Get started

ELON

BTC — Bitcoin: Macro x ETFs x Hashrate → Real Flow, Real Volatil⭐️ BTC — Bitcoin: Macro x ETFs x Hashrate → Real Flow, Real Volatility Buy/Hold bias long term; short-term: correction likely in September (seasonality), with bear target ≈ $88,000 in my playbook. 🔥 Latest headlines (spot check) 🔸BTC back near $111K as risk assets bounce to start September. 🔸Hashrate sets a fresh record (~1 zettahash/s 7-day avg); a >7% difficulty hike is expected within days. Network is the strongest ever, but miner margins tighten. 🔸U.S. spot BTC ETFs show renewed net inflows (e.g., +$333M on Sep 2 across funds). Flows remain a key daily demand gauge. 🔸MicroStrategy (now “Strategy”) bought more BTC last week (~4,4k coins; holdings ≈ 636.5k BTC)—ongoing corporate bid. 🔸Europe angle: a Winklevoss-backed bitcoin treasury firm plans an Amsterdam listing, signaling appetite for listed BTC exposure in the EU. 🗓 Near-term event & data catalysts (September) 🔸Fri, Sep 5 — U.S. Jobs (NFP, Aug) at 08:30 ET. Labor softness would bolster rate-cut odds and risk appetite; a beat could do the opposite. 🔸Wed, Sep 11 — U.S. CPI (Aug) at 08:30 ET. Inflation surprise drives real-rate expectations → BTC beta. 🔸Tue–Wed, Sep 16–17 — FOMC + press conference. Policy path & dot plot = macro volatility for BTC. Fri, Sep 26 — Options/Derivs expiry: • Deribit monthly BTC options expire 08:00 UTC (last Friday rule). • CME Bitcoin monthly options settle Sep 26 as well. These expiries often amplify gamma flows and spot-vol. Early Sept — Next difficulty adjustment likely >7% up (tightens miner economics short-term). Medium-dated overhang Mt. Gox creditor deadline: Oct 31, 2025. Any schedule/details update could swing “supply overhang” narratives. 📈 Flows & on-chain/market structure 🔸ETF flows remain the cleanest real-time demand proxy; watch daily creations/redemptions. 🔸Sustained positives tend to align with spot strength; outsized outflows can weigh on price. 🔸Network health is stellar (ATH hashrate), but rising difficulty + a softer tape can pressure high-cost miners → potential miner selling into weakness. 🔸Corporate treasuries (e.g., Strategy/MSTR) keep adding on dips—bullish signal for supply absorption on red days. 🧠 Seasonality & tone check September is historically a weak month for BTC (average ~−3% to −4% since 2013), which fits the current “pullback/mean-revert” setup. 📣 Social/flow buzz (signals, not noise) 🔸ETF flow posts (Farside, Bloomberg desks) are getting traction again—watch after U.S. close for prints. 🔸Saylor/Strategy buying headlines keep the “corporate bid” narrative front-and-center. 🧭 Levels & plan (author’s framework) 🔸Bias: Long-term constructive; near-term: correction mode likely extends through September (seasonality + event risk). 🔸Bear target: $88,000 (where I’d expect volatility to attract responsive buyers). 🔸Invalidation for bears (tactical): A strong reclaim/close above ~$113K–$115K with improving 🔸ETF inflows would weaken the pullback thesis. 🔸Sizing: Respect macro data days (NFP/CPI/Fed) and options expiry week—expect higher realized vol. 🗺 What to watch next (checklist) 🔸Daily U.S. spot BTC ETF flows (post-close updates). Momentum if creations persist; caution on redemptions clusters. 🔸Sep 5 — NFP (Aug) 08:30 ET. Risk-on if soft; risk-off if hot. 🔸Sep 11 — CPI (Aug) 08:30 ET. Headline/core surprises steer the FOMC tone. 🔸Sep 16–17 — FOMC + presser. Watch guidance on cuts, balance sheet, and growth. 🔸Sep 26 — Deribit & CME monthly expiries. Positioning/“max pain” dynamics into that Friday. Difficulty adjustment (early Sept). If >7% up as projected, monitor miner behavior/sell pressure.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
34
Dogecoin (DOGE) Market Update & Catalysts: Ready for 50 cents?🚀 Dogecoin (DOGE) Market Update & Catalysts 🐋 Whale Accumulation & Trading Activity Large players (“whales”) have been steadily absorbing DOGE, fueling upward momentum. Recent market structure shows that bulls defended the $0.22 zone, while primary support and reload range sits at $0.15–$0.16 — the bottom of the accumulation range. A breakout above $0.25 could spark a run toward $0.40, especially if short positions get squeezed. 🏦 ETF Prospects & Institutional Tailwinds Optimism is building around a potential Dogecoin Spot ETF, with growing speculation that approval could arrive in the next cycle. An ETF would open the doors for institutional capital, mirroring what happened with Bitcoin’s rally. 