EURJPY Forming Bullish ContinuatiomEURJPY is showing strong bullish continuation momentum after successfully retesting the previous resistance zone near 175.500–176.000, which has now turned into a solid support area. The market structure remains clearly bullish on the daily chart, with higher highs and higher lows forming consistently. The recent breakout and retest pattern signals renewed buyer strength, suggesting the potential for price to extend toward the 180.000–182.000 zone in the coming sessions. As long as price holds above the 176.000 level, the bullish bias remains firmly intact, favoring continuation trades to the upside.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro has gained fresh momentum due to increasing optimism surrounding the eurozone’s inflation stabilization and the European Central Bank maintaining a steady monetary stance. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose policy and yields remain low compared to European rates. This divergence in monetary policies continues to drive investors toward higher-yielding currencies like the euro, fueling upward momentum in EURJPY.
Technically, momentum indicators support the bullish outlook, and any short-term pullback into the 176.000–176.500 region may provide an ideal buying opportunity. Traders are likely positioning for a continuation of the current trend, targeting higher liquidity levels toward 181.500 and 183.000 in the medium term. The overall sentiment remains positive for EURJPY, and the pair could continue to deliver profitable setups for trend-followers as the market sustains this strong upward trajectory.
Eurjpysignal
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Bullish Continuation Pattern FormsTitle: EUR/JPY Bullish Heist 🚀🏦 - The "Layer Cake" Long Play
Alright, Money Makers! 👋 The EUR/JPY vault is looking ripe for a bullish break-in. Our technical blueprint suggests the momentum is building for a potential escape rally. Here's the profit playbook.
📊 The Master Plan (Technical Setup):
Bias: Bullish ✅
Trend: Price is showing strength after a pullback to a key accumulation zone.
Confirmation: We're looking for a successful retest near the Triangular Moving Average (TMA), signaling the next leg up is loading.
Catalyst: A phase of re-accumulation is building energy for the next move north. 🚀
🎯 The Entry Strategy ("The Thief's Layer Cake")
This isn't a one-and-done entry. We're using a layered limit order approach to scale in like a pro and improve our average entry.
Consider Buy Limit Layers at:
Layer 1: 176.500
Layer 2: 176.000
Layer 3: 175.500
Layer 4: 175.000
Feel free to adjust the number of layers and levels based on your own risk appetite and market structure analysis.
🛡️ The Escape Route (Risk Management)
Stop Loss (The Getaway Car): A logical Thief's SL can be placed below the key support structure, for example, around 174.500. 🚗💨
⚠️ Thief's Note on SL/TP: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen, I am not recommending you use only my suggested SL/TP. It's your capital. Manage your risk and take profits at your own discretion. You make money, you take money. The responsibility is yours!
🎯 The Profit Target (Cracking the Safe)
Target: We are aiming for the 178.500 zone.
Rationale: This area represents a strong resistance level where overbought conditions and potential bull traps may lurk. The plan is to escape with our profits before the alarm sounds! 🚨
Related Pairs to Watch & Key Correlations:
 FX:EURUSD  &  FX:USDJPY : The EUR/JPY is essentially a derived pair from these two. A strong Euro (EUR/USD ↑) and/or a weak Yen (USD/JPY ↑) typically fuels a bullish EUR/JPY move. Watch the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) for clues.
 OANDA:GBPJPY  &  OANDA:AUDJPY : Other "JPY-cross" pairs. They often move in correlation due to shared sensitivity to risk sentiment and the Japanese Yen's safe-haven status. If these are rallying, it confirms a broader weak-Yen environment.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Disclaimer: This "Thief Style" strategy is presented for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading Forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
#Forex #EURJPY #TradingSetup #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #TradingStrategy
EURJPY Forming Bullish ContinuationEURJPY is showing strong bullish continuation momentum after successfully retesting the previous resistance zone near 175.500–176.000, which has now turned into a solid support area. The market structure remains clearly bullish on the daily chart, with higher highs and higher lows forming consistently. The recent breakout and retest pattern signals renewed buyer strength, suggesting the potential for price to extend toward the 180.000–182.000 zone in the coming sessions. As long as price holds above the 176.000 level, the bullish bias remains firmly intact, favoring continuation trades to the upside.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro has gained fresh momentum due to increasing optimism surrounding the eurozone’s inflation stabilization and the European Central Bank maintaining a steady monetary stance. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose policy and yields remain low compared to European rates. This divergence in monetary policies continues to drive investors toward higher-yielding currencies like the euro, fueling upward momentum in EURJPY.
