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Eurchflong

Is EUR/CHF Ready for the Next Upside Expansion?🔔 EUR/CHF Bullish Breakout | TMA Retest Trade Map Ahead! 📌 Asset EUR/CHF – “EURO vs SWISSY” 📊 Forex Market | Swing / Day Trade Opportunity 📈 Market Bias Bullish 🔼 The bullish structure is confirmed after a Triangular Moving Average (TMA) breakout followed by a clean retest, signaling trend continuation and renewed buyer strength. This setup favors trend-following bulls and pullback buyers looking to position early before momentum expansion. 🧠 Trading Plan Logic ✅ TMA Breakout confirms trend shift 🔁 Retest validates buyer commitment 📊 Structure supports continuation, not exhaustion 🔓 Entry Strategy (Layered Execution 🧩) Entry: Any price level ➡️ Executed using the Thief Layer Strategy (multi-limit order system) 📥 Buy Limit Layers 0.93200 0.93300 0.93400 0.93500 🧠 You may increase or reduce layers based on volatility, session, and position sizing. This method improves average entry price, reduces emotional execution, and captures liquidity pullbacks effectively. 🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Control Zone) SL @ 0.93000 🚨 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), This stop loss is not mandatory. Adjust SL placement according to: Your own risk model Account size Volatility conditions ⚠️ Capital protection always comes before profits. 🎯 Target Zone (Profit Area) TP @ 0.94300 💰 Why this zone matters: ⚡ High-Voltage Electric Wall (Strong historical resistance) 📉 Overbought conditions expected Liquidity trap potential near highs ➡️ Smart traders escape with profits, not hope. Again, TP is flexible — manage exits based on your system and market reaction. 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Check 👀) 💱 FX:EURUSD EUR strength here supports bullish pressure in EUR/CHF Watch for continuation above key intraday supports 💱 OANDA:USDCHF CHF weakness vs USD often aligns with CHF weakness vs EUR A falling USD/CHF = supportive for EUR/CHF upside 💱 OANDA:EURJPY Risk-on confirmation pair Bullish EUR/JPY adds confidence to EUR strength across the board 💱 OANDA:CHFJPY If CHF/JPY weakens, it signals safe-haven outflows, favoring EUR/CHF longs 🧠 Correlation is not for entry — it’s for confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I do not recommend copying my SL or TP blindly. You control your risk. You take your profits. You own your results. 💬 Final Thought Structure favors bulls, liquidity favors patience, and execution favors discipline. Trade the plan — not emotions. 📌 If this idea adds value, support it with a 👍, 💬, or ⭐ to help it reach more traders. Happy trading & trade safe 🚀📊
by The-Thief
EUR/CHF – MACD Momentum Analysis (Sell Bias) Take Profit:0.92902Quantum Pulse Professional Market Outlook The EUR/CHF pair has generated a strong SELL signal under the MACD Momentum framework. Current price action shows clear signs of weakening bullish pressure, with momentum gradually tilting in favor of sellers. The structure remains highly technical, with no major fundamental catalysts interfering, making this setup clean and actionable. 📌 Signal Summary Bias: SELL Model: MACD Momentum Volatility: Moderate Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5 Session: Any (broad liquidity) This signal is supported by momentum divergence across the last 200 bars, indicating exhaustion of the bullish leg and potential continuation of the broader bearish structure. 📊 Technical Outlook 1. Momentum & Structure MACD shows bearish momentum acceleration, with histogram contracting upward and signal lines positioned for downward expansion. Price is trading firmly below a micro-resistance cluster and struggling to break higher — a classic sign of trend exhaustion. Candle bodies are shrinking near resistance, indicating buy-side weakness. 2. Market Conditions Liquidity remains stable across overlapping sessions. No high-impact CHF or EUR announcements within the next few hours, keeping the pair technically driven. EUR remains soft across the board, increasing correlation pressure on EUR/CHF. 