DMI
Ascending Triangle breakout for GTII GTII appears to be one of the cannabis companies in America holding their market cap relatively intact.
There is an ascending triangle pattern on the verge of breaking out, and like clockwork cannabis reform in America is a hot topic to capture voters of all ages.
“There’s no excuse for our not being in the forefront for something that is now legal for 97 percent of the American public and, where people have a chance to vote, they vote to change the policies,” Blumenauer said. “I am hopeful that we can see some action following through on the legislation I passed—but, more importantly, on the things that the American people want.”
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Idea Description:
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DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT INDEX (DMI) EXPLAINED The Directional Movement Index (DMI) is a technical indicator used in financial markets to analyze the strength and direction of price movements. It was developed by J. Welles Wilder and is a component of the larger Average Directional Index (ADX) system.
The DMI consists of two lines: the Positive Directional Indicator (+DI) and the Negative Directional Indicator (-DI). These lines are used to determine the strength of upward and downward price movements, respectively, and to generate trading signals.
Here's how the DMI works:
Calculation of True Range (TR): True Range measures the volatility of a financial instrument over a given period. It is calculated as the greatest of the following three values:
The difference between the current high and low prices.
The absolute value of the difference between the current high and the previous close.
The absolute value of the difference between the current low and the previous close.
Calculation of Directional Movement (DM): Directional Movement measures the upward and downward movement in prices over a given period. It is calculated as follows:
Upward Movement (DM+): If the current high is higher than the previous high, and the current low is higher than the previous low, then DM+ equals the current high minus the previous high. Otherwise, DM+ is zero.
Downward Movement (DM-): If the previous low is lower than the current low, and the previous high is lower than the current high, then DM- equals the previous low minus the current low. Otherwise, DM- is zero.
Calculation of the Average True Range (ATR): ATR is an exponential moving average of the True Range over a specified period.
Calculation of the Positive Directional Indicator (+DI) and Negative Directional Indicator (-DI):
+DI: It is calculated by dividing the exponential moving average of DM+ by the ATR and multiplying the result by 100.
-DI: It is calculated by dividing the exponential moving average of DM- by the ATR and multiplying the result by 100.
The +DI and -DI lines provide information about the strength of upward and downward price movements. When the +DI line is above the -DI line, it indicates bullish strength, suggesting that buyers are in control. Conversely, when the -DI line is above the +DI line, it indicates bearish strength, suggesting that sellers are dominant.
Additionally, traders often look for crossovers between the +DI and -DI lines. A bullish signal occurs when the +DI line crosses above the -DI line, while a bearish signal occurs when the -DI line crosses above the +DI line. These crossovers can be used to generate buy and sell signals.
The DMI is often used in conjunction with the Average Directional Index (ADX), which measures the overall trend strength. The ADX can help confirm the signals generated by the +DI and -DI lines.
It's important to note that the DMI is just one tool among many used by traders and investors to analyze markets, and its effectiveness may vary depending on the specific financial instrument and market conditions. It's advisable to use the DMI in combination with other indicators and analysis techniques for comprehensive decision-making.
Visual Examples of how to use the tool.
You may also consider changing chart types to Hieken Ashi in order to smooth price data to prevent false trend changes
You can see in the image below a lot of the false trend changes where remove
The Average Directional Index (ADX) is a component of the Directional Movement Index (DMI) system and is used to measure the strength of a prevailing trend in the market. While the +DI and -DI lines of the DMI indicate the strength of upward and downward price movements, the ADX provides an overall assessment of the trend's strength, regardless of its direction.
The ADX is calculated based on the smoothed averages of the +DI and -DI lines. It is typically displayed as a single line on a separate chart, ranging from 0 to 100. The interpretation of the ADX reading is as follows:
ADX below 20: This indicates a weak or non-existent trend. It suggests that the market is in a consolidation phase or is experiencing erratic price movements. Traders may choose to avoid trading or use range-bound strategies during such periods.