Technically, momentum indicators support the bullish outlook, and any short-term pullback into the 176.000–176.500 region may provide an ideal buying opportunity. Traders are likely positioning for a continuation of the current trend, targeting higher liquidity levels toward 181.500 and 183.000 in the medium term. The overall sentiment remains positive for EURJPY, and the pair could continue to deliver profitable setups for trend-followers as the market sustains this strong upward trajectory.
Is EURJPY Setting Up for a Powerful Bullish Run?🎯 EUR/JPY: "Euro vs. Yen" Wealth Heist Strategy 🤑 (Swing/Day Trade)
🚨 Thieves aka (Smart traders) of the Forex Market, Assemble! 🚨Get ready to pull off a slick bullish heist on EUR/JPY with this Thief-Style Trading Plan! We're leveraging a Kijun-Sen pullback to spot a juicy demand zone where the bulls are loading up to push prices higher. Let’s break into the market with style, precision, and a sprinkle of humor! 😎
📈 The Setup: Bullish Breakout Plan 🐂
Asset: EUR/JPY (Euro vs. Japanese Yen)  
Market Context: The Kijun-Sen moving average (Ichimoku Cloud) has confirmed a bullish pullback, creating a demand zone at key support levels. Bulls are gathering strength to drive prices upward! 🚀  
Trend: Swing/Day Trade with a bullish bias.
🕵️♂️ The Thief’s Entry Plan (Layered Limit Orders)
Our Thief Strategy uses multiple buy limit orders to layer entries like a mastermind stacking the deck. Here’s the plan:  
Entry Levels:  
🧳 172.400 (First layer, dip-buying opportunity)  
🧳 172.600  
🧳 172.800  
🧳 173.000
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size. Stack those orders like a pro! 📊  
Entry Flexibility: You can enter at any price level within this demand zone, but layering ensures you maximize your position while managing risk.
🛑 Stop Loss: The Thief’s Escape Route
Stop Loss: Set at 172.000 (a tight, calculated exit to protect your loot).  
Note: Dear Thieves (OGs and newbies alike), this SL is my suggestion, but it’s your heist, your rules. Adjust based on your risk tolerance and don’t get caught by the market police! 👮♂️
🎯 Take Profit: The Grand Getaway
Target: 175.000 (just shy of a strong resistance zone at 175.200).  
Why?: The 175.200 level is a Police Barricade—a combo of strong resistance, overbought conditions, and a potential bear trap. Grab your profits at 175.000 to escape safely! 💰  
Note: This TP is my call, but you’re the mastermind here. Take profits at your own discretion and secure the bag! 🤑
💡 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlations & Opportunities)
To make this heist even smoother, keep an eye on these correlated pairs for confirmation or additional setups:  
 FX:USDJPY : A strong bullish move in USD/JPY often supports EUR/JPY strength due to JPY weakness. Watch for similar demand zones or breakout patterns.  
 FX:EURUSD : If EUR is strong across the board, EUR/USD breakouts can reinforce our bullish bias on EUR/JPY. Check for alignment in trend direction.  
 OANDA:GBPJPY : Another JPY pair with high volatility. If GBP/JPY is also showing bullish momentum, it could signal broader JPY weakness, boosting our EUR/JPY play.  
Key Correlation Insight: JPY tends to weaken in risk-on environments, so monitor global risk sentiment (e.g., equity indices like S&P 500 or Nikkei 225) for clues.
🔍 Key Points to Understand the Setup
Demand Zone Strength: The Kijun-Sen pullback aligns with historical support, making this a high-probability zone for bulls to step in.  
Layered Entries: Using multiple limit orders reduces risk by averaging your entry price, perfect for volatile forex markets.  
Risk Management: The tight stop loss at 172.000 keeps your downside limited, while the 175.000 target offers a solid risk-reward ratio (~1:10).  
Market Traps: Be cautious at 175.200—overbought conditions and resistance could trigger a reversal. Exit early to avoid getting caught!
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy designed for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and you’re responsible for your own decisions. Always do your own analysis and manage your risk like a pro! 😎  
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!  
#EURJPY #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #BullishBreakout #TradingView
EURJPY: Pullback or Pause? Eye 178.40 as Yen Stays DefensiveEURJPY has pulled back after hitting fresh highs near 178, but the underlying momentum still favors the euro. With the Bank of Japan maintaining its ultra-loose stance while the ECB holds rates high, the policy divergence continues to support upside pressure. As long as buyers defend the 175–176 zone, the pair looks set to resume its push toward the 178.40 region.
Current Bias
Bullish – Recent dip is corrective, not a full reversal, while fundamentals favor further euro strength over yen.
Key Fundamental Drivers
ECB Policy: Rates remain elevated, with officials stressing caution on premature cuts. This supports the euro.
