BTC at a Crossroad: Path to 62.5k Is Conditional-Pick Your PlayI’m sharing a possible irregular flat correction that could pull BTC toward ~62,513—only if two key trend supports break.
Note: This Elliott count differs from my main count. It’s my secondary scenario—lower conviction, but it deserves close attention because the structure is developing cleanly. This does not mean BTC is going down (it's just a watch out scenario)
The story so far
From the Nov 22, 2022 low, BTC ran a full 5-wave impulse.
Wave 3 was the extended one.
Wave 4 formed a triangle.
Wave 5 ran hotter than expected (roughly the size of Wave 3). That’s unusual, likely fueled by extreme Bollinger Band Width compression before the final push.
Why this matters: when Wave 3 extends, Wave 5 is usually shorter. It isn’t a hard rule—just a guideline—so this count stays on the board, but it’s not a high-conviction setup.
What I think is happening now
The drop and bounce look like an expanded (irregular) flat: (A) down, (B) up which was our All time high, C down.
If the pattern completes, C could target ~62,513.
Quick pattern note (irregular flat): It’s a 3–3–5 structure — A = 3 waves, B = 3 waves (often pokes above the prior high), and C = 5 waves. On this chart, A and B already printed as 3 + 3. The setup isn’t confirmed until we see C unfold as a clear 5-wave move (1-2-3-4-5). No five-wave C = no completed irregular flat.
What would confirm it (the “if/then”)
Lose the first rising trend support (≈ 109k).
Then lose the second, deeper trend support.
If both break, the path toward ~62.5k could be opening up.
Between those two lines: BTC can go sideways for a weeks—that “range box” is important.
Why the range box matters (Altseason meter)
Altcoins usually need steady BTC to fly:
BTC sideways (not spiking up or dumping).
TOTAL2 (alt mkt cap) breaks ATH.
BTC.D rolls over (dominance falls).
If these three line up, we’ve got a real altseason setup. If not, it’s noise.
Bottom line
This is a watchlist scenario, not gospel.
I’ll respect the levels: no break = no bear target.
If we range between supports, I’ll look for alt strength while BTC stays calm.
Crypto-analysis
BTCUSD Short: Dump Of Supply ZoneHello, traders! The price auction for BTC has been operating within a large ascending channel, a structure defined by key pivot points that have established the 109500 demand area as support and the 113200 supply area as resistance. This bullish framework has guided the price through a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming the buyer's initiative and the strength of the current uptrend.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point at the top of this channel. The price has rallied to directly test the channel's ascending supply line, which forms a confluence of resistance with the horizontal 113200 - 113600 supply zone. This is a key area where sellers are expected to become active and challenge the prevailing bullish momentum.
The primary scenario anticipates a corrective move from these highs. The expectation is that sellers will defend the supply zone and reject the price, initiating a downward rotation back towards the channel's support line. A failure to break out higher would confirm a short-term correction is underway. The take-profit for this rotational play is therefore set at 110100 points, targeting a key liquidity area above the primary demand zone. Manage your risk!
BTC/USD Rebound in Play! | Key Support Holding, Eyes on $112K📊 BTC/USD Technical Analysis
🗓️ Chart Date: May 25, 2025
🔍 Key Levels:
🔵 Support Zone: $106,800 – $107,300
Notably, price bounced twice in this region, indicating strong buying interest.
This area aligns closely with the 200 EMA (currently at $107,213.51), adding further confluence as dynamic support.
🔴 Resistance Zone: $111,800 – $112,300
Previous highs and consolidation make this a significant area where sellers may re-enter the market.
📈 Indicators:
🔵 EMA 200 (Blue): $107,213.51
Acts as a strong dynamic support; price bounced off it recently.
🔴 EMA 50 (Red): $108,182.91
Price is currently below the 50 EMA, suggesting short-term bearish pressure remains until this level is reclaimed.
🧠 Market Structure & Price Action:
After a sharp drop from the resistance zone, price found solid footing at the support zone.
Recent candles show rejection wicks from the downside, hinting at potential bullish reversal.
A breakout above minor consolidation and 50 EMA could trigger a bullish continuation toward the resistance.
📌 Forecast:
✅ If the price holds above the support zone and breaks above $108,200, we can expect a bullish move toward $112,000.
⚠️ However, a failure to break above the 50 EMA could lead to a retest of the support zone.
🧭 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
📥 Long Bias:
Entry: On confirmed breakout above $108,200
SL: Below $107,000
TP: $111,800 – $112,300
📌 Conclusion:
The chart setup suggests a potential bullish reversal 📈 from a key support zone, supported by EMA 200. Watch for a break above the 50 EMA for momentum confirmation.
🧠 Always confirm with volume and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
ETHUSDT pair has formed a set of Equal Highs!Currently, the ETHUSDT pair has formed a set of Equal Highs (EQ Highs) on the chart, indicating the presence of potential liquidity resting above that level. At the same time, there’s some price structure visible on the lower side, suggesting that the market may have created liquidity pools both above and below the current price range. This kind of setup often precedes a significant move.
