SMART MONEY CONCEPT ( SMC)📊 SMC Trade Update – GOLD 15M
• First target 4,021 ✅ achieved.
• Trade now secured at Break Even (BE) – no risk on the table.
• Institutions are still pushing price in distribution mode toward the second target at 4,060.
• This is textbook SMC: reset → fake out → rejection → distribution → targets.
💡 Motivational Caption
“First TP hit 🎯 – now we let the institutions do the heavy lifting.
Risk = 0 ✅ Potential = unlimited 🚀
This is the power of trading with structure.”
GOOD JOB TRADERS……. ;)
Discipline
Why Most Prop Traders Fail (Even the Skilled Ones)When speaking with Prop Traders, we have found the issue was not about
bad setups; it’s emotions under pressure that is the problem
Fear after a loss. Greed after a win.
That’s when discipline slips and accounts die.
Here’s what helps:
Before each session, ask ?
“Would I take this trade if I weren’t trying to prove something?”
This one question has saved more accounts than any indicator
I’ve been helping traders stay calm when it matters most.
If you’ve ever blown up knowing exactly what you should’ve done, DM me and I’ll show you what’s been working.
SMART MONEYN CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After reaching the High (HL) near 4,060, price broke down with a Break of Structure (BOS), creating a clear institutional reset.
• Price tapped into the 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG-1H) and the 15M Order Block (OB-15M) inside the support zone.
• A Change of Character (ChoCH) plus a fake out formed before rejecting strongly back into bullish territory.
• Current projection: institutions may drive price into a new distribution phase, first targeting 4,021, with a second target at 4,060.
• Setup remains valid while price holds above the support zone and the FVG imbalance is respected.
🚀 Takeaway for traders: Institutional resets aren’t the end of the trend — they’re liquidity grabs to fuel the next leg. Stay patient and follow the footprints.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Trade Review – GOLD 15M
• The setup respected the support zone, showing a fake out and then a strong distribution leg to the upside.
• Target zones at 4,050 – 4,060 were projected, and price reached more than 75% of the planned move before reversing.
• Even without the full TP, the trade followed the plan with precision: liquidity grab → rejection → bullish continuation.
• This is a clear example of consistency and risk management paying off.
💡 Motivational Caption (English)
“Not every trade will hit full TP… and that’s okay. ✅
Taking 75% of the move with discipline is still a win.
Trading is not about perfection, it’s about consistency. 🚀📈”
GOOD JOB TRADERS ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the reset with a strong reaction from the support zone, price confirmed bullish intent.
• We saw a fake out followed by a clean rejection, signaling institutional absorption of liquidity.
• The FVG and OB-15M have been respected, reinforcing the bullish bias.
• Current projection: distribution phase pushing price higher toward the new target at 4,060.
• Market structure remains bullish with potential to create new Higher Highs (HH).
🚀 This setup shows how patience pays off: reset → absorption → continuation. Institutions are still leading price to new highs.
Be very careful and good luck TRADERS… ;)
Trading Psychology Bias Lesson: BTCUSD 1D ATR Position SizeSummary
Bias shifts judgment under stress and often decides outcomes before the order ticket. This idea converts trading psychology into rules you can apply on BTCUSD now. It uses fixed ATR stops, pre defined entries and exits, a written disconfirming note before any order, and decision grades based on rule adherence. The goal is tighter drawdowns and consistent execution across regimes.
Live context
Price 123,102
SMA 50 114,314
EMA 200 106,289
ATR 14 daily 2,882.52 which is 2.34% of price
Distance to SMA 50 is 8,788 which is 7.14%
Distance to EMA 200 is 16,813 which is 13.66%
2 x ATR equals 5,765.04 which is 4.68%
Why psychology decides the trade before entry
Real trading includes noise, limited attention, and emotion. The result is bias, a stable tendency that pulls choices away from the written rule. Bias creeps into 4 moments: setup definition, entry trigger, position size, exit and review. The fix is structure. Use 5 blocks: a 1 sentence setup, entry and stop and trail defined with ATR, a written disconfirming note, a higher timeframe check, and a post trade grade by rule adherence rather than outcome.
