Mean Reversion CME GAP at FOMC -> Pump until BOJ Rate DecissionHello guys! I will share a mean reversion idea on Bitcoin with you today.
I expect Bitcoin to close the CME Gap, that got made at the beginning of the week. Currently we are very close to starting the recovery process. The CME Gap closing aligns very good with a mean reversion to the 50EMA on the 4hr timeframe. This could be an indication for a trend continuation of Bitcoin to the upside until friday when the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will decide their rate policy. We will look into the chart from a new perspective on friday so take this trade idea as a short term one. I mentioned in the chart that we have an unrecovered pink vector candle at the top. This could be an good area to aim for in the reversal process to take profit. With good execution this could be an good trade from 102k to 108k. Me personal, I don't think we will see a rate cut and if so only a small one. So nothing that will shake the markets to hard. I hope.
Trade SAFE!
Cmegap
BITCOIN head and shoulder pattern + CME GAPBitcoin appears to be forming a potential Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a commonly recognized bearish reversal structure in technical analysis.
If this pattern fully materializes, it could lead to a corrective move, possibly targeting the price gap in the $77,000–$80,000 range. This level may act as a magnet for price action, fulfilling a technical gap-filling scenario often observed in market dynamics.
Points of Interest on BITCOIN before FOMCI'm watching the price action closely today as we approach the CME gap at $61.5k.
We have not yet taken the previous high on the CME chart. The gap is still open a little bit. We've also accumulated some liquidity at about $57.2k. It is also wednesday, which is know for it's trend reversal.
False move monday on BitcoinWe are currently sitting at the EMA50 on the 4hr timeframe. It looks like we are doint a mean reversion here again. The top was quick and formed a wick but I couldn't finde any vector candle that could be liquidity pools to recover. We also have a CME GAP at $54.2k which will be recovered soon in my opinion. We had the retest of the $58k level which was very important but I expected it to happen on wednesday. Lets observe price action but my observation leans towards shorting.
Ethereum - CME Gap yet to be filled#ETH/USDT #Analysis
Description
---------------------------------------------------------------
+ As shown in the chart, the Bitcoin CME futures gap is still unfilled.
+ This gap was created during the sudden market crash driven by recession fears.
+ Historically, 90% of CME gaps get filled sooner or later, and we expect the same outcome in this case.
+ Currently, the ETH price is around the support zone, and it appears to have recovered after hitting this level.
+ It's likely this gap will be filled in September, as it is typically a bearish month, but it should certainly be filled before the end of October.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
BTC is filling the CME Gap. Bullish or Bearish?Hello Traders,
In this video, I dive deep into the current market landscape, focusing on several key aspects that are crucial for developing our trading strategies. First, we'll discuss the CME Gap and explore how this gap might influence market movements.
Next, we take a closer look at the trend direction and analyze how it has evolved in recent days and what it could mean for upcoming trading opportunities. I'll show you how to identify the trend and incorporate it into your strategy.
Another essential topic we'll cover is confirmations: I'll explain how to ensure that your trade is on solid ground and how to avoid unnecessary risks.
Finally, I present two different trade ideas and share my expectations for these setups. You'll learn about the scenarios I envision and how I plan to respond to various market developments.
Join me as we delve into chart analysis and learn how to apply this information to your own trades!
CME gap still not closed! Expect uptake of price and more ATH Increadibly, CME is still open now with a secondary formation because of bitcoin volatility
The gap is marked with the orange box with range 59,445 and 62,470
Extremily possible that price will need to go there, so big players do not lose money
Another evidence that price will go there, is that the price of bitcoin is finishing a flag pattern
Target of bull flag is around 85,000 usd per CRYPTOCAP:BTC
BTC is approaching its bottom in the 51k areaIt seems that BTC is approaching its bottom in the 51k area, as seen from several indicators including:
1. Fibo 0.618 (goldenratio) correction from impulsive wave from January to March
2. Major support at 51k has not been visited since February
3. Finishing ABCDE correction wave
4. Bottom trendline descending channel formed since March
5. Liquidity heatmap is around 51k
6. CME gap at 58k has been filled, and another gap has emerged above in the 59.5k - 62k area
7. Fear and greed at 26 (FEAR)
$BTC may do something like this in this week#bitcoin #btc price is heading to fill CME CRYPTOCAP:BTC futures gap at ~58K while weekly close is approaching. Oscillators will likely turn "Oversold" less than in a day and market may be dipped in around CME gap price. #Stock markets already turned oversold and local dips happened. Whilst a favorable aspect for financial markets is approaching: Sun will sextile Jupiter, the planet of fortune and wealth, i expect markets to go up all the week from now on (Today is new moon, the pivot day). But, beware. This will likely be a relief rally, a bull trap... It's better to be in low risk assets in second half of August. Avoid high risks. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin's Resilience Amidst Bear Market: A Technical Outlook 📊"DISCLAIMER!! This is a 'worst-case' scenario/theory which is still bullish. Bitcoin also has a "monthly bearish-divergence on monthly, which would be the first time this has printed on the Bitcoin: INDEX chart. Also there are other variables such as black-swans/wars, CME-GAP, Declining volume on this whole 'rally' up. Also the first time Bitcoin has made a new all-time-high before a halving.(Blackrock-manipulation(prolonging bear-market-rally) ""
"My current theoretical analysis suggests Bitcoin is testing a breakout from the cyclical triangle pattern observed in the last market cycle. If confirmed, this could signal the end of the bear market. There are speculations that BlackRock may have engaged in strategic market activities, potentially inflating Bitcoin's value to create a bullish sentiment during a bear market rally. This orchestrated optimism is believed to have sustained the price levels."
