DCRUSDT โ Long-Term Downtrend Pressure vs Major Demand ZoneDecred (DCR) on the Weekly timeframe is still trading within a long-term bearish structure, characterized by a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the 2021 peak. However, price is currently sitting inside a major historical demand zone at 14.5 โ 11.5, which has repeatedly acted as a strong accumulation base in the past.
This zone is a critical decision area that will determine whether DCR can form a macro reversal or continue its long-term decline.
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Pattern Explanation
1. Descending Trendline (Primary Resistance)
The descending yellow trendline represents a long-term bearish resistance originating from the 2021 all-time high.
Multiple breakout attempts have failed, with price consistently getting rejected and continuing lower.
2. Base Accumulation / Long-Term Demand Zone
The yellow box at 14.5 โ 11.5 marks a strong demand area that:
Previously acted as major resistance
Hosted extended consolidation phases
Has absorbed selling pressure multiple times
This behavior suggests possible long-term accumulation.
3. False Breakout & Strong Rejection
The sharp impulse toward the 39โ44 zone was followed by aggressive rejection, indicating a liquidity grab rather than a sustainable bullish breakout.
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Key Levels
Major Support (Demand Zone): 14.5 โ 11.5
Immediate Resistance: 17.5 โ 18.5
Mid Resistance: 24.7 โ 28.4
Major Resistance: 39.4 โ 44.0
Long-Term Bullish Extensions: 67.8 โ 104 โ 179
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Bullish Scenario
Price holds firmly above the 14.5 โ 11.5 demand zone
A weekly higher low is formed
A confirmed weekly close above the descending trendline
Additional bullish confirmation if:
Price reclaims the 18 โ 20 area
Volume expands during the breakout
Bullish Targets (Step by Step):
18.5 โ 24.7 โ 28.4
Long-term extensions toward 39 โ 44, and potentially 67+ if the broader market cycle supports it
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Bearish Scenario
Price fails to hold the 14.5 โ 11.5 zone
A weekly close below 11.5
This breakdown would likely trigger:
Bearish continuation
Potential acceleration toward the 7 โ 6 (ATL zone)
A loss of this demand area would confirm that the long-term bearish trend remains dominant.
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Conclusion
DCRUSDT is currently trading at a make-or-break zone on the macro timeframe.
The 14.5 โ 11.5 demand zone is the key level defining the next major move.
Holding above it โ macro reversal potential
Breaking below it โ bearish continuation risk
Until price breaks and holds above the descending trendline, patience and confirmation remain essential on the weekly timeframe.
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#DCRUSDT #Decred #CryptoAnalysis #WeeklyChart #MacroAnalysis #Downtrend #DemandZone #SupportResistance #AltcoinAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #CryptoTrading
Dcranalysis
DCR/USDT Breaks 3-Year Downtrend โ Macro Reversal in Motion๐ Macro Overview:
After being trapped in a multi-year downtrend since early 2021, Decred (DCR) has now shown signs of a major breakout from the long-term descending trendline. This moment could mark a pivotal shift from accumulation to expansion, offering a strong bullish macro setup.
๐ง Technical Pattern & Structure Analysis:
๐ธ Dominant Pattern:
A long-standing descending triangle has formed, with a solid demand zone between $11.00 - $13.00, tested multiple times over the past 2 years.
While traditionally a bearish pattern, breaking to the upside here signals a reversal structure and the start of bullish momentum.
๐ธ Breakout Confirmation:
Price has now clearly broken above the long-term downtrend line originating from the 2021 top.
This breakout implies a macro trend shift, opening the door for a series of higher highs and higher lows.
๐ธ Strong Accumulation Zone:
The yellow zone ($11โ$13) has proven to be a high-conviction demand area, likely indicating institutional accumulation.
โ
Bullish Scenario (High Probability):
If the breakout holds and volume confirms:
๐ Key Upside Targets:
1. $24.71 โ First major resistance
2. $28.44 โ Psychological level and historical S/R flip
3. $34.00 โ Local top from recent past
4. $39.46 โ Strong horizontal resistance
5. $67.89 โ 2022 resistance and bullish confirmation level
6. $104.40 โ Mid-term parabolic extension target
๐ Likely structure: Breakout โ Retest โ Multi-wave rally upward.
> Strategy: Ideal for Buy on Retest or Swing Long setups.
โ Bearish Scenario (Low Probability โ Risk Management):
If the breakout fails and price dips back below $13:
Expect potential pullback to $11.00 - $10.00 support
Worst-case bearish continuation could revisit $6.00 (macro support)
Would signal a false breakout and continuation of the bearish trend
> Risk Strategy: Watch the volume โ weak volume could imply a fakeout.
๐ Supporting Technical Signals:
๐ Volume: Strong volume confirmation is essential for breakout validity
๐ Indicators Supporting Bullish Bias:
Weekly RSI hovering at neutral-bullish zones
Potential for a weekly EMA crossover (golden cross)
OBV shows signs of increasing accumulation pressure
๐งญ Conclusion & Strategy Insight:
This chart is signaling a high-conviction macro opportunity.
Breaking out from a 3-year downtrend is a rare technical event that has historically led to exponential moves. The key is confirmation through volume and healthy consolidation above the breakout line.
> "The longer the base, the stronger the breakout."
#DCR #Decred #AltcoinBreakout #MacroReversal #CryptoChartAnalysis #BullishSetup #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis #TrendReversal #AltcoinSeason
DCR (SPOT )BINANCE:DCRUSDT
DCR / USDT
(4H + 1D) time frames
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