Theory. Core biases you must neutralize
Loss aversion . Loss pain exceeds gain pleasure and leads to widening stops or cutting winners early. Fix . Initial stop equals 2 x ATR. Trail equals 1 x ATR or a close through a moving reference. Never widen stops.
Confirmation bias . You search for evidence that agrees with your idea. Fix . Write 1 disconfirming fact before any order. Check the next higher timeframe. If it disagrees, cut size by 50% or skip.
Anchoring . You fixate on entry or a round level. Fix . Define exits on structure with ATR or a moving average close. Name the anchor in notes to reduce its pull.
Recency and availability . You overweight the last 1 to 3 candles. Fix . Use a 20 bar context rule and a weekly system review.
Overconfidence . After a win trade count and size increase without any change in edge. Fix . Cool down 2 minutes after every exit and halve next size after a large winner.
Herd and gambler’s fallacy . Late entries on wide candles and belief that streaks must continue or must reverse. Fix . Only take trades with projected reward to risk at least 2 to 1 at the planned stop and avoid high impact events.
Hindsight and outcome bias . You judge by result and rewrite rules after 1 loss. Fix . Save entry and exit screenshots and grade by rule adherence.
Status quo and endowment . You sit in positions you already own while better setups exist. Fix . Monthly retest of every holding against current rules.
Three guardrail rules for BTCUSD
Stop discipline. Initial stop equals 2 x ATR. Trail winners by 1 x ATR or by a daily close through SMA 50. Do not widen stops.
Decision hygiene. Before every order write 1 disconfirming fact and check the next higher timeframe. If the higher timeframe disagrees, cut size by 50% or skip.
Quality floor. Projected reward to risk is at least 2 to 1 at the initial stop distance.
BTCUSD 1D continuation plan with exact math
This plan assumes a breakout continuation and uses your live ATR 14. All digits are based on ATR 2,882.52 and a price above SMA 50 and EMA 200.
Setup in 1 sentence . Trend continuation long on a daily close above the recent swing with SMA 50 rising and 20 bar context bullish.
Entry trigger . Close above 124,200 confirms continuation.
Initial risk . 2 x ATR equals 5,765.04. Stop equals entry minus 5,765.04. For 124,200 the stop is 118,434.96.
Targets . 1R target equals entry plus 5,765.04 which is 129,965.04. 2R target equals entry plus 11,530.08 which is 135,730.08.
Sizing example . Equity 20,000. Risk per trade 1% equals 200. Position size equals risk divided by stop distance which is 200 ÷ 5,765.04 equals 0.0347 BTC. Notional at 124,200 is about 4,308.
Management . Trail by 1 x ATR which is 2,882.52. Move the stop only with the trail. Ignore the first single red candle to reduce recency effects.
Exit logic . Exit on a daily close below the 1 x ATR trail or use a time stop after 12 bars if 2R is not reached.
Journal cue . Before entry write 1 disconfirming fact. After exit save 2 screenshots and grade by rule adherence.
Why each step neutralizes bias in real time
Loss aversion is capped because the stop distance is fixed by ATR and never widened. The trail is mechanical.
Confirmation is checked by the written disconfirming fact and the higher timeframe review that can force a skip or a 50% position cut.
Anchoring is reduced because exits reference ATR and structure instead of entry or round numbers.
Recency is filtered by the 20 bar rule and by a weekly system review that ignores single outcomes.
Overconfidence is constrained by a 2 minute cool down and 50% next size after a large winner.
Mean reversion companion inside an uptrend
Use this only while SMA 50 and EMA 200 slope up and price trades above both averages.
Context . Pullback forms inside the 20 bar range toward short term support while SMA 50 rises above EMA 200.
Entry . Bullish rejection from a prior swing zone or a daily close back above the intraday pivot after a 2 to 3 day pause.
Risk . Initial stop equals 1.5 x ATR which is 4,323.78.
Sizing . Risk per trade 1%. Position size equals risk divided by 4,323.78. With equity 20,000 and risk 200 the size equals 0.0463 BTC.
Exit . First scale at 1.5 R. Stop to break even only after a daily close above SMA 50. Final exit at 2 R or on a daily close back into the pullback range.
Bias note . Write 1 anchor you feel and 1 disconfirming fact that would cancel the setup.
