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DXY UpdateDXY — Reaction at 98.611 Distribution Zone The U.S. Dollar Index met firm resistance near 98.611, the same Bearish distribution area that capped momentum last week. Price remains inside a wide daily range but shows the first sign of cooling after a strong stretch higher. Below sits 98.143, the line that that changes chart bearish. Until then We are still good. Acceptance under that level would confirm a structure shift and open space for continued rotation lower. Upcoming jobless claims and Fed remarks may decide which side gains conviction. For now, this is a market balancing inventory — not trending, just redistributing. Trade confirmation, not anticipation. Key levels: 98.611 — Distribution cap 98.143 — Structural pivot — Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
Bitcoin UpdateBTC/USD — The Range Squeeze Tightens: Volatility Decides Direction Bitcoin remains confined within a bearish range between 113 000 and 116 000. Price sits on the sell side of deviation but has yet to return to discount since yesterday’s flush. The active range squeeze forms between the bullish point of control near 104 000 and the bearish point of control near 111 000, where both sides continue to fight for conviction. Yesterday’s session cleared heavy bullish liquidation, leaving direction to whoever reclaims volume first. Structure: Fibonacci geometry shows BTC pressing into bearish oversold zones. Momentum remains reactive—better suited for short, tactical trades. Order Flow: Sellers defended the 114 000 region; volume still favors supply at the upper band. Execution: Expect consolidation until a new catalyst breaks the compression. Upcoming events—U.S. jobless claims, Fed remarks, and tech earnings—may reset volatility. Liquidity tone stays cautious; ETF inflows paused, and yields remain firm. Patience isn’t waiting—it’s refusing to act in confusion. For now, watch for a 1H structure shift lower or renewed bearish momentum. Bounces toward 111–113 k remain tactical until a daily close confirms otherwise. Bitcoin is coiled inside a range squeeze. One side will lose soon. Until then, probability—not prediction—defines discipline. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
BITCOIN UpdateHeavy order-flow blowback hitting the tape — looks like a sharp internal range liquidity sweep, not a clean reversal. Price just hunting early shorts near 113 672. As long as the daily structure stays bearish, any upside should be viewed as liquidity engineering, not trend change. We’re likely seeing the market clear first-round sellers before resetting positioning. If the sweep holds and volume fades on the bounce, bias remains short-side. If we reclaim structure highs with conviction, then — and only then — we reassess. Structure first. Emotion second.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CORE5DAN
Bitcoin Update Bitcoin — Pre-New York Session (Daily) By CORE5DAN | October 21, 2025 Bitcoin tests the edge — bearish range meets its make-or-break moment. Price is pressing against the bearish range’s lower boundary, after rejecting the naked Point of Control (POC) at 111.086. Yesterday’s POC also declined to the same level — a sign of sustained supply pressure. We’re now trading down from bearish discount levels, approaching yesterday’s low at 107.449. If the Dollar holds its bullish bias, cross-markets could see heavier declines. The structure remains Locally bearish with range limits set between 116.077 (high) and 103.516 (low). 🧭 Technical Map If today’s daily close prints below 107.449, it confirms a heavy bearish mode by algorithmic logic. Order flow flipped strongly bearish from the POC, with an aggressive reaction in the discount zone. Momentum remains one-sided — patience over prediction. 🌐 Fundamental Pulse A data-heavy U.S. week continues: • Retail sales and housing data show mixed resilience. • Yields stay near recent highs — tightening liquidity across risk assets. • Fed speakers on deck later today may reinforce higher-for-longer tone. Dollar strength keeps weighing on crypto sentiment as liquidity risk persists. 🎯 Plan Hold positions aligned with structure. Watch macro + order flow for alignment. Avoid reacting to short-term bounces — the market is thinning, not turning. 💭 Mindset Pulse “Markets are like Washington press briefings — lots of noise, little truth. Keep your logic, not your loyalty.” Note: Long-term, BTC remains in a weekly and monthly bearish macro range. Stay patient, disciplined, and avoid greed as volatility expands. Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
