Get started

Dax40

At All-Time Highs - Can the DAX Power Higher or Time to Pause?GER40 Technical Analysis: 🇩🇪 At All-Time Highs - Can the DAX Power Higher or Time to Pause? ⏸️ Asset: GER40 (DAX 40 Index CFD) Analysis Date : September 5, 2025 Current Closing Price: 23,654.5 (as of 11:54 PM UTC+4) Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W Executive Summary & Market Outlook 🧐 The GER40 is trading at a historic high, showcasing a formidable bullish trend. 🚀 However, the price is now testing a critical psychological resistance zone near 23,700. The rally shows signs of minor exhaustion, with momentum indicators flashing overbought signals. This creates a classic tension between a potential breakout continuation and a healthy pullback. A decisive break above 23,700 could target 24,000, while a rejection may trigger a retracement to gather strength. This analysis provides a clear plan for intraday 🎯 and swing traders 📈. 📈 Quick Summary & Key Takeaways (TL;DR) 🔄 Market State: The DAX is at a critical Gann & Fibonacci confluence zone around 23,650. A decisive break above or below this level will dictate the next major move. 🎯 Primary Bullish Target: A breakout above 23,800 targets 24,200 - 24,500. ⚠️ Primary Bearish Target: A breakdown below 23,500 opens the path to 23,100 - 22,800. 📊 Key Indicator: RSI is neutral but showing early bearish divergence on the 4H chart, suggesting upward momentum is waning. ⭐ Trade of the Week: Short on a rejection from the 23,750-23,800 resistance cluster with a target towards 23,200. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍 1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart): Primary Trend: 🟢 Strongly Bullish. Price is well above all key Daily Moving Averages (200, 100, 50 EMA), which are fanned out and sloping upwards. Short-Term Trend: 🟡 Bullish but Overextended. The recent ascent has been steep, suggesting the market may need a brief pause or dip to attract new buyers. 2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories: Breakout & Consolidation: The index has broken above previous highs and is now consolidating near the peak. This can be interpreted as a bull flag formation, suggesting a potential continuation upon a breakout. Elliott Wave Theory 🌊: T he rally from the last significant low appears to be a clear five-wave impulse. We are likely in the final stages of Wave 5. This implies that while the trend is up, a larger Wave (4) correction is becoming due. A typical retracement target for a Wave 4 is the 38.2% Fibonacci level near 22,800. Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1) ☁️: Price is trading high above the Cloud on daily charts, confirming the strong bullish trend. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is also clear of price, supporting the bullish bias. However, this extension suggests a pullback to the Cloud is possible. Gann Theory ⏳: The 23,700 level represents a key psychological and mathematical resistance. A decisive break and close above it could open the path to the next Gann angle target. 3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance (R1): 23,700 - 23,800 (Key Psychological & Technical Ceiling) 🚨 Resistance (R2): 24,000 (Projected Target) Current Closing Price: ~23,654.5 Support (S1): 23,400 - 23,500 (Immediate Support & 21-period EMA) ✅ Support (S2): 23,000 - 23,200 (Major Support - 38.2% Fib & Prior Breakout Zone) 🛡️ Support (S3): 22,600 (50-day EMA & 50% Fib Retracement) 4. Indicator Consensus: RSI (14-period on 4H/D): Reading is between 65 and 70, signaling overbought conditions. 📛 This suggests upside momentum may be slowing and warns against chasing longs at these highs. Bollinger Bands (4H) 📏: Price is riding the upper band, a sign of strong momentum. A move back towards the middle band (20-period SMA) would be a healthy development. Moving Averages: The bullish alignment (EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50) is intact. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart acts as crucial dynamic support. Volume & VWAP: Volume has been respectable on the breakout. The Anchored VWAP from a recent swing low shows price is extended, suggesting a pullback would be healthy. Trading Strategy & Forecast 🎯 A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts): Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play) ⬆️: A break above 23,700 with increasing volume could trigger a momentum move higher. Entry: On a small pullback to re-test 23,700 as new support. Stop Loss: Below 23,650. Target: 23,900 (TP1), 24,000 (TP2). Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play) ⬇️: Given overbought conditions, a rejection at this resistance is a valid setup. Entry: On bearish reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star 🌠) at 23,700. Stop Loss: Tight, above 23,750. Target: 23,500 (TP1), 23,400 (TP2). B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts): Strategy: WAIT FOR A BETTER ENTRY. The risk/reward for new long entries at this resistance is not optimal. 🚫 Ideal Long Zones : A pullback to the 23,200 - 23,400 support confluence would offer a much higher probability long entry to ride the next leg up. ✅ Bearish Risk: A daily close below 23,000 would signal a deeper correction is likely underway, potentially targeting 22,600. Risk Management & Conclusion ⚠️ Key Risk Events: European economic data (German Industrial Production, ZEW Survey) and ECB commentary are key drivers. 🔥 As a major export index, the DAX is also highly sensitive to global growth expectations and geopolitical developments. Position Sizing: Due to the potential for increased volatility at key levels, always use conservative position sizing. Risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on a single trade. Conclusion: The GER40 is bullish but testing a major ceiling. ⚖️ The trend is your friend, but the smart play here is patience. Swing traders should wait for a pullback to strong support before entering. Intraday traders can play the range between 23,500 and 23,700 until a decisive break occurs. The most probable outcome is a period of consolidation or a shallow pullback before the next major directional move. 📊 Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 23,200 | 🟡 Neutral/Bearish between 23,650-23,700 For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
DAX40 bulish continuation supported at 23950The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 23950 – initial resistance 24116 – psychological and structural level 24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23250 – minor support 23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX40 corrective pullback support at 23400The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 23950 – initial resistance 24116 – psychological and structural level 24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23250 – minor support 23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX (GER40) – New Short SetupThe DAX is currently trading around 24,150. On the 4-hour chart, price has dropped below the 10 EMA (red line) and failed to reclaim it, which is a bearish signal. The short-term EMAs (yellow and green) are flattening and starting to turn down, showing weakening bullish momentum. Trade Setup Entry: Around 24,150 – 24,160 Stop Loss: Above 24,224 (recent local high) Target 1 (T1): 24,000 Target 2 (T2): 23,488 Target 3 (T3): 23,053 Why I’m Short Price is now trading weak, also Nasdaq shows signs of a drop - which usually signals bearish momentum. Multiple failed attempts to reclaim the moving averages show that buyers are losing strength. The targets are based on clear historical support levels that have been tested multiple times. Summary I’m looking for a short entry around 24,150 – 24,160, with targets at 24,000, 23,488, and 23,053. If price breaks above 24,224 with conviction, the setup becomes invalid. No financial advice – just my personal trade idea.
VANTAGE:GER40Short
by Maxxchineee
10
DAX GER40 Technical Analysis: Advanced Weekly Forecast# DAX GER40 Technical Analysis: Comprehensive Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy & Weekly Forecast Current Price: 23,939.4 (As of August 30, 2025, 11:54 AM UTC+4) Asset Class: GER40 / DAX Index Analysis Date: August 30, 2025 --- Executive Summary The DAX Index (GER40) continues to showcase remarkable resilience, trading near historic highs at 23,939.4 points. Our comprehensive technical analysis reveals the index has achieved significant milestones, with recent data showing the DE40 reaching 24,084 points on August 28, 2025, despite a monthly decline of 0.55%. The index maintains an impressive 27.35% year-over-year gain, positioning it as one of Europe's strongest performers. Technical confluence suggests potential for further upside toward the 24,500-25,000 zone, contingent on ECB policy support and improving macro conditions. --- Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis Elliott Wave Analysis The DAX appears to be progressing through a complex corrective pattern within a larger degree bull market: Primary Count: Wave 5 of (5) within a Grand Super Cycle Alternative Count: Expanding diagonal formation in final stages Target Zone: 24,500-25,200 for primary wave completion Critical Support: 22,800 (Wave 4 low invalidation level) Long-term Projection: Extension toward 26,000-27,000 in 2026 Wyckoff Market Structure Analysis Current price action aligns with Wyckoff's Re-accumulation Phase: Phase: Late Stage Re-accumulation