.
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Update for CVX: Looking for an up move/wave.
As discussed before in our previous post, NYSE:CVX looks like it will go up, it did go up so if you are in manage your trades. We can see pushing higher and lets see how far will it go.
For reference, this is our previews chart:
Always remember WTW 4 Golder Rules:
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Trade with care
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
CVX Chevron Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold CVX before the retracement:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CVX Chevron Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 125usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $5.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Chevron (CVX) – Strong Growth & Cash Flow ExpansionCompany Overview:
Chevron NYSE:CVX continues to demonstrate strong operational efficiency, strategic expansion, and record-breaking U.S. production.
Key Catalysts:
Production Growth & Profitability 🚀
Global production up 7% in 2024.
U.S. output surged 19% to record levels.
Permian Basin nearing 1M bpd, reinforcing cash flow strength.
Strategic Expansion & Sustainability 🌍
Gulf of Mexico projects targeting a boost from 200K to 300K bpd.
Future Growth Project in Kazakhstan enhances long-term production & ESG alignment.
Navigating Venezuelan challenges while leveraging stable U.S. policies for continued growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on CVX above $139.00-$140.00, backed by resilient production growth & execution.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $215.00-$220.00, supported by strong cash flow & expansion initiatives.
🔥 Chevron – Powering the Future with Growth & Stability. #CVX #EnergyStocks #OilAndGas
What Lies Beneath Chevron's Venezuelan Exit?In a striking geopolitical maneuver, the Trump administration has revoked Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela, effective March 1. This decision marks a sharp departure from the Biden-era policy, which had conditionally allowed Chevron’s operations to encourage free elections in the beleaguered nation. Beyond punishing Venezuela for unmet democratic benchmarks, the move reflects a broader U.S. strategy to bolster domestic oil production and lessen dependence on foreign energy sources. Chevron, a titan with over a century of history in Venezuela, now faces the unraveling of a vital revenue stream, prompting us to ponder the delicate dance between corporate ambition and national agendas.
The ripple effects for Venezuela are profound and perilous. Chevron accounted for nearly a quarter of the country’s oil production, and its exit is forecast to slash Venezuela’s revenue by $4 billion by 2026. This economic blow threatens to rekindle inflation and destabilize a nation already teetering on the edge of recovery, exposing the intricate ties between U.S. corporate presence and sanctioned states. For Chevron, the revocation transforms a once-lucrative asset into a geopolitical liability, thrusting the company into a high-stakes test of resilience. This clash of interests challenges us to consider the true cost of operating in the shadow of political volatility.
On the global stage, this decision reverberates through energy markets and diplomatic corridors. Oil prices have already twitched in response, hinting at tighter supplies. At the same time, the fate of other foreign firms in Venezuela hangs in the balance, shadowed by the looming threat of secondary sanctions. As the U.S. sharpens its confrontational edge, the energy landscape braces for transformation, with consequences for geopolitical alliances and energy security worldwide. Is Chevron’s departure merely a pawn in a broader strategic game, or does it herald a seismic shift in global power dynamics? The answer may redefine the boundaries of energy and influence in the years ahead.
Chevron: Progress!Chevron has dropped decisively, significantly advancing our primary scenario. In this scenario, we expect the ongoing turquoise wave 2 to find its low just above the support at $135.37, which should set the stage for fresh upward movement. In the meantime, the probability of our alternative scenario has been reduced to 32%. Still, the possibility of an already established low of the turquoise wave alt.2 and, thus, a direct breakout above the resistance at $166.91 should be considered.
Chevron_CVX_1WChevron shares are active in the field of oil and energy and it is a suitable trading and investment position. This symbol is based on the Elliot waves in the rising wave, which can move to rise for the 5th wave in the long term due to the completion of the 4th correction wave. The suitable range of purchase is 160.00 Target wave 5 pieces 220.00
Chevron (CVX): Bottom in Sight?Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ) has maintained a wide range between $167 and $137 since March 2022, with one notable push above this range likely corresponding to the completion of wave 3. The focus is now on identifying the wave 4 bottom, which we anticipate to form between the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, or $128–$113. This range is supported by key technical indicators, including a High Volume Node Edge and a Point of Control (POC) within this area, adding significant confluence.