Recently, the market executed what appears to be a 'Turtle Soup' pattern — a common liquidity grab strategy in which price breaks below a key support or above resistance to trap breakout traders, only to quickly reverse and pump in the opposite direction. Following this pattern, ETHUSDT saw a sharp upward movement, indicating that smart money may have manipulated liquidity to fuel this breakout.
Now , patience is essential. The market has created a visible trendline, and typically, such trendlines attract retail traders who treat them as dynamic support or resistance. However, what often happens is that liquidity builds up around these trendlines, and institutional players later push the price through them to trigger stop-losses or induce panic. It’s likely the market will take out (or 'kill') the liquidity lying along that trendline.
After that liquidity sweep, we’re watching for price to move into a marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) — an imbalance left by a strong move where price didn’t fully fill in. Once the price taps into that FVG, we need to wait for additional confirmation. Ideally, we’d like to see a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or a Change of Character (CHoCH), both of which are strong indicators that the trend may be reversing or forming.
Only after those confirmations should we start considering entering a long position. We can further validate the setup using refined models such as the Unicorn Model, or other entry confirmations like a refined FVG entry, a bullish order block (OB), or breaker block. The goal is to enter the trade when there is a high-probability confluence of signals, not just based on a single indicator.
Once a solid entry setup is confirmed, our targets can be the Equal Highs formed earlier, as they represent resting liquidity which price often seeks. However, it’s crucial not to blindly follow the setup. Observe how the market reacts at each critical level, manage risk properly, and most importantly DYOR (Do Your Own Research) before making any trading decision.
HolderStat┆BTCUSD retest $100 000 level🚀 After a grueling multi‑month consolidation boxed between mid‑90 k and 100 k, BTC finally sliced through its ceiling, confirming a textbook breakout from the rising wedge that grew out of March’s strong consolidation pennant. Price is stair‑stepping higher inside a fresh ascending channel, using 96 k as intraday support and chewing through 100 k supply. As long as this channel stays intact, traders can focus on the mapped path toward the projected new ATH near 115 k.
ETH - When will this downtrend finally stop?Ethereum (ETH) has been stuck in a prolonged downtrend, and the bearish scenario is now playing out. On the 4-hour chart, ETH recently broke below its rising trend line after forming a rising wedge that typically signals further downside. This breakdown confirms the potential for further downside.
At the same time, on the weekly timeframe, ETH has perfectly retested its resistance and failed to push higher, reinforcing overall market weakness. With failing to break resistance it is likely that ETH could face continued weakness and move towards the weekly support area at 1500.
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$TRUMP Market Update📊 $TRUMP/USDT Market Update
Welcome to today's analysis! Let’s break down the current price action on $TRUMP and what to expect next.
🌐 Overview: $TRUMP Approaching Key Resistance
📉 $TRUMP was in a downtrend after breaking a key support level. Now, the price is approaching the red resistance zone, which was previously a support level before the strong breakdown.
🔄 Current Scenario:
The red resistance zone is a critical level that needs to be broken for a trend shift to bullish.
If $TRUMP successfully breaks above this resistance, it could confirm a bullish trend, with the next target being the blue line level.
However, if price gets rejected, we could see another pullback or consolidation before another breakout attempt.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 Resistance Zone: Red Level (Needs breakout to confirm bullish momentum)
🔵 Target Level: Blue Line (If breakout is successful)
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Red Resistance)
If $TRUMP breaks and holds above the red resistance zone, this would confirm bullish momentum and a potential move toward the blue line target.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance)
If $TRUMP fails to break out, we could see a pullback or consolidation, meaning the downtrend could still continue.
📌 Conclusion
$TRUMP is at a key resistance zone—a breakout could confirm a bullish trend, targeting the blue line level, while a rejection may lead to further downside movement. Traders should watch for confirmation before making a move.
COQUSDT: The Market Squeeze—Reversal or Breakdown?COQUSDT at a Turning Point: Is the Bottom in?
COQUSDT is sitting at a critical juncture, hovering near $0.007427, a level that’s still 56% above its all-time low but nearly 89% off its peak. After weeks of sideways action, buy volumes have surged at key points, hinting at possible accumulation. But with RSI (14) at 35.6, are we witnessing the final stages of oversold conditions, or is there more downside ahead?
The 200-day MA looms at $0.010096, far above the current price, showing just how deeply this asset has been discounted. Momentum indicators suggest that COQUSDT is battling heavy resistance at $0.008245, a level that could determine the next leg of movement. The question is: Are bulls strong enough to flip this level into support, or will bears force a retest of the lower range?
With a mix of increased buy-side activity and lingering bearish pressure, the market is at a crucial decision point. Will we see a breakout to test the 100-day MA at $0.009132, or is another sell-off lurking around the corner? Buckle up—this could be the moment traders have been waiting for.