ADX between 20 and 40: This suggests the development of a trend. As the ADX moves toward 40, it indicates increasing trend strength. Traders may consider entering trades in the direction of the prevailing trend, as it suggests that the market is becoming more directional.
ADX above 40: This signifies a strong trend. A rising ADX indicates a strengthening trend, while a falling ADX suggests a weakening trend. During such periods, traders may prefer trend-following strategies and look for opportunities to ride the momentum.
ADX above 50: This indicates an extremely strong trend. A reading above 50 suggests a robust and well-established trend. Traders may choose to stay in their positions and avoid counter-trend trades.
It's important to note that the ADX does not indicate the direction of the trend, only its strength. Therefore, it is often used in combination with the +DI and -DI lines to confirm the presence of a strong trend and its direction. For example, when the ADX is rising above 20 and the +DI line is above the -DI line, it suggests a strong bullish trend. Conversely, when the ADX is rising above 20 and the -DI line is above the +DI line, it suggests a strong bearish trend.
By considering the ADX in conjunction with the +DI and -DI lines, traders can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market conditions and make informed decisions about entering or exiting trades.
Visual Example of the use of the ADX line below
MTF MA + DMI/ADX 15m Timeframe Upon color change of MA line, wait for first bar to close to confirm color change. Enter on 2nd color change bar on MA after cross in DMI or if DI+ or DI- is above 25 or ADX is going higher or is above 25. Set TP at 1 ATR ( I set a bit below ATR to ensure I hit my TP) SL is either a bit below previous swing high or swing low. Think I might do stop loss 1 ATR away from above moving average line. Let me know what you guys think
Cryptoindex 100 analysis (CIX100)Introduction
Cryptoindex 100 is an index of top 100 coins, obtained from a proprietary algorithm called "Zorax" .
"Over 1,800 coins are put through our fixed set of filters, which provides around 500 coins as a rough output. Data is collected from cryptocurrency exchanges, news, social media, such as Twitter, GitHub, and other sources.
The collated data is used to extract over 200 factors that create a refined ranking in the index. Then, the factors are fed into the neural network, creating a final rating of coins, with the top 100 coins making up the Cryptoindex 100".
Graphic Analysis
The index is testing the resistance of 2.
In a bullish scenario, it needs to break through the diagonal white line and still move through the 200 simple and exponential moving averages.
ADX + DMI + LineReg Live TradingI used the replay trade function to test out ADX+DMI + using a LineReg to set TP + SL areas. I thinked it worked pretty well trading USD/JPY for the week of 1/9/2023. Success rate was 66.67% but I wasn't having strict trading rules since I was trying to trade how a normal would psychologically. I think with follows stricter rules this could have higher percent win rate & higher profit. Even with losses I was hit with I still cleared over $2000 for the week. Please ignore my girlfriends family as they are cleaning out a closet lol
Lido (LDO) in bull trap?The price has broken through the psychological resistance of $2 along with the 61.8% retracement.
Exponential averages of 8, 21 and 55 pointed up.
Next resistance at the round value of $3.
If it is a bull trap it will come back below $2, going to the 50% retracement at the price of $1.45
Coinbase comes in at $30 🐻❓🐂 On both the weekly and daily charts, the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) oscillator is in an interesting buy region.
📈 Daily chart:
On the daily chart, there was a 🐻🔫 bear trap signal.
I think a possible target is at $41.89.
In this troubled region marked in the yellow rectangle, there will be a window of opportunity for 📉 shorts, with a target of $30.
⚡Volatility contraction
📈 Weekly chart:
📈 Daily chart:
The 21-period normalized ATR indicator on both the daily and weekly charts is showing a contraction in volatility.
Touching the 21 average with the possible breakout could signal a strong move, independent of direction.
Will Bitcoin Have a Year-End Rally?Both on the chart indexed on the ETF QQQ (proxy for the Nasdaq index) and on the Bitcoin chart itself, we have a bullish divergence.
If Bitcoin breaks out of the yellow region at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, I believe it could go all the way to the top of the wedge, and then deliver the final sledgehammer down.
For a while Bitcoin had a decorrelation with QQQ.
