Get started

Daxanalysis

DAX/GER - YOU DONE IT AGAIN - 2ND TIMES OF THE DAYDAX target hit again today. GDP numbers came in strong, so there’s no fundamental reason for fear. The current sell‑off is purely CPI‑driven sentiment, not structural weakness. I’m positioned long on DAX at 24400–24425, and the setup remains intact. DAX Trade Plan Current Long Position Entry: 24400–24425 Target 1: 24465–24476 Target 2: 24515–24545 Market Expectations CPI Fear = Opportunity The market is reacting emotionally ahead of CPI, not logically. GDP strength confirms underlying resilience. US Session Outlook I expect DAX to recover before the US market opens, supported by a rebound in US indices. NASDAQ: Recovery expected DOW: Targeting 49200–49500 This aligns with current liquidity flow and the typical pre‑CPI positioning unwind. Confidence Stays High The structure is clean, the fundamentals are supportive, and fear‑based selling rarely sustains. We stay disciplined, follow the targets, and ride the recovery. LETS GO
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
1
DAX.GER - LETS GOTeam Update – DAX Trade Plan Eight hours ago, we went long on DAX and successfully hit our target. Momentum has continued to hold, so we are taking the next setup. New Long Position Entry Zone: 24440–24455 Stop Loss: 23283 Targets Target 1: 24486–24515 - Take 30% partial. Move stop loss to breakeven Target 2: 24555–24630 Expectation: Either during European market open, or Before the US market open The structure is clean, liquidity is aligned, and continuation is highly probable. LETS GO
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
2
DAX/GER - Market Outlook & Trade PlanGreat work today — BOTH UK100 and AUS200 smashed their targets. Momentum is lining up exactly as expected. Now shifting focus to DAX with a clean, disciplined plan: DAX Trade Plan Entry Zone Buy Limit: 24300–24320 STOP LOSS SL: 23260 Target 1: 24365–24415 - Take partial profits. Move stop loss to breakeven Target 2: 24435–24600 Expected to be reached by the next US market open Rough estimate: ~20 hours from now Market Timing Expectations European Open Tomorrow We expect Target 1 to be hit comfortably during the first phase of European market activity. Recovery Window First 6–8 hours: Market should stabilise and build structure Following 16–24 hours: Strong recovery expected, aligning with US session momentum This aligns with current liquidity cycles and the broader recovery pattern we’ve been tracking. LETS GO
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
3
Germany 40 :: Trend-Aligned Bullish Trade Setup📈 GERMANY 40 (DAX 40) INDEX - BULLISH PULLBACK CONTINUATION 🚀 Day/Swing Trade Strategic Entry Guide | CFD Market Opportunity 🎯 TRADING SETUP OVERVIEW Asset: DAX 40 Index (German Blue-Chip Equities) 🇩🇪 Current Market Level: ≈ 24,896 - 24,950 EUR (As of Jan 27, 2026) 52-Week Range: 18,489.91 - 25,507.79 EUR YTD Performance: +16.13% | Month Trend: +2.48% | Weekly: -1.72% Market Trend: Bullish with Pullback Consolidation Phase ✅ 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - PRICE ACTION SETUP Bullish Thesis: SMA Pullback + Reversal Confirmation ✨ Strategy Structure: Primary Trend: Uptrend Intact (ATH: 25,507.79 on Jan 13, 2026) 📈 Current Correction: Healthy consolidation zone between 24,400 - 24,950 Technical Signal: Simple Moving Average (SMA) pullback with support validation Market Cycle: Transitioning from retracement phase → acceleration phase 🎪 ENTRY STRATEGY - TIERED LIMIT LAYER APPROACH "Smart money enters at strength, not at desperation!" 💡 TIER 1 - AGGRESSIVE ENTRY (First Confirmation Signal) Price Level: 24,700 EUR ✅ Rationale: Tests 61.8% Fibonacci retracement + Daily support zone Risk Profile: Medium - Immediate technical resistance above TIER 2 - OPTIMAL ENTRY (Recommended Sweet Spot) Price Level: 24,800 EUR 🎯 Rationale: Key consolidation support + Previous PoC (Point of Control) Risk Profile: Best Risk/Reward Ratio Volume Profile Strength: High liquidity, support bounce evidence TIER 3 - CONSERVATIVE ENTRY (Maximum Confirmation) Price Level: 24,900 EUR 📍 Rationale: Final retest of recent swing high + SMA convergence zone Risk Profile: Lower volatility entry, higher probability confirmation Entry Execution: Use LIMIT ORDERS ONLY for superior execution Avoid MARKET ORDERS (slippage risk in index trading) Set entries 5-10 minutes before Frankfurt Open (8:00-9:00 CET) Stack 3 positions across all tiers to maximize edge 🎲 TARGET LEVELS - PROFIT