Roadmap: COQUSDT’s Recent Patterns – Are We Seeing a Reversal?
The market never lies—price action is the ultimate storyteller. Over the past few sessions, COQUSDT has been flashing some intriguing signals. Let's break down the key patterns that played out, separating the noise from the real moves.
February 21, 20:00 UTC – Buy Volumes Surge
A major Buy Volumes pattern kicked in as COQUSDT opened at $0.008589 and closed higher at $0.008975, testing resistance near $0.009193. The setup suggested an upward continuation, but was it enough?
February 21, 21:00 UTC – Confirmation of Strength
Bulls doubled down with another Increased Buy Volumes pattern, pushing the close up to $0.009475, hitting a session high of $0.009639. This confirmed the previous signal—buyers were stepping in aggressively.
February 22, 08:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern 4 Appears
The formation of a VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th hinted at accumulation. The price action showed a minor retrace before stabilizing at $0.009158. However, the real test was ahead: Would buyers maintain control?
February 23, 13:00 UTC – A Battle at Resistance
A powerful VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd formed, keeping the buy-side momentum alive. The asset climbed further, closing at $0.009186—almost a direct follow-through from the prior pattern.
February 23, 16:00 UTC – Bears Strike Back
A major shift came as a Sell Volumes Max pattern emerged. The price reversed hard, closing down at $0.008515, marking the first sign of bearish dominance since the rally began.
February 24, 15:00 UTC – Sell Pressure Increases
Following the sell-off, the next candle confirmed more downside pressure with an Increased Sell Volumes pattern. The close at $0.007824 meant the bulls had officially lost their grip—momentum had shifted.
February 24, 16:00 UTC – Buyers Attempt a Comeback
Just when things looked bleak, a Buy Volumes Max pattern emerged. The asset rebounded slightly, closing at $0.007895, attempting to reclaim lost ground.
The takeaway? The buy-side momentum played out correctly up until February 23, proving that the earlier bullish patterns were accurate indicators of the rally. However, the sell signals on February 23-24 completely flipped the script, showing how fast sentiment can shift.
What’s Next? If buy volumes continue to build, we could see another attempt at breaking resistance around $0.008245. But if the sellers maintain control, expect further downside pressure. Stay sharp—this market is moving fast.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Levels don’t lie—price respects structure, and smart money knows where liquidity is stacked. Here’s the real deal on support and resistance for COQUSDT. If a level doesn’t hold, expect it to flip into a new battlefield for bulls and bears.
Support Levels:
$0.005691 – First line of defense. If buyers don’t step in, we could see a deeper dive.
$0.00551 – The last standard support before things get ugly. A break below could open up a liquidity grab.
Resistance Levels:
$0.008245 – Immediate ceiling. Needs a strong push to flip bullish.
$0.009099 – A key decision point. Rejection here and sellers will pile in.
$0.010465 – A major pivot area. Break and hold above? We’re talking trend shift.
$0.011432 – Bulls need to own this level for sustained momentum.
$0.012347 – The breakout zone. If we see clean closes above, the game changes.
Powerful Support Levels:
$0.01302 – The fortress. If COQUSDT ever gets back above this, it’s game on for bulls.
Remember: If these supports fail, they become resistance. That’s how price action works—liquidity zones shift, and traders reposition. Watch the reactions, manage risk, and don’t get caught on the wrong side of the play.
Trading Strategies Using Fibonacci Rays
Understanding price action means reacting to movement, not predicting levels. My proprietary Fibonacci Rays method helps identify dynamic zones where price interacts before making its next big move. Each ray serves as a pivot, defining whether price rejects or continues.
These rays are already drawn on your chart, intersecting with VSA patterns and Moving Averages, giving you a structured roadmap for trades. Let’s break down the possible scenarios:
Optimistic Scenario: Breakout & Trend Continuation
If COQUSDT interacts with a key ray and confirms bullish movement, we ride the trend from one ray to the next, securing targets along the way.
Long Entry: Above $0.008245 (First Resistance)
Target 1: $0.009099
Target 2: $0.010465
Target 3: $0.011432 (Major trend shift)
Invalidation: Below $0.008000 (Rejection from ray)
Aggressive Long: If price reclaims MA50 ($0.008452)
Target 1: $0.009132 (MA100)
Target 2: $0.010096 (MA200)
Invalidation: Close below MA50 with volume spike
Pessimistic Scenario: Rejection & Trend Weakness
If price interacts with a ray but fails to confirm strength, we look for short opportunities targeting the next dynamic level.