BOJ Policy: Despite rising Japanese yields, the BOJ is still dovish compared to peers, leaving JPY weaker.
Risk Sentiment: Political risk in Europe tempers gains slightly, but yen safe-haven demand has been muted.
Macro Context
Interest Rate Expectations: ECB is expected to keep rates restrictive longer than the BOJ, reinforcing policy divergence.
Economic Growth Trends: Eurozone growth is sluggish but inflation concerns keep policy tight; Japan is facing rising wage expectations but not enough to force the BOJ into tightening aggressively.
Commodity & Trade Flows: Stronger European trade resilience supports EUR, while JPY continues to weaken with capital outflows tied to low yields.
Geopolitical Themes: Political risks in Europe (French fiscal strains, EU cohesion) are factors, but global macro risk still weighs more on JPY than EUR.
Primary Risk to the Trend
If BOJ signals a surprise tightening or wage growth accelerates more than expected, the yen could stage a sharp rebound.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
ECB speeches and Eurozone PMIs – signals on inflation and growth will guide EUR.
BOJ rhetoric – any policy shift hint could shock the market.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EURJPY acts as a leader in cross-yen moves, often setting the tone for GBPJPY and AUDJPY. It reflects global risk appetite and monetary divergence, making it a benchmark pair for yen crosses.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
175.10
173.70
Resistance Levels:
176.45
178.40
Stop Loss (SL): 173.70
Take Profit (TP): 178.40
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURJPY remains bullish, with the current pullback offering a potential entry zone if support near 175.10 holds. Policy divergence between the ECB and BOJ continues to drive upside bias. A stop loss sits at 173.70 to protect against deeper reversals, while take profit is targeted at 178.40. Watch ECB communications and BOJ rhetoric closely, as either could provide the catalyst for the next leg of movement.
EUR/JPY Price Action Alert: Are Buyers Dominating?💰 EUR/JPY “EURO VS YEN” FOREX Market Wealth Strategy Map 🚀💹
Asset: EUR/JPY
Plan: Bullish confirmed ✅ with ACCUMULATION Zone and higher high Major Resistance Breakout.
Entry:
You can enter at any price level using the Thief layering strategy 💎:
Multiple buy limit layers: 173.700, 174.000, 174.300 (adjust your layers based on your own discretion).
This method allows flexible entries and maximizes profit potential.
Stop Loss (SL):
Thief SL @ 173.000 ⚡
Note: I recommend using your own SL based on your risk tolerance. Trading is always your responsibility.
Target (TP):
Electric shock fence ahead ⚡ acts as strong resistance + overbought trap.
Our suggested target is 176.000, but feel free to lock profits according to your own strategy.
Trading Style:
Swing / Day trade strategy
Thief OG layering style — multiple limit orders to maximize entries and risk management.
Pairs to Watch & Correlations:
 FX:EURUSD  – Strong correlation with EUR/JPY bullish moves; confirm strength in EUR first.
 FX:USDJPY  – Watch for Yen weakness; can accelerate EUR/JPY bullish breakout.
 OANDA:GBPJPY  – Often mirrors EUR/JPY trend in short-term swings; useful for confirmation.
 OANDA:EURCHF  – Supports Euro strength analysis; weaker CHF can boost EUR pairs.
Key Points / Notes:
Market structure is accumulation → breakout → trend continuation.
Keep an eye on resistance clusters and overbought levels.
Layering entries allow maximized profit and controlled risk.
Always trade responsibly; profits come with risk management.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#EURJPY #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ForexStrategy #ThiefStyle #TradingViewIdeas #ForexAnalysis #LayeringStrategy #ForexSignals #EuroYen #FXTrade #ProfitPlanning
Ready To Raid The EUR/JPY? Bullish Breakout Plan Inside!🌟 ATTENTION ALL YEN YAKUZA & EURO EAGLES! 🌟
Dear Ladies & Gentleman of the High-Finance Underworld, 🕴️💎
Based on the 🔥ULTIMATE THIEF TRADING HEIST MANUAL🔥, here is the master plan to rob the EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" bank blind! This is a BULLISH pending order assault. Our aim is the luxurious 175.000 VIP Money Vault. 🏦💰✨
Entry: The Grand Heist Begins! ⚡
The Trigger: We wait for the BREAKOUT & HOLD above 173.000. This is when the guards change shifts! 🚨
The Layering Strategy (The Genius Move): The Thief doesn't just kick the door down; he picks all the locks at once! Place MULTIPLE BUY LIMIT ORDERS on any dip or retest to create a powerful average entry. Think like a pro!