TAKING STRATEGY PRIMARY TARGET: 25,500 EUR 🚀 Distance from Entry: +600 to +800 points Technical Reason: 📌 Fibonacci Resistance Cluster (78.6% projection) 📌 Previous ATH breakout zone (25,507.79) 📌 Overbought RSI signals exit at this junction 📌 Institutional resistance + Order clustering Risk Factor: Strong resistance confluences - expect rejection/consolidation SECONDARY TARGET: 25,200 EUR ⭐ Conservative Exit: Take partial profits here (50% position) Reason: Second resistance tier, risk management checkpoint TRAILING PROFIT STRATEGY: Lock gains at +400 points minimum Trail stop-loss above recent swing lows DISCLAIMER: Risk management is YOUR responsibility ⚠️ 🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT - CAPITAL PRESERVATION Recommended SL Placement: 24,600 EUR 💪 Distance from Optimal Entry (24,800): -200 points loss maximum Technical Justification: 📍 Sits below key daily support pivot (24,412.21) 📍 Below 61.8% Fibonacci support zone 📍 If this breaks = trend reversal confirmed Risk per Trade: 2-3% portfolio allocation recommended AGGRESSIVE SL (For Strong Risk Appetite): 24,650 EUR Tighter, reduces loss magnitude Increases stop hunts/whipsaws probability CONSERVATIVE SL (For Capital Preservation): 24,400 EUR Allows more room for consolidation noise Slightly wider but higher survival rate ⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER: Your stop-loss placement is YOUR decision based on risk tolerance. Don't copy blindly. Adjust to YOUR account size and risk parameters! 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH - CONFLUENCE TRADING POSITIVE CORRELATIONS (Move Together ↔️) 1. EUR/USD 💱 - EUROPEAN CURRENCY STRENGTH Ticker: EURUSD / FX:EURUSD Why It Matters: DAX composed of Eurozone exporters; EUR strength = DAX benefits Current Level: ~1.1700 (Monitor resistance/support) Watch Signal: Break above 1.1700 = additional bullish catalyst for DAX Impact: 0.70+ correlation coefficient 2. EUROSTOXX 50 📊 - BROADER EUROPEAN EQUITIES Ticker: ^STOXX50 / TVC:ESTX50 Why It Matters: DAX is largest component; often leads EStoxx movement Setup Advantage: Confirm DAX strength via European sector index Divergence Risk: If DAX rallies but EuroStoxx lags = weakness warning 3. S&P 500 / SPX 🇺🇸 - GLOBAL RISK SENTIMENT BAROMETER Ticker: ^GSPC / TVC:SPX500 Why It Matters: Risk-on/risk-off appetite flows across Atlantic Current Level: ~6,915 (Monitor Fed decision impact) Correlation Context: 0.65+ during bull markets; weakens in crisis Trade Signal: SPX strength > DAX often precedes 24-48hr DAX surge 4. FTSE 100 📍 - UK EQUITY BENCHMARK Ticker: ^FTSE / TVC:UK100 Why It Matters: Close correlation to DAX; financials + commodities exposure Monitor: If FTSE breaks key support = risk-off signal for DAX INVERSE CORRELATIONS (Opposite Moves) ⚡ 1. USD/INDEX 💪 - US DOLLAR STRENGTH Ticker: DXY / USDINDEX Why It Matters: Strong USD = headwind for DAX exporters Watch: If DXY rallies above 109 = potential DAX pressure Setup: Weakness in USD = tailwind for continental Europe stocks 2. VIX / VOLATILITY INDEX 😰 Ticker: ^VIX / CVIX Why It Matters: Rising fear = risk-off = DAX weakness Safe Zone: VIX below 18 = bullish backdrop for DAX Warning Signal: VIX spike above 25 = trend reversal risk 📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS - MACRO DRIVERS FOR 2026 🇩🇪 GERMAN ECONOMIC STRENGTH NARRATIVE ✅ 1. FISCAL STIMULUS BOOST 💰 (Major Positive) €127 Billion Defense + Infrastructure Spending (2026): Government approved new €500B special fund for infrastructure Defense spending exempted from debt brake (1%+ of GDP) Multiplier effect expected Q2-Q4 2026 Impact on DAX: Infrastructure/defense contractors (Rheinmetall, Airbus) → Upside Status: Already approved, beginning implementation phase 2. ECONOMIC RECOVERY TRAJECTORY 📈 Bundesbank Forecast: GDP stagnation 2025 → +1.2% growth 2026-2027 Growth Driver: Export resurgence starting Q2 2026 Manufacturing Momentum: German Composite PMI = 52.5 (3-month high, Jan 2026) Implication: Peak pessimism already priced in; upside surprise likely 3. INFLATION NORMALIZATION ✨ (Supportive for Equities) German HICP Inflation: 2.0% (Dec 2025) - At ECB 2% target! Forecast Path: 2.1% (2026) → 1.9% (2027) → 2.0% (2028) Real Wage Growth: +8.5% minimum wage increases announced Equity Impact: Lower inflation removes rate hike fears; supports valuations 4. ECB POLICY STANCE 🏦 (Supportive Hold) ECB Rate Decision: HOLD at 2.0% deposit rate through 2026 Rationale: Inflation at target (2%), growth resilient at 1.4% Next Hike Expected: Mid-2027 only (if inflation accelerates) Market Impact: Monetary accommodation extended; liquidity supportive ⚠️ HEADWIND FACTORS TO MONITOR 🚨 1. US TARIFF UNCERTAINTY 🎯 Trump Administration Risk: 200% threats on French goods, potential EU tariffs DAX Impact: Export-dependent companies (SAP, Siemens, Allianz) face pressure Mitigation: German fiscal spending partially offsets export weakness 2. GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS 🌍 Recent De-escalation: Greenland concern subsided (net positive for risk sentiment) Ongoing Risks: Russia/Ukraine, Middle East remain volatile Market Effect: Drives intermittent VIX spikes; creates trading noise 3. CHINA COMPETITIVE PRESSURE 🐉 EV Transition Challenge: German auto industry facing Chinese EV competition DAX Exposures: BMW, Mercedes, Volkswagen at risk long-term Silver Lining: German tech (SAP, Infineon) + defense spending counters 📅 UPCOMING ECONOMIC CALENDAR - KEY DATES TO WATCH Jan 28-29, 2026 🇺🇸 US Fed Decision (HIGH IMPACT) - Watch for rate hold + forward guidance signals that could shift risk sentiment Jan 30, 2026 🏦 ECB Policy Decision (MEDIUM IMPACT) - Expected rate hold at 2.0%; confirmation keeps monetary accommodation supportive Late Jan 2026 💻 SAP Q4 Earnings (HIGH IMPACT) - Tech sector bellwether; strong results = DAX upside catalyst Feb 2026 🏭 German Factory Orders (MEDIUM IMPACT) - Measures economic momentum; growth above forecast = bullish for exporters Q1 2026 📊 German GDP Data (HIGH IMPACT) - Recovery confirmation; expected +1.2% growth validates our bullish thesis Feb/Mar 2026 📈 ECB Inflation Data (MEDIUM IMPACT) - Maintains 2% target check; any spike above = potential rate hike concerns 💡 TRADER'S EDGE - THIEF TRADER PHILOSOPHY "The market rewards patience, position sizing, and profit-taking discipline more than perfect timing." TRADING COMMANDMENTS 📜 ✅ DO THIS: Plan your trade → Trade your plan (No emotion) Use limit entries at calculated levels (Avoid chase buying) Take profits incrementally (50% at target 2, trail the rest) Respect stops (Losses are learning fees) Scale position size to risk tolerance (2-3% loss = survival mode) ❌ AVOID THIS: FOMO entries at market price (Slippage killer) Holding through TP target (Greed loses gains) Moving stops against you (Stop-hunt protection lost) Averaging down in downtrends (Pyramid to danger) Ignoring correlation signals (Confluence > single indicator) 🎯 RISK DISCLOSURE & IMPORTANT WARNINGS ⚠️ THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! 💼 Trader's Acknowledgment: Index CFD trading carries EXTREME RISK - 80%+ of retail traders lose capital You can lose MORE than your initial deposit (leverage = double-edged sword) Past performance (DAX +16.13% YTD) ≠ Future results Geopolitical/economic shocks can gap markets against your stops ONLY risk capital you can afford to lose completely 🔐 Your Responsibility: This analysis is educational framework, not a trading signal Entry price selection (24,700 / 24,800 / 24,900) is YOUR choice Stop-loss placement must match YOUR risk tolerance Take-profit levels are suggestions—adjust to YOUR psychology Consult a licensed financial advisor before trading Use demo account first to validate edge 🚀 FINAL WISDOM - TRADER'S MANTRA "In trading, capital preservation beats capital accumulation. A small, consistent edge + compound returns = wealth." The Setup is Clear. Entry signals are prepared. Confluence is established. Now it's YOUR move. Will you wait for confirmation? Will you scale entries? Will you honor your stops? The market doesn't care about your opinion. It only respects price action and risk management. Trade with purpose. Trade with discipline. Trade to survive another day. 🎲 May your entries be precise, your exits be profitable, and your psychology be unshakeable. 💪
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by The-Thief
Dax - Short Term Buy IdeaH1 - Strong bullish momentum. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EIGHTCAP:GER40Long
by VladimirRibakov
