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Silver Market Once in a Lifetime Breakout: 120/140 USD PT📌 Base case unchanged: I’m still targeting $125–$150 within 12–24 months. The next leg of the bull run should accelerate after the all-time-high (~$49–$50) breaks and sticks. Spot is circling the mid-$40s (recent highs ~$46–$47), so the setup is in place. 💎✨ 🎯 Bottom line Silver’s structural deficit + gold leadership + policy-driven cost inflation meet a fresh technical regime. The ATH break is the ignition; $65–$75 is the first destination, and the $125–$150 12–24M target stays live if real yields drift down and PV/electronics demand stays elevated despite thrifting. Manage the whipsaws; respect $38 as the cycle guardrail. BUY/HOLD bias remains warranted. 🚀💎🔥 ________________________________________ 📊 Technical Outlook (2-week candles) • Structure: Multi-year Cup & Handle from 2011 → 2020 base → 2024/25 handle. The $40 neckline break is done; a weekly/monthly close > $49.50 flips the market into price discovery. • Levels that matter: — Resistance: $49–$50 (ATH), then $65–$75 (measured move / vacuum), interim supply near $57–$60. — Support: $44.5–$45 (breakout retest), $41–$42 (former cap), deeper $38 and $34 (trend break if lost). • Momentum breadth: Higher highs on price with constructive consolidation while gold prints records → classic GSR mean-reversion tailwind. 📈⚡ ________________________________________ 🧭 12–24 Month Path Outlook Base (55%) – Break & run: Close above $50 triggers trend systems and discretionary chase → extension to $65–$75 by mid-’26, stair-step into $100–$125 by late ’26/early ’27; overshoot to $150 on macro squeeze. 🚀 Alt up (15%) – Blow-off: Parabolic sprint to $85–$100 immediately post-break, sharp retrace to high-$60s, then grind to $125–$150. Pullback (25%) – Fakeout & reload: Failure at $49–$50, mean reversion to $41–$42 or even $38, rebuild positioning; timeline slips ~1–2 quarters. Bear tail (5%) – Macro shock: USD spike + real-yield jump + PV air-pocket; lose $34 → cycle delay (target deferred, not canceled). ⚠️ ________________________________________ 🚦 Catalyst Scorecard — Visible & Hidden Drivers (0–10) 1. Fed path & real yields — 9.0/10 (Bullish) The Fed cut 25 bps on Sept 17 (now 4.00–4.25%) and signaled scope for more easing this year; several officials reinforced that bias. Lower real yields are the single strongest tailwind for non-yielding metals. 🏦 2. U.S. Dollar trend — 6.0/10 (Net-Bullish for silver) DXY has been firm the last two weeks, a minor headwind; but with the Fed easing bias, dollar upswings look tactical, not structural. Any USD rollover clears the runway. 💵 3. Gold leadership & GSR mean-reversion — 8.5/10 (Bullish) Gold at/near record highs ~$3.75–$3.80k keeps silver in tow. GSR ~80–84 is elevated vs. bull-market medians → skew favors silver outperformance on a gold grind. 🪙⚖️ 4. Structural deficit — 8.5/10 (Bullish) Fourth straight sizable deficit; ~678 Moz cumulative drawdown since 2021. 2025 still projected to run a ~115–120 Moz deficit despite softer bar/coin demand. 📉📦 5. Industrial demand (PV/Electronics) — 7.5/10 (Bullish with nuance) PV/electrical demand at record highs; PV up again in 2024 (+3% y/y) and installations broadened across 38 “>1GW” countries. Offsetting force: silver thrifting (0BB, copper plating) → another 10–12% loading cut likely in 2025. Net: total ounces still robust as capacity growth outpaces thrifting… for now. ☀️🔋 6. ETP/ETF flows — 7.5/10 (Bullish) Global silver ETPs flipped to net inflows in 2024 (+62 Moz) and kept adding into 2025. SLV shows ~15,362 tonnes in trust as of Sept 26—a sizable base of “sticky” investment metal. 📊📈 7. LBMA & COMEX stocks / liquidity premia — 7.0/10 (Bullish) LBMA silver in London: 24,646 t (Aug) — up m/m but well below pre-2020 peaks; COMEX registered ~196 Moz. Tight-ish float + delivery frictions can widen location premia during spikes. 🏭📦 8. Tariff & logistics regime — 7.0/10 (Bullish via inflation/frictions) U.S. 50% copper tariff (Aug 1) lifts domestic copper premia and can indirectly affect by-product silver flows and refining economics. Recent gold bar tariff confusion also showed how policy can snarl bullion logistics; LBMA welcomed clarifications, and noted silver discussions continue—headline risk persists. 🚢⚙️ 9. Base-metal supply shocks (by-product linkage) — 6.5/10 (Bullish) Grasberg disruptions and Peru protest-related shutdowns point to emerging fragility in copper output; since much silver comes as a by-product, copper hiccups can tighten silver supply at the margin. ⛏️🌍 10. Mexico policy/permitting — 6.0/10 (Bullish later, volatile now) World’s top silver producer remains mired in regulatory overhang; exploration still depressed post-2023 reforms. Any genuine permitting thaw would be years from ounces—near-term effect is restraint. 