📌 Key Technical Levels Level Type Price Immediate Resistance 0.93245 Immediate Support 0.93185 Major Resistance 0.93275 Major Support 0.93155 Price is currently reacting beneath 0.93245 resistance, a level that historically triggers intraday reversals. 🎯 Trade Parameters Entry: 0.93215 Stop Loss: 0.93372 Take Profit: 0.92902 This places the stop above both the immediate and major resistance zones, protecting the trade from intraday noise. The TP aligns with the next liquidity pocket below the 0.93155 support — a high-probability target. 🧠 Trade Rationale Bearish divergence aligning with MACD momentum shift. Price pressing against resistance with no bullish follow-through. Market sentiment favors CHF strength in low-volatility periods. Clean downside liquidity pool visible toward 0.92900 zone. 📉 Risk Management Guidance Risk only 1–2% of account capital. Consider enabling a trailing stop once price breaks below 0.93155. Monitor volatility spikes around EUR macro sessions. If price closes above 0.93372, bearish bias becomes invalid. 📌 Analyst Conclusion EUR/CHF is showing high-quality bearish confluence, with momentum, structure, and liquidity all favoring downside continuation. As long as the pair remains capped under intraday resistance at 0.93245 – 0.93275, selling pressure should dominate toward the 0.92900 region.
Short
by SivaArjun
EURCHF Reversal zone and swing-trading potentialEURCHF is holding near strong support around 0.9215–0.9240, forming a repeating cyclical bottom pattern. The CCI indicator shows another oversold signal, confirming potential for an upward reversal. First upside target: 0.9445, then 0.9620 and 0.9850 if momentum continues. A breakout of the descending trendline on the daily chart would confirm mid-term bullish sentiment. The Swiss franc remains a safe-haven currency, but with easing inflation and neutral expectations from SNB, euro pressure is softening. Improving Eurozone data adds moderate support to EUR, suggesting possible correction higher. Long setups can be considered from 0.9240–0.9260 with targets 0.9445 / 0.9620 / 0.9850. Support 0.9210. Best suited for swing-trading strategies over several weeks.
Long
by InvestWorld_777
1
EURCHF Forming Bullish WaveEURCHF is currently trading at a key demand zone where price has reacted multiple times in the past. After a steady decline from the September swing high, price is now retesting the horizontal support range around 0.9280–0.9300, which has previously acted as a strong decision point for buyers. If this zone holds again, I expect a corrective bounce back into the 0.9340–0.9360 supply area before the market decides its next leg. However, if price fails to reclaim that resistance, sellers may use it as a fresh distribution point for continuation to the downside. From a fundamental perspective, the euro remains under pressure as the European Central Bank leans toward prolonged rate cuts amid weak manufacturing data, while the Swiss franc continues to attract safe-haven flows due to lingering geopolitical tensions and persistent risk-off sentiment across global markets. This macro landscape keeps EURCHF naturally tilted to the bearish side unless there is a notable shift in inflation or growth dynamics in the eurozone. My approach here is straightforward: I am watching for a bullish reaction from this demand zone for a short-term corrective play, but I won’t ignore the possibility of a breakdown. A clean 4H close below 0.9260 would confirm bearish continuation toward 0.9200, while a reclaim of 0.9340 would open the door for a broader recovery swing. Patience and reaction over prediction — price will reveal the direction soon.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