DAX/GER - THEY DONE IT AGAINTeam, last two days I been able to make quite good profit on DAX, yes, you need to understand where the market move and able to take on scalping trade, Last two days, it has reached new high, but also give you room to short and take profit around 25000-25030 The price currently at 25198 and when the real market open, it could retest the old high at 25225-30. twice it reach that level resistance Just encase it break out, it likely to heading toward 25250-60 ranges, and it will start to drop back toward 25085-50 So short now at this level 25198-25203 - STOP LOSS at 25315 We need to give room if the market goes against us toward 25250-25260 then I will short more heavier at this level. Target 1 at 25167-25145 Target 2 at 25087-25050 NOTE: I STILL expect the market will pull down toward 24600-24400 Last 6 months ago, I was prove my trading $1000 turn into 100k in 6 months I recently prove again $400, turn over 22k in 6 weeks, using scalping and swing trade. All my trades post daily in my Community. LETS GO
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
DAX30/GER30 - WAKE UP AT 4AMTeam, I just wake up at 4am Earlier we kill the DAX with both target hit, please check previous posted. NOW, we have opportunity to short at much more better price, as I expect the retest will come back. Time to short at 24877-24886, STOP LOSS at 24965 Target 1 at 24832-24816 - take partial and bring stop loss to BE Target 2 at 24796-24785 LETS GO AND KILL THE BEAST. NOTE: I expect the market will drop once the REAL EUROPEANING market opening which is estimate 14-16 hours from here!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
DAX30/GER30 - Short Setup — Structured Trade PlanTeam, it has been a while since we trade DAX, since holiday season, i just take it easy and do more scalping trade. Earlier Execution Short entry: 23,459 Partial TP: 23,426 Nice scalp — clean reaction, good risk control. Current Bias Market still in holiday‑flow mode Liquidity pockets are thin DAX pushing into premium levels You’re anticipating a liquidity grab → rejection → short continuation Entry Zone (Short) 24,465–24,472 This aligns with: Liquidity above intraday highs A likely sweep zone before reversal A premium pricing pocket for shorts Target 1: 24,426–24,415 Take partial Move stop to break‑even Lock in a risk‑free runner Target 2: 24,389–24,372 Full target zone LETS GO
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
3
DAX40 Momentum Shift: Layered Buy Setup for Clean Profit Flow🚀 DAX40 (GER40) BULLISH BREAKOUT ALERT! | Layer Strategy for MAX Gains 🚀 📈 DAX40 BULLISH BREAKOUT CONFIRMED! 🏆 (Swing/Day Trade Setup with Layer Entry) 📊 Idea: Strong bullish momentum on the GER40 / DAX 40 following a decisive breakout above key moving averages! Perfect setup for a structured "thief-style" layered entry to capitalize on the trend. 🔑 KEY LEVELS & PLAN: Trend: Bullish (MA Breakout Confirmation) Entry Strategy: "Thief" Layer Method 🎯 Use multiple BUY LIMIT orders at key dips: 23,600 | 23,700 | 23,800 | 23,900 (Add more layers based on your capital). This averages your entry and maximizes opportunity on pullbacks. Stop Loss (SL): 23,400 (Thief OG's Zone ⚠️). IMPORTANT NOTE: Adjust your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance & strategy! This is a guide, not financial advice. Protect your capital. Take Profit (TP): Target Zone: 24,500 🎯 Strong resistance & potential overbought trap area. Secure profits wisely! REMINDER: Manage your own TP. Take money at your own risk. 💎 PRO TRADER NOTES: This "thief" layer strategy requires patience & discipline. Let the market come to your orders. Never risk more than 1-2% per layer. Trade with a plan, not emotion! 🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (KEY CORRELATIONS): FX:EURUSD : INVERSE Correlation. A stronger Euro can pressure DAX (export-heavy index). Watch for USD weakness supporting DAX rallies. CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones) / SP:SPX (S&P 500): POSITIVE Correlation. US market strength often lifts European indices. Key for overall risk sentiment. ICMARKETS:STOXX50 (Euro Stoxx 50): HIGH Correlation. Broader European index performance. BUND Futures (/FGBL): INVERSE Correlation. Rising German bond yields (falling prices) can signal economic optimism, often supporting DAX. EUR/GBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ): UK/EU economic relative strength flows. 👇 LIKE & FOLLOW if you found this useful! 💬 COMMENT your entry levels or chart insights below! 🔔 Click the BELL on my profile for real-time idea alerts! #DAX #GER40 #TradingView #Breakout #Bullish #SwingTrading #DayTrading #LayerStrategy #TradingPlan #Forex #Indices #Investing #Stocks #ThiefStrategy #EURUSD
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by The-Thief