Decision checklist to paste into chart notes
Setup in 1 sentence written before entry
Entry level, initial stop, trail method defined
1 disconfirming fact written and verified
Higher timeframe checked and size adjusted if needed
Projected reward to risk is at least 2 to 1
Screenshots saved at entry and exit
Decision grade recorded by rule adherence
Position size rule you can audit weekly
Account equity E. Risk per trade equals 1% of E by default.
Stop distance equals the ATR multiple from the plan.
Position size equals risk divided by stop distance. If required size is not tradable, skip the trade.
Bias symptoms you will see on the BTCUSD chart and the fix
Loss aversion . Stops drift lower while price falls. Winners are cut early. Fix . 2 x ATR hard stop and 1 x ATR trail.
Confirmation . Indicators are added until they agree with your view. Fix . 1 written disconfirming note and a higher timeframe check.
Anchoring . Waiting to exit when price returns to entry or to a round level. Fix . Structure based exits and naming the anchor in notes.
Recency . Judgment based on the last 2 candles. Fix . 20 bar context rule and a weekly system review.
Overconfidence . Trade count jumps after a win. Fix . 2 minute cool down and 50% next size after a large winner.
Herd and gambler’s fallacy . Late entries on wide candles and streak thinking. Fix . 2 to 1 minimum reward to risk and a news ban during known high impact windows.
Hindsight and outcome bias . Rewriting rules after 1 result. Fix . Grade by rule adherence and keep entry plus exit screenshots.
Status quo and endowment . Sitting in flat positions you already own. Fix . Monthly retest of every holding against current rules.
Worked example with our numbers
Assuming a daily close above 124,200 triggers the continuation. Initial stop equals 2 x ATR which is 5,765.04. Stop equals 118,434.96. 1R target equals 129,965.04. 2R target equals 135,730.08. Equity equals 20,000. Risk equals 200. Position size equals 0.0347 BTC. As price advances you trail by 1 x ATR which is 2,882.52 and you move the stop only when the trail shifts. If the trail is hit you exit. If 12 bars pass without the 2R target you exit on time and log the decision. You do not widen the stop. You do not add size after a win. You grade the decision by rule adherence.
If momentum stalls
If a daily close rotates down toward 121,000 to 121,500 and momentum weakens, shift to neutral. Wait for a fresh setup that passes the 2 to 1 test at the planned stop.
Do not react to a single candle. The plan lives on the daily chart.
Comparator and scorecard
Use simple Buy and Hold on BTCUSD as the baseline. Score the plan by Return divided by Drawdown, Max Drawdown, and percent of trades executed exactly as written. A smaller drawdown with steady execution beats a higher raw return with poor adherence. Your best forward indicator is the discipline metric you log each week.
Education and analytics only. Not investment advice. Test any rule with historical data before risking capital.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the breakout of the resistance zone, price retested the support area and showed a clean rejection.
• No Change of Character (ChoCH) has been confirmed, which keeps the bullish structure intact.
• Institutions are still showing accumulation and interest in higher prices.
• Projection: Possible fake out before distribution, with continuation toward the new target at 4,080.
• Setup remains valid as long as price respects the support zone and OB-15M.
💡 Motivational Message for New SMC Traders
“Trading with Smart Money Concepts is about patience and structure. Don’t chase the market—read its story. Every ChoCH, BOS, and fake out is not just a candle, but a footprint left by institutions. Stay disciplined, trust the process, and let the market come to you. 🚀📈”
GOOD LUCK TRADERS 🌞😁
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC) 📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the previous distribution and push to 4,005, price made a reset with a clean rejection at the support zone.
• A new Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed continued institutional interest.
• Current projection: we may see a fake out and rejection before the next bullish leg.
• The market structure suggests continuation to the upside, targeting the 4,043 zone.
• Setup remains valid as long as price respects the support zone.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the ChoCH and Break of Structure (BOS), price tapped into the 15M Order Block (OB-15M) located inside the resistance zone.
• A classic fake out occurred above the level, followed by a rejection back into the support zone, giving confirmation of bullish intent.
• From there, price pushed strongly into distribution, targeting the new highs.