EUR/CHF: SNB Intervention Opens the Door for LongsDear Traders, This trade idea combines technical structure with a fundamental catalyst and can be used to gradually build long exposure in EUR/CHF, anticipating an eventual upside move. 🔹 Fundamental Catalyst Yesterday, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) published a report confirming that – for the first time since 2022 – it intervened in the FX market by selling CHF against EUR. In practice, this is equivalent to establishing a long EUR/CHF position. The intervention followed a period of extreme CHF strength, as the currency became the safe-haven of choice in 2025. Meanwhile, the USD lost its traditional safe-haven appeal due to U.S. tariff uncertainty and the prospect of Fed rate cuts. Global reserve managers reduced USD holdings and shifted some flows into CHF, given Switzerland’s political stability. However, with Swiss interest rates near zero, the CHF is increasingly attractive as a funding currency. Coupled with the first official intervention in three years, this creates a strong case for potential CHF weakness in the weeks and months ahead. 🔹 Technical Setup EUR/CHF remains range-bound. Key support zones: >0.9300+ >0.9250 – 0.9280 Even if these levels are briefly breached, strong EUR demand (as the USD falls out of favor) should provide a cushion. 🔹 Trade Idea Initiate a small long position at current levels. Scale in with additional small longs every 0.5–1 ADR lower. This approach helps achieve a favorable breakeven and positions for a potential move towards 0.9400+. 💬 Final Note Risk management and position sizing are crucial. Keep entries small and scale gradually. If you’d like insights on position sizing or risk parameters, feel free to leave a comment below. Best regards, Meikel
Long
by WSICapital
8
EURCHF Daily Forecast -Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25 📊 EURCHF Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:EURCHF
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURCHF Daily Forecast -Q3 | W37 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | Y25 📊 EURCHF Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:EURCHF
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURCHF – Pullback & New SetupIn my previous analysis (tagged below), I entered a short position. Price reached Reward 2, then pulled back and took me out at breakeven. This is where you see the power of partial exit — it protects you from losses and keeps your risk low. With this approach, I rarely see a 5% drawdown, but of course, nothing is guaranteed in trading. The market broke my level strongly, and that’s okay. We don’t fight the market — we follow it. Now I’m waiting for a pullback to the broken level, and I’ve also identified another nearby key zone. If I get a valid signal at either level, I’ll enter a buy trade. 🧠 Remember: Trade with the market, not against it. Drop the ego, drop the bias — let price lead.
by ForexCSP
2
EURCHF – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D12 | Y25 📊 EURCHF – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D12 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 📌 NOTE – Market Context Update We’ve seen the daily candle close above the weekly 50 EMA, which suggests bullish intent... BUT 🧠⚠️ Let’s stay mindful — price is currently testing a major higher time frame level, and with 4 trading days left in the week, there’s still room for a rejection from the weekly 50 EMA. 🔍 Be smart with longs — don’t get caught chasing. Personally, I’ll be waiting for a 15-min BOS from my initial level to confirm intent. 🎯 📉 If price breaks back below the weekly 50 EMA, I’ll switch bias to shorts — then wait for a pullback to structure for continuation down. Let the market show its hand. Stay sharp and trade what you see, not what you want to see. 🧘‍♂️📊 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. OANDA:EURCHF
Long
by JCFRGNT
EUR/CHF Bullish Vault Raid – The Franc Robbery Begins!💣EUR/CHF Bullish Heist: Thief's Franc Escape Plan 🚨💰 🚨Asset: EUR/CHF "Euro-Franc" Forex Market 📈Plan: Bullish 🎯Entry: Any price level (No breakout entry nonsense – we're stealthy robbers) 🛑Stop Loss: 0.93200 🏆Target: 0.94300 👑Thief's Statement: Hey Money Muggers & Market Marauders! 🥷💰 Today, we strike the Euro-Franc vault with a clean bullish heist plan. No noise, no breakout bait — just silent limit orders stacked like layers on a cake 🍰. 🎭We ain’t chasing price… we let price chase us! Smart thieves wait. Pullbacks? That’s our entry door 🧨🚪. 