GBPCHF Bullish Expectation – Heading to 1.0938This time I’m looking for a long opportunity in GBPCHF. After many days of sideways ranging, the price strongly reacted from the FVG demand zone (around 1.0799) and broke above the 0.786 retracement level (1.0845).
I’m expecting buyers to keep control here, and my target is around 1.0938 which also matches the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If momentum continues, price may even push up to 1.0950.
Still, if there’s any pullback, I’ll be watching the FVG zone again (1.0799 – 1.0815) for another bounce. As long as price holds above that area, my bullish view remains valid.
📈 Expectation: Upside move to 1.0938
Cleartradingmind
USDCHF – Ranging Phase but Looking BullishThis time I am looking for a long buy in USDCHF.
The market was ranging for many days, but now I expect a bullish move from the lower zone. Price is trying to hold above the 200 MA and pushing higher.
From this point, my target is based on the Fibonacci extension levels:
- First target is around 0.8126
If buyers continue with strength, this level looks achievable in the next move. For me, this is a good setup to follow the bullish side after the range.
Second Chance Setup – AUDUSD Bears Ready to Smash Supports
Last time, AUDUSD didn’t push lower as expected, instead making a false breakout / FVG sweep that trapped early sellers. But now, price action has given us a much stronger bearish confirmation.
On the 1H chart:
- A Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling distribution.
- Price rejected from the FVG zone and failed to hold above the 200 EMA.
- The neckline has been retested , showing commitment from sellers.
This second chance setup looks more convincing than the first because momentum is clearly shifting toward the downside. My expectation is now for AUDUSD to extend lower toward 0.6456 , with further downside targets at 0.6422 and potentially deeper if sellers remain strong.
📉 Bias – Strong Bearish
📍 Key Resistance – FVG zone & neckline area
🎯 Target Levels – 0.6456 → 0.6422 → 0.6400
AUDUSD – Bearish Push Toward 0.6456 After FVG Rejection On the 1H chart, AUDUSD recently retraced into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) but failed to hold above, showing sellers stepping back in. The break below the 200 EMA combined with a clean trendline break adds more weight to the bearish sentiment.
With momentum shifting downward, my expectation is for price to drop toward the 1.618 Fib extension at 0.6456. If selling pressure remains strong, deeper targets at 0.6450 (Fib 2.0) and 0.6444 (Fib 2.272) could be in play.
📉 Bias – Bearish
📍 Key Resistance – FVG zone & 200 EMA
🎯 Target Levels – 0.6456 → 0.6450 → 0.6444
XAUUSD – Bears Eye 3316 as 200 MA CracksOn the 1H chart, Gold (XAUUSD) just confirmed a break below the 200 EMA, signaling a potential momentum shift in favor of sellers. Price previously retraced into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and failed to sustain above, which adds to the bearish sentiment.
With the rejection from the FVG and fib-based projections, my expectation is for price to push down towards the 1.618 Fib extension at 3316.50. If bearish momentum remains strong, further downside levels could be in sight at 3299 (Fib 2.0) and 3281 (Fib 2.272).
📉 Bias – Bearish
📍 Key Resistance – FVG zone
🎯 Target Levels – 3316.50 → 3299 → 3281
Bulls Fooled by CPI? EURUSD Bears Back in Control!In my previous outlook, I expected EURUSD to drop right after the CPI release. However, the numbers came out slightly USD-negative, giving bulls a small boost:
- CPI Data (Actual vs Forecast):
- Core CPI m/m: 0.3% vs 0.3% (Neutral)
- CPI m/m: 0.2% vs 0.2% (Neutral)
- CPI y/y: 2.7% vs 2.8% (Mildly bearish USD)
The difference in CPI y/y is small, so the impact was mild, not strong enough to flip the overall trend but enough to create a temporary upward move and stop out the first short attempt.
Current Technical View
Now, price has tapped into the 1hr Fair Value Gap (FVG) and faced rejection. It’s also breaking lower from the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement area, suggesting sellers are stepping back in.
Bearish Factors:
1. FVG rejection confirms supply zone pressure.
2. Price now below EMA, showing momentum shift.
3. Higher timeframe structure still in a lower-high, lower-low trend.
4. CPI reaction was mild, so fundamentals don’t override the bearish technical setup.
My Bearish Targets This Time
A)- First target: 1.1540 (major support & fib extension area)
B)- Second target: 1.1475 (previous swing low & deeper extension)
This is my second, more technical attempt to catch the continuation of the downtrend after the CPI-induced spike. If 1.1540 breaks, I expect momentum to carry towards 1.1475.
