EURBGP Sell this Leg and buy at the bottom.Last time we took a look a the EURGBP pair (July 11, see chart below), we gave a buy signal inside the Channel Up, which quickly hit our 0.87400 Target:
This time the price has found itself on a decline, the latest Bearish Leg of the Channel Up. The previous two declined by -2.75% before bottoming and reversing. The 1D RSI Higher Lows can be an additional indicator as to where the Low can be priced.
We expect the pair to reach at least 0.85500 before starting the new Bullish Leg, which we believe will extend all the way near the top (1.0 Fibonacci) of the Channel Up. Our Target will be 0.8900.
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Euro
EUR/USD Sell Setup (6H Chart)💎MJTrading
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
FX:EURUSD
🔹 Bias: Bearish (continuation within descending channel)
🟢 Entry Point: 1.17100
This aligns with upper boundary of the descending channel.
Confluence with previous Lower High and resistance zone.
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 1.17424
Medium Risk Entry and Stop Loss
Above the channel resistance and recent swing high.
Other option for Stop Loss (Lower Risk): 1.18000 Allows room for minor wicks without invalidating the setup.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
✅ TP1 (RR1) → 1.16763
📈 TP2 → 1.16438
💰 TP3 - RR4→ 1.15800
💰💰 TP4 - RR10→ 1.13860
🧠 Trade Logic
Price is respecting a descending channel with clear lower highs and lower lows.
The 1.18300 level is a high-probability reversal zone due to technical confluence.
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk:Reward ratio ranges from 1:1 to 1:10, depending on TP level.
Consider scaling out at TP1 and TP2 to lock in profits while leaving a runner for TP3 and ...
Manage your risk wisely ...
#EURUSD #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #MJTrading
Psychology Always Matters:
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 26, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding onto its gains after rising more than three-quarters of a percent in the previous session, trading around 1.1630 during Asian hours on Tuesday.
President Trump posted a letter on social media Tuesday morning announcing that he was removing Fed Governor Cook from the Fed's board of directors. However, Cook said she would not resign because there was no reason for her dismissal. “I will continue to fulfill my duties,” she added.
President Trump also warned that he could impose a 200% tariff on Chinese goods if China refuses to supply magnets to the US. In addition, Trump threatened “additional tariffs” and restrictions on the export of advanced technologies and semiconductors in response to digital services taxes that have hit US technology companies.
The EUR/USD pair is strengthening as the euro (EUR) receives support after the European Central Bank (ECB) signaled a pause in monetary policy easing amid a strengthening labor market in the eurozone. Meanwhile, details of the agreement between the EU and the US indicate that a 15% tariff will be imposed on most European goods, while cars, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors may be exempt from tougher US duties.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1655, SL 1.1585, TP 1.1765
EURUSD Is it about to experience a big drop??The EURUSD pair has been consolidating under moderate pressure since the June 30 (weekly) High with its 1W RSI basically ranged since April 14.
We have seen this sequence of sideways 1W RSI trading after hitting the overbought (70.00) level another 3 times in the past 8 years. All of those times, the market priced a long-term Top there or shortly after.
In all instances, the first Target was the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), with the price even going as low as the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
If the Top this time was already priced in June, then we should be expecting a Target of at least 1.1200 on the medium-term, which would be a potential contact with the 1W MA50 and marginally above the 0.382 Fib.
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eurusd🔸Last week the Euro bounced off our resistance zone but did not reach the target range for buying
🔹Price has bounced back to the resistance zone but with stronger momentum and likely invalidating this range too
🔸The previous demand range is still a good place to enter a buy trade if it bounces back
EURUSD: EU IS Strong vs USD Currently. Buy It?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 25 - 29th
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD
The EURUSD is strong. Buy it.
But... be mindful that we are still in corrective territory. The Friday Powell candle notwithstanding, the market has not traded through and closed above the last swing high. Last week's Weekly candle closed within the range of the previous candle. Not a bullish indication. This is the time to be cautious of new trade entries early in the week ahead. Let the market tip its hand before jumping into trades.
The market is more bullish than bearish, and buys on pullbacks are best.
Just be mindful that if a bearish BOS happens, sells will be the highest probability trades to take and hold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
3 Actionable FX Strategies — With Real Trade Examples👋 Below are three practical strategies you can plug into your playbook today:
1. swing reversals (80+ pips), 2) short-term scalps (20–40 pips), and 3) the London range breakout (≈40 pips). Each section includes rules of engagement, risk management, and three real-market case studies on EURUSD and GBPUSD with conservative stops.
