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Doordash

DoorDash: The Stock that Hedge Funds LoveIn this post, I'll be taking a fundamental and technical approach to DoorDash ($DASH), an American delivery & takeout platform. For more information on the company since its IPO, make sure to check out the post I uploaded in Dec. 2020 by clicking the chart below. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk. Fundamentals - DoorDash has shown tremendous growth compared to its counterparts like GrubHub and UberEats, during the Covid pandemic. - In terms of meal delivery shares, DoorDash currently covers 57%. - Dashers - the deliverymen on DoorDash - are gig workers, but the Biden administration has signaled that they should be classified as employees - This would induce additional costs, and with DoorDash still not being a profitable company yet, this could negatively impact the stock's price. - While this company is still not profitable, their Q2 financials demonstrate great growth trajectory - Their increase in revenue isn't amazing, but the absolute value is quite high. - Their Gross Order Value (GOV) has been growing for 5 consecutive quarters. Technical Analysis - The chart demonstrates that the stock is very volatile. - But ever since we tested the IPO price support in May, we have been in an uptrend, forming higher lows and higher highs. - The price is trading above the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Ribbon - A break and close above $214 could lead this stock to retest its all time highs at $256 Institutional Investors - SoftBank holds the most stocks, owning 12.89% of the company (43.5m shares) - The runner up on the list is Sequoia Capital, with 11.66% - Tiger Global Management holds 3.23%, and Morgan Stanley Investment Management holds 3.13% - Among known hedge fund managers as well, the top holders on the list (by order) are: - Chase Coleman (Tiger Global Management) - Jim Simons (Renaissance Technologies) - Ray Dalio (Bridgewater Associates) - Ken Griffin (Citadel) Conclusion DoorDash is a very interesting company with a business model proven successful by other companies overseas. It would be important to see the continuation in growth momentum and the company turning profitable in the next few years. Especially with a lot of institutional interest, this stock could definitely be added to your watchlist. If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight :)
DLong
by Michael_Wang_Official
2
Weekly Outlook! 7/19 - 7/23Here is what we are watching for this next week! NYSE:DASH Dash we are seeing a nice bounce at the .382 FIB level. We'll be looking to take a position on a move over $170 or under $164 NASDAQ:EA Nice long term set up here with an ascending triangle, we're sitting right near long term trend support and are looking to take a move over $144 if the market is trending upwards NASDAQ:FB FB we are looking to play some continued momentum to the down side and look for a move under $340 NASDAQ:ZM Very similar to DASH in that we've bounced off of previous resistance and the .382 FIB level. We are looking to take a move over $366 and under $354 NASDAQ:CRWD CRWD is also sitting at long term trend support, we are looking to take a move over $254 and under $247
NASDAQ:CRWD
by ThirtyninethParallelInvestment
A trading idea on DASH! 🧐Ok guys, let’s talk about DASH today. I find this stock interesting, and it can give us a good trade. The stock is starting a bull trend in the 30min, but it is pretty far from the 20ma. If it corrects, it’ll give us another chance to buy. But I do like the 4h chart: DASH hit the support at 135 and it is now going to the 155. If it breaks the 135 again, then we should take a step back, but the chart looks good for now. The problem is the gap at 115, but aside from that, I think the R/R ratio is worth. If DASH breaks the 145.20 tomorrow, it’ll be great. If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉. See you soon, Melissa.
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by UnknownUnicorn21312077
2
DASH: the evening before lockup expirationThis is right before the expiration of the share lock-up for insiders. Bearishness has reached near-euphoria. A yoga teacher asked me about buying DASH puts last night. I think there's a chance we bounce at this trend support and simply slide sideways into the megaphone and wedge formed by trendiness, instead of falling down into the pit as the rest of the world tends to think. There was some very unusual options activity today in near-term options, which implies a leakage of insider information. Options volume in these strikes was far beyond open interest. CALLS: 5000 $172.5 weekly calls, expiring 3/12/2021 with a total premium of about $670,000. PUTS: 10,000 $125.00 weekly puts, expiring 3/12/2021 with a total premium of about $8,030,000. No way to tell if the call buyers were the put sellers. But block buyers in the market are long $211,250,000 in notional shares on the bet that DASH insiders are not going to dump their shares en masse, and the fear is overdone. This is a BIG BET. I saw this and went to work selling the $95 and $110 strike puts expiring the same day, 3/12/2021.
