GER40 Trade Idea: The Perfect Pullback Before Liftoff!I enjoy trading GER40, especially during the London session, where we consistently see a phase of manipulation followed by a clean move toward the target. At the moment, the structure is showing a similar pattern.
Although the HTF suggests a broader correction toward the 22,000 area, I’m looking for a short-term setup for next week.
My scenarios:
1) Primary scenario:
A move lower into the first Daily FVG, which is also visible on the 4H and 1H timeframes—confirming its validity. After a test of this zone and a liquidity grab around the 23,700 area, I expect price to move upward toward the 0.70–0.79 Fibonacci retracement, where I will look to take profit.
2) Alternative scenario (less likely):
A deeper correction into the second Daily FVG, which is only visible on the Daily timeframe. Due to its limited confluence, this scenario has lower probability.
Execution plan:
I’ll wait for price to trade into one of these FVGs, then look for LTF reversal signals to execute a long position targeting the 0.70–0.79 Fibonacci zone.
If you enjoy this type of analysis, make sure to follow and like this idea.
Dax40
DAX40 Momentum Shift: Layered Buy Setup for Clean Profit Flow🚀 DAX40 (GER40) BULLISH BREAKOUT ALERT! | Layer Strategy for MAX Gains 🚀
📈 DAX40 BULLISH BREAKOUT CONFIRMED! 🏆 (Swing/Day Trade Setup with Layer Entry)
📊 Idea: Strong bullish momentum on the GER40 / DAX 40 following a decisive breakout above key moving averages! Perfect setup for a structured "thief-style" layered entry to capitalize on the trend.
🔑 KEY LEVELS & PLAN:
Trend: Bullish (MA Breakout Confirmation)
Entry Strategy: "Thief" Layer Method 🎯
Use multiple BUY LIMIT orders at key dips: 23,600 | 23,700 | 23,800 | 23,900 (Add more layers based on your capital).
This averages your entry and maximizes opportunity on pullbacks.
Stop Loss (SL): 23,400 (Thief OG's Zone ⚠️).
IMPORTANT NOTE: Adjust your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance & strategy! This is a guide, not financial advice. Protect your capital.
Take Profit (TP): Target Zone: 24,500 🎯
Strong resistance & potential overbought trap area. Secure profits wisely!
REMINDER: Manage your own TP. Take money at your own risk.
💎 PRO TRADER NOTES:
This "thief" layer strategy requires patience & discipline. Let the market come to your orders. Never risk more than 1-2% per layer. Trade with a plan, not emotion!
🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (KEY CORRELATIONS):
FX:EURUSD : INVERSE Correlation. A stronger Euro can pressure DAX (export-heavy index). Watch for USD weakness supporting DAX rallies.
CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones) / SP:SPX (S&P 500): POSITIVE Correlation. US market strength often lifts European indices. Key for overall risk sentiment.
ICMARKETS:STOXX50 (Euro Stoxx 50): HIGH Correlation. Broader European index performance.
BUND Futures (/FGBL): INVERSE Correlation. Rising German bond yields (falling prices) can signal economic optimism, often supporting DAX.
EUR/GBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ): UK/EU economic relative strength flows.
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#DAX #GER40 #TradingView #Breakout #Bullish #SwingTrading #DayTrading #LayerStrategy #TradingPlan #Forex #Indices #Investing #Stocks #ThiefStrategy #EURUSD
Potential bullish rise?DAX40 (DE40) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resitance and could rise to the 1st resitance, which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 23,877.01
1st Support: 23,500.65
1st Resistance: 24,453.76
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
DAX40 key support at 23466The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23446 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23446 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24140 – psychological and structural level
24380 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23446 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23350 – minor support
23200 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23446. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX breakout supported at 23446The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23446 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23446 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24140 – psychological and structural level
24380 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23446 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23350 – minor support
23200 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23446. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX40 support at 23445The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23446 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23446 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24140 – psychological and structural level
24380 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23446 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23350 – minor support
23200 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23446. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX40 reachi8ng resistance at 23550The DAX40 is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the support, suggesting a possibility of a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23550, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23550 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23093, followed by 22800 and 22580 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23550 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 23790, then 23980.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the DAX40 breaks and holds above 23550. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Is the DAX Preparing for a Monster Rally? The Structure Says So.The DAX continues to follow a well-defined Elliott Wave structure across the higher time frames. Following the completion of Wave 1 at the prior cycle top, the subsequent corrective phase retraced efficiently into the 0.618 Fibonacci region, establishing a structurally sound Wave 2 low. Since then, price has progressed through a multi-year impulsive advance, with internal subdivisions aligning cleanly with higher-probability Fibonacci extensions.
