EUR/GBP Bearish Structure Activated After Technical Breakouts!🔥 EUR/GBP "THE CHUNNEL" 📉 BEARISH REVERSAL SETUP | Day/Swing Trade
📊 CURRENT MARKET DATA (Dec 10, 2025)
Live Price: 0.8737
Bias: BEARISH ⬇️
Setup Confirmed: Hull MA Pullback + TMA Breakout ✅
🎯 THE SETUP
📍 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THIEF LAYERING METHOD"
Multiple sell limit orders (layer your entries for optimal positioning):
Layer 1: 0.87600
Layer 2: 0.87500
Layer 3: 0.87400
💡 Thief OG's: Adjust layers based on your risk appetite & account size
🛑 STOP LOSS
Thief SL: 0.87700
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this is MY stop loss level based on MY strategy. You MUST adjust your SL according to YOUR OWN risk tolerance and trading plan. Not financial advice.
🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGET
Primary Target: 0.86950
Technical Confluence:
✅ SuperTrend ATR acting as strong support zone
✅ Oversold conditions building
✅ Trap zone + correlation confirmation
✅ Hull MA trend reversal confirmed
💰 PROFIT MANAGEMENT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I do NOT recommend blindly following my TP. Scale out, trail stops, and take profits at YOUR discretion. Your money = your rules. Trade at your own risk.
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Correlation Analysis)
💵 GBP PAIRS (Inverse Correlation)
FX:GBPUSD - Currently: 1.3314 ✅ Watch for GBP weakness confirmation
OANDA:GBPJPY - Currently: 208.53 ✅ Risk sentiment indicator
OANDA:GBPCHF - Negative correlation with EUR/GBP
💶 EUR PAIRS (Direct Correlation)
FX:EURUSD - Currently: 1.1637 ✅ Euro strength barometer
OANDA:EURCHF - Currently: 0.9352 ✅ Safe-haven flow indicator
OANDA:EURJPY - Currently: 182.20 ✅ Risk-on/risk-off confirmation
🔑 KEY CORRELATION INSIGHTS:
If GBP/USD strengthens → EUR/GBP likely drops ✅ (Supports our bearish bias)
If EUR/USD weakens → EUR/GBP likely drops ✅ (Double confirmation)
EUR/CHF movement → Shows Euro capital flows
GBP/JPY above 208 → Risk-on environment (monitor closely)
Watch for: GBP strength OR Euro weakness = EUR/GBP downside acceleration 🚀
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Confirmed Signals:
🔵 Hull Moving Average pullback reversal pattern
🔺 Triangular Moving Average breakout (bearish)
📉 Price structure showing rejection at resistance
⚡ SuperTrend ATR support zone below @ 0.86950
Trade Logic:
Price has confirmed bearish reversal with strong technical confluence. Multiple moving average systems aligned for downside momentum. Layered entries allow for optimal risk-reward with reduced exposure at each level.
⚠️ FULL RISK DISCLOSURE
THIEF OG'S - READ THIS:
❌ This is NOT financial advice
❌ I am NOT recommending you copy my SL/TP levels
✅ YOU must manage your own risk
✅ YOU decide when to enter/exit
✅ YOUR capital = YOUR responsibility
✅ Trade what YOU can afford to lose
Risk Management:
Position size according to your account, never risk more than 1-2% per trade, and always have a plan before entering.
🎓 EDUCATION NOTE
The "Thief Layering Strategy" uses multiple limit orders to average into positions with improved entries. This reduces timing risk and provides flexibility for volatile market conditions.
Benefits:
✅ Better average entry price
✅ Reduced emotional decision-making
✅ Risk distributed across levels
✅ Adapts to volatility
📢 Drop a 🚀 if you're watching THE CHUNNEL with me!
📢 Comment your thoughts below - What's your EUR/GBP bias?
💬 Follow for more setups | 👍 Boost if this helps your analysis
Eurgbpbearish
EUR/GBP Analysis – 4H Chart | Possible Trend Reversal Ahead?The EUR/GBP pair is currently trading around 0.8642 after a recent downtrend from the 0.8750 region. On the chart, we can see...
