EUR/USD - Long BIAS Analysis EUR/USD Long Bias Analysis 💶📈
The price has recently swept significant liquidity levels, including the Previous Day’s Low (PDL), the prior Asian session low, and the London session low.
We also have previous Asia Low and London Low forming EQ Lows right above our POI.
This liquidity grab aligns with a key point of interest (POI), identified as an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the daily timeframe.
From this POI, we anticipate a bullish reaction, with price likely to rebound towards out draw on liquidity (DOL), targeting the London session high and an unfilled Sell-side Imbalance Buy-side Inefficiency (SIBI) on the H4 timeframe.
Eurusdsignal
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD reached the resistance line near 1.1727, aligning with the descending trendline from previous highs, signaling a potential rejection zone.
● A bearish reversal setup is forming after an extended rally, suggesting a corrective move toward 1.1696 and possibly 1.1650 if momentum fades.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The euro faces pressure amid renewed USD demand following stronger U.S. retail sales and hawkish Fed remarks.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 1.1727; objectives 1.1696–1.1650. Technical rejection and solid dollar fundamentals indicate a short-term bearish phase.
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EUR/USD Forecast - Bullish Reversal AnticipatedThe EUR/USD pair is anticipated to rebound from the unfilled daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) following a sweep of key swing lows, specifically, the previous Asia session low and London session low, both of which align with the previous day's low (PDL), forming equal lows.
This liquidity grab suggests potential for a bullish reversal. My near-term target is the next imbalance or an area where liquidity may have been engineered ,with London High forming EQ Highs on the buyside that can act as good DOL (draw on liquidity) as well.
Bias: Bullish for EUR/USD today.
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD rebounded from 1.1540 support and broke the short-term descending channel, suggesting early bullish momentum.
● The pair now targets 1.1650 and 1.1695, with higher lows confirming structure reversal within the broader rising channel.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The euro gains traction after dovish remarks from Fed officials weakened the dollar, while Eurozone industrial output stabilized.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 1.1610; targets 1.1650–1.1695. Technical breakout and easing dollar pressure support medium-term bullish continuation.
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EUR/USD Short BIAS - NY Session Outlook
As we head into the New York open, we anticipate potential price manipulation to the upside, targeting key liquidity pools at the Asian session high and London session high. These levels are prime draw-on-liquidity (DOL) areas where buy-side stops are likely resting, making them attractive for a pre-NY liquidity sweep.
Following a potential sweep of these highs, we expect a reversal towards sell-side liquidity, with clear downside targets including the Asian low, London low, and the previous day’s low (PDL). These levels form relatively equal lows, adding confluence as a strong DOL zone beneath current price.
Particularly, we have a 4-hour bullish imbalance (BISI) that remains unfilled. This imbalance aligns precisely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, marking the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone within the premium array. This confluence strengthens the case for a short setup from that level, suggesting institutional intent and a potential distribution phase.
Taking all of these factors into consideration : liquidity engineering, session timing, equal lows as downside targets, and the alignment of the H4 BISI with the 0.618 OTE , we maintain a bearish bias on EUR/USD for the New York session, anticipating a high-probability short opportunity once liquidity above intra-day highs is taken.
DeGRAM | EURUSD is preparing for a reabound📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD is bouncing from 1.1550 support within a descending channel, indicating early signs of bullish recovery.
● A break above 1.1566 could trigger momentum toward 1.1586–1.1605, confirming short-term reversal as the pair forms higher lows on the intraday chart.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The euro gains modest support from upbeat Eurozone industrial output, while the dollar softens slightly after mixed U.S. inflation data.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 1.1550; targets 1.1586–1.1605. Price structure favors a corrective rebound amid cooling dollar demand.
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EURUSD Bears Still in Control – Rallies Are for SellingAs I explained before, my bias on EURUSD is bearish.
In yesterday’s DXY analysis, I mentioned that as long as the 98.60 zone remains intact, the U.S. Dollar Index has high chances to extend its rise toward 100.00.
That scenario is playing out perfectly so far.
Yesterday, EURUSD erased the entire Friday’s up move, falling back to its local support area. This type of reversal structure is typically seen in weak markets — when bullish attempts are quickly negated by strong selling pressure.
From a technical standpoint, this is very bearish price action. The market keeps testing the same support level without any meaningful bounce, which usually leads to a breakdown rather than a reversal.
My strategy remains unchanged:
• Bias: Bearish
• Plan: Sell rallies
• Short-term view: Pressure remains on the downside
• Medium-term target: 1.1400, with respect for the 1.1500 psychological level
As long as DXY holds above 98.60, EURUSD should remain under pressure. The pair might consolidate briefly, but the broader structure still points lower.
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD rebounded from 1.1544 support within the rising channel, forming a higher low that signals potential continuation toward 1.1695.
