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QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 6 of 2026 (Feb 09–13)QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 6 of 2026 (Feb 09–13) Weekly Recap Last week, my base projection was that the market would lack a clear directional trend and trade in a range, reacting from key levels. Price behaved exactly as expected, rejecting from those levels and forming short term bounces throughout the week. Relative to SPY, QQQ was noticeably weaker, which made put side trades significantly more effective on QQQ. After a strong break and acceptance below 618, we entered puts and shorted QQQ. Price moved quickly, reaching 607 on Wednesday and 599.5 on Thursday, where we took profits. When price closed back above 599.5 on Thursday, we exited the remaining puts in profit and flipped long with calls. By Friday, those call positions had already started printing gains. Overall, the execution followed the plan cleanly, and it was a highly profitable week. Scenarios – Prediction Bullish Scenario (Likely) I am tracking two potential bullish paths for the coming week. Scenario 1: Price opens with a gap up above 609.5, or breaks and holds above this level with two consecutive 1H candle closes. In this case, my upside targets are: 616.75 → 630 → 636.5 Scenario 2: Price fails to hold above 609.5 and pulls back to build energy. A retracement into the 600 or 593 area followed by a bounce, confirmed by price running liquidity and closing above the level with two 1H candles, would be treated as a deviation and signal bullish continuation. In this case, bullish targets remain: 609.5 → 616.75 → 630 → 636.5 Bearish Scenario If price closes below 593, I will shift my bias to bearish and look to short the market. Bearish Target: 580 This level represents the strongest potential bounce zone, so I would plan to close approximately 75% of the position there. Position Management Notes I only consider a level broken after two consecutive 1H candle closes above or below it. If price deviates into a level and then reclaims or loses it with confirmation, I treat that as a valid deviation setup. No trades are taken without confirmation. If price closes back inside the level we assumed was broken or deviated from, again confirmed by two 1H closes, the trade idea is invalidated and positions should be exited. I share deeper US Market breakdowns and mid week scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 4 of 2026 (Jan 26–30)SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 4 of 2026 (Jan 26–30) Technical Look SPY moved exactly as expected on the bearish side, reaching its downside targets with the Tuesday open last week and finding a bounce from those levels. In the Mid Week Update shared afterward, I highlighted that price had transitioned into a bullish structure and that higher targets were now in focus. I’m also linking last week’s outlook on the side for reference. Scenarios – Prediction At this point, I am tracking two possible scenarios for SPY. Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario (Likely) With the bullish structure formed during the week, I expect price to continue higher and potentially target all time highs. Bullish sentiment remains strong enough to support this move. That said, risks remain. Escalation around Iran or a potential 100% tariff on Canada could shift market structure back to bearish, so staying cautious is important. This bullish scenario can play out in two ways: 1-A direct gap up open followed by continuation toward bullish targets 2-A pullback toward the 687 area, a brief deviation, then a bounce with a strong close above that level, leading to higher targets Bullish scenario targets: 691 – 696 – 700 Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario Geopolitical tension around Iran or a potential tariff shock could still trigger a bearish shift, keeping this scenario in play. A strong break and close below 687 would activate the bearish scenario for me. On any retest, price should fail to reclaim and close back above 687. If that happens, I would look to actively trade this scenario using puts. Potential bearish targets: 676.5 and 669.5 Position Management Notes I manage risk by scaling out of positions at key reaction levels and adjusting exposure as structure confirms. Partial profit taking at major levels is a core part of my approach. I share deeper SPY-QQQ breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
3
SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 3 of 2026 (Jan 19–23)SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 3 of 2026 (Jan 19–23) Technical Look: As expected last week, price found support at the 687.5 level and continued its upside move. We discussed that if SPY failed to push toward 700 on Monday’s open, a post CPI pullback toward 687.5 could occur. That scenario played out precisely on Wednesday, with price retracing into the 687.5 zone and finding support there. As I mentioned in my Wednesday Mid Week Update, this reaction marked a shift back to a bullish structure, with upside targets at 691.75 – 694 – 695.25. I also stated that I would exit all call positions at 695.25, and price reached that level exactly before getting rejected. (Please refer to the linked idea for visual reference.) Scenarios – Prediction: At this point, I am tracking two possible scenarios for SPY. Scenario 1: Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) This is currently the more likely scenario, mainly due to the macro backdrop, including Trump–EU tensions and potential EU tariffs related to Greenland. I believe price may open the week with a sharp downside move. My bearish targets are: 686 – 679.75 – 669.5 If price breaks 686 aggressively and closes a 4H