GRSE: 6-Month Wedge Breakout | Shipbuilding Sector Rally StartSTRONG BUY Setup ⚓
Entry: ₹2,897-2,920 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹2,955-2,980
Target 2: ₹3,018-3,050
Target 3: ₹3,087-3,120
Target 4: ₹3,200-3,300+ (Extended Breakout Target)
Stop Loss: ₹2,800
Technical Rationale:
BREAKING OUT from 6-month falling wedge/descending channel (marked with black trendlines)
Strong +5.36% surge on daily chart showing powerful momentum
Breaking above both descending trendlines convincingly
Volume at 3.47M - strong for daily timeframe
Price breaking above critical resistance zone at 2,900-2,950
Trading above major support level at 2,800 (blue horizontal line)
RSI trending upward around 65-70 - strong bullish momentum
Defense/Shipbuilding sector - strategic importance with government focus
Breaking above rectangle consolidation (2,700-2,900 range)
Multiple resistance levels clearly marked: 2,955, 3,018, 3,087
Clean breakout from multi-month consolidation
Previous high at 3,600+ shows significant upside potential
Risk-Reward: Excellent 1:4+ ratio for extended targets
Pattern: FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT on DAILY Chart - highly reliable bullish reversal pattern combining with rectangle breakout
Strategy: Short to medium-term swing/positional (weeks to months)
Book 20% at T1 (2,970), 20% at T2 (3,035), 20% at T3 (3,100)
Hold remaining 40% for extended target 3,200-3,300+
Trail SL to 2,920 after crossing T1
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered.
Defensesector
Could One Alaskan Mine Reshape Global Power?Nova Minerals Limited has emerged as a strategically critical asset in the escalating U.S.-China resource competition, with its stock surging over 100% to reach a 52-week high. The catalyst is a $43.4 million U.S. Department of War funding award under the Defense Production Act to develop domestic military-grade antimony production in Alaska. Antimony, a Tier 1 critical mineral essential for defense munitions, armor, and advanced electronics, is currently imported by the U.S. in its entirety, with China and Russia controlling the global market. This acute dependency, coupled with China's recent export restrictions on rare earths and antimony, has elevated Nova from mining explorer to national security priority.
The company's dual-asset strategy offers investors exposure to both sovereign-critical antimony and high-grade gold reserves at its Estelle Project. With gold prices exceeding $4,000 per ounce amid geopolitical uncertainty, Nova's fast-payback RPM gold deposit (projected sub-one-year payback) provides crucial cash flow to self-fund the capital-intensive antimony development. The company has secured government backing for a fully integrated Alaskan supply chain from mine to military-grade refinery, bypassing foreign-controlled processing nodes. This vertical integration directly addresses supply chain vulnerabilities that policymakers now treat as wartime-level threats, evidenced by the Department of Defense's renaming to the Department of War.
Nova's operational advantage stems from implementing advanced X-Ray Transmission ore sorting technology, achieving a 4.33x grade upgrade while rejecting 88.7% of waste material. This innovation reduces capital requirements by 20-40% for water and energy, cuts tailings volume up to 60%, and strengthens environmental compliance critical for navigating Alaska's regulatory framework. The company has already secured land use permits for its Port MacKenzie refinery and is on track for initial production by 2027-2028. However, long-term scalability depends on the proposed $450 million West Susitna Access Road, with environmental approval expected in Winter 2025.
Despite receiving equivalent Department of War validation as peers like Perpetua Resources (market cap ~$2.4 billion) and MP Materials, Nova's current enterprise value of $222 million suggests significant undervaluation. The company has been invited to brief the Australian Government ahead of the October 20 Albanese-Trump summit, where critical minerals supply chain security tops the agenda. This diplomatic elevation, combined with JPMorgan's $1.5 trillion Security and Resiliency Initiative, which targets critical minerals, positions Nova as a cornerstone investment in Western supply chain independence. Success hinges on disciplined execution of technical milestones and securing major strategic partnerships to fund the estimated A$200-300 million full-scale development.
