TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #120👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin has finally broken out of the range it formed yesterday and is now moving upward.
✔️ If this upward move continues, we can open a long position in these zones by getting confirmation in the lower timeframes. The main long trigger is still activated after breaking 110256.
💥 The RSI oscillator entered the Overbuy zone in the previous candle. We need to see how the price reacts to this move and what impact this oscillator will have on the price.
⚡️ In my opinion, this RSI move won't have much impact. Although the price is moving upward, the main trend has not yet formed, so there's no real momentum in the market, and RSI is basically useless for now.
✨ If this upward move turns out to be fake, we can enter a short position with the 107853 trigger.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin Dominance. Yesterday, dominance had an upward move and broke its ascending trendline but failed to stabilize above 65.52, resulting in a fake breakout and a move downward.
☘️ The fake breakout trigger for the trendline was the 65.38 zone, which was activated, and now the price is heading downward. If this move continues, the next target will be 65.04.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Alongside Bitcoin’s upward move, this index also activated the 1.14 trigger and is moving up, now reaching 1.15.
💫 If the move continues, the next entry trigger is at 1.17, which is still quite far from the current price.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether Dominance, the 4.82 trigger was activated, and dominance is now moving down, having reached 4.78.
📈 If it stabilizes below 4.78, we can confirm the continuation of the downtrend in dominance, which could push it down to 4.72.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Dailyanalysis
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #119👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis I’m going to review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, the price broke out of the range box between 108619 and 110256 that I had marked for you, and with the heavy selling volume that entered the market, this bearish move took place.
✔️ This move continued to the 107448 zone, and as you can see, we are now in a consolidation and rest phase, and once again the volume has dropped significantly.
✨ As I mentioned in yesterday’s analysis, I believe this low volume will persist through the weekend, and for a solid move to happen, we’ll need to wait for the new week to begin.
💥 For now, the price has room to move up to 108619 and perform a retracement. A break above the 50 zone on the RSI greatly increases the likelihood of this move.
📊 If selling volume re-enters the market and the price moves downward, the short trigger we have is the 107448 level, and breaking it could start the next bearish leg.
📈 For a long position, the price must first stabilize above 108619, and then, if we see that buying volume continues and increases, we can enter a long position. The main trigger will be 110256.
⭐ I myself won’t be opening any positions for now and will wait until the market shows some proper volume and trend before entering. If you plan to open a position based on these triggers, I suggest you take on very little risk so that in case your stop-loss is hit, you don’t lose much money.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, dominance touched the trendline I had marked and is still dealing with this dynamic resistance.
💫 A bottom has formed at 65.38. If this bottom is broken, we’ll get confirmation of rejection from the trendline, and dominance could have a bearish move down to 65.04.
⚡️ If the trendline is broken instead, we’ll have a new trigger at 65.52, and breaking it would confirm a bullish reversal in dominance. The main trigger will still be a break of 65.64.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now let’s move on to Total2. This index dropped to the 1.13 zone and has now pulled back to 1.14. It seems like it’s getting ready for another downward move.
☘️ If Bitcoin dominance gets rejected from the trendline and moves down, and if Bitcoin moves upward, Total2 could make a very sharp move.
🔑 Even if Bitcoin drops, Total2 might range or even move up. For now, our short trigger is 1.13, and aside from 1.14, we don’t have any specific long trigger.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, let’s look at Tether dominance. This index made a bullish move to 4.85 after breaking 4.78 and is now in a corrective phase.
📊 If 4.85 is broken, the next bullish leg could continue up to 4.93. If a correction happens, dominance might pull back to 4.78.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #118👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, the price remains within the same range box between 108619 and 110256, and it is currently sitting at the bottom of that box.
✔️ Since yesterday, market volume has significantly declined — as you can see, there's practically no real volume in the market.
⭐ On the other hand, it seems the 108619 trigger is about to be activated, and price may move downward. However, personally, as long as market volume stays this low, I prefer not to open any positions.
📊 If we see selling volume entering the market following a break below 108619, I’ll consider opening a short position. But in the current situation, as mentioned, I prefer to stay out of the market.
💥 The RSI oscillator is steadily and gradually declining like a waterfall. This is also due to the lack of volume in the market, which has led to very low price volatility.
⚡️ So for now, it's better not to rely on RSI data because without volume, RSI readings won't be useful.
