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Danielfadelay

EUR/USD – Volume MapPrice is still holding a bullish lower range between 1.16595 and 1.19187. The main volume distribution sits mid-range, and today’s action feels like absorption—market makers testing liquidity rather than chasing a breakout. Key trigger to watch: If sellers push into the 1.17365 volume node, it opens the door for a deeper move toward the lower end of the range. Stay nimble; if that node holds, we could just grind sideways. Macro side-note: Dollar sentiment remains shaky after a 10% drop in 1H 2025 and growing chatter about fiscal risks and gold hedges. European investors have been keeping more capital at home, which can add undercurrents of euro support even when U.S. data wobbles. Bottom line: 1.17365 is the battleground. Break and hold below → watch for fresh lows. Hold and absorb → range trade continues.
Long
by CORE5DAN
US DOLLAR War Map stays simple right nowThe dollar’s been sliding for months, but we finally saw the range lows taken out after the FOMC spike, and that sets up the next move. Here’s how I’m reading it: Rotation lower is still the logical path unless politics or surprise news change the game. On the DXY chart, I’m watching for a heavy-volume node to act as a target for a short-term pullback higher. For cross-pairs, that means I’ll look for short setups while using the recent bullish dollar lows as day-to-day reference points. Key level to watch: around 98.7, where heavy bearish order-flow has been building. If the market keeps moving, it’s a straightforward trade plan: stay positive, take intraday signals, and let the bigger down-cycle play out.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
Bitcoin OutlookWeekend trade after the FOMC has been a ghost town—low volume and choppy, un-tradable price action. The dollar has been pinned inside a narrow hourly fractal range: high 116.211 / low 115.132. I’ve been waiting for a sharp dollar pullback with a news driver, but the broader macro picture keeps price in oversold territory. Timing the next big move is anyone’s guess. For now: Higher-timeframe bias: still unpredictable. Intraday (high-frequency) moves: perfectly tradable. Crypto: don’t expect a clean breakout this weekend. On the weekly map, there’s a bullish imbalance that still needs to be tapped. Expect any breakout to have a dose of manipulation—trade carefully.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
1
Dollar Weekly WrapThe dollar ripped to fresh lows early in the week on the FOMC spark and is now set to close with a heavy bearish rejection candle. Next week’s macro stack: Tue – U.S. PMI flash Thu – Q2 GDP final and Durable Goods Fri – Personal Income/Spending and PCE Price sits just below a five-week liquidity shelf around the 98.00 area. Technically the market is oversold near the lower range, so high probability to target next week 98ich highs and lower on cross pairs. lets see how it will play out!
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
BTCUSD – Liquidity Sweep & Weekend Fractals Key Levels • Major liquidity pocket tagged at 117,898.79. • After that sweep, price printed a string of bearish fractals. • Market makers are now likely eyeing the cluster of minor fractals at 117.4k, 118.6k, and 119.3k. Trade Recap All our targets were reached over the weekend. I’m flat now, but in hindsight a trailed stop would have captured more of the move as price kept running. Plan Forward Watching how price reacts around the 118k–119k zone for clues on the next leg. A decisive rejection here could open a deeper retrace; sustained acceptance sets up a fresh structure. Not financial advice—pure market structure analysis using the CORE 5 lens.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY vs. EURUSD – Pre-FOMC DivergenceDollar Index (DXY) Yesterday’s move was fully absorbed inside a tight range, leaving the internal range high at 99.804 ahead of the Fed meeting. Liquidity is at 98.00 stacked above that zone; market makers could easily run the stops toward the 98 handle before any larger downside move. EURUSD Meanwhile, EURUSD broke out of its major range, giving us a new weekly structure with a key reference low at 1.13914. Cross-Market View This sets up a classic divergence: Dollar – trapped in a premium sell range, heavy liquidity overhead. Euro – fresh upside structure. For cross-pairs this often means sharp pullbacks or erratic price action as we approach the FOMC decision. Trade Notes Stay nimble and keep stops tight.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
BTCUSD Eyes 116,833 While Dollar Flexes Pre-NewsGood morning traders— Bitcoin is pressing toward 116,833.25 while the U.S. Dollar Index grinds into a fresh bullish range ahead of key U.S. data. Notably, there’s a major volume node near 11,861. We could see price hover or even dip into that pocket on the headline drop before any attempt at the higher target. Classic market-maker mind games: build liquidity, shake stops, then decide the real direction. Macro backdrop U.S. CPI tomorrow keeps rate-cut odds alive. Treasury yields firm, adding fuel to the dollar bid. Equity futures soft, hinting at defensive flows. Plan Keep stops tight and trailing, only ride trades backed by strong volume. Patience until post-news—let the data show the hand before sizing up. Stay nimble and let the market makers reveal their move. Happy trading.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
Pre-FOMC Crossfire US DOLLAR INDEXPre-FOMC Dollar War Map The weekly chart just printed a fourth straight lower high— a slow grind down while Friday’s close stayed red. Liquidity is stacked behind us, perfect fuel if the desks want to run stops before the Fed. Order flow shows massive resting bids around 96.962, the last structural block. If that line cracks, expect the move to be fast and brutal. Cross-markets are whispering the opposite: equities, metals, and crypto are coiled to run if the dollar slips. The headlines will call it a surprise. It isn’t. The map was drawn weeks ago. Focus on levels, not noise. Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
The Buck’s Getting Bucked“Rule #1: Respect Bitcoin. Rule #2: When you think you’ve respected it enough…double it. Big players like BlackRock manage trillions of dollars. They usually keep their money in things like U.S. dollars and government bonds because that’s been the “safe spot” forever. But the dollar keeps losing buying power and the U.S. keeps adding debt. So these big funds are starting to put a small slice of their cash into Bitcoin—a digital money that nobody can print more of. It’s not that the dollar is disappearing tomorrow. They just want a backup that can’t be inflated away. When companies with that much money start buying, it makes Bitcoin look less like a fad and more like the next big “store of value.”
