BTCUSD: Watching for the Dip and Bounce to the Trend LineHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price of Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a large Range, just below a major descending Trend Line. This indicates a period of balance and energy build-up after a significant prior move.
Currently, the price is in a corrective pullback within this Range. It is heading towards the lower support levels, a key area where buyers have previously shown strength and absorbed selling pressure.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that this consolidation is a bullish accumulation phase. I think that before the main rally continues, the market will make a small corrective movement down to test the Support zone.
I'm looking for a confirmed bounce from this Support zone around the 109000 level. This would be the key signal that the pullback is over and that buyers are ready to take control for a move towards the upper boundary of the consolidation.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful rebound would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent rally is the 115500 trend line at the top of the Range.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Correciton
XAUUSD: Bounce from 3615 Support LevelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, after a strong run-up within a prior Upward Channel, the price action for Gold has transitioned into a horizontal consolidation Range. This shift from a trending to a ranging market indicates a period of balance as buyers and sellers digest the previous impulsive move.
Currently, the price is in a corrective phase within this Range. After recently failing to break above the Resistance Zone, sellers have pushed the price down, and it is now approaching the major horizontal support at the bottom of the consolidation, near the Support 1 level.
My Scenario & Strategy
I think that this Range structure will continue to hold for now. The lower boundary, which aligns with Support 1 at 3615, is a significant area of historical support. This Support zone represents a high-probability area for buyers to step in and defend, just as they have in the past.
My scenario is that Gold will complete its drop to the lower part of the consolidation, testing the Support 1 level. Therefore, I expect that a successful defense of this support will lead to a rally back across the Range. My target for this move is 3700, which is placed within the major Resistance Zone at the top of the consolidation.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTC, correcting now into 2025It looks very likely that BTC has completed wave 5 of higher degree of trend of 1. Therefore, we'll see a chunky, sizeable correction that has the potential to go down all the way to the 50s. It may not go this low, but please be aware that it 'could' following the classic ABC pattern. Also, keep an eye on the Hurst cycles below - it has to do it quite quickly. If it does go down to 50k, then I'll be buying that up like Miss Pacman.


