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Gold Returns to a Sensitive Zone – Is the Downtrend Already DoneHello everyone, gold is undergoing a rather deliberate correction after dropping from 4,110. Price is now moving around 4,078–4,066 — low enough to make buyers cautious, yet not deep enough to trigger panic. I want to share my personal view on the most likely bearish scenario at the moment. 1. What is the market showing us? On the H2 chart, price is sitting right at the edge of the Ichimoku cloud, supported by a green FVG and a thin buffer zone at 4,045–4,035. The sequence of small red candles last night resembles profit-taking rather than a trend reversal. It feels like the market is “offloading for comfort”, not capitulating. The most notable area is the 4,045–4,035 support cluster: this zone overlaps the nearest FVG and also marks the accumulation base from 19–20 November. It behaves like a natural stopping point — where price tends to return to gather liquidity before choosing its next direction. 2. The news factors pressuring gold September’s NFP came in at 119k (vs 50k forecast), pushing rate-cut expectations lower. The USD strengthened, and the Fed gained more reasons to stay cautious as October’s report was combined into November. At the same time, US and EU equities strengthened thanks to Big Tech leaders, with Nvidia’s strong earnings pulling capital out of safe-havens. The 10Y yield hovering around 4.1% and oil dropping to 59.5 USD further reduced gold’s appeal. Overall, this is a news-driven pullback — a familiar “sentiment reset” after a heated rally. 3. The highest-probability bearish scenario (in my view) I lean toward the scenario where price continues drifting toward 4,045–4,035 to gather liquidity and tap the FVG, then forms a rejection wick and rebounds toward the resistance zone at 4,095–4,115. This is a technical rebalance after news, not a signal of a long-term trend reversal. As long as 4,000 holds, the market still has enough momentum for the next bullish leg.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Momonoo
2
Gold at a Turning Point: Will It Rise or Fall?As we zoom in and take a closer look at how GOLD is moving, one thing becomes immediately clear: The market has just shown a powerful upward surge, but now something intriguing is happening. The price is compressing, forming a tight, small triangle, a sign that the market is building up energy. In moments like this, there are usually two potential paths, but given the bullish context, I can almost feel that a breakout to the upside is the more likely scenario. What do you think? Do you agree with me? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! And trust me, joining the TradingView community is one of the best ways to improve your skills as a trader every single day. Just a reminder: this isn't financial advice, but rather my personal take on the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by LauraCharts
2
Uranium Energy Corp Weekly Outlook (Count 1)Here is my weekly outlook on AMEX:UEC . UEC is one of my bigger holdings, I've added at various times as shown on the chart (see green dashed lines). In this outlook i am viewing the price action from the lows in Mar 2020 to the end point of wave (1) as a leading diagonal pattern. After that we have seen wave (2) and another wave 1 and 2 in the red degree (red wave 2 may not be complete yet). Are we next going to see a breakout in red wave 3? the case for this will be helped if the COMEX:UX2! Uranium Futures chart plays out as predicted along with LSE:YCA & TSX:U.UN ...see my linked charts More comments on the chart! Note: My analysis is more focused on price levels as opposed to wave duration, so bear that in mind if you see a particular price level at a certain date in the future and think i'm rigid on both price and time.