Can Stealth Redefine Power on the Battlefield?In a strategic leap forward, Northrop Grumman has introduced the Stand-in Attack Weapon (SiAW). This new air-to-ground missile promises to redefine the landscape of modern aerial warfare. This innovation, designed to be deployed from stealth aircraft like the F-35, offers unprecedented capabilities in striking high-value, mobile targets while keeping the launching platform safe from enemy defenses. The SiAW's development highlights a critical evolution in military technology, where speed, precision, and stealth converge to neutralize threats in complex, hostile environments.
The SiAW's design is not merely an incremental improvement but a paradigm shift. It builds upon the foundational technology of the AGM-88G AARGM-ER but goes further by increasing range, speed, and accuracy, all while ensuring compatibility with future stealth platforms. This missile is tailored to engage rapidly relocatable targets like missile launchers and electronic warfare systems, which are pivotal in modern anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) strategies. Its ability to operate autonomously after launch, even under conditions of electronic jamming, challenges military strategists to rethink traditional engagement tactics.
The implications of the SiAW extend beyond mere tactical advantages. With the U.S. Air Force planning to achieve initial operational capability by 2026 and aiming for a significant purchase by 2028, the missile is set to become a cornerstone in air combat strategy. It enhances U.S. military capabilities and signals a shift in international defense dynamics, prompting allies and adversaries to adapt their military doctrines.
Moreover, this development by Northrop Grumman sparks a conversation about the ethics and future of warfare. As technology allows for more precise and less risky engagements, the moral calculus of military operations shifts. This missile could - potentially decrease collateral damage, but it also raises questions about the increasing automation of war and the human element's role in decision-making processes.
Thus, the SiAW does not just push the envelope of what's technologically possible; it invites a deeper contemplation on the nature of conflict, the responsibilities of power, and the path forward in an era where technology can both protect and threaten on unimaginable scales. As we stand on the brink of this new frontier, one must ponder: How will such advancements shape the future of global security and peace?
A Long Term Investing Opportunity in Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.Hello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. Today i have brought a stock which is ready to fly in blue sky after 35% of correction from all time high. Stock name is Hindustan Aeronautics and it is engaged in the business of Manufacture of Aircraft and Helicopters and Repair, Maintenance of Aircraft and Helicopters.
Stock is really giving long term investing opportunity at the current price, as stock has already corrected almost 35% from all time high, so it is another opportunity to get this GEM on discounted price. I will recommend all of you to do SIP in this on regularly basis. I have a feeling and expectation that it is going to be added in NIFTY one day surely. Think for long term only. For short term i have already given levels on chart. No doubt if we can see this stock giving more than 1000% returns in next 7-10 years.
Clientele:-
The company plays a strategic role in India’s defense program as it is the core equipment supplier to the Indian Defense Services, including the Indian Air Force, Indian Navy, Indian Army, and Indian Coast Guard. It is highly dependent on contracts from Ministry of Defense.
Order Book:-
As of FY24, the order book stood at Rs 94,000 Cr compared to Rs. 82,000 Cr in FY22, with additional major orders expected during FY25. In FY24, the Company received manufacturing contracts of over Rs. 19,000 Cr and ROH Contracts of over Rs. 15,000 Cr. In September 2024, it received a new major contract from MoD for supply of 240 aero-engines for Su-30 MKI aircraft of the Indian Air Force for Rs. 26,000 Cr.
Manifacturing & R&D:-
The company has 20 production and overhaul divisions and 9 R&D centers across India. It inaugurated a new Design and Test facility at Aero Engine Research & Development Centre in Bangalore in December 2023, to accelerate R&D of aero-engines. It spends 7% to 8% of the total revenue on R&D, it has also created an R&D Reserve, an annual contribution of 15% of the operating PAT, is transferred into this reserve.
Market Cap
₹ 3,02,715 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 4,525
High / Low
₹ 5,675 / 1,768
Stock P/E
36.8
Book Value
₹ 434
Dividend Yield
0.77 %
ROCE
38.9 %
ROE
28.9 %
Face Value
₹ 5.00
Industry PE
71.6
Debt
₹ 49.4 Cr.
EPS
₹ 123
Promoter holding
71.6 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 1,509
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
22.9
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
26.5 %
Sales growth 5Years
8.71 %
Return over 5years
66.4 %
Debt to equity
0.00
Net profit
₹ 8,216 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
26.6 %
Profit growth
36.5 %
Earnings yield
3.88 %
PEG Ratio
1.39
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.