1st Layer (The Decoy): @173.000 (After breakout confirm)
2nd Layer (The Bag Filler): @172.700
3rd Layer (The Masterstroke): @172.500
4th Layer (The Insurance Policy): @172.300
🤑 YOU CAN ADD MORE LAYERS BASED ON YOUR RISK APPETITE! 🤑
Stop Loss: The Escape Route! 🛑
"Yo, listen up! 🗣️" Do NOT set your stop loss until AFTER the 173.000 breakout is confirmed! The Thief's ultimate safety net is placed at @171.500. This is our emergency exit if the heist goes sideways.
⚠️ WARNING: You OG's can adjust this SL based on your own risk tolerance and number of layers. But remember, a real thief always has an exit plan! 👊😎
Target: The Getaway! 🎯
The police have set up a barricade at 175.500. We are not greedy! Our escape chopper is waiting at @175.000. GRAB THE STOLEN CASH AND GO! Don't wait for the cops! 🚁💵💨
⚠️TRADING ALERT: News Releases & Managing the Loot 📰🗞️
News can bring swat teams (volatility). To protect your stolen profits:
Avoid placing new layers during high-impact news.
Use a TRAILING STOP once we're in profit to lock in those stacks! 🔒💰
💖SUPPORT THE HEIST CREW!
💥SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON!💥 It fuels our next grand robbery! Let's make stealing from the market look easy every single day. 🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll be back with another flawless plan. Stay sharp, stay profitable! 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Getting in early on a trend reversal (EUR/JPY)Setup 
Bearish: Potential long term top.
Bearish engulfing candlestick from multi-year highs
RSI has dropped from 70 overbought
 Signal 
Fakeout: Looking for rebound to stall near the former resistance at 174.
RSI bearish divergence, taken out support
Caution: uptrend line has held so far. A break would confirm trend reversal.
Too early to trade the reversal? 
Would you weait for a breakdown first ?
Let's discuss
Ta, Jasper
EUR/JPY Trade signal show downtrendBearish Scenario: 
Failure to break above 50 SMA → price may retest 200 SMA at ~172.300.
A break below 172.300 opens the path to 171.500–171.000.
 Summary 
EUR/JPY is in short-term bearish correction after a recent uptrend.
Immediate support: 172.300, resistance: 173.500.
RSI rebound suggests a minor recovery, but major trend remains cautious until price clears 50–100 SMA.
 Trading Signal Suggestion: 
Conservative Buy: Near 172.300–172.500 with tight stop-loss below 172.200, target 173.500.
 Aggressive Sell:  Below 172.300 for continuation of bearish correction toward 171.500.
EURJPY Bulls Eye 175 as Yen Weakness PersistsEURJPY continues to grind higher, fueled by persistent yen weakness and relative euro strength. The pair has broken through consolidation zones and is now pressing against higher resistance. With the Bank of Japan sticking to ultra-loose policy while the ECB maintains a comparatively tighter stance, buyers remain in control. The question now is whether the rally has enough momentum to test the next key levels around 175.
Current Bias
Bullish – momentum favors buyers as yen remains fundamentally weak.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Bank of Japan: Still hesitant to tighten policy meaningfully, keeping JPY on the back foot.
European Central Bank: Policy remains less dovish than the BoJ, offering EUR support.
Yield Differentials: Eurozone yields remain far more attractive compared to near-zero JGB yields, attracting capital flows into EUR over JPY.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: ECB rate expectations are anchored at restrictive levels, while BoJ remains ultra-dovish.
Growth Trends: Eurozone faces slower growth but still steadier than Japan, where corporate profits and consumer spending remain weak.
Commodity & Trade Flows: Japan’s reliance on energy imports weighs on JPY when oil prices are elevated.
Geopolitics: Rising global risk has not given JPY its usual safe-haven lift, showing structural weakness in its haven appeal.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sudden BoJ policy shift, verbal intervention from Japanese officials, or a sharp global risk-off shock could send JPY sharply higher and cap EURJPY’s rally.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
BoJ commentary or intervention headlines
ECB policy updates and speeches
Eurozone inflation data
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EURJPY is often a leader among yen pairs, as it reflects both European policy dynamics and yen weakness. Its moves frequently set the tone for other JPY crosses like GBPJPY and AUDJPY.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 173.50, 172.55
Resistance Levels: 174.50, 175.35
Stop Loss (SL): 172.55 (below key structural support)
Take Profit (TP): 174.50 (first target), 175.35 (extended target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURJPY maintains a bullish bias, underpinned by yield spreads and ECB-BoJ policy divergence. Buyers are eyeing 174.50 and 175.35, with a stop loss below 172.55 to guard against reversals. The pair is a leader among yen crosses, meaning any sharp shifts in its direction could spill over into GBPJPY and AUDJPY. Traders should watch for BoJ intervention risks and eurozone inflation data as the most likely catalysts for near-term volatility.