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
BTC/USD – Sunday Market ReadQuiet overnight tape, but the 115 200 order-block is still the hill the bulls are defending. Volume stayed thin through Asia, yet price hasn’t given up ground. Above, a fat negative volume node sits near 115 979 and that’s the real KEY area here, a clean break or a sharp rejection. Yesterday’s inside-bar kept price boxed in, and we’re now stretched at the top of the daily range. I’m watching the 113–114k area where volume thins out and buyers often step in. Big picture stays bullish, but I’d rather wait for a clean pullback or a real breakout above the highs before touching a new position.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CORE5DAN
GOLD POWERS HIGHERThe U.S. dollar has been absorbing heavy flows for weeks, yet gold keeps ripping higher for the fourth straight week—a rare split that tells its own story. Softening U.S. Data – CPI and retail sales came in lighter, pushing Fed cut expectations higher and weighing on real yields. Central-Bank Buying – Emerging-market reserve managers continue record gold purchases for diversification. Safe-Haven Demand – Energy market jitters and ongoing geopolitical tension keep institutional bids under the metal. Dollar Liquidity Games – Despite dollar absorption, funding markets remain loose enough to support alternative stores of value. Gold shows no sign of daily-chart weakness. It’s a “buy mode” Market makers continue to press higher; every small-timeframe dip finds buyers. My approach: trail stops behind each daily low.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
EUR/USD Eyes 1.1790 as Fresh U.S. Dollar Data Weakens GreenbackThe dollar softened in early Thursday trade after fresh U.S. macro data signaled cooling inflation and reinforced expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. At the same time, the European Central Bank held rates steady and avoided a strongly dovish tone, allowing the euro to regain momentum. US CPI Surprise: Latest print came in below forecasts, pushing Treasury yields lower and pressuring the dollar. Fed Rate-Cut Odds: FedWatch now shows increased probability of a 25-bp cut at the next meeting. ECB Hold: ECB kept policy unchanged and stressed data-dependence, which markets interpret as neutral rather than dovish. Higher-time-frame structure shows the next clean liquidity pocket near 1.1790–1.1800. Next Target: 1.17902 if daily orderflow sees bullish momentum, we have euro news ahead also!
Long
by CORE5DAN
LIQUIDITY GAMES: DOLLAR HOLDS THE LINE WHILE CRYPTO SURGESWe head into a heavy news flow week with CPI Thursday and the FOMC next Wednesday. It’s easy to expect continuation of bearish economic data — but don’t think for a second that news alone will simply make price drop. The dollar has been holding and absorbing both sides of the market for the past month. This kind of structure often creates the opposite effect of what headlines suggest. While traders lean bearish, the dollar could easily run higher into mid-range before rolling over. We’ve seen this pattern before — gold rush movements and Bitcoin rallies that unfold without the dollar moving. It’s planned this way, building liquidity by trapping both sides. From a CORE5 perspective: – Structure → BTC is pressing toward the 124K liquidity zone, while DXY consolidates in balance. – Dynamic Symmetry → rallies and pullbacks are aligned; watch for rotation if dollar squeezes higher. – Volume & Order Flow → Bitcoin flows remain elevated, but sustainability hinges on post-CPI reactions. – Confluence → Risk pairs remain vulnerable if DXY snaps higher, despite crypto’s relief bid. Beaware - In weeks like this, price action around news is designed to confuse. Stay focused on structure and confluence, not headlines. Trading is only fun when you’re on the winning side — guessing usually lands you on the other
TVC:DXY
by CORE5DAN
DXY – Big Week Ahead, Watch These Zones-Dollar still stuck in a range. No need to guess, just watch the heavy levels: -96.66 = bullish liquidity zone -99.80 = bearish liquidity zone -This week is packed with heavy news: -NFP Friday – jobs report could shake markets hard -Fed credibility under fire – politics trying to pressure the central bank -Be careful with dollar pairs — market makers love stop hunts around news. Best to stay patient → let price show which zone breaks first.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by CORE5DAN
EURUSD Outlook – Range Waiting for Break August price action attacked July’s monthly low OF 1.14008, but closed extremely bullish. That move is already gone, so the easy play is behind us. Now it’s about whether the market maker gives us high liquidity in the first weeks of September to trade a breakout. Dollar price is showing manipulation and absorption on the higher timeframes, while EURUSD has been dumping orders across this six-month rally. We need it to break out of the range before a clear bias comes. Until then it’s higher frequency trading mode. From the economic side, Markets are already betting on a September rate cut, and politics around the Fed are hurting trust. At the same time, inflation is still high around 2.9%, which makes it harder for the Fed to act freely. That leaves the dollar stuck in the middle, waiting for a clear break. The outcome is simple. If the jobs weakness and rate cut story takes over, EURUSD has room to push higher out of this range. If inflation proves sticky and the Fed leans hawkish, the euro stalls and range chop continues. Right now bias leans bullish, but patience is key until the breakout confirms.
Long
by CORE5DAN