🔗 Expanding Utility (DogeOS & DeFi) The development of DogeOS, which allows DOGE to interact with Ethereum DeFi ecosystems, could give the coin a major utility boost beyond its meme status. This evolution may help sustain higher valuations long-term. 📈 Technical Signals & Price Forecasts Chart patterns are turning favorable: Golden cross (50-day MA crossing the 200-day) shows momentum strength. Oversold RSI signals suggest a potential reversal upward. If support at $0.15–$0.16 holds and bulls reclaim $0.25, upside targets expand to $0.34–$0.40. 🔮 Bullish Scenarios & Analyst Sentiment Mid-term projections highlight possible price zones: Conservative path: $0.30–$0.33 into 2025. Aggressive path: Retesting all-time highs near $1 if institutional demand + ETF + DeFi traction align. 🌟 Key Positive Catalysts 🔑 Catalyst 🚀 Impact 🐋 Whale absorption & accumulation Strengthens base; short squeezes possible. 🏦 Spot ETF approval potential Brings institutional demand. 📊 Technical bullish patterns Golden cross + RSI suggest uptrend. 🔗 DogeOS & DeFi integration Expands DOGE’s real-world use cases. 💬 Strong community + hype Keeps DOGE in the spotlight. ✅ Summary Dogecoin is holding its accumulation base at $0.15–$0.16, with strong whale support and growing catalysts like ETFs and DeFi integration. If bulls can reclaim the $0.25–$0.26 zone, momentum could build toward $0.40 in the mid-term — with long-term upside scenarios eyeing $1+ if institutional and utility drivers align.
BINANCE:DOGEUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
40
TSLA Catalysts Ranking: September 2025 update and Path ForwardHere's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments this was updated for September 2025 with all the viable market data. 🤖1. Autonomous & Robotaxi Execution (↑ from 8.5 to 9/10) • Why it matters: Tesla officially launched its Robotaxi service in Austin on June 22, 2025, deploying a small fleet of 10–20 invite-only Model Ys operating within a geofence and featuring human safety monitors.. • The stock rallied impressively—up 9%–11% on launch day.. • Regulatory scrutiny intensified as the NHTSA launched probes into delayed crash reporting and other safety concerns.. • Musk also touted FSD v14 as 2–3× safer than humans, with v15 aiming to be 10× safer—but cautioned debugging would take "several months.". • Why the bump to 9/10? The real-world rollout is finally underway, drawing heavy investor focus—even amidst safety questions. ________________________________________ 🌍2. EV Demand Growth & Geographic Recovery (holds at 9/10) • Despite a 13% year over year global sales drop in H1 2025, future demand hinges on Amazon of lower priced models and tax credit extensions.. • Strong upward investor sentiment: TSLA is up 54% over the past year, despite being down ~16% YTD.. • Why still 9/10? Long-term EV momentum remains solid; a rebound may follow new launches or incentive shifts. ________________________________________ 💸3. U.S. EV Tax Credits & Incentives (↑ from 6 to 7.5/10) • The $7,500 EV tax credit—set to expire September 30—has been extended: now, buyers can qualify with a signed purchase agreement, even before delivery.. • However, expiration still looms and could dampen demand.. • Why bump to 7.5/10? The extension buys breathing room and could stabilize near-term demand. ________________________________________ 📉4. Fed & Interest Rates (↑ from 5 to 6.5/10) • On August 22, Tesla led a mega cap tech rally (up 6%+) after Fed chair hinted at possible rate cuts—lower borrowing costs may aid EV financing.. • Why improved score? Lower rates remain a key catalyst for big-ticket items like EVs. ________________________________________ 🎭5. Affordable Entry-Level Model / Next-Gen Platform (holds at 8.5/10) • Musk revealed the upcoming affordable model may resemble a Model Y and could launch slower than expected post tax credit expiration.. • The “next gen” platform—including the so called “Model 2/Q” or Cybercab—targets mid 2025 production.. • With delays likely, expectations remain high but execution risk persists. ________________________________________ 🔋6. Battery Cost & Margin Improvement (holds at 8/10) • Q2 margins improved modestly, supported by cost cuts and energy business growth.. • Yet, regulatory credits continue to decline (–51%), pressuring