King Dollar Returns: 98.190 Break💵 Dollar Breakout — Cross Assets Dumping Hard The U.S. Dollar just flipped 98.190 CAP After weeks of hesitation, DXY broke clean through the 98.190 daily imbalance, turning prior resistance into a launchpad — and global markets are reacting fast. 📊 Technical Frame The daily imbalance that capped price now acts as fresh support, confirming a higher-timeframe breakout. Momentum alignment across 4H and Daily frames signals a firm trend shift. Upside magnet sits at 98.800–99.200, the next liquidity shelf where sellers may regroup. 🌐 Fundamental Pulse Cross assets are dumping — EUR AND GBP all bleeding as Dollar strength tightens global liquidity. Yields grind higher with markets reloading for extended Fed tightness. Risk aversion and portfolio deleveraging are amplifying the move — capital is flowing back into USD safety. 🧭 Takeaway The Dollar is back in charge. Above 98.190, the structure supports continuation toward 99+. In this regime, correlation flips: strong Dollar = weak everything else. When the Dollar breathes in, global markets exhale.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
US DOLLAR UPDATE DXYDXY — Rangebound but Firm: 98.19 Holds the Line Dollar holds steady inside Friday’s range — a quiet coil before the macro rotation. 🧭 Context The Dollar spent Monday trapped between Friday’s high and low, liquidating the upper wick at 98.190 before closing back within range. Price currently sits near the 50% Fibonacci retracement (98.123), keeping the bullish range intact but unconfirmed. The market is balanced, not directional — patience is the edge here. 📊 Technical Map Structure: Price remains inside a clean bullish range with a volume imbalance still unfilled near 97.436. Momentum: Mildly bullish but range-dependent — upward bias, no breakout confirmation yet. Key Levels: Support → 97.672 / 97.436 Pivot → 98.123 Resistance → 98.190 / 98.420 🌐 Fundamental Pulse This week’s key drivers: PMI flash, GDP (Thu), and PCE inflation (Fri) — all high-impact data that will steer the Fed narrative. Yields remain firm but cooling; risk appetite mixed as traders await fresh growth signals. Without new inflation pressure, the Dollar likely stays rotational within its higher-timeframe band until late-week catalysts. 🎯 Plan Primary: Avoid midrange noise. Best setups are at range extremes — 97.6 support and 98.2 resistance. Execution Filter: Wait for volume expansion or 1H close confirmation before breakout engagement. Alternative: Failure to hold 98.12 reopens imbalance toward 97.43; a break above 98.19 invites continuation to 98.4–98.6. ⚠️ Risk / Alt Range = noise. Stay tactical. High-frequency trades only until volatility expands. 🧠 Mindset Pulse “In dull markets, discipline is the premium asset — not conviction.” Professionals don’t chase noise; they preserve readiness.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by CORE5DAN
DXY — Between Balance and Breakout Date: Sunday, October 19 Timeframe: Daily Analyst: @CORE5DAN Context The U.S. Dollar Index holds a bullish daily range between 99.197 and 97.048, now sitting around the Fibonacci 50% retracement at 97.044. Friday’s session formed a tight box — high 98.190, low 97.672 — showing compression inside balance conditions. Price trades above mid-range, with a volume imbalance near 97.436 acting as a magnet for short-term rotation. Key liquidity rests just below 97.700, and reactions there could define early-week direction. Technical Map • Structure: Short-term bullish, still inside a broader weekly bearish framework. Watch 97.436–97.700 — a clean reaction zone where imbalance and liquidity converge. • Momentum: Range-bound bullish, confirming control but lacking expansion. A daily close above 98.190 opens the path toward the range high at 99.197. • Volume: Imbalance remains unfilled — ideal for mean-reversion setups before any breakout impulse. Fundamental Pulse (Week Ahead) • Macro Drivers: — US GDP advance data: key for growth tone. — Core PCE inflation: the Fed’s favored inflation gauge. — Fed speakers and PMIs: tone setters for November rate outlook. • Yields: — The 10-year sits near 4.6%. — A push higher = bullish Dollar, stronger short-term flows. — A pullback = potential consolidation across USD pairs. • Global Flows: — Mild rotation out of risk assets and emerging markets supports the Dollar. — EURUSD and XAUUSD both reflect this hesitation near key supports. Plan Bias stays bullish in the short term, bearish in the long term. We favor volume imbalance fills and reaction trades at 97.436–97.700 before re-evaluating structure. If macro data or yield spikes support Dollar demand, expect continuation toward 98.190+. Otherwise, a drift below 97.436 would signal distribution and confirm corrective pressure. “Structure is the compass; sentiment is the weather.” Mindset Pulse “Authority comes from clarity, not prediction.” Trade what’s confirmed — not what’s comfortable.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