🇲🇽📜 11. India retail/investment demand — 6.5/10 (Bullish) Silver hitting record rupee highs; local ETFs up ~50%+ YTD; retail investment +7% y/y in H1’25. Seasonal tailwinds into festivals. 🎉🇮🇳 12. China macro & manufacturing — 5.5/10 (Mixed) Electronics appetite is steady, PV leadership intact; property stress caps jewelry, but investment demand remains opportunistic. Net: supportive on dips, headline-sensitive. 🏗️🇨🇳 13. Systematic/CTA & options positioning — 6.0/10 (Volatility amplifier) Trend models chased the $40 break; dealer gamma turns negative above $45–$47 at times, inviting intraday whipsaws. 🎯📉📈 14. Geopolitics (Ukraine/Mideast/Taiwan) — 5.5/10 (Event-Bullish) Safe-haven jolts remain episodic; they matter more after the ATH triggers chase behavior. 🌍🔥 ________________________________________ 🧨 Hidden (under-traded) catalysts • GSR compression trade: Once $50 breaks, programmatic rebalancing from gold to silver can accelerate relative gains. (GSR in the 60s pulls silver deeper into triple digits fast.) ⚖️💥 • By-product elasticity: Copper policy & outages (tariffs, mine incidents) can reduce silver by-product feed even as PV demand hums—this is not fully priced. 🔧⛏️ • Vault/warehouse microstructure: LBMA/COMEX stock changes vs. delivery notices can suddenly widen time/location spreads → sparks short-term basis fireworks that lift spot. 📦⏳ ________________________________________ 🛠️ Positioning & Execution • Core: BUY/HOLD core metal exposure; add on $44–$45 retests; reload heavier on $41–$42. • Breakout tactics: On a weekly close > $50, ride call spreads (e.g., $60/$90 9–15M out on SI or SLV) or risk-reversals (sell $35 puts to fund $80–$100 calls). • Risk controls: Invalidate momentum if weekly close < $38; cut leverage. ________________________________________ 🧩 Fundamental NOTES • Spot context: XAG/USD ~$46, 52-week range ~$28–$46.7. ATH ~$49–$50 (1980/2011). • Deficit math: Metals Focus/Silver Institute show fourth straight deficit; 2025 deficit ~117 Moz amid record industrial demand and only modest supply growth. • Supply: 2024 mined = 819.7 Moz; 2025e ≈ 835.0 Moz (+1.9% y/y). Primary mine share keeps slipping; AISC fell in 2024 (by-product credits). • PV nuance: Silver loadings ↓ ~10–12% in 2025e, but global PV installations broadened; total silver ounces into PV remain lofty even as intensity falls. • Vaults/ETFs: LBMA London holdings 24,646 t (Aug). SLV metal in trust 15,361.84 t (Sep 26). COMEX registered ~196 Moz. • Macro winds: Fed cut and may cut more in 2025 → lower real yields + easier USD path. • Policy kicker: U.S. copper tariffs live; gold bar tariffs clarified after August confusion; silver remains under policy watch—any mis-classification can jolt premia. ________________________________________
TVC:SILVERLong
by ProjectSyndicate
63
WTI | H4 — Sellers Defending the StructureWTI is currently trading into a well-defined descending dynamic resistance on the H4 timeframe, maintaining a bearish structure with consistent lower highs. This area has repeatedly capped price, making it a key decision zone for the next directional move. From a technical perspective, the broader trend remains bearish, with sellers defending rallies into the resistance band. Recent upside moves appear corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting limited buyer conviction so far. A clear rejection from this resistance would favor continuation toward recent lows. On the other hand, a strong marubozu close above the resistance would signal acceptance and a potential shift in control to buyers. Fundamentally, oil remains sensitive to OPEC supply guidance, geopolitical risks, and USD strength. Without a supportive fundamental catalyst, upside breakouts may struggle to sustain, increasing the importance of confirmation at this level. Takeaway: Bearish continuation remains favored on rejection from resistance. A bullish bias only comes into play if price breaks and accepts above resistance with strong momentum — otherwise, patience is key. #WTI #Oil #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TradingStrategy
TVC:USOIL
by uncleHamid
XAUUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 4,331.21 - Pullback support - 50% Fib retracement Stop Loss: 4,313.45 - Overlap support Take Profit: 4,354.27 - Swing high resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
