CRM Earnings BEAR PLAY--$235 Put Target→Don’t Miss Out
## 💣 CRM Earnings Bear Play 🚨 | Put \$235 Setup (Sep 5 Expiry) 📉🔥
### 📊 Summary
CRM earnings setup skews **bearish** despite durable cash flow:
* **Fundamentals:** Strong margins & FCF, but **revenue slowing (7.6% TTM)** + high bar for AI guidance.
* **Options Flow:** Heavy put OI at **\$230–240** vs scattered calls → institutions hedging downside.
* **Technicals:** Price under 50/200-day MA, RSI overbought (71). Short-term bounce inside longer downtrend.
* **Macro:** Rising VIX + risk-off tone = higher downside sensitivity.
**📈 Net View:** 🔴 **Moderate Bearish (74% confidence)** → downside risk outweighs upside into earnings.
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### 📝 Trade Plan
* 🎯 **Instrument:** CRM
* 🔀 **Direction:** Put
* 💵 **Entry:** \$2.61
* 📅 **Expiry:** 2025-09-05
* 🎯 **Profit Target:** \$7.83 (+200%)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$1.305 (-50%)
* 📈 **Strike:** \$235
* ⏰ **Timing:** Enter **pre-earnings close** (Sep 4, AMC earnings).
⚠️ **Exit:** Within 2 hours post-print — avoid IV crush & second-day reversal.
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### 🚀 Hashtags (TradingView Viral)
\#CRM #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #PutOptions #BearishSetup #WeeklyOptions #EarningsTrade #GammaFlow #IVCrush #StocksToWatch #HighRiskHighReward #SmartMoneyFlow #TechnicalAnalysis
Crmearnings
SALESFORCE $CRM | STRONG TREND UP TO EARNINGS Dec. 3rd, 2024SALESFORCE NYSE:CRM | STRONG TREND UP TO EARNINGS Dec. 3rd, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $338.75 - $400.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $331.00 - $338.75
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $250.00 - $250.00
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
1H: Bearish
NYSE:CRM releases earnings today, Tuesday Dec 3rd, after market close. Price ranges up to previous earnings on Aug 28th. This range finally breaks out and creates a bullish trend that has held strong leading up to today's earnings. High timeframes show bullish trend (my trend determining indicator), along with current chart trend bands (my channel/bands directional bands). ATM Straddles suggest the expected move to be around 7.25%, or $24.00 in either direction. This is on pace with it's average and historical earnings moves (previous 8 - 12 quarters).
My estimated moves:
Downside: ~$300
Upside: ~$360
(30-45 DTE)
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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