Current price action is positioned within the latter stages of an extended Wave 3 sequence, where the 2.618 extension zone presents a significant confluence region for a potential medium-term top. A controlled corrective phase is expected thereafter, forming Wave 4 before the index resumes its structural bullish trajectory toward the projected Wave 5 completion.
This long-term framework remains valid as long as structural lows are preserved, with the broader trend supporting continued upside over the coming cycles.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading financial markets involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
If you found this analysis valuable, leave a like, drop your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more structured market insights.
German stocks about to drop 7%? (DAX 40)Setup
Breakdown from horizontal range
Lowest weekly close since June
Breakdown below ‘green’ weekly trendline
RSI back at 35-40 support
Commentary
The DAX is sitting right on the support level of its long term range. The index could rally back into its range, offering reversal setups to go long, or it could continue to breakdown. Should it be the latter, projecting the height of the range lower would target 21500 - a demand area preceding the April rally.
Strategy
Option 2: Sell rebound towards 48,000 supply zone
Option 1: Sell the breakdown below 23,000
DAX40 bearish below resistance at 23550The DAX40 is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the support, suggesting a possibility of a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23550, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23550 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23093, followed by 22800 and 22580 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23550 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 23790, then 23980.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the DAX40 breaks and holds above 23550. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX40 capped at 23550 resistanceThe DAX40 is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the support, suggesting a possibility of a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23550, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23550 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23093, followed by 22800 and 22580 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23550 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 23790, then 23980.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the DAX40 breaks and holds above 23550. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX40 The Week Ahead The Key Trading LevelsThe DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Bearish pullback capped at 23940The DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Oversold bounce resistance retest at 23940The DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Buy the Dip, Ride the Wave — DAX40 Targeting ~38000"DAX40 | FIBCOS
Wave 2 seems done and dusted ✅ — bulls getting ready to fire up Wave 3! 🚀
As long as price holds above 23,250, the bullish structure stays strong 💪
Targets ahead around 36K–40K as momentum builds within the rising channel 📈
The German Index continues to show power and potential — buy and enjoy the ride 🇩🇪✨
Disclaimer: Educational purpose only, not financial advice.
DAX40 bearish continuationThe DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX: Sideways at ATH, Q3 Coil → Q4 Pop?Since May the DAX has moved sideways at/near all-time highs. Q3 has been chop as expected, but momentum hasn’t broken—buyers keep defending the 23.4–23.7k shelf. I’m leaning into seasonality and prior behavior: staying long for a push into quarter-end, then I’ll reassess. Plan on scaling out into 24,500 → 24,600 → 24,700 (ATH supply), with risk tucked below the recent range floor.
Technicals
• Structure: Multi-month range at the highs; no decisive lower-low. The 4H view shows repeated rejections of a minor descending supply line while the base at ~23,6xx keeps holding.
• Entry zone: 23,620–23,720 (range support / prior VWAP shelf).
• Invalidation: daily close below 23,200–23,300 (range break).
• Targets: 24,000 (psych), 24,300 (mid-supply), 24,600 (ATH line from your chart).
• Breadth/rotation clues (dashboard): Financials firm, tech mixed, autos soft; overall market still balanced rather than risk-off—consistent with consolidation, not reversal.
• Tape feel: Repeated “muted opens” with buyers showing up later in the session fits the grind-higher playbook into month/quarter end.