DeGRAM | EURJPY seeks to close the gap📊  Technical Analysis 
● EUR/JPY is trading inside an ascending channel, consolidating near the 174.40–174.60 resistance zone.
● The recent gap highlights short-term volatility, but price is holding above 174.26 support, suggesting bullish continuation.
💡  Fundamental Analysis 
● Euro support comes from stable PMI data in the eurozone, while JPY remains weak as the BoJ maintains ultra-loose policy, favoring further upside in EUR/JPY.
✨  Summary 
EUR/JPY shows bullish continuation above 174.26, with upside potential toward 174.62 and beyond if momentum persists.
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Bullish Structure Holds for EUR/JPY on the 4-Hour ChartEUR/JPY Technical Analysis
What we're looking at on this 4-hour chart is a classic example of a bullish trend undergoing a healthy correction and potentially preparing for its next move higher. The market is giving us some very clear clues. 🧐
1. Market Structure & Dominant Trend 📈
Overall Trend: The dominant, overarching trend is clearly bullish. Looking at the price action from late August through early September, the market has been consistently printing higher highs and higher lows. This is the primary context, and we generally want to trade in the direction of the main trend.
Corrective Phase: After reaching a peak around $173.80, the price experienced a sharp and aggressive sell-off. This is a typical corrective move or profit-taking phase after a strong impulse leg up.
Consolidation / Accumulation: Price has now stopped falling and is moving sideways, contained within a well-defined range. This is often a sign of accumulation, where buyers are absorbing selling pressure and building positions for a potential move higher.
2. Key Levels to Watch 🎯
Resistance 🛡️: The upper boundary of the current range is at approximately $173.55 - $173.60. This is the immediate ceiling that buyers need to break through to confirm a continuation of the uptrend. It's the "line in the sand" for the bears.
Support: The lower boundary is clearly defined around $172.15 - $172.20. This level has been tested and has held firm, showing that buyers are stepping in to defend this price. As long as we stay above this level, the bullish case remains intact.
Potential Double Bottom / Inverse Head & Shoulders: The price action within the consolidation range is carving out what looks like a Double Bottom or a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
Bullish Intention: These are classic bullish reversal/continuation patterns. They signal that the downward momentum of the correction has been exhausted and that buyers are regaining control. The recent strong green candles moving away from the support zone reinforce this buying pressure.
4. Potential Scenarios 🚀 vs. 📉
Bullish Scenario (High Probability): This aligns with your projection. The price continues to respect the support level, completes the right side of the pattern, and breaks through the minor resistance within the range (around $173.00). A confirmed break and close above this level would likely propel the price towards the main resistance at $173.55. A break of that level would signal a full continuation of the bullish trend, with sights on new highs.
Bearish Scenario (Lower Probability): We must always consider the alternative. If buyers fail to push the price higher and we see a strong, decisive 4-hour candle close below the support at $172.15, the bullish setup would be invalidated. This would suggest that the correction is not over and could lead to a deeper move down towards the next major structural support levels.
This is a potential setup that favors the buyers. Patience and risk management are key.
DeGRAM | EURJPY reached the resistance area📊  Technical Analysis 
● EUR/JPY is rejecting the 173.50 resistance area, with repeated failures near the resistance line signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum.
● Price action shows a likely rotation lower, targeting 172.46 support initially, with further risk toward 171.60 if pressure persists.
💡  Fundamental Analysis 
● The yen is supported by stronger JGB yields and renewed BoJ commentary on potential normalization, while the euro faces pressure from softer eurozone trade data.
✨  Summary 
Bearish below 173.50; targets 172.46 → 171.60. Invalidation on a close above 173.50.
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EURJPY Bulls Struggle Near 174, Bears Eye Room to Push LowerEURJPY has been testing the upper resistance near 174.00, but repeated failures to hold above suggest exhaustion. With the euro under pressure from softening European growth data and the yen showing signs of life as BOJ policies evolve, this area looks like a pivot zone. The chart structure points toward potential downside back into the 172.40 and 171.30 supports if sellers step in.
Current Bias
Bearish – Price rejected near 174.00 and is showing signs of topping.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Eurozone: Weakening growth signals (stagnation in Germany and Italy CPI moderation) weigh on the euro.
Japan: Higher JGB yields and BOJ’s quiet policy shift toward tighter conditions give JPY some support.
Global risk sentiment: If equity markets retreat, yen demand could rise as a safe haven.
Macro Context
Interest rate expectations: ECB is unlikely to hike further, with markets leaning toward cuts in 2025; BOJ may gradually tighten through yield control tweaks.
