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D-DAX

DAX eyes breakout to 25KFollowing last week's powerful rally, the DAX’s overall uptrend remains intact, with this week's consolidation serving as a healthy pause for momentum to reset. As long as short term support around 23,750 holds, any pullbacks could be supported by the bullish traders looking to chase momentum, rather than signs of weakness. Even if the index dips a bit lower, this wouldn't necessarily invalidate the bullish breakout, but ideally the 23800-24000 area will need to hold. Traders will be watching for indications of renewed upward momentum as the week unfolds. A breakout above the trend resistance of the mini consolidation pattern could pave the way for July high near 24,650, which appears increasingly likely. And above that level, we could see the onset of a rally towards 25,000 and potentially higher. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by FOREXcom
DAX Attacking New ATH German DAX is in a very nice recovery, breaking above the corrective channel resistance line, so apparently we are in risk-on mode on this index, which sooner or later could revisit all-time highs. Keep in mind this could already be a fifth wave, but there’s still room for 25,000 or even 25,500. What I really like on the smaller intraday time frame is the strong recovery since October 1st, and notice there’s a gap from October 2nd — these gaps can often act as reversal points, especially once they get filled on the cash market. L ooking at the cash chart, it seems that gap could still get filled during the current fourth-wave correction, which could be a very nice spot for the market to resume higher toward the previous July 2025 highs. The gap fill could be an important support, while the short-term invalidation level is at 23,834 — as long as this one holds, the intraday trend remains up.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by ew-forecast
GER40 (DAX40) Technical Analysis & Trading OutlookCurrent Price: 23,397.40 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 📊 MARKET OVERVIEW & STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS The DAX40 is trading near all-time highs, displaying robust bullish momentum following the breakout above 23,000. The index is currently in a consolidation phase after an extended rally, suggesting potential for either continuation or a corrective pullback. Key Market Context: Trend Structure: Primary uptrend intact across all major timeframes Market Phase: Late-stage expansion with decreasing momentum divergence Volatility: Moderate; Bollinger Bands showing compression on 4H/Daily charts Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent highs suggests potential exhaustion 🎯 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS MONTHLY CHART - Long-term Perspective Elliott Wave Count: Currently in Wave 5 of a larger impulse structure from 2022 lows Gann Analysis: Price approaching the 1x2 Gann angle from the 2022 pivot; resistance expected at 23,450-23,500 Ichimoku Cloud: Trading well above the Kumo; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish crossover sustained Key Support: 22,800 (monthly pivot) | 22,400 (cloud base) Key Resistance: 23,500 (Gann resistance) | 23,850 (Wave 5 projection target) WEEKLY CHART - Swing Trading Perspective Pattern Recognition: Potential Bull Flag formation developing (consolidation after strong rally) Wyckoff Analysis: Phase D (markup) transitioning to possible Phase E (redistribution) RSI: 67.2 - approaching overbought territory but not yet extreme VWAP (Anchored from Jan 2025): 22,950 - price trading above, bullish bias confirmed Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume on upswings suggests weakening buying pressure DAILY CHART - Swing & Position Trading Harmonic Pattern: Potential Bat Pattern completion zone: 23,450-23,550 (PRZ) Head & Shoulders Watch: No clear reversal pattern yet, but right shoulder formation risk if rejection occurs above 23,500 Bollinger Bands: Price at upper band (23,420); squeeze pattern suggests breakout/breakdown imminent Moving Averages: 20 EMA: 23,280 (immediate support) 50 EMA: 23,050 (critical support) 200 SMA: 22,400 (long-term trend support) RSI: 64.8 - neutral to slightly overbought MACD: Bullish but histogram showing declining momentum 4-HOUR CHART - Intraday/Swing Bridge Trend: Short-term consolidation within ascending channel Ichimoku: Price above cloud; flat Kijun-sen at 23,350 = pivot zone VWAP: 23,365 - current price trading slightly above, marginally bullish Support Levels: 23,350 | 23,280 | 23,200 Resistance Levels: 23,450 | 23,520 | 23,600 Pattern: Ascending Triangle forming between 23,280 support and 23,450 resistance 1-HOUR CHART - Intraday Focus Candlestick Pattern: Indecision candles (doji/spinning tops) suggesting hesitation RSI: 58.4 - neutral zone Bollinger Bands: Mid-band at 23,370; price oscillating around mean Volume: Below average - lack of conviction Gann Square of 9: Next resistance at 23,445 (45° from current pivot) 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE CHARTS - Scalping Micro Structure: Range-bound between 23,370-23,420 VWAP: Acting as dynamic support/resistance at 23,385 Volume Spikes: Watch for breakout confirmation with volume >120% of 20-period average RSI (15M): Oscillating between 45-60 (neutral range) 🔍 CRITICAL TECHNICAL SIGNALS Bullish Indicators: ✅ Price above all major moving averages (20/50/200 EMA) ✅ Ichimoku Cloud bullish alignment across all timeframes ✅ Higher lows pattern maintained since September ✅ Golden Cross intact (50 EMA > 200 EMA) ✅ Volume-weighted averages showing institutional support Bearish Warning Signs: ⚠️ Declining volume on rallies (distribution concern) ⚠️ RSI bearish divergence forming on 4H/Daily charts ⚠️ Approaching Gann resistance and harmonic PRZ ⚠️ MACD histogram declining (momentum weakening) ⚠️ Potential Bull Trap risk if rejection occurs above 23,450 Neutral/Watch Factors: 🔶 Bollinger Band squeeze on daily chart (breakout pending) 🔶 Wyckoff redistribution signs require confirmation 🔶 No clear Head & Shoulders pattern yet (monitoring right shoulder) 📈 INTRADAY TRADING STRATEGY (Next 5 Trading Days) SCENARIO A: BULLISH BREAKOUT (Probability: 45%) Trigger: Break and hold above 23,450 with volume confirmation Entry Points: Aggressive: 23,455 (immediate breakout) Conservative: 23,470 (retest of breakout level) Targets: T1: 23,520 (short-term resistance) T2: 23,600 (Gann 1x1 angle) T3: 23,750 (measured move from triangle) Stop Loss: Below 23,350 (4H Kijun-sen) Time Frames: 5M, 15M, 1H entries | Hold 4H-Daily for swing Risk:Reward: Minimum 1:2.5 SCENARIO B: RANGE-BOUND CONSOLIDATION (Probability: 35%) Range: 23,280 - 23,450 Long Entries: 23,280-23,300 (lower range support + 20 EMA) 23,350-23,365 (4H pivot + VWAP) Short Entries: 23,430-23,450 (upper range resistance) 23,520-23,535 (false breakout rejection) Targets: Range midpoint: 23,365 Opposite range boundary Stop Loss: Longs: Below 23,250 (range invalidation) Shorts: Above 23,480 (breakout confirmed) Strategy: Mean reversion scalping on 15M/1H charts SCENARIO C: BEARISH CORRECTION (Probability: 20%) Trigger: Break and close below 23,280 (20 EMA + ascending trendline) Short Entry Points: Aggressive: 23,275 (break confirmation) Conservative: 23,300 (retest as resistance) Targets: T1: 23,200 (minor support) T2: 23,050 (50 EMA + psychological level) T3: 22,900 (weekly VWAP + gap fill) Stop Loss: Above 23,370 (failed breakdown) Confirmation Signals: RSI breaking below 50 MACD bearish crossover on 1H/4H Volume surge on breakdown 📊 SWING TRADING STRATEGY (1-4 Weeks Outlook) BULLISH SWING SCENARIO Entry Zone: 23,200-23,280 (pullback to 20 EMA support) Position Sizing: Build in 