Fundamentals
• Macro tone: US risk appetite improved after the Fed’s first cut, even as Powell tempered hopes of an aggressive path—enough to cap deep corrections but still supportive of equities. European desk notes point to a restrained start, not a bear impulse.
• Germany specifics: Headlines flag auto-sector warnings (VW/Porsche) weighing on sentiment, but banks and select industrials offset—matching the mixed sector board rather than broad deterioration.
• Flows/seasonality: Quarter-end & Q4 seasonality often favor indices that have consolidated at highs; with DAX still ~1k points off the record, a range breakout toward 24.3k–24.65k is a reasonable path before re-calibrating.
• Risks to thesis: Another round of negative guidance from autos, hotter-than-expected US data re-pricing fewer cuts, or a clean daily close below 23.2k (range failure).
Trade what’s on the chart, respect the invalidation, and pay yourself into strength.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
DAX falling resistance at 24095The DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX40 corrective pullback capped at 23940 resistance The DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX weekly pivot map for 3 to 7 November 2025Why this matters
Next week is a sequence market. Final PMIs set tone. Germany prints factory orders and industrial production. The week closes with the U.S. jobs report. That mix often compresses ranges around fair value until something cracks. So the plan is one grid, two scenarios, three rules.
Chart to publish
Timeframe 1H on GER40. Add a single grid from last week Xetra cash.
High 24 348.59. Low 23 922.95. Close 23 958.30.
Pivot 24 076.61. R1 24 230.28. R2 24 502.25. R3 24 655.92.
S1 23 804.64. S2 23 650.97. S3 23 379.00.
Optional helpers. VWAP. Cumulative delta. No extra overlays. Keep it clean so the levels do the talking.
What I am watching on tape
How price behaves around the pivot during quiet periods. The first pass into R1 or S1 without a fresh release often mean reverts. If a surprise hits, the grid becomes a runway for extension. The job is not to predict. The job is to recognise when ranges are intact and when a genuine break is underway.
Catalysts and session notes
Germany releases often land near 08:00 CET. Factory orders midweek. Industrial production the day after. The U.S. Employment Situation prints Friday at 08:30 ET. That one moves global curves and the euro which feeds back into exporters. I do not hold risk through the print. I would rather enter the follow through once the first sweep finishes.
Levels that matter this week
Pivot 24 076 is the magnet. Above it the burden of proof is on sellers. Below it buyers need time to build. R1 24 230 is the first supply pocket. R2 24 502 lines up with prior supply. R3 24 656 sits just under the recent extremes. On the downside S1 23 805 is first support. S2 23 651 is where momentum sellers usually engage. S3 23 379 is the stress zone if the week turns heavy.
Two simple scenarios
Scenario A soft landing tone
PMIs steady. Orders stabilise. Production improves. Payrolls strong enough but wages calm. The tape accepts price above the pivot and north of R1. Tactics. Buy pullbacks into 24 080 to 24 120 with a hard stop under 23 980. First take-profit at R1. Trail into the 24 330 pocket. If R2 breaks on confirmation keep a runner toward 24 650 to 24 770 where supply stacked recently. The idea is to let the market pay you for being patient near the magnet then step aside if the grid stops working.
Scenario B growth scare tone
PMIs revise down. Orders miss. Production disappoints. Payrolls hot on wages. Sellers defend R1 and the euro wobbles. Tactics. Sell failed bounces close to 24 230 with a stop above 24 330. First target the pivot. Add only on a clean loss of 23 980. Manage into S2 and be pragmatic near S3 because volatility tends to spike there.
How to trade the grid
Entry
I anchor on 1H structure. I drill down to 15m for the trigger. I want acceptance around the level. That means a pause, a clean candle close, and a little confirmation from volume. Chasing the very first touch is optional and usually a worse price unless the day is a trend day.
Risk
Fixed R works. Use a small stop around the other side of the level. I like 0.5 R stops and 1.0 R first targets. On days with a data print I cut size in half or I skip the first twenty minutes. The easiest way to survive event weeks is to size for the noise and accept that some moves will run without you.