transitioning to Markup Volume Analysis: Institutional accumulation evident on pullbacks below 23,500 Price Action: Higher lows formation with narrowing consolidation ranges Composite Operator Activity: Large player absorption at key support levels W.D. Gann Comprehensive Analysis Square of 9 Analysis: - Current price 23,939.4 positioned near critical Gann square resistance - Next major Gann level: 24,649 (significant 360-degree rotation) - Time and price confluence: September 21-28, 2025 (Autumn Equinox influence) - Cardinal squares active at 24,000 and 24,321 Angle Theory Application: - 1x1 Rising Angle Support: 23,400-23,500 - 2x1 Accelerated Angle: 24,200-24,400 (next resistance cluster) - 1x2 Support Angle: 22,800-23,000 (major correction target) Time Cycle Analysis: - 90-day cycle completion due: Mid-September 2025 - Seasonal Gann Pattern: September-October strength historically favors DAX - Next major time window: October 15-25, 2025 Price Forecasting: - Immediate target: 24,200-24,400 - Extended target: 24,800-25,200 - Correction target (if triggered): 22,400-22,800 --- Japanese Candlestick & Harmonic Pattern Analysis Recent Candlestick Formations (Daily Chart) Doji Formation: August 28-29 showing indecision at resistance Long Lower Shadows: Indicating strong buying support below 23,800 Hammer Patterns: Multiple occurrences near 23,500-23,600 support zone Volume Confirmation: Bullish divergence with increasing volume on rallies Harmonic Pattern Recognition Bullish Gartley Pattern: Completion zone 23,200-23,400 (recent support test) ABCD Extension: Active pattern targeting 24,480-24,650 Butterfly Pattern Potential: Watching for completion near 24,800-25,000 Fibonacci Harmony: 1.618 extension projects to 24,756 from recent swing low Advanced Pattern Confluence Three Drives Pattern: Currently in third drive toward 24,200+ Cypher Pattern: Potential reversal zone at 24,500-24,800 Bat Pattern Setup: Monitoring for completion signals above 24,000 --- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis Current Cloud Structure (Daily Chart) Price Position: Solidly above Kumo cloud (strongly bullish) Tenkan-sen (9-period): 23,847 (short-term trend line) Kijun-sen (26-period): 23,712 (medium-term trend support) Senkou Span A: 23,780 (leading span A) Senkou Span B: 23,445 (leading span B - key support) Chikou Span: Positioned above price action confirming bullish momentum Future Kumo (26 periods ahead): - Thick ascending cloud structure indicating continued bullish bias - Cloud support zone: 24,200-24,400 (future support levels) - Kumo twist anticipated: Mid-October 2025 Ichimoku Trading Signals TK Cross: Tenkan above Kijun (bullish signal active) Price vs Cloud: Above cloud with strong momentum Chikou Span: Clear above price history (confirmation signal) --- Technical Indicators Deep Dive RSI (Relative Strength Index) Analysis Daily RSI: 64.8 (healthy bullish momentum, not overbought) Weekly RSI: 58.3 (room for further upside) 4H RSI: 67.2 (approaching overbought but sustainable) RSI Divergence: No bearish divergence detected, momentum intact Bollinger Bands Analysis Current Position: Price testing upper band resistance Band Width: Expanding, indicating increasing volatility BB Squeeze: Recent breakout from squeeze formation %B Indicator: 0.78 (strong but not extreme reading) VWAP Analysis (Volume Weighted Average Price) Daily VWAP: 23,876 (current support level) Weekly VWAP: 23,654 (key support zone) Monthly VWAP: 23,423 (major trend support) Volume Profile: High volume acceptance above 23,500 Moving Average Structure 10 EMA: 23,789 (immediate dynamic support) 20 EMA: 23,712 (short-term trend support) 50 SMA: 23,534 (intermediate support) 100 SMA: 23,287 (key trend support) 200 SMA: 22,845 (major trend support) Moving Average Signals: - All major EMAs in bullish alignment - Golden Cross intact (50/200 cross maintained) - Price above all key moving averages --- Support & Resistance Analysis Primary Resistance Levels 1. R1: 24,000 (psychological and Gann resistance) 2. R2: 24,200-24,400 (2x1 Gann angle cluster) 3. R3: 24,500-24,650 (Harmonic completion zone) 4. R4: 24,800-25,000 (Major extension target) 5. R5: 25,200-25,500 (Long-term Elliott Wave target) Primary Support Levels 1. S1: 23,712 (Kijun-sen support) 2. S2: 23,500-23,600 (recent swing low zone) 3. S3: 23,200-23,400 (Harmonic support/Weekly VWAP) 4. S4: 22,800-23,000 (1x2 Gann angle/100 SMA) 5. S5: 22,400-22,600 (Major correction target) Volume-Based Support/Resistance High Volume Node: 23,400-23,600 (strong support zone) Low Volume Gap: 24,100-24,300 (potential fast move zone) Volume Resistance: 24,500+ (historical selling pressure) --- Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategies Scalping Strategy (5M & 15M Charts) 5-Minute Timeframe Approach: Entry Signals: Pullbacks to 10 EMA with RSI <35 Profit Targets: 30-50 points per trade Stop Loss: 20-25 points maximum risk Volume Filter: Require above-average volume on entries Time Window: Focus on 9:00-11:00 AM and 2:00-4:00 PM CET 15-Minute Scalping Strategy: Range Trading: Current range 23,850-24,050 Breakout Method: Volume spike above 24,050 for continuation Mean Reversion: Fade moves beyond 2.5 standard deviations from VWAP Risk Management: Maximum 3 trades per session, 1:2 risk-reward minimum Intraday Trading Framework (30M, 1H, 4H) 30-Minute Chart Strategy: Trend Following: Long above 20/50 EMA confluence (23,750) Pattern Trading: Flag and pennant formations near resistance Target Methodology: Initial 24,100, extended 24,300 Risk Parameters: 40-60 point stops, 2.5:1 reward-to-risk 1-Hour Chart Approach: Momentum Trading: MACD bullish crossovers above signal line Support Bounces: Long positions from 23,650-23,750 zone Resistance Testing: Monitor price action at 24,000 level Session Management: European session focus (8:00 AM - 5:00 PM CET) 4-Hour Swing Setup: Cloud Trading: Long positions on Ichimoku cloud support tests Elliott Wave: Ride Wave 5 extensions toward 24,500+ Fibonacci Levels: Use 38.2% and 50% retracements for entries Hold Duration: 2-5 days typical position holding period Swing Trading Strategy (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) Daily Chart Methodology: Breakout Strategy: Long on sustained breaks above 24,000 Pullback Entries: Accumulate on tests of 23,400-23,600 Target Progression: 24,200 → 24,500 → 24,800 Position Sizing: Scale in on multiple time frame confirmations Weekly Chart Analysis: Primary Trend: Remains strongly bullish above 23,000 Swing Targets: 24,500-25,000 zone for major profit-taking Risk Management: Weekly closes below 22,800 signal major reversal Monthly Chart Perspective: Long-term Trajectory: Multi-year uptrend intact Secular Bull Market: Target zones 26,000-28,000 by 2026-2027 Major Support: 21,500-22,000 zone (not expected to test) --- Day-by-Day Trading Plan: September 2-6, 2025 Monday, September 2, 2025 Market Status: Full trading session (US markets closed - Labor Day) European Focus: Increased volatility potential due to US absence Key Levels: Resistance: 24,000, 24,150 Support: 23,780, 23,650 Trading Strategy: Morning Session (9:00-12:00 CET): Range trading likely, fade extremes Afternoon Session (13:00-17:30 CET): Reduced US influence, European-driven moves Setup Focus: Long 23,750-23,850, Short above 24,100 without volume Risk Management: Reduced position sizes due to holiday conditions Tuesday, September 3, 2025 Market Outlook: Full global participation returns Key Events: German economic data releases, ECB officials speeches Strategy Framework: Breakout Focus: Monitor 24,000 level for volume-confirmed breaks Economic Data: German manufacturing PMI and employment data impact Entry Zones: Long 23,800-23,900 on pullbacks Target Areas: 24,150-24,300 on breakout scenarios Risk Considerations: - ECB policy communication sensitivity - German economic data deviation impact - Post-holiday volume normalization Wednesday, September 4, 2025 Market Outlook: Mid-week momentum session with ECB focus Key Events: Potential ECB policy signals, European inflation data Trading Approach: Trend Continuation: Above 23,850 favors further upside Policy Sensitivity: ECB dovish signals bullish for DAX Technical Setup: Watch for 1-2-3 reversal patterns at resistance Volume Analysis: Require institutional participation for sustained moves Thursday, September 5, 2025 Market Outlook: Pre-weekly close positioning Focus Areas: Technical level respect, institutional flows Strategy Elements: Resistance Testing: 24,200-24,400 zone critical Support Validation: 23,650-23,750 area strength Pattern Completion: Monitor harmonic pattern developments Risk-Off Scenarios: Safe-haven flows could pressure DAX Friday, September 6, 2025 Market Outlook: Weekly close dynamics, position squaring Key Considerations: NFP impact on global sentiment, weekly technical levels Trading Framework: Weekly Close: Above 23,900 maintains bullish structure Profit-Taking: Expect some long position liquidation Gap Risk: Prepare for weekend news flow impact Setup Preservation: Maintain positions with weekly support above 23,700 --- Macroeconomic & Policy Considerations European Central Bank Policy Impact The ECB's monetary policy stance remains crucial for DAX performance. Recent ECB decisions show the Governing Council decided to lower the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, with domestic price pressures continuing to ease, with wages growing more slowly. This dovish stance supports equity