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EURAUD: Counter-Trend TradeNot my conventional signal as this one is looking to trade in the opposite of the trend. Daily Timeframe: EMA20 is barely below EMA60 > downside momentum might pick up Price is barely crossing below EMA20 > another indication of downside momentum Price crossed below ATL, pulled back, and now seems to be continuing lower H1 Timeframe: Price crosses below ATL > first indication of uptrend failing to continue Note that EMA20 is above EMA60 still > there is a risk that this will trap sellers
Short
by FinancialGamblR
EURJPY: Trend ContinuationNot many confluences here, but there's one key observation on the daily timeframe and another key observation on the H1 timeframe. Daily Timeframe: Price crossed the HTL two days ago, and failed to close below it yesterday The current session's bullish bar signals that momentum is likely to continues upward H1 Timeframe: The DTL isn't really at play anymore, not fully marking a clean momentum break However, price crossing above the EMA20 and exiting the EMA20-60 band signals intraday momentum is accelerating as well
Long
by FinancialGamblR
1
Short AUDJPY – Momentum Reversal Play📉 **Forex Trading Idea: Short AUDJPY – Momentum Reversal Play** The AUDJPY pair presents a compelling short opportunity, driven by a confluence of macro momentum and technical precision. Fundamentally, the Australian Dollar (AUD) is under pressure amid weakening commodity demand and dovish central bank tones, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) is gaining strength as risk sentiment shifts and safe-haven flows intensify. This divergence sets the stage for a strategic short position. Technically, AUDJPY has approached a key resistance zone between **97.81 and 98.12**, where price action has historically stalled. This area aligns with a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum, making it an ideal entry for a reversal trade. Traders should monitor for bearish candlestick patterns or momentum divergence within this zone to confirm entry. The trade targets are well-defined: **TP1 at 97.38** captures the initial retracement, while **TP2 at 96.95** aims for a deeper correction aligned with previous support levels. A **stop loss at 98.40** provides a disciplined exit above the resistance zone, maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio. This setup suits both day traders and swing traders, depending on execution and holding strategy. The trade thesis hinges on AUD weakness and JPY strength, supported by technical resistance and momentum indicators. As always, traders should remain vigilant for macroeconomic news or central bank commentary that could impact currency flows. In summary, this AUDJPY short is a tactical play on momentum reversal, offering a clean setup with defined levels and a strong narrative. Patience and precision will be key to capitalizing on this opportunity.
Short
by ICT_Trader_SB
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,687.16 (resistance) and $3,675.64 (support). We’re trading around $3,683–$3,684 inside a tight box. Scalps can work, but reversals are quick. 🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus — fundamentals supportive) Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,687.16 (not just a wick). Targets: $3,689.59 → $3,692.00 → $3,695.06. Management: Take partials at $3,689.59, move SL to breakeven once $3,687 holds on a retest. Trail remainder if momentum continues. Fundamental note: 25bps rate cut odds are at 100% and there are rumours of a 50bps cut. The FOMC move is largely priced in, so a strong sustained leg higher is limited unless a surprise 50bps cut appears. Still, fundamentals favor looking for longs on confirmation. 🔽 Bearish Plan (secondary — cleaner below support) Trigger: 30min body close below $3,675.64. Targets: $3,673.66 → $3,671.30 → $3,669.64 (trail if sellers stay in control). Management: Scale partials at $3,673.66, protect the rest at breakeven. 🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size) Shorts: $3,686–$3,687 on a clear rejection → aim $3,680–$3,682, SL above rejection high. Longs: $3,675–$3,676 on a strong rejection wick → aim mid-range, SL below $3,674. ⚠️ Use reduced size, chop can reverse fast. ✅ Break Confirmation Strong 30-min body close through the level. Momentum expansion after the close. ❌ Invalidation Breakout closes back inside the box on the next candle → likely trap. Multiple wick pierces with no follow-through. 📌 Bottom Line Above $3,687.16 → bullish bias toward $3,689.59 / $3,692.00 / $3,695.06. Below $3,675.64 → bearish bias toward $3,673.66 / $3,671.30 / $3,669.64. Inside the box = scalp only, keep size tight. Primary focus: longs on confirmed close above $3,687.16 (fundamentals supportive; full momentum requires surprise 50bps cut).