AMEX:UECLong
by TheWaveCave
WTI Crude Returns to the Year’s LowsIn recent trading sessions, WTI crude oil has posted three consecutive losing sessions, recording a decline of more than 4.7% in the short term. Selling pressure remains steady, driven by concerns over a potential market oversupply, especially with the upcoming OPEC+ meeting in December. Additionally, weaker market confidence has raised expectations of lower short-term demand for oil, reinforcing a sense of uncertainty in crude price movements. If this trend persists, it could result in stronger selling pressure in the coming sessions. Downtrend Remains Firm For now, the downward movements have maintained a bearish trendline that has persisted over recent months. So far, buying attempts have not been strong enough to challenge this structure. As the price approaches the year’s lows, the downtrend could become even steeper in the coming sessions. RSI The RSI indicator continues to show consistent oscillations below the neutral 50 level, suggesting that the average momentum over the past 14 sessions remains predominantly bearish. If the RSI continues to decline, this could indicate stronger selling pressure in the next few sessions. TRIX Meanwhile, the TRIX indicator remains below the neutral 0 level, signaling that the average strength of the exponential moving averages continues to favor a bearish bias. As long as this sentiment persists, selling momentum is likely to remain dominant in WTI crude’s price action. Key Levels to Watch: $57 – Key Support: Represents the year’s low zone and serves as the main bearish barrier. A break below this level could reinforce the ongoing downtrend and extend selling pressure in the coming sessions. $60 – Nearby Barrier: Corresponds to the 50-period simple moving average. Price movements returning to this level could trigger indecision and lead to a short-term sideways range. $64 – Major Resistance: Aligns with the 200-period moving average and represents the most important bullish barrier in the short term. If the price reaches this level, it could revive buying momentum and challenge the current bearish structure. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREX.com
GOLD Bullish Breakout! Buy! Hello,Traders! GOLD broke out of the bullish flag, confirming bullish momentum after absorbing sell-side liquidity. With structure shifting upward, price may extend toward the buy-side liquidity resting at the marked target level.Time Frame 5H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey everyone, Here’s the Daily Chart idea we’ve been tracking. The swing move into 4145 has now produced a candle body close above that level, which keeps the long term gap open toward 4325. We also saw a rejection with a candle body close below 4145, leaving 3165 open beneath. However, note that this rejection touched the channel half line, which based on our uniquely drawn goldturn channel typically provides strong support. We’re seeing that support play out now with a bounce off the half-line. At the moment, our key levels are: Primary support: Channel half-line Secondary support: 3961 Primary resistance: 4145 Long range gap target: 4325, which becomes more significant if we see the EMA5 cross and hold above 4145. We’ll keep everyone updated as the week progresses. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
Platinum’s Nuclear Breakout Is Loading | The Chart Doesn’t LiePlatinum (XPTUSD) — Long-Term Structural Analysis Integrating Elliott Framework, Institutional Order Flow, and Macro Cycles Platinum’s multi-decade price behavior continues to display a well-ordered impulsive structure consistent with classical Elliott Wave theory, supported by recurring institutional accumulation patterns and strict adherence to Fibonacci geometry. The asset has progressed through a full secular cycle, characterized by deep corrective retracements into high-probability value zones and expansions that consistently terminate at key Fibonacci extension thresholds—behavior typical of markets driven by institutional liquidity flows rather than retail speculation. Elliott Structure & Fibonacci Alignment The historical impulse demonstrates strong proportionality across waves. The initial secular Wave 1 advanced precisely into the 1.618 extension , confirming a minimum impulse threshold. Wave 2 retraced cleanly to the 0.618 retracement , an area frequently associated with long-horizon institutional repositioning. The subsequent Wave 3 extended toward the 2.618 level , consistent with the most statistically probable long-cycle expansion target. Wave 4 repeated the symmetrical 0.618 retracement , reflecting renewed accumulation in a structurally discounted region . The current multi-year breakout sequence is consistent with an emerging Wave 5 , with a macro-projection aligning toward the 3.618 extension , a historically validated termination zone for commodities in late-cycle impulsive phases. Macro