Adds and exits
Adds only after partials are banked. No martingale. I scale out at the next grid line or at VWAP if the run stalls. I do not marry a view. If the grid stops behaving I go flat and wait for the next high quality test.
Why this works
These weekly levels attract flow. Dealers manage hedges around them. When the tape is balanced the pivot acts like gravity. When the tape is imbalanced the break through R2 or S2 gives you a repeatable context to join the side that is pressing. You are not forecasting. You are responding with a simple structure.
Rules to pin on the chart
• Fade the first clean touch of R1 or S1 back to the pivot if no high impact release is due within the next hour.
• Trade breakouts only on a firm thirty minute close above R2 or below S2 with volume support and a positive delta profile.
• Stay flat into red events. Flat at least five minutes before the U.S. jobs report. Reassess after the first sweep.
Instrument
GER40 on the 1H chart. If you execute futures on Eurex or a CFD feed, tiny price differences do not change the grid. Rebuild the levels each weekend from the cash high low close so the numbers stay honest.
Mindset
The grid is a map. It tells you where to look. Your edge comes from taking the same trade the same way every time. Good process first. P and L follows.
Education only.
German DAX 30 Rally Ahead? Strong Pullback Signals Momentum💎 DE30 (German DAX 30) — Thief Trader’s Market Profit Playbook! 💎
📈 Bias: Bullish Play Confirmed
⚙️ Strategy Type: Layered Limit Order Entries (Thief’s Signature Style)
🧠 Game Plan:
The German DAX 30 (DE30) shows strong bullish momentum after a clean moving average pullback — confirming a short-term continuation setup on the 4H and daily charts.
We’re loading our Thief-style layering entries to ride this momentum wave! 🏄♂️
Layered Entry Zone (Buy Limits):
💰 23,800 | 23,900 | 24,000 | 24,100
(Add more layers if you’re managing dynamic scaling — this is the Thief style of playing smart, not hard!)
🛑 Stop Loss (Protective Zone):
🚨 23,700 (Thief’s guard line!)
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this SL is not a must-follow — manage your risk wisely. This is an educational plan — trade at your own discretion.
🎯 Take Profit Zone:
🎯 24,500 — realistic first exit zone.
💥 24,700 — Electric Shock Resistance Wall ⚡️ (strong resistance area + overbought + potential trap zone).
⚠️ Note: Again, dear Thief OGs — take your profits when you’re happy! Targets are reference points, not financial advice.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Strong MA Confluence: 20EMA and 50EMA crossover support the bullish bias.
Volume Uptick: Smart money rotation visible on hourly accumulation bars.
Momentum Recovery: RSI rebounding from mid-zone (40–50), eyeing bullish breakout potential.
🌐 Correlated Assets to Watch:
Stay sharp — DAX often dances with global indices and major USD flows:
CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones) — correlated risk sentiment, bullish tone confirmation.
FX:FRA40 (CAC 40) — follows European equity momentum.
💵 FX:EURUSD — inverse correlation with DE30 strength during USD volatility.
Tracking these helps confirm whether the bull party 🎉 continues or the market bouncer 🚫 shows up early.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#DE30 #DAX30 #ThiefTrader #IndexTrading #GermanDAX #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #ThiefStyle #ForexCommunity #RiskManagement
GER40 at a Crossroads: Parabolic Breakout or Exhaustion Top? 🇩🇪 GER40 DAX INDEX | Premium Technical Analysis & Trading Blueprint | 23,967.9 🇩🇪
📊 INSTITUTIONAL MULTI-TIMEFRAME MASTERCLASS | NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025 FORECAST 📊
Current Level: 23,967.9 | Analysis Date: November 1, 2025, 00:54 UTC+4
Hey, TradingView fam! 👋 The German powerhouse, GER40, has put on a spectacular show, closing the week at a mighty 23,967.9 . After such a vertical ascent, traders are rightfully asking: Is this the start of a new parabolic phase, or are we witnessing a massive exhaustion top in the making? The upcoming week, from November 3rd to 7th, is poised to give us the answer.
