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US30 Dow Jones Weekly Open Retest Strategy’m watching US30 (Dow Jones) closely right now, and it’s been in a strong bullish trend over the last two weeks. 📈🔥 We’ve seen two powerful drives to the upside, and there’s a good chance we could get that classic third drive completing a three-drive pattern before the week ends. As price pushed higher, it’s already dipped back down into sell-side liquidity, clearing out those resting lows. That kind of move often sets the stage for another leg higher, so it’s definitely possible we see US30 continue north from the current levels. ⬆️💰 At the same time, it wouldn’t surprise me to see price pull back a bit more, possibly dipping below the weekly open to rebalance before making its next move. Either way, my focus is on the weekly open. I want to see price break through it, come back, retest it, and show me that the level is now acting as support. That retest is the zone where I’d be interested in looking for long opportunities. 🟩📊 Stay patient and wait for clean structure. Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by fxtraderanthony
Dow Jones Attempts to Reach New HighsThe index has managed to maintain a gain of more than 2% over the past six trading sessions, attempting once again to approach its historical highs as the market holds a consistent short-term bullish bias. For now, buying pressure has remained supported by a temporary rebound in market confidence, driven by expectations of lower interest rates from the Federal Reserve next week. If this improvement in confidence continues, current buying pressure could remain dominant in the sessions ahead. Uptrend Line Remains Relevant The long-term upward trendline visible in the Dow Jones has continued to hold despite recent fluctuations, and so far, no meaningful bearish correction has emerged to threaten its structure in the short term. As a result, it remains the most important technical factor to watch, especially if price manages to reach the previous high zone again, which would confirm a dominant bullish bias heading into year-end. RSI The RSI continues to fluctuate slightly above the neutral 50 level, suggesting that average buying momentum over the last 14 sessions remains dominant. If the RSI line continues to show steady growth, buying pressure could strengthen further. MACD The MACD remains very close to the neutral zero line, reflecting a sense of neutrality in the strength of short-term moving averages. Although there is buying pressure in the Dow Jones, the lack of a clear recovery in the histogram may lead to a period of consistent indecision, producing narrow-range candles and signaling a possible pause in the bullish momentum. Key Levels to Watch: 48,248 points – Major resistance This level corresponds to the historical highs and remains the most important bullish barrier. Buying movements approaching this zone could reactivate a strong bullish bias and extend the current upward trendline. 46,821 points – Nearby barrier A level aligned with the 50-period simple moving average. It may serve as a key area to monitor in case of potential short-term bearish corrections. 45,677 points – Primary support This level corresponds to the recent lows. If price approaches this zone again through bearish movements, it could signal the end of the current uptrend and open the door to a more meaningful bearish bias in the short term. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREX.com
US30 DOW JONES at Resistance: Here's My Trade PlanI'm keeping a close eye on US30 right now. The market has pushed into a clean bullish breakout, printing higher highs and higher lows across both the H4 and H1 timeframes. 🚀 At the moment, price is overextended and tapping into a significant resistance zone, suggesting that a retracement is likely. Some aggressive traders may look for a counter-trend short, but that comes with elevated risk. ⚠️ Personally, I’m waiting for a healthy pullback, followed by a bullish break of structure to confirm a trend continuation setup. That’s where the higher-probability opportunity may unfold. ✔️ Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by fxtraderanthony
Dow Jones - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EIGHTCAP:US30Short
by VladimirRibakov
US30 Strategy: Waiting for Confirmation Amid Conflicting Trends🔥📉 Currently checking out the US30 (Dow Jones)! On the ⏰ 4-hour chart, the vibe is definitely bearish, but when you zoom out to the 📅 daily chart, things look much more bullish 🚀. For me, this index is at a real crossroads! 👉 🔎 On the 30-minute chart, I’m watching closely for a bullish breakout above the recent high and a key break of structure 🟢📈 — that would spark a potential buy opportunity! 💼 If instead, price slips below the current high and we see a bearish shift in structure 🚩📉, I’m eyeing a possible sell setup! ❗️Of course, this is just my view, not financial advice! 🚫💸
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by fxtraderanthony
US30 Trade Plan – Range Breakout + Smart Money ManipulationI’m currently watching the US30 (Dow Jones Index) 🏦. On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see a strong uptrend forming — higher highs and higher lows 📈. Whether this trend continues remains to be seen, but having a solid trading plan is key ✅. Here’s mine: On the 30-minute timeframe, price is currently moving within a defined range. If we see a break above the range, followed by a retracement and failed retest of the range high, I’ll be looking for a long opportunity 🚀. If price instead breaks below the range, there could also be a short opportunity, though my preference is to stay long given the higher-timeframe bullish structure ⚙️. ⚠️ Keep an eye out for market manipulation — smart money algorithms often trigger fake breakouts to draw in buyers before sweeping liquidity and continuing the move. Stay alert and manage risk carefully. 📉 Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by fxtraderanthony
Dow Jones Returns to the 46,000 Level Since the beginning of the week, the Dow Jones Index has maintained a notable bullish bias, extending a two-day winning streak as the equity benchmark posts a gain of around 2.20% in the short term. For now, buying pressure has supported the price recovery following the sharp correction seen last Friday, which was triggered by the escalation of trade tensions between China and the United States. Although no major trade agreement has been announced, the aggressive tone of the tariff threats appears to have eased slightly, helping the market regain confidence in the short term. However, it’s important to note that if tensions escalate again, the Dow Jones could once more show heightened sensitivity to such developments, quickly reactivating selling pressure in the coming trading sessions. Uptrend at Risk The uptrend line, which had been sustained through much of 2025, has started to weaken following last Friday’s sharp correction. As a result, the average bullish momentum has entered a neutral zone in the short term. Currently, there is a recovery attempt from the previous downward move, though it has not yet been strong enough to bring prices back to recent highs. If buying pressure fails to remain decisive over the next few sessions, a period of market indecision could emerge, potentially leading to a sideways range in the short term. RSI The RSI line continues to hover around the 50 level, reflecting a neutral momentum over the past 14 sessions. As long as the indicator stays within this range, neutrality may dominate the market bias, leading to indecisive price movements in the coming days. MACD The MACD histogram also remains near the neutral (0) level, indicating that there is no clear directional strength in short-term moving averages. This reinforces the idea of indecision in the market, suggesting that the price action may remain range-bound without a defined trend in the near term. Key Levels to Watch: 46,790 points – Major Resistance: Corresponds to the all-time high area of the index. Buying activity approaching or surpassing this level could reactivate the bullish trend and establish a dominant buying bias. 45,741 points – Near-Term Barrier: Aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. As long as prices continue to fluctuate around this level, a new short-term consolidation range could form. 44,834 points – Critical Support: Represents the most stable neutral zone in recent weeks and coincides with the Ichimoku cloud boundary in the short term. A decisive break below this level could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the year-long uptrend at risk and potentially signaling the start of a new downward phase in the short term. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREX.com
Dow Jones - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move. Uptrend line breakout. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation after pullback until the strong resistance zone holds. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
CMCMARKETS:US30Z2025Short
by VladimirRibakov
Dow Jones US30 Analysis: Bullish Trend, Trade Plan📊 The US30 (Dow Jones) remains in a strong bullish trend, showing a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the 4-hour chart 📈. However, when viewed on the daily timeframe, price now appears somewhat overextended ⚠️. 🔎 Dropping down to the lower timeframes and applying the Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) indicator, it’s evident that price is trading well above VWAP, signaling a premium zone. The risk here is that traders may continue buying into strength without acknowledging that price could easily retrace back into VWAP. 💡 Remember — smart money buys at a discount, not at a premium. In bullish trends like this, patience is crucial. 📹 In the video, I outline my trade plan, which focuses on waiting for a healthy pullback and then looking for a bullish setup if the structure aligns in our favor. I’m not interested in chasing price when it’s this extended — instead, I prefer to wait for the retracement and enter at better value, reducing risk and improving trade quality 🎯. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk carefully.
FX:US30Long
by fxtraderanthony
US30: Late-Cycle Pop or Pullback Setup?The 𝐃𝐨𝐰 is pressing fresh highs into a historically soft seasonal window with stretched momentum and limited follow-through. I’m initiating/adding to a daily timeframe short aiming for a retrace back into prior breakout territory. My baseline path is a drift lower toward 44,500–44,000 (T1) and then the broader demand band near 43,000–42,2500 (T2), where I’ll reassess. This isn’t a “crash” call—just a tactical mean-reversion as macro tailwinds fade, breadth narrows and the first Fed cut shifts the narrative from “rates down” to “why they’re down.” Technicals: • Stretched swing: Price has stair-stepped higher with shallow pullbacks; we’re now extended above the 50/100-DMA stack with waning impulse on push days (smaller real bodies, upper wicks). • Local resistance: Repeated stalls into the same supply shelf. I’m leaning into the most recent failed extension and fading the box. Structure map: • Entry: around/into the failed-break zone 46.4k area. • Invalidation: daily close > recent spike highs around 47.7k-48.0k. • Targets: T1 45,000–44,500 (prior ATH retest / micro-POC region); T2 44,000–43,000. • Risk: 0.5–1.0R per add; scale in only on rejection prints or lower-highs. Fundamentals: 1) The first Fed cut is not automatically bullish. The Fed delivered a 25 bps cut in September and signaled more easing, which historically can coincide with late-cycle growth scares and choppier equity returns rather than a straight-line melt-up. The cut was framed around cooling activity and inflation progress.  2) Growth data is mixed—manufacturing still weak. The ISM Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August (48.7)—below the 50 expansion line—signaling ongoing softness in goods demand. That is typically a headwind for the Dow’s cyclical mix.  3) ES500 (S&P 500) breadth is narrow; concentration risk elevated. Mega-caps continue to dominate performance and index leadership, while equal-weight underperforms and concentration risk stays high—conditions that historically increase pullback vulnerability.  4) Valuations are rich versus history. FactSet’s mid-summer forward 12-month P/E for the S&P 500 hovered well above 5- and 10-year averages (>22x vs. ~19x/17x), leaving less cushion if growth wobbles or margins compress.  5) Sentiment & seasonality aren’t tailwinds. September/early Q4 are seasonally tricky—historically the weakest stretch for US equities—just as the market tries to price the path of cuts vs. growth.  6) Policy & trade headline risk. Tariff timelines and “reciprocal” duties remain in play (with officials signaling Aug-1 implementation and additional measures possible), a rolling overhang for global cyclicals and exporters tied into the Dow complex.  Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by AR33_
Dow at record highs, outperfoms peers! But are risks brewing?The Dow Jones DJIA surged to new record highs, driven by defensive sector strength and expectations of Fed rate cuts. Dow outperformed due to its heavier weighting in defensive sectors (industrials, financials, consumer staples), which are favoured during economic uncertainty and falling yields. Technical analysis suggests further upside potential, as investors seek stability and dividends in Dow components amid lingering recession risks. However, key support levels must hold to sustain the rally. The Dow has completed a V-shaped recovery, breaking above previous double-top highs from 2024/2025 (45,150), now acting as support. An open triangle pattern was identified, with the current move likely the fifth wave to the upside. The index trades above all major moving averages, confirming bullish momentum, but RSI shows hidden bullish divergence, supporting the case for continued upside only if support holds after a pullback. Dow has critical support at 45k, must hold to maintain bullish momentum. A drop below 45,581 could trigger a correction. Short-term upside shows 47k, with a major Fibonacci cluster and technical inflexion in focus. Intermediate levels sit at 46300/45900/45640, with important long-term Targets at 45k, 49500, 50k, 53k. Risks & Potential Scenarios Divergence: Despite strong momentum, technical divergence suggests a possible corrective move if the Dow falls below 45581. Bullish : Holding above 45581 and 45k supports further upside toward 47k and beyond. Bearish : A break below 45581 could trigger a deeper pullback before any renewed rally. Market Sentiment : The bond market’s caution contrasts with stock market optimism, so stay vigilant. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:US30Long
by ThinkMarkets
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