📈 If the price gets supported at the 108619 level with a good buying volume and starts moving toward 110256, the chance of breaking that level will increase significantly.
👀 If that happens, I’ll personally try to open a long position once 110256 breaks. But I think today, Saturday, and Sunday will remain the same in terms of market conditions, and real volume will likely return starting next week.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin Dominance, a descending trendline can be drawn here, which has been tested twice and is now being approached again.
☘️ If BTC dominance gets rejected from this trendline and moves downward, it will likely reach the 65.04 support level. If the trendline breaks, the next resistance will be 65.64.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, you’ll notice it’s showing more bearishness than Bitcoin and has lost the support it formed at the 1.15 level.
💫 This happened because BTC dominance has been rising since yesterday, which means more money has been flowing into Bitcoin than into altcoins.
🔼 The next support level for Total2 is at 1.13, and a potential downside move may reach this zone. The suitable long trigger remains a break above 1.17.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, USDT Dominance has exited the range box it had formed and climbed back above the 4.78 level.
🎲 If this upward move continues, the next major resistance will be 4.90. However, if this move turns out to be fake, the short trigger for a bearish reversal will be a break below 4.72..
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #117👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
After nearly 20 days of inactivity on this channel, we’re back with our regular analyses. As the first post in this new round, I’ll continue the Bitcoin series and present analysis number 117.
✅As usual, the analysis is done on the 1-hour timeframe to identify potential futures triggers for the New York session.
📰 Before diving into the charts, let’s briefly look at the market fundamentals. Over the past three weeks, we’ve had the news of the conflict between Iran and Israel. Aside from the initial couple of days, it didn’t have a significant impact on the market, and eventually, the market stopped reacting to it. Right now, the two countries have agreed to a ceasefire and seem to be negotiating.
🔍 In my opinion, the market is unlikely to care anymore whether this war continues or not. Whether they reach an agreement or not probably won’t make a big difference to the market.
🔑 The other major event was the Federal Reserve meeting. Everyone was expecting Jerome Powell to provide some clear outlook regarding US monetary policy, but once again, that didn’t happen. Powell didn’t provide any meaningful data.
📊 This uncertainty led to minimal market volatility and prevented any strong legs from forming, with no significant volume entering the market as everyone was waiting for Powell’s remarks. Since that didn’t yield much, the market remains indecisive for now.
💥 We’ll have to wait and see what kind of impactful news comes in the future. Until then, it’s best to remain patient.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, you can see a bullish move that started from the 105370 zone, and with strong buying volume, price broke through 108619 and reached the top of 110256.
✨ Currently, price has only wicked into 110256 and hasn’t shown a decisive reaction to it yet. If it revisits this zone, we’ll be able to observe its real reaction to the supply level.
🔔 The current support zone is 108619, which has already received a bounce, forming a range box between 108619 and 110256.
📈 If the 110256 level breaks, the upward move could continue with another bullish leg.
🔽 For short positions, the first trigger would be a confirmation below 108619. But for a more reliable short, I would wait for the price to form a lower high and a lower low below that zone before entering.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance is currently hovering around a key support at 65.04. A key resistance sits at 65.64, which would be the first trigger for bullish continuation.
⭐ The main breakout level for starting a new bullish trend in dominance would be 65.97. For bearish confirmation, a break below 65.04 would suffice.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, a range box has formed between 1.15 and 1.17, with price oscillating in between.
🧩 Momentum is currently bullish, and there’s a high chance of breaking above 1.17. If this level is broken, we could see another bullish leg and a long position would be valid.
📉 For shorts, a break below 1.15 would be the first signal, but I personally prefer to wait for a clearer trend change before entering any short positions.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance is also ranging between 4.72 and 4.78, very similar to Total2.
📊 A break below 4.72 would confirm a bearish move, while a break above 4.78 would indicate bullish continuation for dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Silver Extends Gains to $36.70Silver hovered near $36.70 on Thursday after rising 1.4% in the previous session, supported by easing trade tensions and stronger expectations of Fed rate cuts.
Markets are now watching key US economic releases to see whether silver can sustain its upward momentum.
Resistance is at 37.50, while support holds at 35.40.
Gold Supported by Trade HopesGold traded around $3,360 per ounce on Thursday, supported by news of a US-Vietnam trade deal and ongoing dollar weakness.
The deal, which eases some tariffs on Vietnamese goods, increased hopes for further bilateral agreements. Meanwhile, softer US labor data, ADP figures showed the first payrolls drop in over two years, strengthened the case for Fed easing.