🔑Gameplan: 📦 Entry: 🕵️‍♂️Layer up your Buy Limit orders near recent pullbacks or swing lows. ⏳Wait on the 15M or 30M timeframe for the cleanest setups. 📉No breakout entries – thieves don’t chase, we trap. 🛡️Stop Loss (SL): 🧱Set at 0.93200 — hidden just below the thief's last cover zone. 🎲Risk based on your position size & how many orders you layer. 🎯Keep it tactical. One mistake and the vault closes! 🏁Target (TP): 💎0.94300 is the escape tunnel. 💨Exit fast if heat rises before the target hits. Smart thieves know when to run! 👊Scalpers’ Note: 🪝Only ride long waves — don’t swim against the current. 💣Use trailing SL to secure the loot as price climbs. 👑Big pockets? Dive in. Small pockets? Swing with precision. 🧠Why We Rob Here: EUR/CHF fundamentals align with the bulls. We're riding sentiment, intermarket flow, and positioning from big money. COT, macro signals, and FX momentum all say: Thieves, it's go time! 🚨 📢News Alert: ❌ Avoid entries during high-impact news – it ain’t worth jail time (or stop hunts). 🎯Use a trailing SL to protect gains if caught mid-heist during volatility. 🔥Like the Plan? Hit that Boost Button 💥 Join the Thief Squad and let’s rob the FX banks together 💵💎 Catch you in the next heist drop 🐱‍👤🚀
Long
by The-Thief
EURCHF – Waiting for the Signal, Not the MiracleWe are currently in a great area for a potential short, and the marked zone looks ideal for an entry—but only if a valid signal confirms it. We’re not upset if the level gets broken. We don’t say “this strategy doesn’t work.” Why? Because we know the market is not under our control. If price breaks above and gives a clean pullback, we’ll go long. Simple. No ego. No bias. Also, the lower level marked on the chart seems to be a great zone for either taking profit from shorts or initiating fresh longs. 🎯 We follow the market, not fight it.
by ForexCSP
EURCHF - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
EURCHF – Bearish Channel Holds Firm, CHF Strength Set to ResumeEURCHF just tapped into the descending channel resistance again and is showing signs of rejecting. I'm expecting a bearish continuation here, especially given the strong CHF momentum recently, supported by safe-haven flows and Swiss inflation stability. If the pair fails to break above 0.9340, I’m watching for a downside push back toward 0.9270–0.9265, completing another leg within the structure. 🔍 Technical Setup (4H): Channel Structure: EURCHF remains firmly within a downward-sloping parallel channel since mid-June. Resistance Rejection: Price recently tested upper channel resistance (~0.9335–0.9340 zone), aligning with trendline rejection. Target Support: 0.9270–0.9265 (channel base and key horizontal level). Confluence: CHFJPY overlay (pink line) is rising again, suggesting renewed CHF strength—this usually weighs on EURCHF. 💡 Fundamental Insight: EUR Side: ECB officials remain cautious, but with recent EU data showing weaker growth (especially PMIs and sentiment), euro upside is capped. The ECB is likely to pause further tightening, while other central banks like SNB remain firm on inflation risks. CHF Strength: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) still leans hawkish, with stable inflation giving room to hold rates steady or tighten if needed. CHF benefits from risk-off flows amid global tariff headlines, China slowdown, and Middle East tensions. Rising CHFJPY = clear CHF strength across the board. ⚠️ Risks: If eurozone data surprises to the upside (e.g., inflation rebounds), EURCHF could break out of the channel. A sudden drop in geopolitical tension or strong risk-on rally could weaken CHF as safe-haven demand falls. SNB jawboning or FX intervention is always a wildcard. 🧭 Summary: I’m bearish on EURCHF while it respects this well-defined descending channel. The technicals show consistent lower highs and lower lows, while the fundamentals continue to support CHF strength due to risk aversion, stable inflation, and a resilient SNB. My short bias is valid as long as price remains below 0.9340, with downside targets at 0.9270–0.9265. CHFJPY rising confirms franc leadership across FX markets, and EURCHF is likely a lagger following broader CHF strength.