From a macroeconomic perspective, Chevron faces challenges from declining crude oil prices, which is impacting investor sentiment. Despite a brief surge in oil-and-gas stocks following Donald Trump’s victory, this momentum has not sustained across the sector. Broader bearish factors such as weak Chinese demand, global overproduction, and OPEC’s indecision on further cuts add to the uncertainty. Bullish bets on oil due to geopolitical tensions have largely underperformed over the last two years, further pressuring the commodity and Chevron.
Should NYSE:CVX reclaim the range high at $167, it could signal a trend reversal, suggesting the wave 4 bottom may already have formed at $135.55, the last significant low. However, if the resistance holds, further downside into the targeted area seems likely.
We will continue monitoring how global tensions, oil price fluctuations, and broader market conditions impact Chevron’s performance. Until then, patience is key as we await a clear signal.
CHEVRON Ideal sell at the top of the 2-year Channel Down.Chevron (CVX) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the November 14 2022 High (almost 2 years). The price is currently on a 4 week rejection streak on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but despite the selling pressure, it closes every 1W candle flat, refusing to decline.
This is most likely the same accumulation/ pull-back phase that the previous two Bullish Legs went through upon testing the 1W MA50. They both eventually broke it and peaked at the top of the Channel Down.
We expect a similar peak within the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1W MA50. Once the 1W RSI also peaks and starts reversing (red arc), we will sell and target 132.00 (just above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension).
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Chevron (CVX) Stock Rallies Amid Middle East TensionsChevron (NYSE: NYSE:CVX ), along with other energy giants like ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips, has been making significant gains as oil prices surge due to heightened tensions in the Middle East. The geopolitical instability, particularly Iran’s missile strike on Israel, has raised concerns over potential disruptions in global oil supplies, driving up crude prices and, consequently, energy stocks.
Overview
Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose 2.8%, reaching $75.59 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures surged nearly 3%, pushing prices close to $72 per barrel. This sharp increase in oil prices reflects market fears of supply constraints as the conflict in the Middle East escalates. Given Iran’s role as a major oil producer, accounting for about 5% of the world’s total output, any prolonged conflict could have significant ramifications for the global energy market.
Investors have responded to these concerns by flocking to energy stocks, with Chevron’s stock gaining 1.6% in premarket trading. Chevron’s rise is also supported by its recent $53 billion acquisition of Hess (HES), which positions the company for long-term growth in the energy sector. The acquisition further strengthens Chevron’s portfolio by expanding its presence in key oil-producing regions, such as the prolific Guyana oil fields, adding to its already robust operations.
Despite the surge in oil prices, Chevron (NYSE: NYSE:CVX ) is also benefitting from strong market fundamentals. The company’s strong year-to-date performance is reflected in its 20% gain, showcasing investor confidence in the long-term viability of energy stocks amid ongoing geopolitical challenges. Analysts have pointed to Chevron’s disciplined capital spending, robust cash flow, and strategic acquisitions as factors bolstering its resilience during volatile market conditions.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Chevron’s stock is showing positive momentum. As of Wednesday, NYSE:CVX is up 0.71%, with shares trading above the 50-day moving average, signaling strength in the current uptrend. The stock’s relative strength index (RSI) currently sits at 62.21, approaching the overbought region, indicating strong buying pressure. Investors should closely monitor the RSI, as a move above 70 could signal overbought conditions, possibly leading to a short-term correction.
Chevron (NYSE: NYSE:CVX ) has been trading in line with the broader energy sector, benefiting from rising oil prices. The stock is following a bullish pattern, breaking above key resistance levels and trading near recent highs. The 50-day moving average (MA) provides critical support, indicating that Chevron's bullish momentum is likely to persist unless a significant downside event occurs.