Economic growth: Eurozone is flatlining, while Japan shows modest resilience through services PMI strength.
Geopolitical themes: Energy-driven inflation in Europe and tariff uncertainties continue to cloud EUR outlook.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sudden rebound in euro sentiment (better PMI data or ECB hawkish signals) could invalidate bearish bias.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
Eurozone PMI & inflation updates – key for EUR direction.
BOJ communications and JGB auctions – important for JPY momentum.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EURJPY tends to be a lagger, reflecting flows from broader EURUSD and USDJPY moves. However, shifts in Japanese yields can make it temporarily a leader in JPY crosses.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 172.40, 171.30
Resistance Levels: 173.90, 174.30
Stop Loss (SL): 174.30 (above resistance and recent highs)
Take Profit (TP): 171.30 (major support level)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURJPY bias is bearish with SL at 174.30 and TP at 171.30. The euro is weighed down by stagnant growth and subdued inflation, while the yen is supported by creeping BOJ policy adjustments and higher yields. The main risk is an upside surprise from eurozone data or ECB rhetoric. If sellers hold below 174.00, downside momentum could accelerate toward 171.30.
EURJPY Double-Top Rejection Signals Potential DownsideEURJPY has stalled after testing the 173.80–174.00 resistance zone, with sellers stepping in to defend this multi-week high. The rejection aligns with fading Euro momentum and renewed strength in the yen as safe-haven demand returns. With price action showing a clean rejection candle at resistance, the pair looks vulnerable to a deeper pullback toward key support levels.
Current Bias
Bearish downside favored after rejection at resistance with momentum shifting toward sellers.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Eurozone: Inflation is cooling, and growth remains sluggish, keeping ECB policy dovish in tone.
Japan: Wages and household spending recently turned positive y/y, with BOJ maintaining a cautious stance but under pressure from rising JGB yields.
Risk Sentiment: Ongoing geopolitical tensions (Middle East and Russia sanctions) support yen as a safe-haven.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: ECB leaning dovish with little scope to tighten further; BOJ cautious but rising yields keep pressure for policy adjustment.
Growth Trends: Eurozone faces weak industrial output; Japan showing modest resilience in services.
Commodity Flows: Lower oil prices benefit Japan’s import bill, slightly yen-positive.
Geopolitical Themes: Uncertainty in Israel-Gaza conflict, U.S. tariff battles, and OPEC+ supply risks continue to drive safe-haven demand for JPY.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sudden ECB hawkish shift or stronger-than-expected Eurozone CPI could flip the bias bullish.
Rapid improvement in global risk appetite would weaken yen demand.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
ECB commentary on inflation expectations and growth outlook.
Japan’s wage and CPI data alongside BOJ policy signals.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EUR/JPY often acts as a lagger, following EUR/USD direction and broader risk sentiment. Yen moves are highly correlated with USD/JPY and gold, meaning strong flows into havens could amplify downside.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 172.65, 171.36
Resistance Levels: 173.87, 174.38
Stop Loss (SL): 174.38
Take Profit (TP): 172.65 (first), 171.36 (extended)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURJPY has rejected resistance near 174.00, setting up a bearish bias toward 172.65 and possibly 171.36. A stop above 174.38 protects against upside risk. Fundamentals favor yen strength via safe-haven demand and weaker Eurozone growth momentum. The key watchpoint is whether upcoming ECB commentary reinforces dovish policy; if so, downside pressure should continue. For now, sellers maintain the upper hand as risk-off dynamics align with technical rejection.
DeGRAM | EURJPY rebounded from the boundary of the channel📊  Technical Analysis 
● EUR/JPY is trending inside an ascending channel, bouncing from 172.56 support and regaining bullish momentum toward the mid-range.
● Price structure points to continuation higher, with a projected test of 173.90 resistance as long as support holds firm.
💡  Fundamental Analysis 
● Euro gains are supported by ECB policymakers reaffirming restrictive stance, while yen remains pressured by widening yield spreads as BoJ stays cautious on policy shifts.
✨  Summary 
Bullish above 172.56; targets 173.26 → 173.90. Invalidation on a close below 172.56.
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DeGRAM | EURJPY reached the important resistance📊  Technical Analysis 
● EUR/JPY rejected the resistance line near 173.20 after a false breakout in August, confirming sellers’ defense of the upper boundary.
● The current bearish takeover signals downside risk toward 172.46 support, with a deeper slide possible toward 171.60 if momentum accelerates.
💡  Fundamental Analysis 
● Renewed demand for the yen is supported by rising JGB yields as the BoJ hints at gradual policy normalization, while euro sentiment is capped by softer eurozone PMI data.
✨  Summary 
Bearish below 173.20; targets 172.46 → 171.60. Invalidation on a close above 173.50.