Market Structure Platinum has spent an extended period in re-accumulation following a prolonged distribution phase that began after the prior secular peak. Internal structure has now transitioned from compression to early expansion, evidenced by successive breaks of multi-year structural highs and sustained acceptance above formerly capped liquidity zones. This structural shift suggests the market is transitioning from long-term value consolidation into a new secular markup phase. Institutional Order Flow & Smart Money Dynamics (ICT/SMC Framework) Price behavior across multiple cycles reveals consistent liquidity targeting: Corrective waves repeatedly returned to deep discount regions within the 0.618–0.786 “golden pocket,” an area historically associated with institutional accumulation and mitigation of long-horizon order blocks. Liquidity sweeps above major multi-year highs followed by sustained displacement signal a structural shift in institutional intent. Current price action demonstrates displacement from an extended accumulation base, confirming that the dominant flow is now upward, with liquidity pools above the historical consolidation range serving as primary targets. Price Action Context The market has decisively exited its multi-year equilibrium, printing higher-high/higher-low structures consistent with early-stage impulsive behavior. Breaks of internal liquidity layers reinforce the expectation of continued expansion toward higher-order liquidity pools, aligning with the projected Wave 5 trajectory. Fundamental Alignment Underlying fundamentals - including tight supply dynamics, structural deficits within the PGM basket, and tailwinds tied to hydrogen economy applications - reinforce the technical outlook. The confluence of cyclical tightening, inventory compression, and strategic industrial demand supports a durable long-term appreciation phase. What do YOU think happens next? Breakout or fake-out? Drop your prediction below! 👇 We are replying to every comment - let’s talk charts . Smash the 👍 if this helped, hit 🔔 to catch the next setup, and FOLLOW for more high-probability wave + SMC plays. ⚠️ Disclaimer This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. All analyses reflect personal opinions based on publicly available data and chart structures. Markets involve risk, and you should always perform your own research or consult a licensed financial professional before making any trading decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. #Platinum #XPTUSD #CommodityTrading #Breakout #Wave5 #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #SMC #ICT #PriceAction #ParabolicMove #BullishSetup #MarketCycle #Fibonacci #Metals #Macro #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartAnalysis #TradingSignals #TraderCommunity #Investing
TVC:PLATINUMLong
by fibcos
2
Gold H1 – Is This Just a Range or a Break Incoming?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (21/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a compressed intraday range as markets react to the latest discussion on whether the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates anytime soon. According to new reports, policymakers remain cautious, and early rate-cut expectations are fading as inflation progress slows. This shift pushes USD stronger, increases Treasury yields, and temporarily weakens gold’s bullish momentum. Key takeaways from the news: • Fed officials note that inflation is “still not where it needs to be,” reducing the probability of early rate cuts. • Markets have scaled back expectations for a Q1 cut, keeping USD supported. • Higher yields → tighter financial conditions → gold struggles to break premium levels. • Institutions are likely engineering liquidity grabs on both sides before committing to a new directional move. Price is currently sitting near the 4030–4045 zone, right above discount liquidity, waiting for a catalyst to break out of the short-term compression. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Market Structure: Gold has completed a clear CHoCH + short-term bearish sequence and is now compressing into the discount zone around 4030. • Premium Sell Zone (4H Supply): 4128–4130 aligns with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above internal highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4030–4028 sits inside the last clean demand zone where a previous sweep occurred. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4128–4135 → Sell-side liquidity: below 4028–4020 Institutions are likely to sweep one side before delivering direction. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4128 – 4130 • Stop-Loss: 4140 • Take-Profit: → 4080 (minor imbalance fill) → 4045 (range EQ) → 4030–4028 (discount demand retest) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4030 – 4028 • Stop-Loss: 4020 • Take-Profit: → 4060 (short-term reaction level) → 4095 (inefficiency fill) → 4120 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4030–4028 pocket and shows bullish displacement from discount. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • USD strength may spike unexpectedly as rate-cut bets fade — reduce position size during volatility. • Avoid trading inside the 4045–4085 chop zone unless a clean structure break forms. • Manage trades aggressively once liquidity levels are taken. • Expect engineered manipulation during low-volume Asian hours. 📝 Summary Gold is compressing inside a narrow intraday range as markets reassess the likelihood of Fed rate cuts. SMC structure suggests a two-sided liquidity sweep before a decisive move: • Sell Zone: 4128–4130 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4030–4028 (discount demand) Expect classic accumulation → sweep → displacement patterns until macro conditions create a new trend. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
16
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 21Gold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4150, Support: 4000 4-Hour Resistance: 4110, Support: 4010 1-Hour Resistance: 4085, Support: 4020 Technically, the weekly chart is likely to close with a doji today. Yesterday's daily chart closed with a doji, indicating a slowdown in the short-term upward trend and exacerbating the expectation of sideways consolidation. The Bollinger Bands are also narrowing, and the effectiveness of the 4040 support level needs to be monitored today. Meanwhile, the 4000 level is being tested again. If 4020 is broken, a short-term sell signal can be adopted. If the price can hold above 4085, a buy signal can be adopted, with the 4140/4150 area to be watched again. Long-term holders can still look for buying opportunities around the 3930/3920 level; Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded after the European session, but after breaking below 4080, there's a possibility of further downside in the short term. Watch for support around 4020; For the European and American sessions, the plan is to consider buying if a stabilization signal appears around 4005/4000. Trading Strategy: SELL: 4078~4085. BUY: 4005~4000. More Analysis →
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
Cotton Short Opportunity! Strong Structure + Clear Downside Path🌾 COTTON (CTMUSD) vs USD - BEARISH SWING TRADE 📉 💼 Professional Market Opportunity Analysis 📊 TRADE SETUP OVERVIEW Asset: Cotton Futures (CTMUSD) | Commodity CFD Market Bias: BEARISH ⬇️ Timeframe: Swing Trade (2-5 days) Signal: Hull Moving Average Breakout Confirmation ✓ 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 📍 Using multiple limit orders to achieve optimal entry positioning: Suggested Entry Layers: Layer 1: 63.00 (Initial Entry) Layer 2: 62.50 (Second Position) Layer 3: 62.00 (Third Position) 💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layer density based on your position size & risk tolerance 🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT Stop Loss: 64.00 ⚠️ Important: This is a suggested level. Adjust your SL based on your personal risk strategy and account management preferences. Your Choice = Your Control | Make informed decisions based on YOUR risk profile. 🎁 PROFIT TARGETS Primary Target: 60.50 Rationale: Strong support zone + oversold conditions + technical trap identification ⚠️ Important: This is a suggested level. Your TP is YOUR decision. Take profits at levels that match YOUR trading plan. 📈 TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE ✅ Hull Moving Average Breakout ✅ Oversold Zone Entry ✅ Support Level Confluence ✅ Risk/Reward Ratio Favorable (1:2+) 🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR USD Index ( TVC:DXY ) 💵 Correlation: Strong Negative (-0.85) Why: Stronger USD typically pushes commodity prices lower. Monitor DXY for confirmation of bearish move. Key Level: Watch 104.00-105.00 for USD strength FX:EURUSD Correlation: Moderate Inverse (-0.70) Why: EUR weakness = USD strength = Cotton selling pressure Key Level: Break below 1.0850 supports bearish bias Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) 🟡 Correlation: Positive (0.65) Why: Risk-off sentiment affects both. If gold falls, commodity selloff accelerates Key Level: Support at 2,600 critical 10-Year Treasury Yield ( TVC:US10Y ) 📊 Correlation: Negative (-0.72) Why: Rising yields strengthen USD, compress commodity valuations Key Level: Break above 4.50% bearish for commodities Agricultural Sector (DBC - Commodities ETF) 🌾 Correlation: High Positive (0.88) Why: Broad commodity sector strength/weakness directly affects cotton Key Level: Major support at 26.50 💰 POSITION SIZING & RISK GUIDELINES ✓ Risk only what you can afford to lose ✓ Use stop losses with EVERY trade ✓ Scale in with layering method (don't go all-in) ✓ Monitor correlation pairs for confluent moves ✓ Adjust strategy based on market conditions Happy Trading! 🚀📈 Follow for more professional swing trade setups.
