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Eurusdneutral

EUR/USD 4H Technical Analysis: Breakout Confirmation & Next MoveOn the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/USD has successfully broken out of a long-term descending trendline. After the breakout, the pair made a retest, confirming bullish continuation. Currently price is slightly correcting downward but still holding above key support zones. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights 📌 1. Breakout From Downtrend The downward sloping trendline has been broken. Price retested the breakout area — confirming valid breakout. 📌 2. Moving Averages (SMA Support) SMA (9) remains above SMA (20) — showing short-term bullish momentum. Current correction is holding around SMA (20), acting as support. 📌 3. Higher Lows Forming Since mid-November, price has been forming higher lows. This pattern supports bullish continuation. 📊 Important Price Levels Zone Type Price Immediate Support 1.1600 SMA Support Zone 1.1625 Major Support 1.1500 Immediate Resistance 1.1680 Major Resistance 1.1750 🧭 Market Sentiment Bias remains bullish as long as: EUR/USD trades above 1.1600 No strong candle closes below SMA (20) 🎯 Potential Future Scenarios 📈 Bullish Scenario If price bounces from 1.1625 and breaks 1.1680: ➡️ Next Target: 1.1750 📉 Bearish Scenario If price drops below 1.1600: ➡️ Next Downside Target: 1.1500 Outlook Summary Trend Direction Confidence Bullish Uptrend Medium–Strong Frequently Asked Questions Q1: Should traders look for buying opportunities? Yes — above 1.1600, but with bullish confirmation. Q2: Where is short (sell) opportunity? Below 1.1600 (strong candle close preferred). Q3: Was the breakout fake? No. The breakout and retest confirm validity. 📌 Final Thoughts EUR/USD remains technically bullish. The breakout structure is healthy, moving averages support the trend, and the market may aim for 1.1750 if 1.1680 breaks.
Long
by forexinworld
Policy AnalysisFederal Reserve: Rising hawkish sentiment, reduced expectations for rate cuts but unchanged cycle - Officials intensively released hawkish signals: Dallas Fed President Logan explicitly stated against rate cuts in December, Bosick emphasized the need to base policy decisions on the latest data, Collins pointed out that the threshold for further rate cuts is extremely high, and the probability of rate cuts in December has dropped below 50% to 44.4%. - Long-term easing logic not broken: Despite the cooling of short-term rate cut expectations, the market still has the expectation of cumulative rate cuts of 100 basis points by 2026. The long-term trend of interest rate decline is irreversible, and the long-term interest rate spread advantage of the US dollar will continue to narrow.European Central Bank: Focus on stability, policy stability superior to that of the Federal Reserve - Adhering to the "wait-and-see" stance: Maintained the key interest rate at 2% for four consecutive times, officials' statements were cautious but no easing signals were released. Dekindos, although warning of tariff and sovereign debt risks, did not undermine the confidence in returning inflation to the target. - Potential for spread convergence: The 10-year US Treasury yield is currently 140.6 basis points higher than the German government bond yield, although still at a high level, it has slightly narrowed compared to the previous 137.7 basis points of the spread. As the long-term rate cuts of the Federal Reserve are implemented, the convergence of spreads will become the core driving force for the euro's upward movement. Trading Strategy for EUR/USD buy：1.15100-1.15200 tp:1.15800-1.16000 sl:1.14900
Long
by Thorne-
EURUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W39 | D24 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W39 | D24 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD: The range is compressing in the sideway zone. Waiting foThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays below 50 and EUR/USD failed to make a 4-hour close above the 20-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), reflecting a lack of buyer interest. On the downside, 1.1300 (static level) aligns as interim support before 1.1270-1.1260 (Fibonacci 238.2% retracement of the latest uptrend, 100-period SMA) and 1.1180 (Fibonacci 50% retracement). EUR/USD could face strong resistance at 1.1380, where the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level converge with the 20-period and 50-period SMAs. In case EUR/USD manages to stabilize above this resistance, 1.1450 (static level) and 1.1500 (static level, round level) could be seen as next hurdles.
Short
by xauusd_rr
#EURUSD: Our Last Trade Mitigated Early, Now Swing Trade Active?EURUSD, in our previous recommendation, advised everyone to sell swing trades. However, the price was mitigated by a narrow margin. The DXY index suggests further price growth in the coming weeks. Please ensure you manage your risk while trading. This is our concept only and does not guarantee the movements we’ve shown in our analysis. Therefore, please conduct your own analysis before taking any swing entry. Good luck and trade safely. Wishing you good luck and safe trading! Thank you for your support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Short
by Setupsfx_
4
EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.04500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.03500(swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1.07000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🔴Fundamental Analysis - The Eurozone's economic growth is expected to slow down, while the US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace. - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates steady, while the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its accommodative monetary policy. 🟤Macro Analysis - The Eurozone's inflation rate is expected to remain low, while the US inflation rate is expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target. - The Eurozone's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus, while the US trade balance is expected to remain in deficit. 🟠Sentimental Analysis - Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% of investors being bullish. - Hedge funds have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 12%. 🟣COT Analysis - The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 10%. - Non-commercial traders have also increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 15%. 🟡Trader Sentiment - Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 52% of traders being bullish. - Commercial banks have increased their EUR/USD holdings, with a growth rate of 5%. 🔵Bullish and Bearish Data: - Bullish Sentiment: Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% being bullish. Hedge funds have increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 12% - Bearish Sentiment: Asset managers are trimming their long exposure, and gross shorts are trending higher for large specs and asset managers since Q4 🟢Based on this analysis, the EUR/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 55% chance of an uptrend and a 35% chance of a downtrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by The-Thief
EURUSD: Last idea hit 286+ pips, now sell for sometime? Price is approaching a key selling zone where we expect price to reverse and make a small or major correction in price. This can be a good entry for intraday traders who are looking for a sell entry. Wait for price to show bearish sign before entering. Good luck and trade safe. Show some support by liking and commenting our ideas, if you want regular updates from us then do follow us. Thank you for the love in advance. ❤️
Short
by Setupsfx_
5
#EURUSD: 500+ Pips With Four Targets! Comment Your View! The EURUSD currency pair experienced a decline due to the robust bullish reversal of the DXY index, which ended a prolonged period of bearish dominance. Notably, the price exhibited an impulse pattern characterised by the absence of corrective movements. This pattern is generally viewed positively by traders seeking swing buy opportunities in the EURUSD market. It is important to recognise that such patterns are often influenced by fundamental factors rather than the volume of sell entries. Consequently, when these fundamental influences subside, the price tends to retrace and resume its original price trajectory. Regarding take profits, a strategy involving four distinct take profit levels is employed. This approach entails taking profits sequentially, with each successful take profit resulting in the closure of 25% of open positions and the subsequent setting of the next take profit level. It is crucial to emphasise that this analysis does not constitute financial advice, and individuals should conduct their own research and make informed decisions. The purpose of this educational chart is to provide insights into price movements and the underlying processes. Wishing you the best of luck and safe trading. Please feel free to express your appreciation by liking and commenting on this idea. Additionally, consider following for access to more valuable content. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
22
#EURUSD: 600+ PIPS Buying Chance Emerging! Good LuckFX:EURUSD Price in weekly timeframe shown us a clear price indication of what it could be heading towards. There are more than enough confirmations which helped us to analysis and predict the future price of EU. Although, there is a big chance that price may drop a bit further down due to FED involvement within the market tomorrow. However, we are confident enough that price will remain bullish for upcoming weeks. Good luck.
Long
by Setupsfx_
12