-------------------
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Fundamental & Technical Analysis: EUR Weakness vs Strong JPY!Today, I want to review the  EURJPY ( OANDA:EURJPY )  short position  from a  fundamental  and  technical  perspective  and see if we can  profit  from this analysis.
 Fundamental Analysis: 
 1. Economic Weakness in the Eurozone 
 Recent economic data indicate weakness in the Eurozone economy. For instance, retail sales in the Eurozone increased by only 2.2% in July, falling short of expectations. Additionally, inflation rates in the Eurozone are declining, suggesting weak demand in the economy.
Mitrade 
 2. European Central Bank's Monetary Policies 
 The European Central Bank is considering interest rate cuts to support the economy. Such policies could lead to a depreciation of the euro, presenting opportunities for short positions. 
 3. Economic Strength in Japan 
 In contrast, Japan's economy is showing signs of improvement. Positive economic data, including increased industrial production and exports, indicate economic growth in Japan. This could lead to a strengthening of the Japanese yen and a decline in the EURJPY pair. 
 4. Bank of Japan's Monetary Policies 
 The Bank of Japan continues its accommodative monetary policies, including negative interest rates and extensive asset purchase programs. These measures help mitigate downward pressure on the yen, supporting its strength. 
 Conclusion 
 Considering the economic weakness in the Eurozone and the economic strength in Japan, the EURJPY pair is likely to experience a downward trend in the short term. This fundamental analysis supports a short position on EUR/JPY. 
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Now, let's examine the  EURJPY  chart on the  4-hour time frame  with  technical analysis tools .
 EURJPY  is currently moving in the  Resistance zone(173.420 JPY-172.660 JPY)  and near the  Monthly Resistance(1) .
From the  Elliott wave theory perspective , it seems that  EURJPY  has managed to complete the  microwave C of the main wave y of  the  Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect  EURJPY  to continue its  downward trend  in the coming hours and at least decline to the  Support lines(First Target) .
 Second Target: 171.760 JPY 
 Third Target: Lower lines of the Ascending Channel 
 Stop Loss(SL): 173.640 JPY 
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Euro/Japanese Yen Analysis (EURJPY), 4-hour Time Frame.
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EUR/JPY Bank Heist Is LIVE! Bullish Breakout Plan >>>🚀 EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Scalping Trade) 🚀
Professional Thief Strategy for High-Probability Breakout Trading
🎯 Executive Thief Summary
Asset: EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" (The Euro-Yen Cross)
Strategy: Bullish Hull MA Breakout & Retest with Layered Entry Approach
Timeframe: Swing/Scalping (1H-4H Charts)
Current Price: ¥173.15 | Daily Change: +0.10% (+0.17)
Trade Bias: Mildly Bullish (65% Bullish Score) ✅
Thief Note: This plan combines technical breakout dynamics with fundamental macro drivers for a high-probability heist operation!
📊 Technical Heist Plan
🎮 Entry Strategy (Layered Limit Orders)
The Thief's Multi-Layer Entry Approach for Optimal Positioning:
Layer 1: ¥172.60 (Initial breakout retest zone) ⚡
Layer 2: ¥172.70 (Volume-weighted support area) ⚡
Layer 3: ¥172.80 (Hull MA confluence zone) ⚡
Layer 4: ¥173.00 (Dynamic support & momentum acceleration) ⚡
Thief Tip: You can add additional layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation strategy!
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss: ¥172.20 (Below 100-day EMA & key support) ❌
Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% per trade layer
Adjustment Note: Dear Thief OG's - Modify your SL based on your individual risk tolerance and strategy parameters
🎯 Profit Targets
Primary Target: ¥174.30 (High-voltage resistance zone) ✅
Context: RSI showing overbought conditions likely at this level - escape with stolen money before potential reversal!