valuations and German corporate profitability. German Economic Outlook The German economic environment presents mixed signals. While economic activity is expected to broadly stagnate in 2025 and trade tensions are set to significantly weigh on exports, there are positive factors including Germany's fiscal stimulus supporting better growth prospects. Eurozone Growth Projections The broader eurozone context shows Real GDP projected to grow by 0.9% in 2025, 1.1% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027, with EA GDP growth to average 0.9% in 2025 and accelerate to 1.3% in 2026. Key Risk Factors 1. Trade Policy Uncertainty: Trade policy uncertainty over recent months is expected to reduce global growth 2. Global Trade Tensions: Ongoing US-China trade dynamics affecting European exports 3. ECB Policy Divergence: Potential policy normalization pressures 4. Geopolitical Risks: Eastern European tensions and energy security concerns --- Sector Analysis & DAX Components Best Performing Components Current analysis shows the champion of GERMAN STOCK INDEX (DAX) is XETR:ENR — it's gained 265.49% over the year, indicating strong sectoral divergence within the index. Sector Rotation Implications Technology Sector: Leading performance driving index higher Industrial Sector: Mixed performance due to export pressures Financial Sector: Benefiting from ECB policy normalization expectations Consumer Discretionary: Supported by potential wage growth and consumer spending --- Risk Management Framework Position Sizing Guidelines Scalping Positions: 0.5-1% account risk per trade Intraday Trades: 1-2% account risk maximum Swing Positions: 2-3% account risk per position Maximum Exposure: 8% total DAX-related risk at any time Stop-Loss Protocols Scalping: 20-30 points maximum loss Intraday: 50-80 points based on volatility Swing Trading: Below key support levels (23,400 for current longs) Technical Stops: Below major moving averages and pattern invalidation levels Profit-Taking Strategy Scaling Approach: Take 40% at first target, 35% at second target, hold 25% for extensions Trailing Stops: Implement after 2:1 favorable movement Time-Based Exits: Close positions before major ECB announcements Pattern-Based Exits: Honor harmonic pattern completion zones --- Weekly Outlook Probability Analysis Bullish Scenario (Probability: 65%) Catalysts: - ECB maintains dovish policy stance - German economic data shows stabilization signs - Technical breakout above 24,000 with volume - US-Europe trade tensions remain contained Price Targets: - Initial: 24,200-24,400 - Extended: 24,500-24,800 - Optimistic: 25,000+ Neutral/Consolidation Scenario (Probability: 25%) Characteristics: - Range-bound trading between 23,600-24,200 - Mixed economic signals from Germany - ECB policy uncertainty - Technical indecision at resistance levels Trading Range: - Upper Bound: 24,100-24,200 - Lower Bound: 23,500-23,600 - Strategy: Range trading, fade extremes Bearish Scenario (Probability: 10%) Risk Factors: - Significant deterioration in German economic data - ECB hawkish surprise or policy error - Major geopolitical shock - Technical breakdown below 23,400 Downside Targets: - Initial: 23,000-23,200 - Extended: 22,600-22,800 - Crisis: 22,000-22,400 --- Advanced Trading Techniques Correlation Analysis EUR/USD Impact: Strong positive correlation (0.72) US500 Relationship: Moderate correlation (0.58) with divergence potential Bond Yields: German Bund yields inverse relationship Commodity Exposure: Energy prices correlation through industrial components Options Market Insights Put/Call Ratio: Currently neutral, no extreme positioning Options Skew: Slight put premium indicating downside hedging Gamma Exposure: Positive gamma above 23,800, negative below Key Strike Levels: 24,000 calls, 23,500 puts show high open interest Institutional Flow Analysis Foreign Investment: Positive European equity flows from US institutions Pension Fund Activity: Rebalancing flows supporting DAX components Hedge Fund Positioning: Net long but not extreme levels ETF Flows: Consistent inflows into German equity ETFs --- For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade --- *This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always implement proper risk management and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.* Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor. ---
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
1
DAX40 support retest at 24000 ?The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 24000 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 24000 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24540 – initial resistance 24670 – psychological and structural level 24980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 24000 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23790 – minor support 23600 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 23790. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