• First target achieved: 4,005, right at the psychological level above 4,000.
• Market structure remains bullish as long as the support zone holds.
⚡ This analysis shows perfect market manipulation → rejection → bullish continuation flow.
GOOD JOB TRADERS.. ;)
FOMO - The Urge That Costs You TwiceNOTE: This is a post on Mindset and emotion. It is NOT a Trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. I’m posting this to help you preserve your capital, energy and will so you can execute your own trading system with calm, patience and confidence.
So here we are, Gold kissing 4000.
It’s been on a tear and hasn’t looked back.
Relentless. Higher, higher, higher.
Now imagine being the trader who stalked this setup… but missed the entry.
The setup was clean. The context made sense.
But you hesitated. You wanted confirmation.
And now it’s gone.
At first, you tell yourself you’re fine.
You’ll wait for the pullback.
But the longer you watch, the more unsettled you become.
Your legs bounce.
Your breath shortens.
Price rips higher without you.
And the thought slips in…
“I can’t miss this.”
Before you know it, your hand hovers over the button
ready to break your own rules just to feel part of the move.
What’s really happening inside you:
Thoughts:
“Argghh… I knew it. Ok, it’s moving. Wait for the pullback.”
“Urgh… another headline, it keeps moving up… everyone else is in.”
“It’s not pulling back. This is the move I’ve been waiting for. Missing out is worse than losing.”
“I’ll never forgive myself if I just watch this go without me.”
Feelings: Restlessness. Envy. Urgency.
Behaviours: Dropping timeframes, chasing moves, flipping charts, forcing setups.
Body cues: Buzzing energy in chest or stomach, jittery hands, shallow breath, can’t sit still.
The Trigger:
Watching a move take off without you, especially after hesitation stopped you last time. Watching price rise without a look back. Everyone's talking about it. It’s on the newsfeed. ‘Record highs’. ‘Biggest day ever’.
Why it feels so powerful:
FOMO isn’t about the market. it’s about survival wiring.
Your brain equates “missing out” with exclusion, being left out.
So urgency feels safer than patience.
Acting now, even without an edge, feels like relief, because at least you’re doing something.
The real cost:
FOMO makes you chase highs and sell lows.
It costs you twice.
Once when you chase the move and lose.
And again when you lose faith in your own process.
Each time you act on urgency, you train your nervous system to link tension with execution.
That’s how confidence quietly drains away.
How to shift it:
Pause & name it: say out loud, “This is FOMO.” Awareness loosens its grip.
Breathe into it: slow your breath until your body settles. Teach your system that calm not chaos precedes execution.
Anchor: remind yourself the market is infinite. “It takes a second to wreck it… it takes time to build.” Beastie Boys
Reset: ask, “If I hadn’t seen that move, would I still take this setup?” If not, stand down.
Missing a move hurts but chasing it turns one mistake into two.
Discipline pays you back; impulse never does.
The market will always offer another opportunity.
Your edge is keeping your nerve, calm and self-control until it does.
By the way, for those that missed the Non Farm post last week. Turns out that Non Farm has been re-scheduled for this Friday... (but they can always reschedule again). Check this link out for anyone lining up for Non Farm this week.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish Analysis on XAU/USD
Context
• The market is showing clear institutional interest after the Change of Character (ChoCh) on the 15M timeframe.
• A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bullish intent.
• Price created a fake out and is now reacting with a possible rejection from the support zone, signaling continuation to the upside.
Projection
• First target: around 3,995, where we could see partial distribution.
• Second target: potential move toward 4,000 (new historical highs) if buying pressure continues.
• The trade will be monitored during the rejection phase and adjusted if further manipulation or extended accumulation occurs.
Risk Management
• Stop Loss: below the highlighted support zone.
• Risk/Reward Ratio: approximately 1:3, offering an attractive setup with solid risk-to-reward conditions.
📝 Conclusion
This setup reflects strong bullish momentum with clear structure toward new highs. The plan is to secure profits near 3,995 and, if continuation remains intact, extend to the 4,000 mark.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – Bullish Projection on GOLD
🔎 Market Observation
Price showed a Change of Character (ChoCH) at the support zone, confirming strong buyer interest. Then it created a new Higher High (HH), validating bullish continuation. Currently, we see a short-term BOS (Break of Structure) that looks more like a healthy retracement than a reversal.