BTCUSD — Bearish range meets imbalance capBTCUSD - patience before momentum Date: Sunday, October 19 Timeframe: Daily Context Bitcoin remains inside a bearish range — with high of116.080 and low of 103.492. Price currently sits near the range low, trading into a discount zone the Fibonacci 50% retracement. The big question: Does price reject from the imbalance cap, or reclaim it and squeeze higher? Technical Map • Structure: Daily range remains intact. A daily imbalance cap sits above price in the premium area. If rejected, we confirm bearish continuation; if pierced, it signals structural weakness in sellers and possible momentum shift. • Momentum: Recent candles show mild bullish recovery. Wait for daily lows to start breaking before short continuation — patience here pays. • Volume: Heavy bearish volume node clusters near the 111.000 psychological level — expect reaction. Fundamental Pulse (Week Ahead) • Macro Drivers: Traders watch US GDP advance data, PCE inflation, and Fed speakers for cues on policy tone. • Yields: Rising yields could strengthen the Dollar — pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin. • Liquidity Context: Stablecoin flows and ETF net inflows have slowed; liquidity rotation favors defensive positioning. Plan Bias stays bearish unless structure proves otherwise. The ideal path: rejection from the imbalance cap and midrange confirmation lower. However, if Dollar strength eases or yields drop, that may unwind shorts — watch structure, not emotion. Remember: you trade your system, not your feelings. Mindset Pulse “You’re never lost when you know your map.” Structure is the map. Emotions are the fog. Wait for clarity — not excitement.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
BITCOIN UpdateBitcoin — 104,716 POC in Play: Rotation or Breakdown? Context BTC remains trapped in a daily inside-bar range, digesting last week’s expansion. Structure shows fading momentum within value, signaling a potential bearish transition. Technical Map • Point of Control (POC): 104,716.97 (key range Level) — line in the sand between control and collapse. • Price Action: Low-volume compression near the POC; buyers fading as market pauses below mid-value. • Key Target: 103,516.75 — next liquidity shelf if sellers keep pressure. • Momentum: Bearish drift persists; initiative buying remains weak. • Invalidation: Daily close back above 104,716 flips tone to neutral-bullish. Fundamental Pulse Markets are in a macro digestion phase: • U.S. GDP & Core PCE data next week = volatility bottleneck ahead. • Fed speaker blackout window keeps tone muted. • Yields steady, crypto flows thin, and ETF inflows subdued — explaining the slow volume and cautious tape. This is the classic “positioning pause” before macro catalysts hit. Trade Plan Below 104,716, bias remains bearish toward 103,516.75. Mindset Pulse The chart breathes in before it exhales volatility.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
BTC TECHNICAL UPDATE BTC TECHNICAL UPDATE Price action still bearish in structure, hunting liquidity below. 107 ich Now we’re trading around −1.5 deviation, with technical volume metrics confirming heavy, controlled selling. Order flow remains high-volume bearish, but the intent looks mechanical: liquidity grab → reset → build new base. Current map Targeting the 107ich zone — likely final liquidity pocket of this leg. Below that, bids start stacking, hinting that large players already positioned. If volume compresses and delta flips positive, expect shift back range. Execution note: Treat this as high-frequency setup, not a swing setup. Keep size light, manage per-trade risk — structure says “controlled drive,” not “capitulation.” — Daniel Fadeley
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