candle below it, I would expect a move toward 679.75. Similarly, if 679.75 is broken decisively and holds below, price could extend toward 669.5. Each of these bearish targets also represents a potential bounce or reversal zone, so I prefer taking partial profits (around 1/3) at each level. If price breaks 686 decisively, I would look to engage on the short side using put options. Scenario 2: Bullish Scenario This scenario becomes valid only if Trump EU tensions ease before the market opens (with Monday being a holiday and trading resuming on Tuesday). The 695 level acts as a call wall in options positioning for SPY. If price breaks above 695 aggressively, I would look to buy calls on a retracement, targeting a move toward the 700 area. Position Management Notes: I manage risk by scaling out of positions at key reaction levels and adjusting exposure as structure confirms. Partial profit-taking at major levels is a core part of my approach. I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYShort
by UA_CAPITAL
2
QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 3 of 2026 (Jan 19–23)QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 3 of 2026 (Jan 19–23) Technical Look: Last Monday, price pushed into 629.25, which I marked as Bullish Target 1 in last week’s outlook, but failed to secure a close above that level. As mentioned in my Sunday outlook, with CPI scheduled for Tuesday, I did not expect sustained upside continuation beyond those levels before the data release. QQQ tapped 629.25, failed to hold above it, and began its retracement exactly as anticipated. Since QQQ was the stronger index relative to SPY, it found support earlier and did not need to reach its full downside target at 610.25. SPY had already reached its key support zone, which allowed QQQ to stabilize sooner. (Please refer to the linked idea for visual confirmation.) Scenarios – Prediction: At this stage, I am tracking two potential scenarios. Scenario 1: Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) This is currently the more likely scenario due to the macro environment, particularly Trump–EU tensions and potential EU tariffs related to Greenland. I believe price may open the week with a sharp downside move. My bearish targets are: 614.5 – 610.25 – 599.5 If price breaks 614.5 decisively and closes a 4H candle below it, I would expect a move toward 610.25. Likewise, if 610.25 is broken aggressively and holds below, price could extend toward 599.5. Each of these bearish targets also represents a potential bounce or reversal zone, so I prefer taking partial profits (around 1/3) at each level. If price breaks 614.5 decisively, I would look to engage on the short side using put options. Scenario 2: Bullish Scenario This scenario becomes valid only if Trump–EU tensions ease before the market opens (with Monday being a holiday and trading resuming on Tuesday). The 626 level acts as a call wall in options positioning for QQQ. If price breaks above 626 aggressively, I would look to buy calls on a retracement, targeting 629.5 and 636.5. Position Management Notes: I rely on confirmation-based entries around key levels. Once in a position, I manage risk by taking partial profits at reaction zones and adjusting exposure as price structure develops. I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by UA_CAPITAL
2
Supreme Court tariff decision risk: What to track this week With a potential decision due this week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said it is “very unlikely” the Supreme Court will overturn President Donald Trump’s power to impose tariffs, warning that the Court “does not want to create chaos.” Assets to watch ahead of the decision US dollar index Moves with trade expectations and inflation risk. US Treasury yields Particularly the 2 year and 10 year, as uncertainty feeds into growth and inflation assumptions. US equities S&P500 and NASDAQ100 for broad risk sentiment, especially trade-exposed sectors. Chinese equities and yuan Directly tied to tariff headlines and trade risk. Commodities Copper for growth signals, oil for broader risk tone. Gold Often the first hedge if uncertainty rises.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull Markets
2
SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 2 of 2026 (12-16 JAN 25)SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 2 of 2026 Technical Look: Price followed the bullish scenario from last week’s SPY outlook, and the expectation played out as planned. I’ve shared the linked idea below so you can clearly review the expectation versus the actual price action. SPY is currently trading around the area where it has just printed new highs, and attempting to predict price flow ahead of CPI carries elevated risk. Scenarios – Prediction: Pre-CPI / Range Expectation: With CPI data scheduled for Tuesday, market direction is likely to become clearer after the release. For Monday, my base expectation is a range bound session. If SPY attempts an upside move ahead of CPI, the level I am watching for a potential early expansion is 700. However, I would expect a retracement after a move into the 700 area, rather than immediate continuation. For this reason, 700 remains my primary bullish target ahead of CPI. Bearish Scenario (CPI-driven): If CPI data comes in bearish for risk assets, I will be watching the following support zones for a potential reversal or bounce: 687.5 – 679.75 – 669.50 I expect price to react at these levels. For a bullish reversal confirmation, price must tap one of these zones and then close a daily candle above it. This daily close would be my confirmation trigger. Bullish Scenario (CPI-driven): If CPI data comes in bullish, I expect price to target the 700 level first. If 700 is broken decisively, with