3 tranches 40% at 23,280 30% at 23,200 30% at 23,050 (if deeper correction) Targets: T1: 23,750 (Elliott Wave 5 target - partial profit 40%) T2: 23,950 (Measured move + Gann extension - 30%) T3: 24,200 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension - runner 30%) Stop Loss: Below 22,950 (daily close basis) Hold Duration: 2-4 weeks Ideal Setup: Bullish engulfing candle on daily chart at support RSI bounce from 40-45 zone Volume increase on bounce BEARISH SWING SCENARIO (Hedge/Counter-trend) Entry Zone: 23,480-23,550 (harmonic PRZ + Gann resistance) Confirmation Required: Bearish reversal candlestick (shooting star, evening star) RSI bearish divergence MACD bearish crossover on daily chart Break below 23,350 on closing basis Targets: T1: 23,050 (50 EMA - 40% cover) T2: 22,800 (monthly pivot - 35% cover) T3: 22,400 (200 SMA + cloud base - final 25%) Stop Loss: Above 23,650 (daily close) Risk Management: Tight stops; favor bullish bias unless clear reversal ⚡ ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS Current Count: Primary Wave: Wave 5 of larger impulse from 2022 lows Intermediate Wave: Subwave 5 of Wave 5 (terminal phase) Minor Wave: Possible wave (iv) consolidation completing Wave Projections: Wave 5 Target (Equal legs): 23,750-23,800 Wave 5 Target (1.618 extension): 24,150-24,250 Corrective Wave A Target (if reversal): 22,800-22,900 Wave C Target (full correction): 22,200-22,400 Key Insights: Wave structure suggests uptrend continuation likely Terminal wave characteristics: decreasing momentum, longer time Watch for five-wave completion signals near 23,750-24,000 zone 🔮 GANN ANALYSIS Square of 9 (from 23,000 pivot): 45° Resistance: 23,445 ⚠️ (approaching) 90° Resistance: 23,667 180° Major Resistance: 24,000 (psychological confluence) 45° Support: 23,111 90° Support: 22,889 Gann Angles (from September 2024 low): 1x1 Angle: Currently at 23,580 (equilibrium) 1x2 Angle: 23,450 (major resistance) ⚠️ 2x1 Angle: 23,100 (support) Time Cycles: Next significant Gann time window: October 8-10, 2025 (21 trading days from last pivot) Potential reversal/acceleration zone Price & Time Squaring: Price at 23,400 squares with October 7th time projection Suggests potential turning point early next week 🌊 ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO ANALYSIS Current Status (Daily Chart): Tenkan-sen (Conversion): 23,350 (flat = consolidation) Kijun-sen (Base): 23,280 (critical support) Senkou Span A: 23,100 Senkou Span B: 22,850 Chikou Span: Above price (bullish confirmation) Cloud Analysis: Price well above cloud = Strong Bull Trend Cloud thickness = robust support structure Future cloud (26 periods ahead) shows slight thinning = potential volatility increase Key Signals: TK Cross: Tenkan approaching Kijun from above (watch for bearish cross) Price vs Kijun: Trading above = bullish, but proximity suggests correction risk Chikou Span: Clear of price = trend continuation likely Ichimoku Trading Signals: Buy Signal: Pullback to 23,280-23,300 (Kijun support) with bullish rejection Sell Signal: Daily close below Kijun (23,280) with bearish TK cross Strongest Support: Cloud base at 22,850-23,100 📉 WYCKOFF MARKET CYCLE ANALYSIS Current Phase Assessment: Late Phase D (Markup) / Early Phase E Watch Characteristics Observed: Accumulation (Complete): Built solid base 22,000-22,500 (July-August) Markup Phase D: Strong advance from 22,500 to 23,400 (September-October) Distribution Signs (Emerging): Declining volume on rallies Buying Climax (BC) potential near 23,500 Automatic Reaction (AR) risk if sharp rejection occurs Secondary Test (ST) of supply likely Wyckoff Price Levels: Creek: 22,900-23,000 (major demand zone) Spring Potential: 23,480-23,550 (if false breakout occurs) Sign of Weakness (SOW): Break below 23,200 would signal distribution Trading Implications: If Markup Continues: Target 23,750-24,000 (Phase E) If Distribution Begins: First support 23,000-23,050, major 22,800 Volume Confirmation Critical: Breakouts require 30%+ above average volume Composite Operator Behavior: Likely testing supply at current levels Watch for shake-out below 23,280 to trap weak longs Absorption of supply above 23,450 needed for continuation 🎪 HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS Active Pattern: Potential Bat Pattern Completion Pattern Structure: X: 22,450 (September low) A: 23,150 (interim high) B: 22,850 (retracement) C: 23,350 (rally) D (PRZ): 23,450-23,550 (reversal zone) ⚠️ Fibonacci Ratios: AB: 0.382-0.500 retracement of XA ✓ BC: 0.382-0.886 retracement of AB ✓ CD: 1.618-2.618 extension of BC (target: 23,480-23,550) XD: 0.886 retracement of XA (23,520) ⚠️ Trading Strategy: Bearish Reversal Zone: 23,450-23,550 Entry: Short on bearish reversal confirmation in PRZ Targets (if pattern activates): 38.2% CD: 23,200 61.8% CD: 22,950 100% CD: 22,650 Stop Loss: Above 23,600 (pattern invalidation) Alternative Patterns: Bullish Butterfly target at 23,750 if breakout sustains above 23,550 Gartley Pattern support at 23,050 on any correction 📊 INDICATOR SYNTHESIS RSI (Relative Strength Index): Daily: 64.8 (neutral/slightly overbought) 4H: 61.2 (neutral) 1H: 58.4 (neutral) Divergence: Bearish divergence forming on 4H/Daily (price higher highs, RSI lower highs) ⚠️ Key Levels: Overbought: >70 (not yet extreme) Oversold: <30 (correction target) Support: 50 level = trend strength gauge Bollinger Bands: Daily: Squeeze pattern (low volatility = breakout imminent) 4H: Price at upper band (23,420) = short-term extended Bandwidth: Narrowing significantly = explosive move coming (direction TBD) Strategy: Wait for band break + close outside, then enter in direction of break VWAP Analysis: Session VWAP: 23,385 (dynamic pivot) Weekly VWAP: 23,290 (critical support) Anchored VWAP (Jan 2025): 22,950 (major support) Volume Profile: Highest volume node at 23,300-23,350 (strong support/resistance flip zone) Moving Average Confluence: 20 EMA: 23,280 (immediate support) 50 EMA: 23,050 (medium-term support) 200 SMA: 22,400 (long-term trend) Alignment: Bullish across all timeframes Golden Cross: Active since August 2024 (50>200) = long-term bullish MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Daily: Bullish, but histogram declining (momentum loss) 4H: Approaching zero line (neutral) Signal: Watch for bearish crossover on 4H as early reversal warning Divergence: Confirming RSI bearish divergence on daily chart 🚨 TRAP IDENTIFICATION & AVOIDANCE BULL TRAP Risk (HIGH ALERT): ⚠️⚠️⚠️ Scenario: False breakout above 23,450-23,500 followed by sharp reversal Warning Signs: Breakout with declining volume (no conviction) Quick spike to 23,500-23,550 with long upper wicks Inability to hold above 23,450 for more than 2 hours (1H chart) RSI divergence + MACD histogram declining Break below 23,350 after failed breakout Protection Strategy: Wait for retest of breakout level before entering longs Require volume confirmation (>120% of 20-period average) Set tight stops below 23,380 if entering on breakout Reduce position size by 50% if entering in potential trap zone Bull Trap Target (if triggered): 23,000-23,050 (trap participants' stops) BEAR TRAP Risk (LOW-MODERATE): Scenario: False breakdown below 23,280 followed by sharp recovery Warning Signs: Break on low volume Quick recovery above 23,280 within 1-2 candles Strong bullish reversal candlestick at support RSI showing bullish divergence at lower levels Protection Strategy: Wait for daily close below 23,250 before aggressive shorts Watch for volume confirmation on breakdown Be ready to cover shorts if price reclaims 23,300 quickly Don't short against major support zones without confirmation 🌍 MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS Macroeconomic Considerations: ECB Policy: Dovish stance supporting equity markets German Economy: Manufacturing PMI showing signs of stabilization EUR/USD: Correlation with DAX; watch 1.08-1.10 zone US Markets: S&P 500 correlation strong; US data impacts DAX sentiment Geopolitical: Middle East tensions = safe-haven flows (moderate risk) Earnings Season: German corporate earnings (October) = potential volatility catalyst DAX constituent reporting: watch for sector rotation Seasonal Patterns: October historically volatile for European indices End-of-month portfolio rebalancing (October 31st) = potential volatility Volatility Indicators: VDAX (DAX volatility): Currently moderate ~15-16 Complacency risk if volatility spikes above 18 🎯 COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN INTRADAY TRADERS (5M - 1H Charts): Monday-Wednesday Outlook: Primary Strategy: Range trading between 23,280-23,450 Scalp Zones: Buy: 23,300-23,320 | Target: 23,380-23,400 | Stop: 23,275 Sell: 23,430-23,450 | Target: 23,370-23,350 | Stop: 23,475 Thursday-Friday Outlook: Breakout Watch: Decision time for triangle pattern If Bullish: Long 23,460+ | Target: 23,550 | Trail stop If Bearish: Short <23,270 | Target: 23,150 | Stop: 23,320 Risk Management: Maximum 1% risk per trade 2:1 minimum risk:reward No more than 3 active positions simultaneously Daily loss limit: 2% of account SWING TRADERS (4H - Daily Charts): PRIMARY SETUP: Buy the Dip Entry Zone: 23,200-23,280 (expect pullback next week) Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or hammer on daily chart Position Size: 2-3% risk per trade Targets: 23,750 (T1) | 24,000 (T2) | 24,250 (T3) Stop Loss: 22,950 (daily close basis) Time Horizon: 2-4 weeks SECONDARY SETUP: Breakout Long Entry: Break and hold above 23,480 (daily close) Confirmation: Volume >1.5x average + consecutive closes above Targets: 23,750 | 24,000 | 24,300 Stop Loss: 23,350 Hold: Trail stop to 20 EMA on daily chart HEDGE SETUP: Short from Resistance Entry: 23,500-23,550 with reversal confirmation Confirmation: Shooting star + RSI divergence + MACD cross Targets: 23,200 | 23,050 | 22,800 Stop Loss: 23,650 (strict) Position Size: 50% of normal (counter-trend) POSITION TRADERS (Weekly - Monthly Charts): Long-Term Bullish Thesis: Entry Strategy: Accumulate on corrections to 23,000-23,200 Core Position: Build over 2-3 weeks Targets: 24,000 (3-month target) 24,500 (6-month target) 25,000 (12-month psychological) Stop Loss: Weekly close below 22,600 Rationale: Elliott Wave 5 completion + breakout from multi-year consolidation Portfolio Allocation: 60% long exposure at current levels 20% cash for pullback buying 20% hedges if approaching 23,800-24,000 zone 🔔 ALERT LEVELS & NOTIFICATIONS Critical Price Alerts to Set: ✅ 23,480 (Breakout level - LONG signal) ✅ 23,450 (Harmonic PRZ - Watch for reversal) ✅ 23,350 (4H support - Breakdown warning) ✅ 23,280 (Daily 20 EMA - CRITICAL support) ✅ 23,200 (Buy zone activation) ✅ 23,050 (50 EMA - Major support test) ✅ 22,950 (Stop loss trigger for swings) Indicator Alerts: RSI crossing 70 (overbought) or 50 (weakness) MACD bearish crossover on 4H/Daily Bollinger Band break (either direction) Volume spike >150% of average 📌 CONCLUSION & BIAS Overall Bias: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH 🟢 (60% probability) Bullish Case (60%): The primary trend remains intact with price above all major moving averages and strong cloud support. The consolidation near highs is healthy, and a resolution to the upside targeting 23,750-24,000 is the path of least resistance. Elliott Wave structure suggests one more push higher to complete Wave 5. Bearish Case (20%): Declining volume, RSI divergence, and approach of major resistance (Gann, harmonic PRZ) suggest caution. A failed breakout above 23,500 could trigger a correction to 23,000-22,800. Wyckoff distribution signs require monitoring. Neutral/Range Case (20%): Continued consolidation between 23,200-23,500 for 1-2 weeks is possible as the market digests recent gains and awaits economic catalysts. Best Trading Approach: Intraday: Range trade 23,280-23,450 until breakout Swing: Wait for pullback to 23,200-23,280 for optimal risk:reward longs Position: Maintain core long exposure with stops below 22,800 Key Success Factors: Patience: Wait for high-probability setups at defined levels Discipline: Honor stop losses without exception Flexibility: Adapt to price action; market is always right Confirmation: Require volume and indicator alignment before major trades 🎓 FINAL RECOMMENDATIONS For Aggressive Traders: Trade both sides of the range Quick profits (50-100 points) Tight stops (50-80 points) High frequency (5-10 trades/week) For Conservative Traders: Wait for 23,200-23,280 pullback Larger position size with better risk:reward Wider stops (150-200 points) Target 23,750+ for 1:3+ reward Low frequency (1-2 trades/month) For Long-Term Investors: Accumulate on any dip toward 23,000 Hold through minor volatility Target 24,500+ over 3-6 months Stop only on weekly close <22,600 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
DAX: Sideways at ATH, Q3 Coil → Q4 Pop?Since May the DAX has moved sideways at/near all-time highs. Q3 has been chop as expected, but momentum hasn’t broken—buyers keep defending the 23.4–23.7k shelf. I’m leaning into seasonality and prior behavior: staying long for a push into quarter-end, then I’ll reassess. Plan on scaling out into 24,500 → 24,600 → 24,700 (ATH supply), with risk tucked below the recent range floor. Technicals • Structure: Multi-month range at the highs; no decisive lower-low. The 4H view shows repeated rejections of a minor descending supply line while the base at ~23,6xx keeps holding. • Entry zone: 23,620–23,720 (range support / prior VWAP shelf). • Invalidation: daily close below 23,200–23,300 (range break). • Targets: 24,000 (psych), 24,300 (mid-supply), 24,600 (ATH line from your chart). • Breadth/rotation clues (dashboard): Financials firm, tech mixed, autos soft; overall market still balanced rather than risk-off—consistent with consolidation, not reversal. • Tape feel: Repeated “muted opens” with buyers showing up later in the session fits the grind-higher playbook into month/quarter end. Fundamentals • Macro tone: US risk appetite improved after the Fed’s first cut, even as Powell tempered hopes of an aggressive path—enough to cap deep corrections but still supportive of equities. European desk notes point to a restrained start, not a bear impulse. • Germany specifics: Headlines flag auto-sector warnings (VW/Porsche) weighing on sentiment, but banks and select industrials offset—matching the mixed sector board rather than broad deterioration. • Flows/seasonality: Quarter-end & Q4 seasonality often favor indices that have consolidated at highs; with DAX still ~1k points off the record, a range breakout toward 24.3k–24.65k is a reasonable path before re-calibrating. • Risks to thesis: Another round of negative guidance from autos, hotter-than-expected US data re-pricing fewer cuts, or a clean daily close below 23.2k (range failure). Trade what’s on the chart, respect the invalidation, and pay yourself into strength. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by AR33_
GER40 Critical Level: Which Way Will It Break?📊 GER40 Critical Breakout Analysis Hello Guys, By popular demand, I’ve prepared a GER40 analysis. Every single follower matters to me, and that’s why I’m sharing this breakdown with you. 🔹 Buy scenario: Price needs to break above 23,895 and close a candle there. 🔹 Sell scenario: Price needs to drop below 23,278 and close a candle under it. I’ll be watching both levels closely. Once a breakout happens, I’ll update you right away. Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks to everyone supporting me!