US DOLLAR IS FILLING IN DISCOUNT Traders are pricing in a possible Fed rate cut, while fresh U.S.–China trade tension adds uncertainty to global flows. Technically, the dollar sits in its weekly mid-range, printing a 5th inside bar behind last Thursday’s move — the classic order-loading phase. Price is rotating between a key bullish low weakness zone at 98.30 and a bearish order block near 99.00 — a compression range where liquidity builds before expansion. Structure remains bearish-biased but currently in bull-back mode. Buyers are pressing into bearish volume nodes, leaving no clean swing setups — just a 50/50 zone where patience pays. Expect one side of this range to be cleared before the next directional leg. Until then, we stay tactical — cross-market focused, scalping for bread and butter while the market sets up its next move.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
EUR/USD — BEARISH FRACTAL TAKES SHAPEEUR/USD is developing a fresh bearish fractal, printing a high at 1.19187 after months of consolidation since June. We’ve already broken last month’s low, and price now sits in alignment with the expanding dollar structure. Momentum is building — a massive move may unfold next month, but for now confirmation is key. If October closes bearish, this market confirms a full structural breakdown. The June low near 1.1720 becomes Target 1, and I’ll be trading it heavy on a confirmed close. Until then, the play is patience — hunting range discounts and watching orderflow rotations for clean continuation setups. From a macro perspective, the dollar’s strength remains clear. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is pressing toward 99.197, an algorithmic expansion zone supported by volume analytics and internal order flow. Rising U.S. yields and sustained capital inflows continue to pressure the euro, while Eurozone industrial output fell 4.3% month-on-month with Germany down 18.5%, underlining structural weakness. From the CORE5 lens, structure leads, liquidity confirms, fundamentals justify. As long as dollar momentum holds and EUR/USD fails to reclaim last month’s structure, the bias remains lower.
Short
by CORE5DAN
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) — TECHNICALS FIRST, FUNDAMENTALS SECOND Technically, the key level this week is 99.197. If DXY manages a bullish close above it, we should see a weekly structure shift higher. That opens the door for 99.8 → 101.5 as internal algorithmic targets. This isn’t wishful thinking — this is how systems behave when liquidity regimes flip. Under that lens, any rejections beneath 99.197 or weak closes around it remain valid short setups — but only after structure gives the nod. Don’t force trades ahead of confirmation. In the background, the dollar is reacting to trade-war rhetoric and political shifts. Trump’s 100 % tariffs on Chinese imports raised volatility, but he later softened his tone, suggesting more cooperation than conflict. Its complet currency war. Meanwhile, some analysts argue a bullish case for the dollar remains due to relative U.S. productivity strength and higher real yields. These narratives give motive, but do not override price structure. So from CORE5’s frame: structure leads, news lags. Let clean price confirmation in the 99.197 zone tell you whether to lean into long bias or respect the risk of failure. Eyes locked.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
1
BITCOIN — STRUCTURE SHIFT INSIDE BEARISH RANGEBitcoin has filled the 116.3 to 114.9 imbalance and is now trading inside a defined bearish range. Lower-timeframe structure has shifted downward with significant volume left behind, which suggests this is not a place to buy into strength. Price has completed the imbalance fill, and the next question is whether this area becomes a market-maker trap or a true continuation leg. If smart money continues to build short positions, distribution could follow. If liquidity dries up and buyers absorb, the trap scenario takes shape. Patience remains the correct position. Focus on the 15-minute to 1-hour range for confirmation. A break of structure, a clean rejection, or a failed retest around 116.3 will define the next directional move. Until that occurs, any trade inside this zone is a low-probability action. On the macro side, the U.S. Dollar Index continues higher, signaling risk aversion and tighter global liquidity. Bitcoin does not move in perfect correlation, but capital still follows the path of safety when the dollar strengthens. In the current environment, the edge lies in observation and precision, not anticipation. Let structure confirm before committing. Probabilities always favor the patient.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