● A break above 1.1615 would confirm bullish control, supported by strong reaction from the support line and the shift in short-term momentum.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The euro gains traction as U.S. yields retreat and ECB members emphasize stable policy, while market risk appetite slightly improves.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 1.1544; targets 1.1615–1.1695. The bullish rebound aligns with improving euro sentiment and weakening dollar strength.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD rebounded from the 1.1544 support, forming a short-term reversal within the broader descending channel. A break above 1.1615 could trigger an advance toward the 1.1695 resistance zone.
● The structure suggests early accumulation after a prolonged decline, with bullish divergence visible on lower timeframes supporting the corrective push.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The euro gains support as softer U.S. inflation expectations weigh on the dollar, while ECB officials maintain a neutral stance on future rate adjustments.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 1.1544; targets 1.1615–1.1695. Technical recovery aligns with easing U.S. dollar strength.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD is declining within the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD has confirmed a breakout below 1.1650, leaving the rising channel and signaling a bearish continuation. Price action shows lower highs and a clean rejection from the resistance line, with sellers now controlling momentum.
● The next downside targets lie at 1.1615 and 1.1535, aligning with the broader descending channel support zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Weak euro sentiment persists as soft Eurozone PMI data contrasts with strong U.S. employment and inflation indicators, boosting dollar demand.
✨ Summary
● Bearish bias below 1.1650, targeting 1.1615 and 1.1535. Technical breakout and macro fundamentals align for further downside pressure.
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EURUSD – Support Tested, More Downside ProbableIn my previous EURUSD analysis, I mentioned that there was a strong chance of a break below the 1.17 support zone, targeting 1.16 initially — and possibly even lower to 1.15.
The pair followed the plan perfectly, dropping to 1.16 as expected and currently trading just above this key level.
My outlook remains unchanged: while a short-term rebound from support is possible, it should be seen as a selling opportunity, not a trend reversal. The broader structure still favors further downside.
📊 Resistance: 1.17
📉 Bias: Bearish continuation remains likely
DeGRAM | EURUSD is preparing to a breakout📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD is trading inside a descending channel, facing repeated rejections from the resistance line near 1.1717. A confirmed breakdown below 1.1683 would open the way toward 1.1646 and possibly 1.1614 as the next downside objectives.
● The lower highs pattern highlights bearish momentum, while support tests indicate fading demand within the mid-channel zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The euro weakened as the dollar strengthened amid firm U.S. economic data and hawkish Fed comments, while the ECB remains cautious on rate adjustments, maintaining policy divergence pressure.
✨ Summary
● Bearish continuation favored below 1.1683, targeting 1.1646–1.1614, with descending channel structure and fundamental backdrop supporting further downside.
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EURUSD Analysis – The Calm Before the BreakIf we exclude the sharp spike down from early August and the spike up in mid-September, EURUSD has been stuck in a sideways range for nearly three months, between 1.1600 and 1.1800 — quite a narrow band, even for such a stable pair.
In the past week, this consolidation has tightened even more, with price action trapped inside a mere 50-pip range between 1.1710 and 1.1760.
This kind of prolonged congestion usually ends with only one possible scenario — a breakout.
• Upside scenario:
A clean break above 1.1760 could trigger momentum buying, opening the way for a move toward the 1.1900 spike high.
• Downside scenario:
A decisive drop below 1.1710 would likely confirm a continuation to the downside, with 1.1500 emerging as the natural target zone.
At the moment, I’m out of the market, but my bias leans toward the downside — patiently waiting for the stars to align before taking action. 🌘
No change in EURUSDThe EURUSD movement remains in line with the expected scenario.
It is holding above 1,1700, and we continue to watch for the formation of a higher low.
Such a setup would confirm buying opportunities and the potential resumption of the uptrend.
The main focus remains on Friday’s NFP release, which could trigger stronger moves.
EURUSD possible bearish for 1.1620 & 1.1590#eurusd 17th September a daily key reversal bar, made a new high closed off the low with heavy volume. 1.1797-1.1820 daily supply zone for another leg lower for impulsive move. 1.1745-55 4h supply zone, but preferable is daily/bigger time frame supply zone to short. anyhow may take small bit of risk from 1.1745 with sl 1.1765. if 4h supply zone fails then selling from 1.1797-1.1820 is more secure, low risk & high reward trade setup. stop loss: 1.1830, target: 1.1620
DeGRAM | EURUSD broke up the descending channel📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD rebounded from 1.1660 support and is testing the descending channel’s upper boundary.
● A breakout above 1.1750 could trigger momentum toward 1.1820, with 1.1659 as key downside invalidation.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Dollar weakness persists as markets anticipate softer U.S. inflation data, while euro strength is supported by improved Eurozone consumer sentiment.
✨ Summary
EUR/USD targets 1.1750–1.1820 after rebounding from 1.1660 support. A breakout signals bullish continuation, while a drop below 1.1659 invalidates the setup.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD will retest the support level📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD is rebounding from 1.1660 support, showing a potential reversal pattern within the broader ascending channel.