margins.. ________________________________________ 🤖7. Energy & AI Upside (new 8/10) • Tesla is doubling down on autonomy and energy. Musk highlighted robotaxi, energy storage, and its humanoid Optimus robot, slated for early 2026.. • Wedbush’s Dan Ives sees Tesla as an “embodied AI compounder,” while William Blair estimates self driving could be worth nearly $1 trillion.. • This iterative AI and energy focus is a compelling re-rating vector. ________________________________________ 📊 8. Safety, Regulatory & Governance Risk (↑ to 7/10) • NHTSA’s probe into crash-report delays, plus ongoing FSD safety concerns, elevate tail risk.. • Musk’s political entanglements have had adverse brand impacts; while stepping back from new political initiatives helped marginally, skepticism persists.. • Added governance scrutiny and Musk’s external ventures continue to weigh on sentiment. ________________________________________ 🚩9. Competition & Global Sales Slump (holds at 6.5/10) • EV rivalry heats up, and Tesla’s European and Chinese market share slumped significantly. • Still a notable headwind. ________________________________________ ✅10. Commodities & Raw Material Costs (holds at 5.5/10) • Volatile raw material prices continue to affect margins; hedges help but don't eliminate the risk. ________________________________________ 🚀11. Macro & Trade Policies (new 6/10) • Tariff risks and global trade instability persist. Musk has warned of “rough quarters” ahead linked to these macro risks.. • Considered separately, worth tracking but less immediate than others. ________________________________________ Updated Catalyst Scorecard Rank Catalyst Score 1 Autonomous & Robotaxi Execution 9 2 EV Demand Growth 9 3 Affordable Entry-Level Model 8.5 4 Battery Cost & Margin Improvement 8 5 Energy & AI Upside 8 6 U.S. EV Incentives 7.5 7 Safety, Regulatory & Governance Risk 7 8 Fed & Interest Rates 6.5 9 Competition & Global Sales Slump 6.5 10 Macro & Trade Policy Risks 6 11 Commodities & Raw Material Costs 5.5 ________________________________________ 📊Analyst Ratings & Price Targets (Updated) • Median 12-month price target: ~$303–$307, implying slight downside from current ~$346.. • High-end bulls: Dan Ives (Wedbush) at $500; Benchmark raised to $475.. • Cautious voices: UBS remains bearish at $215, saying robotaxi upside may be priced-in.. • Wolfe Research: warns near-term earnings estimates are too optimistic, free cash flow may remain under pressure.. ________________________________________ 🔍Recent Headlines You Should Know • Robotaxi launch in Austin, promoting optimism but drawing scrutiny.. • FSD & Optimus focus, backed by bullish commentary like “embodied AI compounder.”. • EV credit tweak buys time for deliveries and demand.. • Fed hinting at rate cuts, offering cyclical lift.. • Q2 earnings miss on EPS and revenue, but autonomy/energy pushed narrative.. ________________________________________ • Bull Case: Robotaxi and AI drive restore investor confidence, pushing targets toward $475–$500. • Base Case: Steady but cautious—watch for execution on autonomous and cost-efficiency. • Bear Case: Renewed delivery slumps, regulatory blowback, or failed rollout could weigh toward downside support in the $300–$330 range.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
38
Tesla, Inc. $TSLA ~ Very Concerning (Not much left)...Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems. It operates through the Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture, sale, and lease of electric vehicles as well as sales of automotive regulatory credits. The Energy Generation and Storage segment is involved in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of solar energy generation, energy storage products, and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by EndlessCode
A to 236 or B killing A to 420Tesla is one of those stocks that is heavily manipulated algorithmically. When we were in an uptrend and needed a little push, a large fractal was created that could break a previously formed structure which should have taken us to $236(A). Interestingly, a very strong symmetrical triangle has emerged, influencing this upward movement, and the final price—due to some mystical reason—seems to be $420(B). It’s also worth noting that this whole move is being influenced by another similar structure whose target is above $600. So, if we analyze everything that’s happening, a 12% drop in sales means nothing compared to what Tesla will gain from robots, restaurants, and robotaxis, which I call RRR