Short
by ultreosforex
7
EURCHF LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D7 W28 Y25EURCHF LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D7 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURCHF LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25EURCHF LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURCHF Analysis – “Euro Inches Higher, But Safe-Haven CHF LurksEURCHF is breaking out from a symmetrical triangle, indicating potential bullish momentum. Key resistances to watch: 0.9445 – local swing high 0.9498 – potential measured target from the triangle breakout Entry on retest of the triangle may offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity. However, upside could be capped if CHF regains strength. Structure Bias: Bullish breakout, confirmation needed with a clean retest and sustained move above 0.9440 📊 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish 🧩 Key Fundamentals Driving EURCHF EUR Side (Neutral to Slightly Bearish): ECB remains cautious: June’s Economic Bulletin showed soft patches in core inflation and weak consumer activity. German & French PMIs are mixed; services weaker than expected. Political uncertainty (France snap elections) weighs on EUR sentiment in the medium term. CHF Side (Fundamentally Stronger): SNB is cautious but hawkish: Monetary policy assessment showed a steady hand, maintaining rates with no clear signal of easing. Safe-haven flows persist due to: Middle East risk (Israel–Iran escalation) Russia–Ukraine tensions Weak equity sentiment CHF remains supported on global risk aversion, even with SNB standing pat. ⚠️ Risks That May Reverse or Accelerate Trend Breakout fails to hold → Bearish fakeout leads to drop toward 0.9290 again Renewed CHF strength from geopolitical shocks Eurozone political turbulence (especially France & ECB doves) 🗓️ Important News to Watch 🇨🇭 Swiss CPI, SNB statements 🇪🇺 Eurozone PMI Flash (June 21), CPI (June 28), and political updates Global market risk sentiment (VIX, bonds, oil, Iran/Israel news) 🏁 Which Asset Might Lead the Broader Move? EURCHF is lagging behind EURUSD and USDCHF, but provides clean geopolitical risk signals. If markets stabilize, this pair has upside potential. However, if fear returns, CHF may quickly regain control, trapping long trades.
Long
by ultreosforex
5
EUR/CHF Technical Outlook – Potential Bullish Reversal Setup📈 Pair: EUR/CHF 📆 Date: May 27, 2025 📊 Timeframe: Daily (D1) 📌 Technical Highlights: 🔹 Current Price: 0.93456 🔹 Key Indicators: 50 EMA (Red): 0.93824 200 EMA (Blue): 0.94342 🧠 Chart Analysis: 🔻 Downtrend Resistance Line: A clear descending trendline is pressing price lower, reinforcing a bearish structure since March. 🟣 Reversal Zone (Support Area): Price is currently hovering just above the marked Reversal Point, a demand zone between 0.93000–0.93400. Historically, this zone has acted as a launch pad for upward momentum. 🟪 Resistance Level: Located around 0.94300–0.94600, this zone is reinforced by the 200 EMA, making it a critical breakout area. A strong bullish close above this region could invalidate the downtrend. 🔄 Two Scenarios to Watch: ✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario: Price may bounce from the reversal zone. A break and retest above the resistance level could lead to bullish continuation toward 0.9500–0.9550. Confirmation above the 200 EMA will add confidence to the breakout. 📈 Potential Buy Entry: On breakout and retest of 0.9450 🎯 Target: 0.9550 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 0.9320 ❌ Bearish Continuation Scenario: If price fails to hold above the reversal point, sellers may regain control. A breakdown below 0.9300 could trigger further downside toward 0.9200 or lower. 📉 Sell Setup Invalid Until: Price closes below 0.9300 on strong volume. 🧭 Conclusion: This chart suggests a critical decision point for EUR/CHF. A bounce from the reversal zone followed by a confirmed break above resistance could signal the start of a medium-term uptrend. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation signals near the trendline and EMA zones. 🚦 Bias: Neutral to Bullish, awaiting confirmation 🧠 Tip: Watch for candlestick patterns (like bullish engulfing or pin bars) near the support zone for early entries.