ICMARKETS:DE40
by TraderTilki
3
GER40: 24K FORTRESS UNDER SIEGE! European Bull Run 🚀 GER40: 24K FORTRESS UNDER SIEGE! European Bull Run 📊 Current Price: 23,763.00 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰ 📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days) 🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: 23,720 - 23,780 📍 Stop Loss: 23,650 🛑 Target 1: 23,920 🎯 Target 2: 24,080 🚀 🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: 23,800 - 23,850 📍 Stop Loss: 23,920 🛑 Target 1: 23,600 🎯 Target 2: 23,450 📉 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN 📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS: RSI (14): 63.7 ⚡ Bullish Territory Hold Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Test 🔥 VWAP: 23,740 - Critical Pivot 💪 EMA 20: 23,680 ✅ Strong Uptrend Base Volume: Above Average Flow 📊 🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS: Elliott Wave: Wave 3 Impulse Active 🌊 Fibonacci Extension: 24,200 Target 🎯 🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS: Bullish Gartley Completion at 23,650 ✨ Cypher Pattern PRZ Active 🔄 ⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks) 🚀 BULLISH TARGETS: Psychological: 24,000 🏆 Weekly Resistance: 24,150 🌙 Gann Square: 24,300 ⭐ 📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION: Weekly Support: 23,500 ⚠️ Critical Break: 23,300 🚨 🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE: Trend: Ascending Channel 💪 Momentum: Building Steam 🔥 Wyckoff Phase: Mark-up Active 📈 Ichimoku: Bullish Breakout 🟢 🏰 24K FORTRESS BATTLE: Resistance Cluster: 23,950-24,050 ⚔️ Volume Spike Needed: Above 24,000 💥 Breakout Confirmation: 24,080 hold 🔓 ⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT: Max Risk per Trade: 1.2% 🛡️ R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:2.5 ⚖️ European Session: Prime Trading 📏 🌍 EUROPEAN CATALYSTS: ECB Policy Supporting Growth 🏛️ German Economic Data Resilient 📈 Export Sector Momentum Strong 🚢 🔥 CRITICAL LEVELS: Breakout: 23,850 decisive close 💥 Support: 23,700 | 23,620 | 23,500 🛡️ Resistance: 23,900 | 24,000 | 24,150 🚧 🎯 FINAL VERDICT: DAX storming toward 24K BREAKTHROUGH! 🚀 European strength driving momentum! 💪 Bull channel intact - trend your friend! 📈 Trade Management: Buy dips to VWAP support 💎 Key Battle: 24K psychological fortress! 🏰 --- ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk. Use proper position sizing. Educational content only. For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade 🔔 Follow European Markets | 💬 Share Your DAX 24K Strategy
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by sunya
GER40 (DAX40) Technical Forecast📊🇩🇪 GER40 (DAX40) Technical Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook Asset Class: GER40 CFD (DAX40) Current Close: 23,675.1 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) 🔎 Technical Setup 🕯 Candlesticks: Strong rejection tails at resistance, suggesting supply pressure. 🌊 Elliott Waves: Market in corrective wave phase after strong rally. 📐 Harmonics: Possible Bearish Gartley forming near 23,950 zone. 📊 Wyckoff: Distribution signs emerging after extended markup. 📏 Gann Angles: 23,800 key pivot (time & price convergence). ☁️ Ichimoku: Price testing Kijun resistance; cloud support below 23,400. 📈 Indicators 💪 RSI (H1): 65 – nearing overbought zone. 📉 RSI (Daily): Neutral → potential downside risk. 🎯 Bollinger Bands: Pinching – volatility expansion expected. ⚖️ VWAP (Weekly): 23,520 – magnet level. 📊 MA Cross: Short-term EMA threatening bearish crossover. ⏱ Intraday Outlook 🕒 Key Levels: 🟢 Buy Zone: 23,420 – 23,480 (bounce setup). 🔴 Sell Zone: 23,800 – 23,950 (rejection expected). 🎯 Targets: Upside: 23,720 → 23,840 → 23,950 Downside: 23,520 → 23,400 → 23,250 ⚡ Bias: Range-bound with bearish tilt near highs. 📆 Swing Trading Outlook 🟢 Swing Buy Entry: 23,200 – 23,300 (strong demand zone). 🎯 Upside Swing Targets: 23,850 → 24,100 → 24,350 🔴 Swing Sell Entry: 23,900 – 24,050 (supply area). 🎯 Downside Swing Targets: 23,400 → 23,050 → 22,750 📉 Bias: Bearish divergence forming – possible correction if 23,900 rejects. 