LIQUIDITY GAMES: DOLLAR HOLDS THE LINE WHILE CRYPTO SURGESWe head into a heavy news flow week with CPI Thursday and the FOMC next Wednesday. It’s easy to expect continuation of bearish economic data — but don’t think for a second that news alone will simply make price drop.
The dollar has been holding and absorbing both sides of the market for the past month. This kind of structure often creates the opposite effect of what headlines suggest. While traders lean bearish, the dollar could easily run higher into mid-range before rolling over.
We’ve seen this pattern before — gold rush movements and Bitcoin rallies that unfold without the dollar moving. It’s planned this way, building liquidity by trapping both sides.
From a CORE5 perspective:
– Structure → BTC is pressing toward the 124K liquidity zone, while DXY consolidates in balance.
– Dynamic Symmetry → rallies and pullbacks are aligned; watch for rotation if dollar squeezes higher.
– Volume & Order Flow → Bitcoin flows remain elevated, but sustainability hinges on post-CPI reactions.
– Confluence → Risk pairs remain vulnerable if DXY snaps higher, despite crypto’s relief bid.
Beaware - In weeks like this, price action around news is designed to confuse. Stay focused on structure and confluence, not headlines.
Trading is only fun when you’re on the winning side — guessing usually lands you on the other
Danielfadelay
DXY – Big Week Ahead, Watch These Zones-Dollar still stuck in a range. No need to guess, just watch the heavy levels:
-96.66 = bullish liquidity zone
-99.80 = bearish liquidity zone
-This week is packed with heavy news:
-NFP Friday – jobs report could shake markets hard
-Fed credibility under fire – politics trying to pressure the central bank
-Be careful with dollar pairs — market makers love stop hunts around news.
Best to stay patient → let price show which zone breaks first.
EURUSD Outlook – Range Waiting for Break August price action attacked July’s monthly low OF 1.14008, but closed extremely bullish. That move is already gone, so the easy play is behind us. Now it’s about whether the market maker gives us high liquidity in the first weeks of September to trade a breakout. Dollar price is showing manipulation and absorption on the higher timeframes, while EURUSD has been dumping orders across this six-month rally. We need it to break out of the range before a clear bias comes. Until then it’s higher frequency trading mode.
From the economic side, Markets are already betting on a September rate cut, and politics around the Fed are hurting trust. At the same time, inflation is still high around 2.9%, which makes it harder for the Fed to act freely. That leaves the dollar stuck in the middle, waiting for a clear break.
The outcome is simple. If the jobs weakness and rate cut story takes over, EURUSD has room to push higher out of this range. If inflation proves sticky and the Fed leans hawkish, the euro stalls and range chop continues. Right now bias leans bullish, but patience is key until the breakout confirms.
GER40 Holding Despite Macro — Here's the Level I'm WatchingGER40 holding strong despite weak local data. Most names here earn globally — Siemens, SAP, the heavy hitters. With €1T stimulus and rate cuts likely, bulls still have fuel.
I’m watching 24,260.5 — if we flip bullish into that early week, I’m in.
Invalidation at 23,949.4 — clean stop.
If that breaks, mid-range likely gets hunted.
Risk-on, but solid RR if it clicks. Simple plan.
EUR/USD Setup: Eyes on 1.17702 BreakoutThe dollar is weakening as U.S. macro data softens and the Fed approaches the end of its hiking cycle.
Meanwhile, Europe holds ground — giving EUR/USD upside potential.
I’m watching for a clean break of the 1.17702 level. That would confirm a weekly fractal low and invite larger order flow to participate.
Next key level: 1.19090
Price is already halfway there.
We’re still inside a bearish yearly structure, so entries should use tight stops.
Expect bearish spikes on the daily and weekly.
Stay sharp — this move could accelerate fast.
Bitcoin Traders — Time to Zoom OutBitcoin just got slapped down hard from the 124,533.00 zone — no surprise after 5 months of dollar weakness and BTC strength.
But:
Blindly chasing overstretched markets with hope and greed isn’t strategy — it’s gambling.
Now’s a good moment to pause. Ask yourself:
"Am I getting paid for this risk... or just getting emotional?"
If we break below the range low at 111,903.68, we could be headed straight toward the midpoint of this year’s range — and fast.
So stay sharp. Watch the macro fundamentals.
Don’t get caught in liquidity traps.
Stay patient, stay paid.
Bitcoin Target ReachedBitcoin has reached our projected target from the earlier setup with precision.
On the daily chart, we’re currently filling in the gap — and the next key move depends heavily on the dollar’s reaction to upcoming news.
If USD declines, most USD pairs (including BTC/USD) could see further buying pressure. However, after this week’s aggressive buy-and-sell flush, there’s no tactical advantage in forcing trades here.
Heavy volume suggests BTC may need to cool off before its next directional move
Be patient. Let the market digest this run.
Stay sharp!
Bitcoin Holds Key Support at $115,826 — Eyes on Volatility AheadBitcoin’s bullish structure is now anchored at $115,826.55, a level that has shown strong buying interest on the daily timeframe. With significant U.S. dollar news ahead, be aware — such events often lead to a break of recent daily highs or lows.
Over the next 48 hours, key U.S. dollar data could trigger sharp moves across crypto. If BTC holds this level, the path toward $123,231.07 remains open.
Watch the DXY index alongside Bitcoin for clues during the news releases.