SKILLING:COTTONShort
by The-Thief
Wheat in Focus: How Ukraine, China, and Weather could move WheatWheat is one of the world’s most widely traded agricultural commodities, essential for food and animal feed. Prices are heavily influenced by global supply and demand, with major producers including the U.S., Russia, the EU, Canada, Australia, and Ukraine. Weather conditions, geopolitical events, and large importer activity can all create significant volatility in the market. Let’s break it down. 1. What Drives Wheat Prices Supply Factors Wheat supply is heavily shaped by the major exporting regions—Russia, the EU, Australia, the U.S., Canada, and Ukraine. Weather is the biggest swing factor: drought, heat stress, floods, or winterkill can quickly tighten global supply and spark rallies. Crop progress reports and yield updates show how each production cycle is developing, while geopolitics—especially in the Black Sea—can disrupt export flows overnight. Input costs like fertilizer and fuel influence how much farmers plant, and currency moves affect which exporters are most competitive. Together, these factors determine how much wheat the world can actually deliver to the market. To summarize: Major producers: Russia, EU, Australia, U.S., Canada, Ukraine Weather: drought, heat stress, winterkill, floods Crop progress: planting pace, crop conditions, yield expectations Geopolitics: Black Sea tensions, export bans, sanctions, port disruptions Input costs: fertilizer, fuel, logistics Currency impact: strong USD usually weighs on wheat prices Demand Factors Demand for wheat is driven by global food consumption, animal feed needs, and the buying behavior of major importers such as China, Egypt, and Indonesia. Economic conditions matter because stronger economies consume more food and feed. Price relationships with other grains like corn and rice can shift demand toward or away from wheat. Changes in trade flows—such as China sourcing more from the U.S. instead of the Black Sea—can quickly redirect global shipments. These factors help traders understand whether demand is strengthening or weakening relative to available supply. To summarize: Global consumption (food + feed use) Large importer buying: China, Egypt, Indonesia, Turkey Economic conditions in EM (Emerging Markets) Substitution vs. corn/rice Global trade flow shifts 2. Key Reports Traders Actually Need to Track Instead of monitoring everything, wheat traders focus on the handful of reports that truly move price: WASDE (Monthly) – The most important report in wheat trading. This is where global production, consumption, exports, and ending stocks get revised. Wheat can rip or dump instantly on WASDE changes. If you track only one thing, track WASDE. Weekly USDA Export Sales – This shows an immediate view of demand. Watch for: Big purchases from China, Egypt, Indonesia Surprising cancellations Shifts from Black Sea to U.S. buying It’s one of the fastest ways to spot demand changes ahead of price. Crop Progress (Weekly, in season) – Important only during planting, growing and harvesting periods. The report tracks: % planted % harvested Crop condition (% good/excellent) Poor Conditions generally = bullish. Strong Conditions generally = bearish Geopolitical headlines – In our opinion wheat is the most geopolitically sensitive commodity. Anything related to the following can cause immediate moves.: Corridor shutdowns Port attacks Export bans Ceasefire rumors This is the intraday volatility driver that news traders capitalize on. Weather in key regions (Daily / weekly) – Focus on the key regions of the U.S. Plains, Black Sea, Australia. Drought in these regions generally = bullish. Good moisture generally = bearish. Use simple sources like NOAA maps or short ag weather summaries (weather reports that impact agriculture). CFTC COT (Weekly) – This is for context and is not used for trading signals. It shows whether funds are heavily long or short. Only the extremes matter: Funds very short → short-covering rallies possible Funds very long → risk of liquidation selloffs This report is more relevant for swing and position traders. 3. Recent Market Drivers Peace-proposal speculation: Reports of a U.S. proposal involving Ukraine ceding Donbas triggered a fast selloff as markets priced in the possibility of Ukrainian exports normalizing. Zelenskiy has stated he won’t accept territorial concessions, so a confirmed ceasefire remains unlikely unless U.S./EU pressure increases. Market reaction: Wheat dumped immediately on the headline, but the move didn’t sustain — traders want confirmation, not speculation. China buying U.S. wheat: Ongoing chatter that China is shifting some purchases to the U.S. (no official tonnage yet). This is a supportive demand story worth monitoring. 