Weekly QQQ (NQ-US100) Outlook - Prediction (23 NOV)Weekly QQQ (NQ-US100) Outlook - Prediction
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment is driven by fear at the moment. In my opinion, we are trading inside a bearish zone. Unless we get meaningful data or positive news, I expect the market to continue declining. Core PPI will be released on Tuesday at 08:30, which could create a minor bullish reaction; however, I personally do not think this will shift the overall sentiment. PPI is not a strong catalyst for a major sentiment change, so bearish conditions are likely to remain in play.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price ran the 613 level strongly and reversed aggressively on Thursday after NVDA earnings. This move trapped the bulls and filled institutional put positions. As I mentioned on Thursday evening, a weak bounce was possible and that is exactly what occurred.
📌 Outlook – Prediction
Scenario 1 (Bearish Scenario):
I believe this scenario is more likely to play out. I expect price to retrace toward 559. If we see strong bullish momentum on Monday, I will likely become more cautious with my puts.
Scenario 2 (Bullish Scenario):
If price shows strong momentum on Monday and reprices toward 614, then I will consider buying calls around 606, targeting all-time highs afterward.
Follow me for daily SPY–QQQ updates. I will update the idea based on evolving price action.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Equites
Weekly QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (16 NOV)Weekly QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (16 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger a renewed bullish momentum.
NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the AI cycle continues to support upside.
Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could add further bullish sentiment to the market.
📈 Technical Analysis
The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has reached the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
Bullish Scenario (Black Line):
I think this scenario is more likely. I want to see price close a 4H candle above 613. If that happens, I will be targeting 618 next. Price may run 618, pull back slightly, then eventually push toward 625 and potentially all-time highs around 637.
Bearish Scenario (Red Line):
If we see strong selling on Monday, I will assume price may follow the bearish path. In that case, I expect a move toward 595.5 and then the range low at 589. From there, we could see a bounce and a reclaim of 595.5.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Weekly SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (16 NOV)Weekly SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (16 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and potential hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will begin receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could support renewed bullish momentum.
NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle will continue to support upside.
Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could help bring additional bullish sentiment into the market.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price retraced into the 0.75 max discount zone, ran the mid-term range low, and closed back above it creating another higher expansion bounce. On Friday, we saw a second retest of the range low followed by another strong reaction. In my opinion, price remains strong here.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
I currently see three scenarios:
Bullish Scenario (Black Line):
I believe this is the most likely scenario. I want to see price close above 675.5 and continue expanding higher. The first bullish target is 681. After clearing 681, a small retracement may occur, followed by a potential expansion toward all-time highs around 690.
Orange Scenario:
If the market opens less bullish on Sunday night, price may run 661 to gather more liquidity and energy for a move higher. If 661 is swept and a 4H candle closes back above it, I will assume this scenario is playing out.
Bearish Scenario (Red Line):
If price breaks aggressively below 661 and closes underneath it, that would indicate the market may want to move lower. In that case, I will exit my calls and buy puts, targeting a move toward at least 562.5.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (21 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (21 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment is bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED is expected not to cut rates in December, and the uncertainty around when rate cuts may resume in 2026 is adding pressure. After yesterday’s intraday crash, overall market anxiety has increased significantly.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price tapped the monthly FVG level around 588.5, which holds significant liquidity. In my view, this zone may set up the foundation for a potential Friday bounce.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
I expect two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Black Line):
Price may consolidate and range between 597–588, creating choppy intraday price action.
Scenario 2 (Red Line):
Price may retrace toward 578.5, then recover and move back above the 588 level.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (20 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral to bullish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which previously contributed to selling pressure and hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, updated economic data will begin to flow again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could support renewed bullish momentum.
NVDA beat earnings expectations and addressed AI bubble concerns clearly. AI demand remains strong, and their revenue growth continues to accelerate. U.S. tech firms turned notably green after the release, further boosting bullish sentiment.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is currently rising toward 613.5 following NVDA’s earnings results. A strong bullish candle close has appeared on NQ, indicating solid upward momentum heading into today’s session.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
I will be buying calls at the opening, targeting 613.5 first. After that, I will be targeting 625. If I see a 1H bearish close below the opening price, I will exit my positions, as I expect strong bullish momentum after the market opens.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (19 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (19 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will begin receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum.
NVDA earnings will be released today after market close. If NVDA beats expectations, this could trigger an impulsive bullish move for both QQQ and SPY. If earnings miss, that may create strong bearish sentiment across the market.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price tapped the 595.5 level and bounced cleanly from there. A strong bullish candle close has appeared on NQ, indicating solid upward momentum for the day.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
I am buying calls targeting 613.5 first. I will also keep a runner for a potential move toward 625 in case NVDA reports strong earnings. That could generate significant bullish momentum, potentially pushing price toward new all-time highs. My runner is positioned for that potential after hours continuation.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum.
NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle continues to support upside.
Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could bring further bullish sentiment into the market.
📈 Technical Analysis
The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has now touched the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
A 1H candle close above 613 on QQQ will confirm bullish momentum, setting the next target at 618. If we get a clean 1H close above 613, I will be buying calls. After hitting 618, price may pull back slightly before eventually pushing toward 625 and potentially all-time highs around 637.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)Daily SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders — without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decision.
📈 Technical Analysis
QQQ ran the weekly swing low at the 687 level and was rejected there. SPY retested the 637 zone, which is the range low for me, and reacted perfectly with a strong bounce. At the moment, price is showing clear upward momentum, suggesting that a stronger move may develop into the afternoon session. NVDA and AAPL are currently leading the market higher.
📌 Game Plan
Bullish Scenario: I bought calls and I’m targeting a minimum of 673.5. My second target is 681 for a runner. Once price reaches 673.5, I will move my stops to break-even.
Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at the 671 level, I will exit my calls and switch to puts, targeting the 661 zone.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decisions.
📈 Technical Analysis
QQQ tapped the weekly swing low at 687 and was rejected from that level. SPY retested the 637 zone, which is the range low for me, and reacted with a strong bounce. At the moment, price is showing clear upward momentum, suggesting that a stronger move may develop into the afternoon session. NVDA and AAPL are currently leading the market higher.
📌 Game Plan
I bought calls around 601, and I expect to see 609.5 first, and if we get a strong continuation, possibly the 618 level.
At 609.5, I will close half of my position, trail my stop-loss to breakeven, and target 618 for the remainder.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily SPY (US500-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)Daily SPY (US500-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This adds uncertainty for traders without data, it becomes difficult to gauge the FED’s next policy decision.
📈 Technical Analysis
SPY experienced a range-bound session yesterday, consolidating between 680 and 685. On higher timeframes, price action still suggests a desire to expand higher, but momentum has temporarily slowed.
📌 Game Plan
In my opinion, the market may show slight bearish pressure early in the session, followed by a moderate bullish bounce.
Scenario 1: SPY may drop to 679 and bounce from there, returning to the 682–685 range.
Scenario 2: If SPY breaks 679 aggressively, I expect a retracement toward 675. At that level, I plan to load calls for a potential bullish move.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decision.
📈 Technical Analysis
QQQ experienced a range-bound session yesterday, while the Dow Jones carried most of the market’s momentum. Compared to SPY, QQQ showed more weakness throughout the session. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, and I will continue following that bias.
📌 Game Plan
Scenario 1: Price may dip to the 616–617 zone and bounce from there, returning to the 621–623 range.
Scenario 2: If price breaks 617 aggressively, it may retrace toward 613 before bouncing back into the 620–625 zone.
In my opinion, calls may work better on SPY today, while puts could perform better on QQQ.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
QQQ (NQ/US100) Quick Trade Idea - (12 NOV)📌 Prediction / Game Plan
In my opinion, the price is currently attempting to reprice the gap around the 617 level.
If the price reaches this zone, we may see a rejection-bounce toward 620 first, followed by 625.
I’ll be closely watching the 617 zone for a potential call entry setup.
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
The market is turning bullish following the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, along with the proposed $2,000 incentives for U.S. citizens. These factors could create strong inflows into equities and improve short-term sentiment.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price moved sharply higher on Monday, reaching the 681 level as expected (see my previous SPY outlook). The 681 level remains a strong resistance zone, and we have already seen a rejection from that area.
📌 Game Plan
In my opinion, the market may turn short-term bearish today. After rejecting 681, the price could target the 675 level and possibly though not necessarily reach 671.5.
My plan is to short the market toward 675 and observe if a bounce occurs. If it does, I will look to buy calls, expecting a move toward new highs around 685.
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (10 NOV)📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains slightly bearish as expectations for a December rate cut may be postponed into 2026. We have seen some sell-offs, likely due to hedging or profit-taking activity. However, the market experienced a healthy bounce last Friday, as anticipated in my previous Daily SPY Outlook on November 7.
Trump announced that American citizens, excluding high-income individuals, will receive a $2,000 payment. This news could inject additional liquidity into risk assets, similar to what occurred during his first term. In my opinion, this may create a short-term bullish narrative for the markets.
📈 Technical Analysis
The ES market is showing strong pre-market inflows. I think the price may continue seeking higher levels, possibly targeting the 681 zone today.
