AUDCAD At Make-or-Break Zone – Time to Ride the Bulls?AUDCAD has been overall bullish trading within this rising channel 📈
Right now, price is retesting the lower bound acting as support 🔑
As long as this zone holds, I’ll be looking for longs targeting the upper bound 🎯
Patience is key here ⏳ — let the bulls step in, then ride the next impulse 🚀
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Daily Charts
BTC 108-110K Vital area is TestingMorning folks,
Not many things to say for now, as major problem stands in fundamental area - US liquidity drought. S. Bessent grabs everything that he could and even more. He already finished RRP source totally and now US Treasury intends to put his hands in Banking Reserves. They still need ~ 350 Bln for their TGA Fed account and another 250Bln of net debt borrowing.
The major question whether BTC will able to hold this? So we do not want to take part in this adventure, especially with Jackson Hole meeting right around the corner.
We suggest to watch for market reaction on this support area and rely on clear patterns. If somehow this area will be broken, BTC could return back into 80-100K trading range. Many things will depend on close price of this week.
So, stay aside for now.
BANDUSD attempting an invh&s + double bottom breakoutBAND has been available for a significant iscount lately but the sale may be ending soon as it is now attempting both an inverse head & shoulders breakout, as well as sending wicks above the neckline of a slightly larger double bottom pattern. The double bottom pattern is in chartreuse and the inverse head and shoulder pattern is in lilac. We can also see BAND looks lke it’s about to have a golden cros in the next week or 2 which should increase probability to confirm the breakout of these two bullish patterns as it will add bullish confluence as long as prce action isn’t two high above the 30&200 moving averages at the time of the golden cross *not financial advice*
Chainlink climbing the measured move line staircaseLooks like Chanlink is ready to confirm the double bottom breakout here as the past few candles have already started to climb up the measured move line like a staircase.Always possible for a dip back below the neckline at this point but probability slightly favors the readout being validated instead for now. *not financial advice*
EURUSD - One More Bearish Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been overall bearish trading within the falling broadening wedge pattern marked in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDJPY - One More Bearish Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling broadening wedge pattern marked in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDJPY retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
114-114.50K is Vital in short-termMorning folks,
So, potential patterns that we discussed last time even had no chances to be formed, market just collapsed. It is not a surprising moment. In our weekly reports we paid a lot of attention to the US liquidity as a main fundamental driving factor. The maths here is very simple 1+Trln borrowing in 2 months. It is yet to borrow net ~250-300 Bln, while RRP liquidity source is exhausted already. Additionally US Treasury need to accumulate 300 Bln more on its TGA account. All this liquidity will be drained from the market. BTC will be under direct impact of this stuff.
Now 114 K support area seems vital in short term. We intend to watch for patterns around it and week close price. If BTC drops lower, next area to watch is 110-111K support. I do not want to speak what will happen if it will be broken, but don't exclude retracement back to 70-80K area in this case.
To remind you we still have all-time 127K target. At least following normal technical behavior, I hope that BTC will try to reach it first, before collapse will happen. This is the reason of our special attention to 114K support.
GBPCHF meets strong support: A reversal here is high probabilityLooking at GBPCHF and how it fits within my approach to structure-based trading, this one is really speaking my language.
Price has come down into a key higher-timeframe support zone: a zone that’s proven itself multiple times in the past. Now, price has shown some initial rejection there, making my long position towards 1.1000 a clear, rational target.
What makes this setup different could be the patience behind it. As we let the market complete its downward leg, waited for price to revisit a reliable zone, and now anticipating a bounce back. It’s a move that I’ve captured across my previous charts again and again.
Let me know in the comments what you think
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
119.15-119.70K to watch for Long tradeMorning folks,
So, Thu setup is done perfect. Jump precisely from K-support area of 118.30 that we discussed. But, BTC has reached just minor 1H target and now is moving down. Since overall upside impulse is not bad, we consider ~119.5K support area for bullish momentum trade for now...
118.5K and 120K For Long EntryMorning folks,
Not too much to say now. Most important thing - BTC was able to stay above vital 110-112K support. So the upside reversal that we traded last two weeks with minimal target around 116K was correct. Now BTC stands much higher, but in a moment when we started the trade - it was impossible to say.
Now we're watching two support areas of 120K and 118.5K for potential long entry. Nearest upside target is 127K
Take care.
BTC cares US liquidity risks in AugustMorning folks,
So, in general as you can see our upside AB=CD that we discussed last time is working. But...
as you know BTC is strongly related to liquidity dynamic on US domestic system. This month Mr. Bessent wants to re-finance 1Trln in debt, with net borrowing around 250 Bln. Hardly BTC will get a small chunk of this funds.
it means that the volatility could rise significantly in nearest 1-2 weeks with downside price gravitating. Overall action looks rather heavy. Maybe BTC somehow will complete AB=CD target around 116.20-116.25K, but now this action looks like retracement - no thrust, slow action a lot of overlapping candles. So lows might be re-tested or even broken.