📍 Key Levels
• OB-15M (Order Block 15m): Aligned with the support zone, likely to act as a mitigation point.
• Rejection + Fake Out: Market could create a liquidity sweep before resuming the bullish move.
• Target 3,955: Projection consistent with bullish structure and continuation.
📈 Conclusion
The bullish scenario remains strong: a minor pullback into the OB and support is expected before continuation upward. As long as 3,920 – 3,918 holds, probability of reaching 3,955 is high. GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD
The market just showed clear manipulation. After the CHOCH at the resistance zone, we had a sharp bearish move acting as a fake out, sweeping retail stop losses near the support area.
This liquidity grab aligned with the 1H FVG, confirming institutional interest and showing that the drop was only a setup to accumulate buy positions at lower prices.
Now, after the reaction at the support, price is setting up for a distribution phase. The first target is projected at 3,881, and if bullish momentum continues, we could see an extension to 3,910, where the market may create new Higher Highs (HH).
✅ Setup Highlights
• Liquidity sweep (retail stop hunt)
• Reaction at support + 1H FVG confirmation
• Possible retest near 3,855–3,860 (SMA)
• Target 1: 3,881
• Extension: 3,910
🚀 Let’s monitor price action carefully — institutions may be preparing for new highs.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
Why Most Traders Lose and How to Flip the Script
It’s no secret: most retail traders lose money.
Not because the markets are “rigged,” but because trading is a game of probabilities, discipline, and psychology.
Let’s break down why losses happen, the psychology behind them, and how to build a better plan to stay in the game long-term.
1. Why Most Traders Lose
There are a handful of mistakes that account for the majority of blown accounts:
🔸 Overleveraging – Using too much size turns small moves against you into catastrophic losses.
🔸 Lack of risk management – Without stop-losses, max drawdown rules, or position sizing, one bad trade can erase weeks of gains.
🔸 Chasing trades – Entering late after a big move due to FOMO, only to sell at the bottom.
🔸 No system – Random entries and exits with no strategy mean your results are left entirely to chance.
🔸 Emotional trading – Anger, revenge trades, and greed lead to impulsive decisions that sabotage even good setups.
Most traders know these mistakes on paper, but knowledge alone doesn’t prevent them. The real enemy is psychology.
2. The Psychology Behind Losing
When most people think about why traders lose, they picture bad entries or poor technical skills. But the truth is, the biggest battles aren’t fought on the charts—they’re fought in the mind. Understanding the psychology behind losing is critical, because it explains why traders keep repeating the same mistakes even when they “know better.”
Loss Aversion
Psychologists have proven that humans feel the pain of losing about twice as strongly as the pleasure of winning. In trading, this shows up in two destructive ways: holding onto losing positions far longer than we should, and selling winning positions far too early. A trader might watch a loss grow from -5% to -20% because closing the trade would mean admitting they were wrong. On the flip side, the moment a trade turns green, they take profit too quickly, just to escape the fear of it slipping back to red. Over time, this creates an inverted risk/reward profile—small wins and big losses—the exact opposite of what successful trading requires.
Confirmation Bias
Once a trader enters a position, the human brain naturally looks for reasons to justify it. They’ll scroll through charts, social media, or news feeds, paying attention only to the information that supports their trade, while ignoring anything that contradicts it. This tunnel vision can be deadly, because markets don’t care about opinions—they reward objectivity. A good trader must learn to question their own bias constantly, asking not “why am I right?” but “what would prove me wrong?”
Ego and Revenge Trading
Every trader knows the sting of a losing trade. But what comes next separates amateurs from professionals. The inexperienced trader often lets ego take over. Instead of stepping back, they try to immediately “win back” what was lost, usually by doubling their position size, rushing into another setup, or abandoning their strategy entirely. This revenge trading spiral often leads to much larger losses. The market punishes desperation, and it rewards patience. The ability to walk away after a loss and reset emotionally is one of the hardest but most valuable skills to develop.