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🔁 Strategy 1 — 4H Swing Reversals (Target: 80–120 pips)
Setup 🧩
• Identify exhaustion into a higher-timeframe S/R zone (4H/Day).
• Look for a reversal signal (engulfing/pin bar, momentum shift, or divergence) and a confirmation close.
• Conservative stop: beyond the swing extreme or ~1× ATR(14) on the entry timeframe.
• Take-profit: next HTF level or ≥ 1.8R, aiming for 80+ pips.
Case study A — EURUSD long (Jackson Hole boost) 📈
• When: Aug 22, 2025, NY session after Powell; EURUSD pushed above 1.1700 on broad USD weakness.
• Plan: After a 4H close back above 1.1700, buy a retest ~1.1705.
• Stop: 1.1650 (≈55 pips).
• Target: 1.1790 (≈85 pips).
Case study B — GBPUSD short (post-CPI fade) 📉
• When: May 21, 2025, UK CPI spike ran to 1.34695 then faded.
• Plan: After a 15–30m lower high below 1.3460, sell break of 1.3435.
• Stop: 1.3490 (≈55 pips).
• Target: 1.3345 (≈90 pips).
Case study C — EURUSD short (overextended pullback) 🔻
• When: Jul 1, 2025, EURUSD briefly poked above 1.1800 then eased.
• Plan: Sell 1.1775 after a 1H bearish engulfing.
• Stop: 1.1825 (≈50 pips).
• Target: 1.1690 (≈85 pips).
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⚡ Strategy 2 — Short-Term Scalping (Target: 20–40 pips)
Setup 🧩
• Trade during high liquidity (London open or London/NY overlap).
• Use 1–5m charts: micro S/R + round numbers, quick momentum bursts.
• Conservative stop: 8–15 pips (just beyond the micro structure).
• Take-profit: 20–40 pips or to next intraday level.
Case study D — EURUSD scalp long (pre-Jackson Hole range) ⏱️
• When: Aug 21, 2025, Europe a.m.; EURUSD near 1.1650.
• Plan: Buy break-and-retest 1.1665.
• Stop: 1.1652 (≈13 pips).
• Target: 1.1687 (≈22 pips).
Case study E — GBPUSD scalp long (soft US CPI pop) 💥
• When: May 13, 2025, post-US CPI tone lifted risk; GBPUSD ~1.3226.
• Plan: Buy 1.3218 → 1.3242 after higher-low.
• Stop: 1.3208 (≈10 pips).
• Target: +24 pips.
Case study F — EURUSD scalp long (grind to 1.09) 🚀
• When: Mar 11, 2025, London morning; EURUSD nudged to 1.0890 / kissed 1.0900.
• Plan: Buy 1.0885 on retest.
• Stop: 1.0875 (≈10 pips).
• Target: 1.0905 (≈20 pips).
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🕘 Strategy 3 — London Range Breakout (Target: ~40 pips)
Setup 🧩
• Mark the Asian/Late-Asia range before 08:00 London.
• Trade the first clean break/close outside the box.
• Entry: stop order beyond the box high/low.
• Conservative stop: opposite side of the box or box size + buffer (≤40–50 pips).
• Take-profit: ~40 pips (scale at 20 pips).
Case study G — GBPUSD upside break (calm pre-CPI session) 📦➡️📈
• When: Mar 25, 2025, London a.m.; GBPUSD drifted toward 1.2950.
• Box: 05:00–08:00 London ~22 pips.
• Plan: Buy box high +3 pips (≈1.2953).
• Stop: 1.2930 (≈23 pips).
• Target: 1.2993 (≈40 pips).
Case study H — EURUSD downside break (trend day toward 1.09) 📦➡️📉
• When: May 12, 2025, EURUSD bias turned lower and eyed the 1.09 handle.
• Box: 05:00–08:00 London ~28 pips.
• Plan: Sell box low −3 pips (≈1.0978).
• Stop: 1.1008 (≈30 pips).
• Target: 1.0938 (≈40 pips).
Case study I — GBPUSD downside break (inflation-week nerves) 📦➡️🔻
• When: Aug 12, 2025, London a.m.; GBPUSD softened from a two-week high.
• Box: 05:00–08:00 London ~24 pips.
• Plan: Sell box low −2 pips (≈1.3446).
• Stop: 1.3472 (≈26 pips).
• Target: 1.3406 (≈40 pips).
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🛡️ Risk Management (applies to all three)
• Risk small per trade (e.g., 0.5–1%).
• Stops beyond structure: previous swing/box edge or ATR-based to avoid noise.
• News filter: avoid fresh entries seconds before major economic data.