📌 Game Plan
In my opinion, calls may perform well today. I plan to buy at the market open and take profits around the 681 level.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
$USCPCEPIMM -U.S Core Inflation (September/2025)ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM +0.2%
September/2025
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Core consumer prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in September of 2025, slowing from the 0.3% in the August and July, and slightly under market expectations of a 0.3% increase.
The data was released with weeks of delay as the ongoing US government shutdown suspended activity in the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Prices rose slower for shelter (0.2% vs 0.4% in August), transportation services (0.3% vs 1%), and new vehicles (0.2% vs 0.3%).
In turn, the CPI rebounded for medical care services (0.3% vs -0.1%) and accelerate for apparel (0.7% vs 0.5%).
From the pervious year, core consumer prices rose by 3% in September.
Combined US Equities - Put away all technicals for now.Oddly enough, I did not follow one of the great events of 2024. And prior analyses was made on technical indication.
When a reversal like this happens, it is rather extreme, and technicals can be put aside. With the election outcome, markets are suddenly RISK ON and very bullish.
You see this bullishness with a Marubozu type candle that broke through two resistance levels in one day - breaking into and out of the Decision Box marked.
MACD is now skewed to the bullish side although VolDiv has yet to follow. This means price moved a lot before volume.
Previous projection is redundant now.
The only indication was that the day before yesterday, a nice small bullish candlestick was suggesting a breakout to the upside.
Going forward, just enjoy the ride, and make sure you have rules to adhere to!
All the best!
THE ONLY TRADES I'M TAKING - KEY LEVELSI went ahead and marked out a few key levels that I am interested in trading in the next 24 hours.
WE CAN ALSO FLIP THE RESISTANCE INTO SUPPORT. If that happens a would be interested in a long on the retest,
Let me know your thoughts below.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Nikkei Soars Looking Past Monetary NormalizationUltra-loose BoJ policy and the Yen’s demise have been key drivers of the JPN225 mammoth rally. The central bank exited its negative rates regime though and is shifting towards less easy policies, with at least one more hike reasonable within the year. This threatens to cut off a key source of strength for equities and JPN22 registered a brief pullback from the March record peak.
But monetary normalization has been slow so far and the stock market’s strength is based on more factors than just favorable monetary stance and weak currency. Strong earnings, structural reforms and investment-friendly government policies are among them. As a result, JPN225 has resumed its advance and runs its third straight profitable month, trying to set new all-time highs. On the other hand, the RSI reached overbought levels and a pullback here would be reasonable.
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LYC - LYNAS - rare earth anti chinese monopoly playLYC - LYNAS - rare earth anti chinese monopoly play
as the title says, china is once again applying restrictions like they did in 2010, low and behold we have the same price structure!
these plays are cyclical for sure. they sorted their Malaysian issue recently, at least for awhile. i expect their move back to Australia will be facilitated by the western powers that be that are looking for independence in their important metals supply chain.
Lets see how this plays out.
"The Ministry of Commerce’s announcement on Monday is the
latest move by the People’s Republic to leverage its dominant
position mining and refining rare metals. It did so in 2010
against Japan over a territorial spat, enacting an unofficial,
temporary export embargo against the 17 metallic elements that
comprise the rare earths family. It also manipulated the market
through export quotas and other policies, which held down global
prices – deterring investment by miners overseas - while pushing
local firms up the value chain. "
CATASTROPHIC MARKET CRASH - Looks to be COMING VERY SOON!The fractal pattern on the charts is nearly identical, and after the crash we saw today in the crypto markets, this could be a precursor of what's about to happen in the Equities, and Futures Markets.
I would be very cautious right now!
I'm completely out of the market, with the exception of long-term crypto holdings.
Good luck, and run a tight stop-loss!
Interesting data being formed in long term charts $CSCO $PYPL +Have been looking at a ton of some setups looking for UNDERVALUED & UNDER LOVED #equities.
Have been opening them up to Weekly & Monthly charts.
What has been found is quite INTERESTING.
Here's 4 (only NASDAQ:PYPL shown here - Please see profile for more data)
NASDAQ:CSCO forming a head & shoulder pattern.
NYSE:AAP severely beaten up but improving technical data.
NASDAQ:PYPL money flow is improving. (nibbling here for entry position)
NASDAQ:INTC improved, kind of like CSCO, dropped & rallied. (Spoke on Intel some time ago & has performed well).
Wilshire 5000 - approaching a decision point.The Wilshire 5000 is basically the broad market
literally every publicly company in the America and also some foreign corporations are incorporated in this index
We are coming to a decision area, not right now. But over the course of the next few months and years.
We could see a breakout up and a continuation of the ever uptrend
or a breakdown,
and change in longterm trend
Since these numbers are denominated in ever worthless dollars
betting up
with periods of panic has forever been the right call.
Place your bets accordingly.






