Short Entry: Below $0.008245 (Failed breakout)
Target 1: $0.007427 (Current support)
Target 2: $0.005691 (Deeper correction zone)
Invalidation: Close above $0.008500 with strong momentum
Breakdown Short: If price loses MA50 and MA100 together
Target 1: $0.00551 (Final major support)
Invalidation: Price reclaims MA100 & MA50 with buy volume
💡 Key Takeaway: Positions should be taken only after price interacts with a ray and confirms movement. No blind entries—wait for market structure to guide you. Every ray crossover is a checkpoint, where price moves from one level to the next, giving traders a clear trade flow.
What’s Next? Let’s Talk Strategy!
Trading is all about understanding key reaction zones—that’s why I lay everything out before price makes its move. If you found this breakdown useful, make sure to Boost this idea and save it—check back later and see how price respects the levels. That’s how you sharpen your edge in the market.
Got questions? Drop them in the comments! I always check and reply when I can. Let’s discuss setups, levels, or anything that needs clarification.
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1000000MOG: Is This the Last Chance to Buy Before a Breakout?The Moment of Decision: 1000000MOGUSDT at a Pivotal Crossroad
The crypto market is never short on surprises, and 1000000MOGUSDT is now in the spotlight. After tumbling 81.6% from its all-time high of $4.0531, the asset is showing signs of an imminent shift. Currently trading at $0.7458, it hovers near key resistance at $0.7693—a critical level that could define its next big move.
Technically, RSI (14) sits at 42.18, hinting at a potential reversal from oversold conditions. Meanwhile, MFI (60) has risen to 58.03, signaling increasing buying pressure. But is it enough for a breakout?
Recent VSA Buy Patterns suggest institutional accumulation, while yesterday's sell-off exhausted downward momentum. The battle between bulls and bears is heating up, and the next few sessions could set the tone for the coming weeks.
Could this be the final dip before an explosive move? Or will bears push it deeper into uncertainty? The answer lies in the price action around $0.7693—a breakout could bring a swift rally toward $0.8465 and beyond. Are you ready for what comes next?
1000000MOGUSDT Roadmap: The Pattern Trail to a Breakout
The market never moves in a straight line—it’s a battle of bulls and bears, and 1000000MOGUSDT is no exception. Let’s break down the key patterns that have shaped the recent price action, focusing only on those that played out as expected.
Feb 21, 17:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Max (Main Direction: Sell)
The heavy sell-off at $0.7875, closing at $0.7571, set the stage for a bearish move. The next pattern confirmed this sentiment, as buyers failed to regain control, pushing the price further down.
Feb 22, 18:00 UTC – VSA Sell Pattern 4 (Main Direction: Sell)
The textbook bearish setup worked like a charm. The price opened at $0.7996, attempted a push higher to $0.8191, but ultimately closed lower at $0.7870. This confirmed sellers’ dominance, setting the tone for further downside.
Feb 23, 15:00 UTC – Increased Sell Volumes (Main Direction: Sell)
Sell pressure kept building, with the price opening at $0.7823 and dropping to $0.7539. This was another clean confirmation that sellers were running the show.
Feb 24, 04:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Max (Main Direction: Sell)
Another bearish wave sent the price down to $0.7429, hitting a low of $0.7350. At this point, the market was looking oversold, but without a strong reversal pattern, buyers had no reason to step in.
Feb 24, 05:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Take Over (Main Direction: Buy)
Finally, a shift. The market bounced from $0.7383 to $0.7663, marking the first real attempt by buyers to flip the script. This pattern suggested a potential trend reversal—but was it enough?
The verdict? The last confirmed buy signal indicates that 1000000MOGUSDT may have hit a local bottom. With resistance looming at $0.7693, a breakout above this level could trigger a trend reversal, bringing bulls back into the game.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
When it comes to 1000000MOGUSDT, the game is all about key levels. Respect them, and you ride the wave. Ignore them, and you're swimming against the current. Here's what matters right now:
Resistance Levels:
$0.7693 – First major barrier; a breakout here could confirm bullish strength.
$0.8465 – If buyers take control, this is the next checkpoint.
$1.0149 – A key psychological level, marking a major shift in momentum.
$1.4334 – If we get here, expect serious volatility.
$1.9514 – The final boss before reclaiming lost highs.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
$0.5326 – If the market tanks, this level flips to a strong resistance on any rebound attempt.
Support Levels:
Watch for potential bounces, but if these levels don’t hold, they turn into resistance real quick.
Powerful Support Levels:
$2.1798 – A level too far now, but if we ever reclaim it, the game changes entirely.
Bottom line: if $0.7693 gives way, $0.8465 is on the radar. But if we break down, $0.5326 could become a serious problem for any recovery. Stay sharp, follow the levels, and trade with conviction.
Trading Strategies Using Rays: Optimistic & Pessimistic Scenarios
Concept of Rays: The market is a living system, and price moves dynamically within it. My proprietary method uses Fibonacci-based rays, which create adaptive levels that predict interactions between price and key zones. These rays don’t provide a static price target but act as guides—once price interacts with a ray, we wait for dynamic confirmations (patterns, volumes, and price action) before making a trade. Each movement extends from one ray to another, forming a structured, mathematically predictable path.