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🧰 Quick Checklists
Swing reversal (4H) ✅
🎯 Level picked • 📉 Reversal signal • 🛑 Stop beyond swing/ATR • 📐 ≥1.8R • 📰 No imminent shock
Scalp (1–5m) ✅
⏱️ Active session • 🔍 Micro S/R & round numbers • 🛑 8–15 pip stop • 🎯 20–40 pips • ✂️ Partial at +10–15
London breakout ✅
🕗 Box 05:00–08:00 • 📦 Reasonable width • 🚀 First break/close • 🛑 Stop other side • 🎯 ≈40 pips
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⚠️ Final word
These examples show how setups map onto real market context. Adapt entries/levels to your feed and spreads. Nothing here is financial advice—test and size appropriately.
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Watching for a Pullback Entry on EUROFOREXCOM:EURUSD
🇪🇺💶 The euro remains under pressure, with EUR/USD hovering near a two-week low. Investors are cautious ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, which is widely expected to provide new insights into the central bank’s policy direction. 📉 Market participants are holding back from major moves until they hear whether Powell will strike a hawkish or dovish tone.
⚖️ Traders are specifically looking for clarity on the future path of U.S. interest rates. Concerns are growing that Powell could push back against expectations for an imminent rate cut, which would reinforce dollar strength and weigh further on the euro. 💵✨ A more hawkish message could extend EUR/USD weakness, while any dovish hints may allow the pair to rebound from current lows.
🇪🇺💶The euro slipped to a two-week low versus the dollar, testing the 50-day EMA after hawkish comments from Fed officials.
Great trading day everyone! What is your opinion about EURO today?
EURUSD: Will Sellers Take Control? Moment Of Truth!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 18 - 22nd.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD
The EURUSD is at a point in the uptrend it has been on since January where there is some
strong resistance.
July was a very bearish month, but August has corrected about 80% of the move, the last line on a fib retracement. It could keep going higher, of course. Or it could do what it has done the last two time the HTF swing highs reached these levels... turn around.
Wait for the market to decide, which should happen early during next week. Then look for valid entries.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURAUD is Nearing a Strong Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURAUD for a buying opportunity around 1.78900 zone, EURAUD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.78900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCHF - the little up & than down. Forming of Triangle.Right now, on market it is more predictable to be again bear movements!
The Elliot wave analysis shows as the price may go down again.
For them who is looking for entering sell, here we have two places for it.
First, it's when the price will touch resistance diagonal line. (Light-green colored).
The second place is after the price will enter that main resistance area.
Thx,
have a profitable day!
EURUSD (Daily)EUR/USD Daily Chart shows a clear bullish trend, with demand consistently supporting higher prices. The most probable scenario is a breakout above 1.2000, targeting 1.2202. This aligns perfectly with your DXY analysis, where further USD weakness supports Euro strength.
🔎 Chart Context
• Pair: EUR/USD
• Broker: FXCM
• Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
• Date: 19 August 2025
This chart shows the Euro’s performance against the US Dollar. Since EUR/USD is strongly inversely correlated with the DXY, this analysis complements the DXY bearish outlook.
📊 Key Observations
1. Macro Trend
• EUR/USD bottomed near 1.0200 earlier in 2025.
• Since then, price has established a strong bullish uptrend, breaking through multiple resistance levels.
• Current structure shows higher highs and higher lows, confirming a bullish market bias.
2. Support & Demand Zones
• Key demand zone around 1.1100 – 1.1200, previously a resistance-turned-support.
• A well-defined S/D (supply → demand flip) is visible, showing institutional accumulation.
• Price respected this area on multiple retests, suggesting strong bullish interest.
3. Resistance Zones
• 1.2000: Psychological resistance and liquidity pool.
• 1.2202: Next major projected upside target, marked on the chart.
• Price is consolidating below 1.2000, building energy for a potential breakout.
4. Liquidity Behavior
• Market has absorbed sellers around 1.1600–1.1700, pushing into higher levels.
• Liquidity likely rests above 1.2000, where stop orders are clustered.
• If price clears this, a sweep toward 1.2202 becomes very probable.
5. Projected Path
• Chart projection suggests a bullish continuation:
• Short-term pullback → retest of demand zone (around 1.1600–1.1700).
• Then breakout above 1.2000.
• Final move toward 1.2202 liquidity zone.
📈 Bullish Case (Higher Probability)
• Structure strongly favors bulls.
• Scenario:
• If EUR/USD sustains above 1.1600 demand, breakout above 1.2000 is expected.
• Target 1: 1.2000 (psychological & liquidity).