GOLD | Consolidation Near Record Highs — Breakout AheadGOLD | Technical & Fundamental Overview Gold prices continue to advance after hitting new all-time highs, supported by strong safe-haven demand and a softer U.S. dollar amid expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts next year. Lower interest rates and a weaker dollar environment naturally enhance the attractiveness of precious metals. Gold’s move toward the $4,500 level reflects growing market acceptance of higher price levels rather than purely speculative demand. Technical Outlook In the short term, gold is expected to consolidate within the 4494 – 4474 range until a clear breakout occurs. - A 15M or 1H candle close above 4494 will support a bullish continuation toward 4514, followed by 4525. - A 1H candle close below 4474 would signal a corrective move toward 4460, with further downside toward 4440. Key Levels Pivot Line: 4474 Resistance: 4494, 4514, 4525 Support: 4460, 4440 Bias: Bullish above 4494; corrective below 4474
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
4
XAUUSD: Bullish Trend Remains Clear, Pullbacks Are Just a Setup Hi! On the H4 timeframe, price is moving cleanly within a well-defined ascending channel. What I value most about this rally is not its speed, but the way the market consolidates before each breakout. After the previous advance, XAUUSD did not experience aggressive selling; instead, it entered a consolidation phase with shallow pullbacks of roughly 40–50%. This is a classic characteristic of a strong trend, where selling pressure is limited to short-term profit taking and is quickly absorbed. Following this accumulation phase, price broke above the corrective trendline, forming a continuation pattern (pennant) and immediately triggering a strong bullish leg. This breakout pushed price deeper into the upper side of the trend channel, confirming a bullish continuation rather than distribution. From my experience, such “clean” breakouts are typically driven by institutional flows, not retail FOMO. From a fundamental perspective, the current environment continues to favor gold. According to the Forex Factory calendar, the market is closely monitoring upcoming U.S. inflation and labor data, while expectations remain that the Fed will maintain a more accommodative stance, or at least avoid a strongly hawkish tone in the near term. Meanwhile, major outlets such as Bloomberg and Reuters continue to highlight safe-haven demand amid geopolitical risks and slowing global growth. These factors have limited the upside potential of the U.S. dollar and indirectly supported XAUUSD. At this point, with price trading at fresh highs, I do not expect gold to move straight up. A more realistic scenario is a technical pullback toward the nearest support zone within the ascending channel, around the 4,45x–4,46x area, to retest demand. If this zone holds, it would provide a solid base for price to continue higher toward the next resistance area around 4,55x–4,58x, aligning with the upper boundary of the trend channel. Wishing you successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Camila_Roja
9
(Silver / USD, 1H) Chart pattern...(Silver / USD, 1H): Visible projected targets on my chart: Target 1: around 65.00 Target 2: around 59.00 How this is derived (from the image): Price is currently above an ascending trendline. The marked arrow shows a pullback to the trendline, with the first horizontal target near 65 (previous structure support). A deeper continuation move projects toward 59, which aligns with a stronger historical support zone. Key levels to watch: Trendline support: ~66.5–67.0 Invalidation: A strong close back above 69.5–70.0 would weaken this downside setup. This is technical-level interpretation only, not a trade recommendation. If my want, tell me: My timeframe (scalp / intraday / swing) Whether my looking for buy or sell targets and I’ll refine it further 📊
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by XAUxBTC_Pro
1
EUR/USD – H2 Analysis ....EUR/USD – H2 Analysis (Based on My chart) Market Structure Price is respecting the ascending trendline. Holding above the Ichimoku cloud, showing bullish continuation. Recent consolidation looks like a bullish flag / continuation base. 📈 Buy Scenario Buy Zone: 1.1700 – 1.1720 🎯 Targets Target 1: 1.1760 Target 2: 1.1800 ❌ Invalidation A strong H2 close below 1.1670 will invalidate the bullish setup. 📌 Summary Bias: BUY Trend: Bullish continuation Expectation: Price to push higher toward the marked Target Point
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
6
XAUUSD – Gold, 2H chart pattern (XAUUSD – Gold, 2H timeframe), here is the target explanation in clear English: 📈 Market Structure Trend is bullish (higher highs & higher lows). Price is above the ascending trendline → buyers are in control. Price has broken the previous resistance zone and is holding above it (now acting as support). 🎯 Targets First Target (TP1): 4,450 Main Target (TP2): 4,500 – 4,520 (This matches the marked “target point” zone on my chart) 🛡️ Support / Invalidation Key Support: 4,360 – 4,340 If price closes below 4,330 (2H close), bullish setup becomes weak. 📌 Summary (Simple) Gold is in an uptrend. As long as price stays above 4,340, buying pressure remains strong and price can move toward 4,500+. If my want, I can: Give a short signal-style format (Entry / SL / TP)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XAUxBTC_Pro