Optimistic Scenario: Bullish Movement from Support
If price confirms support at a key level and interacts positively with a VSA ray, we look for a continuation upward:
Entry: Buy on a strong bounce from $0.7458 with confirmation from VSA patterns.
First Target: $0.7693 (first major resistance & ray intersection).
Second Target: $0.8465 (continuation if the first breakout holds).
Third Target: $1.0149 (strong psychological level, potential liquidity grab).
Dynamic Factors Supporting the Trade:
Moving Averages (MA50: 0.783, MA100: 0.7757, MA200: 0.7807) act as additional resistance points—watch for price interaction at these levels before continuation.
RSI (42.18) is still in a neutral zone but could flip bullish if price holds above MA100.
MFI (58.03) suggests growing demand, adding strength to a breakout.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Below Support
If price fails to hold key levels, sellers regain control, and we shift to a shorting mindset:
Entry: Short after rejection from $0.7693, confirming downward momentum.
First Target: $0.7458 (previous support turned resistance).
Second Target: $0.5326 (historical powerful resistance that could flip to strong support).
Third Target: $0.4999 (absolute low, potential liquidity hunt).
Dynamic Factors Confirming the Short Trade:
Failure to break MA100 and MA200 signals continued bearish trend.
RSI below 40 would confirm oversold conditions, increasing downside pressure.
If volume spikes on a breakdown, it suggests institutional distribution rather than weak hands selling.
Key Trading Playbook
Buy on confirmed interaction with a bullish ray at $0.7458, ride to $0.7693.
Sell if price rejects $0.7693 with weak volume—target $0.7458 or $0.5326.
Breakout trade: If $0.8465 is taken out with momentum, next stop is $1.0149.
Short if price collapses under $0.7458, aiming for $0.5326.
Bottom line: Every move starts with a ray and follows a ray. Let the price confirm the interaction, then ride the wave.
Call to Action: Let’s Talk Trading!
Alright, traders, now it’s your move! 🚀 If you have questions, insights, or just want to discuss the setup, drop a comment below—I read everything and respond when I can. Let’s break this market down together!
🔥 Hit that Boost and save this post to check back later—watch how price respects the levels and rays in real time. Trading is all about understanding key reaction zones, and if my analysis helps you see them clearer, that’s already a win.
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FWOGUSDT: Approaching the Turning Point – What’s Next?FWOGUSDT is trading at $0.12006, hovering just above its absolute low of $0.11783, established only hours ago. This marks a staggering -84.6% retreat from its absolute high of $0.78189, reached just 72 days prior. With RSI14 dipping to 29.42, the asset is entering oversold territory, raising the stakes for a potential reversal or a continuation of the bearish trend.
A surge in sell volume, as confirmed by recent VSA patterns, highlights increasing market activity amidst uncertainty. The asset is also testing critical resistance at $0.13946 while struggling to break above the 50-day moving average of $0.15193, emphasizing the importance of this consolidation phase.
Is the market setting the stage for a bullish rebound or bracing for deeper lows? With macroeconomic factors such as volatile liquidity conditions and heightened market sentiment, the next move could offer opportunities for both traders eyeing quick scalps and investors seeking long-term positioning.
The big question remains: Are you ready to seize the moment, or will this opportunity pass you by? Stay tuned as we dive deeper into the technicals and strategies for this critical juncture.
Roadmap: Tracing FWOGUSDT’s Path Through Pattern Dynamics
FWOGUSDT has had a whirlwind of activity in recent trading sessions, as highlighted by a sequence of critical patterns. Below, we’ve broken down the roadmap of these patterns in order of their emergence, filtering only the ones that delivered accurate directional moves based on the previous pattern’s main direction.
Pattern 1: Increased Sell Volumes (Jan 21, 18:00 UTC)
The market initiated a significant sell wave, closing at $0.21192 after an open of $0.22732, marking a notable drop. The main direction was clearly bearish, and this pattern laid the groundwork for subsequent sell-offs.
Pattern 2: Buy Volumes Takeover (Jan 23, 20:00 UTC)
Despite a brief bullish attempt that pushed the price to a high of $0.16481, the market turned back to bearish territory, aligning with the previous sell-off. This confirms the direction set earlier, showing the strength of sellers.
Pattern 3: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (Jan 25, 00:00 UTC)
Here, the market attempted a reversal, with a closing price of $0.12599 and a high of $0.13648. While buyers showed strength, the follow-through failed as the price closed lower in subsequent sessions. This indicates the struggle of bulls to reclaim control.
Pattern 4: Increased Sell Volumes (Jan 25, 02:00 UTC)
The most recent sell-off, aligning perfectly with the earlier bearish direction, confirms the dominance of sellers. With a low of $0.11783, FWOGUSDT reached its absolute bottom. This marks a critical juncture for traders.
Key Takeaways
The bearish trends dominated, with multiple sell patterns confirming the overall downtrend.
Bullish patterns showed potential but failed to break critical resistance, indicating weak momentum.
The most recent bearish breakout to $0.11783 highlights the market’s vulnerability at these levels.
What’s Next?
Investors and traders should watch for sustained price action at critical support zones. Will the bulls finally stage a comeback, or is more downside ahead? Follow the roadmap to stay in tune with the market's rhythm!
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
When it comes to navigating the FWOGUSDT price action, the key levels below are your bread and butter. Let’s break it down:
Support Levels
These zones are where buyers are likely to step in. If the market doesn’t respect these, expect them to flip into resistance faster than you can blink:
$0.11783 – This is the absolute low. If broken, we’re diving into uncharted waters.
$0.29444 – A strong psychological area to watch if prices stage a rally from current levels.
Resistance Levels
Here’s where sellers are holding their ground. Break these, and the bulls might just get the upper hand:
$0.13946 – The first line of fire for any upward push.
$0.19064 – A significant hurdle for medium-term bulls.
$0.23757 – Beyond here, the market might just start cooking.
$0.25695 – The final boss level for this structure.
Powerful Support Levels
These are your safety nets if the market wobbles. But if they give way, you’re looking at resistance zones in the making:
$0.29444 – Not just a level, but a fortress for the bulls to defend.
Powerful Resistance Levels
While none were detected in this cycle, keep an eye on the levels above as potential magnets for price.
Pro Tip: If these levels don’t play out, the market could be flipping the script, turning support into resistance or resistance into support. Keep your eyes peeled and trade smart!
Trading Strategies Using Rays: Optimistic and Pessimistic Scenarios
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept provides traders with dynamic levels derived from Fibonacci principles. These rays form a predictive framework, guiding price action from one ray to the next. Interactions between rays and moving averages (MAs) further confirm key market zones. Let’s dive into the strategy.
Concept Overview
Rays and Fibonacci: Rays are constructed at precise angles that correlate with the start of a trend.
Dynamic Levels: The rays adjust to new patterns, providing an updated roadmap for price movement.
Key Interaction Points: Trade entries are based on price reactions to rays, confirmed by interaction with MAs.
Directional Flow: Price moves from one ray to the next, making each ray a potential trade target.
Scenarios and Strategies
Optimistic Scenario
This assumes the price successfully interacts with a ray, confirming bullish momentum.
Initial Entry Point: Interaction at support ray near $0.11783 (absolute low).
First Target: $0.13946 (next ray and first resistance level).
Second Target: $0.19064 (medium-term ray resistance).
Confirmation Tools: Price above MA50 ($0.15193) signals upward momentum.
Pessimistic Scenario
In this scenario, the price interacts with a resistance ray and begins to reverse, confirming bearish sentiment.
Initial Entry Point: Rejection at resistance ray near $0.13946.
First Target: $0.11783 (absolute low and ray support).
Second Target: $0.29444 (long-term powerful support zone, now acting as resistance).
Confirmation Tools: Price below MA50 ($0.15193) reinforces a downward trend.
Suggested Trades
Bullish Trade Idea :
Enter long at $0.11783 after confirmation of ray support and MA interaction. First target $0.13946, with stop-loss below $0.11700.
Bearish Trade Idea :
Enter short at $0.13946 upon rejection. First target $0.11783, with stop-loss above $0.14000.
Scalp Trade Idea :
Trade between $0.13946 and $0.19064 for quick profits within the ray structure, confirming movement via the MA50.
Final Thoughts
Dynamic rays and MAs act as a dual system for identifying actionable trades. Always enter after a confirmed interaction and let the price move between rays for optimal profit opportunities. Adapt to new ray formations and keep an eye on volume surges for added confirmation. This strategy offers precision for both cautious and aggressive traders.
Your Feedback and Ideas Matter!
Hey traders, thanks for taking the time to explore this analysis! If you’ve got questions or ideas, don’t hesitate—drop them in the comments. I love seeing your thoughts and will do my best to respond to everyone.
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NEARly all crypto charts look like this right nowI just looked at easily 50+ charts that all look pretty much identical to this chart. There is a good chance whatever one does, the others will follow mostly. If there is a break out, there should be systematically, dozens of breakouts that can be jumped on, all happening at varying times within a short time frame. Similarly, could be a pretty big broad market pull back where we should be hunting support lines to buy the dip. Here is general analysis on the chart.
Structure and Price Action:
Rising Wedge Breakdown:
The chart shows a clear rising wedge pattern that has broken down decisively. Rising wedges are bearish patterns, and this confirms further downside potential.
Downward Red Trendline:
A clear descending resistance line has now formed, rejecting price attempts to climb higher.
The recent price action shows consistent lower highs, reinforcing bearish momentum.
