SHORT ON EUR/JPYEJ has formed bearish divergence at a major supply area.
I will be selling EJ to the previous swing low looking to make 150-200 pips
Euro
EURUSD could target 1.0300 if this level breaks.The EURUSD pair has been trading within an 11-year Channel Down and has found itself on a 2-month pull-back currently ever since the September 17 2025 market High.
Technically that was a Lower High for this long-term pattern and was formed while the 1W RSI has been on Lower Highs, against the price's Higher Highs, which is a huge Bearish Divergence.
This is the same kind of divergence that was present during the Channel's last two Lower Highs in January 2021 and February 2018. Both tops initiated Bearish Legs that got confirmed when the price broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
On both occasions, the price hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the Channel Down, declining by at least -15.25%.
As a result, if the 1W MA50 breaks again, being the market's last Support, we expect EURUSD to target at least 1.0300.
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EURUSD stalls below trendline — bears eye support!Hello, Traders! It's Leo. Are you ready for new sessions of EURUSD?
The pair remains capped under a descending trendline, confirming ongoing bearish control.
Resistance Zone: 1.1570–1.1600 area continues to reject upside attempts.
Targets: Short-term focus toward 1.1489 and 1.1469 — key support zones for potential reaction.
Structure: EURUSD struggles to break above the 1.1570 resistance, staying aligned with its broader downtrend.
Scenario: A failure to hold near the trendline could invite renewed selling pressure, pushing the pair back toward the 1.1490 zone as traders await fresh U.S. CPI data this week.
Sellers still have the upper hand — will this rejection extend lower, or can bulls defend the support zone again?
💬 Drop your thoughts below — do you see a short-term bounce or further weakness ahead?
EURUSD Long: Bullish Correction Toward 1.16100 ResistanceHello traders! EURUSD is showing signs of recovery after an extended period of bearish movement inside a descending channel, where sellers controlled the market structure. After several failed attempts to break above the upper boundary, the price has formed a Pivot Point near the Demand Zone around 1.15300, a level where buyers have previously shown strong reaction.
Currently, a rising Demand Line now supports the bullish correction, helping price break out of the descending channel to the upside. The pair is currently moving toward the Supply Zone located at 1.15900–1.16100, which aligns with a key resistance level that previously triggered reversals.For now, the 1.15300 area remains the critical support for buyers.
I expect, holding above this level may allow EURUSD to continue pushing toward the 1.16100 resistance. However, any bearish rejection pattern in the 1.15900–1.16100 zone would signal a potential pullback toward the Demand Line or a retest of 1.15300. On the other hand, a confirmed break and close above 1.16100 would indicate a possible shift toward a medium-term bullish structure. Manage your risk!
EUR/USD: Bearish Setup Confirmed After Head and Shoulders BreaksHi guys!
The chart shows a Three Drives pattern followed by a Head and Shoulders formation, both signaling potential bearish continuation.
The Three Drives Pattern:
The price completed three consecutive bullish drives, each showing signs of exhaustion. This structure often indicates a weakening uptrend and prepares the ground for a larger reversal.
The Head and Shoulders Pattern:
After the third drive, the market formed a clear head and shoulders structure, confirming distribution at the top. The neckline has already been broken, suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Current Structure and Expectation:
Price is now retesting the neckline area after the breakdown. A rejection from this level would likely trigger a deeper decline toward the highlighted target zone, which aligns with previous demand and the flip area.
Target:
The projected target of the head and shoulders pattern falls near 1.12500, matching the lower pink zone on the chart.
In summary, unless the market decisively reclaims the neckline and trendline support, EUR/USD remains biased to the downside, with the 1.1250 area as the next key level to watch.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Bulls Aim for Recovery Toward 1.1580 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD has recently shown signs of recovery after bouncing from the key 1.1480–1.1500 Support Zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the Support Structure highlighted on the chart. This area has acted as a strong Buyer Zone multiple times in the past, and once again, price reacted with a clear bullish impulse, indicating active accumulation from buyers.