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by decaro
1
$DASH Short into earningsSo I think DoorDash needs to be shorted. Ideally, shorted yesterday when it spiked to 250. The company has a bad prospect in 2021 in a crowded sector that has low margins. The valuation on $DASH is well above the value on similar companies such as GrubHub. I think the earnings are going to be a huge let down at this price level (185 at time of writing) and definitely would be at 250. There's no reason for $DASH to be this high other than folks don't understand their financials at large. Today it decoupled from the SPY and QQQ by not following their path and has started to severely underperform. I believe it will only get worse for doordash. I am currently targeting 170, but I do believe the stock is worth no more than 100$. Disclaimer: I am carrying a short position at 185 I only share my ideas. I don't provide advice on what to do. This is just a hobby for me. NYSE:DASH
DShort
by UnknownUnicorn4717923
Mr. West Daily notes Report no. 8Trending up: ABNB, ACB, AESE, BOTZ, CRON, CSX, DASH, DENN, HERO, JBLU, JETS, MVIS, NCLH, NKLA, NNDM, PBI, PRCH, REKR, UA, UNP, Trending down: CAN, Consolidating: GE, HVBTF, MICT, NIO, ROKT, ZNGA Today's notes will reflect the number of up trending stocks that are on the List. These particular companies and ETFs have been showing growth over the past month. Many of them are tech based, industrial based and consumer based. 20 out of 28 stocks are trending up for the month of January. Pitney Bowes (PBI) has shown signs of growth due to their expansions in the postal service. Door Dash (DASH) has also grown since its debut in the stock market and its number of ghost kitchens appearing more in the U.S. Two companies in particular has also shown some great improvements in it's sector are Aurora (ACB) and Cronos (CRON). Based on the cannabis market and the conversation of marijuana being legal on a federal level speaks growth for the weed market. The number one company on the trending up list based on percentage growth for the month of January is Aurora (ACB). It has shown great growth for this month. From January 1 it has grown over 40 percent. However, based on their financial reports, they maybe valued as over bought.
ALong
by Grantw04
DoorDash (DASH): Everything You Need to Know After the IPOThis is my analysis on DoorDash (DASH), written prior to the IPO. Most of the information below is available from the S1 that the company filed to the SEC. This is not investment advice. This was written for educational purposes only. You are responsible for your investments and trades. Invest at your own risk. About DoorDash - DoorDash (DASH) is America’s #1 delivery & takeout platform, covering over 51% of the market share. - They currently have over 390,000 merchants, 1.8 million users, 1 million delivery workers (dashers), with an average delivery time of 35 minutes. - During the latest series H, which took place in June 2020, the company raised $400 million, and was valued at $16 billion. - Main competitors of this firm include Uber Eats (which acquired Postmates for $2.65b), covering 30% of the market share, and Grubhub, which covers 18% of the market share. IPO (Initial Public Offering) - DoorDash priced its IPO price at $102 a share - There was tremendous buy volume as soon as the market opened, with the stock reaching $195 at one point - The stock closed at $189 yesterday, after a successful IPO Business Model - DoorDash charges restaurants a 20% fee on average, for every order made on its platform. - On top of that, they earn money by charging customers fees for delivery, which normally ranges between $6-8 depending on the distance and current demand. - They also offer a subscription service – Dashpass – which exempts its users from paying service fees. - They have an extremely systematic virtuous cycle involving consumers, merchants, and dashers, in which the cycle creates local network effects, economics of scale, and increasing brand affinity. Financials - The company has shown tremendous and consistent growth in revenue over the years. - Nonetheless, they also continue to spend more and more and sales and marketing costs, as well as general administrative costs. - DoorDash is also one of the many companies that benefited from the Covid-19 Pandemic. - In 2019, the company generated $885 m in revenue, and in the first nine months of 2020, they generated over $1.9 b. - While these are extremely impressive numbers, it’s still important to take into account the fact that the company is still not profitable. - In 2019, they had a net loss of $667 million, and in the first nine months of 2020, they lost $149 million. - Nonetheless, a company not being profitable is common with unicorns and startups, as they seek growth as their number one target, keeping in mind that profitability follows easily once they dominate the market. - Another good news is that they currently have more cash and cash equivalents to cover their total liabilities, and thus won’t suffer from issues regarding lack of cash. - Given the current momentum in the delivery market caused by Covid-19, experts anticipate 2021’s revenue at $5.2 billion, which is a 93% yoy growth rate, with operating profits of $280 million, which is a 23% yoy growth rate. Risks - The company might not continue to grow on pace with historical rates - There is intense competition within the delivery industry - Reliance on merchants for the success of the platform - Their focus on expansion might not maximize financial results, and could result in lagging stock prices. Precedent - There are precedents of success regarding delivery & takeout platforms in other countries as well. - Baedal Minjok, South Korea’s largest food delivery app, is in talks of being acquired by Delivery Hero. - Baedal Minjok is a unicorn, which recorded a revenue of close to $8 billion in 2019. - Considering that their 2020 records will be even higher, due to the Covid-19 pandemic, we could expect DoorDash to do even better, since it’s the most dominant company of a bigger delivery market. - Precedent cases demonstrate that the food delivery industry has significant room for growth. - Nonetheless, considering that Baedal Minjok’s revenue is 8 times higher than that of DoorDash, and yet is valued at $4 billion is quite concerning for DoorDash, as it indicates that the hype and growth potential is factored into its valuation. Mike’s Insight In my opinion, I think DoorDash is a company worth looking into. It operates in a solid industry that benefits from the Covid-19 pandemic, and while the growth rate will slow down once the pandemic is over, precedent cases from other countries demonstrate significant room for growth. Nonetheless, since expectations for future growth seem to be factored into the company’s valuation, I’d be cautiously bullish on this company. If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight :)
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by Michael_Wang_Official
30