🌐 Market Context ⚠️ Eurozone slowdown + ECB policy risks may cap upside. 📊 US indices correlation → keep an eye on US500/NAS100. 🛢 Energy price spikes = potential drag on DAX industries. 📝 Trading Plan ✔️ Intraday traders: Sell rallies into 23,800–23,950 🔻 ✔️ Swing traders: Accumulate near 23,200–23,300 🟢 ✔️ Manage risk: Always place tight stops below support or above resistance. 🔥 Conclusion: DAX40 (GER40) faces stiff resistance at 23,900. Intraday range traders can fade extremes, while swing traders prepare for a correction towards 23,200 support before the next big move. For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by sunya
1
GER40 Loading the Break – Big Move Coming!Hey guys, I’ve analyzed the GER40 index for you. Right now, it’s too early to drop a clear target—the price is stuck in a consolidation zone. It’s either gonna break down or break out. Once that move happens, I’ll share the exact target right away. For now, just waiting on the breakout. Also, every single like from you guys is what keeps me motivated to keep sharing these analyses. Big thanks to everyone supporting me with those likes.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by TraderTilki
23
DEX 30 - Forecast🕰 Weekly Sitting right on top of that weekly demand (22,700–23,200). Buyers are trying to defend, but if this floor gives way, we’re diving deeper. BOS is still intact from the upside, but momentum looks tired. 📉 Daily Heavy drop straight into demand. Now the real question → do we bounce back into 23,700–24,000 supply for a cheeky rejection… or do we crack lower straight away? 👀 ⏱ 8H Clean ChoCH to the downside. Market tapped demand, so a little relief rally is on the cards. But watch that supply zone — sellers waiting up there with bags packed. 🎯 Outlook Short-term → bounce into supply ✅ Mid-term → bearish pressure still in control 🔻 Lose 22,700 and we could easily hunt liquidity towards 22,000–22,300. Bias : Short-term pullback → Mid-term bearish
ICMARKETS:DE30Short
by jamesibartram
DAX potential breakout immanent While most other major indices have been busy breaking records, the DAX has not been doing much, instead continuing to consolidate its big gains from the past when it was outshining other markets. But with sentiment remaining positive towards European and global markets, the risks remain skewed to the upside, especially given that the long-term support area of around 23,500 is holding firming. The index needs to clear short-term resistance in the 100-point band between 23,800 to 23,900 to potentially trigger follow-up technical buying above that zone. That's the bullish signal I am certainly waiting for now. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:GER40
by FOREXcom
DAX Triangle giving a strong Buy Signal.2.5 months ago (see chart below), we issued a buy signal on DAX (DE40), which hit our 24600 Target within 2 weeks: This time the price finds itself at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of a 3-month Triangle. Every Bullish Leg of this pattern was confirmed after the price closed a candle above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), something the index did 2 days ago. As a result, we turn bullish again here on DAX, targeting the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the pattern at 24400. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by TradingShot
DAX gearing up for a breakout?The lengthy consolidation on the DAX means the German index is no longer technically overbought on the weekly and lower time frames. The monthly is still above 70.0 but with other global indices looking strong, the DAX could be about to break higher again. For confirmation i would like to see a break above the bearish trend line and ideally a move above the next band of resistance between 23,900 to 24,100. If and when the DAX clears this area, any rounded retest of this zone from above could potentially offer a decent bounce trade, targeting new record highs. Meanwhile key support continues to remain near the old highs of around 24,480 or so (shaded in blue). By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by FOREXcom