Recently, before the rebound, EURUSD was moving inside a Downward Channel, with several fake breakouts that illustrated weakening bearish pressure and lack of continuation from sellers. Eventually, price broke above the downward resistance line, signaling a structural shift away from bearish momentum. Following the breakout, EURUSD began forming higher highs and higher lows, confirming the start of a short-term bullish structure. The pair is now trading above the breakout area and approaching the 1.1580 Resistance Zone, which previously acted as a strong Sell Zone and pivot level. If buyers maintain control above the Support Zone, the bullish scenario remains favorable, suggesting a continued recovery move.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my perspective, as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1480–1.1500 Support Zone, the bullish setup remains valid. I expect price to continue moving upward toward the 1.1580 Resistance Level as the next key target. A confirmed breakout and hold above 1.1580 would likely open the path for further bullish continuation, potentially targeting 1.1650 and beyond in the medium term.
However, if EURUSD fails to hold above 1.1480 and breaks back below support, this would invalidate the bullish structure and could send price towards lower levels before any new recovery attempt develops. For now, the structure favors buyers, and I will be looking for pullback-based long entries while price remains above support.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD – Bullish Bias After Daily BPR & SMT ConfirmationHello traders,
On the 2-hour timeframe, EURUSD has reached the Daily Balanced Price Range (BPR) and reacted bullishly.
We also have a clear SMT divergence with GBPUSD at the lows, providing strong confluence for a bullish outlook on EURUSD.
At the moment, price is trading inside a 2H supply zone (1.15116 – 1.15338).
If the market can break above this supply zone and show acceptance, we can anticipate continuation toward higher levels.
📌 Upside Targets:
• 1.15415
• 1.15687
• 1.15800
I will stay bullish as long as the draw on liquidity remains to the upside.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
BTCUSD Short: Bearish Rejection Targeting $100.6K Support ZoneHello traders! Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel, reflecting sustained bearish pressure after the rejection from the $116,000 Supply Zone. The market previously experienced a Fibonacci Arc retracement followed by a strong sell-off, signaling exhaustion from buyers and the formation of a broader corrective structure.
Currently, we have seen multiple fake breakouts on both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel, suggesting that liquidity sweeps are actively influencing volatility. Notably, price recently tapped the major Demand Zone around $100,600, a level that has historically triggered strong reactions. The sharp wick and immediate recovery from this support indicate buyer accumulation and defense of the zone. A short-term pivot point has now formed near $103,500–$104,000, marking a key decision area. If buyers hold above the $100,600–$101,000 support, a corrective move toward the upper channel boundary becomes increasingly likely.
I expect Bitcoin to retest the $103,500–$105,000 Pivot Resistance Zone, which aligns with the mid-channel level and previous breakout point. If price shows rejection in this region — such as bearish candlestick patterns or weakening momentum — it would provide a favorable entry point for short positions. A break and hold below $100,600 would strengthen bearish momentum and may trigger a continuation toward $98,000. However, if the price breaks and closes above $105,200, the short setup becomes invalid, as this would signal a potential shift in structure and a move toward $110,000. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Long: Rebound Setup Targeting 1.1560 Pivot ResistanceHello traders! EURUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined descending channel, maintaining a consistent bearish structure characterized by lower highs and lower lows. The recent rejection from the 1.1660 Supply Zone once again confirmed strong seller presence at that level. Additionally, the fake breakout above the channel resistance further highlighted the inability of buyers to shift the market structure.
Currently, price continued moving lower and is now testing the 1.1475–1.1500 Demand Zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel. This area has previously acted as a reaction zone, meaning buyers have shown interest here before. The recent candle structure suggests that bears are slowing down near the demand area, indicating potential for a corrective pullback rather than immediate continuation downward.