Tensions in the Middle East, with Iran halting cooperation with the UN nuclear agency, added a touch of geopolitical risk.
Resistance is at $3,395, while support holds at $3,330.
GBP/USD Slides with Fiscal WorriesGBP/USD edged lower toward 1.3625 in Asian trading, pressured by a sharp selloff in UK government bonds and growing fiscal concerns.
Gilts suffered their biggest drop since October 2022 after the government’s decision to cut welfare benefits and mounting doubts over the Chancellor’s political future.
Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex LLC, noted: “The drop isn’t limited to the British Pound, UK gilts are also under heavy selling. It seems to be a broader crisis of confidence in the Labour government.”
Resistance is at 1.3675, while support holds at 1.3570.
EUR/USD Steady Near 1.1800 as Fed Cut Bets RiseEUR/USD held steady for a second session near 1.1800 in early Thursday trading. The pair could gain momentum as the US dollar weakens on rising expectations of a Fed rate cut after ADP data disappointed.
June’s ADP Employment Change showed a surprise 33,000 drop, its first decline in over two years, well below forecasts of 95,000. May’s figure was also revised down to a 29,000 gain.
Attention now turns to the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings, ISM Services PMI, and S&P Global US PMI.
Key levels: Resistance at 1.1830; support at 1.1730.
JPY Steadies, Trade Optimism Counters Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen held near 143.7 against the dollar on Thursday, stabilizing after recent losses, supported by improved trade sentiment and a weaker greenback.
Japan reiterated its aim for a fair trade deal with the US, though Trump raised pressure by threatening tariffs up to 35% on Japanese imports over low US rice and car sales. Meanwhile, a finalized US-Vietnam deal added to market optimism.
The yen also found support as investors awaited key US jobs data, which could increase the odds of a Fed rate cut.
Key levels: Resistance at 145.70; support at 143.55.
Silver Outperforms Gold, Eyes $36Silver climbed back toward $36, bouncing from over two-week lows on falling Treasury yields and a softer dollar. While the Israel-Iran ceasefire remains shaky, Fed Chair Powell said “many paths are possible,” hinting at a flexible rate stance depending on job market data.
Strong industrial demand and tight supply continue to support silver, which is up nearly 9% in June, far outpacing gold’s modest gains.
Resistance is seen at 37.50, while support holds at 35.40.
Gold Rebounds on Ceasefire FragilityGold edged back up to around $3,330, recovering from a two-week low. While the Israel-Iran ceasefire brought temporary calm, a US intelligence report showed that Iran’s nuclear progress was only briefly disrupted, raising concerns about renewed tensions.
Fed Chair Powell adopted a cautious stance, saying rates would likely stay unchanged for now, though a July cut remains possible. Diverging views among Fed members on inflation and job data may limit gold’s upside in the near term.
Resistance is seen at $3,355, while support holds at $3,285.
EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s TestimonyEUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar.
All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher.
Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.
Risk Sentiment Improves, GBP/USD Nears 1.3650GBP/USD extended its rally for a third session, trading around 1.3620 and holding close to Tuesday’s high of 1.3648, its strongest level since February 2022. The pair continues to benefit from improved risk appetite as Middle East tensions ease following Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
Despite the initial increase, investors remain cautious as doubts persist over the ceasefire’s durability and potential nuclear negotiations with Iran. Focus is also on Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, which continues to raise geopolitical concerns.
Meanwhile, Powell, in his congressional testimony, signaled that rate cuts are unlikely before Q4. He acknowledged that new tariffs could push inflation higher from June but maintained that the Fed is prepared to ease policy once conditions allow.
Resistance is seen at 1.3655, while support holds at 1.3540.
Ceasefire Supports Yen’s StrengthThe Japanese Yen stayed strong near a one-week high around 145.5 on Wednesday, supported by risk-off sentiment and dovish commentary from the Bank of Japan. Several BOJ members favored steady rates with concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on Japan’s economy.
May’s Services PPI remained above 3% yearly, strengthening speculation that the BOJ could still raise rates later this year. Meanwhile, lingering geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of Fed rate cuts continued to pressure the US Dollar.
The key resistance is at $146.20, and the major support is at $144.85.