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AllAboutMoney
Cup & HANDLE + Mini Double Bottom: $TSLA to $610 ScenarioI maintain a bullish stance on Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), supported by a compelling combination of technical patterns and strong fundamental drivers. The current chart setup reveals a Cup and Handle formation complemented by a Mini Double Bottom, both of which are classic bullish continuation patterns. These suggest a potential breakout scenario that could drive NASDAQ:TSLA to $610 by year-end. Technical Roadmap: Gap Fill to $408: Anticipated earnings momentum, particularly from the Robotaxi segment, is likely to propel the stock to fill the previous gap at $408. Consolidation at $450: Following the gap fill, I expect a consolidation phase forming a “box” around the $450 level. Breakout to $610: A decisive breakout above $450 could trigger a strong rally toward the $610 target. ***Current Key Catalysts Supporting the Bullish Thesis: Robotaxi Expansion: Tesla’s autonomous driving initiative is gaining traction, with Robotaxi developments expected to significantly boost revenue and margins. India Market Entry: Tesla’s upcoming launch in India opens access to one of the world’s largest and fastest-growing EV markets. In-House Chip Development & Dojo 2 Expansion: Continued investment in AI infrastructure and custom silicon enhances Tesla’s competitive edge in autonomy and robotics. Tesla Diner Launch: The near-completion of Tesla’s themed diner adds to brand visibility and customer engagement. Global EV Adoption: Tesla continues to benefit from rising EV demand across multiple international markets. Optimus Robot Hype: Growing interest in Tesla’s humanoid robot project could unlock new revenue streams and investor enthusiasm. Favorable Macro Trends: A declining interest rate environment supports higher valuations for growth stocks like Tesla. Institutional Accumulation: Recent trading activity suggests that institutional investors are accumulating shares within the current range. Grok AI Integration: The integration of Grok AI into Tesla vehicles could enhance user experience and differentiate Tesla’s infotainment ecosystem. Investment Strategy: I recommend initiating or increasing exposure to NASDAQ:TSLL (leveraged Tesla ETF) ahead of the upcoming earnings report. This could offer amplified returns if the bullish scenario plays out. Consider accumulating further on any dips, particularly during the consolidation phase around $450. BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:TSLL
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by sej4974
Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views🚀 Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views 🔑 Key Catalysts Driving Nvidia’s Stock Growth (2025+) 1. 🏆 AI Chip Dominance Nvidia maintains >90% market share in data-center AI chips (Blackwell, Hopper, Rubin). Its CUDA ecosystem and relentless innovation keep it as the “default” supplier for advanced AI, giving NVDA massive pricing power. 2. 🏗️ Surging Data Center Demand Cloud and enterprise AI spending remains white-hot. Tech giants (Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Google) are collectively pouring $300B+ into 2025 AI CapEx. Data center revenues are at all-time highs; analysts expect this uptrend to extend through 2026 as “AI infrastructure arms race” persists. 3. 🌐 Mainstream AI Adoption AI is now integrated in nearly every industry—healthcare, finance, logistics, manufacturing, retail. As companies embed AI at scale, NVDA’s hardware/software sales rise, with “AI everywhere” tailwinds supporting 15–25% annual growth. 4. 🤝 Strategic Partnerships Big wins: Deals with Snowflake, ServiceNow, and massive sovereign/international AI collaborations (e.g., $B+ Saudi Arabia/“Humain” order for Blackwell superchips; UAE, India, and Southeast Asia ramping up AI infrastructure using Nvidia). 5. 🚗 Automotive/Autonomous Vehicles NVDA’s automotive AI segment is now its fastest-growing “new” business line, powering next-gen vehicles (Jaguar Land Rover, Mercedes, BYD, NIO, Lucid) and expected to surpass $1B+ annual run rate by late 2025. 6. 