1
GBPUSD: bearish rejection🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, GBPUSD has experienced a strong bullish rally following a "Global bullish signal" identified in early December. The price has climbed sharply along a steep diagonal resistance line and has now reached a significant resistance near the 1.35000 level. The current price action shows a potential exhaustion of the upward move as it hits this heavy resistance. While the moving averages (SMA 50, 100, and 200) are positioned below the price, the distance between the price and the SMA 100 (1.33468) suggests the pair is overextended and due for a mean-reversion correction. The projected path indicates a reversal from this peak back down toward the major support zone. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Sell on rejection from the resistance zone (approx. 1.34768). 🎯 Take Profit: 1.33430 (Support & SMA 100). 🔴 Stop Loss: 1.35719 (Above the recent local high and resistance zone). ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Short
by Trade8Eight
EURUSD: support line breakdown🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, EURUSD is at a critical crossroads. Following a period of strength marked by a "Global bullish signal" in early December, the pair has been climbing along an ascending Support line. However, price action is currently showing signs of exhaustion as it struggles to hold above the immediate horizontal support zone at 1.17354. The analysis projects a significant breakdown of both the diagonal trend line and the horizontal support level. A confirmed close below this structure would invalidate the recent bullish momentum and trigger a corrective slide toward the next major liquidity pool at 1.16429. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Sell on a confirmed breakdown of the support line (approx. 1.17278). 🎯 Take Profit: 1.16429 (Support). 🔴 Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high/resistance (approx. 1.17600). ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Short
by Trade8Eight
USDJPY: continuation move🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, USDJPY remains firmly in a long-term Ascending Channel, demonstrating a sustained bullish structure. A significant technical development has occurred: the price has successfully breached a "Broken resistance line" (the descending trendline from previous highs) and is now consolidating above the horizontal resistance zone at 157.271. The moving averages—SMA 50, 100, and 200—are all trending upward and acting as a dynamic support cluster below the current price. The current price action points to a potential breakout of resistance near 158, especially after the price consolidates near this zone. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Buy after the breakout resistance (approx. 157.916) 🎯 Take Profit: 161.50 – 162.00 (Upper boundary of the Ascending Channel) 🔴 Stop Loss: Below the recent consolidation and SMA cluster (approx. 156.152) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Long
by Trade8Eight
Gold Bull Market Update and Outlook Q4 2025 / Q1 2026📌 Executive Summary • Base case (60%): The current pullback is a normal retracement within the primary bull trend. We expect consolidation through late Q4-2025 and potentially into January 2026, followed by a resumption of the uptrend in Q1/Q2-2026. • Drivers remain intact: Persistent central-bank accumulation, reserve-diversification dynamics, and episodic macro/geopolitical risk keep the structural bid under gold. • Positioning stance: Maintain core long exposure, add tactically on weakness into the $3.8k–$4.0k zone spot equivalent with tight risk controls, and ladder call spreads into Q2-2026. • Risk skew: Near-term pullback risk persists position shakeouts, macro data surprises. Structural bearish risks are low unless central-bank demand materially softens. ________________________________________ 🧭 Market Context & Recent Price Action • Gold printed successive record highs into mid-October; front-month futures traded above $4,170/oz before easing. Headlines framed the rally as policy and safe-haven led, with year-to-date gains exceptionally strong. • Central-bank demand continues to underpin the move: WGC and sell-side coverage highlight accelerating official-sector buying and diversification away from FX reserves; banks forecast higher prices into 2026. • The current setback aligns with prior bull-market pauses (e.g., Apr–Jul 2025 and Sep 2024–Dec 2024 pullbacks), consistent with the user-stated pattern of multi-month consolidations before trend resumption. What’s new in headlines late Oct–Nov 2025: • Pullback is “technical and temporary,” with buy-the-dip framing from UBS; next tactical target cited around $4,200. • Official-sector flows: Korea & Madagascar exploring reserve increases; PBoC extended buying streak into September. • WSJ coverage stresses gold’s role in erosion of trust in fiat/central banks and the reserve-diversification theme. ________________________________________ 🔑 Structural Bull Case 2025-2026 1. Official-Sector Accumulation: o Multi-year build in central-bank gold holdings (EM-led) as a sanctions-resilient reserve asset; this remains the single most important marginal buyer narrative. 