Investors looking to capitalize on the stock’s strong uptrend should keep an eye on Chevron’s RSI and other momentum indicators, as the current trajectory suggests continued strength in the energy sector.
Geopolitical Uncertainty Driving Oil Prices
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, especially Iran's involvement, has introduced heightened volatility to the energy market. The potential for broader conflict in the region raises the risk of supply disruptions, further fueling upward pressure on oil prices. UBS Global Wealth Management’s CIO Mark Haefele noted that positions in oil could act as a portfolio hedge against a worsening crisis in the Middle East, making energy stocks like Chevron an attractive option for risk-averse investors.
Moreover, while the firm’s base case is not for an all-out war, the potential for sustained tensions could continue to impact oil prices, benefitting energy stocks. Investors should also consider the broader market implications, including the potential for higher inflation driven by rising energy costs.
Conclusion
While Chevron’s stock may experience fluctuations in the near term, the overall outlook for the energy sector remains strong, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. As global energy markets brace for further volatility, Chevron is well-positioned to navigate the challenges ahead and deliver long-term value to its shareholders.
Comprehensive Analysis of Chevron (CVX) - 16/09/2024Chevron (CVX) is an established energy company listed in the S&P 500 index.
Technical Analysis: I use moving averages as zones rather than lines. On the weekly chart, I applied the 200 EMA and 200 SMA, shading the area between them in orange to create a moving average zone. Currently, prices are finding support in this zone on the weekly chart.
Additionally, the $140 level acts as a demand zone and creates confluence.
On the daily chart, the ATR-based Keltner Channels are touching the lower band, indicating that downside volatility has reached its natural limits. There is also a bullish order block present.
On the 4-hour chart, I use the Inverse Fisher RSI. It filters out noise and provides fewer false signals compared to the standard RSI.
On the 1-hour chart, there is a noticeable decline in volume. Remember, without volume, it is difficult to break through support or resistance levels. From a technical standpoint, different timeframes are giving BUY signals.
Fundamental Analysis: The company has a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.81, which is considered normal for the sector. In the last quarter, Chevron reported total revenue of $49.66 billion and a net profit of $4.43 billion, resulting in a 9% profit margin, which meets my no-loss rule.
Chevron has strong return on equity, and growth continues. Its current ratio is 1.16, meaning its short-term assets exceed its liabilities, indicating financial stability.
The price-to-book ratio is 1.60, which is excellent for a company of this size.
Chevron's total assets stand at $260 billion, while total liabilities are around $100 billion, meaning the company's debt-to-assets ratio is 38.51%, which is highly acceptable.
The company’s annual dividend yield is 4.55%, providing a potential bonus for long-term investors.
With CVX trading near its 52-week low and showing positive signals, it could be a good choice for portfolio managers.
Chevron (CVX): Approaching a Critical Support ZoneIt's been a while since we last analyzed CVX, but we’re now approaching a very important area on the chart. You might wonder why we’re focusing on the weekly chart instead of the daily. The reason is simple: sometimes you need to zoom out to get a clearer perspective, and in this case, the weekly chart holds far more significance than the daily. There’s no point in searching for entries on the daily when the more crucial entry level on the weekly is just below.
We’re looking to find support at the HVN POC (High Volume Node Point of Control) at $117, which would also serve as a retest after the last breakout in 2022. We’re still determining the best way to place a limit order at this level, but for now, we’re waiting on the sidelines with alerts set and a light game plan ready.
CVX Chevron Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold CVX before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CVX Chevron Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 145usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $4.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
US Energy ETF(IYE)The price has approached a point to close the gap and is likely to hit the resistance level at $50.30, potentially moving sideways until the November US General Election. My position is that if Trump wins, we could see significant growth in Energy stocks and ETFs, potentially breaking the $50.30 resistance. My advice is to start investing in IYE today, compounding $500 a month for the next 10 years or so. You will likely not regret it. This analysis goes the same to “FENY”
Good Luck and Happy Investing






