EURJPY – Bearish Break Targets 170.55 & 169.96On the 1H chart, EURJPY has broken below both the trendline support and the 200 EMA, signaling a clear shift in market sentiment toward the bears. The recent drop confirms sellers are in control after price failed to sustain near the FVG zone.
Fib extensions suggest the next downside targets are 170.55 (1.618 Fib) and 169.96 (Fib 2.0). A clean break below these could accelerate momentum toward deeper lows.
📉 Bias – Bearish
📍 Key Resistance – 200 EMA & 172.62 zone
🎯 Target Levels – 170.55 → 169.96
EURUSD – Eyes on the Supply Zone Before the Big DropRight now, I see EURUSD gearing up for a bigger fall. The recent price rejection and break below key fib levels hint at strong bearish pressure. My expectation is for the price to head toward the highlighted Supply Zone around 1.1553.
If the market respects this zone, we could see a short-term bounce. But if price breaks and closes below it, I’m looking for a bearish continuation toward deeper levels near 1.1518 and possibly 1.1494.
The EMA is also above current price action, adding extra weight to the bearish bias. For me, this setup signals a “stay short until proven otherwise” approach.
📉 Bias – Bearish towards the Supply Zone
📍 Key Break Point – 1.1553 zone
🎯 Next Targets if broken – 1.1518 / 1.1494
EURNZD – Double Top + 200 EMA Break… Is the Fall Coming?I think this pair has more chance to go down because a clear Double Top pattern has been formed exactly at a supply zone. After that, price has broken below the 200 EMA, showing weakness in the recent bullish move.
From here, I’m looking at the possibility of a bearish continuation. My expectation is for price to drop towards the 1.94600 area, which aligns with the Fibonacci extension target.
This is just my personal view based on the pattern and 200 EMA break — let’s see how the market reacts in the coming sessions.
From Demand to Glory: Nifty’s Bullish March to 25,220 Nifty Bullish Outlook
-Current Price: 24,905 (approx)
- Key Demand Zone: 24,620 – 24,660
- Key Supply Zone: 25,200 – 25,240
Technical View
- Strong Demand Bounce: Nifty reversed sharply from the demand zone (24,620–24,660),
indicating strong buying interest.
- Trend Breakout Potential: Price is approaching resistance near 24,920; a breakout could push
towards the supply zone at 25,220 (target).
- Momentum Structure: Higher lows formed after the demand zone test, showing bullish
strength.
News & Data Supporting Bullish Bias
- India’s Q1 GDP Growth: The latest estimates show strong economic growth, supporting equity
market sentiment.
- FIIs Turning Buyers: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net buyers over the past
few sessions, supporting index upside.
- Global Market Tone: US and Asian equities are stable, and crude oil prices are moderating,
supporting risk appetite.
- RBI Policy Outlook: Market expects no immediate rate hikes, keeping liquidity positive for
equities.
Expectation
If Nifty sustains above 24,900, we expect a bullish move towards 25,220 in the short term.
Stop-loss: Below 24,780 (to manage risk).
BTCUSD Turning Bearish – Eye on 115,200 Target- The price is approaching a supply zone near 119,450 – 120,000, where previous selling pressure
existed.
- Structure shows a potential lower high formation, signaling bearish momentum could continue.
- Risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable if entry triggers at 119,450 and target is 115,200.
- Confirmation with bearish candle rejection at the supply zone is recommended before
entering.
This is a sell setup aiming for a 420–450 pips move. Wait for price action confirmation near 119,450. If rejected, short positions may target 115,200.
EURNZD Supply Test – Short Setup to DemandOn the 1-hour chart, EURNZD is approaching the 0.618 Fib retracement level and testing a Fair Value Gap (FVG) 🟧 after a strong bearish move.
- Supply + OB zone above 1.96600 is acting as resistance
- Demand + OB zone near 1.94000 is the target area
Plan:
- Expecting a rejection from current levels (1.95500 – 1.95700) or from the upper supply zone
🎯 Target: Demand Zone near 1.94200 – 1.94000 (≈ 150 pips potential move)
🛡 Invalidation: Clean breakout and hold above 1.96600 supply zone
Reasoning:
- Market structure remains bearish after the recent drop
- Supply zone + FVG + Fib retracement creates a strong confluence for rejection
- Looking for confirmation before short entry
(Not financial advice – just a personal market observation)
EURUSD Supply Rejection – Bearish Move ExpectedOn the 1-hour chart, EURUSD tapped into the 4hr Supply + OB zone 🟧 and failed to hold above previous structure.
- BoS (Break of Structure) shows weakness at highs
- ChoCh (Change of Character) confirms bearish shift
- Price rejected from 0.236 Fib level (1.17400) and is moving lower
Plan:
- Expecting price to move toward 1.16200 (≈ 120 pips from current level) 🎯
- Bearish momentum remains valid as long as price stays below supply zone
- Confirmation candles & retests strengthen short bias
Reasoning:
- Supply zone rejection + failed breakout
- Clear structure shift (ChoCh) toward lower lows
- Fib retracement confluence (0.5 – 0.618 zone) aligning with sell pressure
(Not financial advice – only a personal observation)
AUDNZD Descending Triangle – Bearish Breakout SetupOn the 1-hour chart, AUDNZD is forming a descending triangle 📐, a bearish continuation pattern.
- Horizontal support is holding but getting repeatedly tested
- Lower highs indicate selling pressure
Plan:
- Break and close below support may trigger a bearish continuation
- Target: 1.08750 🎯 (≈ 35 pips from current price)
- Invalidation if price breaks above descending trendline and holds
Reasoning:
- Descending triangle often leads to breakdowns when tested multiple times
- Lower highs show sellers gaining control
- Short bias remains as long as price respects the triangle resistance
(Personal chart study, not financial advice)
AUDCHF Contracting Triangle – Waiting for Breakout Confirmation
AUDCHF on the 1-hour chart is forming a contracting triangle 🔺, showing consolidation after a downtrend.
From an SMC perspective:
🟩 Demand + OB (Order Block) zone holding strong near 0.51900
🔄 Previous CHoCH shows buyer interest
⏳ Waiting for BoS (Break of Structure) confirmation above the triangle
Plan:
* Breakout Entry: Above 0.52400 after retest 🔓
🎯 First Target: 0.52770 – 0.52800 (≈ 37 pips from breakout)
🛡 Invalidation: Below 0.51900 (demand failure)
Reasoning:
+ Contracting triangles often lead to strong impulsive moves ⚡
+ Buyers are already active at demand 🔥
+ Confirmation of CHoCH + BoS could push price to targets 🚀
// (Not financial advice – personal chart observation)
GBPCAD Showing Strength – Breakout Setup with Measured TargetsThis is my personal setup for GBPCAD on the 1-hour chart. After a strong downtrend, the price has started to form a bullish reversal pattern from the 1.83600 zone. I’m watching the current bullish structure which is showing good strength and higher lows.
🔹 Entry Idea:
I’m planning to enter above 1.84700, once price confirms a breakout and retest. This level also aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
🔹 Targets & PIPs:
🎯 First Target: 1.85280 (≈ 58 pips from entry)
🎯 Second Target: 1.85720 (≈ 102 pips from entry)
🔹 Reasoning:
- Price bounced from the 1.83600 support zone
- Forming bullish structure (higher highs & higher lows)
- Nearing Fibonacci midpoint resistance
- Increasing volume indicates potential buyers stepping in
This is my personal trade idea – not financial advice. Let’s see if price follows the plan!
CADCHF Squeeze Between OB and Trendline – Big Move Coming?CADCHF is compressing within a descending triangle structure, showing signs of bullish intent as it continues to reject a key demand + 1H order block area.
🔹 Trade Idea:
I’m watching for a bullish breakout above 0.58380, which will also confirm a trendline breakout from the descending triangle. Until then, I remain on the sidelines.
🔹 Key Technical Factors:
- Price consolidating inside a descending triangle, squeezing between lower highs and a consistent demand zone
- Repeated rejections from the green demand zone suggest buyers are defending the level strongly
- A clean order block (1H) is aligned with the bottom of this structure, adding confluence for a bullish move
- Above 0.58380 breakout may trigger momentum toward 0.58630, near the supply zone
🔹 Trade Plan:
+ Buy above: 0.58380 (on breakout + close above trendline)
+ First Target: 0.58630 (next resistance/supply area)
* Invalid if: price breaks and holds below the demand zone
⚠️ Note: Entry is only valid on confirmed breakout. Until then, patience and watchfulness around structure edges are key.
BTCUSD – Breakout Plan from Demand Zone (CHoCH + OB Setup)🔹 Current View:
I'm closely watching the 107,240 zone, where we have a strong Demand + Order Block + CHoCH (Change of Character) setup. This is a key support area that could trigger a fresh bearish move if broken.
🔹 My Plan:
I'm waiting for a clear breakout below 107,240 to enter a short position.
➡️ Entry: 107,240 (after confirmed breakout)
➡️ Stop Loss: 109,750 (above supply + BOS zone)
➡️ Target: 105,000 (previous inefficiency zone)
🔹 Supply Zones Noted:
- 109,250–109,500: Supply + FVG + BOS
- 110,000–110,500: Strong Supply + FVG
This trade is based on price breaking demand structure and retesting key supply areas above. Volume profile also shows heavy activity above, indicating possible resistance on any pullbacks.
XAUUSD – Bearish Setup: Watching Entry Below Key Level🔹 Current View:
Price is falling from the Shooting Star Candle + Supply zone and is now near a key short-term support at 3295.
🔹 My Plan:
I'm waiting for a clear break and close below 3295 to enter a short trade.
➡️ Entry: 3295 (breakout confirmation)
➡️ Target: 3266
➡️ Further drop possible toward demand zone below
🔹 Supply Zones Noted:
- 3340–3350: Supply + Shooting Star
- 3360–3370: Supply + FVG
If price respects the supply zones and breaks below 3295, we may see continuation to the downside.
GBPCAD Bulls Preparing – Watching Break Above VWAP🔹 Current View:
The pair has formed a Double Bottom pattern around 1.8500 after a strong bearish drop from a Double Top near the 4H Supply Zone. This indicates a potential reversal.
🔹 VWAP Insight:
The blue line is VWAP, acting as dynamic resistance. Price is currently testing this area. A clean break above it could confirm bullish momentum.
🔹 My Trading Plan:
I’m waiting for the price to move above the VWAP and reach my key level at 1.86400 to enter a long trade.
➡️ Entry: 1.86400
➡️ Target: 1.87200 (near previous supply zone high)
🔹 Technical Summary:
- Bearish Pressure Origin: Double Top + 4H Order Block
- Bullish Signal: Double Bottom formation
- VWAP Breakout Watch: Key for confirming strength
If the price clears VWAP and hits the entry, I’ll look for a move toward the 1.87200 resistance zone.
AUDNZD Breakout Retest – Ready for the Next Bullish Leg?
AUDNZD has broken out of a prolonged consolidation box, supported by a demand zone below. Price is currently retesting the breakout level, which often acts as a launchpad for the next move.
🧠 Key Observations:
🔷 Consolidation Breakout – Price cleanly broke above the consolidation range.
🔁 Retest in Progress – A potential bullish retest is unfolding at 1.0800 area.
🟦 Demand Zone below offers strong support around 1.0730–1.0750.
🎯 Target: 1.08750 (pre-identified resistance zone)
----------
📌 Trade Plan:
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.0875
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.0750 demand zone
🧭 Bias: Bullish
📊 Strategy: Breakout–Retest–Rally
USDJPY Pre-Breakout Setup – Eyes on 145.310 for Bullish EntryThe recent structure on USDJPY (4H chart) shows a bullish shift supported by a strong double bottom formation within a defined demand zone. After a clean impulse from the bottom, price is now consolidating below the key resistance.
🔹 Trade Idea:
I am patiently waiting for the price to break and close above 145.310 to confirm bullish continuation. Entry is valid only above this level to avoid false breakouts.
🔹 Technical Highlights:
- Price rebounded from a strong demand zone with a double bottom.
- A new bullish leg formed, approaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
- A clear impulse-correction structure signals potential for further upside if resistance is broken.
🔹 Trade Plan:
- Buy Above: 145.310 (confirmation breakout)
- Stop Loss: 144.40 (below structure and 0.382 Fib)
- Target: 146.900 (aligned with 1.618–2.0 Fibonacci extension)
⚠️ Note: No trade if price fails to break and hold above the entry trigger. Patience is key.
Crude Oil Eyes Bullish Breakout – Demand Zone Holding StrongCrude Oil (USOIL) is forming a potential bullish reversal structure on the 1H timeframe, supported by repeated bounces from a well-respected demand zone. Price currently consolidates below the key resistance level with a visible expanding channel, hinting at possible volatility and breakout.
🔹 Trade Idea:
I’m waiting for a clear break and close above 66.50 for a valid long entry. The setup remains invalid unless price confirms this breakout.
🔹 Technical Highlights:
- Strong demand zone held price multiple times
- Formation of higher impulses with retracements aligning well with Fibonacci levels
- Market structure suggests a continuation toward upper targets if 66.50 is broken with momentum
🔹 Trade Plan:
- Buy Above: 66.50 (breakout confirmation)
- Stop Loss: 64.40 (below demand zone and structure support)
- Target: 69.00 (near 2.272 Fibonacci extension)
⚠️ Note: No entry unless 66.50 is broken convincingly. Setup favors disciplined execution only on confirmation.