2. Reserve Diversification & Financial Geopolitics: o Evidence that gold’s share of global reserves has risen while some institutions reassess currency composition. 3. Macro Volatility & Policy Trajectory: o Periodic growth scares, policy pivots, and real-rate uncertainty sustain hedging demand. Street targets for late-2026 (e.g., ~$4,900 GS) anchor upside convexity. 4. Market Microstructure: o Thin above prior highs and crowded shorts on pullbacks can fuel sharp upside re-accelerations when macro catalysts hit data, geopolitics, policy hints. ________________________________________ 📊 Technical Map Top-Down • Primary trend: Up. The sequence of higher highs/higher lows since 2024 remains intact; current move is a trend-within-trend consolidation. • Pullback anatomy: Prior bull pauses (Apr–Jul 2025; Sep–Dec 2024) lasted 2–4 months, with troughs forming on volatility compression and momentum washouts—a template for now. • Key tactical zones spot-equiv.: o $3,800–$4,000: First reload area prior breakout shelf / 50–61.8% of the last leg. o $4,200–$4,250: First resistance / re-acceleration trigger retests of breakdown pivots. o $4,350–$4,400: High congestion; decisive weekly close above here re-opens ATH extension. ________________________________________ 🗓️ Scenario Pathing Q4-2025 → Q2-2026 • Base Case 60% — “Consolidate then resume”: o Sideways-to-lower into late Q4/Jan 2026 as positioning resets; range $3.8k–$4.2k. o Breakout resumption in Q1/Q2-2026 as macro and official flows re-assert. • Bullish Extension 25% — “Shallow dip, quick reclaim”: o Softer real yields / risk flare trigger swift recapture of $4.2k–$4.4k and new highs earlier in Q1-2026. o Catalysts: heavier central-bank prints, geopolitical shock, or earlier policy-easing rhetoric. • Bear-Risk 15% — “Deeper flush, trend intact”: o Hawkish macro surprise or forced deleveraging drives $3.6k–$3.7k probes; structure holds unless official-sector demand meaningfully fades ________________________________________ 🧪 What to Watch High-Signal Indicators • Official-Sector Data: Monthly updates from WGC, IMF COFER clues, and PBoC reserve disclosures. Continuation of EM purchases = green light for the bull. • Rates & Liquidity: Real-rate direction and dollar liquidity conditions around data and policy communications. • Microstructure: CFTC positioning inflections, ETF out/in-flows a lagging but useful confirmation when they finally turn. • Asia Physical/Policy: China/Japan retail and wholesale dynamics; policy/tax headlines can create short-term volatility. ________________________________________ 🎯 Strategy & Implementation 1) Core: • Maintain strategic long allocation consistent with mandate e.g., 3–5% risk budget; avoid pro-cyclical reductions during orderly pullbacks. 2) Tactical Adds • Scale-in buy program within $3.8k–$4.0k • Optionality: Buy Q2-2026 call spreads (e.g., 4.2/4.8) on dips; fund via selling Q1-2026 downside put spreads around $3.6k–$3.7k where comfortable with assignment. 3) Risk Controls 🛡️: • Hard-stop any tactical adds on weekly close < ~$3.6k or if credible evidence emerges of official-sector demand reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
44
CRUDE OIL: No-Bias Trading Oil option traders are bracing for increased volatility by buying synthetic Straddles: Long OTM Call + Short Future. Being market-neutral, it’s a pure volatility play: it earns on price action in either direction. Once it hits the profit target, owner can close it or manage This isn't a unique story. Such portfolios frequently appear in the market when favorable situations arise, including those that are 'graphically convenient' (look closely at the chart and answer the question: will the price linger at this level for long? Probably not, it'll move somewhere). Options allow you to profit from these chart setups without worrying about the direction of the price move. Cool, right? Bottom line: this post is primarily educational, rather than sentiment-revealing. However, we also shouldn't ignore such 'market-neutral portfolios' in our analysis.▶️ If the professional players aren't sure where the market is headed next, maybe we shouldn't overstate our own humble abilities either.