Revisiting Triangular Patterns: A Classic Continuation? 🔺✨
Bitcoin's recent price actions suggest a retest of the structural integrity within a macro triangular pattern. Despite the bearish sentiments, the chart displays a potential 'higher low,' indicating an underlying strength. This scenario, if supported by volume and market participation, could signal the tapering off of the bear market.
Black Swan Events and Market Dynamics 🦢🔄
The term 'Black swans' references unforeseen events with substantial market impact. The chart alludes to such events as pivotal in Bitcoin's trajectory, though it's critical to recognize that market manipulation allegations like those suggested against Black Rock require substantial evidence and are beyond technical analysis purview.
Bullish Sentiments and Market Manipulation Claims 📈⚖️
While the narrative of market manipulation can influence short-term price movements, long-term trends in Bitcoin have shown resilience to such factors. The claim that bullish sentiments have artificially sustained prices is challenging to substantiate without concrete data.
Higher-Low: The Bullish Bastion ⬆️🛡️
The chart points to a 'higher-low' formation, a classic bullish signal. This pattern reflects buyers stepping in at higher price levels than previous lows, suggesting an upward momentum.
Bear Market Exit: A Technically Supported Theory? 🐻🔚
The conclusion that Bitcoin is testing the last cycle's triangle apex could be indicative of a bear market conclusion. However, this would need validation through other indicators like moving averages, RSI, and MACD, beyond the scope of the current visual data.
Takeaway: Analyzing the Apex 🎯📝
Bitcoin's endurance of a macro 'higher-low' amidst a bearish cycle suggests optimism. However, reliance on a single pattern or market rumors for prediction is precarious. A holistic technical analysis, incorporating diverse indicators and market sentiment, provides a more robust framework for future price movement speculation.
Conclusion: Informed Caution Is Key 🔍🔑
While the theory presents an optimistic case for Bitcoin, prudent investors should seek confirmation through a broad technical lens, mindful of market volatility and the speculative nature of cryptocurrencies.
📈 Please note: This analysis does not constitute financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Always conduct thorough research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
#bitcoin #btc has closed a historical #CME #GAPAs you see on the chart, there was very important #CMEFUTURES gap at 35 - 36K area which was opened in #luna collapse times. Now, #btcusdt price has CLOSED this historical gap and what now?
It' s too early to say #btcprice will go on through the #bullrun or " BTC will directly go to close the OTHER historical GAP at 20 - 21K region!.."
Now, just relax and watch the #market and especially #BTCdominance. #BTCD will reveal the direction of the market. I will update my thoughts.
As you see on the chart, there only 1 #CME #FUTURES #GAP left at 20 - 21K region. Don' t underestimate this and also don' t be pessimistic, just carefully watch #bitcoin moves.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Dyor.
BTC Professional Analysis on $Bitcoin Weekly #NFAMake it or break it moment is right here.
40k+ breaks channel or 9k if failure here. Just like the old-school game of pong, once that ball bounces at the top and doesn't break whatever it touched, it goes in the other direction. Bitcoin doesn't break up here, it breaks down to Goblin-town aka bottom of channel in blue.
BTC CME gaps to be filled We are entering an important zone ➡️ above previous high and around 0.5fib...
Let's wait and see if we support or lose the R/S line. When lose, I close my long CRYPTOCAP:BTC position and start to look for short setups... If we support, we will continue 🐨
Be alert...
#trading #bitcoin






