2
Dax Bullish sideways consolidation?The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23790 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23790 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24540 – initial resistance 24670 – psychological and structural level 24980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23790 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23610 – minor support 23400 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 23790. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX is forming an interesting short-term patternLooking at the technical picture of DAX, we can see that the German index seems to be preparing for a breakout. Maybe Powell's speech could be that catalyst? Let's find out. XETR:DAX MARKETSCOM:DE30 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DE30
by Marketscom
DAX Corrective pullback supported at 23790The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23790 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23790 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24540 – initial resistance 24670 – psychological and structural level 24980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23790 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23610 – minor support 23400 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 23790. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
Bullish bounce off?DAX40 (DE40) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support, and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance, which is a swing high resistance. Pivot: 24,271.20 1st Support: 24,027.32 1st Resistance: 24,626.98 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by ICmarkets
2
DAX bullish sideways consolidation resistance at 24540The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23790 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23790 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24540 – initial resistance 24670 – psychological and structural level 24980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23790 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23610 – minor support 23400 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 23790. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
Breakout Alert! Germany 40 Targeting 25400 – Join the Robbery⚡GERMANY 40 INDEX CFD HEIST PLAN⚡ 💸 Thief Trader Robbery Blueprint 💸 🎭 Dear Ladies & Gentleman, my Thief OG’s 🕶️🕵️‍♂️, Welcome to another market heist – this time we’re targeting the GERMANY 40 INDEX CFD vault! 🚀 Plan: Bullish Breakout Robbery The lock is weak around 24,500.0 ⚡ – once that vault door cracks open, we raid in style with layer entries. 🔑 Thief Layer Entry Method: 📍 First entry on breakout @ 24,500.0 📍 Layer extra buy limits @ 24,400.0 / 24,300.0 / 24,200.0 (stack your orders like pro robbers 😈) 👉 You can increase your layers depending on your appetite for stolen cash 💰. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): This is the Thief SL → @ 24,000.0 after breakout confirmation. 📌 Adjust your SL with caution, OG’s, depending on your risk & strategy. Protect the loot at all costs 🏴‍☠️. 🎯 Target (TP): ⚠️ Police barricade spotted @ 25,500.0 🚔🚨 👉 Escape before the sirens – cash out at 25,400.0 and vanish with the bags 🎒💸. 🏆 Thief Trader Reminder 📌 Stick to the layering strategy – multiple entries spread like a thief’s toolkit. 📌 Manage risk like a pro robber – don’t get caught with greedy hands. 📌 Escape clean – profit secured before the market traps you! 🔥💎 Support the Thief Gang by smashing that Boost Button 💥 Let’s keep robbing the markets together – smooth, stylish, and profitable. Every heist, every day – Thief Trading Style. 🏆🕶️💰🚀
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by The-Thief
DAX uptrend continuation breakoutThe DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23790 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23790 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24540 – initial resistance 24670 – psychological and structural level 24980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23790 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23610 – minor support 23400 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 23790. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX40 Bullish Flag forming The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23790 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23790 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24540 – initial resistance 24670 – psychological and structural level 24980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23790 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23610 – minor support 23400 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 23790. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