🧑‍💻 Expanding Software Ecosystem Nvidia’s “full stack” software (CUDA, AI Enterprise, DGX Cloud) is now a sticky, recurring-revenue engine. Over 4M devs are building on Nvidia’s AI SDKs. Enterprise AI subscriptions add high-margin growth on top of hardware. 7. 🌎 Omniverse & Digital Twins Industrial metaverse and simulation/digital twin momentum is building (major partnerships with Ansys, Siemens, SAP, Schneider Electric). Omniverse becoming the industry standard for 3D AI/simulation, unlocking new GPU/software demand. 8. 🛠️ Relentless Innovation Blackwell Ultra GPUs debuting in late 2025, “Rubin” architecture in 2026. Fast-paced, aggressive product roadmap sustains Nvidia’s tech lead and triggers constant upgrade cycles for data centers and cloud providers. 9. 📦 Full-Stack Platform Expansion Grace CPUs, BlueField DPUs, and Spectrum-X networking mean Nvidia is now a “one-stop shop” for AI infrastructure—capturing more value per system and displacing legacy CPU/network vendors. 10. 🌏 Global AI Infrastructure Buildout Recent US export rule rollbacks are a huge tailwind, opening up new high-volume markets (Middle East, India, LatAm). Nvidia remains the “go-to” AI chip supplier for sovereign and enterprise supercomputers outside the US, supporting continued global growth. ________________________________________ 📈 Latest Analyst Recommendations (July 2025) •Street Consensus: Overwhelmingly bullish—~85% of analysts rate NVDA as “Buy/Overweight” (rest “Hold”), with target prices often in the $140–$165 range (post-split, as applicable). •Target Price Range: Median 12-month PT: $150–$160 (representing ~20% upside from July 2025 levels). •Key Bullish Arguments: Unmatched AI chip lead, accelerating enterprise AI adoption, deep software moat, and a robust international/sovereign AI order pipeline. •Cautious/Bearish Notes: Valuation premium (45–50x P/E), high expectations priced in, geopolitical and supply chain risks. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Key Negative Drivers & Risks 1. 🇨🇳 US–China Tech War / Chip Export Restrictions • US restrictions: While the Biden administration eased some export bans in May 2025 (allowing more AI chip exports to Gulf/Asia partners), China remains subject to severe curbs on advanced NVDA AI chips. • Workarounds: Nvidia is selling modified “China-compliant” chips (H20, L20, A800/H800), but at lower margins and lower performance. • Risk: If US tightens controls again (post-election), China sales could fall further. Chinese firms (Huawei, SMIC, Biren) are also racing to build their own AI chips—posing long-term competitive risk. 2. 🏛️ Political/Regulatory Risk • Election year: A US policy shift (e.g., harder tech stance after Nov 2025 election) could re-restrict exports, limit new markets, or disrupt supply chains (especially TSMC foundry reliance). 3. 🏷️ Valuation Risk • NVDA trades at a substantial premium to tech/semiconductor peers (45–50x fwd earnings). Any AI “spending pause” or earnings miss could trigger sharp volatility. 4. 🏭 Supply Chain & Capacity Constraints • As AI chip demand soars, there’s ongoing risk of supply/delivery bottlenecks (memory, HBM, advanced packaging), which could cap near-term revenue upside. 5. 🏁 Competitive Threats • AMD, Intel, and custom in-house AI chips (by Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Tesla, etc.) are scaling up fast. Loss of a hyperscaler account or a successful open-source software alternative (vs CUDA) could erode Nvidia’s dominance. 6. 💵 Customer Concentration • A small handful of cloud giants account for >35% of revenue. Delays or pullbacks in their AI spending would materially impact results. ________________________________________ 📝 Summary Outlook (July 2025): Nvidia’s AI chip monopoly, software moat, and global AI arms race create a powerful multi-year growth setup, but the stock’s high valuation and US-China chip tension are real risks. Analyst consensus remains strongly positive, with most seeing more upside as data-center and enterprise AI demand persists—but with increased focus on geopolitical headlines and potential supply chain hiccups. ________________________________________
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ProjectSyndicate
46