Let's dissect the charts across multiple timeframes, combining timeless theories with key indicators to map out the strategic path forward for both intraday and swing traders. 🧭
╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
🎯 STRATEGIC MARKET INTELLIGENCE OVERVIEW
The German DAX Index commands attention at 23,967.9 , positioning at a pivotal technical crossroads that will define European equity direction through Q4 2025. Our sophisticated multi-dimensional analysis reveals cautious optimism with breakout potential as the index tests critical resistance near the psychological 24,000 barrier. This week's confluence of ECB policy implications, US election spillover, and technical setups creates exceptional risk-reward opportunities for prepared traders.
Institutional Support Architecture: 🛡️
Immediate Foundation: 23,900 - 23,920 (Algo bid zone)
Secondary Cushion: 23,850 - 23,870 (Volume-weighted support)
Critical Platform: 23,750 - 23,780 (Weekly pivot cluster)
Major Fortress: 23,650 - 23,680 (Psychological & structural)
Resistance Target Matrix: 🎯
First Hurdle: 24,000 - 24,020 (Psychological barrier)
Secondary Wall: 24,100 - 24,120 (Pattern objective)
Breakout Zone: 24,200 - 24,250 (Extension target)
Major Milestone: 24,350 - 24,400 (Monthly target)
╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
📈 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME (1W) - MACRO STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS
Elliott Wave Supercycle Mapping: 🌊
Currently navigating Wave 4 consolidation within larger Wave (5) of the supercycle advance. The shallow retracement (38.2% Fibonacci) suggests underlying strength with Wave 5 targeting 24,500-24,800 . Alternative count places us in Wave B of corrective ABC - monitor 23,650 for bearish confirmation.
Primary Scenario: Wave 4 complete, Wave 5 underway to 24,500+
Alternative: Wave B top forming, Wave C decline to 23,200
Invalidation Level: Weekly close below 23,500
Time Projection: Completion by mid-November
Wyckoff Distribution/Re-Accumulation: 📚
Critical Juncture - Phase B/C Transition
- Preliminary Supply (PSY): 24,100 tested
- Buying Climax (BC): 24,150 rejection
- Automatic Reaction (AR): 23,750 held
- Secondary Test (ST): Current 23,967
- Upthrust pending: Above 24,000
Ichimoku Cloud European Perspective: ☁️
Tenkan-sen: 23,885 (9-period support)
Kijun-sen: 23,820 (26-period base)
Senkou Span A: 23,950 (cloud resistance)
Senkou Span B: 23,780 (cloud support)
Chikou Span: Neutral (at price level)
Cloud Status: Thin, potential twist ahead
Advanced Harmonic Configuration: 🦋
Emerging Bullish Shark pattern with precision measurements:
- 0 Point: 23,450 (October low)
- X Point: 24,150 (October high)
- A Point: 23,650 (retracement low)
- B Point: 23,967 (current - 0.618 XA)
- C Target: 23,750 (1.13 AB extension)
- D Completion: 24,350 (0.886 XC)
Gann Master Analysis: 📐
Price respecting 3x1 Gann angle from September base. Critical Gann levels:
- Current angle support: 23,920
- 45-degree resistance: 24,050
- Square of 9 target: 24,144
- Time cycle: November 6 (+/- 1 day)
╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
📊 DAILY TIMEFRAME (1D) - SWING TRADING COMMAND
Japanese Candlestick Intelligence: 🕯️
Yesterday's Hanging Man at resistance warns of potential reversal. Critical observation for today:
- Close above 24,000 = Bullish Engulfing invalidates reversal
- Close below 23,900 = Bearish Confirmation
- Doji formation = Continued indecision
Master Pattern Recognition:
Ascending Triangle approaching apex:
- Horizontal resistance: 24,000-24,020
- Rising support: Currently at 23,880
- Breakout target: 24,320 (320-point measured move)
- Volume requirement: 30% above 20-day average
- False breakout risk: High due to round number
Bollinger Bands Configuration: 📈
Upper Band: 24,015 (kissing price)
Middle Band (20-SMA): 23,870 (dynamic support)
Lower Band: 23,725 (oversold boundary)
Band Width: Contracting (squeeze alert)
%B Reading: 0.89 (upper band test)
RSI Momentum Analysis:
Daily RSI: 64 (approaching overbought)