a daily close above the level, I would expect price to continue higher toward upper levels. Call positions can be considered only after this confirmation. Position Management Notes: During high impact macro weeks, I focus strictly on confirmation based entries. Once in a position, I manage risk by scaling at key reaction zones and adjusting exposure based on daily market structure. I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 2 of 2026 (12-16 JAN 25)QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 2 of 2026 Technical Look: Price followed last week’s bullish scenario from my previous weekly outlook, and the expectation played out as planned. I’ve shared the linked idea below, where you can clearly review the expectation versus the actual price action. QQQ is currently trading near a resistance zone and finished Friday’s session in a position that allows for a potential bullish continuation. Scenarios – Prediction: Bullish Scenario: If price continues higher, my bullish targets are: 629.25 – 636.5 However, since the market is likely waiting for the CPI data release on Tuesday, one or both of these targets could be reached through an early expansion on Monday, but I do not expect sustained upside continuation beyond those levels until CPI is released. Because price is near resistance and close to all time highs, I do not expect Monday to be very active. In my view, a cleaner market structure is more likely to form after Tuesday’s CPI data. If CPI comes in supportive and price breaks and closes strongly above 636.5, we could see a bullish expansion that continues throughout the rest of the week. Bearish Scenario: If CPI data comes in bearish (higher than expected inflation), I expect a short term bearish move. In that scenario, the key support zones where price may find a bounce or reversal are: 610.25 – 599.50 Trades should only be taken with confirmation at these levels. If price taps one of these zones and closes a daily candle above it, I would look to engage in bullish call options. Position Management Notes: I prefer confirmation-based entries around key levels. Once in a position, I manage risk by taking partial profits at reaction zones and adjusting exposure as price structure develops. I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
Weekly QQQ (NQ-US100) Outlook - Prediction (23 NOV)Weekly QQQ (NQ-US100) Outlook - Prediction 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment is driven by fear at the moment. In my opinion, we are trading inside a bearish zone. Unless we get meaningful data or positive news, I expect the market to continue declining. Core PPI will be released on Tuesday at 08:30, which could create a minor bullish reaction; however, I personally do not think this will shift the overall sentiment. PPI is not a strong catalyst for a major sentiment change, so bearish conditions are likely to remain in play. 📈 Technical Analysis Price ran the 613 level strongly and reversed aggressively on Thursday after NVDA earnings. This move trapped the bulls and filled institutional put positions. As I mentioned on Thursday evening, a weak bounce was possible and that is exactly what occurred. 📌 Outlook – Prediction Scenario 1 (Bearish Scenario): I believe this scenario is more likely to play out. I expect price to retrace toward 559. If we see strong bullish momentum on Monday, I will likely become more cautious with my puts. Scenario 2 (Bullish Scenario): If price shows strong momentum on Monday and reprices toward 614, then I will consider buying calls around 606, targeting all-time highs afterward. Follow me for daily SPY–QQQ updates. I will update the idea based on evolving price action. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Weekly QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (16 NOV)Weekly QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (16 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger a renewed bullish momentum. NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the AI cycle continues to support upside. Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could add further bullish sentiment to the market. 📈 Technical Analysis The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has reached the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction Bullish Scenario (Black Line): I think this scenario is more likely. I want to see price close a 4H candle above 613. If that happens, I will be targeting 618 next. Price may run 618, pull back slightly, then eventually push toward 625 and potentially all-time highs around 637. Bearish Scenario (Red Line): If we see strong selling on Monday, I will assume price may follow the bearish path. In that case, I expect a move toward 595.5 and then the range low at 589. From there, we could see a bounce and a reclaim of 595.5. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
Weekly SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (16 NOV)Weekly SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (16 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and potential hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will begin receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could support renewed bullish momentum. NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle will continue to support upside. Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could help bring additional bullish sentiment into the market. 📈 Technical Analysis Price retraced into the 0.75 max discount zone, ran the mid-term range low, and closed back above it creating another higher expansion bounce. On Friday, we saw a second retest of the range low followed by another strong reaction. In my opinion, price remains strong here. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I currently see three scenarios: Bullish Scenario (Black Line): I believe this is the most likely scenario. I want to see price close above 675.5 and continue expanding higher. The first bullish target is 681. After clearing 681, a small retracement may occur, followed by a potential expansion toward all-time highs around 690. Orange Scenario: If the market opens less bullish on Sunday night, price may run 661 to gather more liquidity and energy for a move higher. If 661 is swept and a 4H candle closes back above it, I will assume this scenario is playing out. Bearish Scenario (Red Line): If price breaks aggressively below 661 and closes underneath it, that would indicate the market may want to move lower. In that case, I will exit my calls and buy puts, targeting a move toward at least 562.5. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (21 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (21 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment is bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED is expected not to cut rates in December, and the uncertainty around when rate cuts may resume in 2026 is adding pressure. After yesterday’s intraday crash, overall market anxiety has increased significantly. 📈 Technical Analysis Price tapped the monthly FVG level around 588.5, which holds significant liquidity. In my view, this zone may set up the foundation for a potential Friday bounce. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I expect two possible scenarios: Scenario 1 (Black Line): Price may consolidate and range between 597–588, creating choppy intraday price action. Scenario 2 (Red Line): Price may retrace toward 578.5, then recover and move back above the 588 level. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (20 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral to bullish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which previously contributed to selling pressure and hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, updated economic data will begin to flow again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could support renewed bullish momentum. NVDA beat earnings expectations and addressed AI bubble concerns clearly. AI demand remains strong, and their revenue growth continues to accelerate. U.S. tech firms turned notably green after the release, further boosting bullish sentiment. 📈 Technical Analysis Price is currently rising toward 613.5 following NVDA’s earnings results. A strong bullish candle close has appeared on NQ, indicating solid upward momentum heading into today’s session. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I will be buying calls at the opening, targeting 613.5 first. After that, I will be targeting 625. If I see a 1H bearish close below the opening price, I will exit my positions, as I expect strong bullish momentum after the market opens. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (19 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (19 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will begin receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum. NVDA earnings will be released today after market close. If NVDA beats expectations, this could trigger an impulsive bullish move for both QQQ and SPY. If earnings miss, that may create strong bearish sentiment across the market. 📈 Technical Analysis Price tapped the 595.5 level and bounced cleanly from there. A strong bullish candle close has appeared on NQ, indicating solid upward momentum for the day. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I am buying calls targeting 613.5 first. I will also keep a runner for a potential move toward 625 in case NVDA reports strong earnings. That could generate significant bullish momentum, potentially pushing price toward new all-time highs. My runner is positioned for that potential after hours continuation. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum. NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle continues to support upside. Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could bring further bullish sentiment into the market. 📈 Technical Analysis The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has now touched the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction A 1H candle close above 613 on QQQ will confirm bullish momentum, setting the next target at 618. If we get a clean 1H close above 613, I will be buying calls. After hitting 618, price may pull back slightly before eventually pushing toward 625 and potentially all-time highs around 637. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)Daily SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders — without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decision. 📈 Technical Analysis QQQ ran the weekly swing low at the 687 level and was rejected there. SPY retested the 637 zone, which is the range low for me, and reacted perfectly with a strong bounce. At the moment, price is showing clear upward momentum, suggesting that a stronger move may develop into the afternoon session. NVDA and AAPL are currently leading the market higher. 📌 Game Plan Bullish Scenario: I bought calls and I’m targeting a minimum of 673.5. My second target is 681 for a runner. Once price reaches 673.5, I will move my stops to break-even. Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at the 671 level, I will exit my calls and switch to puts, targeting the 661 zone. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decisions. 📈 Technical Analysis QQQ tapped the weekly swing low at 687 and was rejected from that level. SPY retested the 637 zone, which is the range low for me, and reacted with a strong bounce. At the moment, price is showing clear upward momentum, suggesting that a stronger move may develop into the afternoon session. NVDA and AAPL are currently leading the market higher. 