BITCOIN UpdateBitcoin x Dollar Bitcoin delivered four clean trades last week — precise structure, high control. Now we’re sitting right inside the buy zone, near the lower negative deviation of range volume. Yesterday’s session was flat, typical Sunday noise. Today, volume’s tightening — energy’s building. The key structural area is 121 698. That’s our bearish distribution ceiling — the level that’s kept price capped for weeks. If Bitcoin holds below, we stay in distribution. But if it breaks and confirms above, the market opens clean air for a strong leg higher. Macro adds spice here: The U.S. shutdown still delays core data, the dollar’s stretched, and liquidity’s thin. If DXY breaks lower, Bitcoin could fly hard — fast. But remember, volatility in these conditions ignores perfect TA. I learned that lesson long ago — great setups fail when macro chaos takes the wheel. Stay patient. Watch 121 698 — that’s where the real story starts.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
Dollar at Max Deviation — Watching 99.197 CloselyThe dollar had another wild week, closing around 99.197 — right on the edge of major structure. Most traders see strength, but when you zoom out, this move looks stretched. Yields have started to cool off, which takes pressure off the dollar’s safe-haven run. We still got smaller data releases like PMIs and Fed talks, but the big stuff like CPI is on hold until the U.S. shutdown clears. Even the IMF warned about growing liquidity risks in global FX — meaning sudden spikes or fake outs can happen fast when markets get thin. Technically, we’re in a bearish zone on the higher timeframe. The last three months of liquidity targets are already taken, and the market’s now trading inside maximum deviation — a point where algorithms usually reset before any new trend forms. That’s why 99.197 matters: it’s the last shelf before structure confirms the drop. If price breaks and holds below that level early next week, momentum likely shifts bearish. If it holds above, expect more sideways chop before a correction. For now, it’s all about patience and tracking structure — not emotions.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
1
BITCOIN UpdateWeekly Wrap: The Dollar Holds the Key BTC hit the highs, we shorted the trap, and rode it clean back to range low — 109,358. That level? It’s the bearish validation line — the hinge between bull control and breakdown. Now, price rejected 109 and bounced. As long as this weekly candle closes above 107,250, structure stays technically bullish. No weakness on tape, just normal liquidity rotation. That’s why I’m closing the heavy shorts and keeping only micro runners. The market still reads algorithmically bullish unless that low gives way. The wildcard, as always: the Dollar. We’re sitting in a high-probability sell zone. If DXY rolls over, that fuels risk-on flow — BTC, Gold, and Euro all breathe again. But if market makers squeeze it higher, that’s death to metals and crypto. Expect a sharp flush across the board. 📊 Bottom line: → BTC structure intact. → DXY in sell territory, but not confirmed. → Watch weekly close — 107,250 is everything. Stay calm. This is the part where most traders misread rotation as reversal.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
BTCUSD update Bitcoin just smashed through another order block and slipped straight into the discount zone — the area where opportunity often hides. Price has flushed thru last oredblock and is now sitting deep in liquidity pockets Structure remains bearish in the short term, but momentum hints at a possible rotation higher if we see dollar to reclaim lower levels, lets see what next week brings to us This has been an incredible trading week — multiple clean plays across majors and BTC delivering textbook structure. Now comes the patience phase. Let price confirm before adding exposure. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #SmartMoney #CORE5TRADECRAFT #MarketStructure #OrderFlow #TradingView
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