4. Chart Analysis: Recent Price Action and What to expect The developing monthly VPOC for November 2025 has shifted higher, marking a potential change in market sentiment after three consecutive months of declining VPOCs. In addition, the developing VA for November appears unlikely to overlap with the previous month’s VA. This suggests that market conditions are changing and that the recent downward trend may be ending. Market based out around 520 and rallied from mid-October to early November, breaking 552’4 (previous seller defense) and reclaiming back above 559’6 daily level. This rally was likely supported by the potential U.S.–China trade deal and initial Chinese wheat purchases in early November. However, sellers stepped in at 570 (July’s VAL + monthly 1SD high), offering price back below 559’6. Market is now rotating inside a developing range between 559’6 and the 540–535’6 zone (October settlement/LVN) to establish value. Bearish Scenario A break and acceptance below 540 opens the door toward: 520 (October’s VPOC + monthly 0.5SD low) 510 (October low) 504’6 (monthly 1SD low) Catalyst: Any news of confirmed progress toward a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire → removal of war-premium → likely downside. Bullish Scenario If market accepts back above 559’6, sets up a move toward: 570 (July VAL / M 1SD high) — expect sellers here. 585’6 (July VPOC) if 570 is cleared Catalyst: Headline reversal or escalation in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Neutral Scenario Without fresh catalysts, expect continued range rotation between 559’6 and 540, with the market establishing value in this zone. 5. Conclusion Wheat remains a headline-driven and weather-sensitive market, where geopolitical developments, major buyer activity, and crop conditions can quickly shift sentiment. Traders should monitor key reports and technical levels while staying aware of global supply and demand dynamics. With multiple factors in play, range rotations and sudden spikes or drops are likely until a clear catalyst drives the market decisively. What are your thoughts? Are you watching the headlines, weather, or technical levels for clues? Please share your insights below and give this post a boost so the rest of the community can join the conversation. Glossary Index for technical terms used: VAH (Value Area High) VAL (Value Area Low) VPOC (Volume Point of Control) SD (Standard Deviation) LVN (Low Value Node) VA (Value Area)
CBOT:ZW1!
by EdgeClear
XAU/USD | Gold Rebounds Strongly After Hitting Key Demand Zone!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching $4105, the price dropped again and made a sharp move down into the $4026 demand zone I mentioned in the previous analysis. As soon as gold touched this zone, strong buying pressure kicked in, pushing the price back up to around $4080. The next short-term supply zones to watch are $4090, $4100, and $4109. The medium-term supply zones are $4150, $4172, and $4193. Keep an eye on gold’s reaction in these areas, they can trigger new pullbacks or confirm further upside movement. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OPOFINANCE:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
XAUUSD – Where Smart Money Strikes Today🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold begins today’s session after a phase of controlled volatility, where price continued to sweep both sides of the range but failed to commit to a direction. The broader intraday structure remains bearish, with price rejecting premium levels and forming consistent lower highs. Recent Drivers: USD shows moderate resilience following firm Fed communication Market sentiment cautious ahead of late-week economic announcements No significant safe-haven inflow → neutral risk environment Session Expectations: London Session: Likely to trigger early liquidity sweeps above premium wicks NY Session: Expected to deliver the main directional push Bias: Bearish unless price reaches deep discount zones and prints a CHoCH Price is currently trading within the middle of the intraday range → best setups remain at extremes (premium sells / discount buys). 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE) Market Structure M30 structure remains bearish (Lower Highs → Lower Lows) Current equilibrium zone: 4060–4080 Inducement stacking above 4147 and 4081 Liquidity Map Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4147 and 4081 Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4033 and deeper cluster at 3993 These layers show engineered liquidity designed to trap impatient traders. Imbalances (FVG Zones) Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → strong premium rejection zone Minor FVG: 4079–4081 → ideal scalp sweep zone Discount FVGs: 4033 and 3993 → high-quality buy reactions 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Clear & Engaging Explanations) 4148–4147 ▶️ Premium Liquidity Trap – High-Probability Sell This zone holds a clean bearish OB + untouched BSL above 4147. Institutional traders typically use this area to trigger breakout buyers before reversing the move sharply downward. 