DAX30/GER30 - SETTING UP A TRADETeam, we been very successful trading DAX in the past and many successful trade the current price at 24130, we are not going to suicide at this entry level We wait for a set up entry at 24000-23960 rangs, STOP LOSS at 23860 Target 1 at 24085-96 Target 2 at 24115-24150 Target 3 at 24180-24280 Lets be patience to see if our entry price hit, do NOT rush into a trade. keep an eye on it today once the DAX market open, half an hour after real market open! LETS GO
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
GER40 Trade Idea: The Perfect Pullback Before Liftoff!I enjoy trading GER40, especially during the London session, where we consistently see a phase of manipulation followed by a clean move toward the target. At the moment, the structure is showing a similar pattern. Although the HTF suggests a broader correction toward the 22,000 area, I’m looking for a short-term setup for next week. My scenarios: 1) Primary scenario: A move lower into the first Daily FVG, which is also visible on the 4H and 1H timeframes—confirming its validity. After a test of this zone and a liquidity grab around the 23,700 area, I expect price to move upward toward the 0.70–0.79 Fibonacci retracement, where I will look to take profit. 2) Alternative scenario (less likely): A deeper correction into the second Daily FVG, which is only visible on the Daily timeframe. Due to its limited confluence, this scenario has lower probability. Execution plan: I’ll wait for price to trade into one of these FVGs, then look for LTF reversal signals to execute a long position targeting the 0.70–0.79 Fibonacci zone. If you enjoy this type of analysis, make sure to follow and like this idea.
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by Almenio
Dax Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EIGHTCAP:GER40Short
by VladimirRibakov
DAX: Sideways at ATH, Q3 Coil → Q4 Pop?Since May the DAX has moved sideways at/near all-time highs. Q3 has been chop as expected, but momentum hasn’t broken—buyers keep defending the 23.4–23.7k shelf. I’m leaning into seasonality and prior behavior: staying long for a push into quarter-end, then I’ll reassess. Plan on scaling out into 24,500 → 24,600 → 24,700 (ATH supply), with risk tucked below the recent range floor. Technicals • Structure: Multi-month range at the highs; no decisive lower-low. The 4H view shows repeated rejections of a minor descending supply line while the base at ~23,6xx keeps holding. • Entry zone: 23,620–23,720 (range support / prior VWAP shelf). • Invalidation: daily close below 23,200–23,300 (range break). • Targets: 24,000 (psych), 24,300 (mid-supply), 24,600 (ATH line from your chart). • Breadth/rotation clues (dashboard): Financials firm, tech mixed, autos soft; overall market still balanced rather than risk-off—consistent with consolidation, not reversal. • Tape feel: Repeated “muted opens” with buyers showing up later in the session fits the grind-higher playbook into month/quarter end. Fundamentals • Macro tone: US risk appetite improved after the Fed’s first cut, even as Powell tempered hopes of an aggressive path—enough to cap deep corrections but still supportive of equities. European desk notes point to a restrained start, not a bear impulse. • Germany specifics: Headlines flag auto-sector warnings (VW/Porsche) weighing on sentiment, but banks and select industrials offset—matching the mixed sector board rather than broad deterioration. • Flows/seasonality: Quarter-end & Q4 seasonality often favor indices that have consolidated at highs; with DAX still ~1k points off the record, a range breakout toward 24.3k–24.65k is a reasonable path before re-calibrating. • Risks to thesis: Another round of negative guidance from autos, hotter-than-expected US data re-pricing fewer cuts, or a clean daily close below 23.2k (range failure). Trade what’s on the chart, respect the invalidation, and pay yourself into strength. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by AR33_
DAX/GER30 - TIME TO FISHINGTeam, thank for your patience, this morning i sent out 12 hours ago to enter this range. But during the day i found a good entry so we did, in and out quickly with target hit. NOW IS PERFECT TIME. We are looking to enter long at 23600-23575 ranges WITH STOP LOSS at 23540 Once it hit our entry, wait for above 23650, bring stop loss to BE Target 1 at 23665-23685 Target 2 at 23735-23745 Target 3 at 23705-23865 SO PLEASE BE PATIENT, as soon as I can, I will update the comment. LETS GO FISHING
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
2