In my opinion, If buyers manage to defend the 1.1475 Demand Zone, we could see a short-term bullish rebound toward the 1.1560 Pivot Resistance. This creates a favorable area for short-term long positions aiming for corrective upside movement. However, if sellers break below 1.1475 and price closes beneath the demand line, this would signal continuation of the primary bearish trend, opening the path toward lower levels around 1.1420–1.1380. For now, as long as price holds above the demand zone, a corrective rebound remains the more probable scenario. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Holds Key Support — Potential Recovery Toward 1.1540Hello traders, I’d like to share my view on EURUSD. The market has been trading in a consistent downtrend, respecting the descending Resistance Line, which has acted as a strong dynamic barrier for price throughout the recent move. Each attempt to break above this trendline resulted in either a turnaround or a fake breakout, confirming continued bearish pressure. However, recently price has reached an important Buyer Zone near 1.1480, where strong reaction has been seen several times in the past. This area aligns with horizontal support, increasing its significance. After touching the buyer zone again, EURUSD has shown initial signs of accumulation and early bullish momentum. Currently, the price is attempting to recover from this demand area, forming a breakout above the short-term Support Line — which now potentially flips into bullish structure. From here, I expect EURUSD to attempt a move toward the next resistance area around 1.1540, which represents the nearest Resistance Level. A confirmed breakout above this zone would open the path toward the higher Seller Zone around 1.1660, where previous fake breakouts occurred. But for now, the key confirmation will be whether the price holds above 1.1480 Buyer Zone. A breakdown below the zone would invalidate the bullish setup and likely continue the downtrend. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD: Rebound Phase Developing From 1.1510 Support ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD has been forming a complex market structure, transitioning through several distinct phases. Initially, the pair traded within a Range Zone, showing indecision between buyers and sellers. A strong bullish breakout from the range led to the creation of an Upward Channel, where buyers maintained momentum until the price reached the 1.1660 Resistance Zone. This level acted as a significant supply area, resulting in multiple rejection points and eventually a bearish breakout from the channel.
Recently, EURUSD began consolidating in a Descending Triangle Pattern, with the Triangle Resistance Line serving as a dynamic barrier against bullish attempts and the Triangle Support Line acting as a demand zone. Currently, the pair is testing this support zone around 1.1500–1.1480, which has already provided several short-term rebounds. A clear break below this area could confirm a continuation of the bearish structure, potentially pushing price lower toward 1.1450 and even 1.1400. On the other hand, a rebound from the support line with strong bullish momentum could signal the beginning of a reversal move, targeting the resistance levels at 1.1530–1.1540.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my perspective, EURUSD sits at a pivotal technical point. If the Triangle Support Line continues to hold, I expect a bullish breakout attempt above the triangle’s resistance, confirming a possible trend reversal toward higher levels. Short-term traders could look for long entries near the 1.1500 support zone with tight stop-losses below 1.1480, aiming for a retest of 1.1530–1.1540. However, if the pair breaks and closes below 1.1480, it would invalidate the bullish scenario and likely trigger renewed selling pressure toward 1.1450–1.1400. For now, I remain cautiously bullish, expecting a potential rebound from the support base before a decisive move unfolds.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Euro continued Weakness Points to 1.1480 RetestHello traders, I’d like to share my view on EURUSD. The current market structure shows a clear bearish momentum, with the pair consistently forming lower highs and lower lows inside a well-defined descending channel. The rejection from the 1.1660 Resistance Zone — which coincides with a strong Seller Zone — marked the beginning of a sustained downtrend. After a fake breakout attempt above the resistance, the market quickly reversed and continued to decline, confirming that sellers remain in control. The pair is now trading close to the Buyer Zone, which aligns with the Support Level around 1.1500–1.1480. This area has historically acted as a key demand region, making it crucial for the next price reaction. At the moment, EURUSD is respecting both the Resistance Line and the Support Line within the channel, showing the continuation of the bearish cycle. My primary scenario anticipates a potential short-term pullback toward the upper boundary of the channel (around 1.1560–1.1580) before another bearish impulse develops toward TP1 at 1.1480. However, a confirmed breakout above 1.1600 could invalidate this bearish setup and open the way for a broader correction toward the 1.1660 Resistance Level. Until then, the trend remains bearish, and I favor short opportunities targeting 1.1480 as the next key level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro on the DeclineThe recent decline in Euro futures is fundamentally driven by the widening monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, combined with sustained U.S. Dollar strength. While both central banks have battled inflation, the Fed is largely perceived as maintaining a "higher-for-longer" interest rate environment to ensure price stability, keeping U.S. bond yields attractive to global investors. In contrast, the ECB is seen as nearing the end of its tightening cycle or being closer to initiating cuts due to persistent Eurozone economic stagnation and inflation moving closer to its 2% target. This disparity in interest rates makes the U.S. Dollar the preferred currency for carry trades and capital parking, putting constant downward pressure on the value of the Euro against the greenback.
This trend reflects a fundamental "two-speed economy" problem: a resilient U.S. economy on one side versus a struggling Eurozone on the other. This dynamic not only creates a yield advantage for the dollar but also reinforces its status as the global safe-haven currency. When global market uncertainty increases, investors rush into the USD, causing the Euro futures price to fall. Until there is a dramatic change in economic data—either a sharp deterioration in the U.S. or a significant rebound in the Eurozone—the structural headwind from this interest rate gap will likely continue to make the Euro futures contract vulnerable to downward moves.