📌 Game Plan I bought calls around 601, and I expect to see 609.5 first, and if we get a strong continuation, possibly the 618 level. At 609.5, I will close half of my position, trail my stop-loss to breakeven, and target 618 for the remainder. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily SPY (US500-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)Daily SPY (US500-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This adds uncertainty for traders without data, it becomes difficult to gauge the FED’s next policy decision. 📈 Technical Analysis SPY experienced a range-bound session yesterday, consolidating between 680 and 685. On higher timeframes, price action still suggests a desire to expand higher, but momentum has temporarily slowed. 📌 Game Plan In my opinion, the market may show slight bearish pressure early in the session, followed by a moderate bullish bounce. Scenario 1: SPY may drop to 679 and bounce from there, returning to the 682–685 range. Scenario 2: If SPY breaks 679 aggressively, I expect a retracement toward 675. At that level, I plan to load calls for a potential bullish move. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decision. 📈 Technical Analysis QQQ experienced a range-bound session yesterday, while the Dow Jones carried most of the market’s momentum. Compared to SPY, QQQ showed more weakness throughout the session. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, and I will continue following that bias. 📌 Game Plan Scenario 1: Price may dip to the 616–617 zone and bounce from there, returning to the 621–623 range. Scenario 2: If price breaks 617 aggressively, it may retrace toward 613 before bouncing back into the 620–625 zone. In my opinion, calls may work better on SPY today, while puts could perform better on QQQ. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment The market is turning bullish following the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, along with the proposed $2,000 incentives for U.S. citizens. These factors could create strong inflows into equities and improve short-term sentiment. 📈 Technical Analysis Price moved sharply higher on Monday, reaching the 681 level as expected (see my previous SPY outlook). The 681 level remains a strong resistance zone, and we have already seen a rejection from that area. 📌 Game Plan In my opinion, the market may turn short-term bearish today. After rejecting 681, the price could target the 675 level and possibly though not necessarily reach 671.5. My plan is to short the market toward 675 and observe if a bounce occurs. If it does, I will look to buy calls, expecting a move toward new highs around 685. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYShort
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (10 NOV)📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains slightly bearish as expectations for a December rate cut may be postponed into 2026. We have seen some sell-offs, likely due to hedging or profit-taking activity. However, the market experienced a healthy bounce last Friday, as anticipated in my previous Daily SPY Outlook on November 7. Trump announced that American citizens, excluding high-income individuals, will receive a $2,000 payment. This news could inject additional liquidity into risk assets, similar to what occurred during his first term. In my opinion, this may create a short-term bullish narrative for the markets. 📈 Technical Analysis The ES market is showing strong pre-market inflows. I think the price may continue seeking higher levels, possibly targeting the 681 zone today. 📌 Game Plan In my opinion, calls may perform well today. I plan to buy at the market open and take profits around the 681 level. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
3
$USCPCEPIMM -U.S Core Inflation (September/2025)ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM +0.2% September/2025 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - Core consumer prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in September of 2025, slowing from the 0.3% in the August and July, and slightly under market expectations of a 0.3% increase. The data was released with weeks of delay as the ongoing US government shutdown suspended activity in the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Prices rose slower for shelter (0.2% vs 0.4% in August), transportation services (0.3% vs 1%), and new vehicles (0.2% vs 0.3%). In turn, the CPI rebounded for medical care services (0.3% vs -0.1%) and accelerate for apparel (0.7% vs 0.5%). From the pervious year, core consumer prices rose by 3% in September.
ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM
by Mr_J__fx
Combined US Equities - Put away all technicals for now.Oddly enough, I did not follow one of the great events of 2024. And prior analyses was made on technical indication. When a reversal like this happens, it is rather extreme, and technicals can be put aside. With the election outcome, markets are suddenly RISK ON and very bullish. You see this bullishness with a Marubozu type candle that broke through two resistance levels in one day - breaking into and out of the Decision Box marked. MACD is now skewed to the bullish side although VolDiv has yet to follow. This means price moved a lot before volume. Previous projection is redundant now. The only indication was that the day before yesterday, a nice small bullish candlestick was suggesting a breakout to the upside. Going forward, just enjoy the ride, and make sure you have rules to adhere to! All the best!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Auguraltrader