US Dollar RECAPDollar Index (DXY) — Range Heat Building You’ve got a weekly bearish range, with a key high at 99.8 and price now trading into bearish distribution around 99.0. The dollar’s been front and center this week — while Washington argues over funding, it’s been doing real damage across cross-asset charts. Price has been printing higher lows all week, grinding inside this bearish range. That’s your profit-taking zone, not an add-on zone. Stay patient. Let the range speak.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
BITCOIN IDEA Bitcoin is still stuck in a sideways range. KEY level bullish is at 122,300, and right now price isfilling orders near 121,183 daily cap. That means we’re kind of in the middle — not super strong, not super weak. The daily trend is still up, but price is pulling back a bit to fill orders. If Bitcoin starts dropping, 118,543 is the next big level to watch. If it holds and bounces, we might see another push higher. If it breaks, we could fall deeper into that lower area. The U.S. dollar is strong this week → makes it harder for BTC to move up. Jack Dorsey (the Twitter guy) just dropped a new Bitcoin wallet — cool for long-term use. So for now: stay patient, watch 121K and 118K zones, and don’t chase candles.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
US DOLLAR TARGETS HITThe U.S. government is still shut down, so no fresh economic data is coming out. That means everyone’s trading half-blind right now—no jobs numbers, no inflation updates, just noise. But the chart still tells the truth. All the bullish dollar targets were hit exactly as planned, and now price is sitting right under that 99.8 key high. That’s the line that decides everything. If market makers push price higher than 99.8, the bullish phase stays alive a bit longer. If it fails there, we drop back into bearish discount territory, where value sits lower and sellers regain control. Over the past four months, liquidity’s been building above those highs. Now we’re watching a classic stop run—price pushing up to take out weak hands before the real move begins. That’s why cross markets like stocks, gold, and crypto are slipping. The dollar’s acting as a safe spot while everything else bleeds. But the volume looks thin, which usually means manipulation, not genuine demand. Without the usual USD data, it’s all a guessing game until the Fed minutes drop later today. For now, it’s simple: the 99.8 zone is the make-or-break level. Stay patient, read the structure, and let the chart talk. Price always moves to where orders are missing, and stops where they’re full. Follow that rule, and you’ll never feel lost in the noise.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
EUR USD and DOLLAR UPDATE The Dollar Index (DXY) is grinding through a daily order block and has just pierced 97.882. Technical If we close above 97.882, that confirms a break and opens continuation toward higher liquidity zones. With tomorrow’s heavy macro news, the setup has volume behind it for a potential massive move. Macros U.S. government shutdown is weighing on confidence and trimming growth forecasts (each week may shave 0.1–0.2pp off GDP). The Fed remains cornered — markets price in rate cuts, but policy credibility is under scrutiny. Safe-haven flows are mixed: gold at records, dollar stabilizing after Supreme Court support for Fed’s Cook. Data releases are being delayed by the shutdown, which adds uncertainty and volatility. EURUSD We’re short and holding. 4-month rangebound structure remains Be aware Dollar strength is being fueled by technical break + macro volume. EURUSD is vulnerable if DXY confirms above 97.882. But with policy risk and shutdown uncertainty, expect volatility spikes and liquidity hunts around tomorrow’s big data.
TVC:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
BTC vs USD: Macro Liquidity vs TechnicalsBitcoin is at a hinge point. Technical View: Weekly volume profile looks bearish, but if BTC closes above 119,465.52 the setup flips into an explosive breakout. Macro View: The dollar is boxed (96.7–98.3) and fiscal stress + Fed cut bets are weighing on USD. Gold is at record highs on safe-haven demand. In this environment, macro liquidity can override technical ceilings. That’s why I’ve stepped back to scalping until the macro picture stabilizes. The market is running on liquidity hunts, not clean structure. 🔑 Levels to Watch BTC: Weekly close >119,465.52 → ignition higher DXY: Breakout from 96.7–98.3 range decides cross-asset direction When macros dominate, technicals bend. Patience and risk control matter more than chart perfection here.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CORE5DAN