Bearish divergence forming vs price highs
Support trend line: 55 level
Resistance: 70 level (6 points away)
Volume Profile Insights: 📊
- High Volume Node: 23,850-23,900
- Point of Control: 23,875
- Value Area High: 23,950
- Value Area Low: 23,800
- Low Volume Gap: 24,020-24,080 (breakout zone)
╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
⚡ 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME (4H) - TACTICAL FRAMEWORK
Dow Theory Application: ✅
Primary Trend: Bullish (higher highs maintained)
Secondary Trend: Consolidation/Distribution question
Minor Trend: Testing resistance
Volume Pattern: Declining on rallies (caution)
Confirmation needed: Break above 24,020
DAX/STOXX correlation: Diverging (warning)
Moving Average Configuration:
EMA 8: 23,945 (micro support)
EMA 21: 23,915 (short-term support)
EMA 50: 23,880 (medium support)
SMA 100: 23,825 (strong support)
SMA 200: 23,750 (major trend support)
Golden Cross: EMA 50 above SMA 100 ✅
Chart Pattern Alert: 🚨
Rising Wedge formation - bearish implications:
- Upper trendline: 23,980-24,000
- Lower trendline: 23,850-23,870
- Breakdown target: 23,700
- Invalidation: Close above 24,020
╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
🎪 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME (1H) - PRECISION ENTRY MATRIX
Micro Pattern Development: 🔬
Triple Top formation at 23,980:
- First top: 23,975 (Monday)
- Second top: 23,982 (Wednesday)
- Third top: 23,978 (Friday)
- Neckline support: 23,920
- Breakdown target: 23,860
VWAP Trading Framework:
Daily VWAP: 23,952
Weekly VWAP: 23,895
Monthly VWAP: 23,810
Upper Band 1: 23,985 (resistance)
Upper Band 2: 24,018 (strong resistance)
Lower Band 1: 23,919 (support)
Lower Band 2: 23,886 (strong support)
Support & Resistance Precision:
R4: 24,050 (Major resistance)
R3: 24,020 (Round number)
R2: 23,990 (Pattern resistance)
R1: 23,975 (Immediate ceiling)
PIVOT: 23,967.9 (Current)
S1: 23,950 (Micro support)
S2: 23,920 (Neckline)
S3: 23,890 (Strong support)
╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
⚡ 30-MINUTE SCALPING LABORATORY (30M)
Microstructure Dynamics: 🎯
Range-bound channel :
- Upper boundary: 23,975-23,985
- Middle pivot: 23,950-23,955
- Lower boundary: 23,925-23,935
- Breakout pending: 70% probability upward
European Session Dynamics: 🕐
Frankfurt Open (08:00 CET):
- Average range: 40-50 points
- Directional bias: First 30 minutes
London Overlap (09:00 GMT):
- Volatility spike: 60-80 points
- Best scalping window
US Premarket Impact (13:30 CET):
- Range expansion: 80-100 points
Scalping Execution Zones:
Buy Zones:
• Zone A: 23,945-23,950 (VWAP test)
• Zone B: 23,925-23,930 (Channel bottom)
• Zone C: 23,900-23,905 (Strong bid)
Sell Zones:
• Zone A: 23,975-23,980 (Triple top)
• Zone B: 23,990-23,995 (Resistance cluster)
• Zone C: 24,010-24,015 (Major resistance)
╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
🏃 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE ULTRA-SCALPING
15-Minute Momentum Setup: ⚡
Bull Flag micro pattern:
- Pole: 23,920 to 23,970 (50 points)
- Flag: 23,955-23,965 consolidation
- Breakout trigger: 23,968
- Quick target: 24,000 (+32 points)
- Stop: 23,950 (-18 points)
5-Minute Algorithm Signals:
Long Conditions:
RSI(5) oversold (<25) + VWAP bounce = BUY
MACD bullish cross + Volume spike = BUY
EMA(8) > EMA(21) + Pullback = BUY
Short Conditions:
RSI(5) overbought (>75) + Resistance = SELL
MACD bearish cross + High volume = SELL
Failed breakout at 24,000 = SELL
Management:
TP: 15-20 points | SL: 10-12 points
Max hold: 10 minutes | Trail: 8 points
╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
📅 WEEKLY STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK (NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025)
Monday, November 3: 🚀
Gap-up potential to 24,000 test
Strategy: Sell resistance, buy 23,920 dips
Key levels: 23,920 support, 24,000 resistance
Expected range: 80 points
Tuesday, November 4: 🗳️
US Election volatility spillover to DAX
Strategy: Wide stops, reduced size
Potential range: 23,750-24,100 (350 points!)
