Dxyforecast
Dollar Index at Critical Support — Is a Big USD Rally Coming?Today I want to analyze the DXY index( TVC:DXY ) for you, which is one of the key indices in the financial markets.
At the moment, the DXY index is moving near a support zone($98.85-$98.50), Monthly Support (1) level, and the 21_SMA(Weekly).
In addition, the DXY has been trending inside a descending channel for roughly the past 13 trading days.
The main question is whether the DXY can break below this confluence of support levels or not.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can identify a Morning Star candlestick reversal pattern, and there is also a clear bullish Regular Divergence (RD+) between the last two lows.
Moreover, the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ) appears bullish in my view — and its upward movement can potentially support a rise in the DXY as well.
From my perspective, the best currency pairs to capitalize on a stronger USD are USDJPY( FX:USDJPY ) and EURUSD( FX:EURUSD ).
We should also keep in mind that several important US economic indicators will be released this week, which could significantly impact market direction. So be extra cautious with your positions, especially during data releases:
JOLTS Job Openings➡️09 December
Federal Funds Rate➡️10 December
FOMC Statement➡️10 December
FOMC Press Conference➡️10 December
Unemployment Claims➡️11 December
I expect that once the DXY breaks above the upper line of the descending channel, it could at least move toward one of the higher Fibonacci levels.
Do you think the U.S. interest rate will be cut this week?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌U.S. Dollar index Analysis (DXYUSD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
DXY may sell off from or above 98.77With rate cut, as expected DXY as created new lower low. The gap resistance at 99.32 has been tested and price finally managed break the trend line with FOMC realse.
Daily price opened with gap, which in currently retesting the swing high and possible rejection at 98.77 or above after a false breakout can lead the market to go futher lower to 97.84 or below.
DXY Bullish Outlook | SMA Pullback + Breakout Confirmation🚀 DXY BULLISH SWING SETUP: SMA PULLBACK CONFIRMED! | Key Levels & Correlated Pairs 📈
🎯 Trade Idea: Bullish Swing on DXY (US Dollar Index)
📊 Asset: TVC:DXY | Timeframe: 4H & Daily
🔥 Strategy: Simple Moving Average Pullback + Resistance Breakout Confirmation
⚡ ENTRY PLAN:
Trigger: Break & close above 99.900 resistance
Ideal Entry: Any pullback toward 99.700-99.850 after breakout
Confirmation: Price holding above SMA support (adjust to your preferred period)
🛑 STOP LOSS (RISK MANAGEMENT):
Reference level: 99.300
👑 Dear Trading Family (Thief OGs) – This is MY protective stop. PLEASE adjust based on YOUR risk tolerance and strategy. I am not responsible for your SL/TP decisions. Manage your own risk!
✅ TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
Primary TP: 100.900 (Strong confluence: SuperTrend ATR resistance + overbought zone potential trap)
Partial take profits advised along the way
🧠 Reminder: You can take money at YOUR own discretion. Not financial advice!
📈 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH & CORRELATIONS:
FX:EURUSD – Inversely correlated (~57.6% weight in DXY). DXY up = EURUSD down.
FX:GBPUSD – Negative correlation. Strong dollar pushes GBPUSD lower.
FX:USDJPY – Positive correlation. DXY bullish = USDJPY often rises.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) – Typically inverse to dollar strength.
TVC:USOIL (Crude) – Dollar up can pressure oil prices (denominated in USD).
🔍 KEY POINTS:
Watch for USD strength across majors to confirm DXY momentum
If DXY rallies, expect EURUSD & GBPUSD to show sell setups
Always correlate with Fed policy expectations & US economic data
📌 DISCLAIMER:
This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. You are responsible for your own decisions.
Let’s get this bread! 🍞 If you find this helpful, drop a like 👍, follow for more ideas, and share your thoughts in the comments!
#DXY #USDollar #TradingSetup #SwingTrading #ForexTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingView #FX #RiskManagement #ThiefOGs
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W47| D21 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W47| D21 | Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
What should we expect from DXY Index by the end of 2023❗️❓🗺️👋Hi everyone (Reading time less than 3 minutes⏰) .
📚One of the most important Indices that we should have an analysis of is the DXY index because it has a direct impact on the Forex , Cryptocurrency , and stock and etc markets. So, in this post, I'm going to show you the 🗺️ Roadmap 🗺️ for DXY until at least the End of 2023 and Early 2024 .
💡I used the Monthly time frame and Elliott wave theory to display the DXY index roadmap better.
💡First of all, it is better to know that the DXY index has formed an Ascending Channel since 2008 and is moving in it.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , the DXY index has succeeded in completing its 5 impulsive waves in the ascending channel so that the 3rd wave was an extended wave .
🌊As a result, it seems that Corrective waves have started, and to confirm this, it is better to wait for the break of the lower line of the ascending channel.
🔔I expect the DXY to move between 🔴Heavy Resistance zone($107.62-$103.10)🔴 and 🟢Support zone($101.64-$99.58)🟢 by the end of 2023 and early 2024, and in mid-2024 , the DXY will begin to trend Down , and Financial markets will likely turn 🚀Green🚀 .
DXY Index Analyze ( DXYUSD ), Monthly time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY Coils Above 100 – Build-Up Before the Breakout?1. Recap of Recent Analysis
In my last DXY update, I highlighted the 100.00 zone as both a major psychological resistance and my initial upside target for the entire rise from 99.