The Illusion of Control
Many traders believe that the more time they spend staring at charts or the more trades they take, the better their results will be. This illusion of control often leads to overtrading, which drains both capital and emotional energy. In reality, trading is about probabilities, not control. No amount of screen time can eliminate uncertainty. The edge lies in preparation, discipline, and executing a plan—not in micromanaging every tick of price action. Paradoxically, the less you feel the need to control the market, the more control you gain over your own decisions.
3. How to Prevent Frequent Losses
The good news: most of these pitfalls can be managed with structure and discipline.
✔️ Risk Per Trade – Never risk more than 1–2% of your total capital on a single position.
✔️ Predefine Rules – Before you click buy/sell, know your entry, stop, and target.
✔️ Accept Losses – Treat them as the “cost of doing business.” Even pros lose 40–50% of trades.
✔️ Quality > Quantity – Fewer, higher-probability trades often outperform constant scalping or chasing.
✔️ Journal Every Trade – Write down why you entered, why you exited, and what you felt. This exposes patterns in your behavior.
4. Building a Better Plan
Trading without a plan is gambling. Building a system gives you consistency.
Define Your Edge: What makes your trade valid? Is it a technical setup, a market structure, or a specific confluence of signals?
Backtest Your Strategy: Test your rules on historical data before risking real money.
Stick to Probabilities: No setup wins 100%. Focus on consistency over a large sample size.
Emotional Control Routine: Walk away after a big loss, set daily limits, and never trade tired or stressed.
Takeaway
Most traders lose not because they’re “bad” but because they don’t treat trading like a business.
By mastering psychology, defining risk, and following a plan, you stop thinking in terms of single trades → and start thinking in terms of long-term probabilities.
Trading isn’t about being right every time.
It’s about surviving long enough for your edge to play out.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)Bullish Analysis – GOLD 15M
✅ Context: After reaching the 3,880 target, price retraced into a distribution phase and created a ChoCh, sweeping liquidity. Now it is defending the support zone with a BOS, confirming bullish intention.
✅ Structure & Validation:
• Potential fake out at support before rejection.
• Clear confluence for a new bullish continuation.
• New target set at 3,910, following the institutional flow logic.
🔑 Conclusion: Market respected key zones and remains aligned with bullish momentum. The plan shows patience, discipline, and a well-structured projection.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)Bullish Analysis – GOLD 15M
✅ Market Context:
Price showed a Change of Character (ChoCh) confirming bullish intention. Then, it respected a 15M Order Block, generating an impulsive move with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that was later mitigated.
✅ Structure and Validations:
• A Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed strength after breaking resistance.
• Market entered a distribution phase, where a potential fake out is likely before continuation.
• The support zone remains the invalidation area and serves as risk protection.
✅ Trading Plan:
1. Wait for a possible fake out and rejection in the marked zone.
2. Confirm re-entry in institutional levels.
3. Hold the bullish direction with a new target at 3,880.
🔑 Conclusion:
This analysis reflects patience, institutional reading, and clear risk management. The market is aligned to continue toward new highs. GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 GOLD 15M – Perfect Trade Execution
🔑 What Happened
1. ChoCh + BOS → Confirmed the change of character and break of structure.
2. Break of Resistance Zone → Price broke above the key resistance area with strong bullish pressure.
3. Fake Out + Rejection → Liquidity grab (fake out) followed by rejection validated the entry.
4. Bullish Impulse → Price launched directly toward the 3,860 target, surpassing the projection.
🎯 Result
• Entry: At the rejection after the fake out.
• TP (Take Profit): 3,860 → hit with strength 🚀.
• Momentum: Strong bullish continuation creating new Higher Highs (HH).
GOOD JOB TRADERS….. ;)
📌 SMC Lesson
Patience is key — waiting for confirmation at the rejection after manipulation (fake out) separates a forced trade from a clean institutional setup.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish Analysis – GOLD 15M
🔑 Key Points
1. Initial Distribution
Market created distribution, clearing liquidity before the bullish impulse.
2. ChoCh + BOS (Break of Structure)
The ChoCh confirmed a shift in character, while the BOS validated the bullish direction.
3. Break of Resistance Zone
Price broke the previous resistance, showing strong institutional buying pressure.