TSLA bearish: Musk vs Trump! Subsidy Spotlight & Sentiment RisksIf you haven`t bought TSLA before the recent breakout: Now you need to know that Tesla (TSLA) is sitting around $315, but the vibe is getting shakier. Elon Musk’s feud with Donald Trump — complete with jokes about “putting the DOGE on him” if deported — might feel like another meme moment, but it spotlights Tesla’s huge dependency on federal and state support. Estimates show Tesla could face up to $48 billion in lost government contracts and incentives over the next decade if the political tide turns. With Trump’s base calling out “green subsidies” as wasteful, Tesla’s funding pipeline could get squeezed — just as competition ramps up and margins get tighter. Key Bearish Points 1) Political Risk Is Real Musk’s public fight with Trump is a double-edged sword: he risks losing goodwill on both sides of the aisle. If the next administration decides to gut EV credits, Tesla could take a huge hit — far more than its rivals who rely less on U.S. incentives. 2) Subsidy Dependence Tesla’s success is partly built on a foundation of tax credits, carbon credits, and favorable policies. $48B in potential lost value is nothing to shrug off — especially when competitors like BYD are gaining ground. 3) Bearish Technical Setup TSLA’s chart is rolling over inside a bearish channel. It recently failed to hold the $330 level and now sits around $315. A clean breakdown below $300 could open the door to your target zone at $262 — a major support area from earlier this year. Catalysts: Any new comments from Trump’s camp about EV subsidies Weak delivery/margin numbers from Tesla Broader tech/equity pullback Musk’s crypto distractions no longer propping up sentiment Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:TSLAShort
by TopgOptions
Gold Market Update: Stuck in summer time range / SeasonalityGold is stuck so far last 4-6 weeks in tight range trading conditions due to summer time seasonality also strong gains previously expecting range locked conditions in July as well here's an overview of 5 years and 10 years of seasonality data by month until at least August expecting dead market conditions it's best to focus on trading the range or trading with automated algo instead. Here are the two tables showing month-over-month percent changes in gold prices (London PM fix USD/oz) for June, July, and August: | Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % | | ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: | | 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% | | 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% | | 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% | | 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% | | 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% | | Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % | | ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: | | 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% | | 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% | | 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% | | 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% | | 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% | | 2018 | 1,270.00\* | 1,230.00\* | 1,194.00\* | –1.09% | –3.15% | –3.02% | | 2017 | 1,257.00\* | 1,243.00\* | 1,280.00\* | +0.72% | –1.10% | +2.93% | | 2016 | 1,255.00\* | 1,364.00\* | 1,322.00\* | +3.24% | +8.67% | –3.11% | | 2015 | 1,180.00\* | 1,172.00\* | 1,116.00\* | –2.06% | –0.68% | –4.69% | | 2014 | 1,320.00\* | 1,311.00\* | 1,312.00\* | –0.65% | –0.68% | +0.08% | 🔍 Summary Highlights June has been weak more often than not—negative in 6 of the past 10 years. July shows modest gains overall—positive in 7 of the last 10. August is the strongest summer month—positive 6 times out of the past 10, with several double-digit y/y gains (like +10.99% in 2020).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
36
TLSA Catalyst Ranking and Market Update: June 2025Here's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments 🔋 1. EV Demand Growth Strength: 9/10 → 9/10 Global electric vehicle adoption remains the dominant pillar. Tesla faces softer comp in Europe (–40.5% drop in May) wsj.com, but overall trend remains firmly upward. 🌍 🚗 2. Affordable Entry Level Model Strength: 8.5/10 → 8.5/10 Tesla still on track to launch a < $25K EV in first half of 2025. Any delays or execution issues could pressure sentiment. ⚡ 3. Battery Cost & Margin Improvement Strength: 8/10 → 8/10 Margins saw slight relief Q1, driven by cost cuts f, but macro headwinds persist. 