Get started

Derivatives

GBPUSD ..GBPUSD... Overall the pair can use a dip down to 394X and a bounce off there could make its way to testing 425X or so. As of now there are chances of a drop to post double bottom formation to 399X low and a bounce or drop fuller as per 8 hr to do 394X and then a lift off. The pair has taken more of a back seat and looking up on chart does give an impression this has more erratic swings on it then a st line most would prefer. i.imgur.com GBPUSD 2 hr - Incase double bottoms i.imgur.com GBPUSD 8 hr - Preferred playout - down to 394X and then a bounce for having a temp low then to be in
Long
by TahirKhan
GBPJPY UPDATE.... The pair end up bouncing off the weekly minor supp off 151.6X and done a decent retrace so far. However; I think we just may dip once more and get to post a double bottom formation. Spotting a possible Bear Flag formation on 15 & 30 mins time frame and we just may top out rt around to 154 handle for the slide to take it back to testing lows.. Initial resis kick starts off 153.6X but hoping to see it makes it to around 154 handle.. 152.30-4X likely to find bids on the drop now .. i.imgur.com GBPJPY 15 mins - Possible Bear Flag
Short
by TahirKhan
GBPJPY.. Tentative View.. 151.50-7X may provide temp bottom ..IT seems everyone is hitting longs on the GBPJPY; where as it shows some significant drop. It is difficult to chart on smaller time frame; hence weekly is what I'm going with.. 155.2X been a break point could come into retest.. I suspect 151.50-7X could form a temp bottom to get some lift off towards 155.XX. A failure to say 155.5X and we can see new bigger leg down towards 148.XX. i.imgur.com i.imgur.com GBPJPY Weekly - Alternatively incase this is in no mercy mode; GBPJPY can simply drag all the way down to 148.XX before rebounding. That also would make sense; since as long as traders would think it can't drop any further it would just do the opposite and take most of the traders trading into bias to the butchery, before reversing
Long
by TahirKhan
Cross Ladder Quantitative Analysis ExampleUsing the Harmonic Mean (Pythagorean Means), we focus on "three values" using the Cross Ladder Problem by drawing the geometric shape - vectored R/S points. These values are taken from the harmonic mean of "B" "A" "h". The calculation inputs are Log Normal, Exponential, and Skewness. (Arithmetic mean gives higher data points that will error your weight); Harmonic Mean gives equal weight to each data point. This is in part; a computation set in our Optimal Geo-Ratio (OG) Model. One would want to incorporate the Intrinsic/Time Value to carry out the time horizon price target. We typically apply the STDEV*SQRT(45 days/252) equation to the two outcomes. You may use a short cut divisor 1/16 per incremental price input for jump diffusion if preferred, integrated with a Beta stochastic volatility model. Square Time Value and Excess Kurtosis are not shown in this example. Just remember volatility is the standard deviation of expected returns. Volatility is proportional not directional. Peace.
DShort
by Zentoro