4. Fake Out + Rejection
After the breakout, we expect a fake out to grab liquidity, followed by a rejection zone entry before continuation upward.
🎯 Projection
• Entry: On the rejection after the fake out.
• Target (TP): 3,860 – aiming for the next distribution zone.
• Stop Loss (SL): Below the support zone to protect against invalidation.
📌 Conclusion
Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, with clear intention to reach new highs (HH) around 3,860. Waiting for rejection confirmation after the fake out is key to a high-probability setup. GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish Analysis – GOLD 15M
🔑 Technical Context
1. Support Zone Exhausted
Price respected the support base and then broke upwards with strength, showing institutional buyers defended the area.
2. BOS (Break of Structure)
The break of the previous bearish structure confirmed the start of bullish momentum.
3. ChoCh (Change of Character)
A clear ChoCh confirmed the shift in direction, validating the intention to reach new highs.
4. Fake Out & Rejection
After distribution, a fake out cleaned liquidity before projecting higher. The rejection zone is the key confirmation for the entry.
🎯 Projection
• Entry: At the rejection after the fake out.
• Target (TP): 3,830 – aiming for new highs (HH).
• Stop Loss (SL): Below support zone to protect invalidation.
📌 Conclusion
Market has consolidated, grabbed liquidity, and is ready to continue bullish momentum towards 3,830. Waiting for confirmation at rejection is key for high-probability setups.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Trade Breakdown – GOLD 15M
1. Context
• The market came from a distribution phase with a strong rejection at the resistance zone.
• Initial bearish structures appeared (ChoCh + BOS), pushing price down into key support zones.
2. Key Confirmations
• ChoCh (Change of Character): price signaled a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
• BOS (Break of Structure): break of minor structures confirmed buyers stepping in.
• Fakeout + Rejection: liquidity was taken at support (stop hunt), followed by a strong bullish reaction.
• FVG Mitigation: price filled the imbalance before continuing upward.
3. Execution
• Entry taken after the clear rejection at the institutional support zone.
• Stop Loss placed just below liquidity zone for protection.
• Take Profit projected at the resistance zone (3,767).
4. Result
✅ Price fully respected structure and hit the target at 3,767.
✅ Two days of patience paid off with a clean, high-probability setup.
🔑 SMC Lesson
• Liquidity gets cleared before any strong move.
• ChoCh + BOS + FVG + rejection at key zones = golden setups.
• Discipline and patience are just as important as technical analysis.
GOOD JOB TRADERS….;)
It Would Be Such a Full Circle Thing, If...It Would Be Such a Full Circle Thing, If...
It turned out my problem in trading wasn't technical analysis, but discipline. lol.
All my life I'd have achieved everything, if I was disciplined enough to sleep early and wake up(it spiraled from there in a nutshell)
This recording, analyzing, and 10pip TP / 5pip SL really works for me.
Let's see if it works long-term.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish Analysis – GOLD
1. Bearish Zone Mitigation
Price fully mitigated the areas where institutions had pending orders → sweeping liquidity.
2. Change of Character (ChoCh) + BOS
The deep pullback created a ChoCh and later a BOS, confirming bullish continuation.
3. Fake Out + Rejection
A possible fake out around current levels before confirming rejection and resuming the bullish leg.
4. Target 3,767 🎯
Next target is projected at 3,767, aiming to form a new Higher High (HH).
✅ Conclusion: Institutions have completed the reset, and now the outlook favors bullish continuation. GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish SMC Analysis – GOLD
1. Liquidity Grab (Stop Loss Hunt)
The market retraced back into the support zone, sweeping the liquidity and clearing out the stop losses left below.
2. Break of Structure (BOS)
After the liquidity grab, a BOS confirms bullish continuation.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The retracement aligns with an FVG, strengthening the bullish continuation setup.
4. Rejection Entry
The rejection off support gives the perfect signal for buyers to step back in.
5. Target 3,787 🎯
With institutions collecting liquidity and confirming direction, the next HH is projected toward 3,787.
✅ Conclusion: This is a textbook example of liquidity engineering — sweep the lows, confirm BOS, and continue the bullish leg. Clean setup with high probability.






















