JKH.N RISING WEDGE The stock has been trading within a Rising Wedge pattern since late 2019/early 2020. This pattern is generally considered a bearish reversal pattern, suggesting that a decisive break below the lower trendline could lead to a significant downtrend.
The price has recently been testing the lower trendline of the Rising Wedge. The current weekly candle, as circled, is right at this critical support line, indicating an immediate inflection point. The stock closed the week at LKR 21.1, down 1.40%.
Key Levels and Support
The primary support in the near term is the lower trendline of the wedge.
Breakdown Scenario: A definitive weekly close below the lower trendline would confirm the breakdown of the Rising Wedge pattern. The next significant support would be the horizontal "Key Level" zone around LKR 17.0 - LKR 17.8. A break below this key zone would then target the subsequent long-term "Support" zone around LKR 13.0 - LKR 13.5.
Reversal/Continuation Scenario: If the lower trendline holds, the price could bounce back towards the upper trendline of the wedge, which is currently near the LKR 25.0 - LKR 26.0 area.
Projection
The technical structure strongly suggests a bearish projection given the nature of the Rising Wedge pattern and the price's current position right at the critical support.
The most likely projection is a breakdown below the lower trendline, leading to a move towards the LKR 17.0 - LKR 17.8 Key Level support zone. This breakdown would signal the end of the multi-year bullish consolidation represented by the wedge. Traders should look for confirmation via a decisive close below the trendline on the weekly timeframe. If the price manages to hold this line, the alternative projection would be a rally back toward the wedge's high LKR 25.0s, but the immediate technical bias favors the downside.
Cse
CSE All Share Price Index 📈 CSE All Share Price Index (ASPI) – Technical + Fundamental Outlook
🔹 Trend Overview
The index is moving inside a strong ascending channel.
Multiple successful retests of channel support show consistent buying interest.
As long as price stays inside the channel, the trend remains bullish.
🎯 Key Price Zones to Watch
Immediate Resistance: 22,800 – 23,000
→ Expect mild profit-taking here.
Breakout Zone: Above 23,000
→ If broken with volume, next targets could be 23,500 → 24,200.
Ideal Buy Zone (Pullback): Around 22,000
→ Mid-channel area — good for dip entries.
Trend Invalidation: Below 21,000
→ Only a break below this would signal real weakness.
📊 Market Behavior
Candles are getting stronger — buyers in control.
No major upper wicks — little selling pressure currently.
A short-term pullback is possible, but structure is still very healthy.
🧾 Fundamentals Support the Trend
Increasing foreign inflows.
Interest rates are stable to slightly easing — supports equities.
Corporate earnings for key sectors improving.
Currency risk (LKR) still something to monitor but currently manageable.
✅ Strategy Suggestions
Short-Term Traders: Take partial profit near 22,800-23,000 and reload on dips.
Medium-Term Investors: Hold as long as we stay above 21,000.
New Entries: Better to buy dips rather than chase highs.
🟢 Conclusion
“Still in a clean bullish structure. Every dip inside the channel is a buying opportunity — not a reversal signal.”
JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS PLC : JKH.N0000 : CSEOverview
John Keells Holdings (JKH) is the largest publicly listed company on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE), known for its strong fundamentals, high liquidity, and blue-chip status.
Strategy
This trade is based on a technical breakout pattern, supported by the recent upgrade of Sri Lanka’s foreign currency (FC) credit rating from default to CCC+ with a stable outlook.
The ratings upgrade is a significant catalyst for the CSE, as it reopens the market to large foreign institutional funds previously restricted by sovereign risk thresholds. These funds typically favor liquid counters with high capitalization, making JKH a prime beneficiary.
Technical Analysis (Chart Patterns)
On 19th September 2025, JKH initiated a breakout from a descending wedge pattern.
• The upward momentum is expected to continue in the near term, bolstered by the positive sentiment from the ratings upgrade.
• The LKR 24.00 zone represents a key supply area and a potential resistance zone.
Potential Pattern Targets
Initial Pattern Target : LKR 25.60 (> 14% upside)
Extended Breakout (above LKR 24.00) : LKR 27.00 (> 17% upside)
Invalidation
A daily close below the support line marked as ‘0’ would invalidate this bullish setup.
East West Properties PLC | Bearish OutlookEast West Properties PLC
Bearish Outlook
Structure: Daily Resistance, Trend Line
A daily resistance has been identified where a reversal has occurred. For a further decline, a bearish breakout below the trendline is required. However, as long as EAST trades above the trendline, the overall market trend remains bullish.
First Capital Treasuries PLC | Bullish OutlookFirst Capital Treasuries PLC
Bullish Outlook
Structure: Breakout and Retracement on the recent bullish rally
FCT has shown strong bullish momentum, but with the recent buying pressure, we’ve identified a sharp rejection followed by selling. This suggests a potential retracement in the recent rally before any continuation to the upside. Additionally, a gap has appeared near the highlighted key support level, which could play a crucial role in the next move.
Commercial Bank PLC | Bearish OutlookCommercial Bank PLC
Bearish Outlook
Structure: Bullish Channel and Reversal on Upper Boundary
As expected the price has started to respect and reverse on top by respecting the upper boundary of the bullish channel formed. We expect a retest back on the trend line/ lower boundary formed.
TESS Agro PLC | First Target AchievedTESS Agro PLC
Bullish Outlook
Structure: Accumulation Breakout and Continuation
Price rally has hit our first target level at Rs1.7 successfully with the recent bullish sentiment built on the market. And now we hold our positions towards the next target above Rs 2.0
CSE ASI BEARISH SETUPThe monthly chart of the CSE All Share Price Index (ASI) reveals a technically significant scenario: the index is currently testing the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel while also aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, both of which signal potential reversal pressure ahead.
Key Observations:
Long-Term Resistance: The price is testing the channel’s upper resistance line near the 17,000 – 17,700 zone, where rejection often occurs historically.
Fibonacci Confluence: The current high coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a critical level where long rallies often stall or reverse.
Bearish Candlestick Pattern: The formation of a potential bearish reversal candle near the resistance zone is an early signal of seller interest.
Expected Retracement Levels:
Initial support lies at the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zones, around 15,000 – 14,000.
Deeper correction could target the 0.618 level (~13,000), which aligns with previous breakout structure and the channel midline.
Conclusion:
The ASI appears overextended after a strong bullish leg and is currently showing signs of exhaustion at the top of a multi-year channel. Unless price breaks above and sustains above 17,700, a correction toward the 13,000–14,000 zone is likely, supported by Fibonacci retracement levels and the channel structure.
This presents a potential medium-term bearish outlook for investors and swing traders, with caution advised around current highs.
ASPI CSEDisclaimer;
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend buying, selling, or holding any stock. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
Anuradha Godellawatte
ASIDisclaimer
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend buying, selling, or holding any stock. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
ASPI CSEDisclaimer;
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend buying, selling, or holding any stock. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
JKH.NDisclaimer;
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend buying, selling, or holding any stock. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
TPL.NDisclaimer;
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend buying, selling, or holding any stock. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
CALT.NDisclaimer;
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend buying, selling, or holding any stock. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
ASI - CSELKDisclaimer
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend buying, selling, or holding any stock. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
SAMP.NDisclaimer;
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend buying, selling, or holding any stock. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
MGT.NDisclaimer;
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend that any stock should be bought, sold, or held by you. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
LFIN.NThe information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and Trading View are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein.
Always do the own research on stock market before making any investment decisions.






