I am hoping that there will be a compensation of this gap.
Chart and fundamental analysis of Iris Energy Limited (IRIS)The operating result for the last quarter was published recently, on November 30, 2022.
1. Graphic Analysis
As the company's core activity is Bitcoin mining, it is important to analyze the correlation with the price of Bitcoin.
As you can see in the graph below, most of the time the correlation is positive.
It seems to me that the price is at the end of wave 5, about to reverse the downtrend, which has lasted since the beginning.
The DMI SMI Oscillator exhibits a bullish descending wedge.
This same interpretation can be obtained on the RSI:
2. Fundamental analysis
Net income has held steady for quite some time at $72 million.
As of Q1 since year 2022, it has declined to minus -$2 million and has since been stable.
The same reasoning can be applied to Earnings per Share versus Estimated Earnings per Share .
The balance sheet remains healthy, with assets greater than liabilities.
Even if there is a need to settle the net debt after the sale of assets, it would be comfortably honored.
With regard to cash flow, money from third parties continues to decrease, which is positive.
Money spent on investments follows a negative flow.
A negative value of Cash From Investing Activities can show poor performance, but it can also be a sign of increased investment activities.
While cash from operating activities remains stable at $4 million.
The point to note negatively is the free cash flow, which has drastically reduced to -$210 million.
AscendEX Analysis (ASDUSDT)⚡ I'm keeping an eye on exchange tokens for any danger alerts.
⁉️ I don't know why this ASD token is going up (leave your comment)...
🐻 On July 11, 2022 we had a bear trap.
🚀 Since then we have had an appreciation of 1,444.50%...
🤔 Could it be that the catastrophic events to come were already priced in this event?
⛰️ If even after the FTX collapse, the token didn't go downhill, most likely we've already found the bottom.
🏹 Speaking of now, a diagonal resistance break is about to happen.
Bitcoin looking more interesting!Bitcoin has broken above the one year downtrend and after months of trading around the 18000 mark, has now built up a decent floor of support below the market.
We have, what I refer to as a confirmed buy signal on the DMI. This happens when not only is the blue line above the red line (+DI above -DI) but when the blue line breaks above the previous blue peak.
It's looking more interesting at last!
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Unit value of BTC walletsAt first this is an analysis just out of curiosity, maybe it doesn't mean anything...
The marketcap of a cryptocurrency is obtained by multiplying the price by its number of units in circulation.
Then:
BTCUSD = U$ 19 K
BTC_SUPPLY = 19,176 M units
BTC MarketCap = BTCUSD x BTC_SUPPLY = $365.3 B
What would happen if the market value were evenly distributed among all wallet addresses?
Calculation:
BTC MarketCap = $365.3 B
Number of BTC's wallet addresses = 1,036 B
Unit value per wallet = BTC MarketCap ÷ Number of BTC's wallet addresses = U$352
Graphically speaking, the value is in an interesting region, at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
Will SPX enter the yellow diagonal channel?If the index enters this yellow zone, it will be another 10% drop.
The next support levels are found at the Fibonacci retracement.
The DMI histogram is in an important region at -15.
Looking back to 1974, the indicator has been in this region 12 times.
4 times it continued down, and 8 times it reversed up.
Altcoins' last bull rally before a tumble?In this graph we have the dominance of altcoins disregarding stable coins.
The calculation is done as follows:
TOTAL = Crypto Total Market Cap
TOTAL2 = Crypto Total Market Cap excludes BTC
USDT = Market Cap of stable coin USDT
USDC = Market Cap of stable coin USDC
DAI = Market Cap of stable coin DAI
So:
Altcoins Dominance % = (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2-CRYPTOCAP:USDT-CRYPTOCAP:USDC-CRYPTOCAP:DAI)/CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL*100
Looking at the chart the index is in a bearish channel.
It will apparently test the top of the channel at wave 4 resistance.
If this channel breaks, we will have an extremely bullish scenario, surpassing all expectations, due to the horrible macro scenario.
Otherwise the downtrend continues, heading towards the end of wave 5.