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
EURUSD 1M MA200 rejection kickstarted 1 year Bear Cycle.The EURUSD pair is currently on its 2nd straight red 1M candle following September's rejection near the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). That level is of the utmost importance as since January 2018 it has kickstarted the last two major Bearish Legs of the 10-year Channel Down.
Both of those legs hit at least the Channel's 0.618 Fibonacci level and on a remarkable display of symmetry, their candles that hit that level completed a -15.25% decline from their respective tops.
As a result, we expect 2026 to be a new Bearish Leg that will could hit at least 1.0300 upon making contact with the 0.618 Fib.
Notice also the excellent Support and Resistance Zones of the 1M RSI. The market hit the Resistance Zone on June's High and since then it's been declining on a Bearish Divergence. Both previous Channel Down tops have been priced when the 1M RSI hit and got rejected on this Resistance Zone.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EURUSD Short: Sellers Targeting Move Toward 1.1480 SupportHello traders! EURUSD continues to move within a clear bearish structure after facing strong rejection from the 1.1660 Supply Zone. The pair recently formed a Pivot Point at the top of the Ascending Channel, where a Fake Breakout signaled exhaustion among buyers and triggered renewed selling pressure.After breaking below the Ascending Channel, EURUSD established a new Descending Channel, confirming that sellers have regained momentum. The Supply Line has been well-respected, with each pullback offering another opportunity for sellers to enter the market.
Currently, the price is hovering near the Demand Line, around the 1.1520–1.1500 area, which coincides with a previous pivot zone. While a minor rebound from this level is possible, overall momentum remains bearish as long as price trades below the 1.1600–1.1660 Supply Zone.
From my perspective, EURUSD is likely to continue its downward move toward the 1.1480 Demand Level, aligning with the lower boundary of the current channel. A confirmed breakdown below 1.1480 could open the door for a deeper decline toward 1.1450. However, a strong bullish reaction from this area could lead to a temporary pullback toward 1.1560–1.1580 before the next leg lower. For now, I remain bearish on EURUSD, monitoring potential short setups from the upper channel boundary with a primary target near 1.1480. Manage your risk!
After a long pause, I'm backIt's been a minute since I've posted or traded. As it happens trading drew me back. Let's see the first position I've taken.
We've got ourselves a downtrend on euro-dollar since sep, and around the 1.15 area is my trade. Is it risky? Yes. But, I'll only give it 2-3 options to be able to break further down or need an extra super strong signal of bullish momentum to change my view.
Initial stop will be very close: 1.1545
First tp is @1.1454
RR is 1:2.
EURUSD: Bounce from Support Could Trigger Move Toward 1.1640Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD has been trading in a corrective phase after breaking down from the Upward Channel that previously guided its bullish movement. The pair formed a Range near the 1.1760 Resistance Area, showing consolidation before sellers regained control. Multiple Breakouts confirmed shifts in market structure — first to the upside within the channel, and later to the downside, signaling the transition from bullish to neutral-bearish momentum.
Recently, price found strong demand within the 1.1550–1.1560 Support Zone, which aligns with the Triangle Support Line. This level has been tested multiple times, acting as a significant pivot point for potential bullish reactions. The Triangle Resistance Line above continues to limit upward movement, forming a contracting structure that reflects growing pressure from both sides.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my view, EURUSD is currently setting up for a possible bullish rebound from the support zone near 1.1560. If buyers defend this level, the price could rise toward the Triangle Resistance Line around 1.1630–1.1640. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could open the way toward the key 1.1760 Resistance Zone, signaling a shift in sentiment back to bullish.
However, if the pair fails to hold above the Triangle Support Line, a breakdown could trigger a deeper decline toward 1.1500. For now, I maintain a short-term bullish bias, looking for long opportunities near support with clear confirmation signals.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Daily Outlook — Bearish Retracement Toward Sell-Side Liqu
On the monthly timeframe, EURUSD still holds a bullish target, but before the next major upward leg, I believe the market needs a retracement phase.
Looking at the daily timeframe, the structure currently supports a bearish bias. Price has been respecting bearish PD Arrays while failing to sustain bullish PD Arrays, suggesting that bearish order flow remains dominant for now.