NYMEX:CLM2026Education
by ClashChartsTeam
GOLD - We've updated ATH. What's next? A correction?FX:XAUUSD hit a new all-time high, approaching $4,425, for a bunch of reasons, one of which is increased interest in hedging against geopolitical risks... Fundamental situation: The US has increased sanctions pressure on Venezuela. Israel is considering options for attacking Iran's nuclear program. Russia-Ukraine negotiations show no progress. Weak US data (inflation and employment) have reinforced expectations of two Fed rate cuts in 2026. On Tuesday, US GDP data for the third quarter and durable goods orders are expected, as well as speeches by Fed members, which may adjust short-term dynamics. The combination of geopolitical uncertainty and soft monetary policy continues to support the upward trend. Resistance levels: 4420 Support levels: 4406, 4400, 4380 Any correction is likely to be limited as long as the current fundamental background remains unchanged. However, when entering the market, it is necessary to take into account the level of risk. Buying in the high zone is high risk. We are waiting for a pullback or correction to the indicated zone before making any decisions. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
33
Those who are bullish are right, new highs are not the top.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions over the weekend, market risk aversion intensified, driving gold prices higher and easily breaking previous highs to new records. This aligns with our consistent bullish outlook, but we avoid blindly chasing the rally. Short-term support levels to watch are 4385-4375. If gold prices pull back to this level for the first time during the European session, we can consider taking a small long position in gold. However, be aware of the current overbought market, suggesting a technical need for a correction. If this correction extends further, it could be substantial. At this point, we need to pay attention to the important support level of 4355-4345. This is where the daily MA5 is located, and it is also the point where the moving averages and the middle Bollinger Band converge in multiple timeframes such as the hourly and 4-hour charts, which provides strong support. Therefore, if gold prices fall further to this level during the day, we can still consider going long on gold. In short, the most prudent trading approach is to avoid chasing rallies and wait for a pullback before going long
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Bull-Bear_Indicator
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to 50% Fibo lvl (58.00).The structure has broken down. Wave “2” of the middle order should not have updated the minimum of 56,420 of wave “B” of the higher order, but this has happened. This means that the wave structure will have to be revised. It seems that the major correction is not yet complete, and in order for the scenario to be completed, impulse “12345” must be completed. At the moment, I think that the price will begin to form wave “4”. I expect movement towards the 50% Fibonacci level from wave “3” at 58.00. The target is not far off, but at the moment we need confirmation of the impulse. This would mean that the price will update the local minimum, but more on that later. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by Hellena_Trade
44
Bullish continuation?Gold (XAU/USD) could fall towards the pivot, which serves as a pullback support, and then bounce to the first resistance. Pivot: 4,380.08 1st Support: 4,308.92 1st Resistance: 4,498.67 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by IC Markets
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCAD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 1.37491 💰TP: 1.38922 ⛔️SL: 1.36831 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The USD will likely remain under pressure from its major peers until early next year. Short-term selling of the USD is being considered. However, the USDCAD currency pair stands out as the best option for medium-term buying of the USD today. A potential false breakout at 1.37335 could provide an excellent entry point for this. The upside target is currently seen near the nearest key resistance level of 1.39000. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅
Long
by StopLoss222
Gold Bullish Continuation – Trade Plan & Key LevelsGold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the 4H timeframe maintaining a strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. Price has successfully held above the key BOS area around 4374–4380 which is acting as a major demand and continuation zone. The market is currently consolidating below the 4400–4405 resistance marked as a ATH indicating potential liquidity buildup. As long as price holds above 4360–4345 the bullish bias remains intact supported by trendline confluence. A clean breakout and acceptance above 4405–4410 can open the path toward the 4445–4490. Buy on pullback: 4,370 – 4,345 - SL: Below 4,325 - TP1: 4,405 - TP2: 4,445 - TP3: 4,485 – 4,490 Buy on breakout: Clear 4H close above 4,410 - SL: 4,380 - TP: 4,450 → 4,490 Sell scenario (only if rejection): Strong rejection from 4,405–4,420 - SL: Above 4,445 - TP: 4,360 → 4,325 Overall, the trend remains bullish and sells should only be considered on strong rejection signals. Best strategy is to buy dips or confirmed breakouts keeping risk tight as price approaches the upper channel and year-end volatility remains high. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh