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Eurjpyshort

EURJPY Double-Top Rejection Signals Potential DownsideEURJPY has stalled after testing the 173.80–174.00 resistance zone, with sellers stepping in to defend this multi-week high. The rejection aligns with fading Euro momentum and renewed strength in the yen as safe-haven demand returns. With price action showing a clean rejection candle at resistance, the pair looks vulnerable to a deeper pullback toward key support levels. Current Bias Bearish downside favored after rejection at resistance with momentum shifting toward sellers. Key Fundamental Drivers Eurozone: Inflation is cooling, and growth remains sluggish, keeping ECB policy dovish in tone. Japan: Wages and household spending recently turned positive y/y, with BOJ maintaining a cautious stance but under pressure from rising JGB yields. Risk Sentiment: Ongoing geopolitical tensions (Middle East and Russia sanctions) support yen as a safe-haven. Macro Context Interest Rates: ECB leaning dovish with little scope to tighten further; BOJ cautious but rising yields keep pressure for policy adjustment. Growth Trends: Eurozone faces weak industrial output; Japan showing modest resilience in services. Commodity Flows: Lower oil prices benefit Japan’s import bill, slightly yen-positive. Geopolitical Themes: Uncertainty in Israel-Gaza conflict, U.S. tariff battles, and OPEC+ supply risks continue to drive safe-haven demand for JPY. Primary Risk to the Trend A sudden ECB hawkish shift or stronger-than-expected Eurozone CPI could flip the bias bullish. Rapid improvement in global risk appetite would weaken yen demand. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event ECB commentary on inflation expectations and growth outlook. Japan’s wage and CPI data alongside BOJ policy signals. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EUR/JPY often acts as a lagger, following EUR/USD direction and broader risk sentiment. Yen moves are highly correlated with USD/JPY and gold, meaning strong flows into havens could amplify downside. Key Levels Support Levels: 172.65, 171.36 Resistance Levels: 173.87, 174.38 Stop Loss (SL): 174.38 Take Profit (TP): 172.65 (first), 171.36 (extended) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURJPY has rejected resistance near 174.00, setting up a bearish bias toward 172.65 and possibly 171.36. A stop above 174.38 protects against upside risk. Fundamentals favor yen strength via safe-haven demand and weaker Eurozone growth momentum. The key watchpoint is whether upcoming ECB commentary reinforces dovish policy; if so, downside pressure should continue. For now, sellers maintain the upper hand as risk-off dynamics align with technical rejection.
Short
by ultreosforex
9
EURJPY Testing Supply Zone Can Bears Regain Control?EURJPY has climbed back into a key resistance area near 172.40–172.50, a zone that previously triggered sharp selling pressure. Price action suggests exhaustion at these highs, with a possible rotation back toward support if sellers defend this zone again. Given the yen’s safe-haven role and the euro’s sensitivity to ECB policy shifts, this setup is primed for a potential reversal play. Current Bias Bearish – The pair is showing rejection signs at resistance, favoring downside toward lower support levels. Key Fundamental Drivers ECB Outlook: The ECB is cautious, with slowing eurozone growth limiting room for further tightening, reducing euro strength. BOJ Policy & Yen Flows: Yen remains supported by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ gradually tightening, even if modestly. Risk Sentiment: Global equity volatility and tariff/geopolitical risks support yen buying when risk-off flows emerge. Macro Context Interest Rates: ECB is holding policy steady but leans dovish relative to other central banks. Japan remains ultra-loose, but any hint of normalization sparks yen strength. Economic Growth: Eurozone growth is fragile, with Germany’s industrial sector under pressure. Japan’s economy is steady, though export-driven, making it vulnerable to global demand. Geopolitics: Trade tariffs, US-China tensions, and Middle East risks all lean supportive for the yen as a safe haven. Primary Risk to the Trend A hawkish ECB surprise or strong eurozone inflation rebound could shift bias back to the upside, invalidating the bearish setup. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event ECB Minutes & Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate BOJ Commentary on Yield Curve Control (YCC) Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURJPY tends to act as a lagger, following flows in broader yen crosses like USDJPY (as a leader) and EURUSD (for euro sentiment). Movements in EURJPY often confirm rather than lead directional bias in FX markets. Key Levels Support Levels: 171.42, 170.99, 170.65, 170.08, 169.73 Resistance Levels: 172.47, 173.31 Stop Loss (SL): 173.31 (above resistance zone) Take Profit (TP): TP1: 171.42 TP2: 170.65 TP3: 170.08 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints Bias on EURJPY is bearish, with sellers looking to defend the 172.40–172.50 resistance area. A stop loss is best placed above 173.31, while downside targets stretch toward 171.42 → 170.65 → 170.08. Fundamentally, the euro faces growth headwinds while the yen benefits from safe-haven demand, though BOJ policy risks remain in play. The most important watchpoint is ECB and Eurozone CPI data, which could either reinforce the bearish case or shift sentiment sharply. For now, EURJPY looks vulnerable to a deeper correction, with price action aligned to favor sellers.
Short
by ultreosforex
EURJPY – Bearish Reversal Looming from Key Resistance ZoneAfter a strong recovery rally, EURJPY has once again hit the 172.30 resistance zone a level that has repeatedly acted as a ceiling for price action. This latest retest comes with signs of momentum fading, and I’m eyeing a potential reversal that could send the pair back toward key support zones. With broader yen strength creeping in on safe-haven flows and the euro’s upside capped by a cautious ECB, this setup is looking primed for sellers to step in. Current Bias Bearish – The pair is struggling to break and hold above the 172.30 resistance zone. Price action is showing rejection wicks on the H4 chart, indicating potential distribution before a move lower. Key Fundamental Drivers Euro Side: The ECB remains cautious on further tightening, with growth concerns in the eurozone limiting the upside for EUR. Recent industrial production softness and muted inflation expectations cap bullish momentum. Yen Side: The BoJ’s shift toward a slightly less accommodative stance, combined with safe-haven demand amid global trade tensions and Trump’s tariff rhetoric, supports JPY strength. Risk Sentiment: Ongoing uncertainty around global growth and trade flows benefits JPY as a defensive asset, putting downside pressure on EURJPY. Primary Risk to the Trend A surprise hawkish tilt from the ECB or strong eurozone economic data could fuel renewed buying pressure, forcing a breakout above 172.98. A sudden drop in risk-off sentiment or a rebound in global equities could weaken JPY demand and negate the bearish bias. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Eurozone GDP and Industrial Production data – Any significant beat could temporarily lift EUR. Japan CPI and BoJ commentary – Inflation beats or hawkish language could accelerate JPY gains. Geopolitical headlines – Trade tensions between the US and China remain a key driver for yen demand. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURJPY is acting as a lagger in the current yen move, with USDJPY leading the direction for JPY crosses. Any decisive move in USDJPY—especially a break lower—would likely spill over into EURJPY. The pair also tends to mirror risk sentiment shifts seen in equity indices like US500, making global sentiment a secondary driver. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints I’m maintaining a bearish bias on EURJPY as long as price stays below the 172.30 resistance zone. My stop-loss is placed just above the 172.98 swing high to protect against a bullish breakout. First targets sit at 171.43, then 170.65, with an extended downside target near 169.73 if momentum builds. A clean break below 170.65 would open the path for deeper declines, while any sustained break above 172.98 would invalidate this setup. In short, I’m watching for rejection confirmation from resistance and will be tracking USDJPY closely as the leader for yen sentiment.
Short
by ultreosforex
3
Possible Short Position Levels for EURJPYThe trade plan is as follows: Action: Entering a short position, betting on the price to fall. Entry: 171.886, anticipating a pullback to a previously broken support level. Stop Loss: Placed at 172.406 to limit losses if the price unexpectedly rises and breaks the recent high. Targets: Two take-profit levels are identified to secure profits as the price declines. TP1: 170.780 (a recent support level). TP2: 169.720 (a major previous low). The setup is considered favorable because the potential profit is significantly larger than the potential risk. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The provided trade idea is based on technical analysis and historical price action, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. You could lose some or all of your initial investment. Seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any action you take upon the information on this chart and analysis is strictly at your own risk.
Short
by passiveexplorer
3
EURJPY: Bullish Rebound from Key Demand ZoneEURJPY has bounced off a critical demand zone and is showing signs of a bullish recovery. Despite the recent pullback, the pair’s structure remains fundamentally and technically bullish, driven by JPY weakness and EUR resilience. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Pattern: Price tested a strong demand zone near 170.35–170.50 and rejected it aggressively. Current Level: 170.77, starting a potential bullish leg toward higher resistance levels. Key Support Levels: 170.35 – key demand zone and invalidation level for bulls. 169.90 – deeper support if demand zone breaks. Resistance Levels: 172.17 – first bullish target and interim resistance. 173.64 – major target if bullish continuation sustains. Projection: A successful rebound from 170.35 could drive price toward 172.17 initially, then 173.64 if momentum holds. Fundamental Analysis Bias: Bullish. Key Fundamentals: EUR: ECB’s slower path toward easing supports EUR stability relative to JPY. JPY: Weakness persists as BoJ maintains dovish bias, though FX intervention risk limits JPY downside speed. Global Sentiment: Mild risk-on mood supports EUR strength against JPY. Risks: BoJ verbal intervention or actual FX intervention could trigger temporary JPY strength. Sharp reversal in global risk sentiment could weaken EUR/JPY. Key Events: ECB speeches and data (CPI, growth updates). BoJ FX comments and broader market risk appetite. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EUR/JPY is a leader among JPY pairs, often moving in sync with GBP/JPY and CHF/JPY. Its movement also tends to precede confirmation in risk-sensitive JPY crosses. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EUR/JPY is bullish from the 170.35 demand zone, with a potential move toward 172.17 and 173.64. Key watchpoints include ECB communication, BoJ stance, and market risk sentiment. As long as 170.35 holds, bulls remain in control.
Long
by ultreosforex
4
EUR/JPY Channel Formation (6.08.2025) The EUR/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 169.74 2nd Support – 169.25 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
18
EUR/JPY Again Below My Res , Short Setup Valid To Get 150 Pips !Here is my opinion on EUR/JPY On 2H T.F , We have a fake breakout and Gap and the price back again below my res area and closed with 4H Candle below it , so i have a confirmation and i`m waiting the price to go back to retest this strong res and give me any bearish price action and then we can enter a sell trade and targeting 100 : 150 pips . if we have a daily closure above my res then this analysis will not be valid anymore .
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
EURJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D29 | Y25📊 EURJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D29 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. OANDA:EURJPY
by JCFRGNT
EURJPY Q3 | D25 | W30 | Y25📊 EURJPY Q3 | D25 | W30 | Y25 Daily Forecast🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FRGNT OANDA:EURJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURJPY: MSS on H4 Signals Bearish Shift Toward Weekly FVGGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURJPY, we observe that a Market Structure Shift (MSS) has recently occurred on the H4 timeframe, indicating a potential change in directional bias. This suggests that price may begin to draw toward the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), presenting a favorable opportunity to align with bearish order flow. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe currently shows an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) to the downside, acting as the primary draw on liquidity. This macro bearish draw adds weight to the idea of shorting the pair from premium levels. On the H4—our intermediate timeframe—we now have structural confirmation via a bearish MSS, aligning the two timeframes toward downside targets. Key Observations on H4: Bearish Order Block in Premium: Price has recently retraced into an H4 bearish order block situated within premium pricing. This zone acts as institutional resistance and is currently showing signs of rejection. Confirmation Zone: This H4 bearish order block is being monitored for M15 confirmation entries, as we look for price to break lower from this key institutional level. Engineered Support & Resting Liquidity: Just above the weekly FVG lies an engineered support zone—characterized by equal lows—suggesting that liquidity has been pooled there. This area serves as a high-probability draw for institutional price delivery. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Seek lower timeframe (M15) confirmation around the H4 bearish order block before initiating short positions. Targets: The first target lies at the H4 internal liquidity pool within discounted pricing. The longer-term objective is the weekly FVG, where liquidity is likely to be delivered next. For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/ Maintain patience, follow your confirmation rules, and always adhere to sound risk management principles. Kind Regards, The_Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
2
EURJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25📊EURJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FRGNT 📊
Short
by JCFRGNT
Clear Entry, Clear Targets! Strategy Kicks Off with EUR/JPYHey everyone 👋 📌 SELL LIMIT ORDER / EUR/JPY Key Levels 🟢 Entry: 172,779 🎯 Target 1: 172.598 🎯 Target 2: 172.389 🎯 Target 3: 171,775 🔴 Stop: 173.097 📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.17 I double-checked the levels and put together a clean, focused analysis just for you. Every single like seriously boosts my motivation to keep sharing 📈 Your support means the world to me! Huge thanks to everyone who likes and backs this work 💙 Our goals are crystal clear, our strategy is solid. Let’s keep moving forward with confidence and smart execution!
Short
by TraderTilki
EURJPY SHORT – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | D15 | Y25💼 EURJPY SHORT – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | D15 | Y25 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT EURJPY is currently reacting from a key higher time frame supply zone, with price action showing weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence. 🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝 ✅ Daily Order Block (OB) Strong reaction and early signs of distribution. Previous bullish momentum is losing steam; structure is flattening with rejection wicks forming. ✅ 4H Order Block Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition. ✅ 1H Order Block 1H structure shift bearish 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. 🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT 📌 The structure is clear. The confluences are stacked. Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURJPY SHORT – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | D14 | Y25 GAP SHORT!!!!💼 EURJPY SHORT – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | D14 | Y25 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT EURJPY is currently reacting from a key higher time frame supply zone, with price action showing weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence. 🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝 ✅ Daily Order Block (OB) Strong reaction and early signs of distribution. Previous bullish momentum is losing steam; structure is flattening with rejection wicks forming. ✅ 4H Order Block Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition. ✅ 1H Order Block 1H structure shift bearish 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. 🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT 📌 The structure is clear. The confluences are stacked. Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Eur/Jpy breaks the previous🔍 Key Observations: Supply Zone (169.713): Price is approaching a marked supply zone, where sellers previously stepped in with strong momentum. This zone could act as a resistance area, potentially rejecting price downward. Previous Low Break: The structure shows that price broke below a previous low, indicating bearish pressure and a possible shift in market sentiment. Demand Zone Below (~168.700): There's a strong demand zone marked below the current price, which may serve as a target for short sellers or an area for bullish entries if reached. Projected Move (Orange Arrows): The orange path suggests a potential move: Price may first retest the supply zone around 169.713. A rejection from that level could trigger a downward move, breaking recent support levels. The price may bounce slightly midway before continuing the drop toward the demand zone. RSI Indicator (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 54.80 (blue line), the RSI is nearing overbought territory but not yet extreme. This leaves room for a bit more upside before a potential reversal, aligning with the idea of testing the supply zone first.
Short
by DayyanMuhammad
EURJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25EURJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order Block Identified ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅15' Order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT