EURUSD Analysis for a Positional Trade with amazing Reward
We have a Fresh Weekly Demand and a Fresh Weekly Supply areas formed,
Now Price has just reacted to the Weekly Demand and post a Confirmation in lower timeframes in the Upward direction(In the direction of the Trend), we will buy with a defined risk.
We see that the previous High is violated and a potential 4H Demand has formed, now there are two possibilities either this 4H Demand will take the price till its Weekly Supply in the opposite or this 4H Demand will be violated. Lets check the Reward to Risk ratio of this 4H Demand, as per the statistic anything above 3:1 is a good opportunity and any FII wouldnt miss such Trades.
Here is the Trade with a Reward : Risk ratio of just a little more than 6:1.
Thank You and ENjoy the Ride ! ! !
Eurusdtechnicalanalysis
EURUSD LONG TRADE SETUP in the starting of this week we should eyes on the majors pairs movement
in this chart you can see good bullish formation for medium term long trade
from the level 1.0800 you can take long for target 1.1050
the most important support range is looking as 1.0800 level and we can hold this trade for 150-200 pips
EURUSD next weekFX:EURUSD : on the daily chart we have a Market Structure Shift (MSS). we can clearly distinguish the beginning of a retracement which will come to an end in two scenarios. the first scenario is the blank one that the market will try to hit the lower liquidity by beating the gap. the second scenario will instead bounce on the first lower gap attracted by the strong upper liquidity. in my opinion, everything depends on the strength of the dollar, I suggest monitoring the DXY for a probable entry into the market
Major Events in Euro Area and US on Friday Major Events in Euro Area and US on Friday
Friday is a significant day with Euro Area Consumer Price Index (CPI) and US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data on the radar.
Euro Area inflation likely eased to 2.5% in February, and the official report is expected on Friday after a rush of local economic data from the Euro Area. The European Central Bank (ECB) is grappling with the challenge of bringing core inflation down from 3% to 2%.
While the market previously anticipated rate cuts to begin in April, the ECB, emphasizing data reliance, has prompted market adjustments, pushing the expected first rate cut to June.
In the US, the focus this week is on the PCE data. The day before, we do get Q4 GDP second estimate. But unless it is adjusted significantly, this will likely not have an impact.
Anticipating comparable rate cut trajectories in both economies, the dollar could potentially make up recent losses against the euro, particularly if January's PCE data exceeds estimates, thanks to its superior interest rate differential.
Thursday witnessed a surge that touched the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) before a subsequent retreat. Looking at the short term, technical indicators on the 4-hour chart hint at a potential upward bias. EUR/USD is presently trading above all its moving averages, and the 20 SMA appears poised to surpass the mildly bearish 200 SMA.
EUR/USD - Sell Zone !Hey there!
I'm selling on EUR/USD:
-RMID (Range Manipulation Initiation Distribution)
-We have liquidity uptake.
-We have an interesting zone.
-We have the optimal Fibonacci.
-We have accumulation before/on the zone.
-We are with the trend.
The CPI figures aren't so good for the € compared to the $, which is in great shape!
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Pre Market EUR/USD analysis for Sunday February 25thPre Market EUR/USD analysis for Sunday February 25th.
After the EUR/USD run up last week, I'm looking to see if we find resistance around the trend-line area for a potential down move towards 1.06000.
If buyers come in, I'd ideally like to see the EUR/USD trading back above the yearly pivot level (1.0900).
Trade safe and manage risk.
EURUSD SELL THEN BUY ??Head and shoulder on keylevel + rejection on supply zone + break of trendline
the market is likely going to drop DXY also wants to go up after the drop it is possible that the price will go up again if we see a reaction on the highlighted zone on a higher time frame the martket formed a double bottom and broke neckline if the bearish scenario occurs the drop will turn the double bottom into an inverse hs which can push eur usd up
alot of economic events coming next week trade safe !!
Short EURUSDI'll be looking to see the EURUSD go lower this month. The DXY has been steadily gaining since the beginning of the year, and it seems like that continuation is likely to keep at it. I'll be entering a short position and looking to take profit at the lows of Nov 1st of last year (1.05197). Let me know your thoughts on this pair, if you share a similar analysis or something different I'm open to see all sides. Good luck traders!
EurUsd - Long Term ChannelHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of EurUsd.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Starting in 2008 EurUsd has been trading in a descending channel for more than 15 years. At the moment EurUsd is retesting the upper resistance of the channel so a move lower is quite expected. Furthermore EurUsd is also retesting previous support which is after the break towards the downside turned resistance so everything is pointing towards a next move lower.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
EURUSD TRADE SETUPFor now, we are at a point where price direction will all be determined with the closure above or below.
We looking to trade EU this week:
Overall Market Direction: Long term bearish structure
1. Potential push above or below current structure to show direction
2. Once we get clean body closures, I will then use Confirmations at these areas for continuations
EUR/USD Imminent Shorts towards 1.06800My analysis on EUR/USD mirrors that of GBP/USD, as it has entered a significant supply zone where I anticipate a bearish reaction. Given the abundance of liquidity and the temporary bullishness of the dollar, this scenario appears plausible. Therefore, I'll be monitoring for a redistribution pattern on Monday before considering initiating sell positions.
I acknowledge the presence of considerable imbalances above, which could prompt price to rise and potentially reach the supply zone in scenario (C). However, my overall expectation for EUR/USD is a downward movement towards 1.06800.
Confluences for EU Shorts are as follows:
- Price left a clean 3hr supply zone which price is currently re distributing inside.
- Price has been moving bearish regarding the recent break of structure to the downside.
- DXY is also been moving bullish so it backs the EU downtrend.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside like trendline Asian lows and swing lows.
- The overall trend of this market like the monthly still shows its a bearish trend.
P.S. I'm currently leaning towards a pro-trend stance with this idea, primarily because of the recent downward breaks in structure. Additionally, there are few demand zones in proximity to the current price, suggesting that price may decline to sweep that liquidity.
HAPPY TRADING AND REMEMBER ITS USD BANK HOLIDAY MONDAY!
EURUSD: The USD remained stable as the market waited for US inflThe US dollar remained steady on Monday, with limited trading activity due to the holiday in major markets in Asia. Investors are awaiting the release of US inflation data, which is expected to play a key role in shaping the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. Upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for January, scheduled for release on Tuesday, is in particular focus as it could provide insight into when the Fed may consider cutting interest rate.
In currency developments, the euro fell slightly to $1.0778, falling back from a 10-day peak reached early in the trading session. This follows a modest rebound last week following a period of contraction throughout 2024. Fourth-quarter euro zone economic growth data, due on Wednesday, is expected to provide provide additional signals for the direction of the currency.
EUR/USD SHORT "FOLLOWING THE STRUCTURE"we are marking structure on 4h tf. eur/usd is making lower lows and lower highs indicating a downtrend and marking resistance on 4h tf. when London opens at 3 am EST 30m and 1h close below resistance. we are taking a short entry there. we have CPI, PMI, retail sales and multiple fed member speaks. monitor economic events closely and manage your position.
EURUSD Swing Buy Trade with a good Reward.
We have a 4 Hour Loop in Upward direction, We have a 4H Source Demand and a Fresh 4H Supply formed as Destination Supply giving us the Demand Supply Equilibrium Curve as follows.
After reacting to the Source Demand Price has started respecting Demands and violating Supply areas. hence this is a New Position with an Amazing reward to Risk ratio.
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.08700 back down. Pro trend idea.My bias on EUR/USD has shifted to bearish following the upward movement of the dollar (DXY). With EU breaking structure to the downside, confirming the bearish trend, I'm now exploring strategies to capitalise on this. Currently, I anticipate a pullback in price to fill the imbalances just below the 20-hour supply zone (A).
However, considering the distance from that supply zone, another scenario (B) may unfold. This involves price descending further to sweep the relative equal lows and reach my 19-hour demand zone. Subsequently, I foresee a bullish reaction prompting a reversal in price direction.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- Price left a clean 20-hour supply zone that caused a break of structure to the downside.
- The overall trend for this market is bearish.
- The dollar (DXY) is also moving bullish so it aligns perfectly.
- Imabalnces below the supply that needs to be addressed.
- Lots of liquidity left to the downside in the form of equal lows and Asia Lows.
P.S. With the dollar also breaking structure to the upside, it complements this bias effectively. However, I'm not exclusively committed to one direction; I also entertain the possibility of price declining further to signal a bullish trend. We'll have to observe how price unfolds.
Happy trading people!
EURUSD: The US interest rate outlook is the main weight for currMost Asian currencies fell sharply in the past two sessions, as the market began to reassess the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates soon. Higher interest rates for longer reduce the appeal of risky, high-yield assets and also limit foreign capital flows into regional markets.
Powell's comments late Sunday reiterated the Fed's earlier message that the economy's resilience gives the bank more room to maintain a restrictive monetary policy. This caused traders to largely abandon expectations that the Fed would start cutting interest rates in March or May.
CME's Fed Rate Tracker shows an 83% chance the Fed will hold rates steady in March and a 35% chance the Fed will hold rates steady in May, up significantly from a 9th chance. 9% was seen last week.