4079–4081 ▶️ Mid-Premium Inducement – Scalp Rejection Zone A compact liquidity pool sitting just above equilibrium. Market often sweeps here during London session to induce buys before dropping. 4035–4033 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Reliable Scalping Demand Micro OB + SSL alignment makes this zone ideal for sharp intraday rebounds. Expect fast reactions with minimal drawdown. 3995–3993 ▶️ Deep Discount Pool – Strong Reversal Zone This region contains layered SSL + higher-timeframe discount confluence. If price taps this zone, a significant intraday reversal becomes highly probable. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Based, High Precision) ✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection Entry: 4148–4147 Stop-loss: 4126 TP1: 4135 TP2: 4105 TP3: 4080 Logic: BSL sweep + FVG mitigation → strong bearish displacement expected. ✔️ SELL SCALP – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4079–4081 Stop-loss: 4087 TP1: 4065 TP2: 4048 TP3: 4033 Logic: Sweep of inducement above mini-BSL before continuation down. ✔️ BUY SCALP – Intraday Discount Rebound Entry: 4035–4033 Stop-loss: 4027 TP1: 4048 TP2: 4070 Logic: SSL sweep triggers a micro CHoCH → quick bullish bounce. ✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal Entry: 3995–3993 Stop-loss: 3987 TP1: 4010 TP2: 4040 TP3: 4070 Logic: Key institutionally favoured zone → strong liquidity-driven reversal. 🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN Only trade at extremes — avoid mid-range to prevent chop Expect engineered fake-outs at London open NY session likely delivers true directional movement Wait for M5/M15 confirmation: CHoCH + BOS before executing Avoid buying near premium zones to avoid falling into liquidity traps 🏁 CONCLUSION Gold maintains a bearish M30 structure, favouring sell setups at 4147 and 4081. Discount zones at 4033 and 3993 offer high-probability buy opportunities for intraday rebounds or full reversals. Stay disciplined. Let liquidity be your guide. Strike only when the trap is set.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alicee_Trader
11
XAGUSD Is it on the brink of a Bear Cycle?Silver (XAGUSD) has formed the same kind of 1W RSI peak pattern as the one that marked the August 2020 Top of the previous Bull Cycle. The confirmation signal for the Top on that Bull Cycle following an impressive 4-month rally (similar to the July - September 2025 one), was the price breaking below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). When that took place, the price violently dropped to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, if we get again a 1D MA50 break-out (which is being tested persistently and holding), we expect Silver to start a new Bear Cycle and quickly decline to 38.000 (Fib 0.382). On the longer term, we may even see a bottom as low as 30.500 (Fib 0.618) based on the July - October 2022 bottom formation of the previous Bear Cycle. Perhaps the most optimal indicator to call the bottom, hence the most optimal long-term buy, is the 1W RSI getting oversold at 30.00 as it happened perfectly another 3 times in the past 7 years. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAGUSDShort
by TradingShot
Breakout from a triangle pattern indicates a potential direction#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD From a trend perspective, gold is currently in a triangle consolidation range. As time goes on, the short-term resistance is also moving downwards. Therefore, gold did not provide us with a suitable opportunity to participate in trading last night. Gold is currently continuing its decline and may further test the 4025-4015 support level. If it pulls back to this level, we can consider a small long position in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
BEAR TRAP? - PATH TO 5KIllustrated, I am trying to visualize what the path to 5k could look like SHOULD this be a bear trap and 4000 major support price to hold ground. Fundamentals keep getting bullish for gold, and demand at a central bank level simply does not stop. The Fiat currency as we know it, is slowly loosing credibility, and the major shift toward a digital era backed by gold is not fiction anymore and rather quite potential. The US MUST do what it can to save their reputation and economy, by devaluating the USD dollar and re-valuating the price of Gold, in order to artificially lower their debt. At least that's one way they're trying to pull this off... REMEMBER: The reasons for WHY things happen almost never matter; what truly matters is WHAT is happening... Gold is stuck in a corrective phase, and in my humble opinion, it's closer to the next bullish move than many might think. GOOD LUCK, persa
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
1