✔ Zig Zag Pattern: A clear series of lower highs and lower lows indicate a short-term bearish structure.
✔ Trendline Resistance: The blue descending trendline is acting as a dynamic resistance, and price has recently tested this level.
✔ Support Zone: Strong support is visible near 0.8638 – 0.8620, which has held multiple times in the past.
📉 RSI Analysis
The RSI (14) on the 4H timeframe is hovering near the 50 level, suggesting neutral momentum after recovering from an oversold area in early August. This signals potential consolidation before the next big move.
Key Observations
Price is currently consolidating around the 0.8640 area after rejecting lower levels.
A break above the trendline could signal a shift towards bullish momentum.
If rejected again, expect further downside toward 0.8600 or even 0.8550 in the medium term.
📈 Possible Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If price breaks and closes above 0.8670, we may see a move toward 0.8720 and 0.8750.
Bearish Case:
If price fails to break the trendline and drops below 0.8638, expect continuation to 0.8600 and 0.8550.
Strategy
Aggressive Buyers: Watch for a breakout retest above 0.8670.
Sellers: Look for rejection near trendline resistance for short entries with tight stops.
What do you think? Will EUR/GBP break the trendline or continue the downtrend? Drop your analysis in the comments!
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅5' order blockS
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (0.82650) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell stop below the support line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest.
I highly recommend to use alert in your trading platform.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.83000 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.81950 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
⚖️Fundamental Analysis
- The European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decisions significantly impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate. The ECB's interest rate decisions influence the euro's value relative to the pound.
- The UK's economic performance, including GDP growth, inflation, and employment rates, also affects the exchange rate.
- Political developments, such as Brexit negotiations and EU-UK trade agreements, can create market volatility and impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate.
⚖️Macro Economics
- Inflation Rates: The ECB's inflation target is below, but close to, 2%. The UK's inflation rate has been above the Bank of England's 2% target. These differences can influence the exchange rate.
- Interest Rates: The ECB's interest rates are currently lower than the Bank of England's rates. This difference can impact the exchange rate.
- GDP Growth: The EU's GDP growth has been slower than the UK's in recent years. This difference can influence the exchange rate.
⚖️COT Data
- Commitment of Traders (COT): The COT report shows that large speculators, such as hedge funds and institutional investors, are currently net short on the euro. This suggests that they expect the euro to weaken against the pound.
- Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as individual investors and hedge funds, are currently net long on the euro. This suggests that they expect the euro to strengthen against the pound.
⚖️Market Sentimental Analysis
- Market Sentiment: The market sentiment for EUR/GBP is currently bearish, with many analysts expecting the euro to weaken against the pound.
- Positioning: Many traders and investors are currently short on the euro, expecting it to weaken against the pound.
⚖️Trader Positions
- Institutional Traders: 55% short, 45% long
- Retail Traders: 58% short, 42% long
- Hedge Funds: 60% short, 40% long
- Commercial Traders: 52% short, 48% long
- Banks: 50% short, 50% long
⚖️Next Trend Move
- Based on the current market sentiment and positioning, the next trend move for EUR/GBP is likely to be downward, with the euro weakening against the pound.
- However, it's essential to keep in mind that market trends can change rapidly, and unexpected events can impact the exchange rate.
⚖️Quantitative Analysis
- Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is currently above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend. However, the short-term moving averages (10-day and 20-day) are below the longer-term moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 40, indicating that the market is oversold and due for a bounce.
- Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands are currently widening, indicating increased volatility.
⚖️Intermarket Analysis
- Correlation with Other Markets: EUR/GBP is currently positively correlated with the EUR/USD and negatively correlated with the GBP/USD.
- Impact of Other Markets: The EUR/GBP exchange rate is likely to be impacted by the performance of the US dollar, as well as the relative economic performance of the EU and UK.
- Commodity Prices: Changes in commodity prices, such as oil and gold, can also impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate.
⚖️Overall Summary Outlook
The EUR/GBP exchange rate is expected to decline in the short-term, driven by the bearish market sentiment and positioning. The euro's weakness against the pound is likely to continue, with a potential target of 0.8200. However, any unexpected positive developments in the EU or negative developments in the UK could lead to a reversal of the trend. Traders and investors should remain cautious and monitor market developments closely.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EURGBP - Possible Short OpportunityEURGBP is in a downtrend on higher timeframes and now, in my opinion, is starting a corrective move on lower timeframes after having broken the previous low at 0.85.
We will have to wait for confirmations, but I believe that we will have a short opportunity, in the retest of the 0.85 level, or higher on the major downtrendline/SMMA, I drew on the chart the 2 possibilities that I believe are most likely.
If we get the confirmations I will update the idea with my entry into the trade.
EURGBP Bearish ContinuationAfter breaking down out of the head & shoulders pattern we broke below support acting as a stronger resistance area around 0.86259 - 0.86131. Also, price has consolidated and expanded just enough respecting a bearish trend line, creating a bearish flag & another Bearish Order block. I believe this OB is valid due to the imbalance plus a breaker block aligned within the imbalance. Once price reaches my POI I'd switch to the 15 minute time frame and look for a liquidity sweep and brake of structure during kill zone hours ( London Session ) & enter from the 15 minute order block. When all confirmations are put together and used during the correct time it's more comfortable and the probability is higher. Let me know what you guys think! Good luck to everyone trading!
EURGBP: Exploring a Potential Sell OpportunityCurrently, EURGBP is exhibiting bearish institutional order flow , leading me to anticipate a continuation from the current H1 Bearish Order Block. The objective is for price to reach the Daily Bullish Order Block, our current Draw On Liquidity. This sell opportunity holds a high probability due to the presence of low resistance liquidity towards the downside, facilitating smooth movement through inefficiencies such as Liquidity Voids and Fair Value Gaps towards the Order Block.
I have considered taking a Risk Entry Trade off the H1 Order Block, with the Stop Loss positioned at the high of the Order Block.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
EURGBP Trade Idea - VideoRegarding the previously posted EURGBP trade idea, this video provides an explanation of the thought process behind considering this trade opportunity.
On the 1-hour timeframe for the EURGBP currency pair, the price has broken through the established structure to the downside. We can observe the formation of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a potential bearish trend. The plan is to look for a short entry on a retracement, targeting the previous low levels as indicated by the chart markup. This information is presented for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is slightly on the UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the POSITIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. Also, even if BOE RATE HIKE, we were not able to see BOE's intervention.
The reason for the positive sentiment in EUR is that the USD has been quite weak in recent weeks. But a good UP SIDE BIAS is coming for EUR now with the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to this reason, all MARKETS including STOCKS can be seen to be UP due to MARKET RISK being ON. It affects the EUR in a big way. The ECB did a RATE HIKE. BOE also did a RATE HIKE last week.
- EURGBP can definitely go up to the SUPPORT LEVEL below. Due to USD WEAK, EUR may be quite STRONG. Accordingly, EURGBP can be slightly BUY until the 0.8680 LEVEL. And after that EURGBP can be SELL to 0.8500 LEVEL. The given STRUCTURES should be BREAKED for that...
EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is slightly on the UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the POSITIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. Also, even if BOE RATE HIKE, we were not able to see BOE's intervention.
The reason for a POSITIVE SENTIMENT in EUR is that the USD has been quite WEAK in recent weeks. But a good UP SIDE BIAS is coming for EUR now with the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to this reason, all MARKETS including STOCKS can be seen to be UP due to MARKET RISK being ON. It affects the EUR in a big way. The ECB did a RATE HIKE. BOE also did a RATE HIKE last week.
- EURGBP can definitely go up to the SUPPORT LEVEL below. Due to USD WEAK, EUR may be quite STRONG. Accordingly, EURGBP can be slightly BUY until the 0.8819 LEVEL. And after that EURGBP can SELL to 0.8700 LEVEL. The given STRUCTURES should be BREAKED for that...






