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context
🇪🇺 Eurozone Factors (EUR Strengths)
ECB Rate Policy: Hold at 2.15% (Hawkish Stance) 🦅
Inflation (HICP): 2.1% (Above ECB's 2% target - supportive for EUR)
Market Impact: Rate differentials favor EUR strength
🇯🇵 Japan Factors (JPY Weaknesses)
BoJ Policy: Dovish (Uncertain Timing for Hikes) 🕊️
Real Wages: Turned Positive (First Time in 7 Months - but gradual impact) ✅
Trade Deal: US-Japan Auto Tariff Reduction (JPY Positive but limited impact)
📅 Economic Calendar Watch
Eurozone GDP Data Today (09:00 GMT) - Potential short-term volatility driver
Risk: GDP miss could cause EUR pullback - monitor news flow
📊 Market Sentiment & Positioning
😰 Fear & Greed Index
Stock Market Sentiment: Greed (Score: 57/100) 📈
Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (Score: 50/100)
Key Drivers:
S&P 500 above 125-day moving average → Greed
Low put/call ratio → Optimism
Stable volatility (VIX) → Confidence
👥 Trader Sentiment
Retail Traders: Bullish (60% Long) 🟢 vs. Bearish (40% Short) 🔴
Institutional Traders: Bullish (55% Long) 🟢 vs. Bearish (45% Short) 🔴
Primary Reason: Carry trade appeal due to rate differentials
⚠️ Risk Factors & Considerations
🚨 Key Risks
Eurozone GDP Miss → EUR Pullback (Monitor 09:00 GMT release)
BoJ Surprise Hike → JPY Rally (Low probability but high impact)
Geopolitical Tensions → Safe-Haven JPY Demand (Always monitor global headlines)
📋 Trade Management Tips
Scale In: Use the layered entry approach to improve average entry price
Scale Out: Consider partial profits at ¥173.40 and ¥174.00 if momentum slows
News Awareness: Monitor ECB and BoJ speaker comments for unexpected guidance changes
📊 Related Pairs to Watch
EUR
 Correlations:
EUR/USD - Direct EUR exposure
EUR/CHF - European cross rate
EUR/GBP - European monetary policy differentials
JPY
 Correlations:
USD/JPY - Dollar-Yen dynamics
GBP/JPY - Risk-sensitive yen cross
AUD/JPY - Commodity-yen relationship
Thief Insight: Monitor these pairs for confirmation of broader EUR/JPY moves!
✨ Final Thief Notes
Why This Plan Works Now:
Technical breakout confirms bullish bias
Fundamental rate differentials favor EUR strength
Market sentiment supports risk-on environment
Layered entry approach provides optimal risk-reward
Trade Duration Expectation:
Swing Trade: 3-7 days for full target
Scalping Opportunities: 1-4 hour moves within the trend
✨ "If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!"
📌 Hashtags
#EURJPY #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #Scalping #BreakoutStrategy #HullMA #TradingSetup #ForexSignals #TradingView #BankHeistPlan #ThiefStrategy #RiskManagement
EURJPY Testing Supply Zone Can Bears Regain Control?EURJPY has climbed back into a key resistance area near 172.40–172.50, a zone that previously triggered sharp selling pressure. Price action suggests exhaustion at these highs, with a possible rotation back toward support if sellers defend this zone again. Given the yen’s safe-haven role and the euro’s sensitivity to ECB policy shifts, this setup is primed for a potential reversal play.
Current Bias
Bearish – The pair is showing rejection signs at resistance, favoring downside toward lower support levels.
Key Fundamental Drivers
ECB Outlook: The ECB is cautious, with slowing eurozone growth limiting room for further tightening, reducing euro strength.
BOJ Policy & Yen Flows: Yen remains supported by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ gradually tightening, even if modestly.
Risk Sentiment: Global equity volatility and tariff/geopolitical risks support yen buying when risk-off flows emerge.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: ECB is holding policy steady but leans dovish relative to other central banks. Japan remains ultra-loose, but any hint of normalization sparks yen strength.
Economic Growth: Eurozone growth is fragile, with Germany’s industrial sector under pressure. Japan’s economy is steady, though export-driven, making it vulnerable to global demand.
Geopolitics: Trade tariffs, US-China tensions, and Middle East risks all lean supportive for the yen as a safe haven.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A hawkish ECB surprise or strong eurozone inflation rebound could shift bias back to the upside, invalidating the bearish setup.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
ECB Minutes & Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate
BOJ Commentary on Yield Curve Control (YCC)
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EURJPY tends to act as a lagger, following flows in broader yen crosses like USDJPY (as a leader) and EURUSD (for euro sentiment). Movements in EURJPY often confirm rather than lead directional bias in FX markets.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 171.42, 170.99, 170.65, 170.08, 169.73
Resistance Levels: 172.47, 173.31
Stop Loss (SL): 173.31 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 171.42
TP2: 170.65
TP3: 170.08
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
Bias on EURJPY is bearish, with sellers looking to defend the 172.40–172.50 resistance area. A stop loss is best placed above 173.31, while downside targets stretch toward 171.42 → 170.65 → 170.08. Fundamentally, the euro faces growth headwinds while the yen benefits from safe-haven demand, though BOJ policy risks remain in play. The most important watchpoint is ECB and Eurozone CPI data, which could either reinforce the bearish case or shift sentiment sharply. For now, EURJPY looks vulnerable to a deeper correction, with price action aligned to favor sellers.






