Silver Steady at $36 as Rate Cut Bets RiseSilver steadied around $36.10 during the Asian session, paring earlier losses after the geopolitical jolt. While the ceasefire cooled nerves, markets remain alert after Iran’s limited strike on a US base. Fed commentary also weighed in: Bowman and Waller leaned dovish, though Powell’s tone remains cautious ahead of his testimony.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
Gold Falls to Two-Week Lows Gold fell to around $3,350 per ounce on Tuesday, its lowest level in two weeks, as the ceasefire reduced geopolitical stress. The truce announcement, set to begin with Iran immediately and Israel 12 hours later, cooled safe-haven demand. The metal’s recent run paused despite lingering tensions in the region.
Resistance is seen at $3,355, while support holds at $3,285.
Yen Rebounds as Ceasefire Calms MarketsThe Japanese yen recovered to around 145.5 per dollar on Tuesday, gaining strength after the ceasefire announcement. Although Iran launched missiles at a US base in Qatar, causing no casualties, the gesture was largely seen as symbolic. Tehran’s decision not to target the Strait of Hormuz further eased fears of major disruptions.
The key resistance is at $146.20 while the major support is at $144.85.
Safe-Haven Flows Lift Silver Near $36.10Silver (XAG/USD) rose near $36.10 on Monday, snapping a three-day losing streak as rising Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand. The gain followed US airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear sites Sunday. Iran vowed to respond, while Trump warned any retaliation would be met with greater force.
Escalation risks continue to support silver. Additionally, Fed Governor Waller signaled a possible rate cut as early as July. Dovish Fed comments and lower rates tend to increase silver demand by making it more affordable globally.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
Middle East Conflict Keeps Gold ElevatedGold traded near $3,360 per ounce in choppy conditions on Monday, as investors closely watched developments in the intensifying Middle East conflict following U.S. involvement in Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Over the weekend, U.S. forces targeted Iran’s three main nuclear facilities, with President Donald Trump warning of further action unless Tehran agrees to peace. The eruption of war between Israel and Iran has added new fuel to a rally that has pushed gold prices up nearly 30% this year.
Resistance is seen at $3,395, while support holds at $3,316.
GBP/USD Weakens Ahead of PMI ReleasesGBP/USD fell to around 1.3405 during Monday’s Asian session as safe-haven flows strengthened the US dollar amid rising Middle East tensions. Fears of Iranian retaliation after US airstrikes on three nuclear sites lifted demand for the Greenback. Trump said Iran’s facilities were “totally obliterated” and warned of stronger attacks unless peace is reached. Iran vowed to respond, saying it “reserves all options.”
Investors await June PMI data from the UK and US due later Monday. The Pound remains under pressure after UK retail sales dropped 2.7% MoM in May, well below the expected 0.5% decline and April’s revised 1.3% gain.
The BoE held rates at 4.25% last Thursday. Governor Bailey said rates are on a gradual downward path but warned of global unpredictability. Reuters expects 25 bps cuts in both August and Q4.
Resistance is seen at 1.3500, while support holds at 1.3415.
Trump’s Strike on Iran Lifts Dollar, Weighs on EuroEUR/USD dipped to around 1.1480 in early Asian trading Monday as the dollar strengthens following President Trump’s decision to join Israel’s war on Iran, escalating the conflict. Over the weekend, US forces struck three Iranian nuclear sites; Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. Trump claimed the facilities were “totally obliterated” and warned of harsher attacks unless Iran seeks peace. The escalation supports safe-haven demand for the dollar, pressuring EUR/USD.
Meanwhile, the ECB cut rates for the eighth time this year but signaled a pause in July. President Lagarde said cuts are nearing an end, which may help limit euro losses.
Resistance is located at 1.1530, while support is seen at 1.1450
Yen Falls Despite Japan’s Manufacturing ReboundThe yen fell past 146 on Monday, its lowest in over five weeks, as the US dollar gained on safe-haven demand after US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites escalated Middle East tensions. Domestically, Japan’s manufacturing sector grew in June for the first time since May 2024, and services expanded for a third straight month, showing economic resilience.
The key resistance is at $148.15 meanwhile the major support is located at $146.15.
Silver Consolidates After Hitting Multi-Year HighSilver holds near $36.75 in Thursday’s Asian session, steady after a slight pullback from its highest level since February 2012. The trend remains bullish, suggesting more upside. A sustained move above $36.45–$36.50 confirmed a breakout from a descending channel, forming a bullish flag. The RSI has eased from overbought, and momentum indicators support a positive near-term outlook.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.