In current situation we think it would be better to not take any new longs and watch for clarity. If you have position already - move stops to breakeven.
ilv buy midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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Watching for intraday BTC bounce firstMorning folks,
So, neither NFP data nor technical picture helped BTC to stay above 117. While US Treasury is started drain liquidity and borrow (they need 1 Trln this month), sending ~ 150 Bln to its TGA account with the Fed - BTC got hurt.
Now price stands at vital area - previous tops. If BTC will drop under 110K, collapse could start. Let's hope that this will not happen...
Meantime, we're at 112-113K support. We already talked about it before. Here we have reversal bar and bullish engulfing pattern, so maybe we could get a bit higher pullback on intraday chart. 113.8 and 113.1K support areas on 1H TF might be considered for long entry. Invalidation point for this plan is the low of engulfing pattern.
AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation from broken supportThe current setup is a clean example of a trend continuation play. Price recently broke decisively below a structure zone, this break and retest now flips the narrative, what once was a buy zone is now an opportunity for short entries.
Following the aggressive move down, price now began pulling back into that broken zone. The move appears corrective rather than impulsive, characterized by a slower, more rounded structure typical of pullback leg. This is classic behavior in continuation setups: fast drop, slow retrace, and then potential for the next leg lower.
The projected move targets a retest of the swing low at 0.63800. That level is significant, it's a level where prior demand reacted strongly and now it serves as the next probable magnet for price.
What makes this continuation trade high probability is the sharpness of the prior bearish impulse as it signals intent. The market seems to be in a controlled bearish sequence, where sellers dominate momentum and retracements offer fresh entries for trend followers.
The structure and zone alignment all point in the same direction continuation lower, not reversal.
Let me know in the comments what you think
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Head & Shoulders on EUR/USD daily!We're currently observing a significant Head & Shoulders pattern forming on the EUR/USD daily chart, with the price just breaking below the neckline on the right shoulder.
Applying standard Head & Shoulders trading principles, we measure the distance from the head's peak to the neckline and project that same range downward from the breakdown point. Based on this, the estimated target price (TP) for the trade lands around $1.135. The stop-loss will be positioned just above the right shoulder to manage risk effectively.
We'll be watching closely to see how this setup unfolds. 🍻
Keep following to the H&S PatternMorning folks,
To be honest, not too many things to talk about. We've prepared our scenario with H&S is still valid. Reaction to GDP numbers was quite welcome as it set the right arm's bottom. The only thing that we have to be busy with is to control its validity - reaching of the neckline and price standing above 116 lows and right arm.
At the first signs that market is start falling back - do not take any new longs. H&S failure is also the pattern and in this case we get deeper correction. But daily chart still makes me think that bullish context is here
Sell the Rip? AUDUSD Retest Zone AlertHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDUSD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling red channel and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is rejecting a structure marked in blue.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes. (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC 116.70K stands in focusMorning folks,
Once we've prepared the analysis, we've got upsetting squeeze down, thanks to Galaxy massive sell-off. I don't know what they were trying to do - either hunted for stops under 116K, or just sold in most unwelcome moment... but unfortunately such an issues are out of our control.
For now - BTC totally reversed this sell-off and once again shows positive sentiment. Now we consider same reverse H&S pattern, but this time of a bigger scale. 116.70K support area, where, the right arm should be formed now stands in our focus for long entry. We consider no shorts by far. Hopefully no more tricks will follow from old Donny or somebody else...
CADJPY - The Bulls Are Stronger than Ever!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈CADJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in red.
This week, CADJPY has been retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong weekly support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and green support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CADJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC Ready to Start to 125KMorning folks,
Better if you combine this update with previous idea. Now it seems that BTC stands in swamp action, flirting around 116K, which might be looking a bit bearish.
But by our view, this is not quite so. First is, triangle patterns as on daily chart as on 4H chart are look great and quite bullish. Pay attention that on 4H chart all sell-offs were bought out.
Our 1.16 lows that we set as vital ones for this scenario area still intact. So, it means that butterfly with 125K target that we discussed last time is also intact. I would say more. If you take a careful look at 1H chart - you could recognize reverse H&S pattern that could trigger all this stuff. It means that we're not in swamp, but at the point where the decision on long entry has to be made...
Take care
S.
GBPAUD - Trading The Range - AGAIN!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPAUD has been hovering within a big range.
Last week, as per our previous analysis, GBPAUD rejected the upper bound of the range and traded lower.
This week, GA is retesting the lower bound of the range acting as a support.
As long as the support holds, we will be looking for longs on lower timeframes, targeting the upper bound of the range.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.