• Target 2: 1.2202 (projected liquidity sweep).
• This aligns with DXY bearish outlook (as seen in your previous chart).
📉 Bearish Case (Low Probability, Countertrend)
• Only valid if price breaks back below 1.1100 demand zone.
• Downside targets:
• 1.0800 (structural support).
• 1.0500 (deep retracement).
• This would require a sudden USD strength revival, which contradicts current DXY projection.
⚡ Trading Plan
• Long Setup (Preferred):
• Entry: Pullbacks into 1.1600–1.1700 demand zone.
• TP1: 1.2000
• TP2: 1.2202
• Stop-loss: Below 1.1100
• Short Setup (Risky, Countertrend):
• Entry: At 1.2000 liquidity zone if price rejects strongly.
• TP: 1.1600
• Stop: Above 1.2202
EURUSD 4H Golden Cross kickstarting the next bullish phase.The EURUSD pair just formed its first 4H Golden Cross since May 29. Similar to that formation, this is taking place as the new Bullish Leg of the 4-month Channel Up has already started, following a bottom rebound near its 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
In similar fashion as that sequence, we expect it to reach at least the 1.1 Fibonacci extension on the short-term, which sits at 1.18750. If you're looking for an even higher extension, a +5.11% rise at 1.19700 is possible (also based on he previous Bullish Leg).
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EURNZD Bearish Shark Follow-UpFrom my previous post regarding potential Bearish Shark forming on the EURNZD (see Related Publications ->) a shooting star pattern might be forming right around the 1.97500 level. I usually don't trade candlestick patterns, but will look for a handful of certain ones around areas of fib confluence, S/R, S/D, and divergence. The Kiwi is weak relative to all other currencies, but I think the Euro is exhausted. Nevertheless, I would not be surprised if bulls make another exhausted push up towards 1.98500.
Currently short at 1.9755
EUR: COT Data Indicates Dollar ResilienceThe EURUSD pair closed the previous week with a bullish weekly candle, positioned within the bounds of a significant two-week-old bearish candle. This pattern suggests a potential pause or consolidation phase after a strong downtrend, but traders should remain cautious as the overall trend still bears the mark of the larger bearish candle.
Recent COT (Commitment of Traders) data provides additional insights into market sentiment. Retail traders have increased their long positions, indicating a more bullish outlook among individual traders. Conversely, both commercial and non-commercial traders are shifting towards bearish positions, signaling a potential underlying strength in the US dollar and a cautious stance among large market participants.
Given these dynamics, there is a high probability that the EURUSD may retest the recent daily supply zone, which has already been touched during the week. If the price moves down from this level, it could signal a continuation of the overall bearish trend, especially considering the COT data's favor towards dollar strength.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Do you see a potential reversal, or will the bullish weekly candle lead to further upside?
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EURUSD🔹The price has declined after hitting the important area in the 4-hour time frame
🔸It is now in the important area, which is suitable for high-risk people to sell
🔹In case of consolidation above this area, if the price returns to the demand area (blue area), it will be suitable for entering a sell transaction
🔸If there is no consolidation and confirmation by the candlestick, you can sell for lower targets
#eurusd #euros
Euro may reach seller zone and then start to decline to 1.1600Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The historical price action for the Euro began with a period of contracting volatility, where the market consolidated within a triangle formation. A decisive breakout from this triangle unleashed a strong upward impulse, which marked a shift into the current market environment characterised by expanding volatility. This new phase is captured by a large broadening wedge, which has since been defining the trading range between the major buyer zone around 1.1450 and a significant seller zone near the 1.1740 resistance. After a powerful impulse down from the top of this wedge was absorbed by the buyer zone, the asset has entered a corrective rally back towards the upper boundary. Currently, the price is approaching this critical confluence of resistance. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on the expectation that the seller zone will once again cap the rally. A confirmed rejection from this area would validate the integrity of the broadening pattern and suggest that another major downward rotation is imminent. Therefore, the TP for this anticipated decline is logically placed at the 1.1600 points, representing a key area of prior price interaction and a prudent first objective. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP **RISK MANAGEMENT **This chart illustrates a **Supply and Demand** setup on the EUR/USD daily timeframe.
-Supply Zone (Red Area)**: Price previously dropped sharply from this zone (around 1.1713–1.1796), showing strong selling pressure.
-BOS (Break of Structure)**: The market broke a key support level, confirming bearish intent.
-Entry**: Price retraced back into the supply zone, offering a short-selling opportunity.
* **Targets**:
-TP1** at \~1.1500 (first liquidity pool / minor demand)
-TP2** at \~1.1400 (major demand zone)