Consolidation Zone:
Price is currently consolidating near the $6.8 level, where it is testing both horizontal and diagonal support zones.
Support and Resistance:
Immediate Resistance: $6.9–7.0 (aligned with the descending red trendline and EMA resistance).
Key Support Levels:
$6.5: Current short-term support.
Below $6.5: Next support around $6.0 and $5.5, where historical levels exist.
Indicators:
Moving Averages (EMA 20/50/100/200):
Price is below the EMA 20 and EMA 50, which confirms short-term bearish sentiment.
The EMA 100 and 200 are flattening around $6.9–7.0 and acting as strong resistance.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
49.24 indicates neutral momentum, suggesting there’s room for a move either up or down, depending on breakout direction.
Stochastic RSI:
The Stoch RSI has just crossed upward from oversold territory, indicating a possible short-term bounce but not yet a reversal signal.
If price fails to reclaim higher levels, this could be a false signal.
Volume:
The volume during the most recent downward move remains relatively high, confirming bearish pressure.
Current low volume during the consolidation suggests indecision and potential for a breakout.
Pattern Analysis:
The combination of the rising wedge breakdown and the descending trendline suggests that bearish pressure is dominant.
Current price action resembles a bearish pennant or continuation pattern within the broader downtrend.
Probabilistic Outlook:
Bearish Continuation (Primary Scenario):
If price fails to reclaim $6.9–7.0 and breaks below $6.5, further downside is likely.
Key downside targets:
First Target: $6.0
Second Target: $5.5–5.3
Short-term Bounce (Less Probable):
If Stochastic RSI momentum and MFI push price above the descending trendline (~$7.0), a short-term recovery may occur.
Key upside targets:
First Resistance: $7.0–7.2
Second Resistance: $7.5
Key Signals to Watch:
A breakdown below $6.5 = Bearish confirmation.
A breakout above the descending red trendline (~$6.9–7.0) = Short-term bullish reversal.
Volume will confirm the breakout or breakdown direction.
Conclusion:
The chart remains bearish overall, with a high probability (~65–70%) of further downside unless price breaks the descending trendline with conviction.
Bitcoin can reach resistance line of channel and start to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered an upward channel, where at once it made little correction and then rose to a support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then BTC broke this level, after which made a correction to the buyer zone, and then BTC made an impulse up to the resistance line of the upward channel. After this movement, the price turned around from this line and then started to decline to the 58900 support level, which coincided with the support line of the channel. Later BTC rebounded and continued to move up inside the upward channel and some time later reached the current support level, which coincided with the support area. Price rebounded from this level and made a correction below, after which made an upward impulse to the resistance line of the channel, thereby breaking the 69500 level. But a not long time ago it started to decline, therefore I think that BTC can grow to the resistance line and then drop below a current support level, breaking it and continuing to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 67000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC/USDT Daily Chart Analysis:!!
The chart shows that BTC/USDT is trading within a descending wedge pattern, with price action consistently testing the lower boundary of this pattern.
The price is currently sitting at a crucial support level of around $52,408, represented by the green trendline and the horizontal yellow line, which has served as a historical support area.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate support is around $52,408. A break below this level could lead to a retest of lower support near the $50,000 psychological level or potentially lower.
The nearest resistance is the upper boundary of the descending wedge, followed by horizontal resistance around $66,000.
Possible Scenario:
A strong bounce off the current support level around $52,408, followed by a breakout above the upper boundary of the descending wedge, could signal a bullish reversal. A breakout above $66,000 would confirm a strong uptrend continuation.
If BTC fails to hold the support at $52,408, we could see increasing selling pressure, pushing the price down towards the next support level.
A head and shoulders pattern formation was completed earlier, indicating a bearish signal that appeared in the downward movement.
Currently, the descending wedge pattern is typically a bullish reversal pattern; thus, a breakout to the upside would align with the usual outcome of this pattern.
Monitoring volume is essential; a breakout with a strong volume would validate the move.
Oscillators such as the RSI and MACD would provide further confirmation; look for an oversold signal on the RSI or a bullish crossover on the MACD.
Manage risk with stop-loss levels below current support if bullish, or slightly above the upper boundary of the wedge if a continued bearish move is expected.
This analysis suggests that BTC is at a pivotal point, with significant upside potential depending on the integrity of the support level. Keep an eye on volume and price action near key levels for cues to the next major direction.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Keep an eye out for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
Bitcoin: Bullish on All TimeframesThis is Sunday evening and it is time for a Bitcoin TA. I will go accross multiple timeframes starting from 1W down to the 2H.
On the monthly timeframe, we can look back to 2020. As of 2021, we experienced this year a 7 months in a row uptrend until March, after which holders have been struggling since.
However, this cycle looks different, because price has been holding and accumulating in the upper area (78%) of the fibonnaci retracements.
This month will close soon, and price should close above the exponential moving averages and print a long lower shadow candle pattern, if things continue like this.