Price reached that zone perfectly.
Since then, the index has been consolidating, but not in a weak way — the structure looks tight, controlled, and directional, not corrective or exhausted.
2. Current Market Context – Sideways, But With a Bullish Tilt
What stands out in this consolidation is:
- DXY is not rejecting 100 zone aggressively.
- Candles are small but.
- Sellers are not showing real control.
This type of behavior suggests a market that is building energy, not one that is rolling over.
The sideways action appears more like a pause before a breakout, not the start of a larger correction.
3. Technical Outlook – Trend is Up Since Mid-September
The broader structure is clear:
- DXY has been in an uptrend since mid-September.
Based on the trend, structure, and consolidation behaviour, the probability favors upside continuation.
Next technical target:
➡️ 102.00 zone
This level stands out as the next meaningful resistance and a natural extension of the current rally.
4. Trading Plan – Follow the Trend, Don’t Fight It
My approach remains simple:
Bullish outlook stays active as long as DXY holds above 99.20.
I expect a break above resistance soon, especially if volatility picks up.
First major target: 102.
Only if DXY fails dramatically at 100 with strong rejections would I consider a short-term bearish adjustment — not the case right now.
5. Conclusion – The Dollar Looks Ready for the Next Push
The index is coiling at resistance, but the structure favors buyers, not sellers.
Given the steady uptrend since September and the controlled consolidation just above 100, the most probable scenario remains an upside continuation toward 102. 💵📈
DXY Bullish Continuation -Buy Zone & Breakout PlanDXY is still holding its bullish structure moving inside the rising channel and currently ranging just under the weak high near 100.50. As long as price stays above the 100.00 support zone this consolidation looks like a pause before another push up toward 100.80–101.00. A deeper dip inside the range is possible but overall momentum remains bullish unless price breaks below the channel support.
Fundamentally the dollar is supported by recent mixed but stable US data, NFP remaining solid-unemployment slightly higher and wage growth cooling moderately combined with a Federal Reserve stance that is not ready for quick rate cuts. This keeps short-term USD sentiment mildly positive. Risk off flows and steady Treasury yields also help maintain dollar strength.
Overall, both technical structure and fundamentals support a bullish continuation after the current range completes its liquidity grab.
Buy Zone:
The ideal buy zone is 99.95 – 100.05 which aligns with the lower boundary of the consolidation range, the mid-channel support and the previous demand area. This is where price is expected to dip, grab liquidity and form a bullish reaction.
Buy Trigger Area:
The buy trigger is a bullish rejection or bullish candle close from 100.00 or a break and retest of 100.20–100.25 from inside the range. A clean bounce from the lower range or a retest reclaim signals the continuation toward 100.50 and then 100.80.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W48| D24 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W48| D24 | Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W47| D19 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W47| D19 | Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY Pulls Back from 100 – A Healthy Correction, Not a Reversal1. What Happened Since Last Week
In last week’s DXY analysis, I warned that although the U.S. Dollar Index remains in a broader uptrend, the 100.00 level represents both a strong technical and psychological resistance that could trigger a short-term retracement.
That scenario played out almost perfectly — after a brief spike above 100, DXY rolled over and is now trading near 99.70.
2. Market Context
The pullback so far looks orderly, not impulsive, suggesting that this move is a correction within an ongoing bullish structure, rather than the start of a major reversal. The market is simply digesting gains after a move higher.
3. Technical Outlook
The area between 99.00 and 99.20 stands out as a key confluence support zone, combining horizontal structure with the up trend line. This is where I expect buyers to reemerge if the index continues to drift lower.
4. Trading Plan
If DXY dips into 99.00–99.20, I’ll look for signs of USD strength resuming — specifically by considering short setups on GBP/USD and EUR/USD.
5. Conclusion
The dollar remains in an uptrend, and this pullback appears to be healthy, not bearish. As long as DXY holds above 99.00, the broader bullish bias remains intact, and traders should prepare for a possible rebound in the next sessions. 💵
DXY is approaching a very area of value!As the US government shudtown started along with DXY's bullish trend is continuing except past weeks, needed pullback. with price formed a weekly pin par, which could bring early this week price to further down and, which may approach the most confluenced point of 99.15 which is the previous reistance turn support leading a possible buy zone for trend continuation.
Aligning 3 high confluence of
1. Trend line
2. Resistance turns support and
3. weekly low
upon price action rejection, and reversal confirmation to bullish it is a probability bullish market.
DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast -Q4 | W46 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W46 | Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY (DOLLAR INDEX) outlook for this weekDXY Weekly Outlook
Looking at the dollar this week, it’s aligning nicely with my setups on EU and GU. I’m watching to see if price will mitigate the 8hr supply zone, which fits perfectly with my plan to buy EU and GU from their demand zones — since a move down in the dollar typically means those pairs will push higher.
Alternatively, if the dollar bounces from demand and continues up, then I’ll be looking for sell opportunities on EU and GU instead.
Overall, DXY still looks bullish long term, and I believe this current downside move is just a temporary bearish correction before continuing higher.
FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY -Q4 | W45 | D7| Y25 | DXY📅 Q4 | W45 | D7| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D5| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D5| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY






