Long
by MrStellanSight
13
EURCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25EURCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Trade toward HTF 50 EMA ✅Session low rejection ✅Intraday 15' order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURCHF Builds Momentum Above Key Support as ECB Meeting LoomsEURCHF is trading above the previous breakout zone near 0.9396–0.9400, confirming a shift toward bullish structure. Price action shows a clean breakout from consolidation, aiming for the 0.9485–0.9546 resistance zones next, supported by strong momentum. Support Zone: 0.9385–0.9400 (previous resistance turned support) Immediate Resistance: 0.9485 (61.8% Fib level) Target Zones: TP1: 0.9485 (61.8% Fib retracement) TP2: 0.9545 (78.6% Fib retracement) Risk Level: Stop-loss below 0.9380 for protection. ✅ Bullish Factors: Bullish break above mid-range structure and retesting successfully Clean bullish market structure and higher lows developing 50% Fibonacci retracement break supports further upside momentum Weak CHF fundamentals due to global risk appetite and cautious SNB stance 🧠 Fundamental Insights: ECB Outlook: ECB is heading toward a "complex June meeting" with Klaas Knot warning that while short-term tariffs may suppress inflation, long-term risks are two-sided. Despite likely rate cuts, the ECB remains cautious due to trade war uncertainty and global pressures. Eurozone Risks: Upcoming GDP and CPI reports expected to show sluggish growth and cooling inflation, which could limit upside for EUR in medium term. CHF Fundamentals: Market sentiment favors risk assets, weakening the traditional safe-haven CHF. No aggressive SNB tightening expected soon. Recent Headlines: US Treasury Sec Bessent highlights European concerns about Euro strength. Weaker CHF amid global calm and stable financial markets. 📌 Trading Plan: Bias: Bullish while holding above 0.9400 Entry: On dips near 0.9415–0.9420 Target 1: 0.9485 Target 2: 0.9545 Stop-loss: Below 0.9380 ⚠️ Watch: If EUR zone GDP or CPI disappoints heavily this week, expect sharp pullback risk. A drop back below 0.9380 would invalidate the bullish breakout scenario.
Long
by ultreosforex
1
EURCHF Buy from Key Demand Zone – Recession Fears Cloud UpsideEURCHF has bounced sharply from a long-standing demand zone around 0.9200–0.9260, forming a potential double bottom. Price action suggests a bullish correction is underway, with upside targets at: 🎯 TP1: 0.9352 🎯 TP2: 0.9409 🎯 TP3: 0.9499 🚨 Invalidation Zone: Below 0.9200 The strong rejection from this support zone, combined with bullish structure building, signals the potential for a sustained recovery — if sentiment allows. 🧠 Fundamental Overview: 🔺 Eurozone PMI & Trade Data – Mixed Signals French & German Flash Manufacturing PMIs remain under 50, indicating contraction German Flash Services PMI (50.3) shows marginal expansion Eurozone Trade Balance: 14.9B, slightly below expectations ⚠️ These results suggest slow economic recovery and limited growth momentum in the euro area. 🗣️ ECB Comments – Market Confidence Hit ECB's Kazaks: “Tariff war is adding economic risks” “Euro area recession probability is rising” These statements added to market caution, triggering euro weakness on concerns of slowing growth and potential ECB dovishness if downside risks worsen. 💡 CHF Context: Safe-haven flows remain strong due to global uncertainty However, CHF strength may be capped by Swiss low inflation and potential SNB interventions if EURCHF stays too low 🔍 EURCHF Outlook: Bullish Rebound with Caution Technical view favors bullish retracement toward resistance zones Fundamentals are weak, but the deeply discounted EURCHF pair could see short-term recovery before facing macro resistance Recession and tariff war fears could keep upside limited or choppy 📌 Strategy Summary: Buy Bias above 0.9260 Targets: TP1: 0.9352 TP2: 0.9409 TP3: 0.9499 SL: Below 0.9200 (daily close)
Long
by ultreosforex