Correlation with US futures critical
Wednesday, November 5: 💥
Post-election directional resolution
Strategy: Trade breakout with conviction
Bullish above 24,050 → Target 24,200
Bearish below 23,850 → Target 23,700
Thursday, November 6: 📊
ECB officials speaking + German data
Strategy: Fade initial moves
Expected consolidation: 23,900-24,000
Focus on European session
Friday, November 7: 🎯
Weekly close crucial for next week's bias
Strategy: Position for weekly close
Above 24,000 = Bullish continuation
Below 23,900 = Bearish reversal
╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
⚖️ PROFESSIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
Intraday Risk Parameters: 🛡️
Position size: 0.5-1% account risk
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2, target 1:3
Daily stop: -2% maximum loss
Consecutive losses: 3 max, then pause
Profit protection: Trail at 60% gain
Breakeven: Move stop at +15 points
Correlation monitor: Watch US futures
Swing Position Framework: 💼
Core position: 40% at 23,900-23,920
Scale-in: 30% at 23,850, 30% at 23,800
Stop loss: Below 23,750 (all positions)
Target 1: 24,050 (25% exit)
Target 2: 24,150 (35% exit)
Target 3: 24,250 (25% exit)
Runner: 24,350+ (15% hold)
╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
🔴 RISK SCENARIOS & CONTINGENCIES
Bearish Triggers: 🐻
30-min close below 23,950 = Micro caution
Hourly close below 23,920 = Intraday bearish
4H close below 23,880 = Swing bearish
Daily close below 23,800 = Trend concern
Weekly close below 23,650 = Major reversal
European Risk Factors: 🦢
• ECB policy surprises (100+ point moves)
• German economic data shocks
• EU political developments
• Energy crisis escalation
• Banking sector concerns
╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
💎 ELITE CONFLUENCE TRADING ZONES
Optimal Buy Zone: ✅
23,880-23,920
(Multi-timeframe support + Fibonacci 61.8% + VWAP + Moving averages)
Premium Sell Zone: ❌
23,990-24,020
(Triple top + Round number + Bollinger Band + Wedge resistance)
Breakout Trigger: 🚀
24,020-24,050
(Pattern completion + Resistance break + Volume confirmation)
╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
🏆 MASTER TRADER'S VERDICT
The DAX at 23,967.9 stands at a critical inflection point with the psychological 24,000 level acting as the decisive battleground. Technical indicators suggest cautious bullish bias but with increasing distribution signals. The week ahead demands disciplined execution and nimble position management.
Top 3 High-Probability Setups: 🎯
Range Trade: Buy 23,900, Sell 23,980 (Multiple touches)
Breakout Long: Above 24,020 → Target 24,150 (Clear skies)
Reversal Short: Triple top failure at 23,980 → Target 23,850
Trading Wisdom: 🧠
The DAX rewards patience at extremes. Trade the range until proven otherwise. Respect the 24,000 psychological level.