In my view, we can expect the market to move downward toward the sell-side liquidity before any potential bullish continuation begins.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
Possiblity for euro successful choch This is my first FX analysis.
Dollar might lose some value against euro
This is not financial advice
DOYR
Just my personal speculation
Euro Finds Support — Correction Phase Targets 1.16340Hello traders! I’d like to share my view on the current EUR/USD market structure. After a strong bullish impulse within the ascending channel, the price faced rejection near the Resistance Level around 1.16600, where sellers stepped in, forming a clear turnaround structure. Following that, the pair entered a descending channel, confirming short-term bearish momentum. A breakout below the Resistance Level pushed the price back toward the Buyer Zone, located near the 1.16000 Support Level, where demand previously triggered a bullish correction. Currently, EUR/USD is trading inside a corrective structure just above support. The market has formed a potential reversal setup, suggesting a possible short-term recovery toward the TP1 target near 1.16340. However, as long as the price remains below the Seller Zone, bearish pressure is likely to persist, keeping the market in a consolidation phase. In my opinion, this movement represents a retracement within the broader range rather than the start of a new bullish trend. If the price successfully bounces from the Support Level and confirms higher lows, we may see renewed buying momentum. Otherwise, a breakdown below 1.16000 could open the way for deeper declines. This setup offers a clear short-term trading plan — bullish correction toward TP1, while monitoring reaction around the support area for a potential continuation or reversal signal. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Shorterm Forecast on 4hrsOn shorterm bases price reversed at 1.16 and is heading high. My target is at 1.1680 but I think it will touch 1.17 again and seems like it will go higher to 1.185. For now, price will not go to 1.15 as I initially thought (currently there are no indications of the reversal of uptrend on minor timeframes). Shortterm I had to change my stance for bullish on 4 hrs due to the price action which developed last week due to US CPI release and continued government shutdown in the USA.
However longterm, we will be reversing before 1.20. EURUSD tends to range a lot though. So it will stay in this area for a while.
Watch the minor downtrend (lower highs on daily). I think price is likely to violate the last lower high on daily.
FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY
EURUSD Long: Buyers Targeting a Move Toward 1.1670 ResistanceHello traders! EURUSD has recently shown a structural shift after forming a strong rejection from the Demand Zone near 1.1560, which also acted as a key pivot area. This reaction marked the end of the previous bearish phase inside the Descending Channel, leading to the formation of a new Ascending Channel — indicating the potential start of a medium-term recovery.
After the price reached the Supply Line, a fake breakout occurred around 1.1670, followed by a brief pullback to retest the lower boundary of the channel. This move trapped early sellers, and the quick rebound suggests that buyers are still active and defending the structure.
At the moment, EURUSD is trading around 1.1640, aiming for another test of the 1.1670 resistance zone, which aligns with both the supply line and the upper boundary of the channel. A successful breakout above this area could confirm bullish continuation, targeting higher levels. However, a strong rejection from this resistance might trigger another short-term correction back toward 1.1600–1.1580, where demand could once again reappear. Overall, the structure remains bullish-to-neutral in the short term, with 1.1670 acting as the critical breakout level to watch. Manage your risk!
EURUSD: Buyers Gaining Momentum Near Key Support ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD has been moving within a clear downward channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows over the past few weeks. Each attempt to break above the resistance line has resulted in a fake breakout, confirming that sellers have maintained control through most of this structure.
Recently, the pair found strong buyer support near 1.1550, a key support zone that has held multiple times in the past. After testing this level, the price bounced upward, breaking the channel’s upper boundary and forming a triangle structure — signaling that market momentum is shifting from bearish to corrective. Currently, EURUSD is testing the Triangle Resistance Line around 1.1670–1.1700, an important resistance area where previous rallies have stalled. The overall structure suggests that the market might face renewed selling pressure from this zone.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my perspective, EURUSD could see a short-term pullback from the resistance area before any potential breakout confirmation. A rejection here would likely push price back toward the Triangle Support Line or even the 1.1580–1.1550 support zone, where buyers could reenter.If, however, the pair manages to break and hold above 1.1700, it would indicate growing bullish momentum, possibly targeting 1.1750 — the top of the previous resistance area.
Until such confirmation appears, I expect a corrective move downward within the triangle formation as part of a broader consolidation phase.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