● A break above 1.1729 would confirm bullish continuation toward 1.1780, aligning with previous resistance levels.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Euro gains support from easing U.S. dollar demand after dovish Fed comments, while strong Eurozone PMI data underpins bullish momentum.
✨ Summary
EUR/USD defends 1.1660 support, eyeing 1.1729 breakout and 1.1780 as the next target. Medium-term outlook favors continuation of the uptrend.
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Potential Long EntryPrior Trend: The price action from September 16th to around September 22nd shows a period of upward movement followed by a sharp drop.
Channel/Pattern: A downward-sloping channel (sometimes called a parallel channel or a descending channel) has been drawn, indicating that the price has been consolidating and moving lower within a defined range since the major drop around September 22nd. This suggests a short-term bearish (downward) trend or a correction within a larger trend.
The Proposed Trade Setup (Long Position)
The rectangular box and lines drawn on the right represent a specific trade plan, likely a long (buy) entry based on a technical reversal or a break of the channel.
Element Price Level (Approx.) Interpretation
Entry (Yellow Box) 1.16257 to 1.16489 This is the proposed buy zone. It suggests entering a long trade if the price either pulls back into this area or stabilizes here.
Stop Loss (Red Line/Box) 1.16259 (or just below 1.16257) This is the maximum loss limit. If the price falls to this level, the trade would be closed to prevent further losses. This stop loss is placed very close to the entry, indicating a high-risk/high-reward or aggressive setup.
Take Profit (Upper Black/Yellow Line) 1.18553 to 1.18560 This is the target price. The goal is for the price to reach this level, which would be a significant move back toward the highs seen mid-September.
Export to Sheets
Technical Interpretation of the Setup
Potential Reversal Signal: The price has recently broken the upper boundary of the descending channel (seen with the small red and green candles on the 26th and 27th). The dashed white line inside the channel may represent the channel's midpoint, and the price is now moving above the lower half.
Trade Idea: The small red/purple lines drawn near the current price suggest a possible short-term pullback back into the buy zone (1.16257−1.16489) before a major move upward (the large red line). This is a common strategy: wait for a retest of a broken resistance (the channel top, which now acts as support) before entering.
Risk/Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss is very small compared to the distance to the take profit.
Risk: ≈23 pips (1.16489−1.16259).
Reward: ≈206 pips (1.18553−1.16489).
This gives a very attractive Risk/Reward Ratio of over 8:1 (Reward / Risk), which is excellent if the trade works out.
Key Considerations
Aggressive Stop Loss: The stop loss is extremely tight. A small fluctuation or "noise" in the market could trigger the stop loss, leading to a loss even if the price eventually moves up toward the target.
Target: The Take Profit target at ∼1.18560 is quite ambitious and represents a complete retracement of the recent sell-off. For this target to be reached, a significant shift in market sentiment or a major fundamental driver (like a news announcement) would likely be required.
Trend Confirmation: For this trade to be successful, the price needs to confirm that the downward channel is definitively broken and that a new upward trend is beginning.
In summary, the chart outlines a high-conviction, high-risk/high-reward long trade based on a potential breakout and reversal from a short-term descending channel.
EUR/USD Bearish Channel Trade Setup – Short from 1.1764 to 1.1601. Trend
Price is moving inside a descending channel (bearish trend).
Lower highs and lower lows confirm bearish momentum.
2. Entry Point
Marked around 1.17636 – 1.17644 zone (near channel midline).
The plan is to sell after a small pullback into resistance.
3. Stop Loss
Placed at 1.18065 – 1.18080, above recent highs & outside the channel.
This protects against a bullish breakout.
4. Target Point
Set at 1.16009 – 1.16059, which aligns with the lower channel boundary.
This gives a good risk-reward setup (around 1:3+ R/R).
5. Strategy Outlook
Bearish setup → Sell on pullback into resistance.
As long as price stays under 1.1800, bears have control.
If price breaks and closes above 1.1810, setup becomes invalid (possible trend reversal).
✅ Summary:
This is a short/sell trade idea within a bearish channel. Entry at 1.1764 zone, stop above 1.1808, and target at 1.1600. Strong risk-to-reward, but only valid while EUR/USD remains under 1.1810
EURUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W39 | D23 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W39 | D23 | Y25|
📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:EURUSD
DeGRAM | EURUSD is testing the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD is consolidating above the key 1.1680–1.1700 support zone, holding within a rising wedge formation.
● Price is positioned to rebound toward 1.1916 resistance, with trendline support underpinning the bullish structure.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Dollar softness persists as markets expect a dovish Fed tone, while Euro gains traction from resilient Eurozone PMI data, supporting upside continuation.
✨ Summary
EUR/USD holds above 1.1700 support with bullish momentum targeting 1.1916, supported by technical structure and favorable macro sentiment.
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