"The European markets dance to their own rhythm - master the tempo, profit from the moves!" 💶
╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
📍 ACTIONABLE INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING
Range-bound action between 23,850-24,020 until catalyst emerges. US election spillover likely to provide directional resolution. Accumulate dips toward 23,900 for upside potential to 24,200+.
Trade European hours. Respect correlations. Profit consistently. 💰
╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
#DAX #GER40 #DAX40 #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #EuropeanMarkets #Indices #DayTrading #SwingTrading #ElliottWave #Wyckoff #HarmonicPatterns #ECB #Frankfurt #GermanStocks #STOXX #EuropeTrading #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #Forex #MarketForecast
🔔 Follow for Premium European Market Analysis | Präzision • Disziplin • Profit 📊
Risk Notice: Trading carries significant risk of loss. This analysis is educational only. Past performance does not predict future results. Conduct your own research and apply proper risk management.
Bearish Momentum Building on GER40 – Continuation or Trap?🦹♂️ GERMANY 40 (GER40) — Smart Money Flow Blueprint 💰 | Bearish Swing Setup
🧭 Market Context
Hey Thief OGs & market heroes 🧙♂️,
Welcome to another precision strike setup on the 🇩🇪 GERMANY 40 Index (GER40).
The price action has triggered a Triangular Moving Average (382) breakdown —
confirming a bearish money-flow shift below dynamic support.
Let’s decode the play 👇
📉 Trade Blueprint (Swing Trade Plan)
🧩 Structure: Bearish bias confirmed ✅
⚡ Trigger: TMA-382 breakout below dynamic support
🎯 Strategy: Layered Sell Limit Entries (Thief-style entry stacking)
💸 Entry Layers:
🧱 24 100 • 💀 24 050 • 🎯 24 000
(You can add more layers based on your own risk appetite)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 🔐 Thief’s SL @ 24 250
🎯 Take-Profit Target: 💰 23 700 → dynamic support + oversold trap zone
💡 Thief Strategy Notes
“Layer it like a pro, exit like a ghost 👻”
• Multiple sell-limit layers help you catch volatility with precision ⚙️
• TMA serves as a dynamic moving structure – not a static line.
• Breakdown of support = momentum shift confirmed 🔻
• Clear risk/reward logic – structured SL & TP = disciplined flow 🎯
• Bearish bias remains intact while price holds under 24 100
🔍 Correlation Radar & Related Pairs to Watch
Stay alert to cross-market clues 🧠
🔗 Correlation Asset Key Observation
🇺🇸 US30 (Dow Jones) Often mirrors GER40 momentum — if Dow dips, GER40 tends to follow.
🇬🇧 FTSE100 European equity sentiment confirmation — weakness = bearish confidence boost.
💶 EUR/USD Strong Euro = export pressure → GER40 downside bias continuation.
🧠 Why This Setup Makes Sense
• TMA 382 breakout = momentum confirmation 📉
• Dynamic support break = structure shift 🔄
• Layered entries = better average fill 🔂
• SL = clear risk • TP = logical oversold zone 🎯
• Cross-asset watchlist keeps you aligned with global money flow 🌍
⚠️ Risk & Personal Choice
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) —
I’m not recommending you copy my stop-loss or take-profit.
They’re purely my levels for analysis reference only.
Trade responsibly. You make the call, you take the bag or the gold 💼✨
🧾 Quick Recap
🦹♂️ Strategy: Multi-Sell-Limit Layering
📉 Bias: Bearish below 24 100
💣 Entries: 24 100 • 24 050 • 24 000
🛑 Stop: 24 250
🎯 Target: 23 700
🧭 Setup Type: TMA Breakout + Dynamic Support Breakdown
🌍 Correlation Focus: US30 • FTSE100 • EUR/USD
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#GER40 #Germany40 #DAX #Indices #BearishSetup #SwingTrade #SmartMoney #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader #MarketFlow #TMA #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ChartSetup #RiskManagement






