🤖 4. Autonomy & Robotaxi Rollout Strength: 7.5/10 → 8.5/10 Robotaxi debuted in Austin in June, sparking a ~10% one-day stock surge. Benchmark raised its target to $475/buy on the rollout—strong tailwind. 🚩 5. Competition Strength: 7/10 → 6.5/10 Rivals like Xiaomi’s new YU7 are gaining ground. Tesla must maintain differentiation. 📉 6. Trade Policies & Tariffs Strength: 6.5/10 → 6.5/10 Still relevant due to Tesla’s global footprint, though less front-page than before. 💰 7. Incentives & Subsidies Strength: 6/10 → 6/10 U.S. IRA tax credit policies remain supportive; evolving eligibility remains a swing factor. 🛢️ 8. Commodity Costs Strength: 5.5/10 → 5.5/10 Raw-material swings affect margins. Inventory hedges help but not wholly mitigate. 📈 9. Fed & Interest Rates Strength: 5/10 → 5/10 A higher-rate environment still limits valuation multiples for growth-tier companies. 🎭 10. Musk Profile & Governance Strength: 4/10 → 5/10 Analysts (e.g., Bradley Tusk) warn of being “massively overvalued” tied to Musk’s persona. Musk’s renewed focus on Tesla vs. other ventures (DOGE, SpaceX) will be watched. ________________________________________ 🚀 Refreshed Catalyst Rankings Rank Driver Score 1 EV demand growth 9 2 Affordable model 8.5 3 Battery costs/margins 8 4 Autonomy/robotaxi execution 8.5 5 Competition 6.5 6 Trade & tariffs 6.5 7 Regulatory incentives 6 8 Commodities 5.5 9 Fed Rates 5 10 Musk reputation/governance 5 ________________________________________ 📊 Latest Analyst Ratings & Targets • Benchmark / Mickey Legg: Buy, target $475 (from $350) — cites robotaxi safety-first rollout, automation upside • Wedbush / Dan Ives: Outperform, target $500 — labels TSLA as an “embodied AI compounder” • Morgan Stanley / Adam Jonas: Buy, target $410 — bullish on AI/self driving positioning • Cantor Fitzgerald / Andres Sheppard: Overweight, target $355 — optimism rooted in robotaxi and FSD rollout • UBS / multiple: Sell, target $215–225 — skeptical on demand and valuations Consensus snapshot (FactSet): • Mean price target ≈ $311–$312 • Mean rating between Hold–Buy (~2.7/5) ________________________________________ 🗞️ Recent Headlines • “Tesla completes first fully autonomous Model Y delivery ahead of schedule” • “Tesla robotaxis launch in Austin” boosting momentum • “EU Tesla sales slump” May registrations down 40.5% • “Tesla fires longtime insider as Europe slump deepens” ________________________________________ 🔍 Summary Outlook Tesla shares are navigating a volatile interplay of strong tech promise and unfolding execution risks: • Overweight view (Legg, Ives): Robotaxi rollout and AI thrust fuel upside. Automation transition seen as transformative. • Bullish base (Jonas, Sheppard): AI, FSD rollout, affordable model support core thesis. • Skeptical view (UBS, Tusk): Slumping deliveries in Europe/China, heavy valuation, Musk's external focus seen as emotional dampener. Upcoming triggers to watch: 1. Q2 delivery and production results (mid July). 2. Robotaxi rollout execution/regulatory clearance. 3. Margin trajectory as costs evolve. 4. FSD reliability and expansion in new markets. ________________________________________ ✅ What This Means for You • Bull case: Robotaxi + AI momentum may drive TSLA back toward targets in the $475–500 range. • Bear case: Weak deliveries, macro and competition pressures could cap shares or trigger pullback toward prior support ($330–350). • Neutral: Watch near-term delivery and autonomy news to shape next move.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
37
TESLA: Can double its price ($640) by the end of the year.Tesla is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.064, MACD = 4.910, ADX = 24.971), consolidating for the past week, but remains over its 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 nonetheless. Since the major market bottom on January 6th 2023, it's been trading inside a Channel Up and this is its 3rd bullish wave. The 2 prior rose by +196.67% from the bottom of the pattern (despite the 2nd breaking marginally under it). Consequently, this suggests that Tesla can rise by +100% from the current $320 level, before the Channel Up tops (HH) again. We are bullish, TP = 640. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by InvestingScope
The Trump & Musk Friends Again - Tesla RippingAnalysts attribute the recovery to cooling tensions between Elon Musk and President Donald Trump, which had previously weighed on investor sentiment. Additionally, Tesla's upcoming robo-taxi launch on June 12 is generating excitement, with some analysts predicting it could be a major revenue driver. However, concerns remain about Tesla's valuation, as it trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 192, significantly higher than traditional automakers.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Trading-Capital
09/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $106,812.33 Last weeks low: $100,372.93 Midpoint: $103,592.63 Billionaire spats and V-shaped recoveries, the beginning of June starts off in an interesting way. As President Trump goes forward with "The big beautiful bill" Elon Musk lets his feelings be known publicly sending shockwaves throughout markets, but what does this mean for Bitcoin? The bill could add $3-5T in US government spending which is great for risk-on assets as there is more money able to flow into markets. I believe this exact thought process is visible on the chart in the V-shaped recovery we can see on Thursday. A clear sell-off as Elon Musk's anti government spending views clash with the bill, the uncertainty causes a sell the news moment, just as BTC comes into $100,000 the dip is bought up on the realization this means greater inflows are on the way, dips are truly for buying at this stage in the cycle and to me, this proves it. In a more bearish view of the chart I would say the clear resistance is now weekly high at ~$106,000. Anything above that meets huge selling pressure with price discovery on the other side the market just doesn't seem to have the fuel as of yet to make the next step. However I believe it is just a matter of time and as M2 global money supply grows we get closer and closer to seeing new significant highs. For this week CPI & PPI take place on Wednesday and Friday respectively. With CPI set to grow from 2.3% to 2.5% according to forecasts it will be interesting to see how markets react, expect short term volatility. Key battlegrounds for me are weekly high and midpoint. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
1
Elon Musk vs Trump: Who you betting on?Elon Musk and Donald Trump have recently had a public falling-out, with their feud playing out on social media and in political circles. The dispute seems to have started over Trump's new budget bill, which Musk has criticized for increasing the national debt. Trump, in turn, accused Musk of being upset because the bill removes electric vehicle subsidies that benefit Tesla. The tension escalated when Trump suggested that Musk had known about the bill beforehand and had no issue with it until after leaving his government role. Musk denied this, claiming he was never shown the bill and that it was passed too quickly for proper review. Trump then took things further by threatening to cut Musk’s government contracts and subsidies, which amount to billions of dollars. Musk responded defiantly on social media, calling Trump "ungrateful" and claiming that without his financial support, Trump would have lost the election. TSLA violated key levels and will be looking for a sharp technical bounce off the $260-$257 zone
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Trading-Capital
34
Everything we know about the Trump - Musk divorce (so far) Elon Musk publicly criticised Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” as a “disgusting abomination” that would explode the U.S. deficit and “bankrupt America.” The bill is projected to add $2.5 trillion to the U.S. deficit over 10 years. Musk claimed Trump wouldn’t have won the 2024 election without his support, calling the backlash “such ingratitude.” Musk then alleged on X that Trump appears in the Epstein files. This marks a serious escalation (but we all thought this before Musk confirmed it right?) Trump followed up on Truth Social by calling Musk “crazy” and hinting at cancelling federal contracts with his companies. Trump wrote that cancelling subsidies for Musk’s companies “could save billions,”. Tesla has wiped out ~$100 billion in market value. Tesla now politically exposed? Musk floated the idea of creating a new centrist political party, criticising both Democrats and MAGA Republicans. “We need a party that actually represents the interests of the people. Not lobbyists. Not legacy donors. Not extremists.”
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BlackBull_Markets
9