The volume profile is in sync with the fibonacci retracements, indicating key support levels at 58 800, 47 000, 38 800.
On the weekly timeframe, a gigantic cup and handle is forming.
The key resistance to break is at 70 000, and the pattern target would be 126 000.
Moving averages remain bullish and the 50 MA made support in the first week of august.
On the daily timeframe, we can see an increase in trading volume.
A death Cross between MA 50 and MA 200 happened on August 10th but at such a low angle (1.36) that it was not really significant.
Today, price is trading above both MAs and remains bullish.
The 4 hours timeframe is showing clear higher lows and higher highs, both on price and RSI.
The parabolic SAR circles are mainly green than red indicating bullish action.
The 2 hours timeframe is plotting a Bullish Pennant, with a target at 69 000.
The Bollinger Bands are indicating that a breakout is likely to happen soon, followed by a big move in price.
Polkadot (DOT): Setting Up for a Bullish ReversalBINANCE:DOTUSD has recently breached the $6 level, forming a bullish divergence, as indicated by the vertical lines on the chart. The exit from the 3.618 Fibonacci time zone should ideally mark the end of Wave 2, though the exact completion of Wave 2 may lie slightly outside this range. It appears that Polkadot has completed its accumulation phase and is now entering the manipulation phase, with potential for expansion to follow.
Given the current situation, we are planning to place an entry at $4.85, with a stop-loss set just below the 100% Fibonacci retracement to protect against a Wave 2 invalidation. Our initial target is $9.30, aligning with the Daily Fair-Value Gap. This strategy aims to capture the potential upward movement as Polkadot transitions from accumulation to expansion.
Yearly VWAP Analysis:
Polkadot is currently holding the 2021 VWAP level perfectly. However, if this level is lost, the price could move down towards the 2021 VAL (Volume Area Low) at $4.55, which might provide significant support. To resume a bullish trend, Polkadot needs to reclaim the 2021 VAH (Volume Area High) at $6.80. Overcoming this level is essential for a sustained bullish move. If these levels are breached, a drop to the 2021 VAL at $4.55 is possible, where we might find strong support. Overcoming the yearly VWAP resistance is crucial for a bullish continuation.
Monthly VWAP Analysis:
Polkadot has lost the April VAL (Volume Area Low) and recently touched the November 2023 VWAP. Holding the November 2023 VWAP is crucial to maintaining a bullish stance, although there is potential for further downside. We anticipate a possible drop to retest the November 2023 VWAP and VAL levels to gather momentum for a bullish reversal. To turn bullish again, Polkadot needs to reclaim the current month's April VAL and VWAP levels, suggesting a stronger bullish outlook.
Conclusion:
If Polkadot fails to hold the November 2023 VWAP, we expect a move towards $4.82. For a bullish reversal, reclaiming the April VAL and current monthly VWAP levels is essential. Until these levels are reclaimed, we remain cautious and anticipate further downside. Our trading strategy involves entering at $4.85, with a stop-loss at $3.55. The take-profit targets are set at $7.76, $9.50, and open for further potential gains.
Cosmos (ATOMUSD): Awaiting a Deep DiveCosmos (ATOMUSD): BINANCE:ATOMUSD
For Atom, we've had to adjust our limit order and counting as we observed an additional rise that did not fit into our initial analysis. This necessitates shifting our positioning of Wave (3) upwards. We are still within the ideal range of the 361.8% extension. Following this, we witnessed Wave (4) and an impulsive Wave (5) upwards, succeeded by a minor downward consolidation. In the coming days, we definitely expect to form a Wave (B) and then a Wave (C), although their precise locations are currently unclear. We lean towards expecting a Flat structure, typically between 100% and 138%; anything beyond would be excessive.
Assuming that Wave (A) has reached its bottom at the current level, and if we break out significantly above $15.17, we will need to reassess the entire scenario. Until then, we anticipate seeing a three-part downward correction before reaching Wave (C) and thus completing Wave (ii). This Wave (ii) should find its absolute support at the 78.6% level and its associated support zone. Depending on the position of Wave (ii), we then expect a minimum rise for the subordinate Wave (iii) to at least $21. However, in the days or weeks to come, we should still anticipate another significant downward movement after having developed the Wave (B) upwards.
Polygon (MATICUSD): Time To Blow Expectations!Polygon (MATICUSD): BINANCE:MATICUSDT
For Matic, it is now assumed that we have developed the first Wave (a) around our 50% level at just under 90 cents. Now, we're working on developing Wave (b), which is currently at the 138% level and at the end of our resistance zone. This zone has been significant in several instances, holding up so far, and indications suggest it continues to hold. If we surpass this 138% level, it would imply that our limit order, or rather Wave ((ii)), has been reached, concluding this phase and entering Wave ((iii)). If this doesn't happen, we continue to expect a sell-off down to the 50% level, and at most to the 78.6% level.