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxt8
CHFJPY: Trend ContinuationAfter a pullback throughout August, it seems like this pair is gaining its momentum back. Here are my observations over on different timeframes. Daily Timeframe: EMA20 is above EMA60, which signals there's an overall uptrend Price also pulled back and stayed above the DTL, indicating that this breakout is successful H1 Timeframe: Price crosses above the DTL, which is another indication that trend confluence is resuming EMA20 being above EMA60 and diverging is giving indications that momentum is likely picking up
Long
by FinancialGamblR
CADCHF: Trend ContinuationCADCHF continues to remain bearish as it holds below the key level on the daily timeframe. Here's a summary of my key observations over on the daily and intraday timeframes. Daily Timeframe: Price broke the key support level in early September After some sideways price action, price is currently making a bearish bar that engulfs the prior day's doji H1 Timeframe: Price broke through the ATL, which shows confluence with the downtrend EMA20 is also below EMA60, moving further apart to signal momentum is picking up Price is also below EMA20, which signals confluence with downtrend as well
Short
by FinancialGamblR
Gold (XAUUSD) – 15 Sep | Watching 3638–42 & 3647–51 for Shorts🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 15 September Market Context • As per our 12 Sep Analysis , market retested 3651 – 3657 (LH + supply zone) and resumed its downtrend. • Price is now expected to continue lower and create a new lower low below the previous one at 3612 . • In today’s Asian session, internal structure also broke to the downside, confirming alignment with the broader bearish trend. Key Observations • First Zone to Watch: 3638 – 3642 (recent order block). If price retraces here and shows LTF confirmation , we will look to short. • Next POI: 3647 – 3651 (M15 POI + LH zone). If the first zone fails, this is our next preferred level for a potential short setup. • Market structure continues to form lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing our bearish bias. Execution Plan Wait for price to pull back into 3638 – 3642 OB or 3647 – 3651 POI. Watch M1 for confirmation (micro-ChoCh / micro-BoS). On confirmation, execute a short setup with fixed risk ( SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips , 1:3 R:R). If both zones fail, step aside and reassess before taking any trade. Patience is also a position — let price come to you before taking action. Bias for Today 📉 Bearish only. Looking for shorts from OB or POI with confirmation. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
EURUSD: Big Liquidity Trap in Play – Smart Money Short AheadLiquidity sweep is done. Refined 1H supply zone above price is where Smart Money is waiting. Here’s the full breakdown 👇 🔎 Market Context Weekly CHoCH confirmed bullish rally from 1.1608 lows. Price swept the H Week of 1–5 → H Week of 8–12, tapping into liquidity. Now consolidating mid-range, showing signs of distribution. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 📌 Key Observations Liquidity Grab above prior highs into supply. Refined 1H POI overhead (purple zone) = high-probability short trigger. BOS confirms bearish intent after rejection. Multiple downside liquidity targets remain untested. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🎯 Trade Plan Entry: Wait for mitigation + rejection inside 1H POI (confirmation on lower TFs). Stops: Above 1.1784 liquidity sweep. Targets: TP1 → 1.1700 (first liquidity shelf) TP2 → 1.1661 (Weekly Low 8–12) TP3 → 1.1608 (major demand zone) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ⚖️ Risk–Reward Setup offers 3R–5R potential. Bias remains bearish unless price reclaims & closes above 1.1779. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 📢 Final Note This idea highlights how liquidity sweeps + POI refinement create low-risk, high-reward setups. Patience pays — don’t chase inside chop. 💬 What’s your bias on EURUSD? Do we reject the supply zone or break higher? Drop your thoughts 👇
by BFUFX_MARKETS
GBP/USD Base Case for the Week Ahead (Structural View)The path of least resistance is eventually lower for Cable. Using short-term strength (e.g., from hot UK data or a weak Dollar) as opportunities to establish or add to strategic short positions for a major move lower. For This Week: Be agile. Recognise that price action will be a battle between: Short-Term Sterling Longs: Betting on the carry trade and a weak dollar. Long-Term Sterling Shorts: Betting on the UK's fundamental decay.. Key Levels remain: 1.400 demand and 1.500 to 1.600 for supply. With 1.3725 and above for strategic shorts. A break below 1.400 would signal the institutional shorts have already built their book. Base case is more distribution above 1.500 and bounce from 1.400 suggests the carry trade is still in play for a little while longer.
by PointBreak42
2
Gold (XAUUSD) – 12 Sep | Short Setup Watching 3651 – 3657.6 POI🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 12 September Market Context • Price is currently trading around 3649, approaching our fresh M15 POI (3651 – 3657.6) . • We have seen a recent Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, confirming a short-term shift to bearish sentiment. • Price has now retraced back into the POI zone, aligning with a potential short setup area. Key Observations • POI Zone: 3651 – 3657.6 (aligned with LH + supply zone) • Liquidity Sweep Potential: Price might push slightly above the POI to grab liquidity before resuming the downtrend. • Structure: Market is forming lower highs and lower lows after the BoS, reinforcing a bearish bias unless price closes decisively above the POI. Execution Plan • Wait for price to retest 3651 – 3657.6 • Look for M1 confirmation (micro-ChoCh / micro-BoS) • If confirmation aligns → plan short setup with fixed risk ( SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips , 1:3 R:R) • If the POI is broken → step aside and reassess deeper levels Invalidation A clean break and 15M candle close above 3657.6 invalidates the short idea. Patience pays — let the market reject the POI before committing capital. Bias for Today 📉 Bearish only. Short setups will be taken only from the POI zone with confirmation. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
SPY's Final Wall: The Bearish ThesisRight now, SPY is facing the most significant confluence of resistance trend lines it has seen in years. Think of this as the ultimate ceiling—a multi-layered wall that the bulls have to smash through. The market's parabolic move has pushed the price to this critical point. But here's the thesis: the combined strength of these converging trend lines is just too much. The buying power is exhausted. We believe this is a classic rollover setup. Instead of a breakout to new highs, we expect a strong rejection from this level. The price will hit this solid wall of resistance and turn over, leading to a significant pullback. The current price isn't a simple pause; it's a test of strength that the bulls are likely to fail. Day Trade/Swing Trade Idea: Short at red arrow and cover at the green arrow
AMEX:SPYShort
by GoldenTraderz_2025
2
Gold (XAUUSD) – 11 Sep | Next Short POI(3643.8–3646.7) in Focus🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 11 September Market Overview Gold remains in an H4 pullback phase after making the all-time high at 3674.650 . The M15 trend is aligned to the downside and recently printed a Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming bearish continuation. Current Market Scenario • H4: Pullback phase active, looking for continuation lower • M15: Bearish trend intact, recently made a new lower low (BoS) Key POI for Today 🔹 Our next potential M15 POI for a short setup is 3643.8–3646.7 . If price retests this zone and provides LTF confirmation (micro-ChoCh / BoS) , we will plan a short setup from here. Execution Plan Wait for price to retest 3643.8–3646.7 Drop to M1 for micro confirmation If confirmation aligns, execute short with fixed risk ( SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips , 1:3 R:R) If the zone fails, step aside and reassess Patience is a position — wait for the market to give you the setup, not the other way around. Important Note Today’s CPI event is expected to cause high volatility. Avoid trading during news spikes unless a very clear, high-probability setup forms. Bias for Today 📉 Bearish only . All setups will be taken from M15 POI with confirmation. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
CADCHF: Trend Continues Below Daily LevelCADCHF is beginning to show confluence, which gives me an opportunity to frame my entry opportunity. Here are the key observations across the daily and H1 timeframes. Daily Timeframe: Price made a strong break below the HTL and is holding below it. Although two bullish bar formed, they did not engulf the previous bearish bar, which is a good indication that buying strengh just isn't there. H1 Timeframe: There's quite a bit of confluence on the H1 timeframe with the first being price entering and exiting the potential supply zone. In addition, price is about to cross below the ATL, which is another sign that the counter-trend move is ending. Finally, there's confluence with the moving averages where EMA20 is crossing below EMA60; price is also beginning to cross below EMA20.
Short
by FinancialGamblR
Sep 10 MES Recap: Watching MAG7, Session Highs/Lows, and Higher MES Journal – September 10, 2025 Today I traded MES using supply and demand levels, while also tracking leadership from the MAG7 (with QQQ as my main proxy). Track the MAG7 with me on TradingView using the MAG7 List . I didn’t trade with this strategy until a few guys in my Discord recommended it. I had a bit of a learning curve, but I finished green on most accounts for the first time in a while. Context I Tracked Asian session high/low: 6,514 / 6,492 London session high/low: 6,528 / 6,506 Previous day high/low: 6,536.25 / 6,489.25 PPI report (Aug 2025): -0.1% vs forecast, shifted bias from bullish to bearish intraday VWAP levels on both ES and QQQ Wins Stayed green overall on funded accounts with payout potential. Saw the end-of-day pump confirmed by MAG7, even after an initial retrace. Reinforced my supply/demand and VWAP process. Losses and Lessons Learned Entered one trade without higher timeframe confirmation, which cost me a FundingTicks eval account (treating this loss as tuition). Learned that higher timeframes (1H/4H/Daily) must confirm intraday levels before entering. Looking Forward I’ll combine: Supply/Demand + Session Highs/Lows Leader ETF (QQQ/MGK/MAG7) Higher Timeframes (1H/4H/Daily) This approach gives me more conviction and fewer blind trades. Indicators Since I’m still learning how to mark levels properly, I’m starting out with indicators to help reinforce that I’m using potentially correct levels. I primarily used: Asian & London Sessions High/Lows Previous Highs & Lows Supply and Demand Visible Range TradingView default VWAP indicator
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EliasVictor
1