1
DAX oversold rally resistance at 24540The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a oversold really within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23790 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23790 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24540 – initial resistance 24670 – psychological and structural level 24980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23790 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23610 – minor support 23400 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 23790. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
Rob the DAX! GER40 Bullish Mission Begins Now!🏴‍☠️GER40 Bullish Vault Heist! Target: 25400 🎯💼 🚨Mission Briefing: Robbery in Progress - DE40 / Germany40 Index Heist! 🎯 Plan: Bullish 🗂️ Asset: DE40 / GER40 “Germany40” Index 📦 Strategy: Thief’s signature Layered Limit Orders 🧱 (Multi-entry precision loading) 🔑 Entry Point: "The vault is open 24/7! Thief goes in anytime 🔓💰" Place multiple buy limit orders at recent swings / lows on the 15m-30m chart. 📲 Tip: Set alerts at breakout zones. Be early. Be greedy. 🚨 Stop Loss: 🎯 SL at 23,300 🔐 – beneath 4H structure (swing low wick-based). Adjust SL based on lot size and number of active entries. 🏆 Escape Point (Target): 💼 25,400 = Target stash 💰 🔥 Use Trailing SL and ride the wave – exit before the trap if market hesitates! 📈 Scalpers / Swingers Alert: 💎 Only Long-side loot allowed! 💸 Small capital? Join the swing team 🚀 💰 Big capital? Front-run the breakout! 🎯 Trailing SL = Smart thieves protect profits. 🧠 Why Bullish? The index is warming up after consolidation. Neutral bias flipping bullish 🔄 due to: 📰 Weakening macro shock absorbers 💣 Risk appetite reviving 💡 Institutional positioning + COT shift 🔄 USD reaction + EU equity flow 💼 Check all macro + intermarket juice for full confidence 📊🔗 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Robbers: 🕰 Avoid news hour trades 🔄 Use Trailing SL always 📉 Don't chase… let the market come to you 👀 Eyes on economic calendar and VIX movement ❤️ Support the Robbery Crew! 💥 Hit that BOOST button if you love making money the Thief Way 🏴‍☠️ 🎯 Help us grow the robbery empire & take over the charts 📈💰 🧨 Another Heist Plan coming soon! Stay sneaky, stay funded 🤑🐱‍👤💼 #ThiefTrader #GER40Plan #IndexHeist #LayeredLoot #MarketRobbery #FTSEStyleRobbery
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by The-Thief
DAX40 Pivotal trading zone at 23900The DAX remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23375 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23375 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 23900 – initial resistance 24215 – psychological and structural level 24430 and 24620 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23375 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23195 – minor support 23035 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Neutral bias remains intact while the Dax trades around pivotal 23900 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
Potential bullish bounce?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a swing low support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 23,032.38 1st Support: 22,503.52 1st Resistance: 23,939.75 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by ICmarkets
DAX sideways consolidation support at 24070The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 24070 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 24070 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24605 – initial resistance 24740 – psychological and structural level 24910 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 24070 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23935 – minor support 23820 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23925. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
3
DAX oversold rally support at 23925The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23925 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23925 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24605 – initial resistance 24740 – psychological and structural level 24910 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23925 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23835 – minor support 23750 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23925. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation